Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
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Three-Point Percentage

Higher is better  ·  league avg 33.7%  ·  as of 2025-04-08

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.57 (team entering with the better value wins 56% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 26.7% max 39.8% mean 33.7% std 2.4% (n=364)

Team Rankings

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# Team Three-Point Percentage z Pctl GP
1 North Dakota State 39.8% +2.51 100 29
2 Bradley 39.7% +2.47 100 36
3 Houston 39.4% +2.34 99 40
4 Xavier 39.1% +2.24 99 34
5 Villanova 39.0% +2.20 99 36
6 Liberty 38.7% +2.07 99 32
7 Duke 38.6% +2.03 98 39
8 Wright State 38.6% +2.03 98 31
9 Holy Cross 38.6% +2.01 98 30
10 Yale 38.4% +1.96 98 29
11 UMBC 38.4% +1.92 97 29
12 St. Thomas-Minnesota 38.3% +1.89 97 31
13 Sam Houston 38.3% +1.88 97 29
14 Santa Clara 38.2% +1.87 96 34
15 Miami (OH) 38.2% +1.86 96 32
16 Purdue 38.2% +1.84 96 36
17 Belmont 38.1% +1.82 96 32
18 UC Santa Barbara 38.1% +1.81 95 32
19 Iowa 38.0% +1.78 95 33
20 SMU 37.8% +1.70 95 35
21 Delaware 37.7% +1.65 94 34
22 Memphis 37.6% +1.60 94 35
23 Virginia 37.5% +1.57 94 32
24 Kentucky 37.5% +1.56 94 36
25 Cornell 37.4% +1.51 93 27
26 Maryland 37.3% +1.50 93 36
27 Western Illinois 37.3% +1.48 93 28
28 Cal State Bakersfield 37.2% +1.44 93 31
29 Purdue Fort Wayne 37.1% +1.41 92 30
30 Illinois State 37.1% +1.38 92 35
31 BYU 37.0% +1.37 92 35
32 Butler 37.0% +1.36 91 35
33 Northern Colorado 37.0% +1.36 91 32
34 Clemson 36.9% +1.31 91 34
35 Samford 36.9% +1.31 91 31
36 Jacksonville 36.8% +1.30 90 31
37 Northern Iowa 36.8% +1.30 90 32
38 IU Indianapolis 36.8% +1.27 90 29
39 Ohio State 36.8% +1.26 90 32
40 Missouri 36.7% +1.25 89 34
41 Canisius 36.7% +1.24 89 31
42 Texas Tech 36.7% +1.24 89 37
43 Howard 36.6% +1.21 88 28
44 Little Rock 36.6% +1.20 88 31
45 High Point 36.6% +1.19 88 33
46 Oklahoma 36.5% +1.18 88 34
47 USC 36.5% +1.17 87 35
48 Chattanooga 36.5% +1.14 87 36
49 Lipscomb 36.4% +1.13 87 33
50 Akron 36.4% +1.12 87 33
51 Lehigh 36.4% +1.11 86 28
52 Texas State 36.4% +1.10 86 30
53 Cal Poly 36.3% +1.08 86 34
54 Colorado State 36.3% +1.06 85 36
55 Montana 36.3% +1.05 85 32
56 Washington State 36.2% +1.05 85 34
57 Texas 36.2% +1.04 85 35
58 UNC Greensboro 36.2% +1.03 84 29
59 Dayton 36.1% +1.01 84 33
60 North Texas 36.1% +1.00 84 34
61 UTSA 36.1% +1.00 83 29
62 UC San Diego 36.1% +0.99 83 33
63 Oregon State 36.1% +0.98 83 32
64 Missouri State 36.0% +0.95 83 30
65 Presbyterian 36.0% +0.94 82 30
