Somehow I stayed thin, while the other guys got fat "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite

Does it predict winners?

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 20.7% max 54.0% mean 39.0% std 5.4% (n=364)

Team Rankings

Loading…
# Team Three-Point Attempt Rate z Pctl GP
1 North Florida 54.0% +2.76 100 30
2 North Dakota State 53.6% +2.69 100 29
3 William & Mary 51.5% +2.31 99 30
4 Furman 51.5% +2.30 99 32
5 Cal Poly 51.1% +2.24 99 34
6 Saint Louis 50.1% +2.05 99 32
7 Indiana State 50.1% +2.04 98 30
8 UC San Diego 49.6% +1.95 98 33
9 Northern Illinois 49.2% +1.87 98 28
10 UT Rio Grande Valley 49.0% +1.84 98 27
11 Creighton 48.9% +1.82 97 36
12 Princeton 48.7% +1.78 97 28
13 Cornell 48.6% +1.78 97 27
14 Air Force 48.5% +1.74 96 32
15 East Texas A&M 48.3% +1.72 96 31
16 Western Carolina 48.2% +1.69 96 27
17 Wisconsin 48.2% +1.69 96 37
18 Liberty 48.2% +1.69 95 32
19 Idaho 47.9% +1.65 95 31
20 Louisville 47.8% +1.63 95 35
21 VCU 47.8% +1.62 94 34
22 Central Arkansas 47.8% +1.62 94 31
23 BYU 47.7% +1.61 94 35
24 Wofford 47.7% +1.60 94 33
25 Lipscomb 47.6% +1.58 93 33
26 UC Santa Barbara 47.4% +1.55 93 32
27 IU Indianapolis 47.3% +1.53 93 29
28 UT Martin 47.3% +1.53 93 30
29 Illinois 47.2% +1.51 92 35
30 Samford 47.1% +1.50 92 31
31 VMI 46.9% +1.46 92 30
32 St. Thomas-Minnesota 46.8% +1.43 91 31
33 Illinois State 46.7% +1.42 91 35
34 Alabama 46.6% +1.39 91 37
35 Dartmouth 46.5% +1.39 91 26
36 Saint Joseph's 46.5% +1.39 90 35
37 Marquette 46.4% +1.36 90 34
38 Tennessee Tech 46.4% +1.36 90 30
39 Santa Clara 46.4% +1.36 90 34
40 Green Bay 46.2% +1.33 89 31
41 Youngstown State 46.2% +1.32 89 32
42 DePaul 46.2% +1.32 89 34
43 West Virginia 46.1% +1.31 88 32
44 Florida A&M 46.0% +1.29 88 28
45 Oral Roberts 45.7% +1.24 88 26
46 South Alabama 45.6% +1.22 88 30
47 Richmond 45.6% +1.22 87 30
48 Purdue Fort Wayne 45.6% +1.22 87 30
49 Chattanooga 45.6% +1.21 87 36
50 Providence 45.5% +1.20 87 32
51 Kennesaw State 45.5% +1.19 86 30
52 American University 45.3% +1.16 86 33
53 Akron 45.2% +1.14 86 33
54 The Citadel 45.2% +1.14 85 26
55 James Madison 45.1% +1.12 85 29
56 Troy 45.0% +1.11 85 32
57 Sacramento State 44.9% +1.09 85 29
58 Belmont 44.6% +1.04 84 32
59 Sacred Heart 44.6% +1.04 84 32
60 Arkansas State 44.6% +1.02 84 35
61 Duke 44.6% +1.02 83 39
62 Stonehill 44.5% +1.01 83 30
63 Texas Tech 44.5% +1.00 83 37
64 Pennsylvania 44.4% +0.99 83 27
65 Georgia Southern 44.3% +0.97 82 32
66 UTSA 44.1% +0.94 82 29
67 Kansas City 44.0% +0.93 82 29
