Really don't mind if you sit this one out. "Thick as a Brick" - Jethro Tull
← Scoring

Scoring Margin

Average points scored minus points allowed per game.

Higher is better  ·  league avg -0.3  ·  as of 2023-04-04

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.73 (team entering with the better value wins 67% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min -17.9 max 17.4 mean -0.3 std 6.0 (n=363)

Team Rankings

Loading…
# Team Scoring Margin z Pctl GP
1 Houston 17.4 +2.93 100 37
2 UConn 14.4 +2.44 100 39
3 Alabama 13.5 +2.29 99 37
4 UCLA 13.5 +2.27 99 37
5 Tennessee 12.9 +2.18 99 36
6 Charleston 12.4 +2.10 99 34
7 Florida Atlantic 11.6 +1.97 98 37
8 Oral Roberts 11.4 +1.93 98 31
9 Gonzaga 10.9 +1.86 98 36
10 Arizona 10.7 +1.83 98 35
11 Iona 10.4 +1.76 97 35
12 Liberty 10.3 +1.75 97 33
13 Saint Mary's 10.2 +1.74 97 34
14 Texas 10.1 +1.72 96 38
15 Marshall 10.0 +1.70 96 31
16 Purdue 9.9 +1.69 96 35
17 Yale 9.4 +1.61 96 28
18 UAB 9.3 +1.58 95 38
19 UMass Lowell 9.2 +1.56 95 32
20 Marquette 9.1 +1.55 95 36
21 Drake 9.0 +1.53 94 34
22 Indiana State 8.9 +1.52 94 35
23 Kent State 8.8 +1.50 94 33
24 Duke 8.4 +1.44 94 36
25 Toledo 8.3 +1.43 93 34
26 North Texas 8.2 +1.40 93 36
27 Colgate 8.1 +1.38 93 34
28 Creighton 8.0 +1.38 93 37
29 VCU 7.9 +1.36 92 35
30 Furman 7.8 +1.34 92 33
31 Dayton 7.6 +1.31 92 34
32 Memphis 7.6 +1.31 91 35
33 Youngstown State 7.5 +1.29 91 32
34 Utah State 7.4 +1.27 91 34
35 Kansas 7.4 +1.27 91 36
36 Virginia 7.3 +1.26 90 33
37 James Madison 7.3 +1.25 90 30
38 Hofstra 7.3 +1.25 90 34
39 Rutgers 7.3 +1.25 90 34
40 Bradley 7.2 +1.24 89 34
41 Illinois 7.2 +1.23 89 33
42 Miami 7.1 +1.23 89 37
43 NC State 6.9 +1.19 88 34
44 San Diego State 6.9 +1.19 88 38
45 Xavier 6.9 +1.18 88 37
46 TCU 6.8 +1.18 88 35
47 Clemson 6.8 +1.18 87 34
48 Cincinnati 6.8 +1.17 87 35
49 Baylor 6.8 +1.17 87 34
50 Kentucky 6.7 +1.15 86 34
51 Utah Valley 6.6 +1.15 86 34
52 Boise State 6.6 +1.14 86 33
53 Texas A&M 6.3 +1.10 86 35
54 Providence 6.3 +1.10 85 33
55 Kansas State 6.3 +1.09 85 36
56 Maryland 6.2 +1.08 85 35
57 Arkansas 6.1 +1.06 85 36
58 Sam Houston 6.1 +1.05 84 30
59 Indiana 6.1 +1.05 84 35
60 UCF 6.0 +1.04 84 34
61 Akron 5.8 +1.01 83 31
62 Princeton 5.7 +1.00 83 30
63 New Mexico 5.6 +0.98 83 33
64 Iowa 5.4 +0.94 83 33
65 Pittsburgh 5.4 +0.94 82 36
66 UC Santa Barbara 5.3 +0.93 82 33
67 North Carolina 5.3 +0.92 82 33
68 USC 5.1 +0.89 81 33
69 Auburn 5.1 +0.89 81 34
