You know he knows just exactly what the facts is. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Predicts home win: AUC 0.62 (team entering with the better value wins 59% of games)

Based on 5508 of 5727 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 60.7% max 77.7% mean 70.9% std 2.9% (n=363)

Team Rankings

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# Team Defensive Rebound Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Saint Mary's 77.7% +2.33 100 33
2 Drake 77.5% +2.25 100 34
3 Northern Iowa 77.5% +2.23 99 32
4 Boston University 77.0% +2.07 99 32
5 Boise State 76.9% +2.05 99 31
6 Indiana State 76.7% +1.98 99 38
7 Arizona 76.7% +1.97 98 36
8 Lehigh 76.5% +1.91 98 30
9 Vermont 76.4% +1.88 98 33
10 North Carolina 76.3% +1.85 98 37
11 Pittsburgh 76.2% +1.82 97 33
12 Weber State 76.0% +1.75 97 29
13 Yale 76.0% +1.73 97 31
14 Western Carolina 75.9% +1.71 96 29
15 Villanova 75.7% +1.65 96 34
16 San Francisco 75.7% +1.64 96 33
17 Purdue 75.7% +1.64 96 39
18 Wisconsin 75.6% +1.61 95 36
19 Drexel 75.6% +1.60 95 31
20 Dartmouth 75.5% +1.58 95 25
21 BYU 75.4% +1.53 94 34
22 North Dakota State 75.3% +1.51 94 29
23 Missouri State 75.3% +1.51 94 33
24 Princeton 75.3% +1.49 94 27
25 Colorado 75.2% +1.45 93 37
26 Colgate 75.2% +1.45 93 34
27 Northern Colorado 75.2% +1.45 93 31
28 California Baptist 75.1% +1.45 93 31
29 Creighton 75.1% +1.43 92 35
30 Washington State 75.0% +1.39 92 35
31 Binghamton 75.0% +1.39 92 28
32 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 74.9% +1.37 91 29
33 South Dakota State 74.9% +1.35 91 32
34 Loyola Chicago 74.8% +1.34 91 32
35 Hawai'i 74.7% +1.30 91 32
36 Akron 74.7% +1.29 90 33
37 Cincinnati 74.7% +1.29 90 37
38 UC Riverside 74.7% +1.29 90 32
39 Kansas City 74.7% +1.29 90 29
40 Jacksonville State 74.7% +1.29 89 29
41 Southern Illinois 74.6% +1.27 89 31
42 New Hampshire 74.6% +1.26 89 30
43 Bowling Green 74.6% +1.24 88 32
44 Murray State 74.5% +1.24 88 31
45 Liberty 74.5% +1.23 88 29
46 St. Thomas-Minnesota 74.5% +1.22 88 30
47 American University 74.4% +1.20 87 31
48 Seattle U 74.4% +1.18 87 36
49 Army 74.3% +1.16 87 30
50 Wake Forest 74.2% +1.13 86 35
51 Longwood 74.2% +1.12 86 32
52 Sacramento State 74.2% +1.12 86 32
53 Utah 74.2% +1.11 86 37
54 Duke 74.1% +1.09 85 36
55 Pepperdine 74.0% +1.06 85 30
56 Illinois State 74.0% +1.05 85 31
57 High Point 74.0% +1.04 85 34
58 Santa Clara 73.9% +1.02 84 32
59 Wofford 73.9% +1.01 84 29
60 Evansville 73.9% +1.01 84 34
61 Virginia Tech 73.8% +1.00 83 34
62 North Dakota 73.8% +0.99 83 29
