Why don't you get back into bed. "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.60 (team entering with the better value wins 57% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 60.9% max 78.6% mean 70.1% std 2.7% (n=364)

Team Rankings

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# Team Defensive Rebound Percentage z Pctl GP
1 South Dakota State 78.6% +3.13 100 29
2 Northern Colorado 77.6% +2.74 100 32
3 Boise State 77.5% +2.70 99 36
4 Boston University 76.6% +2.39 99 31
5 Princeton 75.8% +2.10 99 28
6 Cal State Northridge 75.7% +2.06 99 31
7 Northern Arizona 75.6% +2.02 98 30
8 Saint Mary's 75.4% +1.93 98 34
9 Michigan State 75.3% +1.90 98 37
10 Hawai'i 75.1% +1.84 98 29
11 Dartmouth 75.1% +1.84 97 26
12 Wagner 75.0% +1.81 97 26
13 Illinois State 74.8% +1.74 97 35
14 Northern Iowa 74.7% +1.68 96 32
15 Central Connecticut 74.7% +1.67 96 30
16 Morehead State 74.6% +1.66 96 29
17 Xavier 74.5% +1.63 96 34
18 Marist 74.4% +1.59 95 30
19 Drake 74.3% +1.54 95 33
20 Vermont 74.2% +1.51 95 31
21 Illinois 74.2% +1.51 94 35
22 Colorado State 74.2% +1.50 94 36
23 New Mexico 74.2% +1.49 94 34
24 Yale 74.1% +1.47 94 29
25 Idaho State 74.1% +1.46 93 27
26 Omaha 74.1% +1.45 93 33
27 Quinnipiac 74.0% +1.42 93 32
28 Notre Dame 74.0% +1.41 93 33
29 Syracuse 73.9% +1.39 92 33
30 BYU 73.9% +1.38 92 35
31 Wofford 73.7% +1.31 92 33
32 Jacksonville State 73.7% +1.30 91 33
33 Florida Gulf Coast 73.6% +1.27 91 33
34 Murray State 73.6% +1.27 91 32
35 Kentucky 73.6% +1.27 91 36
36 Nevada 73.5% +1.25 90 33
37 UC Irvine 73.5% +1.24 90 38
38 Milwaukee 73.4% +1.23 90 30
39 Lipscomb 73.4% +1.22 90 33
40 Utah Valley 73.4% +1.20 89 32
41 Santa Clara 73.3% +1.18 89 34
42 Columbia 73.3% +1.16 89 25
43 Wisconsin 73.3% +1.16 88 37
44 Gonzaga 73.1% +1.10 88 35
45 Colgate 73.1% +1.10 88 32
46 Binghamton 73.1% +1.09 88 29
47 Davidson 73.1% +1.09 87 32
48 North Carolina 73.1% +1.08 87 37
49 Long Island University 73.0% +1.07 87 31
50 Seattle U 73.0% +1.05 87 30
51 Holy Cross 73.0% +1.05 86 30
52 St. Bonaventure 73.0% +1.05 86 33
53 Indiana State 73.0% +1.04 86 30
54 Louisville 72.9% +1.04 85 35
55 Navy 72.8% +0.99 85 33
56 Creighton 72.8% +0.98 85 36
57 Wyoming 72.8% +0.97 85 31
58 Duke 72.7% +0.97 84 39
59 South Carolina 72.7% +0.95 84 32
60 Niagara 72.7% +0.94 84 30
61 American University 72.6% +0.91 83 33
62 Kennesaw State 72.6% +0.90 83 30
63 Sacramento State 72.4% +0.86 83 29
64 Kansas 72.4% +0.85 83 34
65 Kent State 72.4% +0.83 82 34
66 Oregon State 72.3% +0.82 82 32
