I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
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Win Percentage (WP)

Games won divided by games played.

Higher is better  ·  league avg 49.1%  ·  as of 2024-04-09

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.71 (team entering with the better value wins 66% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 0.0% max 92.5% mean 49.1% std 17.7% (n=363)

Team Rankings

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# Team Win Percentage (WP) z Pctl GP
1 UConn 92.5% +2.45 100 40
2 James Madison 88.6% +2.23 100 35
3 Purdue 87.2% +2.15 99 39
4 McNeese 86.7% +2.12 99 30
5 Houston 86.5% +2.11 99 37
6 Grand Canyon 85.3% +2.04 99 34
7 Samford 81.8% +1.85 98 33
8 Indiana State 81.6% +1.83 98 38
9 Princeton 81.5% +1.83 98 27
10 Drake 79.4% +1.71 98 34
11 Utah State 78.8% +1.68 97 33
12 Vermont 78.8% +1.68 97 33
13 Iowa State 78.4% +1.65 97 37
14 North Carolina 78.4% +1.65 96 37
15 App State 78.1% +1.64 96 32
16 Auburn 77.1% +1.58 96 35
17 Charleston 76.5% +1.55 96 34
18 Gonzaga 76.5% +1.55 95 34
19 South Carolina 76.5% +1.55 95 34
20 Illinois 76.3% +1.54 95 38
21 Dayton 75.8% +1.51 94 33
22 Nevada 75.8% +1.51 94 33
23 Saint Mary's 75.8% +1.51 94 33
24 South Florida 75.8% +1.51 94 33
25 Arizona 75.0% +1.46 93 36
26 Duke 75.0% +1.46 93 36
27 Tennessee 75.0% +1.46 93 36
28 Florida Atlantic 73.5% +1.38 93 34
29 High Point 73.5% +1.38 92 34
30 Marquette 73.0% +1.35 92 37
31 Cornell 71.4% +1.26 92 28
32 Creighton 71.4% +1.26 91 35
33 New Mexico 71.4% +1.26 91 35
34 Washington State 71.4% +1.26 91 35
35 Morehead State 71.0% +1.24 91 31
36 Colgate 70.6% +1.21 90 34
37 Colorado 70.3% +1.20 90 37
38 Kentucky 69.7% +1.16 90 33
39 Quinnipiac 69.7% +1.16 90 33
40 Richmond 69.7% +1.16 89 33
41 UC Irvine 69.7% +1.16 89 33
42 Loyola Chicago 68.8% +1.11 89 32
43 Memphis 68.8% +1.11 88 32
44 Tarleton State 68.8% +1.11 88 32
45 San Diego State 68.6% +1.10 88 35
46 Yale 67.7% +1.05 88 31
47 BYU 67.6% +1.05 87 34
48 Baylor 67.6% +1.05 87 34
49 Colorado State 67.6% +1.05 87 34
50 Nebraska 67.6% +1.05 86 34
51 Texas Tech 67.6% +1.05 86 34
52 Virginia 67.6% +1.05 86 34
53 Alabama 67.6% +1.04 86 37
54 Seton Hall 67.6% +1.04 85 37
55 Akron 66.7% +0.99 85 33
56 Clemson 66.7% +0.99 85 36
57 Duquesne 66.7% +0.99 85 36
58 Florida 66.7% +0.99 84 36
59 Kansas 66.7% +0.99 84 33
60 Oakland 66.7% +0.99 84 36
61 Oregon 66.7% +0.99 83 36
62 Pittsburgh 66.7% +0.99 83 33
63 San Francisco 66.7% +0.99 83 33
64 Louisiana Tech 65.5% +0.93 83 29
65 UMass Lowell 65.5% +0.93 82 29