66 Furman 35.9% +0.92 82 32
67 Auburn 35.9% +0.90 82 38
68 Iowa State 35.8% +0.88 82 35
69 Temple 35.8% +0.87 81 31
70 Colgate 35.7% +0.83 81 32
71 Mercyhurst 35.7% +0.83 81 28
72 Maine 35.7% +0.81 80 32
73 UC Irvine 35.6% +0.80 80 38
74 Drake 35.6% +0.80 80 33
75 Omaha 35.6% +0.80 80 33
76 Providence 35.6% +0.79 79 32
77 Arizona State 35.6% +0.79 79 33
78 Radford 35.6% +0.79 79 31
79 North Carolina 35.6% +0.78 79 37
80 Bellarmine 35.6% +0.78 78 29
81 Lamar 35.6% +0.78 78 30
82 Florida 35.6% +0.77 78 40
83 Charleston 35.5% +0.76 77 32
84 Delaware State 35.5% +0.73 77 26
85 Florida Gulf Coast 35.5% +0.73 77 33
86 Notre Dame 35.5% +0.73 77 33
87 Binghamton 35.4% +0.72 76 29
88 Kansas 35.4% +0.72 76 34
89 UT Arlington 35.4% +0.72 76 29
90 Stonehill 35.4% +0.71 75 30
91 Gonzaga 35.4% +0.70 75 35
92 George Mason 35.4% +0.69 75 35
93 Alabama 35.3% +0.67 75 37
94 Long Beach State 35.3% +0.67 74 30
95 Bucknell 35.3% +0.67 74 33
96 Princeton 35.3% +0.66 74 28
97 San José State 35.3% +0.65 74 33
98 Incarnate Word 35.2% +0.64 73 32
99 Monmouth 35.2% +0.64 73 33
100 UCLA 35.2% +0.64 73 34
101 Southern Indiana 35.2% +0.63 72 28
102 American University 35.2% +0.62 72 33
103 McNeese 35.2% +0.61 72 33
104 Northwestern State 35.2% +0.61 72 30
105 Saint Louis 35.1% +0.60 71 32
106 Tennessee Tech 35.1% +0.58 71 30
107 Florida Atlantic 35.1% +0.58 71 33
108 Southern Illinois 35.1% +0.57 71 31
109 Virginia Tech 35.0% +0.56 70 32
110 Drexel 35.0% +0.56 70 32
111 Ohio 35.0% +0.56 70 31
112 Indiana State 35.0% +0.55 69 30
113 North Florida 35.0% +0.54 69 30
114 Nicholls 35.0% +0.53 69 30
115 Eastern Michigan 35.0% +0.53 69 31
116 Niagara 34.9% +0.52 68 30
117 Eastern Kentucky 34.9% +0.51 68 30
118 Utah State 34.9% +0.50 68 33
119 Queens University 34.9% +0.49 67 32
120 UConn 34.8% +0.48 67 35
121 Coastal Carolina 34.8% +0.46 67 30
122 South Dakota State 34.8% +0.46 67 29
123 Wisconsin 34.8% +0.45 66 37
124 Wofford 34.8% +0.45 66 33
125 Ole Miss 34.8% +0.44 66 36
126 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 34.7% +0.44 66 30
127 East Tennessee State 34.7% +0.44 65 30
128 Cal State Northridge 34.7% +0.42 65 31
129 Idaho 34.7% +0.42 65 31
130 South Carolina State 34.7% +0.41 64 30
131 North Alabama 34.6% +0.40 64 33
132 UTEP 34.6% +0.39 64 30
133 Rhode Island 34.6% +0.38 64 30
134 Pittsburgh 34.6% +0.37 63 32
135 Robert Morris 34.6% +0.37 63 34
136 Ball State 34.6% +0.36 63 28
137 Sacred Heart 34.5% +0.35 63 32
138 William & Mary 34.5% +0.35 62 30
139 Boston College 34.5% +0.34 62 31
140 Mount St. Mary's 34.5% +0.33 62 35
