I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.56 (team entering with the better value wins 54% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 59.0% max 82.6% mean 72.1% std 3.8% (n=364)

Team Rankings

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# Team Free Throw Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Wisconsin 82.6% +2.79 100 37
2 Richmond 80.8% +2.32 100 30
3 Mercyhurst 80.7% +2.29 99 28
4 Gonzaga 80.4% +2.21 99 35
5 UC Irvine 79.6% +2.01 99 38
6 Villanova 79.6% +2.00 99 36
7 Lipscomb 79.6% +1.99 98 33
8 Oklahoma 79.5% +1.97 98 34
9 UConn 79.1% +1.88 98 35
10 UTSA 79.1% +1.87 98 29
11 Valparaiso 79.0% +1.85 97 32
12 Duke 79.0% +1.84 97 39
13 North Dakota State 79.0% +1.83 97 29
14 Xavier 78.9% +1.82 96 34
15 Oregon State 78.9% +1.81 96 32
16 Stanford 78.9% +1.81 96 35
17 Green Bay 78.5% +1.70 96 31
18 Pittsburgh 78.2% +1.63 95 32
19 Boise State 78.2% +1.62 95 36
20 Arizona 78.0% +1.57 95 37
21 Portland 77.9% +1.56 94 30
22 Michigan State 77.9% +1.54 94 37
23 Delaware 77.7% +1.49 94 34
24 Harvard 77.6% +1.46 94 26
25 St. Thomas-Minnesota 77.6% +1.46 93 31
26 UCF 77.5% +1.45 93 37
27 Colorado State 77.5% +1.44 93 36
28 Eastern Kentucky 77.4% +1.41 93 30
29 Cal State Bakersfield 77.3% +1.39 92 31
30 Eastern Washington 77.3% +1.39 92 30
31 UMass Lowell 77.2% +1.37 92 29
32 UC Santa Barbara 77.2% +1.36 91 32
33 North Texas 77.2% +1.35 91 34
34 Kansas City 76.9% +1.29 91 29
35 Cal Poly 76.9% +1.29 91 34
36 UC Riverside 76.9% +1.28 90 32
37 Chattanooga 76.9% +1.27 90 36
38 Clemson 76.8% +1.27 90 34
39 VMI 76.7% +1.23 90 30
40 Quinnipiac 76.6% +1.20 89 32
41 Bellarmine 76.6% +1.20 89 29
42 Manhattan 76.5% +1.18 89 30
43 James Madison 76.5% +1.18 88 29
44 Ohio 76.5% +1.18 88 31
45 Miami 76.4% +1.16 88 31
46 Campbell 76.4% +1.15 88 30
47 Cornell 76.2% +1.11 87 27
48 High Point 76.2% +1.10 87 33
49 Illinois 76.2% +1.09 87 35
50 Idaho 76.1% +1.08 87 31
51 Radford 76.1% +1.07 86 31
52 Texas State 76.0% +1.06 86 30
53 Elon 76.0% +1.05 86 31
54 Howard 76.0% +1.05 85 28
55 Texas Tech 76.0% +1.05 85 37
56 UAB 75.9% +1.03 85 36
57 Oral Roberts 75.9% +1.03 85 26
58 Canisius 75.9% +1.02 84 31
59 California Baptist 75.7% +0.98 84 32
60 Oregon 75.7% +0.97 84 35
61 Toledo 75.7% +0.96 83 32
62 American University 75.7% +0.96 83 33
63 Wake Forest 75.6% +0.94 83 32
64 Penn State 75.6% +0.94 83 31
65 Long Beach State 75.5% +0.92 82 30
66 UNC Wilmington 75.5% +0.91 82 33
67 Norfolk State 75.3% +0.87 82 32
68 Iowa State 75.3% +0.87 82 35
69 Indiana State 75.3% +0.86 81 30
