What have I done? "Police On My Back" - The Clash
← Scoring

Scoring Margin

Average points scored minus points allowed per game.

Higher is better  ·  league avg -0.4  ·  as of 2024-04-09

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.73 (team entering with the better value wins 67% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min -27.0 max 18.0 mean -0.4 std 6.6 (n=363)

Team Rankings

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# Team Scoring Margin z Pctl GP
1 UConn 18.0 +2.79 100 40
2 Houston 15.9 +2.47 100 37
3 Arizona 15.1 +2.35 99 36
4 Auburn 14.8 +2.31 99 35
5 Gonzaga 13.9 +2.17 99 34
6 Iowa State 13.8 +2.15 99 37
7 Purdue 13.3 +2.08 98 39
8 McNeese 13.2 +2.07 98 30
9 Saint Mary's 12.8 +2.01 98 33
10 Duke 12.3 +1.93 98 36
11 James Madison 11.9 +1.87 97 35
12 BYU 11.5 +1.80 97 34
13 North Carolina 11.5 +1.80 97 37
14 Tennessee 11.4 +1.79 96 36
15 Indiana State 11.2 +1.76 96 38
16 Grand Canyon 11.0 +1.72 96 34
17 Creighton 10.5 +1.66 96 35
18 Illinois 10.0 +1.58 95 38
19 New Mexico 9.7 +1.52 95 35
20 Samford 9.5 +1.51 95 33
21 San Francisco 9.5 +1.49 94 33
22 Kentucky 9.3 +1.48 94 33
23 Drake 9.2 +1.46 94 34
24 Alabama 8.9 +1.41 94 37
25 Baylor 8.8 +1.39 93 34
26 Florida Atlantic 8.6 +1.37 93 34
27 App State 8.4 +1.33 93 32
28 Nevada 8.3 +1.31 93 33
29 Marquette 8.2 +1.31 92 37
30 Princeton 8.1 +1.30 92 27
31 Pittsburgh 8.0 +1.27 92 33
32 UC Irvine 7.8 +1.25 91 33
33 Dayton 7.7 +1.23 91 33
34 SMU 7.7 +1.22 91 32
35 Colorado 7.6 +1.21 91 37
36 Wake Forest 7.4 +1.19 90 35
37 TCU 7.3 +1.17 90 34
38 High Point 7.0 +1.12 90 34
39 St. John's 6.9 +1.11 90 33
40 Michigan State 6.8 +1.09 89 35
41 Washington State 6.8 +1.09 89 35
42 Nebraska 6.8 +1.09 89 34
43 Massachusetts 6.7 +1.08 88 31
44 Oklahoma 6.6 +1.06 88 32
45 Cincinnati 6.6 +1.06 88 37
46 Bradley 6.5 +1.05 88 34
47 Louisiana Tech 6.5 +1.05 87 29
48 Texas 6.5 +1.04 87 34
49 Charleston 6.5 +1.04 87 34
50 South Florida 6.4 +1.03 86 33
51 Florida 6.4 +1.02 86 36
52 San Diego State 6.3 +1.02 86 35
53 Utah State 6.3 +1.01 86 33
54 Clemson 6.2 +0.99 85 36
55 Colorado State 6.1 +0.99 85 34
56 Vermont 6.1 +0.98 85 33
57 Youngstown State 6.1 +0.98 85 28
58 Morehead State 6.0 +0.97 84 31
59 Boise State 6.0 +0.96 84 31
60 Texas Tech 5.7 +0.92 84 34
61 Seattle U 5.7 +0.92 83 36
62 Utah 5.6 +0.91 83 37
63 Richmond 5.6 +0.90 83 33
64 Purdue Fort Wayne 5.4 +0.87 83 34
65 Western Carolina 5.3 +0.86 82 29
66 Ohio State 5.3 +0.86 82 36
