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True Shooting Percentage

Scoring efficiency across 2s, 3s, and free throws combined.

Points ÷ (2 × (FGA + 0.475×FTA)). The denominator estimates true scoring attempts: 0.475×FTA converts free-throw trips into the shot attempts they replaced. Unlike FG% or eFG%, it rewards drawing fouls.

Higher is better  ·  league avg 53.7%  ·  as of 2024-04-09

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Predicts home win: AUC 0.65 (team entering with the better value wins 62% of games)

Based on 5508 of 5727 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 36.9% max 63.2% mean 53.7% std 3.0% (n=363)

Team Rankings

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# Team True Shooting Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Indiana State 63.2% +3.17 100 38
2 Wright State 61.4% +2.59 100 30
3 Eastern Washington 61.0% +2.43 99 30
4 Kentucky 60.2% +2.18 99 33
5 Creighton 60.0% +2.10 99 35
6 Alabama 59.9% +2.07 99 37
7 UConn 59.7% +2.02 98 40
8 Samford 59.6% +1.96 98 33
9 Dayton 59.5% +1.94 98 33
10 Gonzaga 59.5% +1.94 98 34
11 Colorado 59.3% +1.88 97 37
12 Lipscomb 59.2% +1.84 97 30
13 Baylor 59.2% +1.84 97 34
14 Purdue 59.1% +1.80 96 39
15 Cornell 59.0% +1.77 96 28
16 Montana 58.2% +1.50 96 33
17 Princeton 58.1% +1.48 96 27
18 Tulane 58.1% +1.48 95 30
19 Wake Forest 58.1% +1.47 95 35
20 Drake 58.0% +1.44 95 34
21 Chattanooga 57.9% +1.40 94 31
22 Virginia Tech 57.8% +1.37 94 34
23 Belmont 57.8% +1.37 94 32
24 South Dakota State 57.8% +1.36 94 32
25 Bradley 57.7% +1.34 93 34
26 Florida Atlantic 57.7% +1.33 93 34
27 Hofstra 57.7% +1.33 93 32
28 Auburn 57.7% +1.32 93 35
29 Arizona 57.6% +1.31 92 36
30 Duke 57.6% +1.31 92 36
31 Northern Colorado 57.6% +1.30 92 31
32 San Francisco 57.6% +1.29 91 33
33 Clemson 57.5% +1.25 91 36
34 Colorado State 57.4% +1.25 91 34
35 High Point 57.4% +1.23 91 34
36 Utah State 57.4% +1.22 90 33
37 BYU 57.3% +1.21 90 34
38 UC Santa Barbara 57.3% +1.20 90 29
39 McNeese 57.2% +1.19 90 30
40 Nevada 57.2% +1.17 89 33
41 Illinois 57.2% +1.16 89 38
42 Marquette 57.1% +1.13 89 37
43 St. Thomas-Minnesota 57.0% +1.12 88 30
44 Montana State 57.0% +1.11 88 32
45 North Florida 57.0% +1.11 88 29
46 Stanford 57.0% +1.11 88 32
47 Oklahoma 56.9% +1.08 87 32
48 Toledo 56.9% +1.07 87 32
49 Morehead State 56.8% +1.04 87 31
50 Nebraska 56.7% +1.01 86 34
51 James Madison 56.7% +1.01 86 35
52 Iowa 56.7% +1.01 86 34
53 Minnesota 56.7% +1.01 86 34
54 Texas Tech 56.7% +1.00 85 34
55 Southern Illinois 56.7% +0.98 85 31
56 Washington 56.5% +0.94 85 32
57 Weber State 56.5% +0.93 85 29
