Gaga googa ga ga googa ga ga goo ga ga "Night of the Thumpasaurus People" - Parliament

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.55 (team entering with the better value wins 54% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 12.3% max 36.4% mean 24.0% std 3.8% (n=364)

Team Rankings

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# Team Opponent Free Throw Rate z Pctl GP
1 Creighton 12.3% -3.04 100 36
2 Central Connecticut 12.9% -2.88 100 30
3 Lipscomb 14.8% -2.40 99 33
4 Butler 16.1% -2.06 99 35
5 UC Irvine 16.2% -2.03 99 38
6 Dartmouth 16.2% -2.02 99 26
7 Central Arkansas 16.4% -1.98 98 31
8 Portland 16.4% -1.97 98 30
9 Tennessee Tech 16.5% -1.95 98 30
10 App State 16.5% -1.94 98 29
11 Fresno State 16.9% -1.84 97 32
12 South Alabama 16.9% -1.83 97 30
13 Saint Louis 17.2% -1.78 97 32
14 Holy Cross 17.4% -1.71 96 30
15 UMass Lowell 17.6% -1.68 96 29
16 St. Bonaventure 17.8% -1.61 96 33
17 UL Monroe 17.8% -1.60 96 30
18 Elon 17.9% -1.59 95 31
19 Colgate 17.9% -1.58 95 32
20 Duke 18.2% -1.50 95 39
21 Columbia 18.6% -1.41 94 25
22 Saint Mary's 18.6% -1.40 94 34
23 Harvard 18.7% -1.38 94 26
24 Cincinnati 18.8% -1.36 94 35
25 Manhattan 18.8% -1.34 93 30
26 Rider 18.8% -1.34 93 33
27 Charleston 18.9% -1.33 93 32
28 Georgia State 18.9% -1.31 93 32
29 North Dakota State 19.0% -1.30 92 29
30 Nebraska 19.0% -1.30 92 35
31 Illinois 19.1% -1.27 92 35
32 Clemson 19.1% -1.27 91 34
33 Wichita State 19.1% -1.26 91 33
34 George Washington 19.1% -1.26 91 33
35 New Orleans 19.2% -1.25 91 31
36 Mount St. Mary's 19.2% -1.24 90 35
37 Liberty 19.2% -1.24 90 32
38 Maryland 19.2% -1.23 90 36
39 Jacksonville State 19.2% -1.23 90 33
40 Army 19.3% -1.23 89 31
41 Louisville 19.3% -1.21 89 35
42 UMBC 19.4% -1.19 89 29
43 Saint Joseph's 19.5% -1.18 88 35
44 Drexel 19.5% -1.17 88 32
45 Belmont 19.5% -1.16 88 32
46 Toledo 19.7% -1.13 88 32
47 Davidson 19.7% -1.12 87 32
48 North Alabama 19.7% -1.12 87 33
49 San José State 19.7% -1.12 87 33
50 Vermont 19.7% -1.10 87 31
51 Oregon 19.8% -1.10 86 35
52 Lafayette 19.8% -1.09 86 32
53 Northern Iowa 19.8% -1.09 86 32
54 Stony Brook 19.8% -1.08 85 31
55 VMI 19.9% -1.07 85 30
56 Iowa 19.9% -1.05 85 33
57 Pennsylvania 19.9% -1.05 85 27
58 Quinnipiac 20.0% -1.03 84 32
59 DePaul 20.0% -1.03 84 34
60 Wisconsin 20.2% -0.98 84 37
61 Stetson 20.3% -0.95 83 29
62 Georgia Tech 20.3% -0.95 83 34
63 Oakland 20.4% -0.92 83 33
64 Sacred Heart 20.4% -0.92 83 32
65 Pepperdine 20.5% -0.91 82 34
66 St. John's 20.6% -0.89 82 36
67 Kansas 20.6% -0.89 82 34