66 Western Carolina 65.5% +0.93 82 29
67 Bradley 64.7% +0.88 82 34
68 Northwestern 64.7% +0.88 81 34
69 UAB 64.7% +0.88 81 34
70 Boise State 64.5% +0.87 81 31
71 Massachusetts 64.5% +0.87 81 31
72 Norfolk State 64.5% +0.87 80 31
73 UNC Wilmington 64.3% +0.86 80 28
74 Youngstown State 64.3% +0.86 80 28
75 Fairfield 63.9% +0.84 80 36
76 Montana 63.6% +0.82 79 33
77 NC State 63.4% +0.81 79 41
78 Eastern Washington 63.3% +0.80 79 30
79 UNC Greensboro 63.3% +0.80 78 30
80 VCU 63.2% +0.79 78 38
81 Oklahoma 62.5% +0.76 78 32
82 Ole Miss 62.5% +0.76 78 32
83 Toledo 62.5% +0.76 77 32
84 Central Connecticut 62.1% +0.73 77 29
85 Little Rock 61.8% +0.72 77 34
86 Purdue Fort Wayne 61.8% +0.72 77 34
87 TCU 61.8% +0.72 76 34
88 Texas 61.8% +0.72 76 34
89 Chattanooga 61.3% +0.69 76 31
90 Drexel 61.3% +0.69 75 31
91 George Mason 61.3% +0.69 75 31
92 Merrimack 61.3% +0.69 75 31
93 Sam Houston 61.3% +0.69 75 31
94 Syracuse 61.3% +0.69 74 31
95 UC San Diego 61.3% +0.69 74 31
96 UNC Asheville 61.3% +0.69 74 31
97 Western Kentucky 61.3% +0.69 73 31
98 Ohio State 61.1% +0.68 73 36
99 Seattle U 61.1% +0.68 73 36
100 Wisconsin 61.1% +0.68 73 36
101 UT Martin 60.7% +0.66 72 28
102 St. Bonaventure 60.6% +0.65 72 33
103 St. John's 60.6% +0.65 72 33
104 Charlotte 60.0% +0.62 72 30
105 Lipscomb 60.0% +0.62 71 30
106 Mississippi State 60.0% +0.62 71 35
107 Providence 60.0% +0.62 71 35
108 Saint Joseph's 60.0% +0.62 70 35
109 Wake Forest 60.0% +0.62 70 35
110 Cincinnati 59.5% +0.59 70 37
111 Utah 59.5% +0.59 70 37
112 Belmont 59.4% +0.58 69 32
113 Hofstra 59.4% +0.58 69 32
114 Ohio 59.4% +0.58 69 32
115 SMU 59.4% +0.58 69 32
116 Santa Clara 59.4% +0.58 68 32
117 South Dakota State 59.4% +0.58 68 32
118 Stetson 59.4% +0.58 68 32
119 UNLV 59.4% +0.58 67 32
120 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 58.6% +0.54 67 29
121 Troy 58.6% +0.54 67 29
122 Weber State 58.6% +0.54 67 29
123 Western Illinois 58.6% +0.54 66 29
124 Texas A&M 58.3% +0.52 66 36
125 Bryant 58.1% +0.51 66 31
126 Marist 58.1% +0.51 65 31
127 Southern Illinois 58.1% +0.51 65 31
128 UC Davis 58.1% +0.51 65 31
129 Indiana 57.6% +0.48 65 33
130 Towson 57.6% +0.48 64 33
131 Cleveland State 57.1% +0.46 64 35
132 Michigan State 57.1% +0.46 64 35
133 St. Thomas-Minnesota 56.7% +0.43 64 30
134 Bowling Green 56.3% +0.40 63 32
135 Delaware 56.3% +0.40 63 32
136 Hawai'i 56.3% +0.40 63 32
137 Longwood 56.3% +0.40 62 32
138 Northern Iowa 56.3% +0.40 62 32
139 Saint Peter's 56.3% +0.40 62 32
140 UT Arlington 56.3% +0.40 62 32
141 Iowa 55.9% +0.38 61 34
