And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Predicts home win: AUC 0.57 (team entering with the better value wins 55% of games)

Based on 5508 of 5727 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 33.3% max 80.8% mean 71.7% std 4.1% (n=363)

Team Rankings

Loading…
# Team Free Throw Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Villanova 80.8% +2.22 100 34
2 Indiana State 80.1% +2.05 100 38
3 Princeton 80.1% +2.04 99 27
4 Montana 79.8% +1.97 99 33
5 Wake Forest 79.5% +1.89 99 35
6 Virginia Tech 79.3% +1.86 99 34
7 Missouri 79.2% +1.83 98 32
8 Butler 78.8% +1.73 98 32
9 Creighton 78.8% +1.72 98 35
10 Colorado 78.4% +1.62 98 37
11 High Point 78.2% +1.58 97 34
12 Seton Hall 78.2% +1.58 97 37
13 North Florida 78.1% +1.56 97 29
14 VCU 78.1% +1.55 96 38
15 Texas Tech 78.0% +1.53 96 34
16 Clemson 78.0% +1.53 96 36
17 Lipscomb 77.8% +1.48 96 30
18 Bellarmine 77.6% +1.44 95 28
19 Ball State 77.5% +1.40 95 29
20 St. Bonaventure 77.4% +1.39 95 33
21 Iowa 77.4% +1.38 94 34
22 Quinnipiac 77.2% +1.34 94 33
23 Alabama 77.2% +1.33 94 37
24 Kentucky 77.2% +1.33 94 33
25 North Alabama 77.2% +1.32 93 30
26 UT Martin 77.0% +1.29 93 28
27 Southern Illinois 77.0% +1.29 93 31
28 Youngstown State 77.0% +1.29 93 28
29 Eastern Washington 76.9% +1.26 92 30
30 Ohio State 76.7% +1.21 92 36
31 Tennessee State 76.5% +1.16 92 29
32 UNC Wilmington 76.5% +1.15 91 28
33 Le Moyne 76.5% +1.15 91 29
34 Tarleton State 76.3% +1.12 91 32
35 Stetson 76.3% +1.11 91 32
36 Wright State 76.0% +1.05 90 30
37 Nebraska 76.0% +1.04 90 34
38 San Francisco 75.9% +1.02 90 33
39 North Carolina 75.9% +1.01 90 37
40 Bethune-Cookman 75.8% +1.00 89 32
41 Morgan State 75.8% +1.00 89 28
42 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 75.8% +1.00 89 27
43 Texas 75.7% +0.96 88 34
44 Fairfield 75.7% +0.96 88 36
45 Georgia State 75.6% +0.95 88 29
46 Hofstra 75.6% +0.95 88 32
47 Saint Louis 75.6% +0.95 87 32
48 Drake 75.6% +0.94 87 34
49 Arkansas 75.6% +0.93 87 33
50 Wisconsin 75.5% +0.93 86 36
51 Toledo 75.4% +0.90 86 32
52 Oral Roberts 75.4% +0.90 86 28
53 Rider 75.3% +0.87 86 31
54 UC Irvine 75.2% +0.85 85 33
55 Charlotte 75.2% +0.85 85 30
56 Northwestern 75.2% +0.85 85 34
57 Colorado State 75.2% +0.85 85 34
58 Howard 75.2% +0.84 84 33
59 Central Arkansas 75.1% +0.83 84 30
60 UNC Asheville 75.1% +0.83 84 31
61 Oakland 75.1% +0.82 83 36
62 South Dakota 75.1% +0.82 83 29
63 UC Davis 75.1% +0.82 83 31
64 Tennessee 75.1% +0.81 83 36
65 Auburn 75.1% +0.81 82 35
66 Boston College 75.0% +0.79 82 36
