I know you're dissatisfied with your position and your place. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
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Opponent Effective Field Goal Percentage

Opponent eFG%; a defense's shot-quality suppression.

(opponent FGM + 0.5×opponent 3PM) ÷ opponent FGA — effective field goal percentage computed on what opponents shot against this team.

Lower is better  ·  league avg 50.6%  ·  as of 2024-04-09

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Predicts home win: AUC 0.65 (team entering with the better value wins 61% of games)

Based on 5508 of 5727 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 43.7% max 59.0% mean 50.6% std 2.4% (n=363)

Team Rankings

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# Team Opponent Effective Field Goal Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Auburn 43.7% -2.86 100 35
2 Houston 44.0% -2.75 100 37
3 UConn 44.4% -2.57 99 40
4 Saint Mary's 45.1% -2.26 99 33
5 App State 45.3% -2.18 99 32
6 Tennessee 45.3% -2.18 99 36
7 Bryant 45.3% -2.17 98 31
8 Louisiana Tech 45.6% -2.05 98 29
9 Grand Canyon 45.8% -2.00 98 34
10 Merrimack 46.2% -1.82 98 31
11 Seattle U 46.3% -1.77 97 36
12 Creighton 46.3% -1.77 97 35
13 Morehead State 46.4% -1.74 97 31
14 Loyola Chicago 46.4% -1.72 96 32
15 UC Irvine 46.4% -1.72 96 33
16 Western Illinois 46.5% -1.70 96 29
17 Virginia 46.6% -1.65 96 34
18 Nebraska 46.7% -1.60 95 34
19 North Carolina 46.7% -1.59 95 37
20 Maryland 46.7% -1.59 95 33
21 Vermont 46.8% -1.58 94 33
22 VCU 46.8% -1.58 94 38
23 Kansas State 46.8% -1.57 94 34
24 Richmond 46.9% -1.52 94 33
25 Saint Peter's 47.1% -1.44 93 32
26 Marist 47.1% -1.43 93 31
27 James Madison 47.2% -1.42 93 35
28 Western Carolina 47.2% -1.42 93 29
29 SMU 47.2% -1.41 92 32
30 Washington State 47.2% -1.40 92 35
31 Rutgers 47.2% -1.39 92 32
32 San Diego State 47.3% -1.37 91 35
33 UMass Lowell 47.3% -1.35 91 29
34 Gonzaga 47.3% -1.35 91 34
35 Central Michigan 47.3% -1.35 91 31
36 Iowa State 47.4% -1.34 90 37
37 Providence 47.5% -1.28 90 35
38 Oklahoma 47.5% -1.28 90 32
39 Purdue 47.5% -1.27 90 39
40 Bradley 47.6% -1.22 89 34
41 Cincinnati 47.7% -1.17 89 37
42 Drexel 47.8% -1.16 89 31
43 South Florida 47.9% -1.12 88 33
44 Colgate 47.9% -1.11 88 34
45 UCF 47.9% -1.11 88 33
46 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 48.0% -1.08 88 29
47 Missouri State 48.0% -1.08 87 33
48 George Mason 48.0% -1.08 87 31
49 Mississippi State 48.0% -1.07 87 35
50 Illinois 48.0% -1.07 86 38
51 North Texas 48.0% -1.06 86 32
52 Utah Valley 48.0% -1.05 86 30
53 New Mexico 48.0% -1.05 86 34