142 Kansas State 55.9% +0.38 61 34
143 Long Beach State 55.9% +0.38 61 34
144 Minnesota 55.9% +0.38 60 34
145 Stony Brook 55.9% +0.38 60 34
146 Virginia Tech 55.9% +0.38 60 34
147 Boston College 55.6% +0.37 60 36
148 Central Michigan 54.8% +0.33 59 31
149 Lamar 54.8% +0.33 59 31
150 Louisiana 54.8% +0.33 59 31
151 Nicholls 54.8% +0.33 59 31
152 Northern Colorado 54.8% +0.33 58 31
153 Grambling 54.5% +0.31 58 33
154 Milwaukee 54.5% +0.31 58 33
155 Monmouth 54.5% +0.31 57 33
156 Arkansas State 54.1% +0.28 57 37
157 Georgia 54.1% +0.28 57 37
158 Green Bay 53.3% +0.24 57 30
159 Wright State 53.3% +0.24 56 30
160 Butler 53.1% +0.23 56 32
161 Cal State Northridge 53.1% +0.23 56 32
162 North Texas 53.1% +0.23 56 32
163 Washington 53.1% +0.23 55 32
164 Villanova 52.9% +0.22 55 34
165 North Carolina Central 51.9% +0.16 55 27
166 Liberty 51.7% +0.15 54 29
167 North Dakota 51.7% +0.15 54 29
168 Southern 51.7% +0.15 54 29
169 Northern Kentucky 51.6% +0.14 54 31
170 San Diego 51.6% +0.14 53 31
171 Stephen F. Austin 51.6% +0.14 53 31
172 East Tennessee State 51.5% +0.14 53 33
173 Florida State 51.5% +0.14 52 33
174 LSU 51.5% +0.14 52 33
175 Missouri State 51.5% +0.14 52 33
176 UCF 51.5% +0.14 52 33
177 Austin Peay 50.0% +0.05 51 32
178 Eastern Kentucky 50.0% +0.05 51 28
179 Furman 50.0% +0.05 51 30
180 Harvard 50.0% +0.05 51 26
181 New Hampshire 50.0% +0.05 50 30
182 Tulsa 50.0% +0.05 50 30
183 Arkansas 48.5% -0.03 50 33
184 Howard 48.5% -0.03 49 33
185 Iona 48.5% -0.03 49 33
186 Maryland 48.5% -0.03 49 33
187 Penn State 48.5% -0.03 49 33
188 American University 48.4% -0.04 48 31
189 Niagara 48.4% -0.04 48 31
190 UTEP 48.4% -0.04 48 31
191 Wagner 48.4% -0.04 48 31
192 Portland State 48.3% -0.04 47 29
193 South Alabama 48.3% -0.04 47 29
194 Tennessee State 48.3% -0.04 47 29
195 UC Santa Barbara 48.3% -0.04 46 29
196 Winthrop 48.3% -0.04 46 29
197 Wofford 48.3% -0.04 46 29
198 Evansville 47.1% -0.11 46 34
199 Xavier 47.1% -0.11 45 34
200 Bethune-Cookman 46.9% -0.12 45 32
201 Boston University 46.9% -0.12 45 32
202 Jackson State 46.9% -0.12 44 32
203 Kent State 46.9% -0.12 44 32
204 La Salle 46.9% -0.12 44 32
205 Miami 46.9% -0.12 44 32
206 Montana State 46.9% -0.12 43 32
207 Rutgers 46.9% -0.12 43 32
208 Texas Southern 46.9% -0.12 43 32
209 UCLA 46.9% -0.12 43 32
210 Gardner-Webb 46.7% -0.14 42 30
211 Mercer 46.7% -0.14 42 30
212 SIU Edwardsville 46.7% -0.14 42 30
213 Sacred Heart 46.7% -0.14 41 30
214 Southern Miss 46.7% -0.14 41 30
215 Utah Valley 46.7% -0.14 41 30
216 Binghamton 46.4% -0.15 41 28
217 Abilene Christian 45.5% -0.20 40 33