67 Colgate 5.2 +0.85 82 34
68 Cornell 5.2 +0.84 81 28
69 Ohio 5.1 +0.83 81 32
70 Kansas 5.0 +0.82 81 33
71 Mississippi State 5.0 +0.82 81 35
72 Saint Joseph's 4.9 +0.80 80 35
73 Akron 4.8 +0.79 80 33
74 UC San Diego 4.8 +0.79 80 31
75 Little Rock 4.8 +0.79 80 34
76 St. Bonaventure 4.8 +0.79 79 33
77 St. Thomas-Minnesota 4.8 +0.79 79 30
78 UMass Lowell 4.8 +0.79 79 29
79 Drexel 4.8 +0.78 78 31
80 Memphis 4.8 +0.78 78 32
81 Wisconsin 4.7 +0.77 78 36
82 Villanova 4.6 +0.76 78 34
83 George Mason 4.5 +0.74 77 31
84 South Carolina 4.5 +0.74 77 34
85 Troy 4.4 +0.73 77 29
86 VCU 4.3 +0.71 77 38
87 Hofstra 4.3 +0.71 76 32
88 Northwestern 4.3 +0.71 76 34
89 Quinnipiac 4.2 +0.70 76 33
90 Yale 4.2 +0.70 75 31
91 Loyola Chicago 4.2 +0.69 75 32
92 North Texas 4.1 +0.68 75 32
93 UNC Wilmington 4.1 +0.68 75 28
94 Western Kentucky 4.1 +0.68 74 31
95 Texas A&M 4.0 +0.67 74 36
96 Virginia Tech 3.9 +0.66 74 34
97 NC State 3.9 +0.65 73 41
98 Toledo 3.9 +0.65 73 32
99 Seton Hall 3.9 +0.64 73 37
100 UCF 3.8 +0.63 73 33
101 Iowa 3.7 +0.62 72 34
102 Santa Clara 3.7 +0.61 72 32
103 Weber State 3.7 +0.61 72 29
104 Chattanooga 3.6 +0.61 72 31
105 Providence 3.6 +0.61 71 35
106 Southern Illinois 3.6 +0.60 71 31
107 Washington 3.5 +0.58 71 32
108 Wright State 3.4 +0.57 70 30
109 Fairfield 3.4 +0.57 70 36
110 Oregon 3.3 +0.56 70 36
111 Oakland 3.3 +0.55 70 36
112 South Dakota State 3.2 +0.55 69 32
113 Merrimack 3.2 +0.54 69 31
114 Maryland 3.2 +0.54 69 33
115 Virginia 3.1 +0.54 69 34
116 Liberty 3.1 +0.53 68 29
117 Minnesota 3.1 +0.53 68 34
118 Lipscomb 3.1 +0.53 68 30
119 Lamar 2.8 +0.48 67 31
120 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 2.8 +0.48 67 29
121 Longwood 2.7 +0.47 67 32
122 Montana 2.7 +0.47 67 33
123 Butler 2.7 +0.47 66 32
124 Duquesne 2.7 +0.46 66 36
125 UNC Greensboro 2.6 +0.46 66 30
126 Delaware 2.6 +0.46 65 32
127 Hawai'i 2.5 +0.44 65 32
128 Towson 2.5 +0.43 65 33
129 Marist 2.5 +0.43 65 31
130 Tarleton State 2.4 +0.42 64 32
131 Boston College 2.2 +0.39 64 36
132 Furman 2.1 +0.38 64 30
133 Miami 2.1 +0.38 64 32
134 UNLV 2.1 +0.38 63 32
135 Louisiana 2.1 +0.37 63 31
136 Central Connecticut 2.0 +0.36 63 29
137 Norfolk State 2.0 +0.36 62 31
138 Eastern Washington 2.0 +0.36 62 30
139 Arkansas State 1.8 +0.33 62 37
140 Kent State 1.8 +0.33 62 32
141 Penn State 1.7 +0.31 61 33
142 UT Arlington 1.7 +0.31 61 32
143 UT Martin 1.7 +0.31 61 28
144 Charlotte 1.7 +0.31 60 30
145 UC Davis 1.5 +0.29 60 31