70 South Dakota State 75.3% +0.86 81 29
71 Virginia 75.3% +0.86 81 32
72 Charlotte 75.2% +0.82 80 32
73 Purdue Fort Wayne 75.1% +0.82 80 30
74 San Diego 75.1% +0.81 80 32
75 Dartmouth 75.1% +0.81 80 26
76 Akron 75.1% +0.80 79 33
77 Dayton 75.1% +0.80 79 33
78 Louisiana Tech 75.0% +0.79 79 29
79 Bowling Green 75.0% +0.79 79 29
80 Colorado 75.0% +0.79 78 35
81 Maryland 75.0% +0.78 78 36
82 Tulane 75.0% +0.78 78 32
83 Davidson 75.0% +0.77 77 32
84 Nebraska 74.9% +0.76 77 35
85 Texas 74.9% +0.74 77 35
86 Bradley 74.8% +0.74 77 36
87 Kent State 74.8% +0.74 76 34
88 Illinois State 74.8% +0.74 76 35
89 Ohio State 74.8% +0.73 76 32
90 Baylor 74.8% +0.73 75 34
91 IU Indianapolis 74.8% +0.72 75 29
92 UC San Diego 74.7% +0.70 75 33
93 Montana 74.6% +0.67 75 32
94 Saint Joseph's 74.6% +0.67 74 35
95 Louisville 74.6% +0.67 74 35
96 Vanderbilt 74.6% +0.66 74 33
97 California 74.6% +0.66 74 33
98 SE Louisiana 74.5% +0.66 73 30
99 Stony Brook 74.5% +0.64 73 31
100 Central Connecticut 74.5% +0.64 73 30
101 Tennessee 74.5% +0.64 72 38
102 VCU 74.4% +0.62 72 34
103 UC Davis 74.4% +0.62 72 30
104 Hawai'i 74.4% +0.62 72 29
105 Jacksonville State 74.3% +0.60 71 33
106 Idaho State 74.3% +0.60 71 27
107 Eastern Michigan 74.3% +0.60 71 31
108 Siena 74.3% +0.59 71 32
109 Monmouth 74.2% +0.56 70 33
110 USC 74.1% +0.53 70 35
111 North Carolina 74.1% +0.53 70 37
112 Denver 74.0% +0.52 69 29
113 San José State 74.0% +0.52 69 33
114 Niagara 74.0% +0.52 69 30
115 Notre Dame 74.0% +0.51 69 33
116 Butler 74.0% +0.51 68 35
117 Houston 74.0% +0.50 68 40
118 Arkansas 73.9% +0.50 68 36
119 Southern Indiana 73.9% +0.48 67 28
120 Ole Miss 73.8% +0.47 67 36
121 Cal State Fullerton 73.8% +0.45 67 30
122 UNC Greensboro 73.7% +0.43 67 29
123 Youngstown State 73.7% +0.43 66 32
124 Saint Peter's 73.6% +0.41 66 27
125 Stetson 73.6% +0.40 66 29
126 Western Carolina 73.5% +0.39 66 27
127 Sacred Heart 73.5% +0.38 65 32
128 Yale 73.4% +0.35 65 29
129 Pacific 73.4% +0.35 65 31
130 Temple 73.4% +0.35 64 31
131 Detroit Mercy 73.3% +0.34 64 31
132 Northwestern 73.3% +0.33 64 33
133 Mount St. Mary's 73.3% +0.33 64 35
134 Fairfield 73.3% +0.33 63 31
135 Grand Canyon 73.3% +0.32 63 33
136 Purdue 73.2% +0.31 63 36
137 Kennesaw State 73.2% +0.30 63 30
138 Central Michigan 73.2% +0.29 62 27
139 Navy 73.1% +0.29 62 33
140 Kentucky 73.1% +0.28 62 36
141 Colgate 73.1% +0.28 61 32
142 Jackson State 73.0% +0.25 61 34
143 NJIT 73.0% +0.25 61 30
144 Long Island University 73.0% +0.25 61 31
145 Omaha 73.0% +0.25 60 33