68 Kansas State 20.6% -0.89 82 32
69 Saint Francis 20.6% -0.88 81 31
70 UAB 20.6% -0.88 81 36
71 TCU 20.6% -0.87 81 31
72 Houston Christian 20.6% -0.87 80 30
73 UNC Wilmington 20.7% -0.87 80 33
74 Brown 20.7% -0.85 80 26
75 Michigan 20.8% -0.83 80 37
76 LSU 20.8% -0.83 79 32
77 La Salle 20.8% -0.82 79 32
78 Xavier 20.8% -0.81 79 34
79 Tennessee 20.9% -0.81 79 38
80 Maine 20.9% -0.80 78 32
81 Campbell 21.0% -0.78 78 30
82 Troy 21.0% -0.78 78 32
83 Villanova 21.0% -0.77 77 36
84 Queens University 21.0% -0.76 77 32
85 Northeastern 21.1% -0.74 77 32
86 Rutgers 21.2% -0.72 77 32
87 Florida Gulf Coast 21.2% -0.72 76 33
88 BYU 21.2% -0.71 76 35
89 Arkansas 21.3% -0.70 76 36
90 Penn State 21.3% -0.69 75 31
91 Gonzaga 21.3% -0.69 75 35
92 Furman 21.4% -0.68 75 32
93 Arizona 21.4% -0.68 75 37
94 Miami 21.4% -0.67 74 31
95 Indiana 21.5% -0.65 74 32
96 Merrimack 21.5% -0.65 74 33
97 Purdue 21.5% -0.63 74 36
98 Bryant 21.6% -0.62 73 33
99 Jackson State 21.6% -0.61 73 34
100 South Carolina 21.6% -0.61 73 32
101 Boise State 21.7% -0.60 72 36
102 Towson 21.7% -0.60 72 32
103 Northern Kentucky 21.7% -0.60 72 31
104 Virginia 21.7% -0.59 72 32
105 Iowa State 21.7% -0.58 71 35
106 Loyola Marymount 21.9% -0.54 71 31
107 Yale 21.9% -0.54 71 29
108 Cornell 21.9% -0.53 71 27
109 Robert Morris 22.0% -0.52 70 34
110 Kentucky 22.0% -0.52 70 36
111 Central Michigan 22.0% -0.51 70 27
112 Ball State 22.2% -0.46 69 28
113 Purdue Fort Wayne 22.2% -0.46 69 30
114 UT Rio Grande Valley 22.2% -0.45 69 27
115 Utah Valley 22.2% -0.45 69 32
116 Georgia 22.3% -0.43 68 33
117 Marquette 22.3% -0.43 68 34
118 UC San Diego 22.3% -0.43 68 33
119 Louisiana Tech 22.3% -0.42 67 29
120 George Mason 22.4% -0.42 67 35
121 Loyola Maryland 22.4% -0.40 67 30
122 Rhode Island 22.4% -0.40 67 30
123 Michigan State 22.5% -0.39 66 37
124 UIC 22.5% -0.38 66 29
125 North Florida 22.5% -0.37 66 30
126 Western Illinois 22.5% -0.37 66 28
127 Buffalo 22.5% -0.37 65 29
128 Southern Utah 22.6% -0.36 65 28
129 North Carolina 22.6% -0.36 65 37
130 Eastern Kentucky 22.6% -0.36 64 30
131 Santa Clara 22.6% -0.34 64 34
132 Georgetown 22.7% -0.34 64 34
133 Notre Dame 22.7% -0.34 64 33
134 Alcorn State 22.7% -0.33 63 31
135 Idaho State 22.7% -0.33 63 27
136 Colorado State 22.7% -0.33 63 36
137 North Carolina A&T 22.7% -0.32 63 31
138 South Dakota State 22.8% -0.31 62 29
139 UNLV 22.8% -0.30 62 33
140 California Baptist 22.9% -0.29 62 32
141 UCF 22.9% -0.29 61 37
142 McNeese 22.9% -0.28 61 33
143 Middle Tennessee 22.9% -0.28 61 32
144 Oregon State 23.0% -0.26 61 32
