Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.62 (team entering with the better value wins 59% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 17.8% max 41.4% mean 29.7% std 4.2% (n=364)

Team Rankings

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# Team Offensive Rebound Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Texas A&M 41.4% +2.80 100 34
2 Saint Mary's 39.9% +2.44 100 34
3 Milwaukee 39.8% +2.43 99 30
4 Iona 39.1% +2.26 99 34
5 Florida 38.5% +2.12 99 40
6 Idaho State 38.3% +2.06 99 27
7 Troy 38.1% +2.01 98 32
8 St. John's 37.9% +1.97 98 36
9 UAB 37.7% +1.93 98 36
10 Saint Peter's 37.0% +1.75 98 27
11 Houston 36.9% +1.72 97 40
12 VCU 36.5% +1.64 97 34
13 Old Dominion 36.4% +1.61 97 33
14 SMU 36.3% +1.59 96 35
15 Elon 36.1% +1.54 96 31
16 Arizona 36.0% +1.52 96 37
17 Baylor 36.0% +1.51 96 34
18 Georgia 36.0% +1.51 95 33
19 Illinois 35.8% +1.46 95 35
20 East Tennessee State 35.7% +1.45 95 30
21 South Carolina State 35.7% +1.43 94 30
22 Cal State Bakersfield 35.6% +1.43 94 31
23 Jacksonville 35.6% +1.41 94 31
24 Tennessee 35.6% +1.41 94 38
25 Lamar 35.5% +1.40 93 30
26 UConn 35.5% +1.40 93 35
27 Wofford 35.5% +1.39 93 33
28 Michigan State 35.3% +1.36 93 37
29 Memphis 35.3% +1.35 92 35
30 Drake 35.3% +1.35 92 33
31 Towson 35.3% +1.34 92 32
32 Kent State 35.3% +1.34 91 34
33 Cal State Northridge 35.2% +1.32 91 31
34 Texas State 35.2% +1.31 91 30
35 UNC Wilmington 35.1% +1.31 91 33
36 Robert Morris 35.1% +1.29 90 34
37 California 34.7% +1.21 90 33
38 UT Martin 34.7% +1.21 90 30
39 Samford 34.7% +1.20 90 31
40 Utah State 34.7% +1.19 89 33
41 North Carolina Central 34.6% +1.17 89 29
42 Stephen F. Austin 34.6% +1.17 89 28
43 McNeese 34.5% +1.16 88 33
44 Incarnate Word 34.5% +1.15 88 32
45 Cleveland State 34.5% +1.14 88 33
46 Southern 34.4% +1.14 88 29
47 Utah 34.4% +1.14 87 33
48 Western Michigan 34.4% +1.12 87 31
49 Massachusetts 34.3% +1.11 87 31
50 Auburn 34.2% +1.08 87 38
51 Texas Tech 34.2% +1.07 86 37
52 Oakland 34.1% +1.06 86 33
53 Morgan State 34.1% +1.05 86 28
54 Duke 34.0% +1.04 85 39
55 Delaware State 34.0% +1.03 85 26
56 Hampton 34.0% +1.03 85 30
57 Alabama A&M 33.9% +1.01 85 29
58 Mississippi State 33.9% +1.01 84 34
59 Radford 33.8% +0.99 84 31
60 Bryant 33.8% +0.98 84 33
61 Tennessee State 33.8% +0.98 83 30
62 East Carolina 33.8% +0.98 83 31
63 Clemson 33.7% +0.97 83 34
64 Alabama 33.7% +0.97 83 37
65 Rice 33.7% +0.97 82 31
66 North Dakota 33.7% +0.96 82 30
67 Arkansas State 33.7% +0.96 82 35
68 South Dakota State 33.6% +0.95 82 29
