So let the words of our mouth and the meditation of our heart be acceptable in thy sight, O Fari! "By the RIvers of Babylon"-The Melodians

Does it predict winners?

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 10.0% max 65.1% mean 49.6% std 5.5% (n=363)

Team Rankings

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# Team Opponents' Win Percentage (OWP) z Pctl GP
1 Alabama 65.1% +2.83 100 37
2 Purdue 63.6% +2.55 100 39
3 San Diego State 61.6% +2.19 99 35
4 Tennessee 60.8% +2.04 99 36
5 Michigan 60.7% +2.02 99 32
6 Kansas 60.3% +1.95 99 33
7 Arizona 60.1% +1.91 98 36
8 Michigan State 60.1% +1.91 98 35
9 Illinois 60.0% +1.89 98 38
10 Dayton 59.9% +1.89 98 33
11 Wisconsin 59.5% +1.80 97 36
12 Clemson 59.1% +1.73 97 36
13 UNLV 59.1% +1.73 97 32
14 Duquesne 58.9% +1.70 96 36
15 Xavier 58.7% +1.66 96 34
16 West Virginia 58.6% +1.64 96 32
17 Baylor 58.4% +1.61 96 34
18 Bradley 58.3% +1.58 95 34
19 Marquette 58.2% +1.57 95 37
20 Syracuse 58.1% +1.55 95 31
21 Florida State 58.1% +1.55 94 33
22 VCU 58.0% +1.53 94 38
23 Colorado State 58.0% +1.53 94 34
24 Yale 57.9% +1.51 94 31
25 Houston 57.8% +1.50 93 37
26 Arkansas 57.6% +1.45 93 33
27 Virginia Tech 57.5% +1.45 93 34
28 Rhode Island 57.4% +1.43 93 31
29 Boise State 57.4% +1.41 92 31
30 Utah 57.3% +1.41 92 37
31 North Carolina 57.3% +1.41 92 37
32 Cincinnati 57.1% +1.37 91 37
33 Duke 57.1% +1.37 91 36
34 Creighton 57.0% +1.34 91 35
35 USC 56.9% +1.33 91 33
36 Utah State 56.9% +1.33 90 33
37 Washington 56.8% +1.31 90 32
38 Indiana 56.6% +1.28 90 33
39 Villanova 56.6% +1.27 90 34
40 Arizona State 56.6% +1.27 89 32
41 Florida 56.5% +1.25 89 36
42 Georgia Tech 56.3% +1.22 89 32
43 Auburn 56.2% +1.21 88 35
44 UCF 56.2% +1.19 88 33
45 Texas 56.1% +1.19 88 34
46 Georgia 56.0% +1.17 88 37
47 New Mexico 55.9% +1.15 87 35
48 Texas A&M 55.9% +1.14 87 36
49 UConn 55.8% +1.14 87 40
50 Drake 55.8% +1.13 86 34
51 Colorado 55.8% +1.12 86 37
52 Florida Atlantic 55.8% +1.12 86 34
53 Boston College 55.6% +1.09 86 36
54 Saint Louis 55.5% +1.08 85 32
55 Mississippi State 55.5% +1.07 85 35
56 UAB 55.4% +1.06 85 34
57 Gardner-Webb 55.4% +1.06 85 30
58 Saint Mary's 55.4% +1.06 84 33
59 Ohio State 55.4% +1.05 84 36
60 Gonzaga 55.3% +1.04 84 34
61 DePaul 55.1% +1.00 83 32
62 Missouri 55.1% +1.00 83 32
63 Iowa 55.1% +1.00 83 34
64 Rutgers 54.7% +0.94 83 32
65 Virginia 54.5% +0.90 82 34
66 Davidson 54.5% +0.90 82 30
67 Notre Dame 54.4% +0.87 82 33
68 Northern Iowa 54.2% +0.84 81 32
69 Ole Miss 54.2% +0.84 81 32
70 Vanderbilt 54.2% +0.83 81 32
