Tire tracks all across your back - I can see you've had your fun. "Crosstown Traffic"- Jimi Hendrix
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Turnover Rate

Share of possessions that end in a turnover.

Season turnovers ÷ season possessions. Possessions aren't in the box score, so they're estimated as FGA − OffReb + TO + 0.475×FTA (the standard estimator).

Lower is better  ·  league avg 18.2%  ·  as of 2023-04-04

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Predicts home win: AUC 0.59 (team entering with the better value wins 56% of games)

Based on 5499 of 5721 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 13.2% max 24.1% mean 18.2% std 2.0% (n=363)

Team Rankings

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# Team Turnover Rate z Pctl GP
1 Oral Roberts 13.2% -2.55 100 31
2 Wisconsin 13.3% -2.48 100 35
3 Notre Dame 13.4% -2.46 99 32
4 NC State 13.5% -2.41 99 34
5 Toledo 13.6% -2.35 99 34
6 Virginia 13.7% -2.31 99 33
7 Penn State 13.7% -2.31 98 37
8 Iowa 14.0% -2.14 98 33
9 Vermont 14.2% -2.02 98 33
10 South Alabama 14.6% -1.84 98 33
11 Northwestern 14.7% -1.78 97 34
12 Virginia Tech 14.8% -1.75 97 34
13 UMBC 14.8% -1.73 97 31
14 Gonzaga 14.9% -1.69 96 36
15 UCLA 14.9% -1.68 96 37
16 St. Thomas-Minnesota 15.0% -1.63 96 31
17 Tulane 15.1% -1.60 96 31
18 Oakland 15.1% -1.59 95 31
19 New Hampshire 15.1% -1.59 95 28
20 Colgate 15.1% -1.59 95 34
21 Cincinnati 15.1% -1.58 94 35
22 Michigan 15.2% -1.53 94 34
23 North Carolina 15.2% -1.53 94 33
24 Iona 15.2% -1.51 94 35
25 Marquette 15.3% -1.48 93 36
26 Western Illinois 15.3% -1.48 93 27
27 Nevada 15.3% -1.46 93 32
28 Houston 15.4% -1.43 93 37
29 Villanova 15.5% -1.39 92 34
30 Georgia Tech 15.5% -1.39 92 31
31 Marshall 15.5% -1.38 92 31
32 Drake 15.6% -1.35 91 34
33 New Mexico 15.6% -1.34 91 33
34 Youngstown State 15.6% -1.33 91 32
35 Western Carolina 15.8% -1.25 91 31
36 Furman 15.8% -1.25 90 33
37 Hampton 15.8% -1.24 90 31
38 North Alabama 15.8% -1.22 90 30
39 Northern Arizona 15.8% -1.22 90 33
40 Liberty 15.8% -1.22 89 33
41 Stetson 15.8% -1.21 89 29
42 Missouri 15.8% -1.21 89 35
43 Hofstra 15.9% -1.17 88 34
44 San Diego 16.0% -1.15 88 29
45 Vanderbilt 16.0% -1.14 88 37
46 NJIT 16.0% -1.14 88 29
47 Florida 16.0% -1.12 87 33
48 Miami 16.1% -1.08 87 37
49 Davidson 16.1% -1.06 87 31
50 Clemson 16.2% -1.05 86 34
51 Ohio 16.2% -1.04 86 32
52 Ohio State 16.2% -1.03 86 35
53 Wofford 16.2% -1.02 86 30
54 Kent State 16.2% -1.02 85 33
55 App State 16.3% -1.00 85 29
56 Pacific 16.3% -0.99 85 31
57 Murray State 16.3% -0.99 85 31
58 Georgia Southern 16.3% -0.99 84 30