69 High Point 33.6% +0.94 81 33
70 Alcorn State 33.6% +0.93 81 31
71 Missouri 33.5% +0.93 81 34
72 Quinnipiac 33.5% +0.90 80 32
73 North Alabama 33.4% +0.90 80 33
74 Portland State 33.4% +0.90 80 29
75 Gardner-Webb 33.4% +0.90 80 31
76 BYU 33.4% +0.88 79 35
77 California Baptist 33.3% +0.87 79 32
78 Providence 33.2% +0.84 79 32
79 Michigan 33.2% +0.84 79 37
80 Northwestern State 33.1% +0.83 78 30
81 Norfolk State 33.1% +0.82 78 32
82 Drexel 33.0% +0.80 78 32
83 Georgia Southern 33.0% +0.80 77 32
84 Marshall 33.0% +0.79 77 31
85 Duquesne 32.9% +0.78 77 31
86 Kansas City 32.8% +0.74 77 29
87 UT Arlington 32.8% +0.74 76 29
88 Boise State 32.7% +0.73 76 36
89 UCLA 32.7% +0.73 76 34
90 Santa Clara 32.7% +0.72 75 34
91 Yale 32.7% +0.72 75 29
92 North Texas 32.7% +0.72 75 34
93 Kennesaw State 32.5% +0.69 75 30
94 Gonzaga 32.5% +0.69 74 35
95 TCU 32.5% +0.68 74 31
96 New Mexico State 32.5% +0.68 74 29
97 Manhattan 32.5% +0.68 74 30
98 Akron 32.5% +0.67 73 33
99 Boston University 32.5% +0.67 73 31
100 Grand Canyon 32.4% +0.66 73 33
101 Eastern Kentucky 32.4% +0.65 72 30
102 Georgia State 32.4% +0.64 72 32
103 UAlbany 32.3% +0.62 72 31
104 Long Island University 32.3% +0.62 72 31
105 Rider 32.2% +0.61 71 33
106 Iowa State 32.2% +0.61 71 35
107 Cincinnati 32.2% +0.60 71 35
108 Central Michigan 32.1% +0.59 71 27
109 Longwood 32.1% +0.59 70 29
110 James Madison 32.1% +0.58 70 29
111 UC Riverside 32.1% +0.57 70 32
112 Temple 32.0% +0.56 69 31
113 Wichita State 32.0% +0.56 69 33
114 Missouri State 32.0% +0.56 69 30
115 Oregon State 32.0% +0.55 69 32
116 UCF 31.9% +0.54 68 37
117 Louisville 31.9% +0.54 68 35
118 Detroit Mercy 31.9% +0.53 68 31
119 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 31.9% +0.53 67 30
120 Northern Arizona 31.9% +0.53 67 30
121 George Mason 31.8% +0.51 67 35
122 Purdue 31.8% +0.50 67 36
123 Wagner 31.7% +0.49 66 26
124 New Orleans 31.6% +0.47 66 31
125 Vanderbilt 31.6% +0.46 66 33
126 Georgetown 31.6% +0.45 66 34
127 Fordham 31.5% +0.44 65 32
128 George Washington 31.5% +0.44 65 33
129 Indiana 31.5% +0.44 65 32
130 Northeastern 31.4% +0.42 64 32
131 Syracuse 31.4% +0.41 64 33
132 Sacred Heart 31.4% +0.41 64 32
133 SIU Edwardsville 31.3% +0.39 64 31
134 New Mexico 31.3% +0.39 63 34
135 Queens University 31.3% +0.39 63 32
136 Navy 31.3% +0.38 63 33
137 Seton Hall 31.2% +0.37 63 32
138 Charleston Southern 31.2% +0.36 62 30
139 Winthrop 31.2% +0.36 62 31
140 Northwestern 31.2% +0.36 62 33
141 Morehead State 31.2% +0.35 61 29
142 UNC Greensboro 31.1% +0.35 61 29
