Tap turns on the water, see the waters flow. "Tap Turns on the Water" - C.C.S.

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Predicts home win: AUC 0.65 (team entering with the better value wins 61% of games)

Based on 5499 of 5721 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 42.4% max 58.1% mean 49.9% std 2.5% (n=363)

Team Rankings

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# Team Total Rebound Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Purdue 58.1% +3.31 100 35
2 Kentucky 56.7% +2.74 100 34
3 UConn 56.7% +2.72 99 39
4 Duke 55.7% +2.32 99 36
5 Saint Mary's 55.2% +2.13 99 34
6 UMass Lowell 55.1% +2.11 99 32
7 Houston 55.1% +2.10 98 37
8 San José State 55.1% +2.09 98 34
9 Tennessee 54.6% +1.91 98 36
10 Alabama 54.4% +1.82 98 37
11 Towson 54.4% +1.81 97 33
12 Arizona 54.2% +1.73 97 35
13 Sacramento State 54.2% +1.72 97 30
14 Providence 54.0% +1.66 96 33
15 Charleston 53.9% +1.63 96 34
16 BYU 53.9% +1.61 96 32
17 Xavier 53.9% +1.60 96 37
18 Florida Atlantic 53.8% +1.57 95 37
19 Dayton 53.8% +1.55 95 34
20 Oregon 53.7% +1.53 95 36
21 North Carolina 53.6% +1.50 94 33
22 Gonzaga 53.6% +1.49 94 36
23 Louisiana 53.6% +1.47 94 31
24 Texas A&M 53.4% +1.42 94 35
25 UAB 53.4% +1.42 93 38
26 Long Beach State 53.4% +1.41 93 31
27 Princeton 53.4% +1.39 93 30
28 UC Riverside 53.2% +1.34 93 33
29 Rider 53.2% +1.32 92 29
30 Mississippi State 53.1% +1.28 92 34
31 Santa Clara 53.1% +1.28 92 32
32 Yale 53.0% +1.25 91 28
33 Utah State 53.0% +1.24 91 34
34 St. John's 52.9% +1.21 91 33
35 Denver 52.9% +1.20 91 30
36 North Texas 52.9% +1.20 90 36
37 Eastern Washington 52.8% +1.18 90 33
38 Harvard 52.8% +1.18 90 26
39 Bradley 52.8% +1.18 90 34
40 Wagner 52.8% +1.18 89 26
41 Utah 52.8% +1.17 89 32
42 Illinois 52.8% +1.17 89 33
43 San Diego State 52.8% +1.17 88 38
44 Creighton 52.7% +1.11 88 37
45 Saint Louis 52.7% +1.11 88 32
46 Jacksonville State 52.6% +1.10 88 28
47 Bryant 52.6% +1.10 87 28
48 Oklahoma State 52.6% +1.08 87 36
49 Massachusetts 52.6% +1.07 87 31
50 Missouri State 52.5% +1.06 86 31
51 Loyola Marymount 52.5% +1.06 86 30
52 Colorado 52.5% +1.05 86 35
53 Iowa State 52.5% +1.04 86 33
54 Sam Houston 52.5% +1.02 85 30
55 Quinnipiac 52.4% +1.02 85 31
56 George Mason 52.4% +1.01 85 33
57 South Florida 52.4% +1.01 85 32
58 Norfolk State 52.4% +1.00 84 29
59 Pennsylvania 52.3% +0.97 84 29
60 Liberty 52.3% +0.97 84 33
61 Southern Indiana 52.3% +0.95 83 30
62 Northeastern 52.2% +0.94 83 30
63 Boise State 52.2% +0.94 83 33
64 Detroit Mercy 52.2% +0.94 83 32
65 Michigan State 52.2% +0.93 82 34
