We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
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Pace

Possessions per game; how fast a team plays.

Possessions aren't in the box score, so they're estimated as FGA − OffReb + TO + 0.475×FTA (the standard estimator). Each game's possession count is the average of the two teams' estimates (both teams have roughly the same number of possessions in a game), and pace is the season total of those estimates divided by games played.

Higher is better  ·  league avg 69.1  ·  as of 2024-04-09

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

Based on 5508 of 5727 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 61.9 max 76.0 mean 69.1 std 2.5 (n=363)

Team Rankings

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# Team Pace z Pctl GP
1 Bryant 76.0 +2.81 100 31
2 Kennesaw State 75.5 +2.61 100 28
3 Western Kentucky 75.4 +2.58 99 31
4 UMBC 75.0 +2.40 99 31
5 VMI 74.9 +2.38 99 29
6 Kentucky 74.7 +2.29 99 33
7 UAlbany 74.6 +2.25 98 31
8 Arizona 74.6 +2.24 98 36
9 Tulane 74.4 +2.18 98 30
10 Alabama 74.4 +2.17 98 37
11 Florida 74.3 +2.14 97 36
12 Samford 73.9 +1.95 97 33
13 UT Martin 73.9 +1.95 97 28
14 Fairleigh Dickinson 73.6 +1.82 96 30
15 Queens University 73.5 +1.79 96 31
16 Wright State 73.5 +1.78 96 30
17 Washington 73.4 +1.76 96 32
18 UT Rio Grande Valley 73.4 +1.76 95 29
19 Cal State Northridge 73.3 +1.72 95 32
20 Arkansas 73.3 +1.71 95 33
21 New Hampshire 73.2 +1.69 94 30
22 Houston Christian 73.1 +1.65 94 27
23 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 73.1 +1.63 94 27
24 Iowa 72.9 +1.56 94 34
25 Long Beach State 72.6 +1.44 93 34
26 Memphis 72.6 +1.42 93 32
27 UMass Lowell 72.5 +1.39 93 29
28 Florida State 72.4 +1.37 93 33
29 New Orleans 72.4 +1.36 92 29
30 UTSA 72.4 +1.34 92 31
31 Purdue Fort Wayne 72.4 +1.34 92 34
32 Utah Tech 72.3 +1.33 91 30
33 Stephen F. Austin 72.3 +1.32 91 31
34 Northern Colorado 72.3 +1.31 91 31
35 UT Arlington 72.3 +1.31 91 32
36 New Mexico 72.3 +1.30 90 34
37 Marshall 72.3 +1.30 90 32
38 Tulsa 72.2 +1.28 90 30
39 Prairie View A&M 72.2 +1.28 90 29
40 George Washington 72.2 +1.27 89 31
41 Belmont 72.1 +1.25 89 32
42 Denver 72.0 +1.20 89 30
43 Stanford 72.0 +1.18 88 32
44 Alabama A&M 72.0 +1.18 88 35
45 San Diego 72.0 +1.18 88 31
46 Incarnate Word 71.9 +1.17 88 29
47 Syracuse 71.9 +1.17 87 31
48 Long Island University 71.9 +1.16 87 29
49 James Madison 71.9 +1.14 87 35
50 Milwaukee 71.8 +1.13 86 33
51 Morgan State 71.8 +1.10 86 28
52 Quinnipiac 71.8 +1.10 86 33
53 Troy 71.7 +1.09 86 29
