Really don't mind if you sit this one out. "Thick as a Brick" - Jethro Tull

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Predicts home win: AUC 0.61 (team entering with the better value wins 58% of games)

Based on 5508 of 5727 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 27.0 max 42.8 mean 34.9 std 2.6 (n=363)

Team Rankings

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# Team Rebounds Per Game z Pctl GP
1 Texas A&M 42.8 +3.07 100 36
2 Arizona 42.6 +2.99 100 36
3 Florida 42.3 +2.87 99 36
4 North Carolina 41.1 +2.40 99 37
5 Illinois 40.9 +2.33 99 38
6 Purdue 40.4 +2.15 99 39
7 UT Martin 40.2 +2.05 98 28
8 App State 40.2 +2.04 98 32
9 Western Illinois 40.0 +1.98 98 29
10 UTSA 39.9 +1.93 98 31
11 UMass Lowell 39.7 +1.85 97 29
12 Alabama 39.6 +1.85 97 37
13 SMU 39.6 +1.84 97 32
14 BYU 39.5 +1.79 96 34
15 Cincinnati 39.5 +1.77 96 37
16 Charleston 39.4 +1.74 96 34
17 New Mexico 39.3 +1.72 96 34
18 Marshall 39.3 +1.72 95 32
19 Towson 39.2 +1.69 95 33
20 Western Kentucky 39.2 +1.67 95 31
21 Coastal Carolina 39.1 +1.65 94 29
22 Missouri State 39.1 +1.64 94 33
23 Santa Clara 39.1 +1.62 94 32
24 Saint Mary's 39.0 +1.58 94 33
25 Cal State Northridge 39.0 +1.58 93 32
26 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 39.0 +1.58 93 29
27 High Point 38.9 +1.57 93 34
28 Wichita State 38.9 +1.57 93 33
29 Drexel 38.9 +1.56 92 31
30 Utah 38.9 +1.54 92 37
31 UConn 38.8 +1.53 92 40
32 St. John's 38.8 +1.50 91 33
33 Youngstown State 38.8 +1.50 91 28
34 Western Carolina 38.7 +1.49 91 29
35 Tennessee 38.7 +1.48 91 36
36 Eastern Kentucky 38.6 +1.43 90 28
37 Alabama State 38.5 +1.41 90 29
38 Louisiana Tech 38.5 +1.41 90 29
39 Milwaukee 38.5 +1.38 90 33
40 Arkansas State 38.4 +1.34 89 37
41 Long Beach State 38.3 +1.33 89 34
42 Massachusetts 38.3 +1.33 89 31
43 Xavier 38.1 +1.25 88 34
44 Creighton 38.1 +1.25 88 35
45 Georgia Tech 38.1 +1.24 88 32
46 Mississippi State 38.1 +1.24 88 35
47 Florida Atlantic 38.1 +1.23 87 34
48 Western Michigan 38.0 +1.22 87 31
49 Gonzaga 38.0 +1.22 87 34
50 Auburn 38.0 +1.21 86 35
51 Grand Canyon 37.8 +1.14 86 34
52 UAB 37.8 +1.14 86 34
53 East Tennessee State 37.8 +1.13 86 33
54 Bowling Green 37.8 +1.11 85 32
55 James Madison 37.7 +1.10 85 35
56 UCF 37.7 +1.08 85 33
57 Washington State 37.7 +1.08 85 35
58 Nebraska 37.6 +1.07 84 34
59 Kentucky 37.6 +1.07 84 33
60 UC Irvine 37.6 +1.07 84 33
61 Binghamton 37.3 +0.93 83 28
62 Troy 37.3 +0.93 83 29
63 Seton Hall 37.3 +0.92 83 37