71 Oregon 54.1% +0.83 81 36
72 NC State 54.0% +0.81 80 41
73 Oregon State 53.9% +0.79 80 31
74 Akron 53.9% +0.79 80 33
75 Iowa State 53.9% +0.78 80 37
76 Charlotte 53.9% +0.78 79 30
77 Seton Hall 53.9% +0.78 79 37
78 LSU 53.8% +0.77 79 33
79 Kentucky 53.8% +0.77 78 33
80 Washington State 53.8% +0.76 78 35
81 Penn State 53.7% +0.74 78 33
82 Murray State 53.6% +0.73 78 31
83 Wyoming 53.6% +0.73 77 30
84 Wake Forest 53.5% +0.70 77 35
85 Kansas State 53.4% +0.69 77 34
86 Loyola Chicago 53.3% +0.68 77 32
87 Nebraska 53.3% +0.67 76 34
88 Oklahoma State 53.3% +0.67 76 32
89 Texas Tech 53.3% +0.67 76 34
90 Wichita State 53.2% +0.66 75 33
91 Nevada 53.1% +0.64 75 33
92 Providence 53.1% +0.63 75 35
93 Oakland 53.0% +0.61 75 36
94 Oklahoma 53.0% +0.61 74 32
95 George Mason 52.9% +0.60 74 31
96 Rice 52.7% +0.56 74 31
97 BYU 52.7% +0.56 73 34
98 California 52.7% +0.56 73 32
99 Grand Canyon 52.6% +0.55 73 34
100 Belmont 52.6% +0.55 73 32
101 Utah Valley 52.6% +0.54 72 30
102 Louisiana Tech 52.5% +0.54 72 29
103 UNC Asheville 52.5% +0.53 72 31
104 Pennsylvania 52.5% +0.52 72 27
105 Valparaiso 52.4% +0.52 71 31
106 Fordham 52.4% +0.50 71 33
107 Vermont 52.4% +0.50 71 33
108 St. John's 52.3% +0.49 70 33
109 Northwestern 52.2% +0.47 70 34
110 South Florida 52.2% +0.47 70 33
111 Butler 52.2% +0.46 70 32
112 UCLA 52.2% +0.46 69 32
113 Saint Joseph's 52.1% +0.46 69 35
114 North Texas 52.1% +0.46 69 32
115 Hofstra 52.1% +0.46 69 32
116 Louisiana 52.1% +0.45 68 31
117 Maryland 51.9% +0.42 68 33
118 St. Bonaventure 51.9% +0.41 68 33
119 Stanford 51.8% +0.41 67 32
120 Marshall 51.8% +0.40 67 32
121 Miami 51.8% +0.40 67 32
122 Fresno State 51.7% +0.39 67 32
123 San José State 51.7% +0.39 66 31
124 Massachusetts 51.7% +0.38 66 31
125 Portland 51.7% +0.38 66 31
126 Toledo 51.7% +0.38 65 32
127 Illinois State 51.7% +0.37 65 31
128 Liberty 51.5% +0.35 65 29
129 Colgate 51.4% +0.34 65 34
130 Texas State 51.4% +0.34 64 33
131 Dartmouth 51.3% +0.31 64 25
132 Charleston Southern 51.3% +0.31 64 27
133 Manhattan 51.3% +0.31 64 29
134 Kent State 51.3% +0.31 63 32
135 Queens University 51.3% +0.30 63 31
136 Northern Illinois 51.2% +0.29 63 29
137 SMU 50.9% +0.24 62 32
138 Canisius 50.9% +0.24 62 31
139 South Dakota State 50.9% +0.24 62 32
140 TCU 50.9% +0.23 62 34
141 UIC 50.9% +0.23 61 32
142 Memphis 50.9% +0.23 61 32
143 UT Arlington 50.8% +0.22 61 32
144 Wofford 50.8% +0.22 60 29
145 Arkansas State 50.8% +0.22 60 37
146 North Carolina A&T 50.8% +0.21 60 32
147 Seattle U 50.7% +0.21 60 36