218 Texas State 45.5% -0.20 40 33
219 USC 45.5% -0.20 40 33
220 California Baptist 45.2% -0.22 40 31
221 George Washington 45.2% -0.22 39 31
222 Illinois State 45.2% -0.22 39 31
223 Maine 45.2% -0.22 39 31
224 Radford 45.2% -0.22 38 31
225 Rider 45.2% -0.22 38 31
226 Ball State 44.8% -0.24 38 29
227 Kansas City 44.8% -0.24 38 29
228 North Florida 44.8% -0.24 37 29
229 Arizona State 43.8% -0.30 37 32
230 East Carolina 43.8% -0.30 37 32
231 Georgia Tech 43.8% -0.30 36 32
232 Stanford 43.8% -0.30 36 32
233 UC Riverside 43.8% -0.30 36 32
234 Davidson 43.3% -0.32 36 30
235 Denver 43.3% -0.32 35 30
236 Fairleigh Dickinson 43.3% -0.32 35 30
237 Jacksonville 43.3% -0.32 35 30
238 Miami (OH) 43.3% -0.32 35 30
239 North Alabama 43.3% -0.32 34 30
240 Tulane 43.3% -0.32 34 30
241 Wyoming 43.3% -0.32 34 30
242 Kennesaw State 42.9% -0.35 33 28
243 Temple 42.9% -0.35 33 35
244 Bucknell 42.4% -0.38 33 33
245 Northern Arizona 42.4% -0.38 33 33
246 Wichita State 42.4% -0.38 32 33
247 Alcorn State 41.9% -0.40 32 31
248 Canisius 41.9% -0.40 32 31
249 Columbia 41.7% -0.42 31 24
250 Georgia State 41.4% -0.43 31 29
251 Le Moyne 41.4% -0.43 31 29
252 North Dakota State 41.4% -0.43 31 29
253 SE Louisiana 41.4% -0.43 30 29
254 California 40.6% -0.48 30 32
255 Delaware State 40.6% -0.48 30 32
256 Mount St. Mary's 40.6% -0.48 30 32
257 Brown 40.0% -0.51 29 30
258 Cal State Fullerton 40.0% -0.51 29 30
259 Lehigh 40.0% -0.51 29 30
260 Navy 40.0% -0.51 28 30
261 South Carolina State 40.0% -0.51 28 30
262 Fordham 39.4% -0.55 28 33
263 Notre Dame 39.4% -0.55 28 33
264 Middle Tennessee 38.7% -0.58 27 31
265 Oregon State 38.7% -0.58 27 31
266 UAlbany 38.7% -0.58 27 31
267 Queens University 38.7% -0.58 27 31
268 Campbell 37.9% -0.63 26 29
269 Eastern Michigan 37.9% -0.63 26 29
270 Florida Gulf Coast 37.9% -0.63 26 29
271 Jacksonville State 37.9% -0.63 25 29
272 Omaha 37.9% -0.63 25 29
273 Idaho State 37.5% -0.65 25 32
274 Marshall 37.5% -0.65 25 32
275 Northeastern 37.5% -0.65 24 32
276 Oklahoma State 37.5% -0.65 24 32
277 Saint Louis 37.5% -0.65 24 32
278 Cal State Bakersfield 36.7% -0.70 23 30
279 Elon 36.7% -0.70 23 30
280 Loyola Marymount 36.7% -0.70 23 30
281 Presbyterian 36.7% -0.70 23 30
282 Eastern Illinois 35.7% -0.75 22 28
283 Murray State 35.5% -0.77 22 31
284 Pepperdine 35.5% -0.77 22 31
285 Rhode Island 35.5% -0.77 22 31
286 Western Michigan 35.5% -0.77 21 31
287 Alabama State 34.5% -0.82 21 29
288 Chicago State 34.5% -0.82 21 29
289 Fresno State 34.4% -0.83 20 32
290 UIC 34.4% -0.83 20 32
