So let the words of our mouth and the meditation of our heart be acceptable in thy sight, O Fari! "By the RIvers of Babylon"-The Melodians
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Field Goal Percentage

Higher is better  ·  league avg 44.0%  ·  as of 2024-04-09

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Predicts home win: AUC 0.65 (team entering with the better value wins 62% of games)

Based on 5508 of 5727 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 31.5% max 52.8% mean 44.0% std 2.6% (n=363)

Team Rankings

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# Team Field Goal Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Wright State 52.8% +3.42 100 30
2 Gonzaga 51.3% +2.84 100 34
3 Indiana State 50.4% +2.48 99 38
4 UConn 49.7% +2.21 99 40
5 Kentucky 49.5% +2.12 99 33
6 Eastern Washington 49.5% +2.12 99 30
7 Colorado 49.5% +2.11 98 37
8 Purdue 48.8% +1.86 98 39
9 Northern Colorado 48.8% +1.84 98 31
10 Lipscomb 48.7% +1.80 98 30
11 Samford 48.6% +1.78 97 33
12 Utah State 48.5% +1.75 97 33
13 Kansas 48.5% +1.72 97 33
14 Arizona 48.4% +1.71 96 36
15 Creighton 48.4% +1.68 96 35
16 Cornell 48.3% +1.65 96 28
17 Baylor 48.0% +1.55 96 34
18 San Francisco 48.0% +1.55 95 33
19 Montana 47.9% +1.51 95 33
20 UC Santa Barbara 47.9% +1.51 95 29
21 South Dakota State 47.9% +1.49 94 32
22 Colorado State 47.8% +1.48 94 34
23 Florida Atlantic 47.8% +1.48 94 34
24 Marquette 47.8% +1.46 94 37
25 Toledo 47.8% +1.45 93 32
26 Tulane 47.7% +1.44 93 30
27 McNeese 47.7% +1.42 93 30
28 Auburn 47.7% +1.41 93 35
29 Alabama 47.6% +1.40 92 37
30 Iowa 47.6% +1.38 92 34
31 Indiana 47.6% +1.37 92 33
32 Drake 47.6% +1.37 91 34
33 Duke 47.5% +1.36 91 36
34 Bradley 47.4% +1.32 91 34
35 Dayton 47.4% +1.32 91 33
36 App State 47.4% +1.32 90 32
37 Wake Forest 47.4% +1.31 90 35
38 Mount St. Mary's 47.3% +1.27 90 32
39 Little Rock 47.3% +1.26 90 34
40 Belmont 47.2% +1.24 89 32
41 Minnesota 47.2% +1.21 89 34
42 James Madison 47.1% +1.19 89 35
43 Nevada 47.1% +1.18 88 33
44 Washington 47.0% +1.16 88 32
45 UC Irvine 47.0% +1.14 88 33
46 Texas 46.9% +1.11 88 34
47 Hofstra 46.9% +1.10 87 32
48 Utah 46.9% +1.10 87 37
49 Illinois 46.9% +1.10 87 38
50 Clemson 46.9% +1.10 86 36
51 Stanford 46.8% +1.06 86 32
52 Colgate 46.6% +0.98 86 34
53 Montana State 46.5% +0.97 86 32
54 North Dakota State 46.5% +0.97 85 29
55 Virginia Tech 46.5% +0.96 85 34
56 UMBC 46.5% +0.96 85 31
57 Oklahoma 46.5% +0.95 85 32
58 Western Kentucky 46.4% +0.91 84 31
59 Washington State 46.3% +0.89 84 35
60 Niagara 46.3% +0.89 84 31
61 Iowa State 46.3% +0.88 83 37
