Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
← Four Factors

Opponent Effective Field Goal Percentage

Opponent eFG%; a defense's shot-quality suppression.

(opponent FGM + 0.5×opponent 3PM) ÷ opponent FGA — effective field goal percentage computed on what opponents shot against this team.

Lower is better  ·  league avg 51.0%  ·  as of 2025-04-08

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.66 (team entering with the better value wins 62% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 44.4% max 58.1% mean 51.0% std 2.6% (n=364)

Team Rankings

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# Team Opponent Effective Field Goal Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Duke 44.4% -2.50 100 39
2 VCU 44.8% -2.35 100 34
3 Houston 44.8% -2.34 99 40
4 Tennessee 45.0% -2.28 99 38
5 Florida 45.5% -2.10 99 40
6 George Mason 45.6% -2.03 99 35
7 UC Irvine 45.8% -1.96 98 38
8 St. John's 45.9% -1.92 98 36
9 Hofstra 45.9% -1.92 98 31
10 San Diego State 45.9% -1.91 98 30
11 Arkansas State 46.1% -1.87 97 35
12 Auburn 46.1% -1.87 97 38
13 App State 46.1% -1.87 97 29
14 Michigan 46.1% -1.85 96 37
15 Michigan State 46.2% -1.82 96 37
16 Kansas 46.3% -1.79 96 34
17 West Virginia 46.3% -1.77 96 32
18 Liberty 46.5% -1.71 95 32
19 Saint Mary's 46.5% -1.68 95 34
20 Little Rock 46.7% -1.63 95 31
21 New Mexico State 46.9% -1.56 94 29
22 Saint Joseph's 46.9% -1.56 94 35
23 Marist 46.9% -1.55 94 30
24 Merrimack 46.9% -1.54 94 33
25 Maryland 47.1% -1.46 93 36
26 Creighton 47.2% -1.44 93 36
27 Wake Forest 47.2% -1.43 93 32
28 North Texas 47.3% -1.40 93 34
29 Grand Canyon 47.3% -1.40 92 33
30 Saint Peter's 47.3% -1.39 92 27
31 Western Kentucky 47.4% -1.37 92 30
32 Illinois 47.4% -1.34 91 35
33 Texas Southern 47.4% -1.34 91 29
34 Gonzaga 47.5% -1.33 91 35
35 Troy 47.5% -1.31 91 32
36 SIU Edwardsville 47.6% -1.29 90 31
37 Southeast Missouri State 47.6% -1.29 90 30
38 Arkansas 47.6% -1.29 90 36
39 Utah Valley 47.6% -1.29 90 32
40 Lamar 47.6% -1.29 89 30
41 Central Connecticut 47.7% -1.25 89 30
42 McNeese 47.7% -1.24 89 33
43 Bradley 47.7% -1.24 88 36
44 Georgia 47.7% -1.23 88 33
45 UNC Greensboro 47.8% -1.22 88 29
46 UC San Diego 47.8% -1.22 88 33
47 Rice 47.8% -1.21 87 31
48 Louisiana Tech 47.8% -1.20 87 29
49 Bryant 47.8% -1.20 87 33
50 Alabama 47.8% -1.20 87 37
51 Drexel 47.8% -1.19 86 32
52 Long Island University 48.0% -1.13 86 31
53 Elon 48.0% -1.12 86 31
54 UConn 48.1% -1.10 85 35
55 Nicholls 48.1% -1.09 85 30
56 Wisconsin 48.1% -1.08 85 37
57 SMU 48.1% -1.08 85 35
58 Texas Tech 48.1% -1.07 84 37
59 Texas A&M 48.3% -1.01 84 34
