Then she opened up a book of poems and handed it to me, written by an Italian poet from the thirteenth century. "Tangled Up in Blue" - Bob Dylan

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Predicts home win: AUC 0.61 (team entering with the better value wins 59% of games)

Based on 5499 of 5721 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 27.9 max 44.6 mean 34.3 std 2.4 (n=363)

Team Rankings

Loading…
# Team Rebounds Per Game z Pctl GP
1 Alabama 44.6 +4.25 100 37
2 UAB 40.9 +2.70 100 38
3 Charleston 40.2 +2.43 99 34
4 Long Beach State 40.1 +2.39 99 31
5 St. John's 40.1 +2.39 99 33
6 Utah Valley 40.0 +2.35 99 34
7 North Carolina 39.5 +2.14 98 33
8 Kentucky 39.4 +2.09 98 34
9 UConn 39.3 +2.07 98 39
10 Arizona 39.3 +2.06 98 35
11 Utah 39.2 +2.01 97 32
12 Eastern Kentucky 39.1 +1.97 97 34
13 Houston 38.9 +1.91 97 37
14 Purdue 38.7 +1.80 96 35
15 Duke 38.7 +1.79 96 36
16 Florida Atlantic 38.6 +1.79 96 37
17 Southern Indiana 38.5 +1.74 96 30
18 Marshall 38.4 +1.69 95 31
19 Tennessee 38.4 +1.68 95 36
20 Massachusetts 38.3 +1.64 95 31
21 Bryant 38.3 +1.62 94 28
22 Milwaukee 38.2 +1.60 94 31
23 Princeton 38.1 +1.56 94 30
24 Providence 38.1 +1.56 94 33
25 Mississippi State 37.9 +1.47 93 34
26 Santa Clara 37.8 +1.46 93 32
27 Illinois 37.8 +1.45 93 33
28 Xavier 37.7 +1.41 93 37
29 Oregon 37.7 +1.38 92 36
30 Saint Louis 37.7 +1.38 92 32
31 UT Martin 37.6 +1.35 92 29
32 UMass Lowell 37.6 +1.34 91 32
33 Quinnipiac 37.5 +1.32 91 31
34 Old Dominion 37.5 +1.32 91 30
35 South Florida 37.4 +1.28 91 32
36 Oklahoma State 37.4 +1.26 90 36
37 BYU 37.3 +1.25 90 32
38 Towson 37.3 +1.25 90 33
39 Pennsylvania 37.3 +1.24 90 29
40 San José State 37.3 +1.23 89 34
41 High Point 37.2 +1.18 89 29
42 Cincinnati 37.1 +1.17 89 35
43 Colorado 37.1 +1.17 88 35
44 Ohio 37.1 +1.14 88 32
45 East Carolina 37.1 +1.13 88 33
46 James Madison 37.0 +1.12 88 30
47 Rhode Island 37.0 +1.12 87 31
48 Buffalo 37.0 +1.11 87 30
49 Creighton 37.0 +1.11 87 37
50 Southern Utah 37.0 +1.11 86 33
51 Gonzaga 37.0 +1.10 86 36
52 Fordham 36.9 +1.09 86 33
53 SIU Edwardsville 36.8 +1.04 86 30
54 Texas A&M 36.8 +1.03 85 35
55 Rutgers 36.8 +1.03 85 34
56 Seattle U 36.8 +1.01 85 30
57 Michigan 36.7 +1.00 85 34
58 Yale 36.7 +0.99 84 28
59 New Mexico 36.6 +0.95 84 33
60 NC State 36.6 +0.94 84 34
61 Iowa 36.6 +0.94 83 33
62 Detroit Mercy 36.6 +0.93 83 32
63 Arizona State 36.5 +0.92 83 36
64 Wright State 36.4 +0.85 83 31
65 Wichita State 36.3 +0.84 82 32
66 Kansas City 36.3 +0.84 82 30
67 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 36.3 +0.83 82 31
68 Texas Southern 36.2 +0.80 81 33
69 Vanderbilt 36.2 +0.79 81 37
70 Auburn 36.2 +0.78 81 34
71 California Baptist 36.2 +0.78 81 31
72 San Diego State 36.2 +0.78 80 38
73 Dayton 36.1 +0.76 80 34
74 Pittsburgh 36.1 +0.76 80 36
75 UC Irvine 36.1 +0.75 80 33
76 UC Riverside 36.1 +0.75 79 33
77 Harvard 36.1 +0.73 79 26
78 Northeastern 36.0 +0.71 79 30
79 UNC Greensboro 36.0 +0.71 78 30
80 Queens University 36.0 +0.71 78 30
81 Georgetown 36.0 +0.69 78 32
