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Three-Point Percentage

Higher is better  ·  league avg 33.7%  ·  as of 2024-04-09

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Predicts home win: AUC 0.59 (team entering with the better value wins 57% of games)

Based on 5508 of 5727 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 23.1% max 40.9% mean 33.7% std 2.5% (n=363)

Team Rankings

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# Team Three-Point Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Kentucky 40.9% +2.83 100 33
2 Purdue 40.4% +2.63 100 39
3 Dayton 39.9% +2.45 99 33
4 Samford 39.5% +2.29 99 33
5 Baylor 39.5% +2.28 99 34
6 Colorado 39.1% +2.15 99 37
7 Northwestern 39.0% +2.09 98 34
8 UNC Greensboro 38.9% +2.06 98 30
9 McNeese 38.7% +1.99 98 30
10 Wright State 38.4% +1.87 98 30
11 Indiana State 38.1% +1.75 97 38
12 Lipscomb 38.1% +1.73 97 30
13 North Dakota State 37.7% +1.60 97 29
14 North Texas 37.7% +1.58 96 32
15 Duke 37.7% +1.58 96 36
16 South Dakota 37.6% +1.57 96 29
17 Toledo 37.6% +1.56 96 32
18 Columbia 37.4% +1.45 95 24
19 Alabama 37.3% +1.42 95 37
20 Howard 37.2% +1.41 95 33
21 Belmont 37.2% +1.39 94 32
22 Bradley 37.0% +1.32 94 34
23 Utah 37.0% +1.30 94 37
24 Stanford 37.0% +1.29 94 32
25 Creighton 36.8% +1.25 93 35
26 Hofstra 36.8% +1.23 93 32
27 Loyola Marymount 36.8% +1.23 93 30
28 Western Carolina 36.8% +1.23 93 29
29 Eastern Washington 36.8% +1.22 92 30
30 Nicholls 36.8% +1.22 92 31
31 South Florida 36.7% +1.19 92 33
32 Montana State 36.7% +1.19 91 32
33 Arizona 36.6% +1.16 91 36
34 St. Bonaventure 36.5% +1.13 91 33
35 Ole Miss 36.5% +1.12 91 32
36 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 36.5% +1.10 90 27
37 South Dakota State 36.4% +1.08 90 32
38 UNC Asheville 36.4% +1.08 90 31
39 Drake 36.4% +1.08 90 34
40 Saint Louis 36.4% +1.07 89 32
41 Wake Forest 36.4% +1.07 89 35
42 Nevada 36.4% +1.06 89 33
43 Michigan State 36.3% +1.02 88 35
44 Florida Gulf Coast 36.2% +1.02 88 29
45 Richmond 36.2% +1.01 88 33
46 Miami (OH) 36.2% +1.00 88 30
47 UT Martin 36.2% +1.00 87 28
48 Boston College 36.2% +1.00 87 36
49 Gonzaga 36.2% +1.00 87 34
50 Fairfield 36.2% +0.99 86 36
51 Eastern Kentucky 36.1% +0.97 86 28
52 Miami 36.1% +0.96 86 32
53 Ball State 36.1% +0.96 86 29
54 Kent State 36.1% +0.95 85 32
55 Wyoming 36.1% +0.95 85 30
56 Air Force 36.1% +0.95 85 31
57 Purdue Fort Wayne 36.0% +0.94 85 34
58 James Madison 36.0% +0.91 84 35
59 UIC 36.0% +0.91 84 32
60 Oral Roberts 36.0% +0.91 84 28
61 Texas Tech 35.9% +0.90 83 34
62 Stetson 35.9% +0.89 83 32