60 LSU 48.3% -1.01 84 32
61 Kennesaw State 48.3% -0.99 83 30
62 Kent State 48.4% -0.97 83 34
63 Colorado State 48.5% -0.95 83 36
64 South Alabama 48.5% -0.93 83 30
65 San Francisco 48.5% -0.93 82 34
66 Florida State 48.5% -0.93 82 32
67 Loyola Marymount 48.5% -0.92 82 31
68 Memphis 48.6% -0.91 82 35
69 Ohio State 48.6% -0.91 81 32
70 Coastal Carolina 48.6% -0.89 81 30
71 Mount St. Mary's 48.7% -0.87 81 35
72 George Washington 48.7% -0.86 80 33
73 Bethune-Cookman 48.8% -0.84 80 33
74 Loyola Chicago 48.8% -0.84 80 36
75 Montana State 48.8% -0.84 80 32
76 Cincinnati 48.8% -0.83 79 35
77 Vermont 48.8% -0.83 79 31
78 Kansas State 48.8% -0.82 79 32
79 Youngstown State 48.8% -0.82 79 32
80 Tennessee State 48.8% -0.82 78 30
81 Clemson 48.8% -0.81 78 34
82 Texas 48.9% -0.80 78 35
83 Middle Tennessee 48.9% -0.79 77 32
84 Iowa State 48.9% -0.78 77 35
85 Oregon 48.9% -0.78 77 35
86 Arizona 48.9% -0.78 77 37
87 UC Santa Barbara 48.9% -0.78 76 32
88 Utah 49.0% -0.75 76 33
89 Tulane 49.0% -0.73 76 32
90 Yale 49.1% -0.71 75 29
91 Lipscomb 49.1% -0.71 75 33
92 High Point 49.1% -0.71 75 33
93 Dartmouth 49.1% -0.70 75 26
94 Saint Louis 49.2% -0.68 74 32
95 New Mexico 49.2% -0.67 74 34
96 Southern 49.2% -0.67 74 29
97 Stephen F. Austin 49.2% -0.66 74 28
98 Jacksonville State 49.2% -0.66 73 33
99 Georgia Tech 49.3% -0.65 73 34
100 Brown 49.3% -0.64 73 26
101 Marshall 49.3% -0.64 72 31
102 Rhode Island 49.3% -0.63 72 30
103 UNLV 49.3% -0.62 72 33
104 Grambling 49.3% -0.61 72 31
105 Hawai'i 49.5% -0.57 71 29
106 Quinnipiac 49.5% -0.56 71 32
107 Santa Clara 49.5% -0.56 71 34
108 Providence 49.5% -0.56 71 32
109 North Carolina 49.5% -0.54 70 37
110 Furman 49.6% -0.53 70 32
111 Tennessee Tech 49.6% -0.50 70 30
112 Tulsa 49.7% -0.50 69 31
113 Louisville 49.7% -0.50 69 35
114 Georgetown 49.7% -0.48 69 34
115 South Florida 49.7% -0.47 69 31
116 Binghamton 49.7% -0.46 68 29
117 Massachusetts 49.8% -0.45 68 31
118 Indiana 49.8% -0.45 68 32
119 Northwestern State 49.8% -0.44 67 30
120 Southern Utah 49.9% -0.41 67 28
121 Texas State 49.9% -0.41 67 30
122 Northwestern 49.9% -0.40 67 33
123 Marquette 49.9% -0.40 66 34
124 Colorado 49.9% -0.39 66 35
125 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 49.9% -0.39 66 30
126 Wichita State 50.0% -0.38 66 33
127 Norfolk State 50.0% -0.38 65 32
128 NJIT 50.0% -0.37 65 30
129 Portland State 50.0% -0.37 65 29
130 St. Bonaventure 50.0% -0.37 64 33
131 UC Davis 50.0% -0.37 64 30
132 Georgia Southern 50.1% -0.34 64 32
133 UCLA 50.1% -0.34 64 34
134 South Carolina State 50.1% -0.34 63 30
135 Akron 50.1% -0.34 63 33
136 Florida Atlantic 50.1% -0.34 63 33
