Spread love- it's the Brooklyn way. "Juicy" - Notorious B.I.G.

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.66 (team entering with the better value wins 62% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 58.7 max 86.6 mean 73.0 std 4.7 (n=364)

Team Rankings

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# Team Opponent Points Per Game z Pctl GP
1 Houston 58.7 -3.05 100 40
2 Drake 60.2 -2.72 100 33
3 North Texas 60.6 -2.63 99 34
4 Saint Mary's 61.8 -2.38 99 34
5 Duke 62.8 -2.17 99 39
6 UC San Diego 63.0 -2.12 99 33
7 Wagner 63.0 -2.12 98 26
8 VCU 63.0 -2.11 98 34
9 Tennessee 63.1 -2.10 98 38
10 Central Connecticut 63.1 -2.10 98 30
11 George Mason 64.0 -1.90 97 35
12 Merrimack 64.2 -1.86 97 33
13 Marist 64.5 -1.81 97 30
14 McNeese 64.5 -1.79 96 33
15 App State 64.6 -1.78 96 29
16 West Virginia 64.8 -1.73 96 32
17 Vermont 65.0 -1.70 96 31
18 San Diego State 65.2 -1.66 95 30
19 UCLA 65.2 -1.65 95 34
20 Liberty 65.3 -1.64 95 32
21 South Alabama 65.5 -1.59 94 30
22 St. Bonaventure 65.6 -1.57 94 33
23 Hofstra 65.6 -1.57 94 31
24 Clemson 65.8 -1.53 94 34
25 St. John's 65.8 -1.53 93 36
26 Cincinnati 66.2 -1.43 93 35
27 Troy 66.3 -1.41 93 32
28 Saint Peter's 66.3 -1.41 93 27
29 Long Island University 66.5 -1.38 92 31
30 Virginia 66.8 -1.31 92 32
31 Lamar 67.0 -1.28 92 30
32 Boise State 67.0 -1.27 91 36
33 Michigan State 67.1 -1.24 91 37
34 Maryland 67.2 -1.23 91 36
35 Maine 67.2 -1.23 91 32
36 New Mexico State 67.3 -1.21 90 29
37 UNC Greensboro 67.3 -1.21 90 29
38 Colorado State 67.3 -1.20 90 36
39 UC Irvine 67.4 -1.18 90 38
40 East Tennessee State 67.4 -1.18 89 30
41 Drexel 67.6 -1.14 89 32
42 Seattle U 67.6 -1.13 89 30
43 Little Rock 67.7 -1.12 88 31
44 Towson 67.7 -1.12 88 32
45 Northern Iowa 67.8 -1.10 88 32
46 UConn 68.0 -1.05 88 35
47 Cleveland State 68.0 -1.05 87 33
48 Wake Forest 68.0 -1.05 87 32
49 Duquesne 68.1 -1.04 87 31
50 Nevada 68.1 -1.03 87 33
51 UNLV 68.1 -1.03 86 33
52 Villanova 68.2 -1.02 86 36
53 Lipscomb 68.2 -1.02 86 33
54 Boston University 68.3 -1.00 85 31
55 SIU Edwardsville 68.3 -0.99 85 31
56 Iowa State 68.3 -0.98 85 35
57 Kent State 68.4 -0.97 85 34
58 Texas Tech 68.5 -0.96 84 37
59 American University 68.5 -0.94 84 33
60 Saint Joseph's 68.6 -0.92 84 35
61 George Washington 68.6 -0.92 83 33
62 Texas A&M 68.7 -0.90 83 34
63 TCU 68.7 -0.90 83 32
64 Marquette 68.7 -0.90 83 34
65 Utah Valley 68.9 -0.86 82 32
66 Northwestern State 69.0 -0.84 82 30
67 Northwestern 69.2 -0.81 82 33