143 Oklahoma State 31.1% +0.34 61 35
144 Washington State 31.1% +0.34 61 34
145 Florida International 31.0% +0.33 60 31
146 Jacksonville State 31.0% +0.32 60 33
147 Northern Kentucky 31.0% +0.32 60 31
148 Virginia Tech 31.0% +0.32 60 32
149 Hawai'i 31.0% +0.31 59 29
150 SE Louisiana 30.9% +0.30 59 30
151 Utah Valley 30.9% +0.29 59 32
152 Stanford 30.9% +0.28 58 35
153 UT Rio Grande Valley 30.8% +0.27 58 27
154 Rutgers 30.8% +0.27 58 32
155 Florida Atlantic 30.7% +0.24 58 33
156 Middle Tennessee 30.7% +0.24 57 32
157 Maryland 30.7% +0.24 57 36
158 Nicholls 30.6% +0.23 57 30
159 Marist 30.6% +0.22 56 30
160 La Salle 30.5% +0.21 56 32
161 Mount St. Mary's 30.5% +0.20 56 35
162 Kansas 30.5% +0.20 56 34
163 Texas Southern 30.5% +0.19 55 29
164 IU Indianapolis 30.5% +0.19 55 29
165 Oregon 30.5% +0.19 55 35
166 Little Rock 30.4% +0.17 55 31
167 South Carolina 30.4% +0.16 54 32
168 Villanova 30.3% +0.15 54 36
169 Southern Illinois 30.3% +0.15 54 31
170 Saint Joseph's 30.3% +0.15 53 35
171 Sam Houston 30.3% +0.14 53 29
172 Georgia Tech 30.3% +0.14 53 34
173 Minnesota 30.2% +0.13 53 32
174 Southern Utah 30.1% +0.11 52 28
175 Brown 30.1% +0.11 52 26
176 Furman 30.1% +0.10 52 32
177 Jackson State 30.1% +0.10 52 34
178 Florida Gulf Coast 30.0% +0.09 51 33
179 Marquette 30.0% +0.08 51 34
180 UIC 30.0% +0.08 51 29
181 Eastern Illinois 30.0% +0.08 50 28
182 Abilene Christian 30.0% +0.08 50 29
183 Lindenwood 30.0% +0.08 50 30
184 South Dakota 30.0% +0.07 50 30
185 Wyoming 30.0% +0.07 49 31
186 Seattle U 29.9% +0.05 49 30
187 San Diego 29.9% +0.05 49 32
188 Omaha 29.8% +0.04 48 33
189 Toledo 29.8% +0.03 48 32
190 Monmouth 29.8% +0.02 48 33
191 UNC Asheville 29.7% +0.01 48 28
192 Texas 29.7% +0.01 47 35
193 Florida State 29.7% +0.00 47 32
194 Notre Dame 29.6% -0.01 47 33
195 Eastern Michigan 29.6% -0.02 47 31
196 Stony Brook 29.5% -0.05 46 31
197 LSU 29.5% -0.05 46 32
198 Dayton 29.4% -0.05 46 33
199 Presbyterian 29.4% -0.08 45 30
200 Loyola Chicago 29.3% -0.09 45 36
201 Youngstown State 29.3% -0.09 45 32
202 Louisiana Tech 29.3% -0.09 45 29
203 Kansas State 29.2% -0.11 44 32
204 Colorado 29.2% -0.11 44 35
205 San Diego State 29.2% -0.12 44 30
206 North Carolina 29.1% -0.13 44 37
207 Murray State 29.1% -0.15 43 32
208 Pittsburgh 29.0% -0.15 43 32
209 San Francisco 29.0% -0.15 43 34
210 UL Monroe 29.0% -0.16 42 30
211 Howard 29.0% -0.16 42 28
212 Coastal Carolina 29.0% -0.17 42 30
213 Ohio State 28.9% -0.18 42 32
214 Idaho 28.9% -0.19 41 31
215 Bethune-Cookman 28.8% -0.20 41 33