66 UCLA 52.2% +0.93 82 37
67 Stanford 52.2% +0.92 82 33
68 Kansas City 52.2% +0.92 81 30
69 Utah Valley 52.1% +0.89 81 34
70 Hawai'i 52.1% +0.88 81 32
71 Washington State 52.1% +0.87 81 34
72 West Virginia 52.0% +0.86 80 34
73 Ohio State 52.0% +0.85 80 35
74 Miami 52.0% +0.83 80 37
75 Fordham 52.0% +0.83 80 33
76 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 51.9% +0.80 79 31
77 Siena 51.9% +0.79 79 32
78 UNC Greensboro 51.8% +0.78 79 30
79 Western Michigan 51.8% +0.78 78 28
80 Texas Tech 51.8% +0.75 78 32
81 Rutgers 51.8% +0.74 78 34
82 Akron 51.8% +0.74 78 31
83 Army 51.7% +0.74 77 31
84 Drake 51.7% +0.72 77 34
85 North Carolina Central 51.7% +0.72 77 26
86 North Dakota State 51.7% +0.72 77 31
87 Arkansas 51.7% +0.72 76 36
88 UC Davis 51.7% +0.71 76 30
89 Longwood 51.7% +0.71 76 30
90 Ohio 51.7% +0.70 75 32
91 Old Dominion 51.7% +0.70 75 30
92 James Madison 51.6% +0.68 75 30
93 Baylor 51.5% +0.66 75 34
94 Wichita State 51.5% +0.65 74 32
95 Colgate 51.5% +0.64 74 34
96 Cincinnati 51.5% +0.63 74 35
97 East Carolina 51.5% +0.63 73 33
98 Clemson 51.5% +0.63 73 34
99 Boston University 51.4% +0.60 73 30
100 Iowa 51.3% +0.57 73 33
101 Eastern Kentucky 51.3% +0.57 72 34
102 Lipscomb 51.3% +0.56 72 30
103 Illinois State 51.3% +0.56 72 32
104 Gardner-Webb 51.3% +0.56 72 29
105 Mercer 51.3% +0.56 71 31
106 UCF 51.3% +0.56 71 34
107 Queens University 51.3% +0.55 71 30
108 Saint Peter's 51.3% +0.55 70 31
109 San Francisco 51.3% +0.55 70 33
110 Indiana State 51.2% +0.54 70 35
111 NC State 51.2% +0.53 70 34
112 Ball State 51.2% +0.52 69 30
113 California Baptist 51.2% +0.50 69 31
114 Ole Miss 51.1% +0.50 69 33
115 Jackson State 51.1% +0.50 69 33
116 UTEP 51.1% +0.49 68 30
117 Southern Utah 51.1% +0.49 68 33
118 Howard 51.1% +0.49 68 32
119 Southern Miss 51.1% +0.48 67 30
120 Maryland 51.1% +0.48 67 35
121 Morehead State 51.1% +0.48 67 30
122 Pittsburgh 51.1% +0.47 67 36
123 Youngstown State 51.1% +0.47 66 32
124 Texas State 51.1% +0.47 66 32
125 New Mexico 51.1% +0.46 66 33
126 Radford 51.1% +0.46 65 34
127 Bucknell 51.0% +0.45 65 31
128 Buffalo 51.0% +0.45 65 30
129 UC Irvine 51.0% +0.45 65 33
130 Drexel 51.0% +0.45 64 31
131 American University 51.0% +0.45 64 32
132 Indiana 51.0% +0.45 64 35
133 Michigan 51.0% +0.44 64 34
134 Navy 51.0% +0.44 63 30
135 Samford 51.0% +0.43 63 28
136 Binghamton 51.0% +0.43 63 29
137 Grand Canyon 50.9% +0.42 62 33
138 Furman 50.9% +0.40 62 33
139 Milwaukee 50.8% +0.37 62 31
140 Wright State 50.8% +0.37 62 31
141 Utah Tech 50.8% +0.35 61 30