63 North Florida 35.9% +0.89 83 29
64 Michigan 35.9% +0.89 83 32
65 Niagara 35.9% +0.88 82 31
66 Montana 35.9% +0.88 82 33
67 North Carolina 35.9% +0.87 82 37
68 Sacred Heart 35.8% +0.86 81 30
69 Iowa State 35.8% +0.85 81 37
70 George Washington 35.8% +0.85 81 31
71 Virginia 35.8% +0.83 81 34
72 UConn 35.8% +0.82 80 40
73 St. Thomas-Minnesota 35.7% +0.82 80 30
74 Louisiana Tech 35.7% +0.82 80 29
75 Pittsburgh 35.7% +0.82 80 33
76 Nebraska 35.7% +0.81 79 34
77 LSU 35.7% +0.80 79 33
78 Chattanooga 35.7% +0.80 79 31
79 Liberty 35.7% +0.79 78 29
80 Radford 35.7% +0.79 78 31
81 North Alabama 35.6% +0.76 78 30
82 Marist 35.6% +0.75 78 31
83 Tulane 35.6% +0.75 77 30
84 Minnesota 35.5% +0.74 77 34
85 USC 35.5% +0.74 77 33
86 Oakland 35.5% +0.74 77 36
87 Wofford 35.5% +0.74 76 29
88 UC Santa Barbara 35.5% +0.73 76 29
89 Colgate 35.5% +0.72 76 34
90 Austin Peay 35.5% +0.72 75 32
91 Stony Brook 35.5% +0.72 75 34
92 Texas 35.5% +0.71 75 34
93 TCU 35.4% +0.70 75 34
94 Washington 35.4% +0.70 74 32
95 UT Arlington 35.4% +0.69 74 32
96 Morehead State 35.4% +0.68 74 31
97 VCU 35.3% +0.66 73 38
98 UMBC 35.3% +0.66 73 31
99 Pennsylvania 35.3% +0.66 73 27
100 Auburn 35.3% +0.66 73 35
101 Iona 35.3% +0.64 72 33
102 Mount St. Mary's 35.3% +0.64 72 32
103 Troy 35.3% +0.64 72 29
104 Mercer 35.3% +0.63 72 30
105 Saint Mary's 35.3% +0.63 71 33
106 Saint Joseph's 35.2% +0.62 71 35
107 Marquette 35.2% +0.62 71 37
108 Elon 35.2% +0.62 70 30
109 Georgia Southern 35.2% +0.60 70 33
110 Princeton 35.2% +0.59 70 27
111 Ohio 35.1% +0.59 70 32
112 Sam Houston 35.1% +0.58 69 31
113 Northern Colorado 35.1% +0.57 69 31
114 San Francisco 35.1% +0.57 69 33
115 Iowa 35.1% +0.57 69 34
116 Denver 35.1% +0.56 68 30
117 South Alabama 35.1% +0.56 68 29
118 Clemson 35.1% +0.56 68 36
119 Pepperdine 35.1% +0.55 67 30
120 Florida Atlantic 35.1% +0.55 67 34
121 Memphis 35.0% +0.55 67 32
122 Butler 35.0% +0.52 67 32
123 Yale 35.0% +0.52 66 31
124 Holy Cross 35.0% +0.51 66 32
125 Rhode Island 34.9% +0.51 66 31
126 UC San Diego 34.9% +0.50 65 31
127 West Virginia 34.9% +0.50 65 32
128 Illinois 34.9% +0.49 65 38
129 Wisconsin 34.9% +0.48 65 36
130 UC Irvine 34.9% +0.48 64 33
131 Loyola Chicago 34.9% +0.48 64 32
132 Virginia Tech 34.8% +0.47 64 34
133 Houston 34.8% +0.46 64 37
134 San Diego 34.8% +0.45 63 31
135 Lamar 34.8% +0.45 63 31
136 BYU 34.8% +0.44 63 34
137 SMU 34.7% +0.42 62 32
138 American University 34.7% +0.42 62 31
139 Monmouth 34.7% +0.42 62 33
140 Charleston 34.7% +0.39 62 34
141 Gardner-Webb 34.6% +0.37 61 30
142 Georgetown 34.6% +0.37 61 32
