You pay for this but they give you that. "Hey Hey, My My" - Neil Young
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True Shooting Percentage

Scoring efficiency across 2s, 3s, and free throws combined.

Points ÷ (2 × (FGA + 0.475×FTA)). The denominator estimates true scoring attempts: 0.475×FTA converts free-throw trips into the shot attempts they replaced. Unlike FG% or eFG%, it rewards drawing fouls.

Higher is better  ·  league avg 53.6%  ·  as of 2023-04-04

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Predicts home win: AUC 0.65 (team entering with the better value wins 61% of games)

Based on 5499 of 5721 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 46.3% max 59.8% mean 53.6% std 2.5% (n=363)

Team Rankings

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# Team True Shooting Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Toledo 59.8% +2.43 100 34
2 Gonzaga 59.7% +2.40 100 36
3 Indiana State 59.6% +2.35 99 35
4 Colgate 59.5% +2.33 99 34
5 Eastern Washington 59.2% +2.20 99 33
6 Arizona 59.1% +2.16 99 35
7 Utah State 59.0% +2.14 98 34
8 Winthrop 59.0% +2.13 98 30
9 Oral Roberts 58.2% +1.81 98 31
10 Marquette 58.2% +1.81 98 36
11 Furman 58.1% +1.78 97 33
12 Youngstown State 58.0% +1.74 97 32
13 Missouri 58.0% +1.73 97 35
14 Portland 57.9% +1.69 96 31
15 Miami 57.9% +1.68 96 37
16 Xavier 57.8% +1.64 96 37
17 Colorado State 57.7% +1.62 96 32
18 Samford 57.7% +1.61 95 28
19 Clemson 57.7% +1.61 95 34
20 Liberty 57.6% +1.58 95 33
21 Charlotte 57.6% +1.57 94 36
22 Creighton 57.6% +1.56 94 37
23 Penn State 57.5% +1.53 94 37
24 Belmont 57.5% +1.53 94 31
25 Wake Forest 57.4% +1.51 93 33
26 Montana 57.4% +1.47 93 30
27 UC Santa Barbara 57.3% +1.47 93 33
28 UConn 57.3% +1.45 93 39
29 Hofstra 57.2% +1.41 92 34
30 Cornell 57.2% +1.41 92 26
31 Vermont 57.1% +1.37 92 33
32 Air Force 57.0% +1.34 91 32
33 Baylor 57.0% +1.32 91 34
34 Florida Atlantic 57.0% +1.32 91 37
35 San Francisco 56.9% +1.31 91 33
36 UMass Lowell 56.9% +1.30 90 32
37 Utah Tech 56.8% +1.26 90 30
38 UNC Asheville 56.8% +1.25 90 33
39 Chattanooga 56.8% +1.25 90 32
40 Memphis 56.7% +1.22 89 35
41 American University 56.7% +1.21 89 32
42 Tulane 56.6% +1.19 89 31
43 George Washington 56.6% +1.18 88 31
44 Virginia Tech 56.6% +1.18 88 34
45 New Mexico 56.6% +1.17 88 33
46 Stetson 56.5% +1.15 88 29
47 Texas 56.5% +1.15 87 38
48 Norfolk State 56.5% +1.13 87 29
49 Lipscomb 56.4% +1.09 87 30
50 Army 56.4% +1.09 86 31
51 Pennsylvania 56.3% +1.08 86 29
52 Rice 56.3% +1.07 86 32
53 Ball State 56.2% +1.04 86 30
54 Idaho 56.2% +1.03 85 30
55 Drake 56.2% +1.02 85 34
56 Pittsburgh 56.2% +1.02 85 36
