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← Scoring

Scoring Volatility

How much a team's game margins swing — the standard deviation of margin.

Sample standard deviation of per-game scoring margin. Low volatility means consistent performances; high volatility means blowouts mixed with duds, which makes a team's record less predictive.

Lower is better  ·  league avg 14.1  ·  as of 2025-04-08

Does it predict winners?

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 7.6 max 23.0 mean 14.1 std 2.4 (n=364)

Team Rankings

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# Team Scoring Volatility z Pctl GP
1 Drake 7.6 -2.68 100 33
2 Saint Peter's 8.4 -2.35 100 27
3 Jacksonville State 8.7 -2.26 99 33
4 Marist 9.2 -2.02 99 30
5 Drexel 9.6 -1.86 99 32
6 Illinois State 9.8 -1.78 99 35
7 Belmont 9.8 -1.78 98 32
8 Sacramento State 9.9 -1.73 98 29
9 Memphis 10.1 -1.68 98 35
10 North Carolina A&T 10.3 -1.56 98 31
11 Central Connecticut 10.4 -1.55 97 30
12 Manhattan 10.4 -1.54 97 30
13 Presbyterian 10.4 -1.53 97 30
14 North Texas 10.5 -1.51 96 34
15 Northeastern 10.5 -1.49 96 32
16 Towson 10.5 -1.49 96 32
17 Charlotte 10.5 -1.48 96 32
18 St. John's 10.6 -1.44 95 36
19 California Baptist 10.6 -1.44 95 32
20 Clemson 10.7 -1.40 95 34
21 Middle Tennessee 10.7 -1.40 94 32
22 Florida International 10.7 -1.39 94 31
23 Northern Arizona 10.8 -1.38 94 30
24 East Carolina 10.8 -1.38 94 31
25 Missouri State 10.8 -1.38 93 30
26 Oral Roberts 10.9 -1.34 93 26
27 Eastern Washington 10.9 -1.34 93 30
28 North Carolina Central 10.9 -1.33 93 29
29 Kennesaw State 11.0 -1.30 92 30
30 Portland State 11.0 -1.30 92 29
31 Temple 11.0 -1.28 92 31
32 South Carolina Upstate 11.2 -1.23 91 29
33 Duquesne 11.2 -1.22 91 31
34 Chattanooga 11.2 -1.22 91 36
35 West Georgia 11.2 -1.21 91 30
36 Southern Indiana 11.2 -1.19 90 28
37 Utah Tech 11.3 -1.19 90 31
38 Texas State 11.3 -1.18 90 30
39 UNC Wilmington 11.3 -1.17 90 33
40 Eastern Michigan 11.3 -1.15 89 31
41 UTSA 11.4 -1.15 89 29
42 Holy Cross 11.4 -1.14 89 30
43 SE Louisiana 11.4 -1.14 88 30
44 Charleston Southern 11.4 -1.13 88 30
45 Rice 11.4 -1.13 88 31
46 Wagner 11.5 -1.10 88 26
47 Fresno State 11.5 -1.10 87 32
48 Stephen F. Austin 11.5 -1.08 87 28
49 UT Arlington 11.5 -1.08 87 29
50 Michigan State 11.6 -1.03 87 37
51 UAlbany 11.6 -1.03 86 31
52 Tennessee State 11.6 -1.03 86 30
53 Navy 11.6 -1.03 86 33
54 Tennessee Tech 11.6 -1.03 85 30
55 St. Thomas-Minnesota 11.7 -0.99 85 31
56 Denver 11.8 -0.96 85 29
