Trouble's gonna come to you "Your Time is Gonna Come" - Led Zeppelin
← Scoring

Opponent Points Per Game

Season points allowed divided by games played.

Lower is better  ·  league avg 72.7  ·  as of 2024-04-09

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.64 (team entering with the better value wins 60% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 57.6 max 84.9 mean 72.7 std 4.5 (n=363)

Team Rankings

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# Team Opponent Points Per Game z Pctl GP
1 Houston 57.6 -3.38 100 37
2 Virginia 59.8 -2.89 100 34
3 Saint Mary's 60.2 -2.81 99 33
4 Iowa State 61.5 -2.50 99 37
5 Marist 62.2 -2.36 99 31
6 UConn 63.4 -2.09 99 40
7 Saint Peter's 63.8 -1.99 98 32
8 Vermont 63.8 -1.99 98 33
9 Wagner 64.1 -1.94 98 31
10 Towson 64.2 -1.91 98 33
11 North Texas 64.4 -1.85 97 32
12 Merrimack 64.6 -1.82 97 31
13 McNeese 64.8 -1.78 97 30
14 Colgate 64.9 -1.76 96 34
15 Louisiana Tech 65.6 -1.60 96 29
16 Villanova 65.6 -1.59 96 34
17 St. Thomas-Minnesota 65.6 -1.59 96 30
18 Army 65.7 -1.58 95 30
19 Maryland 65.9 -1.53 95 33
20 UCLA 66.0 -1.50 95 32
21 Michigan State 66.1 -1.49 94 35
22 George Mason 66.1 -1.48 94 31
23 Morehead State 66.3 -1.44 94 31
24 Richmond 66.3 -1.44 94 33
25 Duke 66.3 -1.44 93 36
26 Charlotte 66.3 -1.43 93 30
27 Dayton 66.5 -1.40 93 33
28 Rutgers 66.5 -1.39 93 32
29 VCU 66.7 -1.35 92 38
30 Washington State 66.7 -1.35 92 35
31 San Francisco 66.8 -1.34 92 33
32 Grand Canyon 66.8 -1.32 91 34
33 Akron 67.1 -1.25 91 33
34 California Baptist 67.1 -1.25 91 31
35 Drexel 67.1 -1.25 91 31
36 Notre Dame 67.2 -1.25 90 33
37 Boston University 67.2 -1.25 90 32
38 Bucknell 67.2 -1.24 90 33
39 Nevada 67.2 -1.24 90 33
40 Duquesne 67.2 -1.23 89 36
41 Seattle U 67.4 -1.20 89 36
42 Western Illinois 67.4 -1.20 89 29
43 Tennessee 67.4 -1.19 88 36
44 San Diego State 67.4 -1.19 88 35
45 South Carolina 67.6 -1.16 88 34
46 Boise State 67.6 -1.14 88 31
47 Jacksonville State 67.6 -1.14 87 29
48 Loyola Chicago 67.6 -1.14 87 32
49 Pittsburgh 67.6 -1.14 87 33
50 Bradley 67.7 -1.13 86 34
51 Maine 67.7 -1.12 86 31
52 Lafayette 67.8 -1.11 86 31
53 Navy 67.8 -1.10 86 30
54 American University 67.8 -1.10 85 31
55 Colorado State 67.9 -1.09 85 34
56 UCF 67.9 -1.07 85 33
57 Illinois State 68.0 -1.05 85 31
58 Princeton 68.1 -1.03 84 27
59 Cincinnati 68.2 -1.02 84 37
60 Davidson 68.3 -1.00 84 30
61 Central Connecticut 68.3 -0.99 83 29
62 Liberty 68.3 -0.99 83 29
63 Auburn 68.3 -0.99 83 35