68 Bradley 69.3 -0.78 82 36
69 Grambling 69.3 -0.78 81 31
70 Southeast Missouri State 69.3 -0.78 81 30
71 Jacksonville State 69.3 -0.78 81 33
72 Oregon State 69.3 -0.78 80 32
73 Campbell 69.3 -0.77 80 30
74 Louisiana Tech 69.3 -0.77 80 29
75 Stephen F. Austin 69.4 -0.76 80 28
76 UC Santa Barbara 69.4 -0.76 79 32
77 Auburn 69.4 -0.75 79 38
78 Loyola Chicago 69.4 -0.75 79 36
79 Southern 69.5 -0.74 79 29
80 Louisville 69.5 -0.74 78 35
81 Georgetown 69.6 -0.72 78 34
82 Kansas 69.6 -0.72 78 34
83 Florida 69.6 -0.71 77 40
84 Kansas State 69.6 -0.71 77 33
85 San Francisco 69.6 -0.70 77 34
86 Lafayette 69.7 -0.70 77 32
87 Northeastern 69.7 -0.70 76 32
88 Minnesota 69.7 -0.69 76 32
89 Morehead State 69.8 -0.67 76 29
90 Houston Christian 69.9 -0.65 75 30
91 Georgia 69.9 -0.65 75 33
92 Gonzaga 69.9 -0.65 75 35
93 Florida Gulf Coast 69.9 -0.64 75 33
94 Grand Canyon 70.0 -0.63 74 33
95 Creighton 70.0 -0.62 74 36
96 California Baptist 70.0 -0.62 74 32
97 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 70.1 -0.61 74 30
98 Murray State 70.2 -0.60 73 32
99 Seton Hall 70.2 -0.59 73 32
100 Tarleton State 70.2 -0.58 73 29
101 Eastern Illinois 70.3 -0.58 72 28
102 Baylor 70.3 -0.57 72 34
103 Rice 70.3 -0.56 72 31
104 UNC Wilmington 70.3 -0.56 72 33
105 Kansas City 70.3 -0.56 71 29
106 Purdue 70.4 -0.55 71 36
107 NC State 70.4 -0.54 71 31
108 Iona 70.5 -0.53 71 34
109 Arkansas State 70.5 -0.52 70 35
110 Utah State 70.5 -0.51 70 33
111 SE Louisiana 70.6 -0.51 70 30
112 New Mexico 70.6 -0.49 69 34
113 High Point 70.7 -0.49 69 33
114 Wyoming 70.7 -0.48 69 31
115 Montana State 70.7 -0.48 69 32
116 Mount St. Mary's 70.7 -0.47 68 35
117 Stanford 70.7 -0.47 68 35
118 Hampton 70.8 -0.47 68 30
119 Pittsburgh 70.8 -0.45 67 32
120 Wofford 70.8 -0.45 67 33
121 Oregon 70.9 -0.45 67 35
122 Wisconsin 70.9 -0.45 67 37
123 Elon 70.9 -0.44 66 31
124 Portland State 70.9 -0.44 66 29
125 Yale 70.9 -0.44 66 29
126 Stonehill 70.9 -0.44 66 30
127 Abilene Christian 71.0 -0.42 65 29
128 Radford 71.0 -0.42 65 31
129 North Alabama 71.0 -0.41 65 33
130 Furman 71.1 -0.40 64 32
131 UC Davis 71.1 -0.39 64 30
132 Navy 71.2 -0.37 64 33
133 Incarnate Word 71.3 -0.36 64 32
134 SMU 71.3 -0.36 63 35
135 Dayton 71.3 -0.35 63 33
136 James Madison 71.3 -0.35 63 30
137 Arkansas 71.4 -0.33 63 36
138 Evansville 71.4 -0.33 62 31
139 South Carolina 71.4 -0.32 62 32
140 Michigan 71.5 -0.32 62 37
141 Davidson 71.5 -0.32 61 32
142 South Carolina State 71.5 -0.30 61 30
