I got a baby's brain and an old man's heart "I'm Eighteen" - Alice Cooper

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Predicts home win: AUC 0.64 (team entering with the better value wins 61% of games)

Based on 5508 of 5727 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 7.0 max 18.7 mean 13.0 std 2.0 (n=363)

Team Rankings

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# Team Assists Per Game z Pctl GP
1 Kansas 18.7 +2.90 100 33
2 UConn 18.7 +2.88 100 40
3 BYU 18.5 +2.78 99 34
4 Arizona 18.5 +2.77 99 36
5 Purdue 18.5 +2.76 99 39
6 Auburn 18.1 +2.60 99 35
7 Iowa 17.8 +2.44 98 34
8 Indiana State 17.8 +2.41 98 38
9 Utah 17.7 +2.37 98 37
10 Kentucky 17.5 +2.30 98 33
11 Colorado State 17.4 +2.22 97 34
12 Cornell 17.3 +2.19 97 28
13 Minnesota 17.3 +2.18 97 34
14 Samford 17.2 +2.10 96 33
15 Eastern Washington 16.9 +1.99 96 30
16 TCU 16.9 +1.98 96 34
17 Creighton 16.8 +1.93 96 35
18 Tennessee 16.7 +1.86 95 36
19 Gonzaga 16.5 +1.79 95 34
20 Wright State 16.3 +1.69 95 30
21 Columbia 16.3 +1.67 94 24
22 Colorado 16.2 +1.63 94 37
23 Xavier 16.2 +1.63 94 34
24 Lamar 16.1 +1.57 94 31
25 Stanford 16.1 +1.57 93 32
26 Loyola Chicago 16.1 +1.55 93 32
27 Saint Mary's 16.0 +1.52 93 33
28 Furman 16.0 +1.51 93 30
29 Michigan State 15.9 +1.49 92 35
30 Drake 15.9 +1.49 92 34
31 Alabama 15.9 +1.45 92 37
32 Marquette 15.9 +1.45 91 37
33 Utah State 15.8 +1.45 91 33
34 James Madison 15.8 +1.41 91 35
35 Iowa State 15.7 +1.39 91 37
36 San Francisco 15.7 +1.38 90 33
37 St. John's 15.7 +1.37 90 33
38 SMU 15.7 +1.35 90 32
39 USC 15.6 +1.32 90 33
40 Northwestern 15.6 +1.31 89 34
41 Massachusetts 15.6 +1.31 89 31
42 South Carolina 15.4 +1.23 89 34
43 Nebraska 15.3 +1.18 88 34
44 Duke 15.3 +1.17 88 36
45 Charleston 15.3 +1.17 88 34
46 Belmont 15.3 +1.16 88 32
47 Indiana 15.3 +1.16 87 33
48 UT Arlington 15.3 +1.14 87 32
49 Florida 15.2 +1.10 87 36
50 UC Irvine 15.2 +1.09 86 33
51 Ole Miss 15.1 +1.08 86 32
52 Virginia Tech 15.1 +1.08 86 34
53 Wofford 15.1 +1.07 86 29
54 Washington 15.1 +1.05 85 32
55 Texas 15.1 +1.05 85 34
56 Virginia 15.0 +1.00 85 34
57 Hofstra 15.0 +1.00 85 32
58 Long Beach State 14.9 +0.99 84 34
59 Le Moyne 14.9 +0.98 84 29
60 South Florida 14.9 +0.96 84 33
61 Florida Atlantic 14.9 +0.94 83 34
62 Nevada 14.8 +0.94 83 33
63 Butler 14.8 +0.92 83 32
64 Clemson 14.8 +0.92 83 36
65 Liberty 14.8 +0.91 82 29
66 Santa Clara 14.8 +0.91 82 32
67 Little Rock 14.8 +0.90 82 34
68 Texas Tech 14.7 +0.88 81 34