59 Pittsburgh 16.4% -0.94 84 36
60 Yale 16.4% -0.94 84 28
61 Michigan State 16.4% -0.94 83 34
62 Fairleigh Dickinson 16.4% -0.94 83 35
63 Princeton 16.4% -0.92 83 30
64 Saint Mary's 16.4% -0.92 83 34
65 Maryland 16.4% -0.91 82 35
66 Texas 16.4% -0.91 82 38
67 Delaware 16.5% -0.86 82 32
68 Akron 16.6% -0.84 81 31
69 Creighton 16.6% -0.81 81 37
70 Cornell 16.7% -0.79 81 26
71 Indiana 16.7% -0.79 81 35
72 Charleston 16.7% -0.79 80 34
73 Boise State 16.7% -0.79 80 33
74 Belmont 16.7% -0.77 80 31
75 Portland State 16.7% -0.77 80 29
76 North Dakota 16.7% -0.77 79 31
77 TCU 16.7% -0.76 79 35
78 Eastern Kentucky 16.7% -0.76 79 34
79 Colorado State 16.7% -0.76 78 32
80 Providence 16.8% -0.73 78 33
81 Arizona State 16.8% -0.72 78 36
82 Seattle U 16.8% -0.72 78 30
83 Eastern Michigan 16.8% -0.70 77 30
84 UT Martin 16.9% -0.69 77 29
85 Syracuse 16.9% -0.67 77 32
86 SE Louisiana 16.9% -0.67 77 29
87 Florida Atlantic 16.9% -0.67 76 37
88 North Dakota State 16.9% -0.67 76 31
89 UC Santa Barbara 17.0% -0.62 76 33
90 Charlotte 17.0% -0.61 75 36
91 Rutgers 17.1% -0.60 75 34
92 Western Kentucky 17.1% -0.60 75 31
93 Richmond 17.1% -0.59 75 33
94 Indiana State 17.1% -0.58 74 35
95 South Dakota State 17.1% -0.58 74 31
96 Florida Gulf Coast 17.1% -0.56 74 31
97 Old Dominion 17.1% -0.56 73 30
98 Idaho 17.2% -0.55 73 30
99 Wake Forest 17.2% -0.54 73 33
100 Southeast Missouri State 17.2% -0.54 73 33
101 Xavier 17.2% -0.54 72 37
102 San Diego State 17.2% -0.53 72 38
103 Duquesne 17.2% -0.52 72 33
104 Cleveland State 17.2% -0.52 72 33
105 Saint Louis 17.3% -0.50 71 32
106 Montana 17.3% -0.50 71 30
107 Northwestern State 17.3% -0.50 71 32
108 Wright State 17.3% -0.49 70 31
109 UAB 17.3% -0.49 70 38
110 Tennessee State 17.3% -0.48 70 28
111 North Florida 17.3% -0.47 70 29
112 Idaho State 17.3% -0.47 69 30
113 Lipscomb 17.3% -0.46 69 30
114 Northern Kentucky 17.3% -0.46 69 33
115 Purdue 17.4% -0.45 69 35
116 Navy 17.4% -0.45 68 30
117 Abilene Christian 17.4% -0.45 68 26
118 South Dakota 17.4% -0.44 68 29
119 Northern Colorado 17.4% -0.43 67 31
120 Santa Clara 17.4% -0.42 67 32
121 North Carolina A&T 17.4% -0.41 67 29
122 Georgetown 17.4% -0.41 67 32
123 Austin Peay 17.4% -0.41 66 28
124 Canisius 17.5% -0.39 66 29
125 Lehigh 17.5% -0.39 66 28
126 Kansas 17.5% -0.37 65 36
127 Florida State 17.5% -0.37 65 32
128 Kentucky 17.5% -0.37 65 34
129 Chattanooga 17.5% -0.36 65 32
130 Holy Cross 17.5% -0.36 64 30
131 Butler 17.5% -0.36 64 32
132 Evansville 17.5% -0.36 64 32
133 UNLV 17.5% -0.35 64 31
134 Cal State Fullerton 17.6% -0.35 63 31
135 Bowling Green 17.6% -0.35 63 29
136 UC Irvine 17.6% -0.35 63 33