68 Miami (OH) 44.0% +0.93 82 32
69 Houston Christian 44.0% +0.91 81 30
70 Utah 43.9% +0.89 81 33
71 Buffalo 43.9% +0.89 81 29
72 San Francisco 43.7% +0.87 80 34
73 Villanova 43.7% +0.87 80 36
74 Florida 43.7% +0.87 80 40
75 Portland 43.6% +0.85 80 30
76 LSU 43.5% +0.83 79 32
77 Vermont 43.5% +0.82 79 31
78 Queens University 43.4% +0.82 79 32
79 Tennessee 43.4% +0.80 79 38
80 Duquesne 43.2% +0.78 78 31
81 Bellarmine 43.2% +0.78 78 29
82 Montana State 43.0% +0.74 78 32
83 Boise State 42.9% +0.72 77 36
84 Loyola Chicago 42.9% +0.72 77 36
85 Merrimack 42.9% +0.71 77 33
86 Colorado State 42.8% +0.70 77 36
87 Virginia 42.8% +0.70 76 32
88 Niagara 42.8% +0.70 76 30
89 Alabama State 42.7% +0.69 76 35
90 UConn 42.7% +0.69 75 35
91 Mississippi State 42.7% +0.67 75 34
92 Arizona State 42.6% +0.66 75 33
93 Utah State 42.6% +0.66 75 33
94 UNC Greensboro 42.4% +0.62 74 29
95 Tulsa 42.3% +0.61 74 31
96 Holy Cross 42.3% +0.61 74 30
97 Hofstra 42.3% +0.61 74 31
98 UC Riverside 42.3% +0.61 73 32
99 Oakland 42.3% +0.60 73 33
100 Bradley 42.3% +0.60 73 36
101 Colgate 42.2% +0.59 72 32
102 George Washington 42.2% +0.59 72 33
103 Eastern Kentucky 42.2% +0.59 72 30
104 UT Arlington 42.2% +0.58 72 29
105 Davidson 42.1% +0.56 71 32
106 Michigan 42.0% +0.55 71 37
107 Charleston Southern 42.0% +0.55 71 30
108 Saint Francis 42.0% +0.54 71 31
109 Boston University 41.9% +0.54 70 31
110 Campbell 41.8% +0.52 70 30
111 East Tennessee State 41.7% +0.50 70 30
112 UCF 41.7% +0.50 69 37
113 Army 41.7% +0.50 69 31
114 Stanford 41.7% +0.50 69 35
115 Manhattan 41.6% +0.48 69 30
116 Oklahoma 41.6% +0.48 68 34
117 Alabama A&M 41.6% +0.47 68 29
118 Butler 41.6% +0.47 68 35
119 Elon 41.5% +0.47 67 31
120 Fairleigh Dickinson 41.5% +0.46 67 30
121 Fordham 41.5% +0.45 67 32
122 Louisiana Tech 41.4% +0.44 67 29
123 Pittsburgh 41.4% +0.44 66 32
124 Canisius 41.4% +0.43 66 31
125 Missouri 41.4% +0.43 66 34
126 Le Moyne 41.3% +0.43 66 30
127 Washington State 41.3% +0.42 65 34
128 Kentucky 41.2% +0.39 65 36
129 App State 41.1% +0.39 65 29
130 Mount St. Mary's 41.1% +0.38 64 35
131 Bucknell 41.0% +0.37 64 33
132 Iowa 41.0% +0.37 64 33
133 Dayton 41.0% +0.37 64 33
134 Charlotte 40.9% +0.35 63 32
135 Chicago State 40.9% +0.34 63 32
136 Auburn 40.8% +0.33 63 38
137 New Hampshire 40.8% +0.32 63 30
138 San José State 40.8% +0.32 62 33
139 Wyoming 40.7% +0.31 62 31
140 Evansville 40.6% +0.30 62 31
141 Brown 40.5% +0.27 61 26
142 Virginia Tech 40.4% +0.26 61 32
143 Vanderbilt 40.4% +0.26 61 33
144 Kansas State 40.4% +0.25 61 32
