Today Billie Joe McAllister jumped off the Tallahatchee Bridge "Ode to Billie Joe" - Bobbie Gentry
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Opponent Turnover Rate

Share of opponent possessions a defense forces into turnovers.

Opponents' season turnovers ÷ opponents' season possessions. Possessions aren't in the box score, so they're estimated as FGA − OffReb + TO + 0.475×FTA (the standard estimator).

Higher is better  ·  league avg 17.1%  ·  as of 2024-04-09

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

Based on 5508 of 5727 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 11.0% max 25.9% mean 17.1% std 2.3% (n=363)

Team Rankings

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# Team Opponent Turnover Rate z Pctl GP
1 UTEP 25.9% +3.88 100 31
2 Iowa State 25.4% +3.66 100 37
3 Houston 24.4% +3.21 99 37
4 Florida International 24.2% +3.12 99 32
5 Merrimack 23.3% +2.75 99 31
6 Stephen F. Austin 22.8% +2.52 99 31
7 McNeese 22.8% +2.52 98 30
8 Prairie View A&M 22.5% +2.38 98 29
9 Iona 22.3% +2.27 98 33
10 Southern 22.1% +2.20 98 29
11 Norfolk State 22.0% +2.15 97 31
12 Delaware State 21.9% +2.10 97 32
13 Bethune-Cookman 21.7% +2.02 97 32
14 Samford 21.7% +2.01 96 33
15 Purdue Fort Wayne 21.7% +2.01 96 34
16 Rutgers 21.6% +2.00 96 32
17 South Carolina State 21.6% +1.99 96 30
18 Coppin State 21.5% +1.95 95 28
19 Chicago State 21.1% +1.77 95 29
20 Marquette 21.1% +1.76 95 37
21 Hartford 20.8% +1.64 94 1
22 UC Davis 20.8% +1.63 94 31
23 Troy 20.7% +1.61 94 29
24 Florida State 20.7% +1.59 94 33
25 Penn State 20.7% +1.57 93 33
26 TCU 20.6% +1.56 93 34
27 Louisiana 20.5% +1.50 93 31
28 Saint Peter's 20.5% +1.50 93 32
29 Navy 20.4% +1.46 92 30
30 UCF 20.4% +1.46 92 33
31 Marist 20.4% +1.45 92 31
32 Abilene Christian 20.3% +1.41 91 33
33 Syracuse 20.2% +1.35 91 31
34 Alabama State 20.1% +1.35 91 29
35 Fairfield 20.1% +1.33 91 36
36 Northern Kentucky 20.0% +1.30 90 31
37 Tarleton State 20.0% +1.27 90 32
38 Sacred Heart 20.0% +1.27 90 30
39 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 19.8% +1.21 90 29
40 Grand Canyon 19.8% +1.20 89 34
41 San Francisco 19.8% +1.19 89 33
42 James Madison 19.6% +1.12 89 35
43 Fordham 19.6% +1.12 88 33
44 Eastern Illinois 19.5% +1.06 88 27
45 North Texas 19.5% +1.05 88 32
46 Alabama A&M 19.4% +1.02 88 35
47 St. Bonaventure 19.4% +1.00 87 33
48 Longwood 19.4% +1.00 87 32
49 Arizona State 19.4% +1.00 87 32
50 Cleveland State 19.3% +0.99 86 35
51 New Mexico 19.3% +0.97 86 34
52 Maine 19.3% +0.96 86 31
53 Virginia 19.3% +0.96 86 34
54 Duquesne 19.2% +0.95 85 36
55 Ohio 19.1% +0.89 85 32