63 Oklahoma 73.8% +0.98 83 32
64 Illinois 73.7% +0.95 83 38
65 Boston College 73.7% +0.95 82 36
66 Charleston 73.7% +0.94 82 34
67 UT Martin 73.6% +0.93 82 28
68 Omaha 73.6% +0.92 81 29
69 Loyola Maryland 73.6% +0.91 81 31
70 Morehead State 73.5% +0.88 81 31
71 Clemson 73.4% +0.86 81 36
72 Kansas 73.4% +0.85 80 33
73 Furman 73.4% +0.85 80 30
74 Richmond 73.4% +0.84 80 33
75 Utah State 73.4% +0.84 80 33
76 Pennsylvania 73.4% +0.83 79 27
77 UC Santa Barbara 73.4% +0.83 79 29
78 Notre Dame 73.3% +0.83 79 33
79 Western Kentucky 73.3% +0.82 78 31
80 California 73.3% +0.82 78 32
81 UConn 73.3% +0.81 78 40
82 UMass Lowell 73.3% +0.80 78 29
83 Niagara 73.2% +0.79 77 31
84 Cal State Northridge 73.2% +0.79 77 32
85 Montana 73.2% +0.79 77 33
86 Central Connecticut 73.2% +0.79 77 29
87 Idaho State 73.2% +0.77 76 32
88 Gardner-Webb 73.2% +0.77 76 30
89 Marist 73.2% +0.77 76 31
90 The Citadel 73.2% +0.77 75 29
91 Baylor 73.1% +0.76 75 34
92 Colorado State 73.1% +0.76 75 34
93 VCU 73.1% +0.73 75 38
94 UCF 73.1% +0.73 74 33
95 Sam Houston 73.0% +0.73 74 31
96 Nevada 73.0% +0.72 74 33
97 Loyola Marymount 72.9% +0.69 73 30
98 Eastern Washington 72.9% +0.68 73 30
99 Utah Valley 72.8% +0.66 73 30
100 Towson 72.8% +0.66 73 33
101 Oregon 72.7% +0.62 72 36
102 New Mexico 72.7% +0.62 72 34
103 Brown 72.7% +0.61 72 30
104 Stanford 72.7% +0.60 72 32
105 Fordham 72.6% +0.57 71 33
106 UC Irvine 72.6% +0.57 71 33
107 Belmont 72.5% +0.55 71 32
108 George Mason 72.5% +0.54 70 31
109 Louisville 72.5% +0.53 70 32
110 Denver 72.5% +0.53 70 30
111 Wagner 72.3% +0.48 70 31
112 James Madison 72.3% +0.48 69 35
113 Northeastern 72.3% +0.47 69 32
114 Gonzaga 72.3% +0.46 69 34
115 Mount St. Mary's 72.2% +0.45 69 32
116 North Alabama 72.2% +0.45 68 30
117 Eastern Illinois 72.2% +0.45 68 27
118 Providence 72.2% +0.44 68 35
119 App State 72.2% +0.44 67 32
120 Maine 72.2% +0.44 67 31
121 UC San Diego 72.2% +0.43 67 31
122 Northwestern 72.2% +0.43 67 34
123 Mississippi State 72.2% +0.42 66 35
124 Marshall 72.1% +0.41 66 32
125 South Carolina 72.1% +0.41 66 34
126 Delaware 72.1% +0.40 65 32
127 Ball State 72.1% +0.39 65 29
128 Presbyterian 72.0% +0.38 65 30
129 Texas A&M 72.0% +0.38 65 36
130 Louisiana Tech 72.0% +0.36 64 29
131 Davidson 72.0% +0.35 64 30
132 Holy Cross 71.9% +0.35 64 32
133 Tennessee Tech 71.9% +0.35 64 28
134 Virginia 71.9% +0.34 63 34
135 Canisius 71.9% +0.34 63 31
136 Quinnipiac 71.9% +0.33 63 33
137 Wright State 71.9% +0.32 62 30
138 Bradley 71.9% +0.32 62 34
139 Tennessee 71.8% +0.31 62 36
140 Rhode Island 71.8% +0.30 62 31