137 Queens University 17.6% -0.33 62 30
138 Auburn 17.6% -0.33 62 34
139 Detroit Mercy 17.6% -0.32 62 32
140 Utah State 17.6% -0.31 62 34
141 Northern Iowa 17.6% -0.31 61 31
142 George Washington 17.6% -0.30 61 31
143 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 17.7% -0.28 61 31
144 Louisiana 17.7% -0.27 60 31
145 Coastal Carolina 17.7% -0.27 60 28
146 Rider 17.7% -0.26 60 29
147 Central Connecticut 17.8% -0.24 60 32
148 Longwood 17.8% -0.23 59 30
149 Baylor 17.8% -0.23 59 34
150 Ball State 17.8% -0.22 59 30
151 Tennessee Tech 17.8% -0.21 59 30
152 Bradley 17.8% -0.21 58 34
153 Montana State 17.9% -0.20 58 33
154 Samford 17.9% -0.19 58 28
155 Lafayette 17.9% -0.17 57 34
156 Kennesaw State 17.9% -0.17 57 32
157 UNC Greensboro 17.9% -0.17 57 30
158 UC San Diego 17.9% -0.15 57 28
159 Drexel 17.9% -0.15 56 31
160 Little Rock 17.9% -0.15 56 29
161 Texas State 17.9% -0.15 56 32
162 SMU 18.0% -0.14 56 32
163 Campbell 18.0% -0.12 55 32
164 California Baptist 18.0% -0.12 55 31
165 UC Riverside 18.0% -0.11 55 33
166 Utah 18.0% -0.11 54 32
167 USC 18.0% -0.11 54 33
168 Rice 18.0% -0.11 54 32
169 Southern Miss 18.0% -0.11 54 30
170 Charleston Southern 18.0% -0.10 53 29
171 Boston University 18.1% -0.09 53 30
172 Fresno State 18.1% -0.09 53 30
173 Arkansas 18.1% -0.08 52 36
174 Marist 18.1% -0.08 52 33
175 The Citadel 18.1% -0.07 52 31
176 Central Arkansas 18.1% -0.07 52 30
177 Grand Canyon 18.1% -0.06 51 33
178 Quinnipiac 18.1% -0.06 51 31
179 Portland 18.1% -0.06 51 31
180 La Salle 18.1% -0.06 51 34
181 Valparaiso 18.1% -0.06 50 31
182 Fairfield 18.2% -0.04 50 30
183 Bellarmine 18.2% -0.03 50 30
184 Arkansas State 18.2% -0.03 49 30
185 Tennessee 18.2% -0.03 49 36
186 Mercer 18.2% -0.02 49 31
187 Ole Miss 18.2% -0.02 49 33
188 Saint Joseph's 18.2% -0.02 48 33
189 Wyoming 18.2% -0.01 48 30
190 Radford 18.2% -0.00 48 34
191 DePaul 18.2% -0.00 48 33
192 Wichita State 18.2% -0.00 47 32
193 Southern Indiana 18.3% +0.00 47 30
194 Duke 18.3% +0.00 47 36
195 Loyola Marymount 18.3% +0.02 46 30
196 Boston College 18.3% +0.03 46 33
197 Memphis 18.3% +0.03 46 35
198 Tarleton State 18.3% +0.03 46 30
199 Illinois 18.3% +0.05 45 33
200 Alcorn State 18.4% +0.05 45 32
201 Saint Francis 18.4% +0.06 45 29
202 Texas A&M 18.4% +0.06 44 35
203 Oregon 18.4% +0.06 44 36
204 LSU 18.4% +0.06 44 33
205 Elon 18.4% +0.06 44 30
206 Pepperdine 18.4% +0.07 43 29
207 Morehead State 18.4% +0.07 43 30
208 UIC 18.4% +0.08 43 31
209 New Mexico State 18.4% +0.08 43 21
210 Washington State 18.4% +0.08 42 34
211 Towson 18.4% +0.10 42 33
212 Arizona 18.5% +0.10 42 35
213 Omaha 18.5% +0.11 41 31