57 Kansas State 56.2% +1.02 85 36
58 Miami (OH) 56.2% +1.00 84 29
59 Indiana 56.1% +1.00 84 35
60 Grand Canyon 56.1% +1.00 84 33
61 Denver 56.1% +0.99 83 30
62 Wright State 56.1% +0.97 83 31
63 North Florida 56.0% +0.94 83 29
64 Dayton 56.0% +0.93 83 34
65 Pacific 55.9% +0.92 82 31
66 New Orleans 55.9% +0.92 82 30
67 Montana State 55.9% +0.92 82 33
68 Southern Utah 55.9% +0.90 81 33
69 Villanova 55.9% +0.89 81 34
70 Nevada 55.9% +0.89 81 32
71 Campbell 55.9% +0.88 81 32
72 Northern Colorado 55.8% +0.88 80 31
73 Purdue 55.8% +0.87 80 35
74 St. Thomas-Minnesota 55.7% +0.84 80 31
75 West Virginia 55.7% +0.83 80 34
76 Alabama 55.7% +0.83 79 37
77 Akron 55.7% +0.82 79 31
78 Texas Tech 55.6% +0.80 79 32
79 Loyola Chicago 55.6% +0.77 78 31
80 Kansas 55.5% +0.75 78 36
81 Oklahoma 55.5% +0.74 78 32
82 South Dakota State 55.5% +0.74 78 31
83 Louisiana 55.5% +0.73 77 31
84 VCU 55.5% +0.73 77 35
85 Houston Christian 55.5% +0.73 77 29
86 Utah Valley 55.5% +0.73 77 34
87 Yale 55.4% +0.73 76 28
88 Wofford 55.4% +0.71 76 30
89 Loyola Marymount 55.4% +0.70 76 30
90 Bryant 55.3% +0.68 75 28
91 Ohio 55.3% +0.66 75 32
92 Houston 55.3% +0.66 75 37
93 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 55.3% +0.66 75 31
94 Stephen F. Austin 55.2% +0.64 74 29
95 Kennesaw State 55.2% +0.62 74 32
96 UT Rio Grande Valley 55.2% +0.61 74 28
97 Iowa 55.1% +0.61 73 33
98 Santa Clara 55.1% +0.60 73 32
99 Providence 55.1% +0.59 73 33
100 Saint Louis 55.1% +0.59 73 32
101 Princeton 55.1% +0.58 72 30
102 Florida International 55.0% +0.56 72 30
103 North Texas 55.0% +0.55 72 36
104 Syracuse 55.0% +0.54 72 32
105 USC 55.0% +0.54 71 33
106 James Madison 55.0% +0.54 71 30
107 Stanford 55.0% +0.53 71 33
108 East Texas A&M 54.9% +0.53 70 32
109 Marshall 54.9% +0.52 70 31
110 Michigan State 54.9% +0.52 70 34
111 Milwaukee 54.9% +0.52 70 31
112 Howard 54.9% +0.52 69 32
113 Ohio State 54.9% +0.52 69 35
114 Boise State 54.9% +0.52 69 33
115 Weber State 54.9% +0.51 69 31
116 San Diego 54.9% +0.51 68 29
117 Bellarmine 54.9% +0.50 68 30
118 Richmond 54.9% +0.49 68 33
119 Wyoming 54.8% +0.49 67 30
120 BYU 54.8% +0.49 67 32
121 Saint Francis 54.8% +0.49 67 29
122 Queens University 54.8% +0.48 67 30
123 Detroit Mercy 54.8% +0.48 66 32
124 North Dakota State 54.8% +0.47 66 31
125 Notre Dame 54.8% +0.47 66 32
126 Charleston 54.8% +0.47 65 34
127 Saint Mary's 54.8% +0.46 65 34
128 Duke 54.8% +0.46 65 36
129 Iona 54.8% +0.45 65 35
130 Southern Illinois 54.7% +0.45 64 32
131 South Alabama 54.7% +0.44 64 33
132 Stonehill 54.7% +0.43 64 30
133 Coppin State 54.7% +0.42 64 32
134 Pepperdine 54.6% +0.41 63 29