291 Alabama A&M 34.3% -0.83 20 35
292 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 33.3% -0.89 20 27
293 East Texas A&M 33.3% -0.89 19 30
294 Pennsylvania 33.3% -0.89 19 27
295 Utah Tech 33.3% -0.89 19 30
296 Lafayette 32.3% -0.95 19 31
297 Portland 32.3% -0.95 18 31
298 Rice 32.3% -0.95 18 31
299 UMBC 32.3% -0.95 18 31
300 UTSA 32.3% -0.95 17 31
301 New Mexico State 32.1% -0.96 17 28
302 Oral Roberts 32.1% -0.96 17 28
303 UL Monroe 32.1% -0.96 17 28
304 Florida International 31.3% -1.01 16 32
305 Northern Illinois 31.0% -1.02 16 29
306 South Dakota 31.0% -1.02 16 29
307 Idaho 30.0% -1.08 15 30
308 Air Force 29.0% -1.13 15 31
309 Morgan State 28.6% -1.16 15 28
310 Georgetown 28.1% -1.18 15 32
311 Holy Cross 28.1% -1.18 14 32
312 Vanderbilt 28.1% -1.18 14 32
313 West Virginia 28.1% -1.18 14 32
314 Prairie View A&M 27.6% -1.21 14 29
315 Southern Utah 27.6% -1.21 13 29
316 The Citadel 27.6% -1.21 13 29
317 Georgia Southern 27.3% -1.23 13 33
318 Army 26.7% -1.26 12 30
319 Robert Morris 26.7% -1.26 12 30
320 Charleston Southern 25.9% -1.31 12 27
321 South Carolina Upstate 25.9% -1.31 12 27
322 San José State 25.8% -1.31 11 31
323 William & Mary 25.8% -1.31 11 31
324 Louisville 25.0% -1.36 11 32
325 Michigan 25.0% -1.36 10 32
326 Missouri 25.0% -1.36 10 32
327 Sacramento State 25.0% -1.36 10 32
328 Tennessee Tech 25.0% -1.36 10 28
329 Coastal Carolina 24.1% -1.41 9 29
330 Long Island University 24.1% -1.41 9 29
331 Central Arkansas 23.3% -1.45 9 30
332 Northwestern State 23.3% -1.45 9 30
333 NJIT 22.2% -1.51 8 27
334 North Carolina A&T 21.9% -1.53 8 32
335 Saint Francis 21.4% -1.56 8 28
336 Lindenwood 21.4% -1.56 7 28
337 Incarnate Word 20.7% -1.60 7 29
338 Manhattan 20.7% -1.60 7 29
339 New Orleans 20.7% -1.60 7 29
340 Hampton 20.0% -1.64 6 30
341 Maryland Eastern Shore 20.0% -1.64 6 25
342 Loyola Maryland 19.4% -1.68 6 31
343 Old Dominion 19.4% -1.68 6 31
344 Valparaiso 19.4% -1.68 5 31
345 Florida A&M 18.5% -1.72 5 27
346 Southeast Missouri State 18.5% -1.72 5 27
347 Bellarmine 17.9% -1.76 4 28
348 Southern Indiana 17.2% -1.80 4 29
349 Dartmouth 16.0% -1.87 4 25
350 Houston Christian 14.8% -1.93 4 27
351 UT Rio Grande Valley 13.8% -1.99 3 29
352 Pacific 13.3% -2.02 3 30
353 Stonehill 12.9% -2.04 3 31
354 Siena 12.5% -2.06 2 32
355 IU Indianapolis 10.3% -2.18 2 29
356 Buffalo 10.0% -2.20 2 30
357 Cal Poly 9.7% -2.22 2 31
358 DePaul 9.4% -2.24 1 32
359 Coppin State 6.9% -2.38 1 29
360 VMI 3.4% -2.57 1 29
361 Mississippi Valley State 3.2% -2.59 1 31
362 Detroit Mercy 3.1% -2.59 0 32
363 Hartford 0.0% -2.77 0 1