145 East Tennessee State 23.0% -0.24 60 30
146 Washington State 23.1% -0.23 60 34
147 Fairleigh Dickinson 23.1% -0.23 60 30
148 Binghamton 23.1% -0.22 60 29
149 Florida 23.1% -0.21 59 40
150 Charleston Southern 23.2% -0.20 59 30
151 East Carolina 23.2% -0.20 59 31
152 Stephen F. Austin 23.2% -0.19 58 28
153 SIU Edwardsville 23.3% -0.18 58 31
154 Western Michigan 23.3% -0.18 58 31
155 New Mexico 23.3% -0.17 58 34
156 New Hampshire 23.3% -0.17 57 30
157 Utah 23.3% -0.16 57 33
158 Grand Canyon 23.4% -0.15 57 33
159 Northwestern State 23.4% -0.14 56 30
160 Grambling 23.4% -0.14 56 31
161 Lamar 23.4% -0.14 56 30
162 Niagara 23.4% -0.14 56 30
163 Bethune-Cookman 23.5% -0.13 55 33
164 Dayton 23.5% -0.12 55 33
165 Mercer 23.5% -0.11 55 31
166 Alabama 23.5% -0.11 55 37
167 Siena 23.6% -0.11 54 32
168 Bowling Green 23.6% -0.11 54 29
169 Tulsa 23.6% -0.10 54 31
170 Chattanooga 23.6% -0.08 53 36
171 Syracuse 23.7% -0.08 53 33
172 Arizona State 23.7% -0.08 53 33
173 Montana 23.7% -0.07 53 32
174 Milwaukee 23.7% -0.06 52 30
175 American University 23.7% -0.06 52 33
176 Baylor 23.7% -0.06 52 34
177 Princeton 23.8% -0.05 52 28
178 Navy 23.8% -0.05 51 33
179 Providence 23.8% -0.04 51 32
180 Pittsburgh 23.8% -0.03 51 32
181 Miami (OH) 23.8% -0.03 50 32
182 Texas Tech 23.9% -0.03 50 37
183 Southern Illinois 23.9% -0.02 50 31
184 West Virginia 23.9% -0.02 50 32
185 Fairfield 23.9% -0.02 49 31
186 Boston University 23.9% -0.02 49 31
187 Canisius 23.9% -0.02 49 31
188 Akron 23.9% -0.02 48 33
189 UT Martin 23.9% -0.01 48 30
190 Tulane 23.9% -0.01 48 32
191 Marist 24.0% +0.01 48 30
192 Stonehill 24.0% +0.01 47 30
193 Illinois State 24.0% +0.01 47 35
194 Sam Houston 24.0% +0.01 47 29
195 Northern Arizona 24.1% +0.04 47 30
196 Virginia Tech 24.1% +0.04 46 32
197 Memphis 24.1% +0.04 46 35
198 James Madison 24.1% +0.05 46 29
199 Colorado 24.2% +0.05 45 35
200 SMU 24.2% +0.06 45 35
201 Southern Indiana 24.2% +0.06 45 28
202 Bucknell 24.3% +0.07 45 33
203 Wake Forest 24.3% +0.07 44 32
204 California 24.3% +0.08 44 33
205 Delaware 24.3% +0.08 44 34
206 Wright State 24.3% +0.09 44 31
207 Old Dominion 24.3% +0.09 43 33
208 The Citadel 24.3% +0.10 43 26
209 Green Bay 24.3% +0.10 43 31
210 Jacksonville 24.4% +0.10 42 31
211 Loyola Chicago 24.4% +0.12 42 36
212 Lindenwood 24.5% +0.14 42 30
213 SE Louisiana 24.5% +0.14 42 30
214 Minnesota 24.5% +0.15 41 32
215 NC State 24.6% +0.16 41 31
216 Houston 24.6% +0.16 41 40
217 Mississippi State 24.6% +0.16 40 34
218 Cal Poly 24.6% +0.16 40 34
219 Montana State 24.6% +0.17 40 32
