What's the point of robbery when nothing is worth taking? "Stand and Deliver" - Adam and the Ants

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.66 (team entering with the better value wins 61% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 0.49 max 2.07 mean 1.14 std 0.23 (n=364)

Team Rankings

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# Team Assist-to-Turnover Ratio z Pctl GP
1 Gonzaga 2.07 +4.10 100 35
2 Iowa 1.87 +3.23 100 33
3 Duke 1.82 +3.02 99 39
4 Auburn 1.71 +2.50 99 38
5 Texas Tech 1.70 +2.48 99 37
6 Chattanooga 1.68 +2.37 99 36
7 UC San Diego 1.67 +2.35 98 33
8 UAB 1.63 +2.14 98 36
9 Yale 1.59 +1.97 98 29
10 Liberty 1.57 +1.92 98 32
11 Ole Miss 1.57 +1.91 97 36
12 Saint Mary's 1.57 +1.91 97 34
13 Utah State 1.56 +1.87 97 33
14 UConn 1.56 +1.84 96 35
15 Kentucky 1.55 +1.80 96 36
16 UCLA 1.55 +1.79 96 34
17 Xavier 1.53 +1.72 96 34
18 Columbia 1.53 +1.72 95 25
19 Purdue 1.53 +1.72 95 36
20 St. Thomas-Minnesota 1.53 +1.72 95 31
21 Belmont 1.52 +1.69 94 32
22 Davidson 1.51 +1.63 94 32
23 Wisconsin 1.51 +1.63 94 37
24 Kansas 1.50 +1.58 94 34
25 Cornell 1.49 +1.56 93 27
26 Nevada 1.48 +1.52 93 33
27 Tennessee 1.48 +1.48 93 38
28 Marquette 1.47 +1.45 93 34
29 Lipscomb 1.47 +1.45 92 33
30 Santa Clara 1.46 +1.42 92 34
31 Dayton 1.46 +1.41 92 33
32 Michigan State 1.46 +1.41 91 37
33 Northwestern 1.46 +1.41 91 33
34 Akron 1.46 +1.39 91 33
35 Virginia 1.46 +1.39 91 32
36 South Alabama 1.45 +1.37 90 30
37 St. John's 1.44 +1.33 90 36
38 Colorado State 1.43 +1.30 90 36
39 BYU 1.43 +1.27 90 35
40 Arizona 1.42 +1.24 89 37
41 Mississippi State 1.42 +1.22 89 34
42 Princeton 1.41 +1.21 89 28
43 North Dakota State 1.41 +1.20 88 29
44 Furman 1.41 +1.19 88 32
45 Minnesota 1.41 +1.19 88 32
46 Utah 1.40 +1.16 88 33
47 Maryland 1.40 +1.15 87 36
48 North Florida 1.40 +1.15 87 30
49 Creighton 1.40 +1.14 87 36
50 Florida 1.39 +1.12 87 40
51 Pepperdine 1.38 +1.06 86 34
52 North Carolina 1.38 +1.05 86 37
53 North Alabama 1.38 +1.05 86 33
54 Florida Atlantic 1.38 +1.05 85 33
55 Indiana 1.37 +1.02 85 32
56 Maine 1.37 +1.00 85 32
57 UNC Wilmington 1.37 +1.00 85 33
58 Vanderbilt 1.37 +1.00 84 33
59 Charleston 1.37 +1.00 84 32
60 Northern Colorado 1.36 +0.99 84 32
61 Alabama 1.36 +0.95 83 37
62 Purdue Fort Wayne 1.35 +0.94 83 30
63 Clemson 1.35 +0.93 83 34
64 Northern Arizona 1.35 +0.91 83 30
65 Pittsburgh 1.34 +0.90 82 32
66 Toledo 1.34 +0.90 82 32
67 Army 1.34 +0.90 82 31
68 Cincinnati 1.34 +0.90 82 35