67 Bowling Green 72.3% +0.82 82 29
68 New Mexico State 72.3% +0.81 82 29
69 Richmond 72.3% +0.80 81 30
70 Villanova 72.3% +0.80 81 36
71 Campbell 72.3% +0.80 81 30
72 Loyola Chicago 72.3% +0.79 80 36
73 San Francisco 72.3% +0.79 80 34
74 UConn 72.2% +0.78 80 35
75 Loyola Maryland 72.1% +0.75 80 30
76 Arizona 72.1% +0.74 79 37
77 UIC 72.1% +0.74 79 29
78 Western Michigan 72.1% +0.73 79 31
79 Wright State 72.1% +0.73 79 31
80 Saint Joseph's 72.1% +0.73 78 35
81 Mount St. Mary's 72.1% +0.72 78 35
82 Ball State 72.1% +0.72 78 28
83 Iowa State 72.1% +0.72 77 35
84 Towson 72.0% +0.71 77 32
85 Southern Illinois 72.0% +0.70 77 31
86 Robert Morris 72.0% +0.70 77 34
87 Texas A&M 72.0% +0.70 76 34
88 Bradley 72.0% +0.70 76 36
89 Bucknell 72.0% +0.70 76 33
90 Lafayette 72.0% +0.69 75 32
91 Saint Louis 72.0% +0.69 75 32
92 North Texas 71.9% +0.66 75 34
93 Western Kentucky 71.9% +0.66 75 30
94 Liberty 71.9% +0.66 74 32
95 Indiana 71.9% +0.64 74 32
96 Utah 71.8% +0.63 74 33
97 Pacific 71.8% +0.63 74 31
98 Maryland 71.8% +0.63 73 36
99 Charleston Southern 71.8% +0.62 73 30
100 UNC Wilmington 71.8% +0.61 73 33
101 Charleston 71.7% +0.60 72 32
102 Colorado 71.7% +0.59 72 35
103 Texas Tech 71.7% +0.57 72 37
104 Stanford 71.6% +0.55 72 35
105 UAlbany 71.6% +0.54 71 31
106 Missouri State 71.6% +0.53 71 30
107 Washington 71.5% +0.52 71 30
108 Southern 71.5% +0.52 71 29
109 Nebraska 71.5% +0.51 70 35
110 Valparaiso 71.5% +0.51 70 32
111 Rhode Island 71.4% +0.49 70 30
112 Hofstra 71.4% +0.48 69 31
113 UC San Diego 71.4% +0.48 69 33
114 Georgia Tech 71.4% +0.47 69 34
115 Dayton 71.4% +0.47 69 33
116 Houston 71.4% +0.47 68 40
117 Louisiana Tech 71.3% +0.46 68 29
118 Hampton 71.3% +0.45 68 30
119 Southeast Missouri State 71.3% +0.45 67 30
120 North Dakota 71.3% +0.45 67 30
121 Mercer 71.3% +0.44 67 31
122 Middle Tennessee 71.3% +0.44 67 32
123 DePaul 71.3% +0.43 66 34
124 Providence 71.3% +0.43 66 32
125 Coastal Carolina 71.3% +0.42 66 30
126 Wichita State 71.2% +0.41 66 33
127 North Alabama 71.2% +0.39 65 33
128 California 71.2% +0.39 65 33
129 UC Riverside 71.2% +0.39 65 32
130 Cornell 71.1% +0.37 64 27
131 Georgetown 71.1% +0.37 64 34
132 Grand Canyon 71.1% +0.37 64 33
133 Butler 71.1% +0.36 64 35
134 Chattanooga 71.1% +0.35 63 36
135 Montana 71.0% +0.34 63 32
136 North Dakota State 71.0% +0.34 63 29
137 Air Force 71.0% +0.33 63 32
138 Ohio 71.0% +0.31 62 31
139 Florida 71.0% +0.31 62 40
140 Miami (OH) 71.0% +0.31 62 32
141 Central Michigan 70.9% +0.31 61 27
142 Oregon 70.9% +0.31 61 35
143 Lehigh 70.9% +0.30 61 28