54 Michigan State 48.1% -1.04 85 35
55 Texas 48.1% -1.03 85 34
56 Little Rock 48.1% -1.01 85 34
57 Clemson 48.2% -1.00 85 36
58 BYU 48.2% -0.99 84 34
59 McNeese 48.3% -0.96 84 30
60 Notre Dame 48.3% -0.95 84 33
61 Kansas 48.3% -0.95 83 33
62 Dayton 48.3% -0.94 83 33
63 Nevada 48.3% -0.94 83 33
64 Texas Southern 48.3% -0.93 83 32
65 Villanova 48.3% -0.93 82 34
66 Cal State Northridge 48.3% -0.93 82 32
67 Towson 48.3% -0.92 82 33
68 Arizona 48.4% -0.91 81 36
69 South Carolina 48.4% -0.91 81 34
70 Santa Clara 48.4% -0.89 81 32
71 Colorado State 48.5% -0.88 81 34
72 Wichita State 48.5% -0.87 80 33
73 Duquesne 48.5% -0.86 80 36
74 Hawai'i 48.5% -0.86 80 32
75 Charlotte 48.5% -0.86 80 30
76 Lafayette 48.5% -0.85 79 31
77 Duke 48.5% -0.84 79 36
78 Massachusetts 48.5% -0.84 79 31
79 Western Kentucky 48.6% -0.82 78 31
80 Ohio State 48.6% -0.80 78 36
81 Delaware 48.7% -0.79 78 32
82 Tennessee State 48.7% -0.78 78 29
83 Wagner 48.8% -0.76 77 31
84 Utah 48.8% -0.73 77 37
85 UIC 48.8% -0.72 77 32
86 Quinnipiac 48.9% -0.70 77 33
87 North Carolina Central 48.9% -0.70 76 27
88 Saint Joseph's 49.0% -0.66 76 35
89 Youngstown State 49.0% -0.65 76 28
90 Hofstra 49.0% -0.64 75 32
91 Pittsburgh 49.0% -0.64 75 33
92 UT Arlington 49.0% -0.64 75 32
93 Indiana 49.0% -0.64 75 33
94 Akron 49.0% -0.64 74 33
95 Alabama State 49.1% -0.63 74 29
96 Alabama A&M 49.1% -0.62 74 35
97 UC Davis 49.1% -0.62 73 31
98 Wake Forest 49.1% -0.59 73 35
99 Ohio 49.2% -0.58 73 32
100 Lamar 49.2% -0.57 73 31
101 Rider 49.2% -0.57 72 31
102 California Baptist 49.2% -0.56 72 31
103 Seton Hall 49.2% -0.56 72 37
104 Texas Tech 49.2% -0.56 72 34
105 Georgia Tech 49.2% -0.55 71 32
106 Georgia State 49.3% -0.54 71 29
107 UT Martin 49.3% -0.53 71 28
108 Miami (OH) 49.3% -0.53 70 30
109 Florida 49.3% -0.53 70 36
110 Davidson 49.3% -0.52 70 30
111 Mount St. Mary's 49.3% -0.51 70 32
112 Green Bay 49.4% -0.49 69 30
113 Winthrop 49.4% -0.49 69 29
114 San Francisco 49.5% -0.46 69 33
115 NC State 49.5% -0.45 69 41
116 Bucknell 49.5% -0.45 68 33
117 UNC Greensboro 49.5% -0.44 68 30
118 Southern Indiana 49.5% -0.44 68 29
119 Norfolk State 49.5% -0.44 67 31
120 Middle Tennessee 49.5% -0.44 67 31
121 Xavier 49.5% -0.42 67 34
122 Stephen F. Austin 49.6% -0.42 67 31
123 St. John's 49.6% -0.42 66 33
124 Kentucky 49.6% -0.42 66 33
125 Florida Atlantic 49.6% -0.40 66 34
126 Alabama 49.6% -0.39 65 37
127 Central Connecticut 49.6% -0.38 65 29
128 Tulsa 49.7% -0.37 65 30
129 Colorado 49.7% -0.37 65 37
130 Texas State 49.7% -0.36 64 33
131 Grambling 49.7% -0.36 64 33
132 Eastern Kentucky 49.7% -0.35 64 28
133 LSU 49.7% -0.34 64 33
134 George Washington 49.8% -0.34 63 31