64 Southern Illinois 68.6 -0.93 83 31
65 St. Bonaventure 68.6 -0.92 82 33
66 Norfolk State 68.6 -0.91 82 31
67 App State 68.7 -0.90 82 32
68 Providence 68.8 -0.89 81 35
69 Oklahoma 68.8 -0.88 81 32
70 UC Irvine 68.8 -0.88 81 33
71 Texas 68.9 -0.86 81 34
72 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 68.9 -0.86 80 29
73 Yale 68.9 -0.85 80 31
74 UC Davis 69.0 -0.84 80 31
75 Purdue 69.0 -0.83 80 39
76 SMU 69.0 -0.83 79 32
77 Utah Valley 69.0 -0.83 79 30
78 Mississippi State 69.1 -0.82 79 35
79 Northwestern 69.1 -0.82 78 34
80 Hofstra 69.1 -0.81 78 32
81 UTEP 69.1 -0.81 78 31
82 Hawai'i 69.3 -0.76 78 32
83 South Florida 69.3 -0.76 77 33
84 Weber State 69.5 -0.73 77 29
85 Gonzaga 69.5 -0.72 77 34
86 Grambling 69.5 -0.72 77 33
87 Texas Tech 69.6 -0.69 76 34
88 Delaware 69.7 -0.67 76 32
89 Western Carolina 69.8 -0.66 76 29
90 Marquette 69.8 -0.65 75 37
91 UNLV 69.8 -0.65 75 32
92 UC San Diego 69.9 -0.64 75 31
93 Creighton 69.9 -0.64 75 35
94 James Madison 69.9 -0.63 74 35
95 Seton Hall 69.9 -0.63 74 37
96 Sam Houston 69.9 -0.63 74 31
97 BYU 69.9 -0.62 73 34
98 Wisconsin 70.0 -0.61 73 36
99 Green Bay 70.2 -0.57 73 30
100 Longwood 70.2 -0.57 73 32
101 Central Michigan 70.2 -0.57 72 31
102 Tarleton State 70.2 -0.56 72 32
103 Ohio State 70.2 -0.56 72 36
104 Murray State 70.3 -0.55 72 31
105 Kansas 70.3 -0.54 71 33
106 Cal State Bakersfield 70.4 -0.52 71 30
107 Cal State Fullerton 70.4 -0.52 71 30
108 Eastern Illinois 70.4 -0.52 70 28
109 Drake 70.5 -0.51 70 34
110 Texas State 70.5 -0.50 70 33
111 North Carolina 70.5 -0.50 70 37
112 Saint Joseph's 70.5 -0.49 69 35
113 Southern 70.6 -0.49 69 29
114 East Carolina 70.6 -0.49 69 32
115 Iona 70.6 -0.48 69 33
116 Wake Forest 70.7 -0.46 68 35
117 UNC Greensboro 70.7 -0.46 68 30
118 Massachusetts 70.7 -0.45 68 31
119 East Tennessee State 70.8 -0.44 67 33
120 Nebraska 70.9 -0.41 67 34
121 North Carolina Central 70.9 -0.40 67 27
122 Alabama State 70.9 -0.40 67 29
123 Miami (OH) 71.0 -0.40 66 30
124 SIU Edwardsville 71.0 -0.40 66 30
125 Virginia Tech 71.0 -0.39 66 34
126 Hartford 71.0 -0.39 65 1
127 Texas Southern 71.1 -0.37 65 32
128 Kansas State 71.1 -0.37 65 34
129 Baylor 71.1 -0.36 65 34
130 New Mexico 71.2 -0.35 64 35
131 Clemson 71.2 -0.34 64 36
132 Missouri State 71.3 -0.33 64 33
133 Ohio 71.3 -0.33 64 32
134 Middle Tennessee 71.3 -0.32 63 31
135 Sacramento State 71.3 -0.31 63 32
136 Delaware State 71.4 -0.30 63 32
137 Kansas City 71.4 -0.30 62 29
138 Le Moyne 71.5 -0.28 62 29
139 Loyola Marymount 71.5 -0.27 62 30