70 West Virginia 5.1 +0.89 81 34
71 Towson 5.0 +0.88 81 33
72 Northwestern 5.0 +0.87 80 34
73 Iowa State 5.0 +0.87 80 33
74 Southern Miss 4.9 +0.85 80 30
75 Samford 4.9 +0.85 80 28
76 Utah 4.8 +0.85 79 32
77 Louisiana 4.8 +0.84 79 31
78 UC Irvine 4.8 +0.84 79 33
79 Vermont 4.8 +0.84 78 33
80 Mississippi State 4.7 +0.83 78 34
81 Longwood 4.6 +0.81 78 30
82 UNC Greensboro 4.6 +0.80 78 30
83 Hawai'i 4.5 +0.80 77 32
84 Missouri 4.5 +0.80 77 35
85 Grambling 4.5 +0.79 77 31
86 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 4.5 +0.79 77 31
87 Fordham 4.4 +0.78 76 33
88 Charlotte 4.4 +0.77 76 36
89 Texas Tech 4.3 +0.77 76 32
90 Oregon 4.3 +0.77 75 36
91 South Alabama 4.1 +0.72 75 33
92 Virginia Tech 4.1 +0.72 75 34
93 BYU 4.0 +0.72 75 32
94 Penn State 4.0 +0.72 74 37
95 Belmont 3.8 +0.68 74 31
96 Ohio 3.8 +0.67 74 32
97 Michigan 3.7 +0.67 73 34
98 Duquesne 3.6 +0.65 73 33
99 Montana State 3.6 +0.65 73 33
100 Nevada 3.6 +0.64 73 32
101 Wright State 3.5 +0.64 72 31
102 Ohio State 3.5 +0.64 72 35
103 Santa Clara 3.5 +0.63 72 32
104 Navy 3.3 +0.60 72 30
105 Southern Illinois 3.3 +0.59 71 32
106 North Carolina Central 3.2 +0.58 71 26
107 Saint Louis 3.2 +0.58 71 32
108 Drexel 3.2 +0.57 70 31
109 Grand Canyon 3.2 +0.57 70 33
110 Arizona State 3.1 +0.56 70 36
111 Eastern Washington 3.1 +0.56 70 33
112 Cornell 3.0 +0.55 69 26
113 Michigan State 3.0 +0.55 69 34
114 Norfolk State 2.9 +0.53 69 29
115 Wake Forest 2.8 +0.52 69 33
116 Quinnipiac 2.8 +0.51 68 31
117 Tulane 2.8 +0.51 68 31
118 Colorado 2.8 +0.51 68 35
119 Kennesaw State 2.7 +0.49 67 32
120 Florida 2.6 +0.49 67 33
121 Troy 2.6 +0.48 67 30
122 Washington State 2.6 +0.48 67 34
123 UNC Asheville 2.6 +0.48 66 33
124 Wichita State 2.5 +0.47 66 32
125 Seton Hall 2.5 +0.46 66 32
126 Cleveland State 2.5 +0.46 65 33
127 Oklahoma State 2.4 +0.45 65 36
128 San Francisco 2.4 +0.44 65 33
129 Northwestern State 2.3 +0.43 65 32
130 Ball State 2.3 +0.43 64 30
131 St. John's 2.2 +0.41 64 33
132 Lipscomb 2.1 +0.39 64 30
133 Northern Kentucky 2.1 +0.39 64 33
134 UNLV 2.0 +0.39 63 31
135 Cal State Fullerton 2.0 +0.38 63 31
136 Radford 2.0 +0.38 63 34
137 Southern Utah 2.0 +0.38 62 33
138 Stanford 2.0 +0.38 62 33
139 Pennsylvania 2.0 +0.37 62 29
140 Villanova 1.9 +0.37 62 34
141 UNC Wilmington 1.9 +0.36 61 32
142 Wisconsin 1.7 +0.33 61 35
143 St. Thomas-Minnesota 1.5 +0.31 61 31
144 George Mason 1.5 +0.29 60 33
145 UC Davis 1.4 +0.29 60 30
146 Rider 1.4 +0.28 60 29