69 Loyola Chicago 1.34 +0.89 81 36
70 Houston 1.34 +0.89 81 40
71 Illinois State 1.34 +0.88 81 35
72 Arkansas State 1.34 +0.88 80 35
73 NC State 1.34 +0.86 80 31
74 VCU 1.33 +0.84 80 34
75 Baylor 1.33 +0.84 80 34
76 Eastern Kentucky 1.33 +0.84 79 30
77 Tulane 1.33 +0.84 79 32
78 SMU 1.33 +0.83 79 35
79 Northern Iowa 1.32 +0.80 79 32
80 Sacred Heart 1.32 +0.79 78 32
81 Stanford 1.32 +0.79 78 35
82 Merrimack 1.32 +0.78 78 33
83 Boise State 1.31 +0.75 77 36
84 Oregon State 1.30 +0.72 77 32
85 Lafayette 1.30 +0.70 77 32
86 Texas 1.30 +0.70 77 35
87 Florida Gulf Coast 1.30 +0.69 76 33
88 Wofford 1.29 +0.68 76 33
89 Penn State 1.29 +0.67 76 31
90 Saint Joseph's 1.29 +0.67 75 35
91 Kansas State 1.29 +0.66 75 32
92 Manhattan 1.29 +0.66 75 30
93 West Virginia 1.28 +0.64 75 32
94 Montana State 1.28 +0.64 74 32
95 Villanova 1.27 +0.58 74 36
96 Illinois 1.27 +0.58 74 35
97 Ohio 1.27 +0.57 74 31
98 Oregon 1.27 +0.57 73 35
99 Butler 1.27 +0.57 73 35
100 Missouri 1.26 +0.54 73 34
101 New Mexico 1.26 +0.53 72 34
102 Robert Morris 1.26 +0.52 72 34
103 Miami (OH) 1.26 +0.52 72 32
104 USC 1.26 +0.51 72 35
105 Campbell 1.25 +0.51 71 30
106 Nebraska 1.25 +0.50 71 35
107 Iowa State 1.25 +0.47 71 35
108 Dartmouth 1.24 +0.46 71 26
109 McNeese 1.24 +0.46 70 33
110 Colgate 1.24 +0.45 70 32
111 William & Mary 1.24 +0.45 70 30
112 High Point 1.24 +0.45 69 33
113 Pennsylvania 1.24 +0.43 69 27
114 Alabama State 1.24 +0.42 69 35
115 Omaha 1.23 +0.41 69 33
116 Utah Valley 1.23 +0.41 68 32
117 Austin Peay 1.23 +0.41 68 31
118 Loyola Marymount 1.23 +0.41 68 31
119 Arkansas 1.23 +0.40 67 36
120 Louisville 1.23 +0.40 67 35
121 DePaul 1.23 +0.40 67 34
122 Queens University 1.23 +0.39 67 32
123 UC Irvine 1.23 +0.38 66 38
124 Marshall 1.23 +0.38 66 31
125 IU Indianapolis 1.23 +0.38 66 29
126 UMBC 1.23 +0.38 66 29
127 UNC Asheville 1.22 +0.37 65 28
128 South Florida 1.22 +0.37 65 31
129 Brown 1.22 +0.35 65 26
130 Mercyhurst 1.22 +0.35 64 28
131 Tennessee Tech 1.22 +0.35 64 30
132 Georgia Tech 1.22 +0.34 64 34
133 UC Santa Barbara 1.22 +0.34 64 32
134 Wright State 1.22 +0.33 63 31
135 Georgetown 1.22 +0.33 63 34
136 Montana 1.21 +0.32 63 32
137 Ohio State 1.21 +0.30 63 32
138 East Tennessee State 1.21 +0.30 62 30
139 Samford 1.21 +0.30 62 31
140 Bradley 1.21 +0.29 62 36
141 East Carolina 1.20 +0.29 61 31
142 UNC Greensboro 1.20 +0.27 61 29
143 Lehigh 1.20 +0.26 61 28
144 Delaware 1.19 +0.24 61 34
145 San Francisco 1.19 +0.23 60 34
146 Fairfield 1.19 +0.22 60 31