69 Marshall 14.7 +0.88 81 32
70 Northern Colorado 14.7 +0.86 81 31
71 Saint Joseph's 14.7 +0.85 81 35
72 Dayton 14.6 +0.83 80 33
73 Colgate 14.6 +0.83 80 34
74 Cincinnati 14.6 +0.81 80 37
75 Air Force 14.5 +0.79 80 31
76 Baylor 14.5 +0.78 79 34
77 UNC Asheville 14.5 +0.77 79 31
78 Oakland 14.5 +0.77 79 36
79 Arkansas State 14.5 +0.76 78 37
80 North Carolina 14.5 +0.76 78 37
81 Yale 14.5 +0.76 78 31
82 Utah Valley 14.4 +0.72 78 30
83 Fairleigh Dickinson 14.4 +0.70 77 30
84 Iona 14.3 +0.68 77 33
85 New Mexico 14.3 +0.68 77 34
86 Lipscomb 14.2 +0.63 77 30
87 Southern Illinois 14.2 +0.63 76 31
88 Miami 14.2 +0.61 76 32
89 Montana 14.2 +0.59 76 33
90 Youngstown State 14.1 +0.59 75 28
91 Boston College 14.1 +0.58 75 36
92 Manhattan 14.1 +0.58 75 29
93 Bryant 14.1 +0.58 75 31
94 Rice 14.1 +0.56 74 31
95 Ohio State 14.1 +0.56 74 36
96 McNeese 14.1 +0.55 74 30
97 UNC Greensboro 14.0 +0.53 73 30
98 App State 14.0 +0.53 73 32
99 La Salle 14.0 +0.53 73 32
100 Mississippi State 14.0 +0.53 73 35
101 Binghamton 14.0 +0.51 72 28
102 Kansas State 14.0 +0.50 72 34
103 Milwaukee 14.0 +0.50 72 33
104 Quinnipiac 13.9 +0.48 72 33
105 Miami (OH) 13.9 +0.46 71 30
106 Princeton 13.9 +0.46 71 27
107 Tulane 13.9 +0.45 71 30
108 Pennsylvania 13.8 +0.42 70 27
109 Oregon 13.8 +0.42 70 36
110 Kennesaw State 13.8 +0.39 70 28
111 UTSA 13.7 +0.37 70 31
112 Pittsburgh 13.7 +0.36 69 33
113 Central Connecticut 13.7 +0.36 69 29
114 SE Louisiana 13.7 +0.36 69 29
115 Memphis 13.7 +0.36 69 32
116 Providence 13.6 +0.33 68 35
117 Morehead State 13.6 +0.32 68 31
118 Northeastern 13.6 +0.31 68 32
119 American University 13.6 +0.30 67 31
120 Howard 13.6 +0.30 67 33
121 Tarleton State 13.6 +0.29 67 32
122 Florida A&M 13.6 +0.29 67 27
123 VCU 13.6 +0.29 66 38
124 Delaware 13.5 +0.28 66 32
125 Ohio 13.5 +0.28 66 32
126 Syracuse 13.5 +0.27 65 31
127 Cal State Northridge 13.5 +0.25 65 32
128 UIC 13.5 +0.25 65 32
129 Northern Arizona 13.5 +0.24 65 33
130 Northern Kentucky 13.5 +0.24 64 31
131 Florida International 13.4 +0.23 64 32
132 Toledo 13.4 +0.23 64 32
133 Robert Morris 13.4 +0.23 64 30
134 Buffalo 13.4 +0.21 63 30
135 Oklahoma State 13.4 +0.20 63 32
136 Oklahoma 13.3 +0.18 63 32
137 Illinois 13.3 +0.17 62 38
138 Sacred Heart 13.3 +0.16 62 30
139 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 13.3 +0.16 62 27
140 UAB 13.3 +0.16 62 34
141 Georgia Tech 13.3 +0.15 61 32
142 Brown 13.3 +0.14 61 30
143 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 13.2 +0.13 61 29