146 Winthrop 1.4 +0.28 60 29
147 UAB 1.4 +0.27 60 34
148 LSU 1.4 +0.27 59 33
149 Sam Houston 1.4 +0.26 59 31
150 Belmont 1.3 +0.26 59 32
151 Xavier 1.2 +0.24 59 34
152 Kansas State 1.1 +0.22 58 34
153 UNC Asheville 1.1 +0.22 58 31
154 Ole Miss 1.0 +0.21 58 32
155 Cleveland State 1.0 +0.20 57 35
156 Northern Iowa 1.0 +0.20 57 32
157 Tulane 1.0 +0.20 57 30
158 North Carolina Central 1.0 +0.20 57 27
159 Mount St. Mary's 0.9 +0.19 56 32
160 Northern Colorado 0.8 +0.18 56 31
161 Stephen F. Austin 0.8 +0.18 56 31
162 Iona 0.8 +0.17 56 33
163 Saint Peter's 0.8 +0.17 55 32
164 Bowling Green 0.6 +0.15 55 32
165 Bryant 0.5 +0.13 55 31
166 Davidson 0.3 +0.11 54 30
167 Florida State 0.2 +0.09 54 33
168 Northern Kentucky 0.1 +0.07 54 31
169 Stony Brook 0.0 +0.06 54 34
170 Georgia 0.0 +0.06 53 37
171 Long Beach State 0.0 +0.06 53 34
172 Missouri State -0.0 +0.05 53 33
173 California Baptist -0.1 +0.05 52 31
174 Stanford -0.1 +0.04 52 32
175 North Dakota -0.1 +0.04 52 29
176 American University -0.2 +0.03 52 31
177 UC Santa Barbara -0.2 +0.03 51 29
178 Monmouth -0.2 +0.03 51 33
179 USC -0.2 +0.03 51 33
180 UTEP -0.2 +0.03 51 31
181 Tulsa -0.2 +0.03 50 30
182 UCLA -0.3 +0.00 50 32
183 East Tennessee State -0.4 +0.00 50 33
184 Loyola Marymount -0.4 +0.00 49 30
185 Jacksonville State -0.4 -0.01 49 29
186 Sacred Heart -0.5 -0.01 49 30
187 Milwaukee -0.5 -0.03 49 33
188 Cal State Northridge -0.7 -0.04 48 32
189 Howard -0.7 -0.04 48 33
190 Ball State -0.8 -0.06 48 29
191 Kansas City -0.8 -0.07 48 29
192 Lehigh -0.9 -0.07 47 30
193 Syracuse -0.9 -0.08 47 31
194 Montana State -0.9 -0.08 47 32
195 Eastern Kentucky -0.9 -0.08 46 28
196 George Washington -1.0 -0.09 46 31
197 Rutgers -1.2 -0.12 46 32
198 Wichita State -1.2 -0.12 46 33
199 Niagara -1.2 -0.12 45 31
200 Murray State -1.2 -0.13 45 31
201 Austin Peay -1.3 -0.14 45 32
202 Utah Valley -1.3 -0.14 44 30
203 Western Illinois -1.4 -0.15 44 29
204 UAlbany -1.4 -0.15 44 31
205 Boston University -1.4 -0.16 44 32
206 Rider -1.5 -0.16 43 31
207 Maine -1.5 -0.17 43 31
208 Le Moyne -1.5 -0.17 43 29
209 SIU Edwardsville -1.5 -0.18 43 30
210 Green Bay -1.6 -0.18 42 30
211 Columbia -1.7 -0.20 42 24
212 Oklahoma State -1.7 -0.20 42 32
213 Nicholls -1.8 -0.21 41 31
214 Illinois State -1.8 -0.22 41 31
215 Stetson -1.8 -0.22 41 32
216 Brown -1.9 -0.23 41 30
217 East Carolina -1.9 -0.24 40 32
218 Bucknell -1.9 -0.24 40 33
219 Fordham -1.9 -0.24 40 33
