I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
← Results

Win Percentage (WP)

Games won divided by games played.

Higher is better  ·  league avg 49.2%  ·  as of 2023-04-04

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.71 (team entering with the better value wins 67% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 3.7% max 89.2% mean 49.2% std 17.6% (n=363)

Team Rankings

Loading…
# Team Win Percentage (WP) z Pctl GP
1 Florida Atlantic 89.2% +2.27 100 37
2 Houston 89.2% +2.27 100 37
3 Charleston 88.2% +2.22 99 34
4 Oral Roberts 83.9% +1.97 99 31
5 Alabama 83.8% +1.96 99 37
6 UCLA 83.8% +1.96 99 37
7 Gonzaga 83.3% +1.94 98 36
8 Purdue 82.9% +1.91 98 35
9 San Diego State 81.6% +1.84 98 38
10 Marquette 80.6% +1.78 98 36
11 North Texas 80.6% +1.78 97 36
12 Arizona 80.0% +1.75 97 35
13 UConn 79.5% +1.72 97 39
14 Kent State 78.8% +1.68 96 33
15 Miami 78.4% +1.66 96 37
16 Kansas 77.8% +1.62 96 36
17 Iona 77.1% +1.59 96 35
18 VCU 77.1% +1.59 95 35
19 Drake 76.5% +1.55 95 34
20 Saint Mary's 76.5% +1.55 95 34
21 Toledo 76.5% +1.55 94 34
22 Texas 76.3% +1.54 94 38
23 Fordham 75.8% +1.51 94 33
24 Furman 75.8% +1.51 94 33
25 UC Santa Barbara 75.8% +1.51 93 33
26 UNC Asheville 75.8% +1.51 93 33
27 Virginia 75.8% +1.51 93 33
28 Duke 75.0% +1.47 93 36
29 UMass Lowell 75.0% +1.47 92 32
30 Memphis 74.3% +1.43 92 35
31 Louisiana 74.2% +1.42 92 31
32 Marshall 74.2% +1.42 91 31
33 UAB 73.7% +1.39 91 38
34 Colgate 73.5% +1.38 91 34
35 Utah State 73.5% +1.38 91 34
36 Utah Valley 73.5% +1.38 90 34
37 Sam Houston 73.3% +1.37 90 30
38 Southern Miss 73.3% +1.37 90 30
39 Xavier 73.0% +1.35 90 37
40 Liberty 72.7% +1.34 89 33
41 Kansas State 72.2% +1.31 89 36
42 Kennesaw State 71.9% +1.29 89 32
43 Missouri 71.4% +1.26 88 35
44 Texas A&M 71.4% +1.26 88 35
45 Grambling 71.0% +1.24 88 31
46 Bradley 70.6% +1.22 88 34
47 Hofstra 70.6% +1.22 87 34
48 Princeton 70.0% +1.18 87 30
49 Boise State 69.7% +1.17 87 33
50 Montana State 69.7% +1.17 86 33
51 Tennessee 69.4% +1.15 86 36
52 Santa Clara 68.8% +1.11 86 32
53 Southern Illinois 68.8% +1.11 86 32
54 UNC Wilmington 68.8% +1.11 85 32
55 Youngstown State 68.8% +1.11 85 32
56 Yale 67.9% +1.06 85 28
57 Baylor 67.6% +1.05 85 34
58 Clemson 67.6% +1.05 84 34
59 NC State 67.6% +1.05 84 34
60 Eastern Washington 66.7% +0.99 84 33
61 Pittsburgh 66.7% +0.99 83 36
62 USC 66.7% +0.99 83 33
63 Vermont 66.7% +0.99 83 33
64 Indiana 65.7% +0.94 83 35
65 Hawai'i 65.6% +0.93 82 32
66 Nevada 65.6% +0.93 82 32
67 Northwestern State 65.6% +0.93 82 32
68 Creighton 64.9% +0.89 81 37