64 Kansas State 37.2 +0.91 83 34
65 San Diego State 37.2 +0.91 82 35
66 Sam Houston 37.2 +0.91 82 31
67 California 37.2 +0.88 82 32
68 TCU 37.1 +0.88 81 34
69 Rutgers 37.1 +0.87 81 32
70 Fordham 37.1 +0.87 81 33
71 Ohio State 37.1 +0.85 81 36
72 Houston 37.1 +0.85 80 37
73 Bryant 37.1 +0.85 80 31
74 Pittsburgh 37.1 +0.84 80 33
75 Memphis 37.0 +0.83 80 32
76 Brown 37.0 +0.81 79 30
77 UL Monroe 37.0 +0.81 79 28
78 Colorado 36.9 +0.80 79 37
79 Rider 36.9 +0.80 78 31
80 Furman 36.9 +0.79 78 30
81 Seattle U 36.9 +0.77 78 36
82 Lamar 36.8 +0.73 78 31
83 California Baptist 36.7 +0.72 77 31
84 George Washington 36.7 +0.72 77 31
85 UMBC 36.7 +0.72 77 31
86 Kennesaw State 36.7 +0.71 77 28
87 Miami 36.7 +0.70 76 32
88 New Hampshire 36.7 +0.69 76 30
89 Duke 36.6 +0.68 76 36
90 Quinnipiac 36.6 +0.67 75 33
91 South Carolina State 36.6 +0.66 75 30
92 UT Arlington 36.6 +0.66 75 32
93 Little Rock 36.6 +0.66 75 34
94 Georgia State 36.6 +0.65 74 29
95 Loyola Chicago 36.5 +0.63 74 32
96 Gardner-Webb 36.4 +0.60 74 30
97 Boise State 36.4 +0.58 73 31
98 Morehead State 36.4 +0.57 73 31
99 Longwood 36.3 +0.57 73 32
100 Clemson 36.3 +0.56 73 36
101 Central Michigan 36.3 +0.56 72 31
102 Wofford 36.3 +0.55 72 29
103 Utah Valley 36.3 +0.55 72 30
104 Jackson State 36.3 +0.54 72 32
105 Stony Brook 36.2 +0.50 71 34
106 Jacksonville State 36.2 +0.50 71 29
107 Portland State 36.1 +0.49 71 29
108 Fairleigh Dickinson 36.1 +0.48 70 30
109 Rhode Island 36.1 +0.48 70 31
110 UC Riverside 36.1 +0.48 70 32
111 Queens University 36.1 +0.46 70 31
112 South Florida 36.0 +0.44 69 33
113 Washington 36.0 +0.42 69 32
114 Incarnate Word 35.9 +0.41 69 29
115 Providence 35.9 +0.40 69 35
116 Temple 35.9 +0.40 68 35
117 Notre Dame 35.9 +0.40 68 33
118 Kansas 35.8 +0.36 68 33
119 Canisius 35.8 +0.36 67 31
120 UAlbany 35.8 +0.36 67 31
121 Saint Joseph's 35.8 +0.35 67 35
122 North Dakota 35.8 +0.35 67 29
123 Oakland 35.8 +0.34 66 36
124 Chattanooga 35.7 +0.33 66 31
125 Maryland 35.7 +0.33 66 33
126 George Mason 35.7 +0.31 65 31
127 Akron 35.7 +0.30 65 33
128 LSU 35.7 +0.30 65 33
129 Southern Miss 35.7 +0.30 65 30
130 Georgia 35.6 +0.30 64 37
131 Iowa 35.6 +0.27 64 34
132 South Carolina 35.6 +0.27 64 34
133 Alabama A&M 35.6 +0.27 64 35
134 Utah State 35.5 +0.24 63 33
135 Indiana State 35.5 +0.24 63 38
136 VMI 35.4 +0.22 63 29
137 Michigan 35.4 +0.21 62 32
138 Yale 35.4 +0.21 62 31
139 Pennsylvania 35.4 +0.20 62 27
140 Samford 35.4 +0.20 62 33
141 Kansas City 35.4 +0.19 61 29