57 East Tennessee State 11.8 -0.96 85 30
58 South Florida 11.8 -0.96 84 31
59 New Mexico 11.8 -0.96 84 34
60 Kansas City 11.8 -0.95 84 29
61 Green Bay 11.8 -0.94 83 31
62 UC Irvine 11.8 -0.94 83 38
63 Niagara 11.9 -0.94 83 30
64 East Texas A&M 11.9 -0.93 83 31
65 Valparaiso 11.9 -0.93 82 32
66 Dayton 11.9 -0.92 82 33
67 Western Illinois 12.0 -0.88 82 28
68 Fairfield 12.1 -0.86 82 31
69 Rutgers 12.1 -0.85 81 32
70 Siena 12.1 -0.85 81 32
71 James Madison 12.1 -0.83 81 30
72 Minnesota 12.1 -0.83 80 32
73 Murray State 12.1 -0.82 80 32
74 Idaho 12.2 -0.81 80 31
75 Ball State 12.2 -0.81 80 28
76 Incarnate Word 12.2 -0.78 79 32
77 Florida Gulf Coast 12.2 -0.78 79 33
78 Detroit Mercy 12.2 -0.78 79 31
79 Merrimack 12.3 -0.77 79 33
80 Delaware 12.3 -0.76 78 34
81 Wisconsin 12.3 -0.75 78 37
82 Loyola Maryland 12.3 -0.74 78 30
83 UNC Greensboro 12.3 -0.74 77 29
84 High Point 12.4 -0.73 77 33
85 Saint Joseph's 12.4 -0.73 77 35
86 UTEP 12.4 -0.73 77 30
87 South Alabama 12.4 -0.72 76 30
88 Harvard 12.4 -0.72 76 26
89 Milwaukee 12.5 -0.69 76 30
90 Le Moyne 12.5 -0.68 75 30
91 Weber State 12.5 -0.68 75 31
92 UIC 12.5 -0.67 75 29
93 UAB 12.5 -0.67 75 36
94 Southern Miss 12.5 -0.67 74 31
95 Bowling Green 12.5 -0.66 74 30
96 North Dakota 12.5 -0.66 74 30
97 UNLV 12.5 -0.66 74 33
98 Marshall 12.5 -0.65 73 31
99 Saint Mary's 12.6 -0.65 73 34
100 Richmond 12.6 -0.64 73 30
101 Seton Hall 12.6 -0.63 72 32
102 Northwestern 12.6 -0.63 72 33
103 UT Martin 12.6 -0.63 72 30
104 McNeese 12.6 -0.63 72 33
105 Binghamton 12.6 -0.62 71 29
106 Idaho State 12.6 -0.62 71 27
107 Arkansas State 12.7 -0.61 71 35
108 VCU 12.7 -0.61 71 34
109 Central Arkansas 12.7 -0.61 70 31
110 Quinnipiac 12.7 -0.59 70 32
111 California 12.7 -0.59 70 33
112 NJIT 12.7 -0.59 69 30
113 UL Monroe 12.7 -0.57 69 30
114 San Diego 12.8 -0.56 69 32
115 Northern Colorado 12.8 -0.55 69 32
116 Elon 12.8 -0.55 68 31
117 Syracuse 12.8 -0.54 68 33
118 South Dakota 12.8 -0.53 68 30
119 Wake Forest 12.8 -0.53 67 32
120 Lindenwood 12.9 -0.52 67 30
121 Louisiana Tech 12.9 -0.52 67 29
122 Rider 12.9 -0.51 67 33
123 Mercer 12.9 -0.50 66 31
124 La Salle 12.9 -0.50 66 32
125 Northern Kentucky 12.9 -0.49 66 31
126 Northwestern State 12.9 -0.49 66 30
127 Nicholls 13.0 -0.49 65 30
128 Liberty 13.0 -0.49 65 32
129 Wichita State 13.0 -0.48 65 33
130 Youngstown State 13.0 -0.48 64 32
131 St. Bonaventure 13.0 -0.45 64 33
132 App State 13.1 -0.43 64 29
133 Bellarmine 13.1 -0.42 64 29
134 Louisiana 13.1 -0.42 63 32
135 Longwood 13.1 -0.41 63 29