141 Southeast Missouri State 34.5% +0.33 61 30
142 Creighton 34.5% +0.32 61 36
143 Georgia Southern 34.5% +0.32 61 32
144 Northern Arizona 34.4% +0.31 61 30
145 Oral Roberts 34.4% +0.31 60 26
146 DePaul 34.4% +0.31 60 34
147 Wyoming 34.4% +0.29 60 31
148 Oregon 34.4% +0.29 60 35
149 Georgia State 34.4% +0.29 59 32
150 Washington 34.4% +0.28 59 30
151 Baylor 34.3% +0.26 59 34
152 Georgia Tech 34.3% +0.24 58 34
153 Montana State 34.3% +0.24 58 32
154 Penn State 34.3% +0.24 58 31
155 Stanford 34.2% +0.22 58 35
156 James Madison 34.2% +0.22 57 29
157 UNC Asheville 34.2% +0.20 57 28
158 UMass Lowell 34.2% +0.19 57 29
159 Manhattan 34.1% +0.18 56 30
160 Florida A&M 34.1% +0.17 56 28
161 Louisiana Tech 34.1% +0.17 56 29
162 Nevada 34.1% +0.16 56 33
163 Davidson 34.1% +0.16 55 32
164 San Francisco 34.1% +0.16 55 34
165 UIC 34.0% +0.14 55 29
166 Lafayette 34.0% +0.14 55 32
167 New Mexico 34.0% +0.14 54 34
168 UAB 34.0% +0.13 54 36
169 Austin Peay 34.0% +0.13 54 31
170 Duquesne 34.0% +0.12 53 31
171 Loyola Chicago 34.0% +0.12 53 36
172 Pepperdine 34.0% +0.11 53 34
173 App State 34.0% +0.11 53 29
174 Jacksonville State 34.0% +0.11 52 33
175 Dartmouth 33.9% +0.10 52 26
176 Tulane 33.8% +0.07 52 32
177 Stony Brook 33.8% +0.06 52 31
178 Arizona 33.8% +0.05 51 37
179 Saint Francis 33.8% +0.04 51 31
180 VCU 33.8% +0.04 51 34
181 Columbia 33.8% +0.04 50 25
182 UCF 33.8% +0.04 50 37
183 Tennessee 33.8% +0.03 50 38
184 Winthrop 33.8% +0.03 50 31
185 North Carolina Central 33.7% +0.02 49 29
186 Northeastern 33.7% +0.00 49 32
187 Portland 33.7% +0.00 49 30
188 Murray State 33.6% -0.03 48 32
189 Toledo 33.6% -0.05 48 32
190 Nebraska 33.5% -0.06 48 35
191 Saint Joseph's 33.5% -0.06 48 35
192 UC Riverside 33.5% -0.06 47 32
193 Bowling Green 33.4% -0.10 47 29
194 Utah Tech 33.4% -0.12 47 31
195 Towson 33.4% -0.13 47 32
196 Denver 33.3% -0.14 46 29
197 Navy 33.3% -0.14 46 33
198 Northwestern 33.3% -0.16 46 33
199 UNLV 33.3% -0.17 45 33
200 Detroit Mercy 33.3% -0.17 45 31
201 Hofstra 33.2% -0.18 45 31
202 Elon 33.2% -0.18 45 31
203 Rice 33.2% -0.19 44 31
204 Michigan 33.2% -0.20 44 37
205 Texas Southern 33.1% -0.23 44 29
206 Brown 33.1% -0.23 44 26
207 Loyola Marymount 33.1% -0.24 43 31
208 Oklahoma State 33.1% -0.24 43 35
209 SIU Edwardsville 33.1% -0.25 43 31
210 Air Force 33.1% -0.25 42 32
211 Kansas City 33.1% -0.26 42 29
212 Boston University 33.0% -0.28 42 31
213 Stetson 33.0% -0.28 42 29
214 Gardner-Webb 33.0% -0.28 41 31
215 Bryant 33.0% -0.29 41 33
216 Northern Kentucky 33.0% -0.30 41 31
217 Merrimack 33.0% -0.30 40 33