62 Weber State 46.3% +0.88 83 29
63 Saint Mary's 46.3% +0.87 83 33
64 Richmond 46.3% +0.87 83 33
65 St. Thomas-Minnesota 46.2% +0.82 82 30
66 TCU 46.1% +0.82 82 34
67 Morehead State 46.1% +0.82 82 31
68 Michigan State 46.1% +0.81 81 35
69 Wisconsin 46.1% +0.79 81 36
70 BYU 46.0% +0.78 81 34
71 Delaware 46.0% +0.77 81 32
72 Memphis 46.0% +0.75 80 32
73 Liberty 45.9% +0.73 80 29
74 Yale 45.9% +0.73 80 31
75 UNLV 45.9% +0.71 80 32
76 Presbyterian 45.8% +0.70 79 30
77 Florida 45.8% +0.69 79 36
78 Purdue Fort Wayne 45.8% +0.68 79 34
79 Chattanooga 45.8% +0.68 78 31
80 Oregon 45.8% +0.68 78 36
81 High Point 45.7% +0.66 78 34
82 Princeton 45.7% +0.66 78 27
83 UMass Lowell 45.7% +0.66 77 29
84 Rhode Island 45.7% +0.65 77 31
85 Syracuse 45.7% +0.64 77 31
86 Santa Clara 45.6% +0.62 77 32
87 Boston College 45.6% +0.60 76 36
88 St. Bonaventure 45.6% +0.60 76 33
89 George Mason 45.6% +0.59 76 31
90 LSU 45.5% +0.58 75 33
91 Northwestern 45.5% +0.57 75 34
92 Northeastern 45.5% +0.57 75 32
93 South Dakota 45.4% +0.55 75 29
94 Idaho State 45.4% +0.54 74 32
95 Hawai'i 45.4% +0.53 74 32
96 Florida Gulf Coast 45.4% +0.53 74 29
97 Grand Canyon 45.4% +0.52 73 34
98 Miami 45.4% +0.51 73 32
99 Stetson 45.3% +0.51 73 32
100 St. John's 45.3% +0.51 73 33
101 Northern Iowa 45.3% +0.51 72 32
102 Air Force 45.3% +0.50 72 31
103 Sacred Heart 45.3% +0.50 72 30
104 Campbell 45.3% +0.49 72 29
105 Northern Kentucky 45.3% +0.49 71 31
106 Columbia 45.3% +0.48 71 24
107 UNC Asheville 45.3% +0.48 71 31
108 New Mexico 45.3% +0.48 70 34
109 Florida State 45.3% +0.48 70 33
110 Wofford 45.3% +0.48 70 29
111 Arkansas 45.3% +0.48 70 33
112 Winthrop 45.3% +0.47 69 29
113 Mississippi State 45.2% +0.47 69 35
114 Butler 45.2% +0.47 69 32
115 Pepperdine 45.2% +0.46 69 30
116 Nebraska 45.2% +0.46 68 34
117 Seton Hall 45.2% +0.45 68 37
118 Western Carolina 45.2% +0.44 68 29
119 The Citadel 45.2% +0.44 67 29
120 Texas Tech 45.1% +0.43 67 34
121 USC 45.1% +0.43 67 33
122 Fresno State 45.1% +0.42 67 32
123 Massachusetts 45.1% +0.40 66 31
124 Akron 45.0% +0.39 66 33
125 North Carolina 45.0% +0.39 66 37
126 Ohio State 45.0% +0.38 65 36
127 UC San Diego 45.0% +0.38 65 31
128 Southern Illinois 45.0% +0.37 65 31
129 NC State 45.0% +0.37 65 41
130 Ohio 45.0% +0.36 64 32
131 Cal State Northridge 44.9% +0.35 64 32
132 Tarleton State 44.9% +0.34 64 32
133 Drexel 44.9% +0.34 64 31
134 Charlotte 44.8% +0.31 63 30
135 Louisiana 44.8% +0.31 63 31
136 SMU 44.8% +0.30 63 32
137 Binghamton 44.8% +0.29 62 28
138 UAB 44.8% +0.29 62 34
139 Mercer 44.8% +0.29 62 30
140 Milwaukee 44.8% +0.29 62 33