54 Coastal Carolina 71.7 +1.08 85 29
55 Old Dominion 71.7 +1.07 85 31
56 Florida International 71.7 +1.07 85 32
57 Indiana State 71.7 +1.05 85 38
58 Utah 71.6 +1.05 84 37
59 TCU 71.6 +1.04 84 34
60 Furman 71.6 +1.03 84 30
61 Bethune-Cookman 71.6 +1.02 83 32
62 North Carolina 71.5 +0.99 83 37
63 Xavier 71.5 +0.99 83 34
64 Cornell 71.4 +0.96 83 28
65 Abilene Christian 71.4 +0.94 82 33
66 California 71.3 +0.92 82 32
67 Auburn 71.3 +0.89 82 35
68 Lehigh 71.2 +0.89 81 30
69 Southern Utah 71.1 +0.81 81 29
70 Delaware State 71.0 +0.81 81 32
71 LSU 71.0 +0.79 81 33
72 Eastern Washington 71.0 +0.78 80 30
73 Lamar 70.9 +0.76 80 31
74 Gardner-Webb 70.9 +0.75 80 30
75 South Dakota 70.9 +0.74 80 29
76 Butler 70.9 +0.74 79 32
77 Georgia 70.9 +0.73 79 37
78 UTEP 70.9 +0.73 79 31
79 South Alabama 70.9 +0.73 78 29
80 Georgia Southern 70.8 +0.72 78 33
81 Arizona State 70.8 +0.72 78 32
82 Toledo 70.8 +0.70 78 32
83 Penn State 70.8 +0.70 77 33
84 Louisville 70.7 +0.67 77 32
85 USC 70.7 +0.67 77 33
86 Georgia State 70.7 +0.66 77 29
87 Youngstown State 70.7 +0.66 76 28
88 Southeast Missouri State 70.6 +0.64 76 27
89 South Carolina State 70.6 +0.64 76 30
90 Florida Atlantic 70.6 +0.63 75 34
91 Fordham 70.6 +0.63 75 33
92 Illinois 70.5 +0.60 75 38
93 Lipscomb 70.5 +0.58 75 30
94 East Texas A&M 70.5 +0.57 74 30
95 Eastern Kentucky 70.5 +0.57 74 28
96 Sacred Heart 70.4 +0.56 74 30
97 Northern Kentucky 70.4 +0.55 73 31
98 Charleston 70.4 +0.55 73 34
99 Buffalo 70.4 +0.54 73 30
100 Little Rock 70.4 +0.54 73 34
101 Louisiana 70.4 +0.53 72 31
102 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 70.4 +0.53 72 29
103 UNC Asheville 70.4 +0.53 72 31
104 Central Arkansas 70.4 +0.52 72 30
105 App State 70.3 +0.51 71 32
106 Utah State 70.3 +0.50 71 33
107 Tennessee 70.3 +0.50 71 36
108 Alabama State 70.3 +0.49 70 29
109 Kansas State 70.3 +0.48 70 34
110 Drake 70.2 +0.48 70 34
111 Florida A&M 70.2 +0.48 70 27
112 Jackson State 70.2 +0.47 69 32
113 Montana State 70.2 +0.47 69 32
114 Miami 70.2 +0.47 69 32
115 Arkansas State 70.2 +0.46 69 37
116 Nebraska 70.2 +0.46 68 34
117 Mount St. Mary's 70.2 +0.46 68 32
118 Kansas 70.1 +0.43 68 33
119 Southern 70.1 +0.42 67 29
120 UC Irvine 70.1 +0.40 67 33
121 Southern Indiana 70.0 +0.40 67 29
122 Northern Illinois 70.0 +0.39 67 29
123 Hampton 70.0 +0.38 66 30
124 Howard 70.0 +0.38 66 33
125 Manhattan 70.0 +0.38 66 29
126 Northwestern State 70.0 +0.37 65 30
127 High Point 70.0 +0.37 65 34
128 BYU 69.9 +0.36 65 34
129 Nicholls 69.9 +0.35 65 31
130 Santa Clara 69.9 +0.34 64 32