218 Georgia 32.9% -0.30 40 33
219 Green Bay 32.9% -0.31 40 31
220 Central Connecticut 32.9% -0.31 40 30
221 Longwood 32.9% -0.32 39 29
222 Loyola Maryland 32.9% -0.33 39 30
223 Rutgers 32.9% -0.34 39 32
224 Louisville 32.8% -0.35 39 35
225 La Salle 32.8% -0.35 38 32
226 Syracuse 32.8% -0.36 38 33
227 UNC Wilmington 32.8% -0.36 38 33
228 Siena 32.8% -0.37 37 32
229 Le Moyne 32.8% -0.38 37 30
230 Arkansas 32.7% -0.41 37 36
231 Utah 32.7% -0.41 37 33
232 Northern Illinois 32.7% -0.42 36 28
233 Tennessee State 32.6% -0.43 36 30
234 San Diego State 32.6% -0.43 36 30
235 Kansas State 32.6% -0.43 36 32
236 West Virginia 32.6% -0.43 35 32
237 Alabama State 32.6% -0.45 35 35
238 Marquette 32.6% -0.45 35 34
239 Jackson State 32.6% -0.45 34 34
240 Cleveland State 32.6% -0.45 34 33
241 Pennsylvania 32.6% -0.46 34 27
242 Houston Christian 32.5% -0.47 34 30
243 Utah Valley 32.5% -0.48 33 32
244 UL Monroe 32.5% -0.49 33 30
245 North Dakota 32.5% -0.49 33 30
246 Vanderbilt 32.5% -0.49 33 33
247 Cincinnati 32.4% -0.52 32 35
248 Weber State 32.4% -0.54 32 31
249 Hampton 32.4% -0.54 32 30
250 SE Louisiana 32.4% -0.55 31 30
251 Vermont 32.3% -0.56 31 31
252 Georgetown 32.3% -0.56 31 34
253 Valparaiso 32.3% -0.57 31 32
254 Eastern Washington 32.3% -0.58 30 30
255 Marshall 32.3% -0.59 30 31
256 UC Davis 32.2% -0.59 30 30
257 Saint Mary's 32.2% -0.59 29 34
258 Tarleton State 32.2% -0.59 29 29
259 Arkansas State 32.2% -0.60 29 35
260 Minnesota 32.2% -0.61 29 32
261 Saint Peter's 32.2% -0.62 28 27
262 Fairleigh Dickinson 32.2% -0.62 28 30
263 NC State 32.2% -0.63 28 31
264 Indiana 32.1% -0.64 28 32
265 Colorado 32.1% -0.66 27 35
266 Harvard 32.0% -0.68 27 26
267 Fordham 32.0% -0.69 27 32
268 Portland State 32.0% -0.70 26 29
269 Grambling 32.0% -0.71 26 31
270 Campbell 31.9% -0.73 26 30
271 Bethune-Cookman 31.9% -0.75 26 33
272 Milwaukee 31.9% -0.75 25 30
273 UT Rio Grande Valley 31.8% -0.76 25 27
274 Alcorn State 31.8% -0.77 25 31
275 Iona 31.8% -0.79 25 34
276 Mercer 31.8% -0.79 24 31
277 Western Kentucky 31.7% -0.80 24 30
278 California Baptist 31.7% -0.80 24 32
279 New Hampshire 31.7% -0.80 23 30
280 Eastern Illinois 31.7% -0.81 23 28
281 South Alabama 31.7% -0.81 23 30
282 UAlbany 31.7% -0.82 23 31
283 Boise State 31.7% -0.83 22 36
284 Florida State 31.7% -0.83 22 32
285 South Carolina 31.6% -0.85 22 32
286 Wagner 31.6% -0.86 21 26
287 South Florida 31.6% -0.86 21 31
288 South Dakota 31.6% -0.87 21 30
289 Morgan State 31.6% -0.88 21 28
290 Prairie View A&M 31.5% -0.88 20 31
291 Maryland Eastern Shore 31.5% -0.89 20 27