58 Kansas 56.5% +0.93 84 33
59 UNC Asheville 56.4% +0.92 84 31
60 Stetson 56.4% +0.91 84 32
61 Grand Canyon 56.4% +0.89 83 34
62 Texas 56.4% +0.89 83 34
63 Hawai'i 56.4% +0.89 83 32
64 Howard 56.3% +0.86 83 33
65 Memphis 56.3% +0.86 82 32
66 North Dakota State 56.2% +0.83 82 29
67 Little Rock 56.2% +0.82 82 34
68 VCU 56.2% +0.82 81 38
69 St. Bonaventure 56.2% +0.82 81 33
70 UT Arlington 56.1% +0.79 81 32
71 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 56.1% +0.79 81 27
72 Purdue Fort Wayne 56.1% +0.79 80 34
73 Air Force 56.0% +0.78 80 31
74 Wisconsin 56.0% +0.77 80 36
75 Liberty 56.0% +0.77 80 29
76 Winthrop 56.0% +0.76 79 29
77 UNC Greensboro 55.9% +0.74 79 30
78 Utah 55.9% +0.74 79 37
79 Niagara 55.9% +0.74 78 31
80 LSU 55.9% +0.73 78 33
81 George Mason 55.9% +0.73 78 31
82 Northwestern 55.8% +0.71 78 34
83 Saint Joseph's 55.8% +0.69 77 35
84 Mount St. Mary's 55.8% +0.69 77 32
85 South Florida 55.7% +0.68 77 33
86 UC San Diego 55.7% +0.68 77 31
87 North Carolina 55.7% +0.66 76 37
88 Arkansas 55.6% +0.64 76 33
89 Saint Louis 55.6% +0.64 76 32
90 UC Irvine 55.6% +0.63 75 33
91 Richmond 55.5% +0.60 75 33
92 Ball State 55.5% +0.59 75 29
93 Columbia 55.5% +0.59 75 24
94 Ohio 55.5% +0.59 74 32
95 Colgate 55.4% +0.58 74 34
96 Oakland 55.4% +0.56 74 36
97 Florida 55.4% +0.56 73 36
98 Butler 55.4% +0.56 73 32
99 South Dakota 55.4% +0.55 73 29
100 Miami 55.4% +0.55 73 32
101 Furman 55.3% +0.55 72 30
102 American University 55.3% +0.54 72 31
103 Green Bay 55.3% +0.54 72 30
104 Boston College 55.3% +0.53 72 36
105 Fairfield 55.3% +0.53 71 36
106 Santa Clara 55.3% +0.52 71 32
107 George Washington 55.3% +0.52 71 31
108 Nicholls 55.2% +0.51 70 31
109 App State 55.2% +0.51 70 32
110 Campbell 55.2% +0.50 70 29
111 Denver 55.2% +0.49 70 30
112 Wyoming 55.2% +0.49 69 30
113 Northern Iowa 55.2% +0.49 69 32
114 UNLV 55.1% +0.48 69 32
115 Iowa State 55.1% +0.48 69 37
116 TCU 55.1% +0.48 68 34
117 Ohio State 55.1% +0.46 68 36
118 UNC Wilmington 55.1% +0.45 68 28
119 Oregon 55.1% +0.45 67 36
120 Charleston 55.0% +0.42 67 34
121 Tennessee 55.0% +0.42 67 36
122 UMBC 54.9% +0.41 67 31
123 Akron 54.9% +0.40 66 33
124 Western Kentucky 54.9% +0.40 66 31
125 Boise State 54.9% +0.39 66 31
126 Saint Mary's 54.9% +0.38 65 33
127 Charlotte 54.9% +0.38 65 30
128 UMass Lowell 54.8% +0.37 65 29
129 Ole Miss 54.8% +0.36 65 32
130 Delaware 54.8% +0.35 64 32
131 Indiana 54.8% +0.35 64 33
132 Syracuse 54.7% +0.34 64 31
133 Providence 54.7% +0.34 64 35
134 Wofford 54.7% +0.34 63 29
135 Milwaukee 54.7% +0.34 63 33
136 Washington State 54.7% +0.33 63 35
137 Yale 54.7% +0.32 62 31