146 Missouri 73.0% +0.24 60 34
147 St. Bonaventure 72.9% +0.23 60 33
148 Sam Houston 72.9% +0.22 60 29
149 Grambling 72.9% +0.22 59 31
150 Tarleton State 72.9% +0.22 59 29
151 Louisiana 72.9% +0.22 59 32
152 East Carolina 72.9% +0.22 58 31
153 Southern Utah 72.9% +0.21 58 28
154 Cal State Northridge 72.9% +0.21 58 31
155 Arkansas State 72.8% +0.20 58 35
156 Florida 72.8% +0.20 57 40
157 Michigan 72.8% +0.19 57 37
158 Cleveland State 72.8% +0.19 57 33
159 Creighton 72.8% +0.19 56 36
160 Columbia 72.8% +0.19 56 25
161 Maine 72.8% +0.19 56 32
162 William & Mary 72.8% +0.18 56 30
163 Auburn 72.7% +0.17 55 38
164 Santa Clara 72.7% +0.17 55 34
165 Wichita State 72.7% +0.17 55 33
166 NC State 72.6% +0.14 55 31
167 Northern Colorado 72.6% +0.14 54 32
168 Arizona State 72.6% +0.13 54 33
169 Montana State 72.5% +0.12 54 32
170 Saint Francis 72.5% +0.11 53 31
171 Morgan State 72.5% +0.11 53 28
172 Longwood 72.4% +0.10 53 29
173 Miami (OH) 72.4% +0.09 53 32
174 La Salle 72.4% +0.09 52 32
175 Troy 72.4% +0.09 52 32
176 UAlbany 72.4% +0.08 52 31
177 Delaware State 72.3% +0.08 52 26
178 Merrimack 72.3% +0.06 51 33
179 Fordham 72.3% +0.05 51 32
180 Murray State 72.2% +0.05 51 32
181 Western Kentucky 72.2% +0.04 50 30
182 UNC Asheville 72.2% +0.04 50 28
183 Rider 72.2% +0.03 50 33
184 Loyola Marymount 72.2% +0.03 50 31
185 UIC 72.1% +0.02 49 29
186 Samford 72.1% +0.01 49 31
187 Stonehill 72.1% +0.01 49 30
188 Vermont 72.1% +0.01 48 31
189 West Virginia 72.0% -0.01 48 32
190 Central Arkansas 72.0% -0.01 48 31
191 Marquette 72.0% -0.02 48 34
192 Alabama 72.0% -0.02 47 37
193 Alcorn State 72.0% -0.02 47 31
194 Texas Southern 72.0% -0.03 47 29
195 Abilene Christian 71.9% -0.03 47 29
196 Boston College 71.9% -0.04 46 31
197 UTEP 71.9% -0.04 46 30
198 Robert Morris 71.8% -0.06 46 34
199 Rutgers 71.8% -0.07 45 32
200 Southeast Missouri State 71.8% -0.07 45 30
201 South Florida 71.8% -0.07 45 31
202 Old Dominion 71.7% -0.08 45 33
203 Oklahoma State 71.7% -0.09 44 35
204 Georgia 71.7% -0.09 44 33
205 UNLV 71.7% -0.09 44 33
206 San Francisco 71.7% -0.10 44 34
207 Florida State 71.7% -0.10 43 32
208 Holy Cross 71.7% -0.11 43 30
209 Kansas 71.6% -0.12 43 34
210 Bryant 71.6% -0.12 42 33
211 Pepperdine 71.6% -0.13 42 34
212 South Carolina 71.5% -0.15 42 32
213 Fairleigh Dickinson 71.5% -0.16 42 30
214 Florida A&M 71.4% -0.17 41 28
215 SMU 71.4% -0.17 41 35
216 LSU 71.4% -0.18 41 32
217 South Dakota 71.4% -0.18 40 30
218 George Mason 71.4% -0.18 40 35
219 Virginia Tech 71.4% -0.19 40 32
220 Belmont 71.3% -0.19 40 32