82 Southern Miss 36.0 +0.69 78 30
83 Kansas 35.9 +0.68 77 36
84 Rider 35.9 +0.67 77 29
85 Ohio State 35.9 +0.66 77 35
86 Oral Roberts 35.9 +0.66 77 31
87 Memphis 35.9 +0.65 76 35
88 UC Davis 35.8 +0.63 76 30
89 TCU 35.8 +0.63 76 35
90 Central Arkansas 35.8 +0.62 75 30
91 La Salle 35.8 +0.62 75 34
92 Georgia 35.8 +0.61 75 32
93 George Mason 35.8 +0.60 75 33
94 Ole Miss 35.8 +0.60 74 33
95 Coastal Carolina 35.8 +0.60 74 28
96 Western Michigan 35.8 +0.60 74 28
97 Indiana 35.7 +0.58 73 35
98 Jacksonville State 35.7 +0.57 73 28
99 Michigan State 35.7 +0.57 73 34
100 Duquesne 35.7 +0.56 73 33
101 Utah State 35.6 +0.56 72 34
102 Sacred Heart 35.6 +0.55 72 32
103 Howard 35.6 +0.53 72 32
104 Boise State 35.6 +0.53 72 33
105 Iona 35.6 +0.52 71 35
106 UT Rio Grande Valley 35.6 +0.52 71 28
107 Bowling Green 35.5 +0.50 71 29
108 Louisiana 35.5 +0.47 70 31
109 UCLA 35.4 +0.47 70 37
110 Grambling 35.4 +0.46 70 31
111 North Dakota State 35.4 +0.46 70 31
112 Alabama State 35.4 +0.45 69 30
113 Lipscomb 35.4 +0.44 69 30
114 Cleveland State 35.4 +0.44 69 33
115 Arkansas 35.3 +0.43 69 36
116 Boston University 35.3 +0.43 68 30
117 Kent State 35.3 +0.43 68 33
118 Grand Canyon 35.3 +0.41 68 33
119 Loyola Marymount 35.3 +0.41 67 30
120 Bradley 35.3 +0.41 67 34
121 Hawai'i 35.3 +0.40 67 32
122 USC 35.3 +0.40 67 33
123 Drake 35.2 +0.39 66 34
124 Tennessee State 35.2 +0.38 66 28
125 Akron 35.2 +0.37 66 31
126 Temple 35.2 +0.37 65 32
127 Lamar 35.2 +0.36 65 28
128 Clemson 35.2 +0.36 65 34
129 Eastern Washington 35.2 +0.35 65 33
130 Saint Mary's 35.1 +0.35 64 34
131 Pepperdine 35.1 +0.35 64 29
132 Texas Tech 35.1 +0.34 64 32
133 Wagner 35.1 +0.34 64 26
134 Ball State 35.1 +0.33 63 30
135 North Carolina Central 35.0 +0.31 63 26
136 Norfolk State 35.0 +0.30 63 29
137 LSU 35.0 +0.30 62 33
138 Chattanooga 35.0 +0.29 62 32
139 New Hampshire 35.0 +0.29 62 28
140 North Carolina A&T 35.0 +0.29 62 29
141 UCF 35.0 +0.29 61 34
142 Denver 35.0 +0.28 61 30
143 SMU 34.9 +0.26 61 32
144 Prairie View A&M 34.9 +0.26 60 30
145 South Carolina State 34.9 +0.26 60 30
146 Little Rock 34.9 +0.23 60 29
147 Brown 34.9 +0.23 60 27
148 Sacramento State 34.8 +0.22 59 30
149 Delaware State 34.8 +0.22 59 28
150 Washington State 34.8 +0.21 59 34
151 Furman 34.8 +0.20 59 33
152 Syracuse 34.8 +0.20 58 32
153 Missouri State 34.8 +0.20 58 31
154 Western Carolina 34.8 +0.20 58 31
155 McNeese 34.8 +0.19 57 33
156 Seton Hall 34.8 +0.19 57 32
157 Miami 34.7 +0.18 57 37
158 UTEP 34.7 +0.15 57 30
159 UTSA 34.7 +0.15 56 30
160 Kansas State 34.6 +0.14 56 36
161 Saint Joseph's 34.6 +0.13 56 33
162 Binghamton 34.6 +0.12 56 29
163 Murray State 34.6 +0.12 55 31
164 Sam Houston 34.6 +0.11 55 30
165 George Washington 34.5 +0.10 55 31
166 Florida 34.5 +0.10 54 33
167 Purdue Fort Wayne 34.5 +0.10 54 30
168 Nebraska 34.5 +0.10 54 32
169 Northwestern 34.5 +0.10 54 34
170 Drexel 34.5 +0.08 53 31
171 Youngstown State 34.5 +0.07 53 32
172 Jackson State 34.5 +0.07 53 33
173 Stanford 34.5 +0.07 52 33
174 Mercer 34.5 +0.06 52 31
175 Kennesaw State 34.4 +0.06 52 32
