What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
← Four Factors

Opponent Turnover Rate

Share of opponent possessions a defense forces into turnovers.

Opponents' season turnovers ÷ opponents' season possessions. Possessions aren't in the box score, so they're estimated as FGA − OffReb + TO + 0.475×FTA (the standard estimator).

Higher is better  ·  league avg 17.2%  ·  as of 2025-04-08

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.60 (team entering with the better value wins 57% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 10.5% max 23.9% mean 17.2% std 2.2% (n=364)

Team Rankings

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# Team Opponent Turnover Rate z Pctl GP
1 Abilene Christian 23.9% +2.99 100 29
2 Tarleton State 23.3% +2.73 100 29
3 UC San Diego 23.3% +2.71 99 33
4 Merrimack 23.1% +2.64 99 33
5 UCLA 22.9% +2.53 99 34
6 Iona 22.8% +2.50 99 34
7 South Carolina State 22.8% +2.49 98 30
8 Seton Hall 22.2% +2.22 98 32
9 Cleveland State 22.0% +2.16 98 33
10 UTEP 22.0% +2.16 98 30
11 Maine 21.9% +2.08 97 32
12 Drake 21.8% +2.06 97 33
13 UC Davis 21.8% +2.04 97 30
14 McNeese 21.7% +2.01 96 33
15 Little Rock 21.6% +1.97 96 31
16 Samford 21.6% +1.96 96 31
17 Iowa State 21.6% +1.96 96 35
18 Marquette 21.4% +1.88 95 34
19 St. John's 21.4% +1.87 95 36
20 Southern 21.1% +1.72 95 29
21 Alabama A&M 21.1% +1.72 94 29
22 Seattle U 21.0% +1.70 94 30
23 North Carolina Central 21.0% +1.68 94 29
24 Houston 20.9% +1.65 94 40
25 Eastern Illinois 20.7% +1.58 93 28
26 Longwood 20.7% +1.57 93 29
27 UTSA 20.6% +1.51 93 29
28 South Alabama 20.5% +1.49 93 30
29 Coppin State 20.5% +1.48 92 29
30 Florida International 20.5% +1.48 92 31
31 VCU 20.5% +1.45 92 34
32 Grand Canyon 20.3% +1.39 91 33
33 Mercyhurst 20.3% +1.38 91 28
34 Ole Miss 20.2% +1.35 91 36
35 New Mexico 20.2% +1.35 91 34
36 Cal State Northridge 20.2% +1.33 90 31
37 Stephen F. Austin 20.2% +1.32 90 28
38 Oklahoma State 20.2% +1.32 90 35
39 Purdue Fort Wayne 20.1% +1.31 90 30
40 Missouri 20.1% +1.30 89 34
41 Maryland 20.1% +1.29 89 36
42 Utah State 20.1% +1.28 89 33
43 Delaware State 20.0% +1.27 88 26
44 Clemson 20.0% +1.24 88 34
45 Duquesne 19.9% +1.22 88 31
46 East Texas A&M 19.9% +1.22 88 31
47 Northern Kentucky 19.9% +1.21 87 31
48 Prairie View A&M 19.9% +1.20 87 31
49 Penn State 19.9% +1.19 87 31
50 Vanderbilt 19.8% +1.18 87 33
51 UAlbany 19.8% +1.15 86 31
52 Northwestern 19.8% +1.15 86 33
53 Texas Southern 19.7% +1.11 86 29
54 Troy 19.6% +1.07 85 32
55 Wake Forest 19.6% +1.07 85 32
56 Portland State 19.6% +1.06 85 29
57 San Diego State 19.6% +1.06 85 30