136 Long Island University 13.1 -0.41 63 31
137 Coastal Carolina 13.2 -0.40 63 30
138 Houston Christian 13.2 -0.39 62 30
139 Grambling 13.2 -0.38 62 31
140 Norfolk State 13.2 -0.37 62 32
141 Yale 13.3 -0.36 61 29
142 Princeton 13.3 -0.36 61 28
143 Notre Dame 13.3 -0.35 61 33
144 Charleston 13.3 -0.34 61 32
145 Ohio 13.3 -0.34 60 31
146 Bethune-Cookman 13.3 -0.34 60 33
147 Bucknell 13.3 -0.33 60 33
148 Hampton 13.3 -0.33 60 30
149 Delaware State 13.3 -0.33 59 26
150 Miami (OH) 13.4 -0.31 59 32
151 Saint Louis 13.4 -0.31 59 32
152 Army 13.4 -0.31 58 31
153 Georgia Southern 13.4 -0.30 58 32
154 Eastern Kentucky 13.4 -0.29 58 30
155 San Diego State 13.4 -0.29 58 30
156 Troy 13.4 -0.29 57 32
157 Sacred Heart 13.5 -0.27 57 32
158 Fordham 13.5 -0.26 57 32
159 Florida 13.5 -0.25 56 40
160 Stony Brook 13.5 -0.25 56 31
161 Long Beach State 13.5 -0.24 56 30
162 Winthrop 13.6 -0.23 56 31
163 Boston University 13.6 -0.23 55 31
164 Robert Morris 13.6 -0.22 55 34
165 Lafayette 13.6 -0.21 55 32
166 Mercyhurst 13.6 -0.20 55 28
167 Iona 13.7 -0.20 54 34
168 Texas A&M 13.7 -0.19 54 34
169 Howard 13.8 -0.14 54 28
170 George Mason 13.8 -0.14 53 35
171 Gardner-Webb 13.8 -0.14 53 31
172 Southern Illinois 13.8 -0.13 53 31
173 Virginia Tech 13.8 -0.13 53 32
174 Prairie View A&M 13.8 -0.13 52 31
175 Morehead State 13.8 -0.12 52 29
176 North Dakota State 13.9 -0.10 52 29
177 New Hampshire 13.9 -0.10 52 30
178 UC San Diego 13.9 -0.10 51 33
179 Hawai'i 13.9 -0.09 51 29
180 Wright State 13.9 -0.08 51 31
181 George Washington 14.0 -0.08 50 33
182 Monmouth 14.0 -0.07 50 33
183 Air Force 14.0 -0.06 50 32
184 Buffalo 14.0 -0.06 50 29
185 Butler 14.0 -0.06 49 35
186 William & Mary 14.0 -0.05 49 30
187 Arizona State 14.0 -0.05 49 33
188 New Orleans 14.0 -0.05 48 31
189 Pacific 14.0 -0.04 48 31
190 Stonehill 14.0 -0.04 48 30
191 Utah Valley 14.1 -0.03 48 32
192 Purdue Fort Wayne 14.1 -0.03 47 30
193 Cleveland State 14.1 -0.02 47 33
194 Seattle U 14.1 -0.02 47 30
195 UC Davis 14.1 -0.01 47 30
196 Hofstra 14.1 -0.01 46 31
197 South Carolina State 14.1 -0.00 46 30
198 Akron 14.2 +0.02 46 33
199 UCF 14.2 +0.03 45 37
200 Omaha 14.3 +0.05 45 33
201 Northern Illinois 14.3 +0.06 45 28
202 South Dakota State 14.3 +0.06 45 29
203 Creighton 14.3 +0.06 44 36
204 Ole Miss 14.3 +0.07 44 36
205 Sam Houston 14.3 +0.08 44 29
206 Mount St. Mary's 14.3 +0.09 44 35
207 Western Carolina 14.3 +0.09 43 27
208 Nevada 14.4 +0.09 43 33
209 Davidson 14.4 +0.09 43 32
210 Providence 14.4 +0.09 42 32
211 Massachusetts 14.4 +0.09 42 31