69 Dayton 64.7% +0.88 81 34
70 Kentucky 64.7% +0.88 81 34
71 Northwestern 64.7% +0.88 81 34
72 Akron 64.5% +0.87 80 31
73 Belmont 64.5% +0.87 80 31
74 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 64.5% +0.87 80 31
75 Tulane 64.5% +0.87 80 31
76 Samford 64.3% +0.86 79 28
77 Arizona State 63.9% +0.84 79 36
78 Grand Canyon 63.6% +0.82 79 33
79 New Mexico 63.6% +0.82 78 33
80 Providence 63.6% +0.82 78 33
81 Towson 63.6% +0.82 78 33
82 UC Irvine 63.6% +0.82 78 33
83 UC Riverside 63.6% +0.82 77 33
84 James Madison 63.3% +0.80 77 30
85 Cincinnati 62.9% +0.78 77 35
86 Indiana State 62.9% +0.78 77 35
87 Maryland 62.9% +0.78 76 35
88 TCU 62.9% +0.78 76 35
89 Saint Louis 62.5% +0.76 76 32
90 Penn State 62.2% +0.74 75 37
91 Norfolk State 62.1% +0.73 75 29
92 Auburn 61.8% +0.72 75 34
93 Michigan State 61.8% +0.72 75 34
94 Mississippi State 61.8% +0.72 74 34
95 Milwaukee 61.3% +0.69 74 31
96 Quinnipiac 61.3% +0.69 74 31
97 Arkansas 61.1% +0.68 73 36
98 Charlotte 61.1% +0.68 73 36
99 Cleveland State 60.6% +0.65 73 33
100 Duquesne 60.6% +0.65 73 33
101 George Mason 60.6% +0.65 72 33
102 Illinois 60.6% +0.65 72 33
103 North Carolina 60.6% +0.65 72 33
104 Northern Kentucky 60.6% +0.65 72 33
105 Southern Utah 60.6% +0.65 71 33
106 Ball State 60.0% +0.62 71 30
107 Longwood 60.0% +0.62 71 30
108 Loyola Marymount 60.0% +0.62 70 30
109 Morehead State 60.0% +0.62 70 30
110 Old Dominion 60.0% +0.62 70 30
111 Seattle U 60.0% +0.62 70 30
112 UNC Greensboro 60.0% +0.62 69 30
113 Vanderbilt 59.5% +0.58 69 37
114 Howard 59.4% +0.58 69 32
115 Eastern Kentucky 58.8% +0.55 69 34
116 San José State 58.8% +0.55 68 34
117 Oregon 58.3% +0.52 68 36
118 Cal State Fullerton 58.1% +0.51 68 31
119 South Dakota State 58.1% +0.51 67 31
120 UNLV 58.1% +0.51 67 31
121 Cornell 57.7% +0.48 67 26
122 Iowa 57.6% +0.48 67 33
123 Iowa State 57.6% +0.48 66 33
124 San Francisco 57.6% +0.48 66 33
125 Wake Forest 57.6% +0.48 66 33
126 Wisconsin 57.1% +0.45 65 35
127 Lipscomb 56.7% +0.43 65 30
128 Navy 56.7% +0.43 65 30
129 Troy 56.7% +0.43 65 30
130 Alcorn State 56.3% +0.40 64 32
131 Ohio 56.3% +0.40 64 32
132 Radford 55.9% +0.38 64 34
133 Rutgers 55.9% +0.38 64 34
134 UCF 55.9% +0.38 63 34
135 Virginia Tech 55.9% +0.38 63 34
136 West Virginia 55.9% +0.38 63 34
137 Oklahoma State 55.6% +0.36 62 36
138 Pennsylvania 55.2% +0.34 62 29
139 Stephen F. Austin 55.2% +0.34 62 29
140 Middle Tennessee 54.8% +0.32 62 31
141 St. Thomas-Minnesota 54.8% +0.32 61 31
142 UMBC 54.8% +0.32 61 31
143 St. John's 54.5% +0.31 61 33