214 Bethune-Cookman 18.5% +0.12 41 30
215 West Virginia 18.5% +0.14 41 34
216 SIU Edwardsville 18.5% +0.14 41 30
217 Southern Utah 18.5% +0.14 40 33
218 Nicholls 18.6% +0.17 40 27
219 Hawai'i 18.6% +0.17 40 32
220 UL Monroe 18.6% +0.18 40 29
221 Troy 18.6% +0.18 39 30
222 San José State 18.6% +0.19 39 34
223 UNC Wilmington 18.6% +0.20 39 32
224 Alabama 18.7% +0.20 38 37
225 Niagara 18.7% +0.20 38 30
226 Sacred Heart 18.7% +0.21 38 32
227 James Madison 18.7% +0.21 38 30
228 Maine 18.7% +0.22 37 28
229 St. John's 18.7% +0.22 37 33
230 Nebraska 18.7% +0.23 37 32
231 Long Beach State 18.7% +0.24 36 31
232 William & Mary 18.8% +0.27 36 31
233 Pennsylvania 18.8% +0.28 36 29
234 Bryant 18.8% +0.28 36 28
235 UConn 18.8% +0.29 35 39
236 East Texas A&M 18.8% +0.30 35 32
237 St. Bonaventure 18.8% +0.30 35 32
238 Dayton 18.9% +0.32 35 34
239 Purdue Fort Wayne 18.9% +0.33 34 30
240 Stanford 18.9% +0.34 34 33
241 Brown 18.9% +0.34 34 27
242 Army 19.0% +0.38 33 31
243 Air Force 19.0% +0.38 33 32
244 Jacksonville 19.0% +0.40 33 26
245 Alabama State 19.0% +0.40 33 30
246 Colorado 19.1% +0.42 32 35
247 Wagner 19.1% +0.43 32 26
248 Tulsa 19.1% +0.43 32 30
249 Eastern Illinois 19.1% +0.44 31 29
250 Fordham 19.1% +0.45 31 33
251 UAlbany 19.2% +0.46 31 29
252 South Carolina Upstate 19.2% +0.47 31 30
253 Missouri State 19.2% +0.47 30 31
254 Weber State 19.2% +0.47 30 31
255 Western Michigan 19.2% +0.48 30 28
256 East Carolina 19.2% +0.49 30 33
257 Southern Illinois 19.3% +0.50 29 32
258 Kansas State 19.3% +0.52 29 36
259 Buffalo 19.3% +0.52 29 30
260 Utah Valley 19.3% +0.53 28 34
261 Georgia 19.3% +0.53 28 32
262 VMI 19.3% +0.54 28 29
263 Middle Tennessee 19.4% +0.56 28 31
264 Mississippi State 19.4% +0.56 27 34
265 East Tennessee State 19.4% +0.57 27 30
266 Binghamton 19.4% +0.57 27 29
267 Georgia State 19.4% +0.57 27 28
268 Siena 19.5% +0.62 26 32
269 Robert Morris 19.5% +0.62 26 31
270 UTSA 19.5% +0.63 26 30
271 Lindenwood 19.5% +0.64 25 29
272 UCF 19.6% +0.66 25 34
273 San Francisco 19.6% +0.66 25 33
274 Stony Brook 19.6% +0.66 25 31
275 Saint Peter's 19.6% +0.66 24 31
276 High Point 19.6% +0.67 24 29
277 Cal State Northridge 19.6% +0.67 24 30
278 Gardner-Webb 19.6% +0.67 23 29
279 Minnesota 19.6% +0.68 23 31
280 Iowa State 19.6% +0.68 23 33
281 Prairie View A&M 19.6% +0.69 23 30
282 South Florida 19.6% +0.69 22 32
283 Miami (OH) 19.6% +0.70 22 29
284 VCU 19.7% +0.71 22 35
285 North Texas 19.8% +0.76 22 36
286 Manhattan 19.8% +0.77 21 29
287 Stonehill 19.8% +0.78 21 30
288 Texas Tech 19.8% +0.79 21 32
289 Norfolk State 19.8% +0.79 20 29
290 South Carolina 19.8% +0.79 20 32