220 UNC Greensboro 24.6% +0.17 40 29
221 North Dakota 24.6% +0.18 39 30
222 Florida Atlantic 24.7% +0.18 39 33
223 Idaho 24.7% +0.19 39 31
224 Texas Southern 24.8% +0.21 39 29
225 UC Santa Barbara 24.8% +0.22 38 32
226 Air Force 24.8% +0.22 38 32
227 UC Riverside 24.8% +0.23 38 32
228 Valparaiso 25.0% +0.27 37 32
229 Hawai'i 25.0% +0.28 37 29
230 Lehigh 25.2% +0.31 37 28
231 Wofford 25.2% +0.31 37 33
232 UT Arlington 25.2% +0.32 36 29
233 Youngstown State 25.2% +0.33 36 32
234 South Dakota 25.2% +0.33 36 30
235 Southern Miss 25.3% +0.34 36 29
236 East Texas A&M 25.3% +0.34 35 31
237 Western Carolina 25.3% +0.35 35 27
238 Norfolk State 25.4% +0.38 35 32
239 UCLA 25.5% +0.40 34 34
240 Bradley 25.5% +0.40 34 36
241 Charlotte 25.5% +0.41 34 32
242 High Point 25.5% +0.41 34 33
243 Nicholls 25.5% +0.41 33 30
244 Evansville 25.5% +0.41 33 31
245 Incarnate Word 25.6% +0.42 33 32
246 Portland State 25.6% +0.43 33 29
247 William & Mary 25.6% +0.43 32 30
248 Rice 25.6% +0.43 32 31
249 Cal State Fullerton 25.6% +0.44 32 30
250 Ohio 25.7% +0.44 31 31
251 Kansas City 25.7% +0.45 31 29
252 Temple 25.7% +0.46 31 31
253 Oklahoma State 25.8% +0.47 31 35
254 San Francisco 25.8% +0.47 30 34
255 Utah State 25.8% +0.47 30 33
256 UAlbany 25.9% +0.50 30 31
257 USC 25.9% +0.51 29 35
258 Oklahoma 26.0% +0.52 29 34
259 Long Beach State 26.0% +0.53 29 30
260 Arkansas State 26.0% +0.54 29 35
261 Morehead State 26.1% +0.55 28 29
262 West Georgia 26.1% +0.55 28 30
263 Mississippi Valley State 26.1% +0.56 28 29
264 IU Indianapolis 26.2% +0.60 28 29
265 Gardner-Webb 26.3% +0.60 27 31
266 VCU 26.3% +0.60 27 34
267 Austin Peay 26.3% +0.61 27 31
268 Longwood 26.3% +0.61 26 29
269 Northern Colorado 26.3% +0.61 26 32
270 Murray State 26.3% +0.61 26 32
271 Monmouth 26.3% +0.62 26 33
272 Stanford 26.4% +0.63 25 35
273 San Diego State 26.4% +0.64 25 30
274 Massachusetts 26.4% +0.64 25 31
275 Iona 26.4% +0.65 25 34
276 Seattle U 26.5% +0.66 24 30
277 NJIT 26.5% +0.67 24 30
278 Hofstra 26.6% +0.68 24 31
279 Bellarmine 26.6% +0.68 23 29
280 Boston College 26.6% +0.68 23 31
281 Chicago State 26.7% +0.70 23 32
282 Coppin State 26.7% +0.71 23 29
283 Omaha 26.7% +0.73 22 33
284 Richmond 26.9% +0.76 22 30
285 Missouri 26.9% +0.76 22 34
286 South Florida 26.9% +0.76 21 31
287 Winthrop 26.9% +0.77 21 31
288 Morgan State 26.9% +0.77 21 28
289 Drake 26.9% +0.77 21 33
290 Tennessee State 26.9% +0.78 20 30
291 Alabama State 27.0% +0.79 20 35
292 Le Moyne 27.0% +0.80 20 30
293 Coastal Carolina 27.0% +0.80 20 30