144 Denver 70.9% +0.30 61 29
145 Penn State 70.9% +0.28 60 31
146 Army 70.8% +0.27 60 31
147 UC Santa Barbara 70.8% +0.27 60 32
148 West Georgia 70.8% +0.26 60 30
149 Evansville 70.8% +0.26 59 31
150 Virginia Tech 70.8% +0.24 59 32
151 Charlotte 70.8% +0.24 59 32
152 George Mason 70.7% +0.20 58 35
153 Texas 70.6% +0.19 58 35
154 Western Carolina 70.6% +0.19 58 27
155 Belmont 70.6% +0.19 58 32
156 Stonehill 70.6% +0.18 57 30
157 SE Louisiana 70.6% +0.18 57 30
158 Akron 70.6% +0.17 57 33
159 Alabama 70.6% +0.17 56 37
160 Montana State 70.6% +0.17 56 32
161 Cincinnati 70.5% +0.15 56 35
162 La Salle 70.5% +0.14 56 32
163 Bryant 70.5% +0.13 55 33
164 App State 70.4% +0.11 55 29
165 Marshall 70.4% +0.11 55 31
166 Oklahoma State 70.4% +0.11 55 35
167 Rice 70.4% +0.11 54 31
168 California Baptist 70.4% +0.11 54 32
169 Florida International 70.4% +0.09 54 31
170 Longwood 70.4% +0.09 53 29
171 Virginia 70.3% +0.09 53 32
172 Auburn 70.3% +0.08 53 38
173 Purdue 70.3% +0.07 53 36
174 Kansas City 70.3% +0.07 52 29
175 Vanderbilt 70.3% +0.06 52 33
176 Queens University 70.3% +0.06 52 32
177 Cal State Bakersfield 70.3% +0.06 52 31
178 SIU Edwardsville 70.3% +0.05 51 31
179 Pennsylvania 70.3% +0.05 51 27
180 East Tennessee State 70.2% +0.05 51 30
181 Cal State Fullerton 70.2% +0.04 50 30
182 UNLV 70.2% +0.04 50 33
183 St. John's 70.2% +0.04 50 36
184 UCLA 70.2% +0.02 50 34
185 Portland 70.1% +0.01 49 30
186 TCU 70.1% +0.01 49 31
187 Pittsburgh 70.1% +0.01 49 32
188 SMU 70.1% +0.01 48 35
189 Arkansas 70.1% -0.00 48 36
190 Mississippi State 70.1% -0.01 48 34
191 Sacred Heart 70.1% -0.01 48 32
192 Saint Francis 70.1% -0.02 47 31
193 Pepperdine 70.0% -0.02 47 34
194 Bellarmine 70.0% -0.03 47 29
195 Jackson State 70.0% -0.03 47 34
196 Siena 70.0% -0.03 46 32
197 Boston College 70.0% -0.04 46 31
198 Central Arkansas 70.0% -0.05 46 31
199 Bethune-Cookman 70.0% -0.05 45 33
200 Radford 70.0% -0.06 45 31
201 Weber State 69.9% -0.06 45 31
202 Drexel 69.9% -0.07 45 32
203 Northwestern 69.9% -0.07 44 33
204 UNC Greensboro 69.9% -0.09 44 29
205 William & Mary 69.8% -0.11 44 30
206 Michigan 69.8% -0.11 44 37
207 USC 69.8% -0.12 43 35
208 Gardner-Webb 69.8% -0.13 43 31
209 Tennessee 69.7% -0.13 43 38
210 UAB 69.7% -0.13 42 36
211 Arizona State 69.7% -0.14 42 33
212 James Madison 69.7% -0.14 42 29
213 Tennessee State 69.7% -0.14 42 30
214 UMass Lowell 69.7% -0.14 41 29
215 Arkansas State 69.7% -0.14 41 35
216 Utah State 69.7% -0.16 41 33
217 VCU 69.6% -0.17 40 34
218 Clemson 69.6% -0.19 40 34