142 UC Santa Barbara 50.8% +0.34 61 33
143 Kennesaw State 50.8% +0.34 61 32
144 Kansas 50.7% +0.34 60 36
145 Rhode Island 50.7% +0.33 60 31
146 Seattle U 50.7% +0.32 60 30
147 Grambling 50.7% +0.32 60 31
148 LSU 50.7% +0.31 59 33
149 TCU 50.7% +0.31 59 35
150 East Tennessee State 50.7% +0.30 59 30
151 Middle Tennessee 50.6% +0.29 59 31
152 SIU Edwardsville 50.6% +0.29 58 30
153 Chattanooga 50.5% +0.25 58 32
154 Kansas State 50.5% +0.25 58 36
155 Jacksonville 50.5% +0.23 57 26
156 Louisiana Tech 50.5% +0.22 57 30
157 Iona 50.4% +0.22 57 35
158 Memphis 50.4% +0.21 57 35
159 Stetson 50.4% +0.21 56 29
160 Montana State 50.4% +0.21 56 33
161 Auburn 50.4% +0.20 56 34
162 Temple 50.4% +0.20 56 32
163 Bowling Green 50.4% +0.19 55 29
164 Seton Hall 50.4% +0.19 55 32
165 Brown 50.3% +0.17 55 27
166 Prairie View A&M 50.3% +0.15 54 30
167 Robert Morris 50.3% +0.14 54 31
168 Murray State 50.2% +0.13 54 31
169 Alcorn State 50.2% +0.13 54 32
170 Texas Southern 50.2% +0.13 53 33
171 Kent State 50.2% +0.12 53 33
172 Virginia 50.2% +0.12 53 33
173 McNeese 50.2% +0.11 52 33
174 Delaware State 50.2% +0.10 52 28
175 Georgia 50.2% +0.10 52 32
176 VCU 50.1% +0.07 52 35
177 UT Rio Grande Valley 50.0% +0.04 51 28
178 Oklahoma 50.0% +0.03 51 32
179 Texas 49.9% +0.01 51 38
180 Arkansas State 49.9% -0.00 51 30
181 Charleston Southern 49.9% -0.00 50 29
182 Chicago State 49.9% -0.01 50 27
183 Marshall 49.9% -0.02 50 31
184 Stephen F. Austin 49.8% -0.03 49 29
185 Montana 49.8% -0.03 49 30
186 Charlotte 49.8% -0.04 49 36
187 Toledo 49.8% -0.04 49 34
188 UT Arlington 49.8% -0.05 48 29
189 UNC Wilmington 49.8% -0.06 48 32
190 Coastal Carolina 49.8% -0.06 48 28
191 UT Martin 49.7% -0.06 48 29
192 VMI 49.7% -0.07 47 29
193 High Point 49.7% -0.08 47 29
194 Wake Forest 49.7% -0.08 47 33
195 Georgia State 49.7% -0.09 46 28
196 UNC Asheville 49.7% -0.10 46 33
197 Wofford 49.7% -0.10 46 30
198 George Washington 49.7% -0.10 46 31
199 Purdue Fort Wayne 49.6% -0.11 45 30
200 Cleveland State 49.6% -0.11 45 33
201 USC 49.6% -0.11 45 33
202 Northern Iowa 49.6% -0.11 44 31
203 Virginia Tech 49.6% -0.11 44 34
204 Duquesne 49.6% -0.12 44 33
205 Northwestern 49.6% -0.13 44 34
206 Fairleigh Dickinson 49.6% -0.13 43 35
207 Lamar 49.6% -0.14 43 28
208 Troy 49.6% -0.14 43 30
209 Nevada 49.6% -0.14 43 32
210 La Salle 49.6% -0.14 42 34
211 Western Carolina 49.5% -0.15 42 31
212 Weber State 49.5% -0.16 42 31
213 Vanderbilt 49.5% -0.17 41 37
214 Central Connecticut 49.5% -0.18 41 32
215 Oral Roberts 49.4% -0.22 41 31
216 Boston College 49.3% -0.23 41 33