141 Lamar 44.7% +0.28 61 31
142 Ole Miss 44.7% +0.27 61 32
143 Radford 44.7% +0.26 61 31
144 American University 44.7% +0.25 60 31
145 UNC Greensboro 44.7% +0.24 60 30
146 Saint Louis 44.6% +0.22 60 32
147 Denver 44.6% +0.22 60 30
148 Oakland 44.6% +0.22 59 36
149 Wichita State 44.6% +0.20 59 33
150 Bryant 44.6% +0.20 59 31
151 South Alabama 44.5% +0.20 59 29
152 Eastern Kentucky 44.5% +0.20 58 28
153 UNC Wilmington 44.5% +0.20 58 28
154 Saint Joseph's 44.5% +0.19 58 35
155 Kennesaw State 44.5% +0.18 57 28
156 UT Arlington 44.5% +0.17 57 32
157 Howard 44.5% +0.17 57 33
158 Utah Tech 44.5% +0.17 57 30
159 Central Connecticut 44.4% +0.16 56 29
160 Loyola Chicago 44.4% +0.16 56 32
161 Louisiana Tech 44.4% +0.16 56 29
162 Quinnipiac 44.4% +0.15 56 33
163 Fairfield 44.4% +0.14 55 36
164 Murray State 44.4% +0.14 55 31
165 Michigan 44.4% +0.12 55 32
166 Pennsylvania 44.3% +0.12 54 27
167 Alcorn State 44.3% +0.12 54 31
168 Marist 44.3% +0.11 54 31
169 Longwood 44.3% +0.11 54 32
170 Providence 44.3% +0.11 53 35
171 Boise State 44.3% +0.10 53 31
172 Omaha 44.3% +0.10 53 29
173 Cincinnati 44.3% +0.10 52 37
174 Vermont 44.3% +0.09 52 33
175 Cleveland State 44.3% +0.09 52 35
176 UAlbany 44.3% +0.09 52 31
177 San José State 44.2% +0.08 51 31
178 Loyola Marymount 44.2% +0.08 51 30
179 Wyoming 44.2% +0.08 51 30
180 Seattle U 44.2% +0.07 51 36
181 Norfolk State 44.2% +0.06 50 31
182 Evansville 44.2% +0.06 50 34
183 Green Bay 44.2% +0.06 50 30
184 Oregon State 44.2% +0.05 49 31
185 Austin Peay 44.1% +0.04 49 32
186 Arkansas State 44.1% +0.04 49 37
187 Charleston 44.1% +0.03 49 34
188 Long Beach State 44.1% +0.03 48 34
189 Furman 44.1% +0.02 48 30
190 Coastal Carolina 44.1% +0.02 48 29
191 Oklahoma State 44.1% +0.02 48 32
192 Stephen F. Austin 44.1% +0.01 47 31
193 UC Davis 44.1% +0.01 47 31
194 South Florida 44.1% +0.01 47 33
195 Tennessee 44.0% +0.00 46 36
196 George Washington 44.0% +0.00 46 31
197 Nicholls 44.0% -0.00 46 31
198 VCU 44.0% -0.01 46 38
199 Rice 43.9% -0.03 45 31
200 Houston 43.9% -0.04 45 37
201 San Diego State 43.9% -0.05 45 35
202 Missouri State 43.9% -0.05 44 33
203 South Carolina 43.9% -0.05 44 34
204 Ball State 43.9% -0.05 44 29
205 Missouri 43.9% -0.05 44 32
206 Northern Arizona 43.8% -0.09 43 33
207 Stony Brook 43.8% -0.09 43 34
208 North Florida 43.8% -0.09 43 29
209 Penn State 43.8% -0.10 43 33
210 Pittsburgh 43.7% -0.14 42 33
211 Canisius 43.7% -0.15 42 31
212 North Alabama 43.7% -0.15 42 30
213 Youngstown State 43.7% -0.15 41 28
214 Jacksonville State 43.6% -0.15 41 29
215 Kent State 43.6% -0.16 41 32
216 Tulsa 43.6% -0.16 41 30