137 Minnesota 50.1% -0.33 63 32
138 Butler 50.1% -0.33 62 35
139 Southern Miss 50.1% -0.32 62 29
140 Charleston 50.1% -0.32 62 32
141 California Baptist 50.1% -0.31 61 32
142 Cal State Northridge 50.1% -0.31 61 31
143 Duquesne 50.2% -0.31 61 31
144 Florida Gulf Coast 50.2% -0.31 61 33
145 Evansville 50.2% -0.30 60 31
146 Northeastern 50.3% -0.26 60 32
147 East Tennessee State 50.3% -0.26 60 30
148 Morehead State 50.3% -0.26 60 29
149 Bucknell 50.3% -0.26 59 33
150 Kentucky 50.3% -0.25 59 36
151 Lafayette 50.4% -0.23 59 32
152 Boise State 50.4% -0.22 58 36
153 Wagner 50.4% -0.21 58 26
154 UT Arlington 50.4% -0.21 58 29
155 North Alabama 50.4% -0.21 58 33
156 Maine 50.4% -0.20 57 32
157 Stanford 50.5% -0.19 57 35
158 Ole Miss 50.5% -0.18 57 36
159 Nebraska 50.5% -0.17 56 35
160 Fairleigh Dickinson 50.5% -0.16 56 30
161 Temple 50.6% -0.14 56 31
162 Jackson State 50.6% -0.13 56 34
163 Alabama State 50.7% -0.11 55 35
164 Monmouth 50.7% -0.10 55 33
165 Lehigh 50.7% -0.09 55 28
166 Robert Morris 50.7% -0.09 55 34
167 Lindenwood 50.7% -0.09 54 30
168 Arizona State 50.7% -0.08 54 33
169 Mercer 50.8% -0.06 54 31
170 UNC Wilmington 50.8% -0.05 53 33
171 Towson 50.8% -0.05 53 32
172 Florida A&M 50.8% -0.05 53 28
173 Virginia 50.8% -0.05 53 32
174 Stonehill 50.9% -0.04 52 30
175 Manhattan 50.9% -0.03 52 30
176 South Dakota State 50.9% -0.03 52 29
177 Missouri 50.9% -0.02 52 34
178 Oklahoma 51.0% +0.01 51 34
179 NC State 51.0% +0.01 51 31
180 Oregon State 51.0% +0.01 51 32
181 Georgia State 51.0% +0.02 50 32
182 Xavier 51.0% +0.02 50 34
183 Wyoming 51.0% +0.02 50 31
184 Eastern Illinois 51.0% +0.03 50 28
185 Radford 51.0% +0.03 49 31
186 Villanova 51.1% +0.04 49 36
187 Pittsburgh 51.1% +0.04 49 32
188 Western Illinois 51.1% +0.04 48 28
189 UCF 51.1% +0.04 48 37
190 Jacksonville 51.1% +0.05 48 31
191 Western Carolina 51.1% +0.06 48 27
192 Dayton 51.1% +0.06 47 33
193 James Madison 51.1% +0.07 47 29
194 UAB 51.2% +0.08 47 36
195 TCU 51.2% +0.08 47 31
196 Cleveland State 51.2% +0.09 46 33
197 Old Dominion 51.2% +0.09 46 33
198 Saint Francis 51.2% +0.09 46 31
199 Murray State 51.2% +0.09 45 32
200 Seattle U 51.2% +0.09 45 30
201 Detroit Mercy 51.2% +0.10 45 31
202 Washington State 51.2% +0.10 45 34
203 Kansas City 51.2% +0.10 44 29
204 Miami (OH) 51.3% +0.14 44 32
205 Nevada 51.3% +0.14 44 33
206 Louisiana 51.3% +0.15 44 32
207 North Dakota State 51.4% +0.15 43 29
208 SE Louisiana 51.4% +0.15 43 30
209 UT Rio Grande Valley 51.4% +0.15 43 27
210 Notre Dame 51.4% +0.16 42 33
211 Abilene Christian 51.4% +0.17 42 29
212 Drake 51.4% +0.18 42 33