145 Loyola Marymount 40.4% +0.25 60 31
146 Lafayette 40.3% +0.24 60 32
147 Florida Atlantic 40.3% +0.23 60 33
148 Austin Peay 40.2% +0.22 60 31
149 Mercer 40.1% +0.20 59 31
150 Murray State 40.1% +0.20 59 32
151 Ohio 40.1% +0.20 59 31
152 Baylor 40.1% +0.19 58 34
153 Charleston 40.0% +0.19 58 32
154 Ole Miss 40.0% +0.19 58 36
155 North Dakota 40.0% +0.18 58 30
156 Northern Kentucky 40.0% +0.17 57 31
157 South Dakota State 40.0% +0.17 57 29
158 Siena 39.9% +0.16 57 32
159 Delaware 39.9% +0.16 56 34
160 Harvard 39.9% +0.16 56 26
161 Utah Tech 39.8% +0.15 56 31
162 Western Kentucky 39.7% +0.12 56 30
163 Marshall 39.6% +0.12 55 31
164 Middle Tennessee 39.6% +0.11 55 32
165 San Diego State 39.6% +0.11 55 30
166 Loyola Maryland 39.6% +0.11 55 30
167 Bowling Green 39.6% +0.11 54 29
168 High Point 39.4% +0.07 54 33
169 Tulane 39.4% +0.07 54 32
170 UIC 39.4% +0.07 53 29
171 Coastal Carolina 39.2% +0.03 53 30
172 Columbia 39.1% +0.02 53 25
173 Omaha 39.1% +0.01 53 33
174 Stony Brook 39.0% +0.00 52 31
175 South Carolina 39.0% -0.00 52 32
176 Clemson 38.8% -0.04 52 34
177 Rice 38.8% -0.04 52 31
178 Sam Houston 38.6% -0.09 51 29
179 Saint Peter's 38.5% -0.09 51 27
180 Nebraska 38.5% -0.09 51 35
181 Miami 38.5% -0.09 50 31
182 Valparaiso 38.4% -0.11 50 32
183 Howard 38.4% -0.11 50 28
184 UMBC 38.4% -0.11 50 29
185 Purdue 38.4% -0.12 49 36
186 Winthrop 38.3% -0.13 49 31
187 Fairfield 38.3% -0.13 49 31
188 Cincinnati 38.3% -0.14 48 35
189 Oregon 38.3% -0.14 48 35
190 Eastern Michigan 38.2% -0.14 48 31
191 Florida Gulf Coast 38.2% -0.16 48 33
192 Georgetown 38.1% -0.16 47 34
193 Louisiana 38.1% -0.17 47 32
194 Quinnipiac 38.0% -0.20 47 32
195 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 37.9% -0.21 47 29
196 Pacific 37.8% -0.22 46 31
197 Northern Arizona 37.8% -0.22 46 30
198 NJIT 37.8% -0.22 46 30
199 Wright State 37.8% -0.23 45 31
200 California 37.8% -0.23 45 33
201 Texas A&M 37.7% -0.24 45 34
202 Ohio State 37.7% -0.25 45 32
203 Rhode Island 37.7% -0.25 44 30
204 South Florida 37.6% -0.26 44 31
205 Wagner 37.6% -0.27 44 26
206 Eastern Washington 37.6% -0.27 44 30
207 Xavier 37.6% -0.27 43 34
208 Marist 37.6% -0.27 43 30
209 Northern Colorado 37.5% -0.27 43 32
210 South Dakota 37.5% -0.28 42 30
211 Notre Dame 37.5% -0.28 42 33
212 Nevada 37.5% -0.28 42 33
213 Hawai'i 37.4% -0.29 42 29
214 Colorado 37.3% -0.31 41 35
215 Lehigh 37.3% -0.32 41 28
216 Western Illinois 37.2% -0.34 41 28
217 Stetson 37.2% -0.34 40 29
218 Towson 37.2% -0.34 40 32
219 North Carolina 37.2% -0.34 40 37