67 Wyoming 74.9% +0.78 82 30
68 Chattanooga 74.9% +0.77 81 31
69 Grand Canyon 74.9% +0.77 81 34
70 Little Rock 74.8% +0.76 81 34
71 South Alabama 74.8% +0.75 81 29
72 Omaha 74.8% +0.75 80 29
73 Niagara 74.8% +0.75 80 31
74 Northeastern 74.8% +0.74 80 32
75 Penn State 74.7% +0.73 80 33
76 Louisville 74.6% +0.69 79 32
77 Xavier 74.6% +0.69 79 34
78 Miami 74.5% +0.68 79 32
79 George Washington 74.5% +0.67 78 31
80 UC Santa Barbara 74.4% +0.66 78 29
81 Notre Dame 74.4% +0.65 78 33
82 Southern Indiana 74.4% +0.65 78 29
83 Stony Brook 74.4% +0.64 77 34
84 UConn 74.3% +0.64 77 40
85 UC San Diego 74.3% +0.63 77 31
86 Oklahoma 74.3% +0.63 77 32
87 UAB 74.3% +0.63 76 34
88 New Hampshire 74.3% +0.62 76 30
89 BYU 74.2% +0.61 76 34
90 George Mason 74.2% +0.60 75 31
91 Idaho 74.1% +0.59 75 30
92 Boise State 74.1% +0.57 75 31
93 SE Louisiana 74.0% +0.56 75 29
94 Lehigh 74.0% +0.56 74 30
95 Dayton 74.0% +0.56 74 33
96 UMass Lowell 74.0% +0.56 74 29
97 North Texas 74.0% +0.55 73 32
98 Seattle U 73.9% +0.52 73 36
99 UT Arlington 73.8% +0.51 73 32
100 Weber State 73.8% +0.51 73 29
101 Louisiana 73.8% +0.50 72 31
102 Kent State 73.8% +0.50 72 32
103 Tulsa 73.8% +0.50 72 30
104 Milwaukee 73.7% +0.49 72 33
105 South Florida 73.7% +0.48 71 33
106 Oregon State 73.7% +0.47 71 31
107 Eastern Illinois 73.6% +0.47 71 27
108 Illinois 73.6% +0.45 70 38
109 Baylor 73.5% +0.44 70 34
110 Furman 73.5% +0.44 70 30
111 Bradley 73.5% +0.43 70 34
112 Detroit Mercy 73.5% +0.43 69 32
113 Loyola Marymount 73.5% +0.43 69 30
114 DePaul 73.3% +0.39 69 32
115 Radford 73.3% +0.38 69 31
116 Cornell 73.3% +0.38 68 28
117 NC State 73.3% +0.38 68 41
118 Charleston Southern 73.3% +0.38 68 27
119 UNLV 73.2% +0.37 67 32
120 Belmont 73.2% +0.36 67 32
121 Merrimack 73.2% +0.35 67 31
122 Richmond 73.2% +0.35 67 33
123 UCLA 73.2% +0.35 66 32
124 Columbia 73.2% +0.35 66 24
125 Georgia Southern 73.2% +0.35 66 33
126 Lamar 73.2% +0.35 65 31
127 Troy 73.1% +0.34 65 29
128 Abilene Christian 73.1% +0.33 65 33
129 TCU 73.1% +0.33 65 34
130 Tulane 73.1% +0.32 64 30
131 UNC Greensboro 73.1% +0.32 64 30
132 San Diego State 73.0% +0.31 64 35
133 Ohio 72.9% +0.29 64 32
134 Norfolk State 72.9% +0.29 63 31
135 Montana State 72.9% +0.28 63 32
136 Davidson 72.9% +0.28 63 30
137 Lindenwood 72.8% +0.27 62 28
138 Hawai'i 72.8% +0.27 62 32
139 Ole Miss 72.8% +0.26 62 32
140 Stanford 72.8% +0.25 62 32
141 St. John's 72.8% +0.25 61 33
142 Southern Utah 72.8% +0.25 61 29
143 SIU Edwardsville 72.7% +0.25 61 30
144 Green Bay 72.7% +0.24 60 30