219 Ole Miss 69.6% -0.20 40 36
220 Portland State 69.6% -0.20 40 29
221 Detroit Mercy 69.5% -0.22 39 31
222 Southern Miss 69.5% -0.22 39 29
223 Ohio State 69.5% -0.23 39 32
224 Jacksonville 69.5% -0.23 39 31
225 Fordham 69.4% -0.24 38 32
226 High Point 69.4% -0.26 38 33
227 Minnesota 69.4% -0.27 38 32
228 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 69.3% -0.29 37 30
229 Duquesne 69.3% -0.30 37 31
230 Rider 69.3% -0.31 37 33
231 Brown 69.3% -0.31 37 26
232 Miami 69.2% -0.32 36 31
233 UT Martin 69.2% -0.32 36 30
234 Alabama State 69.2% -0.33 36 35
235 Northern Illinois 69.2% -0.33 36 28
236 West Virginia 69.2% -0.35 35 32
237 Baylor 69.1% -0.36 35 34
238 Loyola Marymount 69.1% -0.37 35 31
239 Iona 69.1% -0.38 34 34
240 Eastern Illinois 69.1% -0.38 34 28
241 Toledo 69.1% -0.38 34 32
242 Saint Peter's 69.0% -0.39 34 27
243 Furman 69.0% -0.40 33 32
244 Fairfield 69.0% -0.41 33 31
245 Marquette 69.0% -0.42 33 34
246 San Diego State 69.0% -0.42 33 30
247 Massachusetts 69.0% -0.42 32 31
248 Presbyterian 68.9% -0.44 32 30
249 Tulsa 68.9% -0.44 32 31
250 Grambling 68.9% -0.44 31 31
251 Harvard 68.9% -0.45 31 26
252 Austin Peay 68.8% -0.46 31 31
253 Youngstown State 68.8% -0.47 31 32
254 East Carolina 68.8% -0.47 30 31
255 Stony Brook 68.8% -0.48 30 31
256 St. Thomas-Minnesota 68.8% -0.48 30 31
257 Temple 68.8% -0.49 29 31
258 Southern Indiana 68.7% -0.51 29 28
259 Kansas State 68.7% -0.51 29 32
260 Buffalo 68.7% -0.52 29 29
261 Idaho 68.7% -0.53 28 31
262 Florida A&M 68.7% -0.53 28 28
263 North Carolina A&T 68.6% -0.54 28 31
264 Northeastern 68.6% -0.56 28 32
265 Winthrop 68.5% -0.58 27 31
266 Florida Atlantic 68.5% -0.58 27 33
267 Nicholls 68.5% -0.58 27 30
268 Texas State 68.5% -0.58 26 30
269 Abilene Christian 68.5% -0.58 26 29
270 Lindenwood 68.5% -0.59 26 30
271 Elon 68.5% -0.60 26 31
272 Wake Forest 68.5% -0.61 25 32
273 New Hampshire 68.4% -0.62 25 30
274 San Diego 68.4% -0.63 25 32
275 McNeese 68.3% -0.65 25 33
276 Eastern Michigan 68.3% -0.65 24 31
277 Troy 68.3% -0.65 24 32
278 Lamar 68.2% -0.69 24 30
279 Incarnate Word 68.2% -0.69 23 32
280 Florida State 68.2% -0.70 23 32
281 Seton Hall 68.2% -0.70 23 32
282 San José State 68.2% -0.70 23 33
283 NJIT 68.2% -0.71 22 30
284 Oklahoma 68.2% -0.71 22 34
285 Western Illinois 68.2% -0.72 22 28
286 Georgia 68.1% -0.75 21 33
287 Georgia State 68.1% -0.75 21 32
288 Old Dominion 68.0% -0.76 21 33
289 Houston Christian 68.0% -0.76 21 30
290 Fairleigh Dickinson 68.0% -0.77 20 30
291 The Citadel 68.0% -0.77 20 26
292 Southern Utah 68.0% -0.78 20 28