144 Purdue Fort Wayne 13.2 +0.13 60 34
145 Central Arkansas 13.2 +0.13 60 30
146 Duquesne 13.2 +0.12 60 36
147 Mount St. Mary's 13.2 +0.12 60 32
148 Richmond 13.2 +0.12 59 33
149 Bradley 13.2 +0.11 59 34
150 Mercer 13.2 +0.11 59 30
151 Southern 13.1 +0.08 59 29
152 Pacific 13.1 +0.08 58 30
153 Chattanooga 13.1 +0.07 58 31
154 Fairfield 13.1 +0.07 58 36
155 Lafayette 13.1 +0.06 57 31
156 San Diego 13.1 +0.06 57 31
157 Monmouth 13.1 +0.06 57 33
158 Houston 13.1 +0.05 57 37
159 NC State 13.1 +0.05 56 41
160 San José State 13.1 +0.04 56 31
161 Cleveland State 13.1 +0.04 56 35
162 Eastern Kentucky 13.0 +0.03 56 28
163 West Virginia 13.0 +0.03 55 32
164 Vermont 13.0 +0.02 55 33
165 Pepperdine 13.0 +0.01 55 30
166 Rider 13.0 +0.01 54 31
167 Seton Hall 13.0 +0.01 54 37
168 Western Kentucky 13.0 +0.01 54 31
169 UMBC 13.0 -0.01 54 31
170 Utah Tech 12.9 -0.02 53 30
171 San Diego State 12.9 -0.03 53 35
172 Saint Louis 12.9 -0.04 53 32
173 South Carolina State 12.9 -0.04 52 30
174 Portland 12.9 -0.06 52 31
175 Charlotte 12.9 -0.06 52 30
176 UC Santa Barbara 12.9 -0.06 52 29
177 Villanova 12.9 -0.06 51 34
178 South Dakota State 12.8 -0.10 51 32
179 Denver 12.8 -0.11 51 30
180 Lehigh 12.7 -0.12 51 30
181 St. Thomas-Minnesota 12.7 -0.12 50 30
182 Harvard 12.7 -0.13 50 26
183 Troy 12.7 -0.13 50 29
184 Wisconsin 12.7 -0.13 49 36
185 UC Riverside 12.7 -0.13 49 32
186 Evansville 12.7 -0.14 49 34
187 Fordham 12.7 -0.14 49 33
188 Seattle U 12.7 -0.14 48 36
189 Campbell 12.7 -0.15 48 29
190 Kent State 12.7 -0.15 48 32
191 Montana State 12.7 -0.15 48 32
192 Loyola Maryland 12.6 -0.17 47 31
193 Rhode Island 12.6 -0.17 47 31
194 Bellarmine 12.6 -0.17 47 28
195 Penn State 12.6 -0.17 46 33
196 Elon 12.6 -0.18 46 30
197 Boston University 12.6 -0.18 46 32
198 UAlbany 12.6 -0.19 46 31
199 Tulsa 12.6 -0.21 45 30
200 Kansas City 12.6 -0.22 45 29
201 Green Bay 12.5 -0.23 45 30
202 Long Island University 12.5 -0.23 44 29
203 Michigan 12.5 -0.24 44 32
204 St. Bonaventure 12.5 -0.25 44 33
205 Stetson 12.5 -0.26 44 32
206 Niagara 12.5 -0.27 43 31
207 UNLV 12.4 -0.27 43 32
208 Gardner-Webb 12.4 -0.28 43 30
209 Washington State 12.4 -0.28 43 35
210 Canisius 12.4 -0.28 42 31
211 Ball State 12.4 -0.29 42 29
212 Longwood 12.4 -0.29 42 32
213 UT Martin 12.4 -0.30 41 28
214 Western Michigan 12.4 -0.30 41 31
215 Fresno State 12.4 -0.31 41 32
216 Sam Houston 12.4 -0.32 41 31
217 Akron 12.3 -0.33 40 33
218 Queens University 12.3 -0.33 40 31