56 Lamar 19.1% +0.89 85 31
57 Memphis 19.1% +0.89 85 32
58 Fairleigh Dickinson 19.1% +0.88 84 30
59 New Orleans 19.0% +0.86 84 29
60 Jackson State 19.0% +0.86 84 32
61 Sam Houston 18.9% +0.82 83 31
62 Massachusetts 18.9% +0.81 83 31
63 Maryland 18.9% +0.79 83 33
64 UT Rio Grande Valley 18.9% +0.79 83 29
65 Grambling 18.8% +0.77 82 33
66 East Tennessee State 18.8% +0.77 82 33
67 Northwestern 18.8% +0.76 82 34
68 Texas 18.8% +0.76 81 34
69 Maryland Eastern Shore 18.8% +0.74 81 25
70 Tennessee State 18.7% +0.72 81 29
71 USC 18.7% +0.72 81 33
72 South Carolina Upstate 18.7% +0.72 80 27
73 East Carolina 18.7% +0.71 80 32
74 Texas State 18.7% +0.71 80 33
75 Portland State 18.7% +0.70 80 29
76 UT Arlington 18.6% +0.69 79 32
77 Cal State Bakersfield 18.6% +0.68 79 30
78 SMU 18.6% +0.68 79 32
79 St. John's 18.6% +0.66 78 33
80 Michigan State 18.6% +0.66 78 35
81 Kent State 18.6% +0.66 78 32
82 Missouri 18.5% +0.64 78 32
83 Tennessee 18.5% +0.63 77 36
84 Toledo 18.5% +0.63 77 32
85 St. Thomas-Minnesota 18.5% +0.63 77 30
86 Weber State 18.5% +0.60 77 29
87 Montana State 18.5% +0.60 76 32
88 Northwestern State 18.4% +0.60 76 30
89 South Florida 18.4% +0.58 76 33
90 Western Kentucky 18.4% +0.58 75 31
91 Cornell 18.4% +0.56 75 28
92 IU Indianapolis 18.4% +0.56 75 29
93 East Texas A&M 18.3% +0.55 75 30
94 Mississippi State 18.3% +0.55 74 35
95 Bradley 18.3% +0.54 74 34
96 Long Beach State 18.3% +0.54 74 34
97 Winthrop 18.3% +0.53 73 29
98 Utah Tech 18.3% +0.53 73 30
99 UCLA 18.2% +0.50 73 32
100 Tulsa 18.2% +0.49 73 30
101 Jacksonville State 18.2% +0.49 72 29
102 Ole Miss 18.2% +0.48 72 32
103 Morgan State 18.2% +0.48 72 28
104 LSU 18.2% +0.48 72 33
105 Auburn 18.2% +0.48 71 35
106 North Carolina Central 18.1% +0.47 71 27
107 San Diego 18.1% +0.46 71 31
108 Utah Valley 18.1% +0.44 70 30
109 Idaho State 18.1% +0.43 70 32
110 San Diego State 18.0% +0.42 70 35
111 Old Dominion 18.0% +0.41 70 31
112 Arizona 18.0% +0.39 69 36
113 Mercer 17.9% +0.38 69 30
114 Texas Southern 17.9% +0.37 69 32
115 Murray State 17.9% +0.36 69 31
116 Lehigh 17.9% +0.36 68 30
117 Cal State Fullerton 17.9% +0.36 68 30
118 Cal State Northridge 17.9% +0.35 68 32
119 Miami (OH) 17.9% +0.34 67 30
120 Mount St. Mary's 17.9% +0.34 67 32
121 Monmouth 17.8% +0.34 67 33
122 Seton Hall 17.8% +0.33 67 37
123 Presbyterian 17.8% +0.33 66 30
124 Le Moyne 17.8% +0.32 66 29
125 Loyola Chicago 17.8% +0.32 66 32
126 Oregon 17.8% +0.30 65 36
127 Lindenwood 17.7% +0.29 65 28
128 UNLV 17.7% +0.29 65 32
129 Kennesaw State 17.7% +0.29 65 28
130 Quinnipiac 17.7% +0.28 64 33
131 Little Rock 17.7% +0.28 64 34