293 Green Bay 68.0% -0.78 20 31
294 VMI 67.9% -0.79 19 30
295 Tulane 67.9% -0.80 19 32
296 Delaware State 67.9% -0.82 19 26
297 Manhattan 67.8% -0.84 18 30
298 Sam Houston 67.8% -0.85 18 29
299 Iowa 67.8% -0.85 18 33
300 South Alabama 67.8% -0.86 18 30
301 Rutgers 67.8% -0.86 17 32
302 Missouri 67.7% -0.87 17 34
303 Memphis 67.7% -0.89 17 35
304 Maine 67.7% -0.90 17 32
305 South Carolina Upstate 67.6% -0.92 16 29
306 UTEP 67.6% -0.92 16 30
307 Tennessee Tech 67.6% -0.93 16 30
308 UT Arlington 67.5% -0.94 15 29
309 UL Monroe 67.5% -0.95 15 30
310 George Washington 67.5% -0.96 15 33
311 NC State 67.5% -0.97 15 31
312 Delaware 67.5% -0.97 14 34
313 Northern Kentucky 67.5% -0.97 14 31
314 Alcorn State 67.5% -0.97 14 31
315 Oakland 67.4% -0.99 13 33
316 Northwestern State 67.4% -1.00 13 30
317 South Carolina State 67.3% -1.03 13 30
318 Purdue Fort Wayne 67.2% -1.07 13 30
319 Le Moyne 67.1% -1.10 12 30
320 Georgia Southern 67.0% -1.16 12 32
321 Oral Roberts 66.9% -1.18 12 26
322 Stephen F. Austin 66.9% -1.19 12 28
323 Cal Poly 66.8% -1.20 11 34
324 Eastern Kentucky 66.8% -1.20 11 30
325 South Florida 66.8% -1.21 11 31
326 Mercyhurst 66.7% -1.23 10 28
327 Washington State 66.6% -1.27 10 34
328 IU Indianapolis 66.6% -1.30 10 29
329 Utah Tech 66.5% -1.31 10 31
330 Samford 66.5% -1.32 9 31
331 UC Davis 66.4% -1.35 9 30
332 Eastern Washington 66.4% -1.37 9 30
333 Chicago State 66.4% -1.38 9 32
334 Cleveland State 66.4% -1.38 8 33
335 UMBC 66.3% -1.39 8 29
336 Howard 66.2% -1.43 8 28
337 Tarleton State 66.1% -1.46 7 29
338 UT Rio Grande Valley 66.1% -1.46 7 27
339 Coppin State 66.1% -1.46 7 29
340 UNC Asheville 65.9% -1.53 7 28
341 Fresno State 65.9% -1.53 6 32
342 Maryland Eastern Shore 65.9% -1.55 6 27
343 North Florida 65.8% -1.59 6 30
344 UCF 65.8% -1.59 6 37
345 Canisius 65.7% -1.62 5 31
346 LSU 65.7% -1.63 5 32
347 Stetson 65.6% -1.67 5 29
348 Norfolk State 65.4% -1.73 4 32
349 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 65.4% -1.74 4 29
350 Alabama A&M 65.4% -1.74 4 29
351 Texas Southern 65.3% -1.76 4 29
352 Monmouth 65.2% -1.79 3 33
353 Long Beach State 65.1% -1.84 3 30
354 Little Rock 64.6% -2.02 3 31
355 UTSA 64.5% -2.07 2 29
356 Louisiana 64.5% -2.07 2 32
357 New Orleans 64.5% -2.07 2 31
358 South Dakota 64.3% -2.14 2 30
359 East Texas A&M 64.1% -2.21 1 31
360 Morgan State 63.1% -2.58 1 28
361 Mississippi Valley State 62.0% -2.96 1 29
362 Merrimack 61.4% -3.19 1 33
363 North Carolina Central 61.2% -3.27 0 29
364 Prairie View A&M 60.9% -3.37 0 31