141 SIU Edwardsville 71.8% +0.30 61 30
142 Portland State 71.7% +0.28 61 29
143 Florida Gulf Coast 71.7% +0.27 61 29
144 UCLA 71.7% +0.25 60 32
145 Green Bay 71.6% +0.24 60 30
146 St. Bonaventure 71.6% +0.24 60 33
147 TCU 71.6% +0.24 60 34
148 UIC 71.5% +0.21 59 32
149 Southern Indiana 71.5% +0.21 59 29
150 Georgia Tech 71.5% +0.21 59 32
151 Oklahoma State 71.5% +0.21 59 32
152 Michigan State 71.5% +0.19 58 35
153 South Dakota 71.5% +0.18 58 29
154 Ohio State 71.5% +0.18 58 36
155 Idaho 71.4% +0.18 57 30
156 Long Island University 71.4% +0.17 57 29
157 Western Illinois 71.4% +0.17 57 29
158 Saint Louis 71.4% +0.17 57 32
159 Columbia 71.4% +0.17 56 24
160 Miami 71.4% +0.15 56 32
161 Toledo 71.4% +0.15 56 32
162 Dayton 71.4% +0.15 56 33
163 Bucknell 71.4% +0.15 55 33
164 Kent State 71.3% +0.13 55 32
165 San Diego State 71.3% +0.13 55 35
166 Portland 71.3% +0.13 54 31
167 Lindenwood 71.3% +0.12 54 28
168 Wichita State 71.3% +0.11 54 33
169 Oakland 71.2% +0.10 54 36
170 Youngstown State 71.2% +0.09 53 28
171 Florida 71.2% +0.08 53 36
172 Minnesota 71.2% +0.08 53 34
173 Chattanooga 71.2% +0.08 52 31
174 Arkansas State 71.2% +0.08 52 37
175 UTSA 71.1% +0.06 52 31
176 Washington 71.1% +0.05 52 32
177 Xavier 71.0% +0.04 51 34
178 Butler 71.0% +0.03 51 32
179 Rider 71.0% +0.03 51 31
180 Charlotte 71.0% +0.03 51 30
181 UL Monroe 71.0% +0.01 50 28
182 Alabama State 70.9% +0.01 50 29
183 William & Mary 70.9% +0.00 50 31
184 Saint Joseph's 70.9% -0.00 49 35
185 Seton Hall 70.9% -0.00 49 37
186 Maryland 70.9% -0.01 49 33
187 Charleston Southern 70.9% -0.01 49 27
188 Montana State 70.9% -0.01 48 32
189 NC State 70.9% -0.02 48 41
190 Lafayette 70.9% -0.02 48 31
191 Wyoming 70.9% -0.02 48 30
192 Florida Atlantic 70.8% -0.04 47 34
193 Purdue Fort Wayne 70.8% -0.04 47 34
194 George Washington 70.8% -0.06 47 31
195 Stony Brook 70.7% -0.06 46 34
196 East Tennessee State 70.7% -0.07 46 33
197 Vanderbilt 70.7% -0.07 46 32
198 Lipscomb 70.7% -0.08 46 30
199 UAlbany 70.7% -0.09 45 31
200 Iowa State 70.6% -0.10 45 37
201 Bellarmine 70.6% -0.10 45 28
202 Queens University 70.6% -0.10 44 31
203 Texas State 70.6% -0.10 44 33
204 UT Arlington 70.6% -0.12 44 32
205 New Mexico State 70.6% -0.12 44 28
206 Cal State Fullerton 70.5% -0.15 43 30
207 Rice 70.5% -0.15 43 31
208 Long Beach State 70.5% -0.15 43 34
209 Robert Morris 70.5% -0.15 43 30
210 Southeast Missouri State 70.5% -0.16 42 27
211 Indiana 70.5% -0.16 42 33
212 Western Michigan 70.4% -0.19 42 31
213 Hofstra 70.3% -0.21 41 32