131 Wichita State 69.9 +0.34 64 33
132 UIC 69.9 +0.33 64 32
133 Bowling Green 69.9 +0.33 64 32
134 Evansville 69.8 +0.30 63 34
135 Seattle U 69.8 +0.29 63 36
136 North Alabama 69.8 +0.29 63 30
137 Michigan 69.7 +0.27 62 32
138 Colorado 69.7 +0.27 62 37
139 Winthrop 69.7 +0.25 62 29
140 Grand Canyon 69.7 +0.25 62 34
141 Marquette 69.7 +0.25 61 37
142 Robert Morris 69.7 +0.24 61 30
143 Portland State 69.6 +0.23 61 29
144 Pacific 69.6 +0.22 60 30
145 St. John's 69.6 +0.21 60 33
146 Loyola Chicago 69.6 +0.21 60 32
147 UCF 69.6 +0.21 60 33
148 Northern Arizona 69.6 +0.21 59 33
149 South Carolina Upstate 69.6 +0.21 59 27
150 North Florida 69.5 +0.18 59 29
151 UAB 69.5 +0.18 59 34
152 Massachusetts 69.5 +0.17 58 31
153 Texas Southern 69.5 +0.16 58 32
154 Saint Louis 69.4 +0.16 58 32
155 Stonehill 69.4 +0.16 57 31
156 Utah Valley 69.4 +0.15 57 30
157 Columbia 69.4 +0.15 57 24
158 Missouri State 69.4 +0.14 57 33
159 Indiana 69.4 +0.14 56 33
160 Tennessee State 69.4 +0.14 56 29
161 Gonzaga 69.4 +0.14 56 34
162 Sam Houston 69.4 +0.14 56 31
163 Wake Forest 69.3 +0.11 55 35
164 Rider 69.3 +0.10 55 31
165 NC State 69.3 +0.10 55 41
166 Cincinnati 69.3 +0.10 54 37
167 Oakland 69.3 +0.10 54 36
168 Western Michigan 69.3 +0.09 54 31
169 Georgia Tech 69.3 +0.08 54 32
170 Creighton 69.2 +0.07 53 35
171 West Virginia 69.2 +0.07 53 32
172 Temple 69.2 +0.07 53 35
173 Southern Miss 69.2 +0.07 52 30
174 Presbyterian 69.2 +0.04 52 30
175 Providence 69.1 +0.03 52 35
176 Oral Roberts 69.1 +0.02 52 28
177 UC Santa Barbara 69.1 +0.02 51 29
178 Saint Joseph's 69.1 +0.01 51 35
179 New Mexico State 69.1 -0.00 51 28
180 Chattanooga 69.0 -0.01 51 31
181 Ohio 69.0 -0.01 50 32
182 Fairfield 69.0 -0.02 50 36
183 Cleveland State 69.0 -0.02 50 35
184 Oregon 69.0 -0.03 49 36
185 Rhode Island 69.0 -0.04 49 31
186 South Florida 69.0 -0.04 49 33
187 Longwood 68.9 -0.05 49 32
188 Oklahoma 68.9 -0.05 48 32
189 Purdue 68.9 -0.06 48 39
190 Mississippi State 68.9 -0.06 48 35
191 Kent State 68.9 -0.07 48 32
192 Western Carolina 68.9 -0.07 47 29
193 Rutgers 68.8 -0.09 47 32
194 Le Moyne 68.8 -0.09 47 29
195 Oklahoma State 68.8 -0.10 46 32
196 Stony Brook 68.8 -0.10 46 34
197 Valparaiso 68.7 -0.13 46 31
198 Canisius 68.7 -0.13 46 31
199 Brown 68.7 -0.14 45 30
200 Detroit Mercy 68.7 -0.14 45 32
201 Missouri 68.7 -0.14 45 32
202 Maryland Eastern Shore 68.7 -0.15 44 25
203 SMU 68.7 -0.15 44 32
204 Binghamton 68.7 -0.15 44 28
205 Merrimack 68.7 -0.16 44 31
206 Alcorn State 68.6 -0.18 43 31
207 South Dakota State 68.6 -0.18 43 32