144 Fairleigh Dickinson 54.3% +0.29 60 35
145 North Carolina Central 53.8% +0.27 60 26
146 Bryant 53.6% +0.25 60 28
147 Montana 53.3% +0.24 60 30
148 SIU Edwardsville 53.3% +0.24 59 30
149 UC Davis 53.3% +0.24 59 30
150 American University 53.1% +0.23 59 32
151 BYU 53.1% +0.23 59 32
152 Siena 53.1% +0.23 58 32
153 Syracuse 53.1% +0.23 58 32
154 Utah 53.1% +0.23 58 32
155 Wichita State 53.1% +0.23 57 32
156 Michigan 52.9% +0.21 57 34
157 Brown 51.9% +0.15 57 27
158 Maryland Eastern Shore 51.9% +0.15 57 27
159 Rider 51.7% +0.15 56 29
160 SE Louisiana 51.7% +0.15 56 29
161 Stetson 51.7% +0.15 56 29
162 UT Martin 51.7% +0.15 56 29
163 Drexel 51.6% +0.14 55 31
164 Florida Gulf Coast 51.6% +0.14 55 31
165 Missouri State 51.6% +0.14 55 31
166 Murray State 51.6% +0.14 54 31
167 Weber State 51.6% +0.14 54 31
168 Wright State 51.6% +0.14 54 31
169 South Alabama 51.5% +0.13 54 33
170 Colorado 51.4% +0.13 53 35
171 Delaware 50.0% +0.05 53 32
172 Georgia 50.0% +0.05 53 32
173 Lehigh 50.0% +0.05 52 28
174 Merrimack 50.0% +0.05 52 32
175 Nebraska 50.0% +0.05 52 32
176 Niagara 50.0% +0.05 52 30
177 North Alabama 50.0% +0.05 51 30
178 Purdue Fort Wayne 50.0% +0.05 51 30
179 Rice 50.0% +0.05 51 32
180 Seton Hall 50.0% +0.05 51 32
181 Southeast Missouri State 50.0% +0.05 50 34
182 Temple 50.0% +0.05 50 32
183 Tennessee State 50.0% +0.05 50 28
184 Texas Tech 50.0% +0.05 49 32
185 Villanova 50.0% +0.05 49 34
186 Wagner 50.0% +0.05 49 26
187 Washington 50.0% +0.05 49 32
188 Washington State 50.0% +0.05 48 34
189 Queens University 50.0% +0.05 48 30
190 Boston College 48.5% -0.04 48 33
191 East Carolina 48.5% -0.04 48 33
192 Florida 48.5% -0.04 47 33
193 Saint Joseph's 48.5% -0.04 47 33
194 Army 48.4% -0.04 47 31
195 California Baptist 48.4% -0.04 46 31
196 Davidson 48.4% -0.04 46 31
197 George Washington 48.4% -0.04 46 31
198 Long Beach State 48.4% -0.04 46 31
199 Massachusetts 48.4% -0.04 45 31
200 Western Carolina 48.4% -0.04 45 31
201 Western Kentucky 48.4% -0.04 45 31
202 Western Illinois 48.1% -0.06 44 27
203 Chattanooga 46.9% -0.13 44 32
204 Oklahoma 46.9% -0.13 44 32
205 Sacred Heart 46.9% -0.13 44 32
206 Georgia Southern 46.7% -0.14 43 30
207 South Carolina Upstate 46.7% -0.14 43 30
208 Wofford 46.7% -0.14 43 30
209 New Hampshire 46.4% -0.15 43 28
210 Harvard 46.2% -0.17 42 26
211 Ohio State 45.7% -0.20 42 35
212 Richmond 45.5% -0.21 42 33
213 Boston University 45.2% -0.23 41 31
214 North Dakota State 45.2% -0.23 41 31
215 Pacific 45.2% -0.23 41 31
216 Robert Morris 45.2% -0.23 41 31
217 App State 44.8% -0.25 40 29