58 TCU 19.6% +1.06 84 31
59 Cincinnati 19.5% +1.03 84 35
60 Texas A&M 19.4% +0.99 84 34
61 West Virginia 19.4% +0.98 83 32
62 North Texas 19.4% +0.98 83 34
63 Lindenwood 19.3% +0.94 83 30
64 Georgetown 19.3% +0.94 83 34
65 George Washington 19.3% +0.93 82 33
66 Long Island University 19.2% +0.90 82 31
67 George Mason 19.2% +0.89 82 35
68 Missouri State 19.1% +0.86 82 30
69 Cal Poly 19.1% +0.85 81 34
70 Louisiana 19.1% +0.84 81 32
71 Miami (OH) 19.1% +0.83 81 32
72 Florida State 19.0% +0.82 80 32
73 Memphis 19.0% +0.79 80 35
74 UT Martin 19.0% +0.79 80 30
75 Southeast Missouri State 19.0% +0.78 80 30
76 Mississippi State 18.9% +0.78 79 34
77 Cal State Bakersfield 18.9% +0.77 79 31
78 Eastern Washington 18.9% +0.77 79 30
79 St. Bonaventure 18.9% +0.74 79 33
80 Hampton 18.8% +0.73 78 30
81 East Tennessee State 18.8% +0.72 78 30
82 SE Louisiana 18.8% +0.71 78 30
83 Campbell 18.8% +0.70 77 30
84 Robert Morris 18.8% +0.69 77 34
85 Norfolk State 18.7% +0.69 77 32
86 Winthrop 18.7% +0.68 77 31
87 Alabama State 18.7% +0.67 76 35
88 Baylor 18.7% +0.67 76 34
89 Nevada 18.7% +0.66 76 33
90 NC State 18.6% +0.64 75 31
91 Jacksonville 18.6% +0.63 75 31
92 St. Thomas-Minnesota 18.5% +0.59 75 31
93 San Diego 18.5% +0.58 75 32
94 Louisville 18.5% +0.58 74 35
95 Georgia Southern 18.4% +0.54 74 32
96 Alcorn State 18.4% +0.54 74 31
97 Kent State 18.4% +0.52 74 34
98 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 18.3% +0.50 73 30
99 Milwaukee 18.3% +0.50 73 30
100 Pittsburgh 18.3% +0.50 73 32
101 Grambling 18.3% +0.50 72 31
102 Siena 18.3% +0.49 72 32
103 Northeastern 18.2% +0.46 72 32
104 Chicago State 18.2% +0.46 72 32
105 Fairfield 18.2% +0.45 71 31
106 Oklahoma 18.2% +0.44 71 34
107 South Florida 18.2% +0.43 71 31
108 Wagner 18.2% +0.43 71 26
109 Kansas State 18.2% +0.43 70 32
110 Central Michigan 18.1% +0.41 70 27
111 California Baptist 18.1% +0.40 70 32
112 Central Connecticut 18.1% +0.40 69 30
113 Fresno State 18.0% +0.37 69 32
114 Gonzaga 18.0% +0.35 69 35
115 UNC Asheville 18.0% +0.35 69 28
116 Youngstown State 18.0% +0.35 68 32
117 Georgia 18.0% +0.33 68 33
118 Houston Christian 18.0% +0.33 68 30
119 San Francisco 17.8% +0.29 67 34
120 UNLV 17.8% +0.28 67 33
121 Iowa 17.8% +0.27 67 33
122 SMU 17.8% +0.27 67 35
123 Navy 17.8% +0.26 66 33
124 Presbyterian 17.8% +0.26 66 30
125 USC 17.8% +0.25 66 35
126 Eastern Kentucky 17.8% +0.25 66 30
127 Harvard 17.8% +0.25 65 26
128 Eastern Michigan 17.8% +0.25 65 31
129 Idaho State 17.7% +0.24 65 27
130 UT Rio Grande Valley 17.7% +0.23 64 27
131 Ohio 17.7% +0.22 64 31
132 Lamar 17.7% +0.21 64 30
133 Saint Peter's 17.7% +0.21 64 27