140 Chicago State 71.6 -0.26 62 29
141 Florida Gulf Coast 71.6 -0.26 61 29
142 UNC Wilmington 71.6 -0.24 61 28
143 Fairfield 71.7 -0.23 61 36
144 Colorado 71.7 -0.22 60 37
145 TCU 71.7 -0.22 60 34
146 Idaho State 71.8 -0.22 60 32
147 Northern Iowa 71.8 -0.22 60 32
148 NC State 71.8 -0.22 59 41
149 SE Louisiana 71.8 -0.22 59 29
150 Mount St. Mary's 71.8 -0.21 59 32
151 Stephen F. Austin 71.8 -0.20 59 31
152 Boston College 71.9 -0.20 58 36
153 Minnesota 71.9 -0.19 58 34
154 Quinnipiac 71.9 -0.18 58 33
155 St. John's 71.9 -0.18 57 33
156 South Dakota State 72.0 -0.17 57 32
157 Texas A&M 72.0 -0.17 57 36
158 Kent State 72.0 -0.16 57 32
159 Arizona 72.1 -0.15 56 36
160 Bowling Green 72.1 -0.14 56 32
161 UMass Lowell 72.2 -0.13 56 29
162 Canisius 72.2 -0.12 56 31
163 The Citadel 72.2 -0.12 55 29
164 Tennessee State 72.2 -0.11 55 29
165 Oregon 72.3 -0.10 55 36
166 UIC 72.3 -0.10 54 32
167 Rider 72.3 -0.10 54 31
168 Northeastern 72.3 -0.09 54 32
169 Santa Clara 72.3 -0.09 54 32
170 Air Force 72.4 -0.09 53 31
171 Niagara 72.4 -0.09 53 31
172 Youngstown State 72.4 -0.08 53 28
173 UC Riverside 72.4 -0.08 52 32
174 Loyola Maryland 72.4 -0.08 52 31
175 Fordham 72.4 -0.08 52 33
176 Lehigh 72.5 -0.06 52 30
177 Little Rock 72.5 -0.06 51 34
178 Mercer 72.5 -0.05 51 30
179 Montana 72.5 -0.05 51 33
180 Brown 72.5 -0.05 51 30
181 Harvard 72.6 -0.04 50 26
182 Troy 72.6 -0.03 50 29
183 Monmouth 72.6 -0.03 50 33
184 Utah State 72.6 -0.03 49 33
185 Oklahoma State 72.7 -0.00 49 32
186 Ball State 72.7 -0.00 49 29
187 Portland State 72.7 -0.00 49 29
188 Louisiana 72.7 +0.00 48 31
189 Idaho 72.8 +0.01 48 30
190 Coppin State 72.8 +0.02 48 29
191 Southern Miss 72.9 +0.03 48 30
192 Purdue Fort Wayne 72.9 +0.04 47 34
193 Radford 72.9 +0.04 47 31
194 Stony Brook 73.0 +0.05 47 34
195 Maryland Eastern Shore 73.1 +0.09 46 25
196 Chattanooga 73.1 +0.09 46 31
197 Oakland 73.2 +0.10 46 36
198 Utah 73.2 +0.10 46 37
199 Dartmouth 73.2 +0.11 45 25
200 UC Santa Barbara 73.3 +0.12 45 29
201 Sacred Heart 73.3 +0.13 45 30
202 Wichita State 73.3 +0.13 44 33
203 Illinois 73.3 +0.14 44 38
204 Florida Atlantic 73.4 +0.14 44 34
205 Penn State 73.4 +0.15 44 33
206 Temple 73.4 +0.15 43 35
207 Lamar 73.4 +0.15 43 31
208 Winthrop 73.5 +0.17 43 29
209 Indiana State 73.5 +0.18 43 38
210 Oregon State 73.5 +0.18 42 31
211 Eastern Michigan 73.6 +0.20 42 29
212 Miami 73.6 +0.20 42 32
213 Abilene Christian 73.7 +0.21 41 33
214 Tennessee Tech 73.7 +0.21 41 28