217 Cal Poly 49.3% -0.24 40 31
218 South Carolina 49.3% -0.25 40 32
219 Western Illinois 49.3% -0.25 40 27
220 Nebraska 49.3% -0.25 40 32
221 Fairfield 49.3% -0.25 39 30
222 UMBC 49.3% -0.26 39 31
223 New Mexico State 49.3% -0.26 39 21
224 Mount St. Mary's 49.3% -0.26 38 32
225 Niagara 49.3% -0.26 38 30
226 Louisville 49.2% -0.28 38 32
227 Cornell 49.2% -0.28 38 26
228 Presbyterian 49.2% -0.29 37 30
229 Wyoming 49.2% -0.30 37 30
230 Florida Gulf Coast 49.1% -0.32 37 31
231 Valparaiso 49.1% -0.33 36 31
232 UAlbany 49.1% -0.34 36 29
233 Georgetown 49.0% -0.35 36 32
234 Southern Illinois 49.0% -0.36 36 32
235 Rice 49.0% -0.36 35 32
236 Northern Colorado 49.0% -0.36 35 31
237 Villanova 49.0% -0.37 35 34
238 Syracuse 49.0% -0.37 35 32
239 Northern Arizona 49.0% -0.37 34 33
240 New Orleans 48.9% -0.39 34 30
241 Saint Joseph's 48.9% -0.42 34 33
242 Sacred Heart 48.9% -0.42 33 32
243 Northwestern State 48.9% -0.42 33 32
244 Marist 48.9% -0.42 33 33
245 Little Rock 48.8% -0.43 33 29
246 South Dakota 48.8% -0.44 32 29
247 Loyola Chicago 48.8% -0.44 32 31
248 Georgia Southern 48.8% -0.45 32 30
249 Central Michigan 48.8% -0.46 31 29
250 Campbell 48.8% -0.46 31 32
251 Arizona State 48.8% -0.46 31 36
252 St. Bonaventure 48.7% -0.49 31 32
253 IU Indianapolis 48.7% -0.49 30 30
254 Vermont 48.7% -0.49 30 33
255 St. Francis Brooklyn 48.7% -0.49 30 28
256 Davidson 48.7% -0.51 30 31
257 Saint Francis 48.6% -0.52 29 29
258 Tennessee State 48.6% -0.53 29 28
259 Cal State Bakersfield 48.6% -0.54 29 31
260 Dartmouth 48.5% -0.57 28 26
261 South Dakota State 48.5% -0.58 28 31
262 UTSA 48.5% -0.58 28 30
263 Belmont 48.5% -0.58 28 31
264 Richmond 48.4% -0.60 27 33
265 SE Louisiana 48.4% -0.62 27 29
266 San Diego 48.3% -0.64 27 29
267 Cal State Fullerton 48.3% -0.64 27 31
268 Northern Kentucky 48.3% -0.66 26 33
269 Penn State 48.2% -0.67 26 37
270 Stony Brook 48.2% -0.68 26 31
271 Georgia Tech 48.2% -0.68 25 31
272 SMU 48.2% -0.68 25 32
273 New Hampshire 48.2% -0.69 25 28
274 Pepperdine 48.2% -0.71 25 29
275 Canisius 48.2% -0.71 24 29
276 South Carolina State 48.1% -0.71 24 30
277 Lafayette 48.1% -0.73 24 34
278 William & Mary 48.1% -0.74 23 31
279 North Dakota 48.1% -0.75 23 31
280 App State 48.0% -0.76 23 29
281 Idaho State 48.0% -0.77 23 30
282 East Texas A&M 48.0% -0.77 22 32
283 Loyola Maryland 48.0% -0.78 22 31
284 Fresno State 48.0% -0.79 22 30
285 Western Kentucky 47.9% -0.81 22 31
286 Omaha 47.9% -0.82 21 31
287 UL Monroe 47.8% -0.84 21 29
288 Colorado State 47.8% -0.85 21 32
289 North Alabama 47.8% -0.85 20 30