220 Georgia State -2.0 -0.25 40 29
221 Indiana -2.0 -0.25 39 33
222 Tennessee State -2.0 -0.25 39 29
223 Arkansas -2.0 -0.25 39 33
224 Texas Southern -2.1 -0.26 38 32
225 Wagner -2.1 -0.26 38 31
226 Mercer -2.1 -0.26 38 30
227 North Florida -2.1 -0.26 38 29
228 Navy -2.2 -0.27 37 30
229 North Alabama -2.2 -0.27 37 30
230 Kennesaw State -2.2 -0.27 37 28
231 Radford -2.2 -0.28 36 31
232 Portland State -2.2 -0.28 36 29
233 Wofford -2.3 -0.29 36 29
234 Omaha -2.3 -0.29 36 29
235 Florida Gulf Coast -2.3 -0.30 35 29
236 Miami (OH) -2.4 -0.30 35 30
237 Idaho State -2.4 -0.30 35 32
238 La Salle -2.5 -0.32 35 32
239 Harvard -2.5 -0.32 34 26
240 New Hampshire -2.5 -0.33 34 30
241 South Alabama -2.6 -0.33 34 29
242 Denver -2.6 -0.33 33 30
243 Presbyterian -2.6 -0.33 33 30
244 Southern -2.7 -0.35 33 29
245 UMBC -2.7 -0.36 33 31
246 Pepperdine -2.8 -0.37 32 31
247 UIC -2.9 -0.38 32 32
248 Gardner-Webb -2.9 -0.39 32 30
249 Delaware State -2.9 -0.39 31 32
250 Northeastern -2.9 -0.39 31 32
251 Temple -2.9 -0.39 31 35
252 Texas State -3.0 -0.39 31 33
253 Abilene Christian -3.0 -0.40 30 33
254 Bethune-Cookman -3.0 -0.40 30 32
255 Southern Miss -3.0 -0.40 30 30
256 UC Riverside -3.0 -0.40 30 32
257 California -3.1 -0.41 29 32
258 Canisius -3.1 -0.41 29 31
259 Notre Dame -3.1 -0.42 29 33
260 Cal State Bakersfield -3.2 -0.43 28 30
261 Pennsylvania -3.6 -0.49 28 27
262 The Citadel -3.6 -0.49 28 29
263 Cal State Fullerton -4.0 -0.55 28 30
264 Marshall -4.0 -0.56 27 32
265 Missouri -4.0 -0.56 27 32
266 Wyoming -4.0 -0.56 27 30
267 Binghamton -4.1 -0.56 27 28
268 Grambling -4.2 -0.57 26 33
269 Georgia Tech -4.2 -0.58 26 32
270 Jackson State -4.3 -0.60 26 32
271 North Dakota State -4.4 -0.61 25 29
272 Evansville -4.4 -0.62 25 34
273 Central Michigan -4.5 -0.62 25 31
274 UTSA -4.5 -0.63 25 31
275 Southern Utah -4.6 -0.63 24 29
276 Oral Roberts -4.8 -0.68 24 28
277 Alabama State -4.9 -0.68 24 29
278 Campbell -5.0 -0.70 23 29
279 Jacksonville -5.0 -0.70 23 30
280 Arizona State -5.0 -0.70 23 32
281 Oregon State -5.1 -0.72 23 31
282 Eastern Illinois -5.1 -0.72 22 28
283 Rhode Island -5.1 -0.72 22 31
284 Fairleigh Dickinson -5.1 -0.72 22 30
285 Lafayette -5.2 -0.73 22 31
286 SE Louisiana -5.2 -0.73 21 29
287 Rice -5.2 -0.73 21 31
288 Queens University -5.3 -0.74 21 31
289 Robert Morris -5.3 -0.74 20 30
290 Western Michigan -5.5 -0.78 20 31
291 San Diego -5.6 -0.80 20 31
292 South Carolina State -5.7 -0.80 20 30
293 Saint Louis -5.7 -0.81 19 32