291 Washington 19.8% +0.80 20 32
292 Temple 19.8% +0.80 20 32
293 Kansas City 19.8% +0.80 19 30
294 Cal State Bakersfield 19.8% +0.80 19 31
295 Sam Houston 19.8% +0.80 19 30
296 Harvard 19.9% +0.81 19 26
297 Louisiana Tech 19.9% +0.82 18 30
298 Columbia 19.9% +0.82 18 27
299 Eastern Washington 19.9% +0.84 18 33
300 Oklahoma 19.9% +0.85 17 32
301 California 20.0% +0.87 17 32
302 Incarnate Word 20.0% +0.89 17 28
303 Coppin State 20.1% +0.91 17 32
304 Dartmouth 20.1% +0.93 16 26
305 UNC Asheville 20.1% +0.94 16 33
306 UMass Lowell 20.1% +0.94 16 32
307 Seton Hall 20.1% +0.94 15 32
308 BYU 20.2% +0.97 15 32
309 Massachusetts 20.2% +0.98 15 31
310 Northern Illinois 20.2% +0.99 15 30
311 Bucknell 20.2% +1.00 14 31
312 Texas Southern 20.2% +1.00 14 33
313 George Mason 20.2% +1.01 14 33
314 Jacksonville State 20.3% +1.03 14 28
315 Rhode Island 20.3% +1.05 13 31
316 Southern 20.4% +1.07 13 30
317 Loyola Maryland 20.4% +1.09 13 31
318 Florida International 20.5% +1.15 12 30
319 Winthrop 20.5% +1.15 12 30
320 Oklahoma State 20.6% +1.19 12 36
321 UC Davis 20.7% +1.21 12 30
322 Presbyterian 20.7% +1.25 11 30
323 Oregon State 20.8% +1.27 11 31
324 Merrimack 20.8% +1.27 11 32
325 Sacramento State 20.8% +1.28 10 30
326 Mount St. Mary's 20.8% +1.30 10 32
327 Cal Poly 20.9% +1.32 10 31
328 South Carolina State 20.9% +1.32 10 30
329 Monmouth 21.0% +1.36 9 33
330 Green Bay 21.0% +1.40 9 32
331 UT Arlington 21.1% +1.42 9 29
332 Houston Christian 21.1% +1.43 9 29
333 St. Francis Brooklyn 21.1% +1.44 8 28
334 Alabama A&M 21.2% +1.49 8 30
335 Maryland Eastern Shore 21.2% +1.49 8 27
336 Grambling 21.2% +1.50 7 31
337 Lamar 21.3% +1.52 7 28
338 Northeastern 21.3% +1.53 7 30
339 Chicago State 21.3% +1.55 7 27
340 Stephen F. Austin 21.4% +1.57 6 29
341 Denver 21.4% +1.58 6 30
342 Utah Tech 21.5% +1.61 6 30
343 Milwaukee 21.5% +1.62 6 31
344 McNeese 21.6% +1.68 5 33
345 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 21.6% +1.69 5 27
346 Illinois State 21.8% +1.79 5 32
347 Jackson State 22.0% +1.87 4 33
348 Loyola Chicago 22.0% +1.88 4 31
349 Morgan State 22.0% +1.89 4 27
350 American University 22.0% +1.89 4 32
351 UT Rio Grande Valley 22.1% +1.94 3 28
352 Louisville 22.2% +2.01 3 32
353 North Carolina Central 22.5% +2.14 3 26
354 Hartford 22.6% +2.18 2 25
355 Long Island University 22.7% +2.22 2 27
356 Howard 22.9% +2.32 2 32
357 UTEP 22.9% +2.34 2 30
358 Central Michigan 22.9% +2.36 1 29
359 IU Indianapolis 23.1% +2.45 1 30
360 New Orleans 23.5% +2.63 1 30
361 Delaware State 23.5% +2.64 1 28
362 Mississippi Valley State 23.7% +2.74 0 32
363 Florida A&M 24.1% +2.94 0 27