216 Boston College 28.8% -0.20 41 31
217 Mercer 28.8% -0.20 40 31
218 NC State 28.8% -0.21 40 31
219 Siena 28.8% -0.21 40 32
220 Penn State 28.6% -0.25 40 31
221 Central Arkansas 28.6% -0.25 39 31
222 Fairfield 28.6% -0.25 39 31
223 Loyola Maryland 28.6% -0.26 39 30
224 Pacific 28.5% -0.27 39 31
225 Long Beach State 28.5% -0.28 38 30
226 South Alabama 28.3% -0.32 38 30
227 Rhode Island 28.3% -0.34 38 30
228 Miami 28.2% -0.35 37 31
229 Kentucky 28.2% -0.36 37 36
230 Western Illinois 28.1% -0.37 37 28
231 Southern Miss 28.1% -0.37 37 29
232 East Texas A&M 28.1% -0.38 36 31
233 Tarleton State 28.1% -0.38 36 29
234 Arkansas 28.1% -0.38 36 36
235 Alabama State 28.0% -0.39 36 35
236 Wright State 28.0% -0.40 35 31
237 Wisconsin 28.0% -0.40 35 37
238 North Florida 27.9% -0.42 35 30
239 Southern Indiana 27.9% -0.43 34 28
240 UC Irvine 27.9% -0.43 34 38
241 Florida A&M 27.9% -0.43 34 28
242 USC 27.9% -0.43 34 35
243 South Florida 27.7% -0.46 33 31
244 Pepperdine 27.7% -0.47 33 34
245 NJIT 27.7% -0.48 33 30
246 UC Davis 27.6% -0.49 33 30
247 Cal Poly 27.6% -0.50 32 34
248 App State 27.6% -0.50 32 29
249 St. Bonaventure 27.6% -0.50 32 33
250 Miami (OH) 27.5% -0.52 31 32
251 Washington 27.5% -0.52 31 30
252 UC Santa Barbara 27.5% -0.53 31 32
253 Nevada 27.4% -0.54 31 33
254 New Hampshire 27.4% -0.55 30 30
255 Sacramento State 27.4% -0.55 30 29
256 UNLV 27.3% -0.57 30 33
257 The Citadel 27.2% -0.59 29 26
258 Belmont 27.2% -0.59 29 32
259 Tulsa 27.2% -0.60 29 31
260 Nebraska 27.1% -0.63 29 35
261 Maryland Eastern Shore 27.1% -0.63 28 27
262 Colorado State 27.0% -0.63 28 36
263 UTSA 27.0% -0.64 28 29
264 North Carolina A&T 27.0% -0.64 28 31
265 Eastern Washington 26.9% -0.66 27 30
266 DePaul 26.9% -0.66 27 34
267 Binghamton 26.9% -0.67 27 29
268 San José State 26.8% -0.68 26 33
269 Pennsylvania 26.8% -0.68 26 27
270 Tulane 26.8% -0.68 26 32
271 Wake Forest 26.8% -0.69 26 32
272 Fresno State 26.7% -0.72 25 32
273 Oklahoma 26.6% -0.73 25 34
274 Charleston 26.5% -0.75 25 32
275 Central Connecticut 26.5% -0.75 25 30
276 Coppin State 26.5% -0.75 24 29
277 Valparaiso 26.5% -0.76 24 32
278 Creighton 26.4% -0.78 24 36
279 Ball State 26.4% -0.79 23 28
280 Stonehill 26.4% -0.79 23 30
281 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 26.3% -0.80 23 29
282 Grambling 26.3% -0.81 23 31
283 North Dakota State 26.2% -0.82 22 29
284 Princeton 26.2% -0.83 22 28
285 Indiana State 26.2% -0.83 22 30
286 Utah Tech 26.2% -0.84 21 31
287 Vermont 26.2% -0.84 21 31
288 William & Mary 26.2% -0.84 21 30