290 Alabama State 47.8% -0.85 20 30
291 Cal State Northridge 47.8% -0.85 20 30
292 Oregon State 47.8% -0.86 20 31
293 Alabama A&M 47.7% -0.87 19 30
294 Air Force 47.7% -0.88 19 32
295 Southeast Missouri State 47.6% -0.91 19 33
296 Mississippi Valley State 47.6% -0.92 19 32
297 Portland 47.6% -0.92 18 31
298 Central Arkansas 47.6% -0.93 18 30
299 Hofstra 47.6% -0.93 18 34
300 Houston Christian 47.6% -0.94 17 29
301 Monmouth 47.6% -0.95 17 33
302 Minnesota 47.5% -0.95 17 31
303 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 47.5% -0.95 17 27
304 Wisconsin 47.5% -0.98 16 35
305 Elon 47.5% -0.98 16 30
306 UNLV 47.3% -1.04 16 31
307 Delaware 47.3% -1.04 15 32
308 Marquette 47.3% -1.04 15 36
309 St. Thomas-Minnesota 47.3% -1.05 15 31
310 Florida 47.3% -1.05 15 33
311 Miami (OH) 47.2% -1.07 14 29
312 Southern 47.2% -1.11 14 30
313 South Alabama 47.1% -1.11 14 33
314 Florida State 47.1% -1.12 14 32
315 North Carolina A&T 47.1% -1.12 13 29
316 North Florida 47.1% -1.13 13 29
317 UC San Diego 47.1% -1.14 13 28
318 Washington 47.1% -1.15 12 32
319 Tarleton State 47.0% -1.15 12 30
320 Florida A&M 47.0% -1.17 12 27
321 NJIT 47.0% -1.18 12 29
322 California 47.0% -1.19 11 32
323 Lehigh 47.0% -1.19 11 28
324 Tennessee Tech 46.9% -1.22 11 30
325 Winthrop 46.9% -1.23 10 30
326 Long Island University 46.8% -1.24 10 27
327 Maryland Eastern Shore 46.7% -1.28 10 27
328 Bellarmine 46.7% -1.31 10 30
329 Northern Illinois 46.6% -1.32 9 30
330 Nicholls 46.6% -1.34 9 27
331 Notre Dame 46.4% -1.39 9 32
332 Hampton 46.4% -1.40 9 31
333 South Carolina Upstate 46.4% -1.42 8 30
334 Eastern Illinois 46.3% -1.44 8 29
335 Abilene Christian 46.3% -1.47 8 26
336 Idaho 46.3% -1.47 7 30
337 Lindenwood 46.2% -1.51 7 29
338 Manhattan 46.1% -1.52 7 29
339 Maine 46.1% -1.53 7 28
340 Incarnate Word 46.0% -1.56 6 28
341 Eastern Michigan 45.8% -1.64 6 30
342 Pacific 45.7% -1.71 6 31
343 DePaul 45.7% -1.71 6 33
344 Morgan State 45.6% -1.74 5 27
345 Tulane 45.5% -1.78 5 31
346 Stonehill 45.4% -1.81 5 30
347 Holy Cross 45.4% -1.81 4 30
348 Hartford 45.4% -1.82 4 25
349 Columbia 45.4% -1.83 4 27
350 Bethune-Cookman 45.3% -1.87 4 30
351 UIC 45.3% -1.87 3 31
352 Austin Peay 45.3% -1.88 3 28
353 Tulsa 45.2% -1.88 3 30
354 Butler 45.2% -1.89 2 32
355 Oakland 45.2% -1.90 2 31
356 Evansville 45.1% -1.94 2 32
357 The Citadel 45.0% -1.96 2 31
358 Florida International 44.9% -2.02 1 30
359 Missouri 44.7% -2.11 1 35
360 Portland State 44.7% -2.11 1 29
361 Green Bay 43.6% -2.53 1 32
362 Merrimack 42.4% -3.02 0 32
363 Coppin State 42.4% -3.04 0 32