219 Northern Iowa 12.3 -0.34 40 32
220 Florida State 12.3 -0.34 40 33
221 Army 12.3 -0.34 39 30
222 Illinois State 12.3 -0.35 39 31
223 Marist 12.3 -0.35 39 31
224 UC Davis 12.3 -0.35 38 31
225 UC San Diego 12.3 -0.35 38 31
226 Western Illinois 12.3 -0.36 38 29
227 East Texas A&M 12.3 -0.36 38 30
228 George Washington 12.3 -0.36 37 31
229 Wake Forest 12.3 -0.37 37 35
230 DePaul 12.3 -0.37 37 32
231 Georgetown 12.2 -0.38 36 32
232 Presbyterian 12.2 -0.39 36 30
233 East Carolina 12.2 -0.40 36 32
234 Missouri 12.2 -0.40 36 32
235 South Carolina Upstate 12.2 -0.40 35 27
236 Davidson 12.1 -0.43 35 30
237 Drexel 12.1 -0.43 35 31
238 California 12.1 -0.45 35 32
239 Abilene Christian 12.1 -0.45 34 33
240 Bucknell 12.1 -0.45 34 33
241 Missouri State 12.1 -0.45 34 33
242 Dartmouth 12.1 -0.45 33 25
243 Maine 12.1 -0.46 33 31
244 Stephen F. Austin 12.1 -0.46 33 31
245 Wagner 12.1 -0.46 33 31
246 Wichita State 12.1 -0.46 32 33
247 Saint Francis 12.0 -0.48 32 28
248 Coastal Carolina 12.0 -0.48 32 29
249 Arizona State 12.0 -0.48 31 32
250 Jackson State 12.0 -0.49 31 32
251 Sacramento State 12.0 -0.49 31 32
252 Stony Brook 12.0 -0.51 31 34
253 South Dakota 11.9 -0.55 30 29
254 Hawai'i 11.9 -0.56 30 32
255 UT Rio Grande Valley 11.9 -0.56 30 29
256 Louisiana 11.8 -0.58 30 31
257 Merrimack 11.8 -0.58 29 31
258 Valparaiso 11.8 -0.58 29 31
259 Southern Utah 11.8 -0.58 29 29
260 Stonehill 11.8 -0.59 28 31
261 William & Mary 11.8 -0.59 28 31
262 Loyola Marymount 11.8 -0.60 28 30
263 Louisiana Tech 11.8 -0.60 28 29
264 Prairie View A&M 11.8 -0.60 27 29
265 Georgia 11.8 -0.60 27 37
266 Rutgers 11.8 -0.61 27 32
267 LSU 11.8 -0.62 27 33
268 Southern Miss 11.7 -0.63 26 30
269 Arkansas 11.7 -0.63 26 33
270 Incarnate Word 11.7 -0.63 26 29
271 UMass Lowell 11.7 -0.63 25 29
272 Boise State 11.7 -0.64 25 31
273 Hampton 11.7 -0.65 25 30
274 Navy 11.7 -0.65 25 30
275 Idaho 11.7 -0.66 24 30
276 Alcorn State 11.6 -0.67 24 31
277 UTEP 11.6 -0.67 24 31
278 UL Monroe 11.6 -0.69 23 28
279 Bethune-Cookman 11.6 -0.72 23 32
280 Grand Canyon 11.6 -0.72 23 34
281 Idaho State 11.5 -0.73 23 32
282 North Florida 11.5 -0.74 22 29
283 Delaware State 11.5 -0.75 22 32
284 George Mason 11.5 -0.76 22 31
285 Eastern Illinois 11.4 -0.77 22 27
286 Texas A&M 11.4 -0.77 21 36
287 Tennessee State 11.4 -0.79 21 29
288 Morgan State 11.4 -0.80 21 28
289 Nicholls 11.4 -0.80 20 31
290 Southeast Missouri State 11.4 -0.81 20 27
291 UCF 11.4 -0.82 20 33