221 Seattle U 71.3% -0.20 39 30
222 Austin Peay 71.3% -0.20 39 31
223 UT Rio Grande Valley 71.1% -0.25 39 27
224 Wagner 71.1% -0.25 39 26
225 Le Moyne 71.1% -0.26 38 30
226 Charleston 71.1% -0.26 38 32
227 BYU 71.0% -0.27 38 35
228 UCLA 71.0% -0.29 37 34
229 UL Monroe 71.0% -0.29 37 30
230 South Alabama 70.9% -0.30 37 30
231 Hampton 70.8% -0.32 37 30
232 Northern Illinois 70.8% -0.32 36 28
233 Hofstra 70.8% -0.34 36 31
234 Tennessee Tech 70.8% -0.34 36 30
235 Marist 70.8% -0.35 36 30
236 Princeton 70.7% -0.36 35 28
237 Little Rock 70.7% -0.37 35 31
238 Indiana 70.6% -0.39 35 32
239 Iowa 70.5% -0.41 34 33
240 Syracuse 70.5% -0.41 34 33
241 Florida International 70.5% -0.42 34 31
242 DePaul 70.5% -0.42 34 34
243 Chicago State 70.5% -0.42 33 32
244 Evansville 70.5% -0.42 33 31
245 Georgetown 70.4% -0.44 33 34
246 North Alabama 70.4% -0.45 33 33
247 Nevada 70.3% -0.48 32 33
248 Ball State 70.3% -0.48 32 28
249 Utah Tech 70.2% -0.49 32 31
250 Memphis 70.2% -0.49 31 35
251 South Carolina State 70.2% -0.49 31 30
252 Utah State 70.2% -0.50 31 33
253 Weber State 70.1% -0.51 31 31
254 North Carolina Central 70.1% -0.52 30 29
255 Mississippi State 70.1% -0.52 30 34
256 North Dakota 70.1% -0.53 30 30
257 Washington State 70.1% -0.53 29 34
258 Binghamton 70.1% -0.53 29 29
259 Drake 70.0% -0.54 29 33
260 UMBC 70.0% -0.54 29 29
261 Wright State 70.0% -0.54 28 31
262 Florida Atlantic 70.0% -0.55 28 33
263 Northwestern State 70.0% -0.56 28 30
264 Oakland 69.9% -0.57 28 33
265 Lamar 69.9% -0.58 27 30
266 Buffalo 69.9% -0.59 27 29
267 Drexel 69.8% -0.60 27 32
268 Pennsylvania 69.7% -0.62 26 27
269 Kansas State 69.6% -0.65 26 32
270 Saint Mary's 69.5% -0.67 26 34
271 George Washington 69.5% -0.68 26 33
272 Furman 69.4% -0.70 25 32
273 McNeese 69.4% -0.70 25 33
274 UT Martin 69.4% -0.71 25 30
275 Coastal Carolina 69.4% -0.72 25 30
276 Eastern Illinois 69.3% -0.73 24 28
277 Rhode Island 69.3% -0.75 24 30
278 Western Illinois 69.2% -0.75 24 28
279 Saint Louis 69.2% -0.75 23 32
280 Gardner-Webb 69.2% -0.76 23 31
281 Fresno State 69.2% -0.76 23 32
282 Texas A&M 69.2% -0.76 23 34
283 Lafayette 69.2% -0.77 22 32
284 Alabama State 69.2% -0.77 22 35
285 St. John's 69.1% -0.79 22 36
286 Prairie View A&M 69.1% -0.80 21 31
287 Washington 69.0% -0.80 21 30
288 Utah Valley 69.0% -0.81 21 32
289 West Georgia 69.0% -0.81 21 30
290 Bethune-Cookman 69.0% -0.81 20 33
291 Marshall 69.0% -0.82 20 31
292 Florida Gulf Coast 68.9% -0.84 20 33
293 Loyola Maryland 68.9% -0.85 20 30
294 Lindenwood 68.8% -0.85 19 30