143 Robert Morris 71.6 -0.29 61 34
144 Xavier 71.6 -0.29 61 34
145 Niagara 71.6 -0.28 60 30
146 Nicholls 71.7 -0.27 60 30
147 Tulane 71.7 -0.26 60 32
148 Ole Miss 71.7 -0.26 60 36
149 Mercyhurst 71.8 -0.26 59 28
150 Norfolk State 71.8 -0.25 59 32
151 Rider 71.8 -0.24 59 33
152 Colorado 71.9 -0.23 58 35
153 Hawai'i 71.9 -0.23 58 29
154 Jacksonville 71.9 -0.23 58 31
155 Missouri State 71.9 -0.22 58 30
156 Indiana 72.0 -0.20 57 32
157 Loyola Marymount 72.1 -0.19 57 31
158 UTEP 72.1 -0.19 57 30
159 Siena 72.1 -0.18 56 32
160 Loyola Maryland 72.1 -0.18 56 30
161 Idaho State 72.1 -0.17 56 27
162 Bethune-Cookman 72.2 -0.17 56 33
163 Brown 72.2 -0.17 55 26
164 Coastal Carolina 72.2 -0.17 55 30
165 Quinnipiac 72.2 -0.16 55 32
166 Northern Kentucky 72.2 -0.16 55 31
167 Oakland 72.2 -0.15 54 33
168 Lehigh 72.3 -0.15 54 28
169 Harvard 72.3 -0.14 54 26
170 Illinois State 72.4 -0.12 53 35
171 Alcorn State 72.4 -0.11 53 31
172 Princeton 72.4 -0.11 53 28
173 Texas Southern 72.4 -0.11 53 29
174 Marshall 72.5 -0.11 52 31
175 Florida State 72.5 -0.10 52 32
176 Notre Dame 72.5 -0.10 52 33
177 Providence 72.5 -0.10 52 32
178 Milwaukee 72.5 -0.09 51 30
179 BYU 72.6 -0.08 51 36
180 Saint Louis 72.6 -0.08 51 32
181 Richmond 72.6 -0.08 50 30
182 Youngstown State 72.6 -0.08 50 32
183 Nebraska 72.6 -0.08 50 35
184 Utah 72.6 -0.07 50 33
185 Texas 72.6 -0.07 49 35
186 Alabama State 72.7 -0.06 49 35
187 Georgia Tech 72.7 -0.06 49 34
188 Colgate 72.7 -0.06 48 32
189 Old Dominion 72.8 -0.03 48 33
190 Presbyterian 72.9 -0.02 48 30
191 Binghamton 73.0 +0.00 48 29
192 Florida International 73.0 +0.00 47 31
193 Santa Clara 73.0 +0.00 47 34
194 Wichita State 73.1 +0.04 47 33
195 Bucknell 73.2 +0.04 47 33
196 Virginia Tech 73.2 +0.04 46 32
197 UT Martin 73.2 +0.05 46 30
198 Penn State 73.2 +0.06 46 31
199 Northern Arizona 73.3 +0.07 45 30
200 Arizona 73.3 +0.07 45 37
201 Louisiana 73.3 +0.07 45 32
202 Miami (OH) 73.3 +0.07 45 32
203 Western Illinois 73.3 +0.07 44 28
204 Saint Francis 73.4 +0.09 44 31
205 Memphis 73.4 +0.09 44 35
206 Sacramento State 73.4 +0.09 44 29
207 Dartmouth 73.5 +0.12 43 26
208 Ohio State 73.5 +0.12 43 32
209 Fairfield 73.5 +0.13 43 31
210 LSU 73.6 +0.14 42 32
211 Missouri 73.6 +0.15 42 34
212 Air Force 73.7 +0.15 42 32
213 San José State 73.7 +0.16 42 33
214 Holy Cross 73.7 +0.17 41 30
215 Middle Tennessee 73.8 +0.17 41 32
216 East Carolina 73.9 +0.20 41 31
217 NJIT 73.9 +0.21 40 30
218 Charleston 73.9 +0.21 40 32