292 Middle Tennessee 31.5% -0.89 20 32
293 California 31.5% -0.90 20 33
294 Fairfield 31.5% -0.91 19 31
295 Mississippi State 31.4% -0.92 19 34
296 Marist 31.4% -0.93 19 30
297 East Texas A&M 31.4% -0.94 18 31
298 Central Michigan 31.3% -0.96 18 27
299 St. Bonaventure 31.3% -0.96 18 33
300 Louisiana 31.3% -0.97 18 32
301 Fresno State 31.3% -0.97 17 32
302 Youngstown State 31.3% -0.97 17 32
303 Miami 31.3% -0.97 17 31
304 George Washington 31.3% -0.97 17 33
305 Illinois 31.3% -0.98 16 35
306 Seattle U 31.3% -0.98 16 30
307 Grand Canyon 31.3% -0.99 16 33
308 Idaho State 31.2% -1.00 15 27
309 Southern 31.2% -1.01 15 29
310 Morehead State 31.2% -1.01 15 29
311 East Carolina 31.2% -1.02 15 31
312 Army 31.2% -1.02 14 31
313 Kent State 31.2% -1.03 14 34
314 Richmond 31.2% -1.03 14 30
315 Rider 31.2% -1.03 13 33
316 Seton Hall 31.2% -1.03 13 32
317 Tulsa 31.2% -1.03 13 31
318 Sacramento State 31.2% -1.04 13 29
319 Michigan State 31.1% -1.07 12 37
320 UT Martin 31.1% -1.08 12 30
321 VMI 31.0% -1.10 12 30
322 Charlotte 31.0% -1.10 12 32
323 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 31.0% -1.11 11 29
324 Hawai'i 31.0% -1.12 11 29
325 New Mexico State 30.9% -1.15 11 29
326 Alabama A&M 30.8% -1.19 10 29
327 Norfolk State 30.8% -1.20 10 32
328 Texas A&M 30.7% -1.24 10 34
329 Charleston Southern 30.7% -1.24 10 30
330 Oakland 30.6% -1.27 9 33
331 Kennesaw State 30.6% -1.27 9 30
332 Chicago State 30.6% -1.28 9 32
333 NJIT 30.5% -1.29 9 30
334 Southern Utah 30.5% -1.30 8 28
335 LSU 30.5% -1.31 8 32
336 Buffalo 30.5% -1.32 8 29
337 New Orleans 30.4% -1.33 7 31
338 Long Island University 30.3% -1.40 7 31
339 Wichita State 30.2% -1.43 7 33
340 St. John's 30.1% -1.47 7 36
341 Troy 30.1% -1.48 6 32
342 Southern Miss 30.0% -1.50 6 29
343 North Carolina A&T 30.0% -1.51 6 31
344 Evansville 29.9% -1.56 6 31
345 Quinnipiac 29.8% -1.60 5 32
346 Pacific 29.7% -1.63 5 31
347 San Diego 29.7% -1.64 5 32
348 West Georgia 29.7% -1.65 4 30
349 Western Carolina 29.7% -1.65 4 27
350 Central Arkansas 29.6% -1.66 4 31
351 South Carolina Upstate 29.4% -1.75 4 29
352 TCU 29.2% -1.84 3 31
353 The Citadel 29.2% -1.86 3 26
354 Coppin State 29.0% -1.93 3 29
355 Abilene Christian 28.9% -1.97 2 29
356 Mississippi Valley State 28.8% -2.02 2 29
357 Florida International 28.8% -2.02 2 31
358 Stephen F. Austin 28.7% -2.03 2 28
359 Wake Forest 28.5% -2.13 1 32
360 Old Dominion 28.3% -2.21 1 33
361 Western Michigan 28.2% -2.26 1 31
362 Massachusetts 28.0% -2.33 1 31
363 Cal State Fullerton 27.0% -2.74 0 30
364 Lindenwood 26.7% -2.87 0 30