135 Troy 49.8% -0.34 63 29
136 Georgia 49.8% -0.34 63 37
137 Boise State 49.8% -0.33 62 31
138 Nicholls 49.8% -0.33 62 31
139 Utah State 49.8% -0.32 62 33
140 Sam Houston 49.8% -0.32 62 31
141 Marquette 49.8% -0.30 61 37
142 Cal State Fullerton 49.9% -0.28 61 30
143 Maine 49.9% -0.28 61 31
144 Louisiana 49.9% -0.28 60 31
145 Chattanooga 49.9% -0.28 60 31
146 Indiana State 49.9% -0.27 60 38
147 Cal State Bakersfield 50.0% -0.25 60 30
148 Memphis 50.0% -0.25 59 32
149 Stony Brook 50.0% -0.25 59 34
150 Binghamton 50.0% -0.24 59 28
151 Boston University 50.0% -0.24 59 32
152 Butler 50.0% -0.24 58 32
153 UNLV 50.0% -0.24 58 32
154 Monmouth 50.0% -0.22 58 33
155 High Point 50.0% -0.21 57 34
156 Southern Illinois 50.1% -0.21 57 31
157 Harvard 50.1% -0.21 57 26
158 Bethune-Cookman 50.1% -0.20 57 32
159 UCLA 50.1% -0.20 56 32
160 Washington 50.1% -0.19 56 32
161 Coastal Carolina 50.1% -0.19 56 29
162 UNC Asheville 50.1% -0.18 56 31
163 Penn State 50.2% -0.15 55 33
164 USC 50.2% -0.14 55 33
165 Gardner-Webb 50.2% -0.14 55 30
166 Ole Miss 50.2% -0.14 54 32
167 Army 50.3% -0.12 54 30
168 Navy 50.3% -0.11 54 30
169 UMBC 50.3% -0.09 54 31
170 Southern 50.4% -0.09 53 29
171 Tarleton State 50.4% -0.09 53 32
172 Arkansas 50.4% -0.08 53 33
173 Loyola Marymount 50.4% -0.08 52 30
174 Temple 50.4% -0.08 52 35
175 Utah Tech 50.4% -0.08 52 30
176 Yale 50.4% -0.08 52 31
177 Fordham 50.4% -0.07 51 33
178 UC San Diego 50.4% -0.06 51 31
179 Minnesota 50.4% -0.06 51 34
180 Texas A&M 50.5% -0.05 51 36
181 Samford 50.5% -0.04 50 33
182 Boston College 50.5% -0.04 50 36
183 Southern Miss 50.5% -0.04 50 30
184 Jacksonville State 50.5% -0.04 49 29
185 New Hampshire 50.5% -0.01 49 30
186 Arkansas State 50.5% -0.01 49 37
187 Milwaukee 50.6% +0.00 49 33
188 UC Santa Barbara 50.6% +0.02 48 29
189 Le Moyne 50.6% +0.02 48 29
190 Oakland 50.6% +0.03 48 36
191 South Alabama 50.7% +0.04 48 29
192 TCU 50.7% +0.04 47 34
193 Montana 50.7% +0.07 47 33
194 La Salle 50.7% +0.07 47 32
195 Drake 50.8% +0.09 46 34
196 Liberty 50.8% +0.10 46 29
197 Long Island University 50.8% +0.10 46 29
198 New Mexico State 50.9% +0.12 46 28
199 Delaware State 50.9% +0.13 45 32
200 East Tennessee State 50.9% +0.14 45 33
201 Radford 50.9% +0.14 45 31
202 Maryland Eastern Shore 50.9% +0.14 44 25
203 Western Michigan 50.9% +0.14 44 31
204 Illinois State 50.9% +0.15 44 31
205 UAB 51.0% +0.17 44 34
206 Virginia Tech 51.0% +0.17 43 34
207 Miami 51.0% +0.18 43 32
208 Long Beach State 51.0% +0.20 43 34
209 SIU Edwardsville 51.1% +0.22 43 30
210 Howard 51.1% +0.22 42 33
211 Belmont 51.1% +0.22 42 32
212 Charleston Southern 51.1% +0.23 42 27