214 Temple 70.3% -0.23 41 35
215 Arizona State 70.2% -0.26 41 32
216 Le Moyne 70.2% -0.26 41 29
217 Arkansas 70.1% -0.27 40 33
218 North Florida 70.1% -0.28 40 29
219 Incarnate Word 70.0% -0.32 40 29
220 Auburn 69.9% -0.34 40 35
221 Nebraska 69.9% -0.35 39 34
222 Little Rock 69.9% -0.36 39 34
223 Texas 69.9% -0.36 39 34
224 Saint Peter's 69.9% -0.36 38 32
225 Massachusetts 69.9% -0.36 38 31
226 Grand Canyon 69.8% -0.39 38 34
227 San José State 69.8% -0.40 38 31
228 Stephen F. Austin 69.7% -0.41 37 31
229 Texas Tech 69.7% -0.41 37 34
230 Iowa 69.7% -0.41 37 34
231 Manhattan 69.7% -0.42 36 29
232 Duquesne 69.7% -0.42 36 36
233 SE Louisiana 69.7% -0.43 36 29
234 Valparaiso 69.7% -0.43 36 31
235 West Virginia 69.6% -0.44 35 32
236 St. John's 69.6% -0.44 35 33
237 Howard 69.6% -0.45 35 33
238 Bryant 69.6% -0.45 35 31
239 Tulsa 69.6% -0.46 34 30
240 Michigan 69.6% -0.46 34 32
241 Kentucky 69.6% -0.46 34 33
242 Southern Miss 69.6% -0.46 33 30
243 UNC Greensboro 69.5% -0.47 33 30
244 Abilene Christian 69.5% -0.48 33 33
245 Coastal Carolina 69.5% -0.48 33 29
246 Georgia 69.5% -0.48 32 37
247 South Florida 69.5% -0.49 32 33
248 Middle Tennessee 69.5% -0.49 32 31
249 Georgia State 69.5% -0.50 31 29
250 Fresno State 69.5% -0.50 31 32
251 Alcorn State 69.4% -0.51 31 31
252 UC Davis 69.4% -0.52 31 31
253 Fairfield 69.4% -0.52 30 36
254 VMI 69.4% -0.52 30 29
255 McNeese 69.4% -0.53 30 30
256 UNC Wilmington 69.4% -0.54 30 28
257 Oral Roberts 69.4% -0.54 29 28
258 Kansas State 69.3% -0.54 29 34
259 Troy 69.3% -0.54 29 29
260 Georgetown 69.3% -0.55 28 32
261 Central Michigan 69.3% -0.56 28 31
262 Jacksonville 69.3% -0.57 28 30
263 Southern 69.2% -0.57 28 29
264 Kennesaw State 69.2% -0.58 27 28
265 Navy 69.2% -0.59 27 30
266 Buffalo 69.2% -0.59 27 30
267 La Salle 69.2% -0.59 27 32
268 Iona 69.2% -0.60 26 33
269 Marquette 69.2% -0.61 26 37
270 Miami (OH) 69.1% -0.62 26 30
271 Texas Southern 69.1% -0.63 25 32
272 Alabama 69.0% -0.64 25 37
273 Oregon State 69.0% -0.65 25 31
274 South Carolina State 69.0% -0.65 25 30
275 UTEP 69.0% -0.65 24 31
276 East Carolina 69.0% -0.65 24 32
277 UMBC 69.0% -0.66 24 31
278 Stonehill 68.9% -0.68 23 31
279 Northern Arizona 68.9% -0.69 23 33
280 Fairleigh Dickinson 68.8% -0.72 23 30
281 Northern Illinois 68.8% -0.72 23 29
282 Eastern Kentucky 68.8% -0.72 22 28
283 Houston 68.8% -0.72 22 37
284 Mercer 68.8% -0.73 22 30
285 Old Dominion 68.8% -0.73 22 31
286 Cal State Bakersfield 68.8% -0.73 21 30
287 Campbell 68.8% -0.74 21 29
288 Eastern Michigan 68.8% -0.74 21 29
289 Siena 68.8% -0.74 20 32