132 Hofstra 17.7% +0.25 64 32
133 NC State 17.6% +0.23 64 41
134 UNC Greensboro 17.6% +0.22 63 30
135 Saint Joseph's 17.6% +0.21 63 35
136 Air Force 17.5% +0.20 63 31
137 Drake 17.5% +0.20 62 34
138 Louisiana Tech 17.5% +0.20 62 29
139 SIU Edwardsville 17.5% +0.18 62 30
140 Central Connecticut 17.5% +0.18 62 29
141 Cal Poly 17.5% +0.17 61 31
142 Nevada 17.4% +0.15 61 33
143 Seattle U 17.4% +0.15 61 36
144 UC Irvine 17.4% +0.14 60 33
145 Lafayette 17.4% +0.14 60 31
146 UIC 17.4% +0.13 60 32
147 Kansas City 17.4% +0.13 60 29
148 Cincinnati 17.4% +0.13 59 37
149 Detroit Mercy 17.4% +0.12 59 32
150 Jacksonville 17.4% +0.12 59 30
151 Tulane 17.3% +0.09 59 30
152 Valparaiso 17.3% +0.09 58 31
153 SE Louisiana 17.2% +0.07 58 29
154 Davidson 17.2% +0.07 58 30
155 Southern Miss 17.2% +0.05 57 30
156 Baylor 17.2% +0.05 57 34
157 Evansville 17.2% +0.05 57 34
158 Alcorn State 17.2% +0.05 57 31
159 Southern Utah 17.2% +0.04 56 29
160 Mississippi Valley State 17.2% +0.04 56 31
161 UL Monroe 17.2% +0.03 56 28
162 UNC Wilmington 17.2% +0.03 56 28
163 Southeast Missouri State 17.1% +0.02 55 27
164 Georgia Southern 17.1% +0.01 55 33
165 UAlbany 17.1% +0.00 55 31
166 Temple 17.1% -0.01 54 35
167 Richmond 17.1% -0.01 54 33
168 American University 17.0% -0.02 54 31
169 Pepperdine 17.0% -0.02 54 30
170 Texas Tech 17.0% -0.04 53 34
171 Manhattan 17.0% -0.04 53 29
172 Saint Francis 17.0% -0.04 53 28
173 Providence 17.0% -0.04 52 35
174 Liberty 17.0% -0.05 52 29
175 Columbia 17.0% -0.05 52 24
176 Northeastern 16.9% -0.06 52 32
177 Boston University 16.9% -0.07 51 32
178 Princeton 16.9% -0.08 51 27
179 Duke 16.9% -0.08 51 36
180 Wisconsin 16.9% -0.08 51 36
181 Towson 16.9% -0.09 50 33
182 Virginia Tech 16.9% -0.09 50 34
183 Boise State 16.9% -0.09 50 31
184 UC San Diego 16.9% -0.09 49 31
185 Stonehill 16.8% -0.10 49 31
186 UNC Asheville 16.8% -0.11 49 31
187 Oklahoma State 16.8% -0.12 49 32
188 Wagner 16.8% -0.13 48 31
189 Northern Arizona 16.8% -0.13 48 33
190 Oregon State 16.8% -0.13 48 31
191 Brown 16.7% -0.15 48 30
192 South Alabama 16.7% -0.15 47 29
193 VCU 16.7% -0.16 47 38
194 Colorado State 16.7% -0.18 47 34
195 Idaho 16.7% -0.19 46 30
196 Army 16.7% -0.19 46 30
197 Howard 16.6% -0.19 46 33
198 NJIT 16.6% -0.19 46 27
199 Southern Indiana 16.6% -0.19 45 29
200 Miami 16.6% -0.19 45 32
201 Saint Mary's 16.6% -0.21 45 33
202 Austin Peay 16.6% -0.22 44 32
203 Texas A&M 16.6% -0.22 44 36
204 Bryant 16.6% -0.22 44 31
205 Pittsburgh 16.6% -0.23 44 33
206 Youngstown State 16.6% -0.23 43 28
207 Akron 16.5% -0.23 43 33
208 Northern Iowa 16.5% -0.24 43 32
209 Oklahoma 16.5% -0.25 43 32