213 Tulane 51.1% +0.23 41 30
214 Kansas City 51.1% +0.24 41 29
215 Bowling Green 51.2% +0.24 41 32
216 Charleston 51.2% +0.25 41 34
217 St. Bonaventure 51.2% +0.26 40 33
218 Mercer 51.2% +0.26 40 30
219 Canisius 51.2% +0.26 40 31
220 SE Louisiana 51.2% +0.27 40 29
221 Brown 51.2% +0.28 39 30
222 California 51.3% +0.29 39 32
223 Cornell 51.3% +0.29 39 28
224 East Carolina 51.3% +0.29 38 32
225 Northern Kentucky 51.3% +0.29 38 31
226 South Dakota State 51.3% +0.30 38 32
227 Coppin State 51.3% +0.31 38 28
228 Ball State 51.3% +0.31 37 29
229 Oregon State 51.3% +0.31 37 31
230 Kent State 51.3% +0.32 37 32
231 Old Dominion 51.3% +0.32 36 31
232 Missouri 51.3% +0.33 36 32
233 Oklahoma State 51.3% +0.33 36 32
234 Cleveland State 51.3% +0.33 36 35
235 Marshall 51.4% +0.34 35 32
236 Baylor 51.4% +0.35 35 34
237 UAlbany 51.4% +0.36 35 31
238 Oral Roberts 51.4% +0.36 35 28
239 North Alabama 51.5% +0.37 34 30
240 Wofford 51.5% +0.39 34 29
241 Oregon 51.5% +0.39 34 36
242 Northwestern 51.5% +0.39 33 34
243 Cal Poly 51.5% +0.39 33 31
244 UTEP 51.5% +0.40 33 31
245 Sacred Heart 51.6% +0.41 33 30
246 Purdue Fort Wayne 51.6% +0.42 32 34
247 Hampton 51.6% +0.44 32 30
248 Abilene Christian 51.7% +0.46 32 33
249 Arizona State 51.7% +0.47 31 32
250 UNC Wilmington 51.7% +0.49 31 28
251 Lehigh 51.7% +0.49 31 30
252 Longwood 51.8% +0.50 31 32
253 Florida A&M 51.8% +0.51 30 27
254 Siena 51.8% +0.51 30 32
255 Incarnate Word 51.8% +0.53 30 29
256 UTSA 51.9% +0.56 30 31
257 Stanford 51.9% +0.56 29 32
258 Northwestern State 51.9% +0.57 29 30
259 Eastern Michigan 52.0% +0.59 29 29
260 Southeast Missouri State 52.0% +0.59 28 27
261 St. Thomas-Minnesota 52.0% +0.59 28 30
262 Georgia Southern 52.0% +0.60 28 33
263 Portland State 52.0% +0.60 28 29
264 Wisconsin 52.0% +0.60 27 36
265 South Carolina Upstate 52.0% +0.61 27 27
266 Princeton 52.0% +0.61 27 27
267 Morgan State 52.0% +0.62 27 28
268 West Virginia 52.1% +0.64 26 32
269 Campbell 52.2% +0.66 26 29
270 Florida State 52.2% +0.67 26 33
271 South Carolina State 52.2% +0.68 25 30
272 Niagara 52.2% +0.69 25 31
273 Northern Iowa 52.2% +0.69 25 32
274 William & Mary 52.2% +0.70 25 31
275 Stonehill 52.3% +0.71 24 31
276 Iowa 52.3% +0.71 24 34
277 Stetson 52.3% +0.72 24 32
278 Montana State 52.3% +0.72 23 32
279 UC Riverside 52.3% +0.73 23 32
280 Jacksonville 52.3% +0.73 23 30
281 NJIT 52.4% +0.75 23 27
282 Evansville 52.4% +0.75 22 34
283 North Dakota 52.4% +0.77 22 29
284 East Texas A&M 52.4% +0.78 22 30
285 Michigan 52.5% +0.79 22 32
286 Tennessee Tech 52.5% +0.80 21 28
287 Northern Colorado 52.5% +0.81 21 31
288 Fairfield 52.5% +0.82 21 36