212 Rhode Island 14.4 +0.11 42 30
213 Colorado State 14.4 +0.11 42 36
214 Florida Atlantic 14.5 +0.14 41 33
215 Kent State 14.5 +0.14 41 34
216 Virginia 14.5 +0.15 41 32
217 Maine 14.5 +0.16 40 32
218 Loyola Chicago 14.5 +0.16 40 36
219 Samford 14.5 +0.16 40 31
220 Lamar 14.5 +0.16 40 30
221 Colorado 14.5 +0.17 39 35
222 Grand Canyon 14.6 +0.17 39 33
223 Duke 14.6 +0.18 39 39
224 Bradley 14.6 +0.19 39 36
225 Eastern Illinois 14.6 +0.19 38 28
226 Oregon 14.6 +0.19 38 35
227 Tulane 14.6 +0.20 38 32
228 Purdue 14.6 +0.21 37 36
229 Southeast Missouri State 14.6 +0.21 37 30
230 San José State 14.7 +0.22 37 33
231 Houston 14.7 +0.23 37 40
232 Alabama State 14.7 +0.24 36 35
233 Furman 14.7 +0.25 36 32
234 Montana State 14.8 +0.26 36 32
235 Marquette 14.8 +0.26 36 34
236 Oklahoma State 14.8 +0.27 35 35
237 NC State 14.8 +0.28 35 31
238 New Mexico State 14.8 +0.29 35 29
239 Coppin State 14.8 +0.29 34 29
240 Saint Francis 14.8 +0.29 34 31
241 Radford 14.9 +0.30 34 31
242 Southern 14.9 +0.30 34 29
243 The Citadel 14.9 +0.31 33 26
244 American University 14.9 +0.33 33 33
245 Washington State 15.0 +0.34 33 34
246 Old Dominion 15.0 +0.35 33 33
247 Auburn 15.0 +0.36 32 38
248 UC Riverside 15.0 +0.36 32 32
249 Jacksonville 15.0 +0.37 32 31
250 Southern Utah 15.0 +0.37 31 28
251 Stetson 15.1 +0.40 31 30
252 Columbia 15.1 +0.41 31 25
253 Cal Poly 15.1 +0.41 31 34
254 San Francisco 15.1 +0.42 30 34
255 Boston College 15.2 +0.45 30 31
256 Cal State Bakersfield 15.2 +0.45 30 31
257 Montana 15.3 +0.47 29 32
258 IU Indianapolis 15.3 +0.48 29 29
259 Western Michigan 15.3 +0.49 29 31
260 Vermont 15.3 +0.49 29 31
261 North Alabama 15.3 +0.50 28 33
262 Texas Tech 15.3 +0.50 28 37
263 UC Santa Barbara 15.4 +0.50 28 32
264 Cal State Northridge 15.4 +0.52 28 31
265 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 15.4 +0.53 27 30
266 Indiana 15.4 +0.54 27 32
267 Georgetown 15.5 +0.55 27 34
268 Louisville 15.5 +0.56 26 35
269 Canisius 15.5 +0.56 26 31
270 Villanova 15.5 +0.57 26 36
271 VMI 15.6 +0.59 26 30
272 Oakland 15.6 +0.59 25 33
273 Pennsylvania 15.6 +0.59 25 27
274 UT Rio Grande Valley 15.6 +0.60 25 27
275 Cornell 15.6 +0.61 25 27
276 Tennessee 15.6 +0.62 24 38
277 Fairleigh Dickinson 15.7 +0.63 24 30
278 Stanford 15.7 +0.63 24 35
279 Boise State 15.7 +0.64 23 36
280 North Carolina 15.7 +0.66 23 37
281 Cal State Fullerton 15.7 +0.66 23 30
282 Washington 15.7 +0.66 23 30
283 SIU Edwardsville 15.8 +0.67 22 31
284 Central Michigan 15.8 +0.67 22 27
285 Xavier 15.8 +0.68 22 34