219 Kennesaw State 74.0 +0.22 40 30
220 Tennessee Tech 74.1 +0.24 40 30
221 Chattanooga 74.1 +0.25 39 36
222 Tulsa 74.2 +0.26 39 31
223 Mississippi State 74.2 +0.26 39 34
224 Lindenwood 74.2 +0.27 39 30
225 Vanderbilt 74.3 +0.29 38 33
226 Cal State Northridge 74.3 +0.29 38 31
227 Weber State 74.4 +0.30 38 31
228 Fairleigh Dickinson 74.4 +0.30 37 30
229 Central Michigan 74.4 +0.30 37 27
230 DePaul 74.5 +0.32 37 34
231 Northern Colorado 74.5 +0.33 37 32
232 Texas State 74.5 +0.33 36 30
233 Jackson State 74.6 +0.34 36 34
234 USC 74.6 +0.35 36 35
235 Oklahoma 74.6 +0.35 36 34
236 North Carolina 74.7 +0.37 35 37
237 UAlbany 74.8 +0.39 35 31
238 Illinois 74.8 +0.40 35 35
239 Western Kentucky 74.8 +0.40 34 30
240 Butler 74.9 +0.41 34 35
241 East Texas A&M 74.9 +0.41 34 31
242 Bryant 74.9 +0.42 34 33
243 Charlotte 75.0 +0.43 33 32
244 Montana 75.0 +0.44 33 32
245 Stony Brook 75.1 +0.45 33 31
246 South Dakota State 75.1 +0.45 33 29
247 Southern Indiana 75.1 +0.45 32 28
248 Cal State Bakersfield 75.2 +0.47 32 31
249 Rhode Island 75.2 +0.47 32 30
250 Manhattan 75.2 +0.48 31 30
251 Ball State 75.3 +0.49 31 28
252 Southern Utah 75.3 +0.50 31 28
253 UIC 75.3 +0.50 31 29
254 Valparaiso 75.3 +0.50 30 32
255 South Florida 75.4 +0.51 30 31
256 Monmouth 75.4 +0.51 30 33
257 Bowling Green 75.4 +0.51 29 30
258 Tennessee State 75.4 +0.51 29 30
259 Southern Illinois 75.5 +0.54 29 31
260 VMI 75.5 +0.54 29 30
261 La Salle 75.5 +0.55 28 32
262 Long Beach State 75.6 +0.57 28 30
263 Sacred Heart 75.7 +0.58 28 32
264 Massachusetts 75.7 +0.59 28 31
265 UT Arlington 75.7 +0.59 27 29
266 Boston College 75.8 +0.60 27 31
267 Austin Peay 75.8 +0.61 27 31
268 Eastern Kentucky 75.9 +0.63 26 30
269 Washington 75.9 +0.63 26 30
270 North Dakota State 76.0 +0.66 26 29
271 St. Thomas-Minnesota 76.1 +0.66 26 31
272 UMass Lowell 76.1 +0.67 25 29
273 Georgia Southern 76.1 +0.68 25 32
274 Florida A&M 76.1 +0.68 25 29
275 Longwood 76.1 +0.68 25 29
276 Omaha 76.2 +0.69 24 33
277 Eastern Washington 76.3 +0.71 24 30
278 Purdue Fort Wayne 76.3 +0.71 24 30
279 Oklahoma State 76.3 +0.72 23 35
280 Queens University 76.3 +0.72 23 33
281 Florida Atlantic 76.4 +0.73 23 33
282 UC Riverside 76.4 +0.73 23 32
283 Akron 76.4 +0.74 22 33
284 Southern Miss 76.5 +0.76 22 31
285 Army 76.5 +0.77 22 31
286 UAB 76.6 +0.78 21 36
287 Idaho 76.6 +0.78 21 31
288 Detroit Mercy 76.6 +0.79 21 31
289 Arizona State 76.8 +0.81 21 33
290 California 76.8 +0.82 20 33