143 Campbell 34.6% +0.35 61 29
144 Oklahoma 34.5% +0.35 60 32
145 Quinnipiac 34.5% +0.35 60 33
146 Ohio State 34.5% +0.34 60 36
147 Little Rock 34.5% +0.33 60 34
148 Florida 34.5% +0.33 59 36
149 La Salle 34.5% +0.33 59 32
150 Seattle U 34.5% +0.33 59 36
151 Santa Clara 34.5% +0.32 59 32
152 NC State 34.5% +0.32 58 41
153 Tennessee 34.4% +0.30 58 36
154 Arkansas State 34.4% +0.30 58 37
155 George Mason 34.3% +0.27 57 31
156 Western Kentucky 34.3% +0.27 57 31
157 Boise State 34.2% +0.23 57 31
158 Southern Illinois 34.2% +0.23 57 31
159 San José State 34.2% +0.22 56 31
160 Xavier 34.2% +0.22 56 34
161 Central Arkansas 34.2% +0.22 56 30
162 Weber State 34.2% +0.21 56 29
163 Alcorn State 34.2% +0.20 55 31
164 Portland 34.1% +0.19 55 31
165 Northern Iowa 34.1% +0.19 55 32
166 Le Moyne 34.1% +0.18 54 29
167 SE Louisiana 34.1% +0.18 54 29
168 Cornell 34.1% +0.16 54 28
169 Florida A&M 34.1% +0.16 54 27
170 Abilene Christian 34.1% +0.16 53 33
171 Drexel 34.1% +0.16 53 31
172 St. John's 34.1% +0.16 53 33
173 Grambling 34.0% +0.13 52 33
174 Georgia 34.0% +0.13 52 37
175 Hawai'i 34.0% +0.13 52 32
176 Green Bay 34.0% +0.12 52 30
177 Longwood 34.0% +0.12 51 32
178 Duquesne 33.9% +0.10 51 36
179 Washington State 33.9% +0.09 51 35
180 South Carolina 33.9% +0.09 51 34
181 Bucknell 33.8% +0.07 50 33
182 California 33.8% +0.06 50 32
183 Jacksonville 33.8% +0.06 50 30
184 Oregon 33.8% +0.06 49 36
185 Villanova 33.8% +0.04 49 34
186 Harvard 33.7% +0.03 49 26
187 Southern Miss 33.7% +0.03 49 30
188 Robert Morris 33.7% +0.03 48 30
189 Brown 33.7% +0.02 48 30
190 Utah Tech 33.7% +0.01 48 30
191 Winthrop 33.7% +0.00 48 29
192 Rider 33.7% +0.00 47 31
193 UNLV 33.7% +0.00 47 32
194 Seton Hall 33.6% -0.01 47 37
195 Kansas 33.6% -0.01 46 33
196 Evansville 33.6% -0.03 46 34
197 Bellarmine 33.6% -0.04 46 28
198 Idaho 33.5% -0.05 46 30
199 DePaul 33.5% -0.06 45 32
200 Grand Canyon 33.5% -0.07 45 34
201 Oklahoma State 33.4% -0.09 45 32
202 Kansas City 33.4% -0.11 44 29
203 Penn State 33.4% -0.11 44 33
204 UTSA 33.4% -0.11 44 31
205 Syracuse 33.3% -0.12 44 31
206 Tarleton State 33.3% -0.12 43 32
207 Vermont 33.3% -0.14 43 33
208 Rice 33.2% -0.16 43 31
209 Fresno State 33.2% -0.16 43 32
210 App State 33.2% -0.17 42 32
211 Stephen F. Austin 33.2% -0.17 42 31
212 Saint Francis 33.2% -0.17 42 28
213 UCLA 33.2% -0.17 41 32
214 Furman 33.2% -0.18 41 30
215 North Carolina Central 33.2% -0.19 41 27
216 Saint Peter's 33.2% -0.20 41 32
217 Norfolk State 33.2% -0.20 40 31
218 Cleveland State 33.1% -0.20 40 35
219 Oregon State 33.1% -0.22 40 31