135 Bradley 54.6% +0.40 63 34
136 Fairleigh Dickinson 54.6% +0.39 63 35
137 SE Louisiana 54.6% +0.38 62 29
138 UC Irvine 54.6% +0.37 62 33
139 Michigan 54.5% +0.37 62 34
140 Illinois State 54.5% +0.36 62 32
141 Maryland 54.5% +0.35 61 35
142 Arkansas 54.5% +0.34 61 36
143 UMBC 54.4% +0.33 61 31
144 Northern Illinois 54.4% +0.32 60 30
145 Tennessee Tech 54.4% +0.32 60 30
146 Virginia 54.4% +0.31 60 33
147 George Mason 54.4% +0.30 60 33
148 Florida Gulf Coast 54.3% +0.29 59 31
149 Southern Miss 54.3% +0.29 59 30
150 Texas A&M 54.3% +0.28 59 35
151 UAB 54.3% +0.27 59 38
152 North Carolina Central 54.3% +0.26 58 26
153 Illinois 54.2% +0.23 58 33
154 Northern Iowa 54.1% +0.22 58 31
155 Kent State 54.1% +0.20 57 33
156 NC State 54.1% +0.20 57 34
157 Bucknell 54.1% +0.19 57 31
158 UT Martin 54.1% +0.19 57 29
159 UCLA 54.0% +0.18 56 37
160 UC Davis 54.0% +0.17 56 30
161 Southeast Missouri State 54.0% +0.16 56 33
162 Oregon 54.0% +0.16 56 36
163 UCF 54.0% +0.16 55 34
164 Idaho State 54.0% +0.16 55 30
165 Towson 54.0% +0.15 55 33
166 Davidson 54.0% +0.14 54 31
167 Temple 53.9% +0.13 54 32
168 Tennessee State 53.9% +0.12 54 28
169 Wichita State 53.9% +0.11 54 32
170 UNC Greensboro 53.9% +0.11 53 30
171 Louisiana Tech 53.8% +0.10 53 30
172 Cincinnati 53.8% +0.09 53 35
173 Northwestern State 53.8% +0.09 52 32
174 Navy 53.8% +0.07 52 30
175 Kentucky 53.8% +0.06 52 34
176 Middle Tennessee 53.7% +0.05 52 31
177 Radford 53.7% +0.04 51 34
178 Longwood 53.7% +0.04 51 30
179 Bowling Green 53.7% +0.03 51 29
180 North Alabama 53.7% +0.02 51 30
181 South Dakota 53.6% +0.01 50 29
182 Northern Arizona 53.6% +0.01 50 33
183 Nebraska 53.6% -0.00 50 32
184 Jacksonville 53.6% -0.01 49 26
185 Jacksonville State 53.6% -0.01 49 28
186 Lehigh 53.6% -0.01 49 28
187 Sacramento State 53.6% -0.02 49 30
188 Sam Houston 53.6% -0.02 48 30
189 North Carolina 53.5% -0.03 48 33
190 Purdue Fort Wayne 53.5% -0.03 48 30
191 Duquesne 53.5% -0.03 48 33
192 North Dakota 53.5% -0.03 47 31
193 Niagara 53.5% -0.04 47 30
194 Saint Joseph's 53.5% -0.04 47 33
195 Portland State 53.5% -0.05 46 29
196 UNC Wilmington 53.5% -0.05 46 32
197 Maine 53.4% -0.06 46 28
198 Oakland 53.4% -0.07 46 31
199 Washington State 53.4% -0.08 45 34
200 Delaware 53.4% -0.09 45 32
201 Eastern Michigan 53.3% -0.11 45 30
202 Charleston Southern 53.3% -0.11 44 29
203 Loyola Maryland 53.3% -0.12 44 31
204 Siena 53.3% -0.12 44 32
205 TCU 53.3% -0.13 44 35
206 New Mexico State 53.2% -0.14 43 21
207 SIU Edwardsville 53.2% -0.17 43 30
208 UNLV 53.2% -0.17 43 31
209 Western Illinois 53.1% -0.18 43 27
210 Cal State Fullerton 53.1% -0.19 42 31
211 East Tennessee State 53.1% -0.20 42 30