147 Stephen F. Austin 1.4 +0.28 60 29
148 Siena 1.4 +0.28 59 32
149 Missouri State 1.4 +0.27 59 31
150 Harvard 1.3 +0.27 59 26
151 Syracuse 1.2 +0.25 59 32
152 Richmond 1.1 +0.23 58 33
153 SIU Edwardsville 1.1 +0.23 58 30
154 UC Riverside 1.1 +0.22 58 33
155 Chattanooga 1.0 +0.21 57 32
156 Bryant 0.9 +0.20 57 28
157 California Baptist 0.9 +0.20 57 31
158 Middle Tennessee 0.9 +0.19 57 31
159 Fairleigh Dickinson 0.9 +0.19 56 35
160 Gardner-Webb 0.8 +0.18 56 29
161 UMBC 0.7 +0.17 56 31
162 Montana 0.7 +0.17 56 30
163 Loyola Marymount 0.7 +0.16 55 30
164 San José State 0.6 +0.16 55 34
165 Davidson 0.5 +0.13 55 31
166 Army 0.5 +0.12 54 31
167 Florida Gulf Coast 0.5 +0.12 54 31
168 Vanderbilt 0.4 +0.12 54 37
169 Detroit Mercy 0.4 +0.12 54 32
170 South Dakota State 0.3 +0.09 53 31
171 Old Dominion 0.2 +0.09 53 30
172 Seattle U 0.2 +0.09 53 30
173 Brown 0.2 +0.09 52 27
174 Eastern Kentucky 0.1 +0.07 52 34
175 Oklahoma 0.1 +0.07 52 32
176 Queens University 0.1 +0.07 52 30
177 Howard 0.1 +0.07 51 32
178 South Florida 0.0 +0.05 51 32
179 Saint Joseph's -0.0 +0.04 51 33
180 Tennessee State -0.1 +0.04 51 28
181 Air Force -0.1 +0.03 50 32
182 Stetson -0.1 +0.03 50 29
183 Long Beach State -0.2 +0.02 50 31
184 Colorado State -0.2 +0.01 49 32
185 Robert Morris -0.3 +0.01 49 31
186 Campbell -0.3 -0.01 49 32
187 Purdue Fort Wayne -0.5 -0.03 49 30
188 App State -0.5 -0.04 48 29
189 American University -0.5 -0.04 48 32
190 Southeast Missouri State -0.6 -0.05 48 34
191 Temple -0.6 -0.05 48 32
192 Milwaukee -0.7 -0.07 47 31
193 UT Martin -0.8 -0.08 47 29
194 St. Bonaventure -0.9 -0.10 47 32
195 Wagner -1.0 -0.11 46 26
196 Mercer -1.1 -0.14 46 31
197 Washington -1.2 -0.14 46 32
198 Utah Tech -1.2 -0.14 46 30
199 Georgia Southern -1.2 -0.15 45 30
200 SE Louisiana -1.3 -0.16 45 29
201 George Washington -1.3 -0.17 45 31
202 East Tennessee State -1.6 -0.21 44 30
203 Ole Miss -1.6 -0.21 44 33
204 Boston University -1.6 -0.21 44 31
205 Northern Iowa -1.6 -0.22 44 31
206 Weber State -1.6 -0.22 43 31
207 Texas State -1.6 -0.22 43 32
208 Massachusetts -1.6 -0.22 43 31
209 East Carolina -1.7 -0.23 43 33
210 Wofford -1.7 -0.23 42 30
211 Southern Indiana -1.7 -0.24 42 30
212 Louisiana Tech -1.8 -0.25 42 30
213 Delaware -1.8 -0.26 41 32
214 Sacred Heart -1.9 -0.26 41 32
215 Western Kentucky -1.9 -0.27 41 31
216 Nebraska -1.9 -0.27 41 32
217 Morehead State -2.0 -0.29 40 30
218 Merrimack -2.1 -0.29 40 32
219 Southern -2.1 -0.29 40 30