220 Maryland Eastern Shore 37.2% -0.34 40 27
221 Weber State 37.2% -0.34 39 31
222 Long Beach State 37.1% -0.35 39 30
223 Ball State 37.1% -0.35 39 28
224 Navy 37.1% -0.35 39 33
225 Drexel 37.1% -0.35 38 32
226 Southern Miss 37.0% -0.37 38 29
227 Missouri State 37.0% -0.37 38 30
228 Georgia 37.0% -0.37 37 33
229 New Mexico State 37.0% -0.38 37 29
230 Kent State 37.0% -0.38 37 34
231 Stephen F. Austin 36.9% -0.39 37 28
232 Denver 36.9% -0.39 36 29
233 South Carolina Upstate 36.9% -0.40 36 29
234 Jacksonville State 36.9% -0.40 36 33
235 Montana 36.8% -0.40 36 32
236 Georgia Tech 36.8% -0.41 35 34
237 Nicholls 36.8% -0.41 35 30
238 Iowa State 36.8% -0.41 35 35
239 Robert Morris 36.7% -0.42 34 34
240 Hampton 36.7% -0.42 34 30
241 Idaho State 36.6% -0.45 34 27
242 Arkansas 36.6% -0.45 34 36
243 SIU Edwardsville 36.6% -0.45 33 31
244 McNeese 36.6% -0.45 33 33
245 UCLA 36.5% -0.47 33 34
246 Mercyhurst 36.4% -0.48 33 28
247 George Mason 36.4% -0.48 32 35
248 North Texas 36.4% -0.48 32 34
249 UNC Wilmington 36.4% -0.49 32 33
250 Northern Iowa 36.3% -0.49 31 32
251 Radford 36.3% -0.50 31 31
252 Seattle U 36.3% -0.51 31 30
253 Rutgers 36.3% -0.51 31 32
254 UTEP 36.2% -0.51 30 30
255 Drake 36.2% -0.52 30 33
256 Binghamton 36.2% -0.53 30 29
257 Penn State 36.2% -0.53 29 31
258 NC State 36.2% -0.53 29 31
259 UAlbany 36.0% -0.56 29 31
260 North Carolina A&T 36.0% -0.56 29 31
261 Southeast Missouri State 36.0% -0.56 28 30
262 Minnesota 35.9% -0.57 28 32
263 San Diego 35.8% -0.59 28 32
264 Old Dominion 35.8% -0.60 28 33
265 Incarnate Word 35.8% -0.60 27 32
266 Oregon State 35.8% -0.60 27 32
267 Texas Southern 35.8% -0.60 27 29
268 Northwestern State 35.7% -0.62 26 30
269 Washington 35.7% -0.62 26 30
270 UC Davis 35.5% -0.65 26 30
271 Maryland 35.4% -0.68 26 36
272 Fresno State 35.3% -0.69 25 32
273 Texas 35.3% -0.69 25 35
274 UC Irvine 35.3% -0.69 25 38
275 Wake Forest 35.2% -0.70 25 32
276 East Carolina 35.2% -0.70 24 31
277 St. Bonaventure 35.2% -0.70 24 33
278 SMU 35.1% -0.72 24 35
279 California Baptist 35.0% -0.74 23 32
280 Grambling 35.0% -0.74 23 31
281 UNC Asheville 35.0% -0.75 23 28
282 Northeastern 34.8% -0.77 23 32
283 USC 34.8% -0.78 22 35
284 Central Connecticut 34.8% -0.79 22 30
285 Iona 34.7% -0.79 22 34
286 Bryant 34.7% -0.79 21 33
287 Houston 34.7% -0.79 21 40
288 Oklahoma State 34.7% -0.79 21 35
289 Arizona 34.7% -0.80 21 37
290 Pepperdine 34.7% -0.80 20 34
291 Monmouth 34.6% -0.81 20 33
292 Lindenwood 34.6% -0.81 20 30
293 UMass Lowell 34.6% -0.82 20 29