292 Norfolk State 11.4 -0.82 20 31
293 North Dakota 11.3 -0.83 19 29
294 Weber State 11.3 -0.83 19 29
295 New Hampshire 11.3 -0.85 19 30
296 Florida Gulf Coast 11.3 -0.86 19 29
297 Wyoming 11.3 -0.86 18 30
298 Murray State 11.3 -0.87 18 31
299 Central Michigan 11.2 -0.89 18 31
300 Texas Southern 11.2 -0.92 17 32
301 East Tennessee State 11.2 -0.92 17 33
302 UNC Wilmington 11.1 -0.93 17 28
303 Western Carolina 11.1 -0.93 17 29
304 California Baptist 11.1 -0.93 16 31
305 Bowling Green 11.1 -0.94 16 32
306 Louisville 11.1 -0.94 16 32
307 North Carolina Central 11.1 -0.94 15 27
308 Georgia State 11.0 -0.98 15 29
309 North Dakota State 11.0 -0.98 15 29
310 Winthrop 11.0 -0.98 15 29
311 Northwestern State 11.0 -0.98 14 30
312 Oregon State 11.0 -0.98 14 31
313 High Point 11.0 -0.98 14 34
314 New Orleans 11.0 -1.00 14 29
315 Temple 11.0 -1.00 13 35
316 Tennessee Tech 11.0 -1.00 13 28
317 Texas State 10.9 -1.03 13 33
318 Towson 10.9 -1.03 12 33
319 Maryland 10.9 -1.04 12 33
320 North Texas 10.9 -1.05 12 32
321 The Citadel 10.9 -1.07 12 29
322 Southern Indiana 10.9 -1.07 11 29
323 UCLA 10.8 -1.08 11 32
324 Detroit Mercy 10.8 -1.09 11 32
325 Georgia Southern 10.7 -1.14 10 33
326 Holy Cross 10.7 -1.16 10 32
327 Siena 10.7 -1.16 10 32
328 Radford 10.6 -1.18 10 31
329 New Mexico State 10.6 -1.20 9 28
330 North Alabama 10.6 -1.20 9 30
331 Portland State 10.6 -1.21 9 29
332 Saint Peter's 10.6 -1.22 9 32
333 Alabama A&M 10.5 -1.23 8 35
334 South Alabama 10.5 -1.24 8 29
335 Austin Peay 10.5 -1.27 8 32
336 Oral Roberts 10.5 -1.27 7 28
337 Houston Christian 10.4 -1.28 7 27
338 SIU Edwardsville 10.3 -1.34 7 30
339 Jacksonville State 10.3 -1.35 7 29
340 Eastern Michigan 10.3 -1.36 6 29
341 Cal State Bakersfield 10.2 -1.39 6 30
342 Old Dominion 10.2 -1.39 6 31
343 Alabama State 10.2 -1.40 6 29
344 North Carolina A&T 10.2 -1.41 5 32
345 IU Indianapolis 10.2 -1.42 5 29
346 Maryland Eastern Shore 10.2 -1.42 5 25
347 Notre Dame 10.2 -1.43 4 33
348 Jacksonville 10.1 -1.47 4 30
349 Northern Illinois 9.9 -1.56 4 29
350 Omaha 9.9 -1.56 4 29
351 NJIT 9.9 -1.58 3 27
352 Cal Poly 9.8 -1.60 3 31
353 Chicago State 9.8 -1.63 3 29
354 Middle Tennessee 9.5 -1.73 2 31
355 Vanderbilt 9.4 -1.82 2 32
356 VMI 9.3 -1.83 2 29
357 Grambling 9.3 -1.87 2 33
358 Charleston Southern 9.2 -1.91 1 27
359 Mississippi Valley State 8.7 -2.14 1 31
360 Cal State Fullerton 8.3 -2.34 1 30
361 Coppin State 8.3 -2.37 1 28
362 Lindenwood 7.5 -2.75 0 28
363 Hartford 7.0 -3.02 0 1