212 Southern Indiana 53.1% -0.21 42 30
213 South Florida 53.1% -0.21 41 32
214 UC Riverside 53.0% -0.22 41 33
215 Florida 53.0% -0.22 41 33
216 Fordham 53.0% -0.23 41 33
217 South Carolina Upstate 53.0% -0.23 40 30
218 Tennessee 53.0% -0.23 40 36
219 Auburn 53.0% -0.24 40 34
220 San Diego State 53.0% -0.24 40 38
221 Morehead State 53.0% -0.25 39 30
222 DePaul 53.0% -0.25 39 33
223 Murray State 53.0% -0.25 39 31
224 Western Kentucky 52.9% -0.27 38 31
225 Vanderbilt 52.9% -0.27 38 37
226 Little Rock 52.9% -0.27 38 29
227 Rider 52.9% -0.28 38 29
228 The Citadel 52.9% -0.28 37 31
229 Abilene Christian 52.9% -0.29 37 26
230 Gardner-Webb 52.9% -0.29 37 29
231 Dartmouth 52.9% -0.29 36 26
232 Brown 52.8% -0.30 36 27
233 Troy 52.8% -0.31 36 30
234 Buffalo 52.8% -0.31 36 30
235 Grambling 52.8% -0.33 35 31
236 Washington 52.8% -0.33 35 32
237 IU Indianapolis 52.8% -0.33 35 30
238 Seton Hall 52.7% -0.34 35 32
239 UC San Diego 52.7% -0.35 34 28
240 Florida State 52.7% -0.35 34 32
241 Hawai'i 52.7% -0.36 34 32
242 Incarnate Word 52.7% -0.36 33 28
243 Omaha 52.7% -0.36 33 31
244 Fresno State 52.7% -0.36 33 30
245 High Point 52.7% -0.36 33 29
246 Quinnipiac 52.7% -0.37 32 31
247 Butler 52.6% -0.39 32 32
248 San José State 52.6% -0.39 32 34
249 Binghamton 52.6% -0.40 31 29
250 Tarleton State 52.6% -0.41 31 30
251 Western Carolina 52.6% -0.41 31 31
252 Chicago State 52.4% -0.47 31 27
253 Southern 52.4% -0.49 30 30
254 Iowa State 52.3% -0.50 30 33
255 Harvard 52.3% -0.50 30 26
256 Nicholls 52.3% -0.51 30 27
257 Robert Morris 52.2% -0.53 29 31
258 St. John's 52.2% -0.54 29 33
259 St. Bonaventure 52.2% -0.54 29 32
260 Cleveland State 52.2% -0.55 28 33
261 Drexel 52.2% -0.55 28 31
262 Valparaiso 52.2% -0.55 28 31
263 Lindenwood 52.1% -0.58 28 29
264 Utah 52.1% -0.58 27 32
265 William & Mary 52.1% -0.59 27 31
266 Louisville 52.0% -0.61 27 32
267 Oklahoma State 52.0% -0.61 27 36
268 UTSA 52.0% -0.62 26 30
269 Western Michigan 52.0% -0.62 26 28
270 Colorado 52.0% -0.63 26 35
271 Missouri State 52.0% -0.65 25 31
272 Northern Kentucky 51.9% -0.65 25 33
273 Boston College 51.9% -0.66 25 33
274 Texas State 51.9% -0.66 25 32
275 Manhattan 51.9% -0.68 24 29
276 Georgia 51.8% -0.69 24 32
277 Mercer 51.8% -0.72 24 31
278 Mount St. Mary's 51.7% -0.73 23 32
279 Coastal Carolina 51.7% -0.73 23 28
280 Merrimack 51.7% -0.74 23 32
281 Canisius 51.7% -0.74 23 29
282 California Baptist 51.7% -0.76 22 31
283 Long Beach State 51.6% -0.77 22 31
284 McNeese 51.6% -0.79 22 33
285 UIC 51.6% -0.80 22 31
286 Arizona State 51.5% -0.82 21 36
287 Alabama A&M 51.4% -0.87 21 30
288 La Salle 51.4% -0.88 21 34