142 Siena 35.4 +0.19 61 32
143 Houston Christian 35.4 +0.19 61 27
144 Monmouth 35.4 +0.19 60 33
145 Boston College 35.3 +0.16 60 36
146 NC State 35.3 +0.16 60 41
147 Delaware 35.3 +0.15 60 32
148 Colgate 35.2 +0.12 59 34
149 Cleveland State 35.2 +0.12 59 35
150 Oklahoma 35.2 +0.12 59 32
151 South Dakota 35.2 +0.11 59 29
152 VCU 35.2 +0.11 58 38
153 Rice 35.1 +0.09 58 31
154 Texas Southern 35.1 +0.09 58 32
155 Navy 35.1 +0.08 57 30
156 Mount St. Mary's 35.1 +0.08 57 32
157 Saint Peter's 35.1 +0.08 57 32
158 Texas State 35.1 +0.07 57 33
159 Boston University 35.0 +0.06 56 32
160 Howard 35.0 +0.06 56 33
161 Old Dominion 35.0 +0.04 56 31
162 Indiana 35.0 +0.03 56 33
163 Butler 35.0 +0.03 55 32
164 Hampton 35.0 +0.03 55 30
165 SIU Edwardsville 35.0 +0.03 55 30
166 Texas Tech 34.9 +0.02 54 34
167 Southern Indiana 34.9 +0.02 54 29
168 Baylor 34.9 +0.01 54 34
169 Minnesota 34.9 +0.01 54 34
170 Central Connecticut 34.9 +0.00 53 29
171 Long Island University 34.9 +0.00 53 29
172 East Carolina 34.9 -0.00 53 32
173 Jacksonville 34.9 -0.01 52 30
174 Northern Illinois 34.9 -0.01 52 29
175 Robert Morris 34.8 -0.02 52 30
176 Villanova 34.8 -0.02 52 34
177 Stephen F. Austin 34.8 -0.04 51 31
178 Tulsa 34.8 -0.05 51 30
179 Central Arkansas 34.7 -0.06 51 30
180 Denver 34.7 -0.06 51 30
181 McNeese 34.7 -0.06 50 30
182 Michigan State 34.7 -0.07 50 35
183 North Alabama 34.7 -0.07 50 30
184 Wagner 34.7 -0.08 49 31
185 Texas 34.7 -0.08 49 34
186 Loyola Marymount 34.6 -0.10 49 30
187 Nicholls 34.6 -0.11 49 31
188 Illinois State 34.5 -0.13 48 31
189 Arkansas 34.5 -0.13 48 33
190 Cornell 34.5 -0.14 48 28
191 Buffalo 34.5 -0.15 48 30
192 Ohio 34.5 -0.16 47 32
193 Harvard 34.5 -0.16 47 26
194 Kent State 34.4 -0.17 47 32
195 Vanderbilt 34.4 -0.17 46 32
196 Davidson 34.4 -0.18 46 30
197 Duquesne 34.4 -0.18 46 36
198 Bradley 34.4 -0.18 46 34
199 Utah Tech 34.4 -0.19 45 30
200 Oregon 34.4 -0.19 45 36
201 Drake 34.4 -0.20 45 34
202 Louisville 34.4 -0.20 44 32
203 La Salle 34.3 -0.21 44 32
204 Nevada 34.3 -0.23 44 33
205 Lehigh 34.3 -0.23 44 30
206 Northern Colorado 34.3 -0.23 43 31
207 South Dakota State 34.3 -0.23 43 32
208 Stanford 34.3 -0.23 43 32
209 Ball State 34.3 -0.24 43 29
210 SE Louisiana 34.3 -0.24 42 29
211 UC Santa Barbara 34.3 -0.24 42 29
212 Vermont 34.3 -0.24 42 33
213 Columbia 34.3 -0.25 41 24
214 Middle Tennessee 34.2 -0.26 41 31
215 Georgia Southern 34.2 -0.26 41 33
216 Wake Forest 34.2 -0.27 41 35