210 Iowa 16.5% -0.25 42 34
211 Kansas 16.5% -0.26 42 33
212 Niagara 16.5% -0.26 42 31
213 New Hampshire 16.5% -0.26 41 30
214 Florida Atlantic 16.5% -0.27 41 34
215 Bucknell 16.5% -0.27 41 33
216 Illinois State 16.4% -0.28 41 31
217 George Mason 16.4% -0.28 40 31
218 South Dakota State 16.4% -0.29 40 32
219 Nicholls 16.4% -0.29 40 31
220 Belmont 16.4% -0.30 40 32
221 Wake Forest 16.4% -0.30 39 35
222 Utah State 16.4% -0.30 39 33
223 Florida A&M 16.4% -0.32 39 27
224 Campbell 16.3% -0.32 38 29
225 Georgetown 16.3% -0.33 38 32
226 Eastern Washington 16.3% -0.34 38 30
227 Canisius 16.3% -0.35 38 31
228 Wright State 16.3% -0.35 37 30
229 Marshall 16.2% -0.37 37 32
230 Charleston 16.2% -0.38 37 34
231 Furman 16.2% -0.38 36 30
232 Southern Illinois 16.2% -0.39 36 31
233 Central Michigan 16.2% -0.39 36 31
234 UAB 16.2% -0.39 36 34
235 Georgia 16.2% -0.39 35 37
236 Oakland 16.2% -0.39 35 36
237 Ball State 16.2% -0.39 35 29
238 Louisville 16.2% -0.40 35 32
239 Nebraska 16.2% -0.40 34 34
240 Colgate 16.2% -0.40 34 34
241 The Citadel 16.1% -0.41 34 29
242 Villanova 16.1% -0.42 33 34
243 Bowling Green 16.1% -0.43 33 32
244 Yale 16.1% -0.43 33 31
245 Lipscomb 16.1% -0.44 33 30
246 Minnesota 16.1% -0.45 32 34
247 Butler 16.0% -0.45 32 32
248 Kansas State 16.0% -0.45 32 34
249 Gonzaga 16.0% -0.46 31 34
250 Rider 16.0% -0.46 31 31
251 Pacific 16.0% -0.48 31 30
252 Xavier 16.0% -0.48 31 34
253 BYU 16.0% -0.48 30 34
254 Gardner-Webb 16.0% -0.48 30 30
255 UConn 16.0% -0.49 30 40
256 Harvard 16.0% -0.49 30 26
257 North Carolina A&T 15.9% -0.50 29 32
258 Vanderbilt 15.9% -0.52 29 32
259 Radford 15.9% -0.52 29 31
260 Omaha 15.9% -0.52 28 29
261 San José State 15.9% -0.52 28 31
262 Middle Tennessee 15.9% -0.53 28 31
263 Dayton 15.9% -0.53 28 33
264 Long Island University 15.9% -0.54 27 29
265 UC Riverside 15.9% -0.54 27 32
266 Ohio State 15.8% -0.54 27 36
267 Washington 15.8% -0.55 27 32
268 Kentucky 15.8% -0.55 26 33
269 Wyoming 15.8% -0.56 26 30
270 Robert Morris 15.8% -0.56 26 30
271 Florida Gulf Coast 15.8% -0.56 25 29
272 New Mexico State 15.8% -0.57 25 28
273 Elon 15.7% -0.59 25 30
274 Eastern Michigan 15.7% -0.60 25 29
275 Boston College 15.7% -0.60 24 36
276 Hawai'i 15.7% -0.61 24 32
277 Loyola Maryland 15.7% -0.62 24 31
278 Sacramento State 15.6% -0.64 23 32
279 Washington State 15.6% -0.65 23 35
280 Stanford 15.6% -0.67 23 32
281 Western Michigan 15.5% -0.68 23 31
282 Tennessee Tech 15.5% -0.69 22 28
283 Central Arkansas 15.5% -0.71 22 30
284 Milwaukee 15.5% -0.71 22 33
285 UMass Lowell 15.5% -0.71 22 29
286 La Salle 15.5% -0.71 21 32