148 Grambling 50.7% +0.20 59 33
149 Princeton 50.7% +0.19 59 27
150 New Mexico State 50.6% +0.19 59 28
151 Evansville 50.6% +0.19 59 34
152 Buffalo 50.6% +0.18 58 30
153 Pittsburgh 50.5% +0.16 58 33
154 Loyola Marymount 50.3% +0.13 58 30
155 Pepperdine 50.2% +0.11 57 31
156 UL Monroe 50.2% +0.10 57 28
157 Temple 50.1% +0.10 57 35
158 Georgetown 50.1% +0.10 57 32
159 Louisville 50.0% +0.07 56 32
160 Indiana State 49.9% +0.06 56 38
161 UC Riverside 49.9% +0.06 56 32
162 Iona 49.9% +0.06 56 33
163 Middle Tennessee 49.9% +0.06 55 31
164 Brown 49.9% +0.05 55 30
165 East Carolina 49.8% +0.04 55 32
166 South Carolina 49.8% +0.04 54 34
167 Weber State 49.8% +0.04 54 29
168 Wright State 49.8% +0.03 54 30
169 Cleveland State 49.7% +0.03 54 35
170 Montana 49.7% +0.02 53 33
171 Tulane 49.7% +0.02 53 30
172 UC Irvine 49.7% +0.02 53 33
173 Detroit Mercy 49.7% +0.02 52 32
174 Furman 49.7% +0.02 52 30
175 UTEP 49.7% +0.01 52 31
176 Charleston 49.7% +0.01 52 34
177 Siena 49.7% +0.01 51 32
178 Minnesota 49.6% +0.01 51 34
179 Tarleton State 49.6% +0.01 51 32
180 Santa Clara 49.6% +0.00 51 32
181 Samford 49.6% -0.01 50 33
182 Northeastern 49.4% -0.03 50 32
183 Southern Utah 49.4% -0.05 50 29
184 Stony Brook 49.3% -0.06 49 34
185 Richmond 49.2% -0.07 49 33
186 Sacramento State 49.2% -0.07 49 32
187 North Dakota State 49.2% -0.08 49 29
188 Stetson 49.2% -0.08 48 32
189 East Tennessee State 49.1% -0.09 48 33
190 San Diego 49.1% -0.09 48 31
191 Sam Houston 49.1% -0.09 48 31
192 Austin Peay 49.1% -0.10 47 32
193 Milwaukee 49.0% -0.11 47 33
194 New Hampshire 49.0% -0.12 47 30
195 Old Dominion 48.9% -0.12 46 31
196 App State 48.9% -0.12 46 32
197 George Washington 48.9% -0.12 46 31
198 Cal State Fullerton 48.9% -0.12 46 30
199 Eastern Kentucky 48.9% -0.13 45 28
200 Harvard 48.9% -0.14 45 26
201 Utah Tech 48.8% -0.14 45 30
202 VMI 48.8% -0.15 44 29
203 Mercer 48.8% -0.15 44 30
204 Towson 48.8% -0.16 44 33
205 Southern Miss 48.7% -0.16 44 30
206 Oral Roberts 48.7% -0.17 43 28
207 Northern Kentucky 48.6% -0.18 43 31
208 Rider 48.6% -0.19 43 31
209 Georgia State 48.6% -0.19 43 29
210 McNeese 48.6% -0.19 42 30
211 Bryant 48.5% -0.19 42 31
212 Morehead State 48.5% -0.20 42 31
213 Cornell 48.3% -0.25 41 28
214 Saint Peter's 48.2% -0.25 41 32
215 Missouri State 48.2% -0.26 41 33
216 Western Carolina 48.2% -0.26 41 29
217 Troy 48.2% -0.26 40 29
218 Southern Indiana 48.2% -0.26 40 29
219 Texas Southern 48.2% -0.26 40 32
220 Florida A&M 48.2% -0.26 40 27
221 La Salle 48.2% -0.27 39 32
222 Stonehill 48.1% -0.27 39 31