217 Charleston Southern 34.2 -0.27 40 27
218 Winthrop 34.1 -0.29 40 29
219 Wright State 34.1 -0.29 40 30
220 Wyoming 34.1 -0.29 40 30
221 UC San Diego 34.1 -0.32 39 31
222 Georgetown 34.1 -0.32 39 32
223 UNC Greensboro 34.0 -0.33 39 30
224 San Diego 34.0 -0.33 38 31
225 North Texas 34.0 -0.33 38 32
226 USC 34.0 -0.33 38 33
227 Wisconsin 34.0 -0.34 38 36
228 Loyola Maryland 34.0 -0.36 37 31
229 Cal State Bakersfield 34.0 -0.36 37 30
230 Eastern Illinois 34.0 -0.36 37 27
231 Sacramento State 33.9 -0.37 36 32
232 Louisiana 33.9 -0.37 36 31
233 Saint Francis 33.9 -0.37 36 28
234 Mercer 33.9 -0.38 36 30
235 North Carolina Central 33.9 -0.39 35 27
236 Belmont 33.9 -0.39 35 32
237 Toledo 33.9 -0.39 35 32
238 Radford 33.9 -0.39 35 31
239 William & Mary 33.9 -0.39 34 31
240 UNC Wilmington 33.9 -0.40 34 28
241 San Francisco 33.8 -0.40 34 33
242 Maryland Eastern Shore 33.8 -0.41 33 25
243 NJIT 33.8 -0.42 33 27
244 Iowa State 33.8 -0.42 33 37
245 Northern Kentucky 33.8 -0.42 33 31
246 Alcorn State 33.8 -0.43 32 31
247 West Virginia 33.8 -0.44 32 32
248 Northwestern State 33.7 -0.45 32 30
249 Oklahoma State 33.7 -0.46 31 32
250 Eastern Michigan 33.7 -0.48 31 29
251 Hawai'i 33.6 -0.49 31 32
252 Dayton 33.5 -0.52 31 33
253 Ole Miss 33.5 -0.53 30 32
254 Northern Iowa 33.5 -0.54 30 32
255 UNC Asheville 33.5 -0.54 30 31
256 Army 33.4 -0.56 30 30
257 Florida Gulf Coast 33.4 -0.57 29 29
258 Southern Utah 33.4 -0.58 29 29
259 Saint Louis 33.4 -0.59 29 32
260 Delaware State 33.3 -0.60 28 32
261 Florida A&M 33.3 -0.60 28 27
262 Austin Peay 33.3 -0.61 28 32
263 Tennessee State 33.3 -0.61 28 29
264 Pepperdine 33.3 -0.62 27 30
265 Florida State 33.3 -0.63 27 33
266 Arizona State 33.3 -0.63 27 32
267 Northeastern 33.2 -0.66 27 32
268 Montana 33.2 -0.66 26 33
269 Lafayette 33.1 -0.68 26 31
270 UCLA 33.1 -0.68 26 32
271 UIC 33.1 -0.68 25 32
272 Colorado State 33.1 -0.69 25 34
273 The Citadel 33.1 -0.69 25 29
274 Tarleton State 33.1 -0.70 25 32
275 Morgan State 33.1 -0.70 24 28
276 New Orleans 33.1 -0.70 24 29
277 Eastern Washington 33.1 -0.71 24 30
278 Green Bay 33.1 -0.71 23 30
279 New Mexico State 33.0 -0.73 23 28
280 South Alabama 33.0 -0.73 23 29
281 St. Bonaventure 32.9 -0.76 23 33
282 Portland 32.9 -0.77 22 31
283 Valparaiso 32.9 -0.78 22 31
284 Elon 32.9 -0.78 22 30
285 Stonehill 32.8 -0.81 22 31
286 Le Moyne 32.8 -0.83 21 29
287 Richmond 32.8 -0.83 21 33
288 Marquette 32.8 -0.83 21 37
289 Fairfield 32.8 -0.83 20 36
290 Stetson 32.8 -0.83 20 32