145 Nicholls 72.7% +0.23 60 31
146 California 72.7% +0.23 60 32
147 Northern Colorado 72.7% +0.22 60 31
148 Coppin State 72.6% +0.22 59 28
149 Gonzaga 72.6% +0.21 59 34
150 Kansas City 72.6% +0.21 59 29
151 Saint Joseph's 72.6% +0.20 59 35
152 UAlbany 72.5% +0.20 58 31
153 North Dakota State 72.5% +0.19 58 29
154 Memphis 72.5% +0.19 58 32
155 Mount St. Mary's 72.5% +0.18 57 32
156 Drexel 72.4% +0.17 57 31
157 Akron 72.4% +0.16 57 33
158 St. Thomas-Minnesota 72.4% +0.16 57 30
159 Texas Southern 72.4% +0.15 56 32
160 Cal State Bakersfield 72.4% +0.15 56 30
161 American University 72.4% +0.15 56 31
162 La Salle 72.3% +0.15 56 32
163 Valparaiso 72.3% +0.15 55 31
164 Charleston 72.3% +0.15 55 34
165 Incarnate Word 72.3% +0.14 55 29
166 LSU 72.3% +0.14 54 33
167 IU Indianapolis 72.3% +0.14 54 29
168 Duke 72.3% +0.13 54 36
169 Boston University 72.3% +0.13 54 32
170 Kansas 72.2% +0.12 53 33
171 New Mexico 72.2% +0.11 53 34
172 Maine 72.2% +0.11 53 31
173 Providence 72.2% +0.11 52 35
174 Alabama A&M 72.2% +0.11 52 35
175 Manhattan 72.2% +0.11 52 29
176 Washington 72.2% +0.11 52 32
177 Evansville 72.1% +0.09 51 34
178 Nevada 72.1% +0.09 51 33
179 Sam Houston 72.1% +0.09 51 31
180 Syracuse 72.1% +0.09 51 31
181 Samford 72.1% +0.08 50 33
182 San Diego 72.1% +0.08 50 31
183 Western Kentucky 72.1% +0.08 50 31
184 Maryland 72.0% +0.06 49 33
185 Georgia 72.0% +0.06 49 37
186 Kansas State 72.0% +0.06 49 34
187 Purdue 72.0% +0.05 49 39
188 Florida Atlantic 72.0% +0.05 48 34
189 Robert Morris 71.9% +0.04 48 30
190 Oregon 71.9% +0.04 48 36
191 Miami (OH) 71.9% +0.03 48 30
192 Sacramento State 71.9% +0.03 47 32
193 Campbell 71.9% +0.03 47 29
194 Alabama State 71.9% +0.03 47 29
195 Vermont 71.8% +0.02 46 33
196 Saint Peter's 71.8% +0.02 46 32
197 South Dakota State 71.8% +0.01 46 32
198 Denver 71.8% +0.00 46 30
199 Utah State 71.8% +0.00 45 33
200 Northern Kentucky 71.7% +0.00 45 31
201 Cal State Fullerton 71.7% -0.01 45 30
202 Illinois State 71.7% -0.01 44 31
203 Arizona 71.7% -0.01 44 36
204 Duquesne 71.6% -0.02 44 36
205 Prairie View A&M 71.6% -0.03 44 29
206 Alcorn State 71.6% -0.03 43 31
207 Bucknell 71.6% -0.04 43 33
208 Florida 71.5% -0.05 43 36
209 Morehead State 71.5% -0.05 43 31
210 UTSA 71.5% -0.06 42 31
211 Monmouth 71.5% -0.07 42 33
212 Northern Iowa 71.4% -0.07 42 32
213 Tennessee Tech 71.4% -0.08 41 28
214 Georgetown 71.4% -0.08 41 32
215 Santa Clara 71.4% -0.08 41 32
216 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 71.4% -0.09 41 29
217 Navy 71.4% -0.09 40 30