290 UAB 68.7% -0.76 20 34
291 Saint Francis 68.7% -0.77 20 28
292 Harvard 68.7% -0.77 20 26
293 Rutgers 68.7% -0.77 19 32
294 Stetson 68.7% -0.78 19 32
295 SMU 68.7% -0.78 19 32
296 LSU 68.6% -0.78 19 33
297 Central Arkansas 68.6% -0.80 18 30
298 UNC Asheville 68.6% -0.81 18 31
299 UNLV 68.6% -0.81 18 32
300 Air Force 68.5% -0.82 17 31
301 Norfolk State 68.5% -0.83 17 31
302 Austin Peay 68.3% -0.89 17 32
303 Delaware State 68.3% -0.89 17 32
304 Utah Tech 68.3% -0.89 16 30
305 Florida A&M 68.3% -0.91 16 27
306 San Diego 68.2% -0.92 16 31
307 South Alabama 68.2% -0.94 15 29
308 Cornell 68.2% -0.95 15 28
309 Syracuse 68.1% -0.97 15 31
310 Hampton 68.1% -0.97 15 30
311 Samford 68.1% -0.98 14 33
312 Lamar 68.0% -0.99 14 31
313 North Texas 68.0% -1.01 14 32
314 Ohio 68.0% -1.02 14 32
315 Jackson State 67.9% -1.02 13 32
316 Tennessee State 67.9% -1.04 13 29
317 Penn State 67.8% -1.06 13 33
318 Nicholls 67.8% -1.06 12 31
319 USC 67.8% -1.09 12 33
320 Sacred Heart 67.7% -1.11 12 30
321 DePaul 67.7% -1.11 12 32
322 Monmouth 67.7% -1.12 11 33
323 Tarleton State 67.5% -1.16 11 32
324 Milwaukee 67.4% -1.20 11 33
325 Northern Kentucky 67.4% -1.20 10 31
326 Alabama A&M 67.4% -1.22 10 35
327 Grambling 67.2% -1.27 10 33
328 Elon 67.2% -1.27 10 30
329 Tulane 67.2% -1.27 9 30
330 Florida State 67.2% -1.28 9 33
331 Winthrop 67.1% -1.29 9 29
332 NJIT 67.1% -1.30 9 27
333 Louisiana 67.1% -1.32 8 31
334 East Texas A&M 66.9% -1.37 8 30
335 Southern Utah 66.9% -1.38 8 29
336 Bethune-Cookman 66.8% -1.41 7 32
337 Pacific 66.8% -1.42 7 30
338 South Carolina Upstate 66.7% -1.46 7 27
339 UT Rio Grande Valley 66.6% -1.48 7 29
340 Maryland Eastern Shore 66.6% -1.50 6 25
341 Memphis 66.4% -1.55 6 32
342 Cal Poly 66.4% -1.56 6 31
343 North Carolina Central 66.3% -1.57 6 27
344 Houston Christian 66.3% -1.60 5 27
345 Georgia Southern 66.2% -1.63 5 33
346 Radford 66.1% -1.64 5 31
347 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 66.0% -1.68 4 27
348 North Carolina A&T 66.0% -1.69 4 32
349 Northwestern State 65.9% -1.71 4 30
350 Cleveland State 65.5% -1.86 4 35
351 Merrimack 65.5% -1.87 3 31
352 New Orleans 65.1% -2.00 3 29
353 Detroit Mercy 65.0% -2.02 3 32
354 Chicago State 64.9% -2.07 2 29
355 Prairie View A&M 64.8% -2.09 2 29
356 IU Indianapolis 64.5% -2.19 2 29
357 Mississippi Valley State 64.3% -2.26 2 31
358 Missouri 64.3% -2.27 1 32
359 Ole Miss 63.8% -2.42 1 32
360 Morgan State 62.8% -2.79 1 28
361 Florida International 62.7% -2.80 1 32
362 Coppin State 60.9% -3.42 0 28
363 Hartford 60.7% -3.50 0 1