220 Maryland Eastern Shore -2.1 -0.31 40 27
221 Niagara -2.2 -0.31 39 30
222 Western Carolina -2.3 -0.32 39 31
223 Prairie View A&M -2.3 -0.34 39 30
224 North Dakota State -2.5 -0.36 38 31
225 Portland -2.5 -0.36 38 31
226 Fairfield -2.5 -0.36 38 30
227 Tarleton State -2.5 -0.36 38 30
228 Fresno State -2.5 -0.36 37 30
229 Notre Dame -2.5 -0.36 37 32
230 UTEP -2.6 -0.37 37 30
231 Pacific -2.6 -0.38 36 31
232 Butler -2.7 -0.39 36 32
233 Marist -2.8 -0.41 36 33
234 La Salle -2.8 -0.41 36 34
235 Georgia Tech -2.8 -0.41 35 31
236 Murray State -2.8 -0.42 35 31
237 Western Illinois -2.9 -0.42 35 27
238 Alcorn State -2.9 -0.44 35 32
239 Bucknell -3.0 -0.44 34 31
240 Georgia -3.0 -0.45 34 32
241 Florida International -3.0 -0.45 34 30
242 Sacramento State -3.0 -0.45 33 30
243 Tennessee Tech -3.0 -0.45 33 30
244 Winthrop -3.0 -0.45 33 30
245 Lehigh -3.0 -0.45 33 28
246 Alabama A&M -3.1 -0.46 32 30
247 Nicholls -3.1 -0.46 32 27
248 LSU -3.1 -0.47 32 33
249 Lafayette -3.3 -0.50 31 34
250 Rice -3.3 -0.50 31 32
251 New Hampshire -3.4 -0.51 31 28
252 East Texas A&M -3.6 -0.54 31 32
253 Canisius -3.6 -0.54 30 29
254 Idaho State -3.6 -0.55 30 30
255 Buffalo -3.6 -0.55 30 30
256 South Carolina Upstate -3.6 -0.55 30 30
257 Boston College -3.6 -0.55 29 33
258 Jacksonville -3.7 -0.55 29 26
259 Denver -3.7 -0.56 29 30
260 Northern Arizona -3.7 -0.56 28 33
261 Abilene Christian -3.7 -0.56 28 26
262 Northern Illinois -3.9 -0.60 28 30
263 Illinois State -4.0 -0.61 28 32
264 New Mexico State -4.0 -0.61 27 21
265 Northern Colorado -4.0 -0.61 27 31
266 Jacksonville State -4.1 -0.62 27 28
267 Wyoming -4.1 -0.63 27 30
268 Saint Francis -4.1 -0.63 26 29
269 Mount St. Mary's -4.2 -0.64 26 32
270 Central Connecticut -4.2 -0.64 26 32
271 North Florida -4.2 -0.65 25 29
272 Maine -4.2 -0.65 25 28
273 Stonehill -4.3 -0.66 25 30
274 North Dakota -4.5 -0.70 25 31
275 Portland State -4.6 -0.71 24 29
276 Rhode Island -4.6 -0.72 24 31
277 Saint Peter's -4.6 -0.72 24 31
278 Bowling Green -4.7 -0.72 23 29
279 High Point -4.7 -0.72 23 29
280 North Alabama -4.7 -0.73 23 30
281 Arkansas State -4.8 -0.74 23 30
282 Pepperdine -4.8 -0.75 22 29
283 Idaho -4.8 -0.75 22 30
284 Binghamton -4.9 -0.77 22 29
285 Manhattan -4.9 -0.77 22 29
286 Charleston Southern -5.0 -0.77 21 29
287 Miami (OH) -5.0 -0.78 21 29
288 Loyola Chicago -5.1 -0.79 21 31
289 Oakland -5.2 -0.80 20 31
290 SMU -5.3 -0.83 20 32
291 St. Francis Brooklyn -5.3 -0.83 20 28