213 Winthrop 51.4% +0.18 42 31
214 Northern Iowa 51.4% +0.18 41 32
215 Oakland 51.4% +0.19 41 33
216 South Carolina 51.5% +0.19 41 32
217 North Carolina A&T 51.5% +0.20 40 31
218 Milwaukee 51.5% +0.22 40 30
219 DePaul 51.6% +0.23 40 34
220 UMass Lowell 51.6% +0.23 40 29
221 BYU 51.6% +0.23 39 35
222 UIC 51.6% +0.24 39 29
223 Florida International 51.6% +0.24 39 31
224 Ball State 51.6% +0.26 39 28
225 Siena 51.7% +0.28 38 32
226 Iona 51.7% +0.28 38 34
227 East Carolina 51.7% +0.29 38 31
228 Chattanooga 51.8% +0.31 37 36
229 Mississippi State 51.8% +0.31 37 34
230 Sacred Heart 51.8% +0.32 37 32
231 Purdue 51.8% +0.32 37 36
232 Southern Indiana 51.8% +0.33 36 28
233 USC 51.9% +0.34 36 35
234 Penn State 51.9% +0.35 36 31
235 Boston College 51.9% +0.35 36 31
236 Queens University 51.9% +0.36 35 32
237 Incarnate Word 51.9% +0.36 35 32
238 Utah State 51.9% +0.37 35 33
239 Wofford 51.9% +0.37 34 33
240 San José State 52.0% +0.39 34 33
241 Gardner-Webb 52.0% +0.40 34 31
242 Baylor 52.0% +0.41 34 34
243 Tarleton State 52.1% +0.42 33 29
244 UC Riverside 52.2% +0.46 33 32
245 Cornell 52.2% +0.46 33 27
246 Harvard 52.2% +0.48 33 26
247 Delaware 52.2% +0.49 32 34
248 UT Martin 52.3% +0.49 32 30
249 Virginia Tech 52.3% +0.49 32 32
250 Howard 52.3% +0.51 31 28
251 Northern Colorado 52.3% +0.51 31 32
252 Ohio 52.3% +0.51 31 31
253 Davidson 52.3% +0.53 31 32
254 Boston University 52.4% +0.54 30 31
255 UTEP 52.4% +0.54 30 30
256 Campbell 52.4% +0.56 30 30
257 Morgan State 52.4% +0.57 29 28
258 Navy 52.5% +0.58 29 33
259 American University 52.5% +0.59 29 33
260 St. Thomas-Minnesota 52.5% +0.59 29 31
261 Montana 52.5% +0.59 28 32
262 Bowling Green 52.5% +0.60 28 29
263 Pepperdine 52.5% +0.60 28 34
264 Northern Kentucky 52.5% +0.60 28 31
265 Eastern Kentucky 52.6% +0.61 27 30
266 La Salle 52.6% +0.61 27 32
267 Southern Illinois 52.6% +0.61 27 31
268 Hampton 52.6% +0.61 26 30
269 Houston Christian 52.6% +0.62 26 30
270 Richmond 52.7% +0.68 26 30
271 Vanderbilt 52.7% +0.68 26 33
272 Stetson 52.8% +0.69 25 29
273 Loyola Maryland 52.8% +0.69 25 30
274 Rutgers 52.8% +0.70 25 32
275 Fordham 52.8% +0.71 25 32
276 Syracuse 52.9% +0.74 24 33
277 Presbyterian 52.9% +0.74 24 30
278 Pennsylvania 53.0% +0.76 24 27
279 Alcorn State 53.0% +0.77 23 31
280 California 53.0% +0.78 23 33
281 Oklahoma State 53.0% +0.78 23 35
282 Utah Tech 53.0% +0.79 23 31
283 Niagara 53.0% +0.79 22 30
284 Washington 53.0% +0.79 22 30
285 Illinois State 53.1% +0.81 22 35
286 Central Michigan 53.1% +0.81 21 27
287 Rider 53.1% +0.82 21 33
288 Sam Houston 53.1% +0.83 21 29
289 Omaha 53.2% +0.85 21 33