218 Gardner-Webb 44.8% -0.25 40 29
219 Nicholls 44.4% -0.27 40 27
220 La Salle 44.1% -0.29 40 34
221 Air Force 43.8% -0.31 39 32
222 Butler 43.8% -0.31 39 32
223 Campbell 43.8% -0.31 39 32
224 Colorado State 43.8% -0.31 38 32
225 South Florida 43.8% -0.31 38 32
226 St. Bonaventure 43.8% -0.31 38 32
227 Texas State 43.8% -0.31 38 32
228 Buffalo 43.3% -0.33 37 30
229 Denver 43.3% -0.33 37 30
230 Southern 43.3% -0.33 37 30
231 Stonehill 43.3% -0.33 36 30
232 Tarleton State 43.3% -0.33 36 30
233 Tennessee Tech 43.3% -0.33 36 30
234 Winthrop 43.3% -0.33 36 30
235 Southern Indiana 43.3% -0.33 35 30
236 St. Francis Brooklyn 42.9% -0.36 35 28
237 Jackson State 42.4% -0.38 35 33
238 LSU 42.4% -0.38 35 33
239 Stanford 42.4% -0.38 34 33
240 Georgia Tech 41.9% -0.41 34 31
241 Northern Iowa 41.9% -0.41 34 31
242 Saint Peter's 41.9% -0.41 33 31
243 High Point 41.4% -0.44 33 29
244 North Florida 41.4% -0.44 33 29
245 Morgan State 40.7% -0.48 33 27
246 Detroit Mercy 40.6% -0.48 32 32
247 Alabama A&M 40.0% -0.52 32 30
248 Bellarmine 40.0% -0.52 32 30
249 Fairfield 40.0% -0.52 31 30
250 Florida International 40.0% -0.52 31 30
251 Louisiana Tech 40.0% -0.52 31 30
252 Northern Illinois 40.0% -0.52 31 30
253 Sacramento State 40.0% -0.52 30 30
254 UTEP 40.0% -0.52 30 30
255 Marist 39.4% -0.55 30 33
256 Maine 39.3% -0.56 30 28
257 UT Rio Grande Valley 39.3% -0.56 29 28
258 Mercer 38.7% -0.59 29 31
259 Northern Colorado 38.7% -0.59 29 31
260 Oakland 38.7% -0.59 28 31
261 Portland 38.7% -0.59 28 31
262 Jacksonville 38.5% -0.61 28 26
263 Binghamton 37.9% -0.64 28 29
264 Manhattan 37.9% -0.64 27 29
265 Saint Francis 37.9% -0.64 27 29
266 East Texas A&M 37.5% -0.66 27 32
267 Mount St. Mary's 37.5% -0.66 27 32
268 Prairie View A&M 36.7% -0.71 26 30
269 Utah Tech 36.7% -0.71 26 30
270 Ole Miss 36.4% -0.73 26 33
271 Texas Southern 36.4% -0.73 25 33
272 Jacksonville State 35.7% -0.76 25 28
273 Bucknell 35.5% -0.78 25 31
274 Loyola Maryland 35.5% -0.78 25 31
275 North Dakota 35.5% -0.78 24 31
276 UIC 35.5% -0.78 24 31
277 William & Mary 35.5% -0.78 24 31
278 Abilene Christian 34.6% -0.82 23 26
279 North Carolina A&T 34.5% -0.83 23 29
280 Portland State 34.5% -0.83 23 29
281 South Dakota 34.5% -0.83 23 29
282 Illinois State 34.4% -0.84 22 32
283 Notre Dame 34.4% -0.84 22 32
284 South Carolina 34.4% -0.84 22 32
285 Arkansas State 33.3% -0.90 22 30
286 Bethune-Cookman 33.3% -0.90 21 30
287 East Tennessee State 33.3% -0.90 21 30
288 Fresno State 33.3% -0.90 21 30
289 Kansas City 33.3% -0.90 20 30