147 Portland 1.19 +0.22 60 30
148 Bryant 1.19 +0.22 60 33
149 Southeast Missouri State 1.19 +0.20 59 30
150 Navy 1.18 +0.20 59 33
151 Rutgers 1.18 +0.19 59 32
152 Charlotte 1.18 +0.19 58 32
153 UIC 1.18 +0.18 58 29
154 Miami 1.18 +0.16 58 31
155 Marist 1.17 +0.15 58 30
156 South Dakota 1.17 +0.14 57 30
157 Stonehill 1.17 +0.14 57 30
158 Northern Kentucky 1.17 +0.12 57 31
159 Drake 1.16 +0.10 56 33
160 Washington State 1.16 +0.09 56 34
161 Valparaiso 1.16 +0.08 56 32
162 Saint Louis 1.16 +0.08 56 32
163 Central Connecticut 1.16 +0.08 55 30
164 Tulsa 1.16 +0.07 55 31
165 UMass Lowell 1.16 +0.07 55 29
166 UC Riverside 1.16 +0.07 55 32
167 West Georgia 1.15 +0.06 54 30
168 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 1.15 +0.06 54 30
169 Loyola Maryland 1.15 +0.05 54 30
170 Cal State Northridge 1.15 +0.03 53 31
171 UT Rio Grande Valley 1.14 +0.02 53 27
172 Richmond 1.14 +0.02 53 30
173 UCF 1.14 +0.01 53 37
174 San Diego State 1.14 -0.01 52 30
175 Harvard 1.13 -0.03 52 26
176 Michigan 1.13 -0.03 52 37
177 American University 1.13 -0.03 52 33
178 Bellarmine 1.13 -0.04 51 29
179 UNLV 1.13 -0.04 51 33
180 Texas State 1.13 -0.06 51 30
181 Ball State 1.13 -0.06 50 28
182 Hofstra 1.13 -0.06 50 31
183 UAlbany 1.12 -0.07 50 31
184 Rider 1.12 -0.07 50 33
185 Louisiana Tech 1.12 -0.08 49 29
186 South Dakota State 1.12 -0.09 49 29
187 Presbyterian 1.12 -0.10 49 30
188 UTSA 1.12 -0.10 48 29
189 Fairleigh Dickinson 1.11 -0.12 48 30
190 Oklahoma 1.11 -0.12 48 34
191 Green Bay 1.11 -0.14 48 31
192 Duquesne 1.11 -0.15 47 31
193 Towson 1.11 -0.15 47 32
194 SIU Edwardsville 1.10 -0.17 47 31
195 Idaho State 1.10 -0.17 47 27
196 Lamar 1.10 -0.18 46 30
197 App State 1.10 -0.20 46 29
198 Western Michigan 1.09 -0.20 46 31
199 Cleveland State 1.09 -0.21 45 33
200 Southern Illinois 1.09 -0.23 45 31
201 UTEP 1.08 -0.25 45 30
202 Massachusetts 1.08 -0.25 45 31
203 Indiana State 1.08 -0.26 44 30
204 Syracuse 1.08 -0.27 44 33
205 Oakland 1.08 -0.27 44 33
206 James Madison 1.08 -0.28 44 29
207 George Washington 1.07 -0.29 43 33
208 Quinnipiac 1.07 -0.31 43 32
209 Monmouth 1.07 -0.32 43 33
210 Rhode Island 1.07 -0.32 42 30
211 Central Arkansas 1.07 -0.32 42 31
212 Washington 1.07 -0.33 42 30
213 Florida State 1.06 -0.35 42 32
214 Norfolk State 1.06 -0.35 41 32
215 San José State 1.06 -0.37 41 33
216 Middle Tennessee 1.05 -0.40 41 32
217 Drexel 1.05 -0.41 40 32
218 South Carolina State 1.04 -0.42 40 30
219 Jacksonville State 1.04 -0.43 40 33