215 Bethune-Cookman 73.7 +0.21 41 32
216 Saint Francis 73.7 +0.22 41 28
217 Cleveland State 73.7 +0.22 40 35
218 Binghamton 73.8 +0.23 40 28
219 Butler 73.8 +0.24 40 32
220 Northern Kentucky 73.8 +0.25 40 31
221 Ole Miss 73.9 +0.26 39 32
222 Campbell 73.9 +0.27 39 29
223 North Dakota 74.0 +0.27 39 29
224 Arizona State 74.0 +0.28 38 32
225 Charleston 74.0 +0.28 38 34
226 Evansville 74.0 +0.28 38 34
227 La Salle 74.1 +0.30 38 32
228 Fresno State 74.2 +0.32 37 32
229 William & Mary 74.2 +0.33 37 31
230 Indiana 74.3 +0.35 37 33
231 USC 74.3 +0.35 36 33
232 Cal State Northridge 74.4 +0.38 36 32
233 Siena 74.4 +0.38 36 32
234 Charleston Southern 74.5 +0.39 36 27
235 Cal Poly 74.5 +0.39 35 31
236 Tulsa 74.5 +0.40 35 30
237 Jacksonville 74.6 +0.41 35 30
238 Presbyterian 74.6 +0.41 35 30
239 Xavier 74.6 +0.43 34 34
240 Omaha 74.7 +0.43 34 29
241 Western Kentucky 74.7 +0.43 34 31
242 Georgia 74.7 +0.44 33 37
243 UT Arlington 74.7 +0.44 33 32
244 Montana State 74.8 +0.45 33 32
245 Austin Peay 74.8 +0.46 33 32
246 South Carolina Upstate 74.8 +0.46 32 27
247 Gardner-Webb 74.8 +0.47 32 30
248 UL Monroe 74.9 +0.47 32 28
249 Lindenwood 74.9 +0.47 31 28
250 UNC Asheville 74.9 +0.48 31 31
251 Nicholls 74.9 +0.49 31 31
252 Samford 74.9 +0.49 31 33
253 Southern Indiana 75.0 +0.50 30 29
254 South Carolina State 75.0 +0.50 30 30
255 LSU 75.0 +0.50 30 33
256 Western Michigan 75.0 +0.51 30 31
257 Holy Cross 75.1 +0.52 29 32
258 Howard 75.1 +0.53 29 33
259 High Point 75.2 +0.55 29 34
260 San José State 75.2 +0.55 28 31
261 Cornell 75.2 +0.55 28 28
262 New Mexico State 75.2 +0.55 28 28
263 Georgia Tech 75.2 +0.55 28 32
264 Pepperdine 75.2 +0.56 27 31
265 New Hampshire 75.3 +0.57 27 30
266 Bryant 75.3 +0.58 27 31
267 Columbia 75.3 +0.58 27 24
268 Wofford 75.3 +0.58 26 29
269 Jackson State 75.6 +0.63 26 32
270 Wyoming 75.6 +0.64 26 30
271 UAB 75.6 +0.64 25 34
272 Stetson 75.6 +0.65 25 32
273 Pennsylvania 75.7 +0.65 25 27
274 Memphis 75.8 +0.67 25 32
275 Alabama A&M 75.8 +0.68 24 35
276 Vanderbilt 75.9 +0.70 24 32
277 NJIT 75.9 +0.71 24 27
278 South Alabama 75.9 +0.71 23 29
279 Valparaiso 76.0 +0.72 23 31
280 Belmont 76.1 +0.74 23 32
281 Toledo 76.1 +0.76 23 32
282 Stonehill 76.1 +0.76 22 31
283 Manhattan 76.1 +0.76 22 29
284 Southeast Missouri State 76.2 +0.77 22 27
285 Missouri 76.2 +0.77 22 32
286 Long Beach State 76.2 +0.78 21 34
287 Elon 76.2 +0.78 21 30
288 Rice 76.3 +0.79 21 31
289 Syracuse 76.3 +0.79 20 31
290 Florida State 76.3 +0.80 20 33