289 San Diego 52.5% +0.82 20 31
290 Eastern Illinois 52.5% +0.82 20 27
291 Southern Utah 52.6% +0.83 20 29
292 UL Monroe 52.6% +0.83 20 28
293 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 52.6% +0.83 19 27
294 Rice 52.6% +0.84 19 31
295 Jackson State 52.6% +0.84 19 32
296 North Florida 52.6% +0.84 19 29
297 Rhode Island 52.6% +0.85 18 31
298 Columbia 52.8% +0.91 18 24
299 Presbyterian 52.8% +0.91 18 30
300 Syracuse 52.8% +0.92 17 31
301 Florida Gulf Coast 52.8% +0.93 17 29
302 Eastern Washington 52.8% +0.93 17 30
303 Iona 52.8% +0.94 17 33
304 Wyoming 52.8% +0.95 16 30
305 Fairleigh Dickinson 52.9% +0.95 16 30
306 Northern Arizona 52.9% +0.96 16 33
307 Northern Illinois 52.9% +0.97 15 29
308 Furman 52.9% +0.99 15 30
309 Vanderbilt 53.0% +1.00 15 32
310 Saint Francis 53.0% +1.00 15 28
311 Kennesaw State 53.0% +1.01 14 28
312 UT Rio Grande Valley 53.1% +1.05 14 29
313 South Dakota 53.1% +1.05 14 29
314 Manhattan 53.1% +1.06 14 29
315 Fresno State 53.1% +1.06 13 32
316 Austin Peay 53.1% +1.07 13 32
317 Elon 53.2% +1.11 13 30
318 Robert Morris 53.3% +1.14 12 30
319 Loyola Maryland 53.3% +1.16 12 31
320 Omaha 53.4% +1.16 12 29
321 American University 53.4% +1.17 12 31
322 Idaho 53.5% +1.24 11 30
323 The Citadel 53.5% +1.24 11 29
324 Lipscomb 53.5% +1.24 11 30
325 Holy Cross 53.6% +1.25 10 32
326 Chicago State 53.6% +1.27 10 29
327 North Dakota State 53.7% +1.29 10 29
328 Prairie View A&M 53.7% +1.29 10 29
329 Northeastern 53.8% +1.36 9 32
330 Buffalo 53.9% +1.38 9 30
331 Bellarmine 53.9% +1.39 9 28
332 Lindenwood 53.9% +1.40 9 28
333 Houston Christian 54.0% +1.41 8 27
334 Pennsylvania 54.0% +1.43 8 27
335 Central Arkansas 54.0% +1.44 8 30
336 Queens University 54.1% +1.46 7 31
337 Sacramento State 54.1% +1.49 7 32
338 Dartmouth 54.1% +1.49 7 25
339 Air Force 54.2% +1.50 7 31
340 Weber State 54.3% +1.54 6 29
341 Toledo 54.3% +1.56 6 32
342 Saint Louis 54.3% +1.57 6 32
343 New Orleans 54.4% +1.58 6 29
344 San José State 54.4% +1.59 5 31
345 VMI 54.5% +1.62 5 29
346 Idaho State 54.5% +1.63 5 32
347 Valparaiso 54.5% +1.64 4 31
348 North Carolina A&T 54.5% +1.64 4 32
349 Pepperdine 54.5% +1.65 4 30
350 Murray State 54.5% +1.65 4 31
351 Louisville 54.6% +1.67 3 32
352 Denver 54.7% +1.73 3 30
353 Alcorn State 55.0% +1.86 3 31
354 Wright State 55.3% +1.97 2 30
355 Portland 55.3% +1.99 2 31
356 Mississippi Valley State 55.6% +2.08 2 31
357 Florida International 55.6% +2.11 2 32
358 Georgetown 55.7% +2.13 1 32
359 Detroit Mercy 55.9% +2.24 1 32
360 Pacific 56.3% +2.40 1 30
361 DePaul 56.5% +2.49 1 32
362 IU Indianapolis 58.2% +3.18 0 29
363 Hartford 59.0% +3.51 0 1