208 IU Indianapolis 68.6 -0.18 43 29
209 Texas State 68.6 -0.20 43 33
210 Ole Miss 68.6 -0.20 42 32
211 San Francisco 68.5 -0.21 42 33
212 UL Monroe 68.5 -0.21 42 28
213 Portland 68.5 -0.21 41 31
214 Niagara 68.5 -0.23 41 31
215 Lindenwood 68.5 -0.23 41 28
216 Texas 68.5 -0.24 41 34
217 East Tennessee State 68.5 -0.24 40 33
218 Ball State 68.4 -0.26 40 29
219 Harvard 68.4 -0.27 40 26
220 DePaul 68.4 -0.29 40 32
221 Rice 68.4 -0.29 39 31
222 UC Davis 68.3 -0.30 39 31
223 NJIT 68.3 -0.30 39 27
224 Seton Hall 68.3 -0.31 38 37
225 La Salle 68.3 -0.32 38 32
226 Pepperdine 68.3 -0.32 38 30
227 Wofford 68.3 -0.32 38 29
228 Baylor 68.3 -0.32 37 34
229 Tarleton State 68.3 -0.33 37 32
230 Wyoming 68.2 -0.33 37 30
231 Clemson 68.2 -0.34 36 36
232 Texas A&M 68.2 -0.34 36 36
233 North Dakota 68.2 -0.34 36 29
234 Hawai'i 68.2 -0.34 36 32
235 Kansas City 68.2 -0.35 35 29
236 Coppin State 68.2 -0.35 35 28
237 Vanderbilt 68.2 -0.37 35 32
238 Miami (OH) 68.1 -0.37 35 30
239 Boston College 68.1 -0.38 34 36
240 Virginia Tech 68.1 -0.38 34 34
241 Omaha 68.1 -0.38 34 29
242 Northern Iowa 68.1 -0.38 33 32
243 Ohio State 68.1 -0.40 33 36
244 Maine 68.1 -0.40 33 31
245 Monmouth 68.1 -0.40 33 33
246 North Carolina A&T 68.0 -0.42 32 32
247 San Diego State 68.0 -0.42 32 35
248 Minnesota 68.0 -0.43 32 34
249 Iona 68.0 -0.43 31 33
250 North Dakota State 68.0 -0.44 31 29
251 Georgetown 67.9 -0.45 31 32
252 Central Connecticut 67.9 -0.46 31 29
253 Iowa State 67.9 -0.46 30 37
254 Central Michigan 67.9 -0.47 30 31
255 North Carolina Central 67.9 -0.48 30 27
256 Jacksonville 67.9 -0.48 30 30
257 Charleston Southern 67.9 -0.49 29 27
258 Middle Tennessee 67.9 -0.49 29 31
259 Eastern Illinois 67.8 -0.50 29 27
260 Oregon State 67.7 -0.53 28 31
261 Bradley 67.7 -0.54 28 34
262 Delaware 67.7 -0.56 28 32
263 Richmond 67.7 -0.56 28 33
264 UC Riverside 67.7 -0.56 27 32
265 Norfolk State 67.7 -0.56 27 31
266 Cal State Fullerton 67.5 -0.62 27 30
267 Tennessee Tech 67.5 -0.62 27 28
268 Elon 67.5 -0.63 26 30
269 Mercer 67.5 -0.64 26 30
270 Texas Tech 67.5 -0.65 26 34
271 Pennsylvania 67.4 -0.67 25 27
272 Campbell 67.4 -0.68 25 29
273 Louisiana Tech 67.4 -0.68 25 29
274 SIU Edwardsville 67.3 -0.70 25 30
275 Cal Poly 67.3 -0.73 24 31
276 Nevada 67.2 -0.77 24 33
277 Siena 67.1 -0.79 24 32
278 UC San Diego 67.1 -0.79 23 31
279 Duke 67.1 -0.79 23 36
280 Eastern Michigan 67.1 -0.79 23 29
281 Bellarmine 67.1 -0.81 23 28
282 Stetson 67.1 -0.81 22 32
283 SE Louisiana 67.0 -0.82 22 29
284 Maryland 67.0 -0.82 22 33
285 Grambling 67.0 -0.83 22 33