290 New Orleans 33.3% -0.90 20 30
291 Northeastern 33.3% -0.90 20 30
292 Lafayette 32.4% -0.95 20 34
293 Loyola Chicago 32.3% -0.96 19 31
294 Oregon State 32.3% -0.96 19 31
295 Valparaiso 32.3% -0.96 19 31
296 Incarnate Word 32.1% -0.97 19 28
297 Central Connecticut 31.3% -1.02 18 32
298 SMU 31.3% -1.02 18 32
299 Bowling Green 31.0% -1.03 18 29
300 Canisius 31.0% -1.03 17 29
301 Miami (OH) 31.0% -1.03 17 29
302 San Diego 31.0% -1.03 17 29
303 Dartmouth 30.8% -1.04 17 26
304 DePaul 30.3% -1.07 16 33
305 McNeese 30.3% -1.07 16 33
306 Northern Arizona 30.3% -1.07 16 33
307 Idaho State 30.0% -1.09 15 30
308 Cal State Bakersfield 29.0% -1.14 15 31
309 Minnesota 29.0% -1.14 15 31
310 Rhode Island 29.0% -1.14 15 31
311 Stony Brook 29.0% -1.14 14 31
312 The Citadel 29.0% -1.14 14 31
313 Coastal Carolina 28.6% -1.17 14 28
314 New Mexico State 28.6% -1.17 14 21
315 UC San Diego 28.6% -1.17 13 28
316 Coppin State 28.1% -1.19 13 32
317 Florida State 28.1% -1.19 13 32
318 Central Michigan 27.6% -1.22 12 29
319 Charleston Southern 27.6% -1.22 12 29
320 Little Rock 27.6% -1.22 12 29
321 UL Monroe 27.6% -1.22 12 29
322 UT Arlington 27.6% -1.22 11 29
323 Lindenwood 27.6% -1.22 11 29
324 Central Arkansas 26.7% -1.28 11 30
325 Holy Cross 26.7% -1.28 10 30
326 Idaho 26.7% -1.28 10 30
327 UTSA 26.7% -1.28 10 30
328 Wyoming 26.7% -1.28 10 30
329 Chicago State 25.9% -1.32 9 27
330 Omaha 25.8% -1.32 9 31
331 Georgia State 25.0% -1.37 9 28
332 Eastern Illinois 24.1% -1.42 9 29
333 Houston Christian 24.1% -1.42 8 29
334 Pepperdine 24.1% -1.42 8 29
335 Alabama State 23.3% -1.46 8 30
336 Eastern Michigan 23.3% -1.46 7 30
337 Hampton 22.6% -1.51 7 31
338 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 22.2% -1.53 7 27
339 Georgetown 21.9% -1.55 7 32
340 Austin Peay 21.4% -1.57 6 28
341 Lamar 21.4% -1.57 6 28
342 Monmouth 21.2% -1.59 6 33
343 NJIT 20.7% -1.61 6 29
344 UAlbany 20.7% -1.61 5 29
345 Elon 20.0% -1.65 5 30
346 Cal Poly 19.4% -1.69 5 31
347 Columbia 18.5% -1.74 4 27
348 Florida A&M 18.5% -1.74 4 27
349 Delaware State 17.9% -1.78 4 28
350 Western Michigan 17.9% -1.78 4 28
351 Cal State Northridge 16.7% -1.84 3 30
352 Tulsa 16.7% -1.84 3 30
353 Evansville 15.6% -1.90 3 32
354 Mississippi Valley State 15.6% -1.90 2 32
355 VMI 13.8% -2.01 2 29
356 South Carolina State 13.3% -2.03 2 30
357 Louisville 12.5% -2.08 2 32
358 IU Indianapolis 10.0% -2.22 1 30
359 Presbyterian 10.0% -2.22 1 30
360 California 9.4% -2.26 1 32
361 Green Bay 9.4% -2.26 1 32
362 Hartford 8.0% -2.34 0 25
363 Long Island University 3.7% -2.58 0 27