138 Loyola Marymount 54.7% +0.32 62 30
139 Tulsa 54.7% +0.32 62 30
140 Northeastern 54.6% +0.31 62 32
141 UT Martin 54.6% +0.31 61 28
142 UC Davis 54.6% +0.31 61 31
143 Florida Gulf Coast 54.6% +0.30 61 29
144 USC 54.6% +0.29 60 33
145 Missouri 54.6% +0.29 60 32
146 Seattle U 54.6% +0.28 60 36
147 UAB 54.6% +0.28 60 34
148 Arkansas State 54.5% +0.27 59 37
149 South Alabama 54.5% +0.27 59 29
150 Vermont 54.5% +0.27 59 33
151 Seton Hall 54.5% +0.27 59 37
152 Pittsburgh 54.5% +0.26 58 33
153 Troy 54.5% +0.26 58 29
154 Louisiana Tech 54.5% +0.25 58 29
155 Villanova 54.5% +0.25 57 34
156 Lamar 54.4% +0.24 57 31
157 Michigan State 54.4% +0.23 57 35
158 Western Carolina 54.4% +0.23 57 29
159 Penn State 54.4% +0.22 56 33
160 Oklahoma State 54.4% +0.22 56 32
161 Kennesaw State 54.3% +0.21 56 28
162 Sacred Heart 54.3% +0.20 56 30
163 Mississippi State 54.3% +0.20 55 35
164 Loyola Chicago 54.3% +0.18 55 32
165 Pennsylvania 54.2% +0.18 55 27
166 Kent State 54.2% +0.17 54 32
167 Quinnipiac 54.2% +0.17 54 33
168 NC State 54.2% +0.16 54 41
169 Michigan 54.2% +0.16 54 32
170 Oral Roberts 54.2% +0.15 53 28
171 Omaha 54.1% +0.14 53 29
172 Northern Kentucky 54.1% +0.14 53 31
173 Youngstown State 54.1% +0.14 52 28
174 Rhode Island 54.1% +0.14 52 31
175 Kansas State 54.1% +0.13 52 34
176 Norfolk State 54.1% +0.12 52 31
177 Fresno State 54.1% +0.12 51 32
178 North Alabama 54.1% +0.11 51 30
179 North Texas 54.0% +0.10 51 32
180 Miami (OH) 54.0% +0.10 51 30
181 South Carolina 54.0% +0.10 50 34
182 Presbyterian 54.0% +0.10 50 30
183 Idaho State 54.0% +0.09 50 32
184 Georgia Southern 54.0% +0.09 49 33
185 Pepperdine 53.9% +0.08 49 30
186 Louisiana 53.9% +0.08 49 31
187 The Citadel 53.9% +0.07 49 29
188 San Diego State 53.9% +0.06 48 35
189 Radford 53.9% +0.06 48 31
190 Massachusetts 53.9% +0.06 48 31
191 Florida State 53.9% +0.05 48 33
192 St. John's 53.8% +0.04 47 33
193 Tarleton State 53.8% +0.03 47 32
194 Oregon State 53.8% +0.03 47 31
195 Elon 53.8% +0.02 46 30
196 Stony Brook 53.8% +0.01 46 34
197 Drexel 53.8% +0.01 46 31
198 Portland 53.7% -0.00 46 31
199 New Mexico 53.7% -0.02 45 34
200 Harvard 53.6% -0.02 45 26
201 Georgia 53.6% -0.03 45 37
202 Austin Peay 53.6% -0.03 44 32
203 Tennessee State 53.6% -0.04 44 29
204 Merrimack 53.6% -0.04 44 31
205 North Carolina Central 53.6% -0.04 44 27
206 Marist 53.6% -0.04 43 31
207 San José State 53.6% -0.05 43 31
208 Stephen F. Austin 53.5% -0.06 43 31
209 Central Connecticut 53.5% -0.07 43 29
210 UAlbany 53.5% -0.08 42 31
211 SMU 53.5% -0.08 42 32
212 Bucknell 53.4% -0.09 42 33
213 Eastern Kentucky 53.4% -0.10 41 28
214 Duquesne 53.4% -0.11 41 36