218 Hampton 71.4% -0.09 40 30
219 UC Riverside 71.4% -0.09 40 32
220 Portland 71.4% -0.09 40 31
221 Maryland Eastern Shore 71.3% -0.10 39 25
222 Austin Peay 71.3% -0.10 39 32
223 North Carolina A&T 71.3% -0.11 39 32
224 Western Carolina 71.2% -0.13 38 29
225 South Carolina 71.1% -0.15 38 34
226 Buffalo 71.1% -0.15 38 30
227 UT Rio Grande Valley 71.1% -0.15 38 29
228 Missouri State 71.1% -0.17 37 33
229 Bowling Green 71.0% -0.17 37 32
230 Queens University 71.0% -0.18 37 31
231 Temple 71.0% -0.19 36 35
232 Georgia Tech 70.9% -0.19 36 32
233 Delaware State 70.9% -0.20 36 32
234 UMBC 70.9% -0.20 36 31
235 Vanderbilt 70.9% -0.20 35 32
236 Grambling 70.9% -0.22 35 33
237 Long Beach State 70.8% -0.22 35 34
238 Pittsburgh 70.8% -0.22 35 33
239 New Orleans 70.8% -0.23 34 29
240 Michigan State 70.8% -0.24 34 35
241 Southern Miss 70.8% -0.24 34 30
242 Florida State 70.7% -0.24 33 33
243 Central Connecticut 70.7% -0.25 33 29
244 The Citadel 70.7% -0.25 33 29
245 Elon 70.7% -0.26 33 30
246 NJIT 70.7% -0.26 32 27
247 Texas A&M 70.7% -0.26 32 36
248 Delaware 70.7% -0.27 32 32
249 Purdue Fort Wayne 70.6% -0.27 31 34
250 Marshall 70.6% -0.27 31 32
251 Jacksonville 70.6% -0.29 31 30
252 West Virginia 70.5% -0.29 31 32
253 Yale 70.5% -0.30 30 31
254 Stephen F. Austin 70.5% -0.30 30 31
255 Harvard 70.5% -0.31 30 26
256 Washington State 70.4% -0.32 30 35
257 Cal Poly 70.4% -0.33 29 31
258 Jackson State 70.4% -0.34 29 32
259 North Dakota 70.4% -0.34 29 29
260 Chicago State 70.3% -0.34 28 29
261 Marquette 70.3% -0.35 28 37
262 Michigan 70.3% -0.36 28 32
263 VMI 70.2% -0.37 28 29
264 Iowa State 70.2% -0.38 27 37
265 Middle Tennessee 70.2% -0.38 27 31
266 Arkansas State 70.2% -0.38 27 37
267 UCF 70.1% -0.39 27 33
268 Louisiana Tech 70.1% -0.40 26 29
269 Wagner 70.0% -0.42 26 31
270 James Madison 70.0% -0.42 26 35
271 Florida Gulf Coast 70.0% -0.43 25 29
272 San José State 69.9% -0.44 25 31
273 Massachusetts 69.9% -0.45 25 31
274 Sacred Heart 69.9% -0.46 25 30
275 Pepperdine 69.8% -0.46 24 30
276 Murray State 69.8% -0.48 24 31
277 William & Mary 69.8% -0.48 24 31
278 Oklahoma State 69.7% -0.49 23 32
279 North Carolina Central 69.7% -0.50 23 27
280 Marist 69.7% -0.51 23 31
281 South Carolina State 69.6% -0.51 23 30
282 Winthrop 69.6% -0.51 22 29
283 Northern Arizona 69.6% -0.52 22 33
284 McNeese 69.6% -0.52 22 30
285 Fairleigh Dickinson 69.6% -0.52 22 30
286 Rice 69.5% -0.55 21 31
287 Texas State 69.4% -0.58 21 33
288 USC 69.3% -0.59 21 33
289 Longwood 69.3% -0.60 20 32
290 Florida A&M 69.3% -0.60 20 27