220 UAB 33.1% -0.23 40 34
221 Cal Poly 33.0% -0.24 39 31
222 High Point 33.0% -0.24 39 34
223 Colorado State 33.0% -0.25 39 34
224 UNC Wilmington 33.0% -0.26 38 28
225 Cincinnati 33.0% -0.26 38 37
226 Delaware 33.0% -0.26 38 32
227 Wichita State 33.0% -0.27 38 33
228 Kennesaw State 32.9% -0.28 37 28
229 Canisius 32.9% -0.28 37 31
230 Florida International 32.9% -0.29 37 32
231 The Citadel 32.9% -0.30 36 29
232 Queens University 32.9% -0.31 36 31
233 UC Davis 32.9% -0.31 36 31
234 California Baptist 32.9% -0.31 36 31
235 UAlbany 32.8% -0.32 35 31
236 Boston University 32.8% -0.32 35 32
237 Presbyterian 32.8% -0.33 35 30
238 Western Michigan 32.8% -0.34 35 31
239 Central Connecticut 32.8% -0.35 34 29
240 Towson 32.8% -0.35 34 33
241 Loyola Maryland 32.7% -0.36 34 31
242 Northern Illinois 32.7% -0.37 33 29
243 Bryant 32.7% -0.39 33 31
244 New Mexico 32.6% -0.40 33 34
245 Louisiana 32.6% -0.41 33 31
246 Georgia Tech 32.6% -0.43 32 32
247 Providence 32.5% -0.43 32 35
248 SIU Edwardsville 32.5% -0.47 32 30
249 Jackson State 32.5% -0.47 31 32
250 Southern 32.5% -0.47 31 29
251 Utah State 32.5% -0.47 31 33
252 Portland State 32.4% -0.48 31 29
253 Sacramento State 32.4% -0.50 30 32
254 Indiana 32.4% -0.51 30 33
255 UC Riverside 32.3% -0.52 30 32
256 North Dakota 32.3% -0.52 30 29
257 Tennessee Tech 32.3% -0.53 29 28
258 South Carolina State 32.3% -0.54 29 30
259 UMass Lowell 32.3% -0.54 29 29
260 South Carolina Upstate 32.3% -0.55 28 27
261 Cal State Fullerton 32.2% -0.55 28 30
262 UCF 32.2% -0.56 28 33
263 Wagner 32.2% -0.56 28 31
264 Lehigh 32.2% -0.56 27 30
265 Idaho State 32.2% -0.57 27 32
266 Milwaukee 32.2% -0.57 27 33
267 Georgia State 32.2% -0.57 27 29
268 Tulsa 32.1% -0.59 26 30
269 Mississippi State 32.1% -0.59 26 35
270 Coastal Carolina 32.1% -0.61 26 29
271 William & Mary 32.1% -0.62 25 31
272 Jacksonville State 32.1% -0.62 25 29
273 Cal State Bakersfield 32.1% -0.63 25 30
274 Incarnate Word 32.0% -0.64 25 29
275 Bethune-Cookman 32.0% -0.65 24 32
276 Valparaiso 32.0% -0.66 24 31
277 Missouri 31.9% -0.68 24 32
278 Youngstown State 31.9% -0.68 23 28
279 Arkansas 31.8% -0.71 23 33
280 Old Dominion 31.8% -0.72 23 31
281 Army 31.8% -0.72 23 30
282 Northeastern 31.8% -0.74 22 32
283 Kansas State 31.8% -0.74 22 34
284 Notre Dame 31.8% -0.74 22 33
285 New Hampshire 31.8% -0.74 22 30
286 Florida State 31.7% -0.75 21 33
287 Fairleigh Dickinson 31.7% -0.75 21 30
288 Eastern Illinois 31.7% -0.75 21 27
289 Temple 31.7% -0.76 20 35
290 Western Illinois 31.7% -0.78 20 29
291 Southern Indiana 31.6% -0.79 20 29