287 Indiana State 15.4% -0.73 21 38
288 Fresno State 15.4% -0.73 21 32
289 Queens University 15.4% -0.74 20 31
290 Morehead State 15.4% -0.75 20 31
291 California Baptist 15.4% -0.75 20 31
292 North Dakota 15.3% -0.76 20 29
293 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 15.3% -0.77 19 27
294 Northern Colorado 15.3% -0.78 19 31
295 Incarnate Word 15.3% -0.80 19 29
296 Charlotte 15.2% -0.82 19 30
297 Stony Brook 15.2% -0.83 18 34
298 Alabama 15.2% -0.84 18 37
299 Colorado 15.2% -0.84 18 37
300 Buffalo 15.1% -0.86 17 30
301 Arkansas 15.1% -0.87 17 33
302 Vermont 15.1% -0.87 17 33
303 Delaware 15.1% -0.87 17 32
304 VMI 15.1% -0.89 16 29
305 Notre Dame 15.0% -0.89 16 33
306 South Carolina 15.0% -0.92 16 34
307 Hampton 15.0% -0.93 15 30
308 West Virginia 15.0% -0.94 15 32
309 UMBC 14.9% -0.96 15 31
310 Indiana 14.9% -0.98 15 33
311 Rice 14.8% -0.99 14 31
312 North Carolina 14.8% -1.00 14 37
313 Siena 14.8% -1.01 14 32
314 Wichita State 14.8% -1.02 14 33
315 California 14.7% -1.04 13 32
316 Oral Roberts 14.6% -1.09 13 28
317 Bellarmine 14.6% -1.11 13 28
318 DePaul 14.5% -1.11 12 32
319 Florida 14.5% -1.12 12 36
320 Chattanooga 14.5% -1.13 12 31
321 William & Mary 14.5% -1.14 12 31
322 App State 14.5% -1.15 11 32
323 North Florida 14.4% -1.17 11 29
324 Santa Clara 14.4% -1.18 11 32
325 UC Santa Barbara 14.3% -1.20 10 29
326 Northern Illinois 14.3% -1.22 10 29
327 Denver 14.2% -1.25 10 30
328 Arkansas State 14.2% -1.26 10 37
329 Utah 14.2% -1.26 9 37
330 Saint Louis 14.2% -1.26 9 32
331 North Alabama 14.2% -1.27 9 30
332 Georgia State 14.2% -1.28 9 29
333 Western Illinois 14.1% -1.30 8 29
334 Pennsylvania 14.0% -1.34 8 27
335 Montana 14.0% -1.35 8 33
336 Wofford 14.0% -1.35 7 29
337 Green Bay 13.9% -1.38 7 30
338 George Washington 13.9% -1.39 7 31
339 Clemson 13.9% -1.39 7 36
340 Eastern Kentucky 13.9% -1.40 6 28
341 High Point 13.9% -1.42 6 34
342 Houston Christian 13.7% -1.48 6 27
343 Michigan 13.7% -1.49 6 32
344 Purdue 13.7% -1.50 5 39
345 Stetson 13.5% -1.58 5 32
346 Binghamton 13.4% -1.61 5 28
347 Dartmouth 13.4% -1.62 4 25
348 Western Carolina 13.4% -1.63 4 29
349 Charleston Southern 13.3% -1.64 4 27
350 UT Martin 13.2% -1.70 4 28
351 Portland 13.2% -1.72 3 31
352 Drexel 13.1% -1.74 3 31
353 North Dakota State 13.1% -1.74 3 29
354 Missouri State 13.1% -1.75 2 33
355 Rhode Island 13.1% -1.76 2 31
356 UTSA 13.0% -1.77 2 31
357 Holy Cross 12.8% -1.88 2 32
358 Georgia Tech 12.8% -1.89 1 32
359 Coastal Carolina 12.6% -1.95 1 29
360 Loyola Marymount 12.4% -2.06 1 30
361 Illinois 12.4% -2.07 1 38
362 South Dakota 11.6% -2.39 0 29
363 Creighton 11.0% -2.68 0 35