286 Pittsburgh 67.0 -0.85 21 33
287 Akron 67.0 -0.85 21 33
288 Fresno State 67.0 -0.85 21 32
289 Montana 66.9 -0.86 20 33
290 Boise State 66.9 -0.87 20 31
291 Davidson 66.9 -0.88 20 30
292 Washington State 66.9 -0.88 20 35
293 St. Bonaventure 66.9 -0.90 19 33
294 McNeese 66.8 -0.90 19 30
295 Colorado State 66.8 -0.91 19 34
296 Yale 66.8 -0.91 19 31
297 Austin Peay 66.8 -0.91 18 32
298 UNC Greensboro 66.8 -0.91 18 30
299 Chicago State 66.8 -0.92 18 29
300 Saint Francis 66.7 -0.95 17 28
301 Duquesne 66.7 -0.95 17 36
302 Hofstra 66.7 -0.96 17 32
303 Western Illinois 66.7 -0.96 17 29
304 Wisconsin 66.7 -0.98 16 36
305 The Citadel 66.6 -0.98 16 29
306 Michigan State 66.6 -0.98 16 35
307 VCU 66.6 -0.99 15 38
308 UNC Wilmington 66.6 -0.99 15 28
309 Loyola Maryland 66.6 -0.99 15 31
310 Cal State Bakersfield 66.6 -1.01 15 30
311 William & Mary 66.6 -1.01 14 31
312 Jacksonville State 66.5 -1.02 14 29
313 Weber State 66.5 -1.03 14 29
314 Boston University 66.5 -1.04 14 32
315 Mississippi Valley State 66.5 -1.06 13 31
316 San José State 66.4 -1.06 13 31
317 Southern Illinois 66.4 -1.08 13 31
318 Liberty 66.3 -1.13 12 29
319 Lafayette 66.3 -1.13 12 31
320 UNLV 66.3 -1.14 12 32
321 East Carolina 66.1 -1.20 12 32
322 Drexel 66.1 -1.20 11 31
323 Colgate 66.1 -1.22 11 34
324 UConn 66.0 -1.23 11 40
325 Radford 66.0 -1.24 10 31
326 Northwestern 66.0 -1.26 10 34
327 Navy 65.9 -1.27 10 30
328 Dartmouth 65.9 -1.29 10 25
329 Loyola Marymount 65.9 -1.30 9 30
330 Idaho 65.8 -1.30 9 30
331 Idaho State 65.8 -1.31 9 32
332 Northeastern 65.8 -1.32 9 32
333 California Baptist 65.8 -1.33 8 31
334 Villanova 65.7 -1.35 8 34
335 Notre Dame 65.7 -1.38 8 33
336 Morehead State 65.7 -1.38 7 31
337 Holy Cross 65.6 -1.39 7 32
338 Princeton 65.6 -1.40 7 27
339 Vermont 65.6 -1.41 7 33
340 Saint Peter's 65.5 -1.44 6 32
341 Florida Gulf Coast 65.5 -1.44 6 29
342 Murray State 65.5 -1.45 6 31
343 Marist 65.5 -1.46 6 31
344 Green Bay 65.5 -1.46 5 30
345 South Carolina 65.3 -1.52 5 34
346 Illinois State 65.1 -1.59 5 31
347 Dayton 65.0 -1.65 4 33
348 Bucknell 64.9 -1.71 4 33
349 George Mason 64.8 -1.72 4 31
350 Sacramento State 64.8 -1.74 4 32
351 Houston 64.8 -1.75 3 37
352 UCLA 64.6 -1.81 3 32
353 Saint Mary's 64.0 -2.03 3 33
354 Army 63.9 -2.09 2 30
355 Air Force 63.9 -2.10 2 31
356 Towson 63.8 -2.15 2 33
357 Charlotte 63.7 -2.18 2 30
358 St. Thomas-Minnesota 63.7 -2.19 1 30
359 Wagner 63.5 -2.26 1 31
360 American University 63.4 -2.29 1 31
361 North Texas 63.4 -2.31 1 32
362 Hartford 62.6 -2.63 0 1
363 Virginia 61.9 -2.91 0 34