134 Belmont 17.7% +0.21 63 32
135 Fairleigh Dickinson 17.6% +0.19 63 30
136 Xavier 17.6% +0.18 63 34
137 UCF 17.6% +0.18 63 37
138 American University 17.6% +0.18 62 33
139 Tennessee 17.6% +0.18 62 38
140 Sacred Heart 17.6% +0.17 62 32
141 Dayton 17.6% +0.17 61 33
142 Nebraska 17.6% +0.17 61 35
143 Denver 17.6% +0.16 61 29
144 Purdue 17.6% +0.16 61 36
145 VMI 17.6% +0.16 60 30
146 Massachusetts 17.5% +0.15 60 31
147 William & Mary 17.5% +0.14 60 30
148 Tulane 17.5% +0.11 60 32
149 East Carolina 17.4% +0.10 59 31
150 Jackson State 17.4% +0.10 59 34
151 Tennessee State 17.4% +0.09 59 30
152 Utah Tech 17.4% +0.09 58 31
153 UMBC 17.4% +0.08 58 29
154 Oregon 17.4% +0.08 58 35
155 Incarnate Word 17.4% +0.08 58 32
156 Northwestern State 17.4% +0.08 57 30
157 Rutgers 17.4% +0.08 57 32
158 Bowling Green 17.4% +0.08 57 29
159 Northern Iowa 17.4% +0.07 56 32
160 Murray State 17.4% +0.07 56 32
161 South Dakota 17.4% +0.06 56 30
162 Auburn 17.3% +0.06 56 38
163 Princeton 17.3% +0.05 55 28
164 Stanford 17.3% +0.05 55 35
165 Loyola Chicago 17.3% +0.02 55 36
166 Towson 17.3% +0.02 55 32
167 Akron 17.2% +0.01 54 33
168 Arkansas 17.2% -0.00 54 36
169 UC Irvine 17.2% -0.00 54 38
170 Long Beach State 17.2% -0.01 53 30
171 SIU Edwardsville 17.2% -0.02 53 31
172 UC Santa Barbara 17.2% -0.02 53 32
173 Sacramento State 17.1% -0.03 53 29
174 Valparaiso 17.1% -0.03 52 32
175 Sam Houston 17.1% -0.04 52 29
176 UNC Wilmington 17.1% -0.04 52 33
177 Texas Tech 17.1% -0.06 52 37
178 Kansas City 17.1% -0.07 51 29
179 Arkansas State 17.0% -0.07 51 35
180 Duke 17.0% -0.08 51 39
181 Quinnipiac 17.0% -0.08 50 32
182 Western Kentucky 17.0% -0.08 50 30
183 Liberty 17.0% -0.10 50 32
184 Loyola Maryland 17.0% -0.11 50 30
185 Bucknell 17.0% -0.11 49 33
186 Washington State 16.9% -0.12 49 34
187 Morgan State 16.9% -0.13 49 28
188 Austin Peay 16.9% -0.13 48 31
189 Utah Valley 16.9% -0.13 48 32
190 BYU 16.9% -0.13 48 35
191 New Hampshire 16.8% -0.17 48 30
192 Marshall 16.8% -0.17 47 31
193 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 16.8% -0.18 47 29
194 Niagara 16.8% -0.18 47 30
195 Ohio State 16.8% -0.18 47 32
196 Mercer 16.8% -0.19 46 31
197 Bethune-Cookman 16.7% -0.21 46 33
198 Washington 16.7% -0.21 46 30
199 South Carolina Upstate 16.7% -0.22 45 29
200 Central Arkansas 16.7% -0.22 45 31
201 Lafayette 16.7% -0.23 45 32
202 Fordham 16.7% -0.23 45 32
203 La Salle 16.7% -0.23 44 32
204 Colorado State 16.7% -0.23 44 36
205 Southern Indiana 16.7% -0.23 44 28
206 Northern Illinois 16.7% -0.24 44 28
207 Boston University 16.7% -0.24 43 31
208 Nicholls 16.7% -0.24 43 30