294 St. Thomas-Minnesota 27.1% +0.81 19 31
295 Little Rock 27.1% +0.82 19 31
296 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 27.2% +0.84 19 30
297 Washington 27.2% +0.85 18 30
298 Texas 27.2% +0.85 18 35
299 Cleveland State 27.3% +0.86 18 33
300 Mercyhurst 27.3% +0.86 18 28
301 Missouri State 27.3% +0.87 17 30
302 Nevada 27.3% +0.87 17 33
303 Florida International 27.4% +0.88 17 31
304 Weber State 27.4% +0.89 17 31
305 Florida State 27.4% +0.89 16 32
306 Texas A&M 27.4% +0.89 16 34
307 Northwestern 27.4% +0.91 16 33
308 Saint Peter's 27.5% +0.92 15 27
309 North Texas 27.5% +0.94 15 34
310 New Mexico State 27.6% +0.95 15 29
311 Vanderbilt 27.7% +0.98 15 33
312 Indiana State 27.7% +0.98 14 30
313 Ole Miss 27.8% +1.01 14 36
314 Radford 27.9% +1.02 14 31
315 Presbyterian 28.0% +1.05 13 30
316 Fordham 28.0% +1.05 13 32
317 Kent State 28.1% +1.08 13 34
318 Sacramento State 28.1% +1.09 13 29
319 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 28.2% +1.10 12 29
320 UNC Asheville 28.2% +1.10 12 28
321 Eastern Illinois 28.2% +1.11 12 28
322 Auburn 28.2% +1.12 12 38
323 Prairie View A&M 28.3% +1.13 11 31
324 Florida A&M 28.5% +1.18 11 28
325 Duquesne 28.5% +1.19 11 31
326 South Carolina Upstate 28.5% +1.19 10 29
327 UTEP 28.5% +1.20 10 30
328 Pacific 28.6% +1.21 10 31
329 Detroit Mercy 28.6% +1.22 10 31
330 Eastern Michigan 28.7% +1.23 9 31
331 Seton Hall 28.8% +1.25 9 32
332 Maryland Eastern Shore 29.0% +1.30 9 27
333 Marshall 29.0% +1.30 9 31
334 Wagner 29.0% +1.32 8 26
335 Utah Tech 29.2% +1.36 8 31
336 Eastern Washington 29.2% +1.37 8 30
337 Wyoming 29.5% +1.43 7 31
338 Oral Roberts 29.5% +1.44 7 26
339 Southern 29.5% +1.45 7 29
340 Kennesaw State 29.7% +1.49 7 30
341 Delaware State 29.7% +1.50 6 26
342 UC Davis 29.7% +1.51 6 30
343 Samford 29.8% +1.51 6 31
344 UConn 29.9% +1.55 6 35
345 Texas State 29.9% +1.56 5 30
346 Ohio State 30.0% +1.57 5 32
347 Western Kentucky 30.1% +1.60 5 30
348 North Carolina Central 30.4% +1.69 4 29
349 Georgia Southern 30.8% +1.78 4 32
350 Southeast Missouri State 31.0% +1.84 4 30
351 Hampton 31.3% +1.92 4 30
352 Northern Illinois 31.5% +1.96 3 28
353 Howard 31.6% +1.99 3 28
354 UTSA 32.0% +2.09 3 29
355 Louisiana 32.0% +2.10 2 32
356 Long Island University 32.7% +2.29 2 31
357 South Carolina State 32.8% +2.30 2 30
358 Alabama A&M 32.8% +2.30 2 29
359 San Diego 33.8% +2.57 1 32
360 Cal State Northridge 34.5% +2.76 1 31
361 Cal State Bakersfield 35.1% +2.92 1 31
362 Tarleton State 35.5% +3.01 1 29
363 Abilene Christian 35.6% +3.03 0 29
364 Denver 36.4% +3.26 0 29