294 UNLV 34.6% -0.82 19 33
295 North Alabama 34.5% -0.83 19 33
296 TCU 34.4% -0.85 19 31
297 Northwestern 34.2% -0.89 18 33
298 Morehead State 34.1% -0.90 18 29
299 Kansas 34.1% -0.91 18 34
300 Cal State Fullerton 34.1% -0.91 18 30
301 North Carolina Central 34.0% -0.93 17 29
302 Longwood 33.9% -0.94 17 29
303 Presbyterian 33.9% -0.94 17 30
304 UL Monroe 33.9% -0.94 17 30
305 Bethune-Cookman 33.9% -0.95 16 33
306 Jacksonville 33.9% -0.95 16 31
307 Grand Canyon 33.8% -0.96 16 33
308 Florida State 33.7% -0.99 15 32
309 Jackson State 33.7% -0.99 15 34
310 Prairie View A&M 33.7% -0.99 15 31
311 Southern Illinois 33.6% -1.00 15 31
312 Gonzaga 33.6% -1.00 14 35
313 Tennessee State 33.6% -1.00 14 30
314 Southern Indiana 33.5% -1.02 14 28
315 Long Island University 33.4% -1.03 13 31
316 Central Michigan 33.3% -1.05 13 27
317 Memphis 33.3% -1.06 13 35
318 Georgia State 33.3% -1.06 13 32
319 Southern 33.3% -1.06 12 29
320 Saint Mary's 33.2% -1.07 12 34
321 Indiana 33.2% -1.07 12 32
322 La Salle 33.2% -1.08 12 32
323 Gardner-Webb 33.1% -1.09 11 31
324 South Carolina State 33.0% -1.11 11 30
325 Maine 33.0% -1.12 11 32
326 Boston College 33.0% -1.12 10 31
327 Michigan State 32.9% -1.13 10 37
328 Western Michigan 32.9% -1.13 10 31
329 Lamar 32.8% -1.14 10 30
330 Syracuse 32.7% -1.16 9 33
331 Southern Utah 32.6% -1.19 9 28
332 Cleveland State 32.3% -1.25 9 33
333 Yale 32.2% -1.26 9 29
334 Massachusetts 32.2% -1.27 8 31
335 Coppin State 32.1% -1.28 8 29
336 New Mexico 31.7% -1.34 8 34
337 Portland State 31.7% -1.34 7 29
338 SE Louisiana 31.6% -1.37 7 30
339 Milwaukee 31.5% -1.40 7 30
340 Temple 31.3% -1.43 7 31
341 Utah Valley 31.2% -1.44 6 32
342 St. John's 31.0% -1.48 6 36
343 Cal State Northridge 30.7% -1.54 6 31
344 New Orleans 30.7% -1.54 6 31
345 Mississippi Valley State 30.6% -1.56 5 29
346 Seton Hall 30.5% -1.58 5 32
347 Little Rock 30.3% -1.61 5 31
348 Rider 30.1% -1.64 4 33
349 West Georgia 30.1% -1.64 4 30
350 Florida International 30.1% -1.65 4 31
351 Eastern Illinois 29.7% -1.72 4 28
352 Alcorn State 29.6% -1.74 3 31
353 UAB 29.3% -1.80 3 36
354 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 29.2% -1.81 3 30
355 Toledo 28.6% -1.93 2 32
356 Detroit Mercy 28.4% -1.95 2 31
357 Wichita State 28.4% -1.96 2 33
358 Cal State Bakersfield 28.4% -1.96 2 31
359 Texas State 27.8% -2.06 1 30
360 Norfolk State 27.6% -2.12 1 32
361 Tarleton State 25.6% -2.49 1 29
362 Abilene Christian 25.3% -2.54 1 29
363 Morgan State 21.7% -3.19 0 28
364 Delaware State 20.7% -3.39 0 26