209 Evansville 16.7% -0.25 43 31
210 San José State 16.7% -0.25 42 33
211 LSU 16.6% -0.25 42 32
212 West Georgia 16.6% -0.26 42 30
213 Monmouth 16.6% -0.27 42 33
214 Santa Clara 16.6% -0.27 41 34
215 North Alabama 16.6% -0.27 41 33
216 Florida 16.6% -0.28 41 40
217 Western Michigan 16.6% -0.29 40 31
218 Howard 16.5% -0.30 40 28
219 Weber State 16.5% -0.30 40 31
220 Radford 16.5% -0.32 40 31
221 Canisius 16.5% -0.33 39 31
222 Oregon State 16.4% -0.35 39 32
223 Charleston 16.4% -0.35 39 32
224 Boise State 16.4% -0.36 39 36
225 High Point 16.4% -0.37 38 33
226 Indiana 16.4% -0.37 38 32
227 Furman 16.4% -0.37 38 32
228 Hofstra 16.4% -0.38 37 31
229 Le Moyne 16.4% -0.38 37 30
230 Columbia 16.3% -0.39 37 25
231 Texas 16.3% -0.39 37 35
232 Bryant 16.3% -0.40 36 33
233 Saint Mary's 16.3% -0.40 36 34
234 UNC Greensboro 16.3% -0.40 36 29
235 Marist 16.3% -0.40 36 30
236 Minnesota 16.3% -0.40 35 32
237 California 16.3% -0.41 35 33
238 UT Arlington 16.3% -0.41 35 29
239 Buffalo 16.3% -0.41 34 29
240 Colorado 16.3% -0.42 34 35
241 Oakland 16.2% -0.43 34 33
242 Chattanooga 16.2% -0.43 34 36
243 Colgate 16.2% -0.44 33 32
244 Virginia Tech 16.2% -0.45 33 32
245 Southern Miss 16.2% -0.45 33 29
246 Illinois State 16.2% -0.45 33 35
247 Saint Joseph's 16.2% -0.46 32 35
248 Arizona 16.2% -0.47 32 37
249 Stonehill 16.1% -0.48 32 30
250 Yale 16.1% -0.49 31 29
251 Saint Francis 16.1% -0.49 31 31
252 Arizona State 16.1% -0.49 31 33
253 Texas State 16.1% -0.50 31 30
254 UL Monroe 16.1% -0.50 30 30
255 Lehigh 16.0% -0.53 30 28
256 Rider 16.0% -0.53 30 33
257 New Orleans 16.0% -0.53 29 31
258 Army 16.0% -0.53 29 31
259 Old Dominion 16.0% -0.53 29 33
260 Cal State Fullerton 16.0% -0.54 29 30
261 Florida Atlantic 16.0% -0.55 28 33
262 Michigan State 16.0% -0.56 28 37
263 Rhode Island 16.0% -0.56 28 30
264 Middle Tennessee 15.9% -0.58 28 32
265 IU Indianapolis 15.9% -0.58 27 29
266 Lipscomb 15.9% -0.59 27 33
267 Queens University 15.8% -0.61 27 32
268 Michigan 15.8% -0.62 26 37
269 Indiana State 15.8% -0.62 26 30
270 Richmond 15.8% -0.62 26 30
271 Villanova 15.8% -0.63 26 36
272 Georgia Tech 15.8% -0.63 25 34
273 Loyola Marymount 15.8% -0.65 25 31
274 Vermont 15.7% -0.66 25 31
275 Wyoming 15.7% -0.66 25 31
276 UConn 15.7% -0.67 24 35
277 UIC 15.7% -0.68 24 29
278 Brown 15.7% -0.68 24 26
279 Air Force 15.7% -0.69 23 32
280 Virginia 15.7% -0.69 23 32
281 Mount St. Mary's 15.7% -0.69 23 35
282 James Madison 15.7% -0.70 23 29
283 South Carolina 15.6% -0.71 22 32
284 Florida A&M 15.6% -0.71 22 28
285 UC Riverside 15.6% -0.71 22 32
286 Utah 15.6% -0.72 21 33