217 Xavier 43.6% -0.16 40 34
218 UT Martin 43.6% -0.16 40 28
219 Kansas State 43.6% -0.16 40 34
220 Miami (OH) 43.6% -0.17 40 30
221 Louisville 43.6% -0.17 39 32
222 Morgan State 43.6% -0.18 39 28
223 Holy Cross 43.5% -0.20 39 32
224 Harvard 43.5% -0.20 38 26
225 North Carolina Central 43.5% -0.20 38 27
226 Oral Roberts 43.5% -0.21 38 28
227 IU Indianapolis 43.5% -0.21 38 29
228 North Dakota 43.5% -0.22 37 29
229 Tennessee Tech 43.5% -0.22 37 28
230 Lehigh 43.4% -0.24 37 30
231 North Texas 43.4% -0.25 36 32
232 Northern Illinois 43.4% -0.26 36 29
233 Idaho 43.4% -0.26 36 30
234 Duquesne 43.4% -0.26 36 36
235 UIC 43.3% -0.28 35 32
236 Southern 43.3% -0.30 35 29
237 Texas State 43.3% -0.30 35 33
238 Southern Utah 43.3% -0.30 35 29
239 UTEP 43.2% -0.31 34 31
240 Iona 43.2% -0.33 34 33
241 Grambling 43.2% -0.33 34 33
242 Tennessee State 43.1% -0.35 33 29
243 Queens University 43.1% -0.36 33 31
244 San Diego 43.1% -0.36 33 31
245 Merrimack 43.1% -0.37 33 31
246 Jacksonville 43.1% -0.37 32 30
247 Monmouth 43.0% -0.39 32 33
248 Robert Morris 43.0% -0.39 32 30
249 Troy 43.0% -0.39 31 29
250 Utah Valley 43.0% -0.40 31 30
251 West Virginia 43.0% -0.40 31 32
252 Rider 43.0% -0.41 31 31
253 Bowling Green 43.0% -0.41 30 32
254 Georgia Southern 43.0% -0.41 30 33
255 Georgia 43.0% -0.42 30 37
256 Maine 43.0% -0.42 30 31
257 Gardner-Webb 42.9% -0.43 29 30
258 Brown 42.9% -0.44 29 30
259 Portland 42.9% -0.44 29 31
260 South Carolina Upstate 42.9% -0.45 28 27
261 Eastern Michigan 42.9% -0.45 28 29
262 Cal State Bakersfield 42.9% -0.45 28 30
263 Elon 42.9% -0.45 28 30
264 Bucknell 42.8% -0.47 27 33
265 Virginia 42.8% -0.47 27 34
266 Florida International 42.8% -0.49 27 32
267 Bellarmine 42.8% -0.49 27 28
268 Georgia State 42.8% -0.49 26 29
269 Davidson 42.8% -0.50 26 30
270 Houston Christian 42.7% -0.51 26 27
271 Abilene Christian 42.6% -0.54 25 33
272 Southern Miss 42.6% -0.54 25 30
273 Bethune-Cookman 42.6% -0.57 25 32
274 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 42.5% -0.59 25 27
275 Sam Houston 42.5% -0.60 24 31
276 Villanova 42.5% -0.61 24 34
277 Florida A&M 42.4% -0.62 24 27
278 La Salle 42.4% -0.65 23 32
279 DePaul 42.3% -0.67 23 32
280 Northwestern State 42.3% -0.68 23 30
281 Western Michigan 42.3% -0.68 23 31
282 Illinois State 42.3% -0.69 22 31
283 Delaware State 42.2% -0.71 22 32
284 Detroit Mercy 42.1% -0.74 22 32
285 Kansas City 42.1% -0.74 22 29
286 Cal State Fullerton 42.1% -0.74 21 30
287 Georgia Tech 42.1% -0.75 21 32
288 California 42.1% -0.76 21 32
289 Alabama A&M 42.0% -0.78 20 35
290 Le Moyne 42.0% -0.78 20 29