289 UTEP 51.4% -0.88 20 30
290 Stony Brook 51.3% -0.88 20 31
291 LSU 51.3% -0.91 20 33
292 Northwestern 51.3% -0.91 20 34
293 Lamar 51.2% -0.94 19 28
294 Maryland Eastern Shore 51.2% -0.95 19 27
295 Georgia Southern 51.2% -0.95 19 30
296 App State 51.1% -0.97 19 29
297 UAlbany 51.1% -0.97 18 29
298 Minnesota 51.1% -0.98 18 31
299 Oregon State 51.1% -1.00 18 31
300 Sacred Heart 51.0% -1.01 17 32
301 Boston University 51.0% -1.02 17 30
302 Marist 51.0% -1.02 17 33
303 Rutgers 51.0% -1.03 17 34
304 Arkansas State 51.0% -1.03 16 30
305 NJIT 51.0% -1.04 16 29
306 Wisconsin 50.9% -1.05 16 35
307 East Carolina 50.9% -1.06 15 33
308 Georgia Tech 50.9% -1.06 15 31
309 Elon 50.9% -1.07 15 30
310 Morgan State 50.8% -1.08 15 27
311 Northeastern 50.8% -1.10 14 30
312 Eastern Kentucky 50.7% -1.13 14 34
313 Central Connecticut 50.7% -1.14 14 32
314 VMI 50.7% -1.15 14 29
315 SMU 50.6% -1.17 13 32
316 Central Michigan 50.6% -1.17 13 29
317 Ole Miss 50.6% -1.18 13 33
318 Fairfield 50.6% -1.19 12 30
319 Georgetown 50.5% -1.20 12 32
320 Eastern Illinois 50.5% -1.20 12 29
321 Jackson State 50.5% -1.22 12 33
322 Lafayette 50.5% -1.22 11 34
323 North Carolina A&T 50.5% -1.23 11 29
324 Holy Cross 50.4% -1.25 11 30
325 Central Arkansas 50.4% -1.25 10 30
326 Massachusetts 50.2% -1.33 10 31
327 Seattle U 50.2% -1.34 10 30
328 Tulsa 50.2% -1.35 10 30
329 Old Dominion 50.1% -1.36 9 30
330 Bethune-Cookman 50.1% -1.37 9 30
331 Presbyterian 50.0% -1.42 9 30
332 Cal Poly 49.9% -1.43 9 31
333 Hartford 49.9% -1.46 8 25
334 Austin Peay 49.8% -1.50 8 28
335 Georgia State 49.7% -1.52 8 28
336 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 49.7% -1.53 7 27
337 Mississippi State 49.7% -1.53 7 34
338 South Carolina State 49.7% -1.53 7 30
339 Alcorn State 49.6% -1.56 7 32
340 Green Bay 49.6% -1.58 6 32
341 St. Francis Brooklyn 49.5% -1.60 6 28
342 South Carolina 49.5% -1.62 6 32
343 Texas Southern 49.4% -1.65 6 33
344 Rhode Island 49.3% -1.69 5 31
345 Mississippi Valley State 49.2% -1.72 5 32
346 Delaware State 49.1% -1.75 5 28
347 Cal State Northridge 49.1% -1.77 4 30
348 New Hampshire 49.1% -1.78 4 28
349 Columbia 48.9% -1.82 4 27
350 UL Monroe 48.9% -1.85 4 29
351 Cal State Bakersfield 48.9% -1.86 3 31
352 UT Arlington 48.8% -1.87 3 29
353 Long Island University 48.8% -1.90 3 27
354 Florida A&M 48.8% -1.90 2 27
355 Hampton 48.7% -1.91 2 31
356 Prairie View A&M 48.4% -2.05 2 30
357 California 47.9% -2.24 2 32
358 Wagner 47.8% -2.28 1 26
359 Kansas City 47.7% -2.31 1 30
360 Evansville 47.6% -2.34 1 32
361 Monmouth 47.4% -2.44 1 33
362 Saint Peter's 47.3% -2.47 0 31
363 Alabama State 46.3% -2.88 0 30