287 Bradley 15.6% -0.72 21 36
288 Kansas 15.6% -0.72 21 34
289 Toledo 15.6% -0.74 21 32
290 Maryland Eastern Shore 15.6% -0.74 20 27
291 Wichita State 15.5% -0.74 20 33
292 Delaware 15.5% -0.74 20 34
293 DePaul 15.5% -0.76 20 34
294 Boston College 15.5% -0.76 19 31
295 Montana 15.5% -0.77 19 32
296 Bellarmine 15.4% -0.80 19 29
297 Northern Colorado 15.4% -0.80 18 32
298 Davidson 15.4% -0.81 18 32
299 Pacific 15.4% -0.81 18 31
300 Detroit Mercy 15.4% -0.82 18 31
301 Montana State 15.3% -0.85 17 32
302 North Carolina A&T 15.3% -0.85 17 31
303 The Citadel 15.3% -0.85 17 26
304 Cornell 15.3% -0.86 17 27
305 North Carolina 15.3% -0.86 16 37
306 UAB 15.3% -0.87 16 36
307 Southern Illinois 15.2% -0.88 16 31
308 Tennessee Tech 15.2% -0.89 15 30
309 Pepperdine 15.2% -0.90 15 34
310 Kennesaw State 15.2% -0.92 15 30
311 Manhattan 15.1% -0.94 15 30
312 Temple 15.1% -0.95 14 31
313 Southern Utah 15.1% -0.95 14 28
314 Idaho 15.1% -0.96 14 31
315 Northern Arizona 15.1% -0.96 13 30
316 New Mexico State 15.1% -0.96 13 29
317 Miami 15.1% -0.96 13 31
318 Stony Brook 15.0% -0.98 13 31
319 North Dakota 15.0% -0.98 12 30
320 Mississippi Valley State 15.0% -1.00 12 29
321 Notre Dame 14.9% -1.02 12 33
322 Omaha 14.9% -1.05 12 33
323 Gardner-Webb 14.8% -1.09 11 31
324 App State 14.8% -1.09 11 29
325 UMass Lowell 14.7% -1.11 11 29
326 Wofford 14.7% -1.12 10 33
327 Charlotte 14.7% -1.12 10 32
328 North Florida 14.7% -1.13 10 30
329 Louisiana Tech 14.7% -1.14 10 29
330 Green Bay 14.6% -1.16 9 31
331 Wisconsin 14.5% -1.23 9 37
332 Drexel 14.4% -1.23 9 32
333 Tulsa 14.4% -1.25 9 31
334 Morehead State 14.4% -1.25 8 29
335 Western Illinois 14.3% -1.29 8 28
336 Saint Louis 14.2% -1.35 8 32
337 Kentucky 14.2% -1.36 7 36
338 Wright State 14.1% -1.37 7 31
339 Florida Gulf Coast 14.1% -1.38 7 33
340 Ball State 14.1% -1.39 7 28
341 Rice 14.0% -1.43 6 31
342 Syracuse 14.0% -1.43 6 33
343 Oral Roberts 14.0% -1.46 6 26
344 Dartmouth 13.8% -1.51 6 26
345 NJIT 13.8% -1.52 5 30
346 Providence 13.7% -1.55 5 32
347 Holy Cross 13.6% -1.63 5 30
348 Western Carolina 13.6% -1.63 4 27
349 Jacksonville State 13.5% -1.66 4 33
350 Charleston Southern 13.5% -1.66 4 30
351 Pennsylvania 13.5% -1.68 4 27
352 Alabama 13.4% -1.68 3 37
353 Portland 13.2% -1.78 3 30
354 Hawai'i 13.1% -1.86 3 29
355 Stetson 13.0% -1.87 2 29
356 Elon 13.0% -1.87 2 31
357 Georgia State 12.9% -1.92 2 32
358 Binghamton 12.7% -2.00 2 29
359 South Dakota State 12.7% -2.01 1 29
360 Illinois 12.4% -2.16 1 35
361 Creighton 11.6% -2.50 1 36
362 Butler 11.4% -2.59 1 35
363 North Dakota State 11.1% -2.72 0 29
364 Coastal Carolina 10.5% -3.00 0 30