291 UCF 42.0% -0.79 20 33
292 Sacramento State 42.0% -0.79 20 32
293 Old Dominion 42.0% -0.80 19 31
294 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 42.0% -0.81 19 29
295 East Carolina 41.9% -0.82 19 32
296 Incarnate Word 41.8% -0.86 19 29
297 SE Louisiana 41.8% -0.87 18 29
298 Long Island University 41.8% -0.89 18 29
299 Towson 41.7% -0.89 18 33
300 UCLA 41.6% -0.93 17 32
301 Arizona State 41.6% -0.94 17 32
302 Buffalo 41.6% -0.95 17 30
303 New Mexico State 41.6% -0.97 17 28
304 Jackson State 41.5% -0.97 16 32
305 Prairie View A&M 41.5% -0.97 16 29
306 Western Illinois 41.5% -0.97 16 29
307 Central Michigan 41.5% -0.98 15 31
308 Georgetown 41.5% -0.98 15 32
309 Saint Francis 41.4% -1.04 15 28
310 Maryland 41.3% -1.06 15 33
311 Manhattan 41.2% -1.11 14 29
312 SIU Edwardsville 41.1% -1.12 14 30
313 Boston University 41.1% -1.15 14 32
314 VMI 41.1% -1.15 14 29
315 Central Arkansas 41.0% -1.17 13 30
316 California Baptist 41.0% -1.17 13 31
317 New Orleans 41.0% -1.17 13 29
318 Chicago State 41.0% -1.18 12 29
319 New Hampshire 41.0% -1.20 12 30
320 Dartmouth 40.9% -1.21 12 25
321 Loyola Maryland 40.9% -1.22 12 31
322 UT Rio Grande Valley 40.9% -1.22 11 29
323 Texas Southern 40.9% -1.22 11 32
324 UTSA 40.9% -1.23 11 31
325 Fairleigh Dickinson 40.8% -1.26 10 30
326 Hampton 40.7% -1.29 10 30
327 UL Monroe 40.7% -1.29 10 28
328 Pacific 40.7% -1.29 10 30
329 William & Mary 40.7% -1.30 9 31
330 Notre Dame 40.7% -1.30 9 33
331 Lafayette 40.7% -1.31 9 31
332 Portland State 40.7% -1.31 9 29
333 South Carolina State 40.6% -1.34 8 30
334 East Tennessee State 40.6% -1.35 8 33
335 Marshall 40.4% -1.40 8 32
336 Valparaiso 40.3% -1.44 7 31
337 Cal Poly 40.2% -1.47 7 31
338 Texas A&M 40.2% -1.49 7 36
339 Southeast Missouri State 40.1% -1.54 7 27
340 Fordham 40.0% -1.55 6 33
341 Eastern Illinois 40.0% -1.57 6 27
342 Stonehill 39.9% -1.59 6 31
343 Siena 39.9% -1.59 6 32
344 Army 39.9% -1.62 5 30
345 Vanderbilt 39.9% -1.63 5 32
346 Southern Indiana 39.8% -1.64 5 29
347 Charleston Southern 39.5% -1.76 4 27
348 Middle Tennessee 39.5% -1.78 4 31
349 UC Riverside 39.4% -1.79 4 32
350 Saint Peter's 39.4% -1.79 4 32
351 Temple 39.3% -1.83 3 35
352 East Texas A&M 39.2% -1.87 3 30
353 Navy 39.1% -1.92 3 30
354 Wagner 39.0% -1.95 2 31
355 Rutgers 38.9% -1.99 2 32
356 Lindenwood 38.9% -2.01 2 28
357 North Carolina A&T 38.8% -2.05 2 32
358 NJIT 38.8% -2.05 1 27
359 Maryland Eastern Shore 38.1% -2.32 1 25
360 Mississippi Valley State 38.1% -2.33 1 31
361 Coppin State 37.4% -2.58 1 28
362 Alabama State 35.6% -3.27 0 29
363 Hartford 31.5% -4.88 0 1