291 North Dakota State 76.3 +0.81 20 29
292 Georgia State 76.4 +0.83 20 29
293 Stanford 76.5 +0.83 19 32
294 East Texas A&M 76.6 +0.86 19 30
295 Northern Arizona 76.6 +0.87 19 33
296 Florida A&M 76.7 +0.88 19 27
297 Northwestern State 76.7 +0.88 18 30
298 Furman 76.7 +0.89 18 30
299 Long Island University 76.8 +0.91 18 29
300 Bellarmine 76.8 +0.91 17 28
301 West Virginia 76.8 +0.92 17 32
302 Rhode Island 76.9 +0.93 17 31
303 Marshall 76.9 +0.93 17 32
304 Oral Roberts 77.0 +0.94 16 28
305 North Alabama 77.0 +0.95 16 30
306 Arkansas State 77.0 +0.96 16 37
307 California 77.0 +0.96 15 32
308 Washington 77.1 +0.98 15 32
309 Florida International 77.2 +0.99 15 32
310 Prairie View A&M 77.3 +1.01 15 29
311 Lipscomb 77.3 +1.02 14 30
312 Utah Tech 77.3 +1.03 14 30
313 George Washington 77.4 +1.04 14 31
314 Eastern Kentucky 77.4 +1.05 14 28
315 Robert Morris 77.4 +1.05 13 30
316 Eastern Washington 77.6 +1.08 13 30
317 Old Dominion 77.6 +1.10 13 31
318 North Florida 77.7 +1.11 12 29
319 Mississippi Valley State 77.7 +1.11 12 31
320 Southern Utah 77.8 +1.12 12 29
321 UT Martin 77.9 +1.14 12 28
322 Georgetown 77.9 +1.15 11 32
323 Alcorn State 77.9 +1.15 11 31
324 North Carolina A&T 77.9 +1.16 11 32
325 San Diego 78.1 +1.20 10 31
326 Northern Colorado 78.2 +1.22 10 31
327 Fairleigh Dickinson 78.4 +1.27 10 30
328 Hampton 78.5 +1.29 10 30
329 Michigan 79.0 +1.40 9 32
330 Louisville 79.1 +1.41 9 32
331 Northern Illinois 79.2 +1.44 9 29
332 Florida 79.2 +1.44 9 36
333 Georgia Southern 79.2 +1.45 8 33
334 Incarnate Word 79.3 +1.46 8 29
335 Coastal Carolina 79.4 +1.48 8 29
336 Iowa 79.4 +1.49 7 34
337 UAlbany 79.4 +1.49 7 31
338 Milwaukee 79.5 +1.51 7 33
339 Portland 79.5 +1.52 7 31
340 Buffalo 79.6 +1.53 6 30
341 Kentucky 79.7 +1.56 6 33
342 Arkansas 79.8 +1.58 6 33
343 Saint Louis 79.8 +1.58 6 32
344 Morgan State 80.0 +1.62 5 28
345 Detroit Mercy 80.3 +1.68 5 32
346 Central Arkansas 80.3 +1.69 5 30
347 Tulane 80.6 +1.75 4 30
348 UT Rio Grande Valley 80.7 +1.78 4 29
349 IU Indianapolis 81.2 +1.88 4 29
350 UMBC 81.2 +1.90 4 31
351 Alabama 81.2 +1.90 3 37
352 Pacific 81.4 +1.93 3 30
353 South Dakota 81.5 +1.95 3 29
354 New Orleans 81.6 +1.98 2 29
355 UTSA 81.6 +1.99 2 31
356 DePaul 81.8 +2.01 2 32
357 Denver 82.1 +2.09 2 30
358 Queens University 82.6 +2.20 1 31
359 Wright State 82.8 +2.24 1 30
360 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 83.7 +2.45 1 27
361 Kennesaw State 83.7 +2.45 1 28
362 Houston Christian 84.8 +2.70 0 27
363 VMI 84.9 +2.72 0 29