292 Murray State 31.6% -0.79 20 31
293 Akron 31.6% -0.80 19 33
294 Omaha 31.6% -0.81 19 29
295 Northern Kentucky 31.6% -0.81 19 31
296 San Diego State 31.5% -0.83 19 35
297 Fordham 31.5% -0.84 18 33
298 Texas State 31.5% -0.85 18 33
299 Pacific 31.4% -0.87 18 30
300 Charleston Southern 31.4% -0.89 17 27
301 Missouri State 31.4% -0.90 17 33
302 Northwestern State 31.3% -0.92 17 30
303 Manhattan 31.3% -0.93 17 29
304 Massachusetts 31.3% -0.93 16 31
305 Tennessee State 31.3% -0.94 16 29
306 East Carolina 31.3% -0.94 16 32
307 Charlotte 31.3% -0.94 15 30
308 Northern Arizona 31.2% -0.95 15 33
309 New Mexico State 31.2% -0.96 15 28
310 East Tennessee State 31.2% -0.98 15 33
311 Dartmouth 31.2% -0.98 14 25
312 Lafayette 31.2% -0.98 14 31
313 Merrimack 31.1% -1.01 14 31
314 Texas Southern 31.1% -1.01 14 32
315 Middle Tennessee 31.1% -1.01 13 31
316 Long Island University 31.0% -1.03 13 29
317 Marshall 31.0% -1.04 13 32
318 Delaware State 31.0% -1.04 12 32
319 UTEP 31.0% -1.06 12 31
320 Hampton 30.9% -1.07 12 30
321 Long Beach State 30.9% -1.08 12 34
322 Eastern Michigan 30.8% -1.13 11 29
323 Davidson 30.7% -1.15 11 30
324 Louisville 30.6% -1.18 11 32
325 Prairie View A&M 30.4% -1.29 10 29
326 Stonehill 30.3% -1.30 10 31
327 New Orleans 30.3% -1.32 10 29
328 Central Michigan 30.1% -1.39 10 31
329 Cal State Northridge 30.0% -1.42 9 32
330 Southeast Missouri State 30.0% -1.42 9 27
331 Arizona State 30.0% -1.42 9 32
332 Binghamton 29.9% -1.46 9 28
333 Chicago State 29.7% -1.53 8 29
334 Maine 29.7% -1.54 8 31
335 VMI 29.7% -1.55 8 29
336 Navy 29.6% -1.57 7 30
337 NJIT 29.6% -1.61 7 27
338 Houston Christian 29.5% -1.62 7 27
339 East Texas A&M 29.4% -1.67 7 30
340 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 29.4% -1.68 6 29
341 Southern Utah 29.4% -1.69 6 29
342 Texas A&M 29.3% -1.69 6 36
343 Bowling Green 29.3% -1.71 6 32
344 Mississippi Valley State 29.2% -1.73 5 31
345 Lindenwood 29.0% -1.83 5 28
346 UT Rio Grande Valley 29.0% -1.83 5 29
347 Maryland 28.9% -1.87 4 33
348 Illinois State 28.8% -1.91 4 31
349 North Carolina A&T 28.7% -1.94 4 32
350 Rutgers 28.7% -1.95 4 32
351 Alabama A&M 28.7% -1.95 3 35
352 Coppin State 28.6% -1.98 3 28
353 Utah Valley 28.5% -2.01 3 30
354 UL Monroe 28.5% -2.02 2 28
355 Vanderbilt 28.3% -2.09 2 32
356 Maryland Eastern Shore 28.3% -2.11 2 25
357 Morgan State 28.2% -2.16 2 28
358 Detroit Mercy 28.1% -2.19 1 32
359 Alabama State 28.0% -2.20 1 29
360 Siena 28.0% -2.21 1 32
361 Buffalo 27.5% -2.40 1 30
362 IU Indianapolis 24.7% -3.52 0 29
363 Hartford 23.1% -4.15 0 1