286 Brown 15.8 +0.69 21 26
287 Kansas State 15.9 +0.71 21 33
288 Alabama 15.9 +0.71 21 37
289 Loyola Marymount 15.9 +0.72 21 31
290 Dartmouth 15.9 +0.73 20 26
291 Colgate 15.9 +0.74 20 32
292 Toledo 15.9 +0.74 20 32
293 Abilene Christian 15.9 +0.74 20 29
294 Florida State 16.0 +0.75 19 32
295 Queens University 16.0 +0.78 19 33
296 Evansville 16.1 +0.80 19 31
297 Chicago State 16.1 +0.81 18 32
298 Michigan 16.1 +0.81 18 37
299 UNC Asheville 16.2 +0.83 18 28
300 UConn 16.2 +0.84 18 35
301 Oklahoma 16.2 +0.84 17 34
302 Austin Peay 16.2 +0.85 17 31
303 North Florida 16.2 +0.87 17 30
304 Western Kentucky 16.4 +0.92 17 30
305 UMBC 16.4 +0.93 16 29
306 Morgan State 16.4 +0.94 16 28
307 Tulsa 16.4 +0.94 16 31
308 TCU 16.4 +0.94 15 32
309 Nebraska 16.4 +0.94 15 35
310 Northern Iowa 16.4 +0.95 15 32
311 Iowa State 16.5 +0.95 15 35
312 Lipscomb 16.5 +0.96 14 33
313 Indiana State 16.5 +0.97 14 30
314 Bryant 16.5 +0.97 14 33
315 Wyoming 16.5 +0.97 13 31
316 South Carolina 16.5 +0.98 13 32
317 UMass Lowell 16.6 +1.02 13 29
318 Wofford 16.6 +1.02 13 33
319 West Virginia 16.7 +1.03 12 32
320 Georgia State 16.8 +1.08 12 32
321 Little Rock 16.8 +1.09 12 31
322 Georgia Tech 16.9 +1.15 12 34
323 Oregon State 17.2 +1.26 11 32
324 Arkansas 17.3 +1.29 11 36
325 SMU 17.3 +1.30 11 35
326 USC 17.3 +1.31 10 35
327 Alabama A&M 17.4 +1.35 10 29
328 Kansas 17.5 +1.39 10 34
329 Tarleton State 17.7 +1.46 10 29
330 Gonzaga 17.7 +1.48 9 35
331 UCLA 17.8 +1.52 9 34
332 Arizona 17.8 +1.52 9 37
333 Mississippi State 17.9 +1.56 9 34
334 Pepperdine 18.0 +1.58 8 34
335 Cincinnati 18.1 +1.63 8 35
336 Portland 18.2 +1.66 8 30
337 Kentucky 18.2 +1.66 7 36
338 Texas Southern 18.2 +1.68 7 29
339 Lehigh 18.3 +1.70 7 28
340 Campbell 18.3 +1.70 7 30
341 Maryland 18.3 +1.70 6 36
342 Santa Clara 18.3 +1.72 6 34
343 Mississippi Valley State 18.3 +1.73 6 29
344 Miami 18.4 +1.74 6 31
345 Utah State 18.6 +1.85 5 33
346 Vanderbilt 18.7 +1.88 5 33
347 Missouri 18.8 +1.93 5 34
348 Maryland Eastern Shore 18.8 +1.94 4 27
349 Pittsburgh 18.9 +1.97 4 32
350 Iowa 19.0 +1.98 4 33
351 Florida A&M 19.0 +2.01 4 29
352 Baylor 19.2 +2.10 3 34
353 Ohio State 19.4 +2.14 3 32
354 Georgia 19.4 +2.18 3 33
355 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 19.5 +2.20 2 29
356 BYU 19.5 +2.22 2 36
357 DePaul 19.7 +2.29 2 34
358 Alcorn State 19.8 +2.34 2 31
359 Penn State 20.3 +2.55 1 31
360 Utah 20.8 +2.73 1 33
361 Texas 21.0 +2.80 1 35
362 Jackson State 21.1 +2.86 1 34
363 LSU 21.3 +2.95 0 32
364 Illinois 23.0 +3.65 0 35