215 North Dakota 53.4% -0.11 41 29
216 Idaho 53.4% -0.12 41 30
217 Le Moyne 53.4% -0.12 40 29
218 Lehigh 53.3% -0.13 40 30
219 Rice 53.3% -0.14 40 31
220 West Virginia 53.2% -0.16 40 32
221 Queens University 53.2% -0.17 39 31
222 Robert Morris 53.2% -0.17 39 30
223 Houston 53.1% -0.20 39 37
224 Evansville 53.1% -0.20 38 34
225 Bryant 53.1% -0.20 38 31
226 UIC 53.1% -0.21 38 32
227 Louisville 53.1% -0.22 38 32
228 Utah Tech 53.0% -0.24 37 30
229 Northern Illinois 53.0% -0.25 37 29
230 Missouri State 53.0% -0.26 37 33
231 Xavier 53.0% -0.26 36 34
232 Cincinnati 52.9% -0.27 36 37
233 Longwood 52.9% -0.28 36 32
234 Alcorn State 52.9% -0.28 36 31
235 Murray State 52.9% -0.29 35 31
236 Davidson 52.7% -0.34 35 30
237 Kansas City 52.7% -0.35 35 29
238 SE Louisiana 52.6% -0.38 35 29
239 San Diego 52.6% -0.39 34 31
240 Southern Utah 52.5% -0.40 34 29
241 Monmouth 52.5% -0.41 34 33
242 Sam Houston 52.5% -0.41 33 31
243 California 52.5% -0.41 33 32
244 Jacksonville 52.5% -0.42 33 30
245 Southern 52.4% -0.43 33 29
246 Long Beach State 52.4% -0.44 32 34
247 Northern Arizona 52.4% -0.44 32 33
248 Binghamton 52.4% -0.44 32 28
249 Mercer 52.4% -0.45 31 30
250 Incarnate Word 52.4% -0.46 31 29
251 Brown 52.3% -0.46 31 30
252 Wichita State 52.3% -0.46 31 33
253 Tennessee Tech 52.3% -0.46 30 28
254 Sacramento State 52.3% -0.47 30 32
255 Holy Cross 52.3% -0.47 30 32
256 Bethune-Cookman 52.3% -0.47 30 32
257 Southern Miss 52.3% -0.47 29 30
258 Georgetown 52.3% -0.48 29 32
259 Cal State Northridge 52.3% -0.49 29 32
260 Coastal Carolina 52.2% -0.50 28 29
261 Iona 52.2% -0.50 28 33
262 Grambling 52.2% -0.50 28 33
263 Cal State Fullerton 52.2% -0.51 28 30
264 Georgia State 52.2% -0.51 27 29
265 UTEP 52.2% -0.52 27 31
266 UTSA 52.1% -0.53 27 31
267 DePaul 52.1% -0.54 27 32
268 Cleveland State 52.1% -0.54 26 35
269 La Salle 52.0% -0.56 26 32
270 Bellarmine 52.0% -0.56 26 28
271 Florida International 52.0% -0.56 25 32
272 Bowling Green 51.9% -0.62 25 32
273 Jacksonville State 51.9% -0.62 25 29
274 Rider 51.9% -0.62 25 31
275 Georgia Tech 51.9% -0.62 24 32
276 Illinois State 51.7% -0.67 24 31
277 Abilene Christian 51.7% -0.68 24 33
278 UCF 51.7% -0.68 23 33
279 New Hampshire 51.7% -0.70 23 30
280 William & Mary 51.6% -0.70 23 31
281 Morgan State 51.6% -0.72 23 28
282 Gardner-Webb 51.6% -0.73 22 30
283 Maryland 51.5% -0.76 22 33
284 Alabama A&M 51.4% -0.78 22 35
285 Canisius 51.4% -0.78 22 31
286 Central Arkansas 51.4% -0.79 21 30
287 Boston University 51.3% -0.81 21 32
288 Maine 51.3% -0.83 21 31
289 Notre Dame 51.2% -0.86 20 33
290 Detroit Mercy 51.1% -0.88 20 32