223 UT Rio Grande Valley 48.1% -0.27 39 29
224 Bellarmine 48.1% -0.28 38 28
225 Monmouth 48.0% -0.29 38 33
226 NJIT 47.9% -0.31 38 27
227 Fairfield 47.9% -0.31 38 36
228 UNC Wilmington 47.8% -0.32 37 28
229 Hampton 47.8% -0.33 37 30
230 Southern Illinois 47.7% -0.35 37 31
231 Mississippi Valley State 47.7% -0.35 36 31
232 Montana State 47.7% -0.36 36 32
233 East Texas A&M 47.6% -0.37 36 30
234 Western Michigan 47.5% -0.39 36 31
235 Binghamton 47.5% -0.39 35 28
236 Stephen F. Austin 47.5% -0.39 35 31
237 Maine 47.4% -0.39 35 31
238 SE Louisiana 47.4% -0.40 35 29
239 Northern Arizona 47.3% -0.42 34 33
240 UC Santa Barbara 47.3% -0.42 34 29
241 Alcorn State 47.3% -0.43 34 31
242 UTSA 47.3% -0.43 33 31
243 Green Bay 47.2% -0.44 33 30
244 The Citadel 47.1% -0.45 33 29
245 Robert Morris 47.1% -0.46 33 30
246 UNC Greensboro 47.1% -0.46 32 30
247 Lafayette 47.1% -0.46 32 31
248 Morgan State 47.1% -0.47 32 28
249 Alabama State 47.0% -0.47 31 29
250 Abilene Christian 47.0% -0.47 31 33
251 Merrimack 47.0% -0.48 31 31
252 Western Kentucky 47.0% -0.48 31 31
253 South Carolina Upstate 47.0% -0.48 30 27
254 UAlbany 46.9% -0.49 30 31
255 Northern Colorado 46.9% -0.49 30 31
256 Longwood 46.9% -0.50 30 32
257 Lipscomb 46.9% -0.50 29 30
258 Chicago State 46.8% -0.50 29 29
259 Pacific 46.8% -0.51 29 30
260 Florida Gulf Coast 46.8% -0.51 28 29
261 Nicholls 46.8% -0.51 28 31
262 Alabama A&M 46.8% -0.52 28 35
263 Tennessee Tech 46.8% -0.52 28 28
264 Bucknell 46.7% -0.53 27 33
265 Delaware 46.7% -0.54 27 32
266 Hawai'i 46.7% -0.54 27 32
267 High Point 46.6% -0.54 27 34
268 Drexel 46.6% -0.55 26 31
269 Air Force 46.5% -0.56 26 31
270 California Baptist 46.5% -0.58 26 31
271 Southeast Missouri State 46.4% -0.58 25 27
272 San Francisco 46.4% -0.59 25 33
273 North Alabama 46.3% -0.61 25 30
274 Chattanooga 46.3% -0.61 25 31
275 Cal Poly 46.2% -0.62 24 31
276 Winthrop 46.2% -0.62 24 29
277 Eastern Washington 46.2% -0.63 24 30
278 Tulsa 46.1% -0.64 23 30
279 Coastal Carolina 46.1% -0.64 23 29
280 UC Davis 46.1% -0.65 23 31
281 Florida International 46.1% -0.65 23 32
282 Cal State Bakersfield 46.1% -0.65 22 30
283 Tennessee State 46.0% -0.65 22 29
284 Radford 45.9% -0.67 22 31
285 UC San Diego 45.9% -0.68 22 31
286 Elon 45.9% -0.69 21 30
287 Miami (OH) 45.8% -0.69 21 30
288 South Carolina State 45.8% -0.69 21 30
289 Lehigh 45.6% -0.74 20 30
290 Long Beach State 45.5% -0.75 20 34
291 Kansas City 45.5% -0.75 20 29
292 South Alabama 45.4% -0.76 20 29
293 Ohio 45.4% -0.77 19 32
294 Youngstown State 45.4% -0.77 19 28