294 Army -5.7 -0.81 19 30
295 William & Mary -5.8 -0.82 19 31
296 Florida International -5.8 -0.83 19 32
297 Georgia Southern -5.9 -0.84 18 33
298 Elon -6.0 -0.85 18 30
299 Alcorn State -6.0 -0.85 18 31
300 Michigan -6.1 -0.86 17 32
301 Air Force -6.2 -0.88 17 31
302 Chicago State -6.3 -0.90 17 29
303 South Carolina Upstate -6.3 -0.91 17 27
304 Idaho -6.6 -0.95 16 30
305 Old Dominion -6.8 -0.97 16 31
306 Fresno State -6.8 -0.97 16 32
307 Alabama A&M -6.8 -0.98 15 35
308 Utah Tech -6.9 -0.99 15 30
309 Middle Tennessee -6.9 -1.00 15 31
310 Georgetown -7.0 -1.01 15 32
311 West Virginia -7.0 -1.01 14 32
312 Louisville -7.1 -1.02 14 32
313 San José State -7.1 -1.02 14 31
314 South Dakota -7.1 -1.03 14 29
315 Sacramento State -7.2 -1.03 13 32
316 Coastal Carolina -7.6 -1.10 13 29
317 UL Monroe -7.6 -1.10 13 28
318 Eastern Michigan -7.7 -1.11 12 29
319 Northern Illinois -7.8 -1.13 12 29
320 Arkansas-Pine Bluff -8.0 -1.15 12 27
321 Vanderbilt -8.0 -1.15 12 32
322 Northern Arizona -8.0 -1.16 11 33
323 Southern Indiana -8.0 -1.16 11 29
324 Northwestern State -8.1 -1.17 11 30
325 Incarnate Word -8.5 -1.23 10 29
326 Prairie View A&M -8.5 -1.23 10 29
327 Tennessee Tech -8.8 -1.27 10 28
328 Loyola Maryland -9.2 -1.34 10 31
329 Holy Cross -9.3 -1.35 9 32
330 Bellarmine -9.3 -1.36 9 28
331 East Texas A&M -9.3 -1.36 9 30
332 New Mexico State -9.4 -1.36 9 28
333 Valparaiso -9.4 -1.37 8 31
334 Portland -9.7 -1.42 8 31
335 Central Arkansas -10.1 -1.47 8 30
336 Morgan State -10.2 -1.49 7 28
337 NJIT -10.2 -1.49 7 27
338 Long Island University -10.3 -1.50 7 29
339 Manhattan -10.4 -1.53 7 29
340 Charleston Southern -10.4 -1.53 6 27
341 Saint Francis -10.5 -1.53 6 28
342 Hampton -10.5 -1.54 6 30
343 New Orleans -10.9 -1.60 6 29
344 Maryland Eastern Shore -11.0 -1.61 5 25
345 Cal Poly -11.4 -1.67 5 31
346 Lindenwood -11.5 -1.69 5 28
347 Florida A&M -11.6 -1.71 4 27
348 Southeast Missouri State -11.7 -1.72 4 27
349 Buffalo -12.3 -1.81 4 30
350 North Carolina A&T -12.4 -1.82 4 32
351 UT Rio Grande Valley -12.5 -1.84 3 29
352 Stonehill -12.7 -1.87 3 31
353 Dartmouth -12.7 -1.87 3 25
354 Siena -14.0 -2.07 2 32
355 Detroit Mercy -14.3 -2.11 2 32
356 Coppin State -15.0 -2.22 2 29
357 Houston Christian -15.5 -2.30 2 27
358 IU Indianapolis -16.7 -2.48 1 29
359 DePaul -17.0 -2.53 1 32
360 Pacific -17.3 -2.57 1 30
361 VMI -18.2 -2.71 1 29
362 Mississippi Valley State -22.3 -3.33 0 31
363 Hartford -27.0 -4.05 0 1