291 UT Rio Grande Valley 76.8 +0.82 20 27
292 Samford 76.8 +0.83 20 31
293 Belmont 76.8 +0.83 20 32
294 Utah Tech 76.9 +0.83 19 31
295 The Citadel 76.9 +0.84 19 26
296 Coppin State 76.9 +0.84 19 29
297 North Carolina A&T 76.9 +0.84 18 31
298 UL Monroe 76.9 +0.85 18 30
299 Western Michigan 77.0 +0.86 18 31
300 Mercer 77.0 +0.87 18 31
301 Sam Houston 77.1 +0.88 17 29
302 Eastern Michigan 77.1 +0.89 17 31
303 Pepperdine 77.2 +0.90 17 34
304 Kentucky 77.2 +0.91 17 36
305 Pacific 77.2 +0.91 16 31
306 New Hampshire 77.2 +0.91 16 30
307 Ohio 77.3 +0.93 16 31
308 Pennsylvania 77.4 +0.94 15 27
309 UTSA 77.5 +0.96 15 29
310 Wright State 77.5 +0.98 15 31
311 Rutgers 77.6 +0.98 15 32
312 Temple 77.6 +0.99 14 31
313 Denver 77.7 +1.01 14 29
314 Syracuse 77.8 +1.02 14 33
315 Gardner-Webb 78.1 +1.10 13 31
316 William & Mary 78.5 +1.17 13 30
317 Fordham 78.5 +1.18 13 32
318 Washington State 78.6 +1.19 13 34
319 Delaware State 78.6 +1.20 12 26
320 Canisius 78.6 +1.21 12 31
321 Georgia State 78.7 +1.21 12 32
322 Cal State Fullerton 78.7 +1.22 12 30
323 Chicago State 78.7 +1.22 11 32
324 Cornell 78.7 +1.22 11 27
325 Delaware 78.7 +1.23 11 34
326 Charleston Southern 78.8 +1.25 10 30
327 North Carolina Central 78.8 +1.25 10 29
328 West Georgia 78.8 +1.25 10 30
329 Central Arkansas 79.4 +1.36 10 31
330 Maryland Eastern Shore 79.5 +1.39 9 27
331 Northern Illinois 79.5 +1.39 9 28
332 UNC Asheville 79.5 +1.40 9 28
333 IU Indianapolis 79.7 +1.43 9 29
334 Iowa 79.7 +1.44 8 33
335 Winthrop 79.8 +1.47 8 31
336 Alabama A&M 79.9 +1.48 8 29
337 San Diego 80.2 +1.53 7 32
338 UCF 80.4 +1.58 7 37
339 Columbia 80.6 +1.62 7 25
340 Green Bay 80.6 +1.62 7 31
341 UMBC 80.6 +1.63 6 29
342 Western Carolina 80.6 +1.63 6 27
343 Miami 80.6 +1.64 6 31
344 Fresno State 80.7 +1.65 6 32
345 Howard 80.7 +1.65 5 28
346 Toledo 81.1 +1.74 5 32
347 Portland 81.2 +1.75 5 30
348 Alabama 81.3 +1.77 4 37
349 Bellarmine 81.3 +1.78 4 29
350 Le Moyne 81.4 +1.80 4 30
351 Indiana State 81.5 +1.81 4 30
352 Buffalo 81.6 +1.83 3 29
353 Stetson 81.9 +1.90 3 30
354 Oral Roberts 82.0 +1.93 3 26
355 Prairie View A&M 82.2 +1.96 2 31
356 North Dakota 82.2 +1.96 2 30
357 Mississippi Valley State 82.3 +1.99 2 29
358 New Orleans 82.5 +2.02 2 31
359 Morgan State 82.8 +2.09 1 28
360 Cal Poly 83.4 +2.22 1 34
361 South Carolina Upstate 85.5 +2.68 1 29
362 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 85.7 +2.71 1 29
363 North Florida 85.7 +2.71 0 30
364 South Dakota 86.6 +2.90 0 30