295 Southern 45.4% -0.77 19 29
296 Idaho 45.4% -0.77 19 30
297 UMass Lowell 45.3% -0.79 18 29
298 Georgia Southern 45.2% -0.81 18 33
299 Jacksonville State 45.1% -0.82 18 29
300 UT Martin 45.1% -0.83 17 28
301 Denver 45.0% -0.85 17 30
302 Central Michigan 44.8% -0.87 17 31
303 Bowling Green 44.8% -0.88 17 32
304 Howard 44.8% -0.88 16 33
305 Quinnipiac 44.7% -0.90 16 33
306 Houston Christian 44.4% -0.94 16 27
307 Prairie View A&M 44.3% -0.97 15 29
308 New Orleans 44.3% -0.98 15 29
309 Portland State 44.2% -0.98 15 29
310 James Madison 44.1% -1.01 15 35
311 Purdue Fort Wayne 44.1% -1.01 14 34
312 SIU Edwardsville 44.0% -1.03 14 30
313 Maryland Eastern Shore 44.0% -1.03 14 25
314 William & Mary 43.9% -1.05 14 31
315 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 43.8% -1.06 13 29
316 Columbia 43.8% -1.06 13 24
317 Eastern Illinois 43.7% -1.07 13 28
318 Campbell 43.7% -1.09 12 29
319 Jacksonville 43.6% -1.10 12 30
320 Northwestern State 43.4% -1.13 12 30
321 Jackson State 43.2% -1.16 12 32
322 IU Indianapolis 43.2% -1.17 11 29
323 Saint Francis 43.1% -1.18 11 28
324 Army 43.1% -1.19 11 30
325 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 43.1% -1.20 10 27
326 Western Illinois 43.0% -1.20 10 29
327 Delaware State 43.0% -1.21 10 32
328 North Florida 43.0% -1.21 10 29
329 Idaho State 42.8% -1.25 9 32
330 Omaha 42.6% -1.28 9 29
331 Wagner 42.5% -1.29 9 31
332 Niagara 42.5% -1.29 9 31
333 Norfolk State 42.5% -1.30 8 31
334 Boston University 42.4% -1.31 8 32
335 Ball State 42.3% -1.32 8 29
336 South Dakota 42.2% -1.34 7 29
337 Loyola Maryland 42.1% -1.37 7 31
338 Eastern Michigan 42.0% -1.38 7 29
339 Coppin State 41.9% -1.40 7 29
340 Long Island University 41.9% -1.40 6 29
341 UMBC 41.7% -1.44 6 31
342 Sacred Heart 41.6% -1.45 6 30
343 Lamar 41.6% -1.46 6 31
344 Central Connecticut 41.6% -1.46 5 29
345 St. Thomas-Minnesota 41.4% -1.49 5 30
346 Kennesaw State 41.4% -1.49 5 28
347 Central Arkansas 41.4% -1.51 4 30
348 Little Rock 41.3% -1.52 4 34
349 Cal State Northridge 41.2% -1.53 4 32
350 Lindenwood 41.2% -1.53 4 28
351 North Dakota 41.0% -1.57 3 29
352 Holy Cross 40.9% -1.58 3 32
353 Bethune-Cookman 40.8% -1.60 3 32
354 Mount St. Mary's 40.5% -1.66 2 32
355 Fairleigh Dickinson 40.1% -1.73 2 30
356 Marist 40.1% -1.73 2 31
357 Le Moyne 39.6% -1.83 2 29
358 Presbyterian 39.6% -1.83 1 30
359 North Carolina Central 39.3% -1.88 1 27
360 Navy 39.1% -1.92 1 30
361 Incarnate Word 38.7% -2.00 1 29
362 American University 35.0% -2.66 0 31
363 Hartford 10.0% -7.23 0 1