289 Denver 26.1% -0.85 21 29
290 Butler 26.1% -0.85 20 35
291 UMass Lowell 26.1% -0.85 20 29
292 West Georgia 26.1% -0.86 20 30
293 Bradley 26.1% -0.86 20 36
294 Bucknell 26.0% -0.88 19 33
295 Houston Christian 26.0% -0.89 19 30
296 Columbia 25.9% -0.90 19 25
297 Fairleigh Dickinson 25.9% -0.90 18 30
298 Army 25.9% -0.91 18 31
299 West Virginia 25.9% -0.91 18 32
300 Louisiana 25.9% -0.91 18 32
301 Cal State Fullerton 25.9% -0.91 17 30
302 Northern Colorado 25.8% -0.91 17 32
303 Austin Peay 25.8% -0.93 17 31
304 Hofstra 25.8% -0.94 17 31
305 Western Carolina 25.7% -0.94 16 27
306 Bowling Green 25.7% -0.95 16 29
307 Le Moyne 25.7% -0.96 16 30
308 UC San Diego 25.6% -0.97 15 33
309 Cornell 25.5% -0.99 15 27
310 Ole Miss 25.5% -0.99 15 36
311 Chattanooga 25.5% -1.01 15 36
312 Charlotte 25.4% -1.01 14 32
313 UTEP 25.4% -1.03 14 30
314 South Carolina Upstate 25.3% -1.04 14 29
315 VMI 25.2% -1.08 13 30
316 Iowa 25.1% -1.09 13 33
317 Arizona State 25.1% -1.10 13 33
318 Harvard 25.0% -1.12 13 26
319 Saint Francis 25.0% -1.12 12 31
320 Tennessee Tech 25.0% -1.12 12 30
321 Northern Iowa 24.9% -1.14 12 32
322 Buffalo 24.8% -1.16 12 29
323 Illinois State 24.7% -1.19 11 35
324 Campbell 24.6% -1.22 11 30
325 Prairie View A&M 24.5% -1.23 11 31
326 Xavier 24.4% -1.25 10 34
327 Stetson 24.4% -1.26 10 29
328 Weber State 24.4% -1.27 10 31
329 Davidson 24.4% -1.27 10 32
330 Southeast Missouri State 24.0% -1.36 9 30
331 Lafayette 24.0% -1.36 9 32
332 Ohio 23.9% -1.37 9 31
333 Portland 23.9% -1.38 9 30
334 American University 23.8% -1.40 8 33
335 Lipscomb 23.8% -1.42 8 33
336 Colgate 23.7% -1.43 8 32
337 Niagara 23.6% -1.46 7 30
338 Western Kentucky 23.5% -1.47 7 30
339 Saint Louis 23.4% -1.49 7 32
340 Holy Cross 23.3% -1.53 7 30
341 Dartmouth 22.8% -1.63 6 26
342 Loyola Marymount 22.8% -1.64 6 31
343 Air Force 22.7% -1.66 6 32
344 Mississippi Valley State 22.7% -1.68 6 29
345 Evansville 22.6% -1.69 5 31
346 Chicago State 22.6% -1.70 5 32
347 Oral Roberts 22.6% -1.70 5 26
348 Montana 22.5% -1.70 4 32
349 Delaware 22.4% -1.73 4 34
350 Virginia 22.4% -1.75 4 32
351 Mercyhurst 22.2% -1.79 4 28
352 Purdue Fort Wayne 22.0% -1.83 3 30
353 Maine 21.8% -1.88 3 32
354 St. Thomas-Minnesota 21.5% -1.95 3 31
355 Lehigh 21.4% -1.99 2 28
356 Merrimack 20.8% -2.13 2 33
357 Montana State 20.7% -2.14 2 32
358 Bellarmine 20.2% -2.25 2 29
359 UMBC 19.4% -2.45 1 29
360 Richmond 19.3% -2.48 1 30
361 Liberty 19.0% -2.55 1 32
362 Green Bay 18.4% -2.69 1 31
363 Canisius 18.3% -2.71 0 31
364 Northern Illinois 17.8% -2.84 0 28