220 New Mexico State 1.04 -0.43 40 29
221 La Salle 1.04 -0.43 39 32
222 Wichita State 1.04 -0.43 39 33
223 North Carolina Central 1.04 -0.44 39 29
224 Northeastern 1.04 -0.44 39 32
225 Memphis 1.04 -0.45 38 35
226 North Dakota 1.04 -0.45 38 30
227 Mercer 1.03 -0.46 38 31
228 Bucknell 1.03 -0.47 37 33
229 Central Michigan 1.03 -0.47 37 27
230 Troy 1.03 -0.47 37 32
231 Arizona State 1.03 -0.48 37 33
232 Evansville 1.03 -0.49 36 31
233 Eastern Washington 1.03 -0.49 36 30
234 Nicholls 1.03 -0.49 36 30
235 Notre Dame 1.03 -0.50 36 33
236 UL Monroe 1.03 -0.51 35 30
237 Youngstown State 1.03 -0.51 35 32
238 Incarnate Word 1.02 -0.51 35 32
239 St. Bonaventure 1.02 -0.52 34 33
240 South Carolina 1.02 -0.52 34 32
241 Holy Cross 1.02 -0.52 34 30
242 Northern Illinois 1.02 -0.52 34 28
243 Seattle U 1.02 -0.53 33 30
244 Portland State 1.02 -0.53 33 29
245 UT Arlington 1.02 -0.54 33 29
246 Vermont 1.02 -0.54 33 31
247 North Texas 1.02 -0.54 32 34
248 Murray State 1.02 -0.55 32 32
249 Grand Canyon 1.02 -0.55 32 33
250 Providence 1.01 -0.55 31 32
251 Fordham 1.01 -0.56 31 32
252 Longwood 1.01 -0.56 31 29
253 North Carolina A&T 1.01 -0.57 31 31
254 Georgia State 1.01 -0.57 30 32
255 Kent State 1.01 -0.59 30 34
256 Milwaukee 1.01 -0.59 30 30
257 Niagara 1.01 -0.59 29 30
258 Rice 1.01 -0.59 29 31
259 Southern Miss 1.00 -0.60 29 29
260 Mount St. Mary's 1.00 -0.60 29 35
261 Prairie View A&M 1.00 -0.61 28 31
262 Jacksonville 1.00 -0.61 28 31
263 Georgia Southern 1.00 -0.61 28 32
264 Iona 1.00 -0.61 28 34
265 Wake Forest 1.00 -0.62 27 32
266 Siena 1.00 -0.63 27 32
267 Western Kentucky 0.99 -0.64 27 30
268 SE Louisiana 0.99 -0.66 26 30
269 Hampton 0.99 -0.66 26 30
270 Air Force 0.99 -0.67 26 32
271 Idaho 0.99 -0.68 26 31
272 Howard 0.99 -0.68 25 28
273 Colorado 0.98 -0.69 25 35
274 TCU 0.98 -0.70 25 31
275 Texas A&M 0.98 -0.70 25 34
276 LSU 0.98 -0.72 24 32
277 Le Moyne 0.97 -0.74 24 30
278 Sam Houston 0.97 -0.75 24 29
279 Utah Tech 0.97 -0.75 23 31
280 California Baptist 0.97 -0.77 23 32
281 Louisiana 0.97 -0.77 23 32
282 Georgia 0.96 -0.77 23 33
283 Boston College 0.96 -0.77 22 31
284 Cal Poly 0.96 -0.78 22 34
285 Binghamton 0.96 -0.80 22 29
286 Little Rock 0.96 -0.81 21 31
287 Saint Francis 0.95 -0.82 21 31
288 George Mason 0.95 -0.83 21 35
289 Coastal Carolina 0.95 -0.83 21 30
290 Eastern Michigan 0.95 -0.84 20 31
291 Temple 0.95 -0.85 20 31
292 Bethune-Cookman 0.94 -0.87 20 33
293 Delaware State 0.94 -0.87 20 26