291 Wichita State 69.3% -0.60 20 33
292 UIC 69.2% -0.62 20 32
293 East Texas A&M 69.2% -0.63 19 30
294 Jacksonville State 69.1% -0.64 19 29
295 Minnesota 69.0% -0.68 19 34
296 Stonehill 68.9% -0.69 19 31
297 Cincinnati 68.8% -0.72 18 37
298 Portland State 68.8% -0.72 18 29
299 East Carolina 68.7% -0.74 18 32
300 App State 68.7% -0.74 17 32
301 Houston 68.7% -0.74 17 37
302 California Baptist 68.7% -0.74 17 31
303 Idaho State 68.7% -0.75 17 32
304 UTEP 68.6% -0.77 16 31
305 Pennsylvania 68.5% -0.78 16 27
306 Eastern Kentucky 68.4% -0.82 16 28
307 New Mexico State 68.4% -0.82 15 28
308 Southeast Missouri State 68.4% -0.83 15 27
309 SMU 68.3% -0.85 15 32
310 Air Force 68.2% -0.86 15 31
311 Lafayette 68.2% -0.87 14 31
312 Northern Illinois 68.2% -0.87 14 29
313 Fresno State 68.1% -0.89 14 32
314 Colgate 68.1% -0.90 14 34
315 Loyola Chicago 68.0% -0.91 13 32
316 Long Island University 67.7% -0.99 13 29
317 Kennesaw State 67.7% -1.00 13 28
318 Cal State Northridge 67.5% -1.03 12 32
319 Dartmouth 67.5% -1.04 12 25
320 Binghamton 67.4% -1.06 12 28
321 Coastal Carolina 67.4% -1.07 12 29
322 Eastern Michigan 67.2% -1.11 11 29
323 East Tennessee State 67.2% -1.12 11 33
324 Utah Valley 67.2% -1.12 11 30
325 Saint Mary's 67.2% -1.12 10 33
326 Mississippi State 67.0% -1.15 10 35
327 Cleveland State 66.8% -1.20 10 35
328 Siena 66.7% -1.22 10 32
329 Southern 66.7% -1.23 9 29
330 Holy Cross 66.7% -1.24 9 32
331 Bryant 66.5% -1.28 9 31
332 Florida International 66.4% -1.30 9 32
333 Indiana 66.4% -1.31 8 33
334 Presbyterian 66.3% -1.32 8 30
335 Mercer 66.3% -1.32 8 30
336 UL Monroe 66.3% -1.33 7 28
337 Northwestern State 66.2% -1.34 7 30
338 Liberty 66.2% -1.35 7 29
339 Fordham 66.2% -1.36 7 33
340 Old Dominion 66.2% -1.36 6 31
341 Central Michigan 66.1% -1.37 6 31
342 Towson 65.9% -1.42 6 33
343 Mississippi Valley State 65.8% -1.45 6 31
344 Rutgers 65.8% -1.46 5 32
345 Brown 65.5% -1.52 5 30
346 Arizona State 65.5% -1.52 5 32
347 Iona 65.2% -1.60 4 33
348 Utah 65.0% -1.66 4 37
349 Rhode Island 64.7% -1.73 4 31
350 Pacific 64.6% -1.73 4 30
351 South Carolina Upstate 64.3% -1.81 3 27
352 Loyola Maryland 64.2% -1.84 3 31
353 Houston Christian 64.1% -1.87 3 27
354 Utah Tech 63.7% -1.95 2 30
355 Virginia 63.7% -1.96 2 34
356 Gardner-Webb 62.9% -2.15 2 30
357 Western Michigan 62.3% -2.29 2 31
358 Western Illinois 62.3% -2.30 1 29
359 Wofford 62.2% -2.34 1 29
360 Canisius 61.9% -2.40 1 31
361 Saint Francis 60.6% -2.72 1 28
362 Army 59.8% -2.92 0 30
363 Hartford 33.3% -9.39 0 1