290 Wright State 53.2% +0.86 20 31
291 Pacific 53.2% +0.86 20 31
292 Northern Illinois 53.2% +0.86 20 28
293 Cal Poly 53.2% +0.87 20 34
294 Purdue Fort Wayne 53.3% +0.88 19 30
295 Colgate 53.3% +0.89 19 32
296 UTSA 53.3% +0.90 19 29
297 Charleston Southern 53.4% +0.92 18 30
298 UNC Asheville 53.4% +0.93 18 28
299 Weber State 53.4% +0.93 18 31
300 Samford 53.4% +0.93 18 31
301 Princeton 53.4% +0.93 17 28
302 Long Beach State 53.4% +0.94 17 30
303 William & Mary 53.5% +0.95 17 30
304 Holy Cross 53.5% +0.96 17 30
305 UL Monroe 53.6% +1.02 16 30
306 Fairfield 53.7% +1.03 16 31
307 Eastern Michigan 53.7% +1.03 16 31
308 Army 53.7% +1.04 15 31
309 Valparaiso 53.7% +1.05 15 32
310 Northern Arizona 53.7% +1.05 15 30
311 Belmont 53.7% +1.06 15 32
312 Austin Peay 53.8% +1.07 14 31
313 Delaware State 53.8% +1.08 14 26
314 East Texas A&M 53.8% +1.10 14 31
315 San Diego 54.0% +1.14 13 32
316 Fresno State 54.0% +1.14 13 32
317 Idaho 54.0% +1.17 13 31
318 UMBC 54.1% +1.18 13 29
319 Idaho State 54.1% +1.18 12 27
320 North Florida 54.1% +1.19 12 30
321 VMI 54.2% +1.22 12 30
322 Charlotte 54.2% +1.24 12 32
323 Buffalo 54.2% +1.25 11 29
324 Cal State Bakersfield 54.3% +1.25 11 31
325 Cal State Fullerton 54.3% +1.26 11 30
326 Indiana State 54.3% +1.26 10 30
327 Alabama A&M 54.3% +1.27 10 29
328 Denver 54.3% +1.28 10 29
329 New Hampshire 54.4% +1.29 10 30
330 Iowa 54.4% +1.32 9 33
331 Eastern Washington 54.4% +1.32 9 30
332 The Citadel 54.5% +1.34 9 26
333 Western Michigan 54.5% +1.34 9 31
334 Air Force 54.6% +1.40 8 32
335 Seton Hall 54.6% +1.40 8 32
336 Portland 54.6% +1.40 8 30
337 Missouri State 54.7% +1.41 7 30
338 Le Moyne 54.7% +1.41 7 30
339 North Carolina Central 54.8% +1.45 7 29
340 Green Bay 54.8% +1.46 7 31
341 South Dakota 54.8% +1.46 6 30
342 Chicago State 54.9% +1.49 6 32
343 UAlbany 54.9% +1.51 6 31
344 New Orleans 54.9% +1.51 6 31
345 Oral Roberts 55.0% +1.53 5 26
346 Mercyhurst 55.0% +1.55 5 28
347 Sacramento State 55.1% +1.56 5 29
348 Maryland Eastern Shore 55.3% +1.67 4 27
349 Coppin State 55.6% +1.75 4 29
350 Longwood 55.9% +1.89 4 29
351 Stony Brook 56.0% +1.93 4 31
352 South Carolina Upstate 56.1% +1.95 3 29
353 West Georgia 56.1% +1.96 3 30
354 Prairie View A&M 56.2% +2.01 3 31
355 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 56.3% +2.03 2 29
356 Columbia 56.4% +2.05 2 25
357 Toledo 56.4% +2.08 2 32
358 North Dakota 56.5% +2.12 2 30
359 Central Arkansas 56.8% +2.23 1 31
360 Canisius 56.9% +2.26 1 31
361 IU Indianapolis 57.0% +2.32 1 29
362 Miami 57.4% +2.44 1 31
363 Mississippi Valley State 57.9% +2.65 0 29
364 Bellarmine 58.1% +2.71 0 29