294 Northwestern State 0.94 -0.87 19 30
295 Morgan State 0.94 -0.88 19 28
296 Virginia Tech 0.94 -0.89 19 32
297 Southern 0.94 -0.90 18 29
298 Stony Brook 0.93 -0.91 18 31
299 New Orleans 0.93 -0.92 18 31
300 Oklahoma State 0.93 -0.93 18 35
301 Wagner 0.93 -0.95 17 26
302 Elon 0.93 -0.95 17 31
303 Winthrop 0.92 -0.95 17 31
304 East Texas A&M 0.92 -0.95 17 31
305 Radford 0.92 -0.95 16 31
306 Buffalo 0.92 -0.96 16 29
307 South Carolina Upstate 0.92 -0.97 16 29
308 Texas Southern 0.92 -0.97 15 29
309 Old Dominion 0.92 -0.97 15 33
310 Canisius 0.92 -0.99 15 31
311 Weber State 0.91 -1.00 15 31
312 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 0.91 -1.02 14 29
313 Pacific 0.91 -1.02 14 31
314 UT Martin 0.91 -1.03 14 30
315 Kansas City 0.91 -1.03 13 29
316 Southern Indiana 0.90 -1.04 13 28
317 Houston Christian 0.90 -1.05 13 30
318 California 0.90 -1.06 13 33
319 Seton Hall 0.90 -1.07 12 32
320 VMI 0.90 -1.07 12 30
321 The Citadel 0.90 -1.08 12 26
322 Morehead State 0.89 -1.11 12 29
323 Sacramento State 0.88 -1.13 11 29
324 Kennesaw State 0.88 -1.13 11 30
325 Bowling Green 0.88 -1.14 11 29
326 Jackson State 0.88 -1.14 10 34
327 Wyoming 0.88 -1.17 10 31
328 Missouri State 0.88 -1.17 10 30
329 Florida A&M 0.87 -1.21 10 28
330 Boston University 0.86 -1.24 9 31
331 San Diego 0.86 -1.24 9 32
332 Stetson 0.86 -1.25 9 29
333 Abilene Christian 0.85 -1.27 9 29
334 Denver 0.85 -1.27 8 29
335 Grambling 0.85 -1.29 8 31
336 Oral Roberts 0.84 -1.30 8 26
337 New Hampshire 0.84 -1.31 7 30
338 Hawai'i 0.84 -1.32 7 29
339 Florida International 0.84 -1.34 7 31
340 Chicago State 0.83 -1.35 7 32
341 Fresno State 0.83 -1.35 6 32
342 Western Carolina 0.83 -1.37 6 27
343 Eastern Illinois 0.82 -1.41 6 28
344 Tennessee State 0.82 -1.43 6 30
345 Detroit Mercy 0.81 -1.47 5 31
346 Long Island University 0.80 -1.50 5 31
347 Charleston Southern 0.80 -1.50 5 30
348 Lindenwood 0.80 -1.51 4 30
349 Stephen F. Austin 0.80 -1.51 4 28
350 NJIT 0.79 -1.53 4 30
351 Alcorn State 0.79 -1.54 4 31
352 Western Illinois 0.79 -1.54 3 28
353 UC Davis 0.78 -1.59 3 30
354 Alabama A&M 0.77 -1.63 3 29
355 Long Beach State 0.77 -1.65 2 30
356 Maryland Eastern Shore 0.76 -1.66 2 27
357 Cal State Bakersfield 0.75 -1.74 2 31
358 Southern Utah 0.75 -1.74 2 28
359 Saint Peter's 0.72 -1.83 1 27
360 Coppin State 0.72 -1.84 1 29
361 Gardner-Webb 0.72 -1.87 1 31
362 Cal State Fullerton 0.60 -2.40 1 30
363 Tarleton State 0.57 -2.54 0 29
364 Mississippi Valley State 0.49 -2.86 0 29