291 East Carolina 51.1% -0.89 20 32
292 UCLA 51.1% -0.89 20 32
293 Texas State 51.0% -0.90 19 33
294 SIU Edwardsville 51.0% -0.92 19 30
295 Northwestern State 50.9% -0.93 19 30
296 Western Michigan 50.9% -0.96 19 31
297 Jackson State 50.9% -0.96 18 32
298 Cal State Bakersfield 50.9% -0.96 18 30
299 Fairleigh Dickinson 50.8% -0.99 18 30
300 California Baptist 50.7% -1.01 17 31
301 Texas Southern 50.7% -1.02 17 32
302 Virginia 50.6% -1.04 17 34
303 Delaware State 50.6% -1.04 17 32
304 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 50.6% -1.06 16 29
305 IU Indianapolis 50.5% -1.07 16 29
306 Southern Indiana 50.5% -1.08 16 29
307 Utah Valley 50.5% -1.08 15 30
308 Florida A&M 50.5% -1.08 15 27
309 Towson 50.5% -1.10 15 33
310 Chicago State 50.4% -1.11 15 29
311 Portland State 50.4% -1.13 14 29
312 Dartmouth 50.3% -1.14 14 25
313 Buffalo 50.3% -1.14 14 30
314 New Mexico State 50.3% -1.15 14 28
315 Eastern Michigan 50.3% -1.16 13 29
316 East Tennessee State 50.2% -1.17 13 33
317 Arizona State 50.2% -1.18 13 32
318 Hampton 50.2% -1.19 12 30
319 Texas A&M 50.2% -1.19 12 36
320 Marshall 50.2% -1.20 12 32
321 Old Dominion 50.1% -1.23 12 31
322 South Carolina Upstate 50.1% -1.23 11 27
323 New Orleans 50.0% -1.24 11 29
324 Prairie View A&M 50.0% -1.25 11 29
325 UT Rio Grande Valley 50.0% -1.25 10 29
326 Fordham 50.0% -1.26 10 33
327 Middle Tennessee 50.0% -1.26 10 31
328 Manhattan 49.9% -1.27 10 29
329 Houston Christian 49.9% -1.27 9 27
330 South Carolina State 49.8% -1.32 9 30
331 Temple 49.8% -1.32 9 35
332 Loyola Maryland 49.8% -1.32 9 31
333 UC Riverside 49.7% -1.35 8 32
334 Pacific 49.7% -1.37 8 30
335 Long Island University 49.6% -1.38 8 29
336 Vanderbilt 49.6% -1.38 7 32
337 Stonehill 49.5% -1.40 7 31
338 Cal Poly 49.5% -1.42 7 31
339 Central Michigan 49.4% -1.44 7 31
340 Lafayette 49.4% -1.44 6 31
341 Saint Francis 49.4% -1.45 6 28
342 East Texas A&M 49.4% -1.45 6 30
343 Saint Peter's 49.4% -1.46 6 32
344 Charleston Southern 49.3% -1.49 5 27
345 VMI 49.3% -1.50 5 29
346 Western Illinois 49.2% -1.52 5 29
347 Valparaiso 49.2% -1.53 4 31
348 Army 48.8% -1.67 4 30
349 UL Monroe 48.7% -1.70 4 28
350 Lindenwood 48.5% -1.77 4 28
351 Eastern Illinois 48.4% -1.78 3 27
352 Navy 48.4% -1.79 3 30
353 NJIT 48.4% -1.79 3 27
354 Wagner 48.3% -1.82 2 31
355 North Carolina A&T 48.2% -1.85 2 32
356 Southeast Missouri State 48.2% -1.87 2 27
357 Siena 48.0% -1.93 2 32
358 Maryland Eastern Shore 47.3% -2.16 1 25
359 Rutgers 46.9% -2.28 1 32
360 Coppin State 46.7% -2.36 1 28
361 Mississippi Valley State 46.1% -2.56 1 31
362 Alabama State 45.1% -2.88 0 29
363 Hartford 36.9% -5.67 0 1