292 San Diego -5.3 -0.83 20 29
293 Dartmouth -5.5 -0.85 19 26
294 Morgan State -5.5 -0.86 19 27
295 Texas Southern -5.5 -0.86 19 33
296 Little Rock -5.7 -0.89 19 29
297 UIC -5.7 -0.89 18 31
298 Georgia State -5.9 -0.92 18 28
299 Loyola Maryland -5.9 -0.93 18 31
300 UT Rio Grande Valley -5.9 -0.93 17 28
301 Valparaiso -6.0 -0.94 17 31
302 Jackson State -6.0 -0.94 17 33
303 Bellarmine -6.1 -0.95 17 30
304 DePaul -6.1 -0.96 16 33
305 UC San Diego -6.2 -0.97 16 28
306 Northeastern -6.4 -1.00 16 30
307 Kansas City -6.5 -1.02 15 30
308 Oregon State -6.5 -1.03 15 31
309 South Dakota -6.6 -1.03 15 29
310 Incarnate Word -6.8 -1.07 15 28
311 William & Mary -6.8 -1.08 14 31
312 New Orleans -6.9 -1.09 14 30
313 Cal State Bakersfield -6.9 -1.09 14 31
314 Florida State -6.9 -1.09 14 32
315 NJIT -7.0 -1.10 13 29
316 Cal Poly -7.0 -1.10 13 31
317 UT Arlington -7.1 -1.12 13 29
318 Coastal Carolina -7.2 -1.14 12 28
319 Eastern Illinois -7.3 -1.16 12 29
320 North Carolina A&T -7.4 -1.18 12 29
321 Arkansas-Pine Bluff -7.6 -1.21 12 27
322 Chicago State -7.8 -1.24 11 27
323 Holy Cross -7.9 -1.25 11 30
324 UL Monroe -8.1 -1.28 11 29
325 McNeese -8.2 -1.30 10 33
326 Minnesota -8.2 -1.30 10 31
327 Western Michigan -8.2 -1.31 10 28
328 South Carolina -8.3 -1.32 10 32
329 Stony Brook -8.3 -1.33 9 31
330 The Citadel -8.4 -1.33 9 31
331 Lindenwood -8.4 -1.35 9 29
332 Elon -8.5 -1.35 9 30
333 Presbyterian -8.5 -1.36 8 30
334 Georgetown -8.6 -1.37 8 32
335 Cal State Northridge -8.7 -1.38 8 30
336 UTSA -8.9 -1.42 7 30
337 Omaha -9.0 -1.43 7 31
338 Eastern Michigan -9.2 -1.47 7 30
339 Bethune-Cookman -9.3 -1.49 7 30
340 Central Michigan -9.3 -1.50 6 29
341 Austin Peay -9.6 -1.53 6 28
342 Lamar -9.8 -1.56 6 28
343 UAlbany -9.8 -1.57 6 29
344 Alabama State -10.0 -1.61 5 30
345 Houston Christian -10.2 -1.64 5 29
346 Hampton -10.5 -1.69 5 31
347 Central Arkansas -10.6 -1.70 4 30
348 Coppin State -11.2 -1.79 4 32
349 California -11.8 -1.90 4 32
350 Louisville -11.8 -1.91 4 32
351 Columbia -12.0 -1.93 3 27
352 Tulsa -12.1 -1.96 3 30
353 South Carolina State -12.6 -2.03 3 30
354 VMI -12.7 -2.05 2 29
355 Delaware State -12.8 -2.06 2 28
356 Florida A&M -12.8 -2.07 2 27
357 Monmouth -13.0 -2.10 2 33
358 IU Indianapolis -13.4 -2.17 1 30
359 Evansville -13.6 -2.20 1 32
360 Mississippi Valley State -13.7 -2.22 1 32
361 Hartford -15.2 -2.46 1 25
362 Green Bay -17.2 -2.79 0 32
363 Long Island University -17.9 -2.90 0 27