295 Houston Christian 68.8% -0.86 19 30
296 Northern Iowa 68.8% -0.86 19 32
297 Incarnate Word 68.8% -0.87 18 32
298 Georgia Tech 68.7% -0.88 18 34
299 Northeastern 68.7% -0.89 18 32
300 North Carolina A&T 68.7% -0.90 18 31
301 Providence 68.6% -0.91 17 32
302 Georgia State 68.6% -0.91 17 32
303 New Mexico 68.6% -0.92 17 34
304 Nicholls 68.6% -0.92 17 30
305 Queens University 68.5% -0.94 16 32
306 Iona 68.5% -0.94 16 34
307 Presbyterian 68.5% -0.95 16 30
308 Southern Miss 68.4% -0.97 15 29
309 Tennessee State 68.4% -0.98 15 30
310 Rice 68.3% -0.99 15 31
311 Towson 68.2% -1.03 15 32
312 Milwaukee 68.2% -1.03 14 30
313 Sacramento State 68.2% -1.04 14 29
314 Army 68.0% -1.08 14 31
315 North Florida 67.9% -1.11 13 30
316 Coppin State 67.8% -1.13 13 29
317 Southern Illinois 67.8% -1.13 13 31
318 Middle Tennessee 67.8% -1.14 13 32
319 Lehigh 67.8% -1.14 12 28
320 New Mexico State 67.7% -1.16 12 29
321 South Carolina Upstate 67.7% -1.17 12 29
322 Loyola Chicago 67.6% -1.18 12 36
323 Jacksonville 67.4% -1.23 11 31
324 Morehead State 67.4% -1.24 11 29
325 Western Michigan 67.4% -1.24 11 31
326 SIU Edwardsville 67.3% -1.27 10 31
327 Northern Kentucky 67.2% -1.29 10 31
328 Massachusetts 67.2% -1.30 10 31
329 Tulsa 67.2% -1.30 10 31
330 New Orleans 66.9% -1.36 9 31
331 Boston University 66.9% -1.37 9 31
332 Mississippi Valley State 66.9% -1.37 9 29
333 Maryland Eastern Shore 66.7% -1.42 9 27
334 Alabama A&M 66.7% -1.43 8 29
335 Wofford 66.7% -1.43 8 33
336 Cincinnati 66.5% -1.47 8 35
337 East Tennessee State 66.5% -1.48 7 30
338 San Diego State 66.5% -1.48 7 30
339 Bucknell 66.4% -1.50 7 33
340 Minnesota 66.4% -1.51 7 32
341 Seton Hall 66.3% -1.53 6 32
342 Charleston Southern 66.3% -1.53 6 30
343 Winthrop 66.2% -1.56 6 31
344 Northern Arizona 66.1% -1.59 6 30
345 Southern 65.5% -1.73 5 29
346 App State 65.5% -1.74 5 29
347 Missouri State 65.4% -1.77 5 30
348 Mercer 65.3% -1.78 4 31
349 UT Arlington 65.3% -1.79 4 29
350 New Hampshire 65.3% -1.80 4 30
351 Wyoming 65.2% -1.81 4 31
352 Liberty 65.2% -1.84 3 32
353 Georgia Southern 65.1% -1.85 3 32
354 TCU 64.9% -1.90 3 31
355 Duquesne 64.5% -2.00 2 31
356 East Texas A&M 64.4% -2.04 2 31
357 Utah 64.1% -2.12 2 33
358 Portland State 63.5% -2.27 2 29
359 Air Force 63.5% -2.29 1 32
360 Brown 63.2% -2.36 1 26
361 Stephen F. Austin 63.0% -2.40 1 28
362 The Citadel 62.3% -2.58 1 26
363 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 62.2% -2.62 0 30
364 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 59.0% -3.46 0 29