291 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 32.7 -0.83 20 27
292 Evansville 32.7 -0.83 20 34
293 Tulane 32.7 -0.84 19 30
294 Omaha 32.7 -0.84 19 29
295 UNLV 32.7 -0.84 19 32
296 Abilene Christian 32.7 -0.85 19 33
297 UC Davis 32.6 -0.87 18 31
298 North Dakota State 32.6 -0.88 18 29
299 Southern Illinois 32.6 -0.88 18 31
300 Presbyterian 32.6 -0.90 17 30
301 Virginia 32.6 -0.90 17 34
302 Syracuse 32.5 -0.91 17 31
303 Oral Roberts 32.5 -0.91 17 28
304 Cal State Fullerton 32.5 -0.91 16 30
305 Bucknell 32.5 -0.92 16 33
306 UT Rio Grande Valley 32.5 -0.93 16 29
307 Manhattan 32.4 -0.95 15 29
308 Bethune-Cookman 32.4 -0.95 15 32
309 Charlotte 32.4 -0.96 15 30
310 Norfolk State 32.4 -0.97 15 31
311 Virginia Tech 32.4 -0.97 14 34
312 Dartmouth 32.3 -1.00 14 25
313 Hofstra 32.3 -1.00 14 32
314 Liberty 32.3 -1.00 14 29
315 Murray State 32.3 -1.01 13 31
316 Penn State 32.3 -1.01 13 33
317 Sacred Heart 32.3 -1.02 13 30
318 Oregon State 32.3 -1.02 12 31
319 Lipscomb 32.2 -1.05 12 30
320 American University 32.2 -1.06 12 31
321 Marist 32.1 -1.09 12 31
322 Holy Cross 32.1 -1.10 11 32
323 Campbell 32.0 -1.12 11 29
324 Maine 31.9 -1.14 11 31
325 North Carolina A&T 31.9 -1.17 10 32
326 Purdue Fort Wayne 31.8 -1.19 10 34
327 Princeton 31.8 -1.19 10 27
328 Miami (OH) 31.8 -1.20 10 30
329 Iona 31.7 -1.23 9 33
330 UTEP 31.7 -1.24 9 31
331 South Carolina Upstate 31.6 -1.26 9 27
332 North Florida 31.6 -1.27 9 29
333 Fresno State 31.5 -1.33 8 32
334 Northwestern 31.4 -1.35 8 34
335 Northern Arizona 31.3 -1.38 8 33
336 East Texas A&M 31.3 -1.39 7 30
337 Idaho State 31.3 -1.40 7 32
338 Chicago State 31.3 -1.40 7 29
339 Bellarmine 31.1 -1.45 7 28
340 Southeast Missouri State 31.1 -1.48 6 27
341 Lindenwood 31.0 -1.49 6 28
342 Missouri 31.0 -1.51 6 32
343 Hartford 31.0 -1.51 6 1
344 Cal Poly 30.9 -1.56 5 31
345 Grambling 30.8 -1.57 5 33
346 Weber State 30.6 -1.67 5 29
347 Merrimack 30.5 -1.68 4 31
348 Florida International 30.4 -1.73 4 32
349 Tennessee Tech 30.4 -1.73 4 28
350 San José State 30.3 -1.80 4 31
351 Idaho 30.2 -1.80 3 30
352 Prairie View A&M 30.2 -1.83 3 29
353 Southern 30.2 -1.83 3 29
354 St. Thomas-Minnesota 30.1 -1.87 2 30
355 Niagara 30.1 -1.87 2 31
356 Coppin State 30.0 -1.90 2 28
357 Montana State 29.8 -1.97 2 32
358 DePaul 29.7 -2.00 1 32
359 Mississippi Valley State 29.4 -2.13 1 31
360 Detroit Mercy 29.4 -2.14 1 32
361 IU Indianapolis 29.3 -2.15 1 29
362 Air Force 28.1 -2.62 0 31
363 Pacific 27.0 -3.07 0 30