176 East Tennessee State 34.4 +0.06 52 30
177 Samford 34.4 +0.04 51 28
178 Georgia Tech 34.4 +0.04 51 31
179 Longwood 34.4 +0.03 51 30
180 San Francisco 34.4 +0.03 51 33
181 Robert Morris 34.4 +0.02 50 31
182 Central Michigan 34.3 +0.02 50 29
183 Texas 34.3 +0.01 50 38
184 Siena 34.3 +0.01 49 32
185 Marist 34.3 -0.01 49 33
186 Navy 34.3 -0.01 49 30
187 Saint Peter's 34.3 -0.01 49 31
188 Wake Forest 34.2 -0.03 48 33
189 Indiana State 34.2 -0.04 48 35
190 Stetson 34.2 -0.05 48 29
191 VMI 34.2 -0.05 48 29
192 Western Kentucky 34.2 -0.05 47 31
193 Central Connecticut 34.1 -0.07 47 32
194 App State 34.1 -0.08 47 29
195 Morehead State 34.1 -0.08 46 30
196 Troy 34.1 -0.08 46 30
197 South Carolina 34.1 -0.08 46 32
198 Florida Gulf Coast 34.1 -0.09 46 31
199 UNC Asheville 34.1 -0.10 45 33
200 Gardner-Webb 34.0 -0.11 45 29
201 Northwestern State 34.0 -0.11 45 32
202 Baylor 34.0 -0.13 44 34
203 Southeast Missouri State 34.0 -0.13 44 33
204 Alcorn State 34.0 -0.13 44 32
205 Georgia Southern 34.0 -0.13 44 30
206 Toledo 33.9 -0.16 43 34
207 Charleston Southern 33.9 -0.16 43 29
208 West Virginia 33.9 -0.17 43 34
209 UMBC 33.9 -0.17 43 31
210 SE Louisiana 33.9 -0.18 42 29
211 Washington 33.8 -0.18 42 32
212 Hampton 33.8 -0.19 42 31
213 UT Arlington 33.8 -0.19 41 29
214 Chicago State 33.8 -0.20 41 27
215 Stephen F. Austin 33.8 -0.21 41 29
216 Rice 33.8 -0.21 41 32
217 North Alabama 33.8 -0.22 40 30
218 Dartmouth 33.7 -0.25 40 26
219 Valparaiso 33.6 -0.28 40 31
220 Iowa State 33.6 -0.28 40 33
221 Columbia 33.6 -0.29 39 27
222 Maryland 33.6 -0.30 39 35
223 North Florida 33.6 -0.30 39 29
224 UL Monroe 33.6 -0.30 38 29
225 Fairleigh Dickinson 33.5 -0.31 38 35
226 Tulane 33.5 -0.35 38 31
227 Colgate 33.4 -0.35 38 34
228 Long Island University 33.4 -0.36 37 27
229 Arkansas State 33.4 -0.37 37 30
230 Louisiana Tech 33.4 -0.37 37 30
231 Army 33.4 -0.37 36 31
232 Bucknell 33.4 -0.37 36 31
233 Tennessee Tech 33.4 -0.38 36 30
234 Utah Tech 33.4 -0.38 36 30
235 North Texas 33.4 -0.38 35 36
236 Cornell 33.3 -0.39 35 26
237 Liberty 33.3 -0.39 35 33
238 New Mexico State 33.3 -0.39 35 21
239 Western Illinois 33.3 -0.39 34 27
240 Northern Colorado 33.3 -0.40 34 31
241 Stony Brook 33.3 -0.40 34 31
242 Mount St. Mary's 33.3 -0.40 33 32
243 Canisius 33.3 -0.42 33 29
244 Virginia Tech 33.3 -0.42 33 34
245 Morgan State 33.2 -0.44 33 27
246 NJIT 33.2 -0.45 32 29
247 VCU 33.2 -0.46 32 35
248 Hofstra 33.1 -0.47 32 34
249 Boston College 33.1 -0.48 31 33
250 Fairfield 33.1 -0.49 31 30
251 St. Francis Brooklyn 33.1 -0.50 31 28
252 South Dakota 33.0 -0.52 31 29
253 Northern Illinois 33.0 -0.52 30 30
254 Georgia State 33.0 -0.53 30 28
255 Nevada 33.0 -0.53 30 32
256 UNLV 33.0 -0.53 30 31
257 Belmont 33.0 -0.54 29 31
258 Eastern Illinois 33.0 -0.54 29 29
259 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 33.0 -0.55 29 27
260 Cal State Fullerton 32.9 -0.56 28 31
261 Elon 32.9 -0.57 28 30
262 UAlbany 32.9 -0.57 28 29
263 Middle Tennessee 32.9 -0.58 28 31
264 Lindenwood 32.9 -0.59 27 29
265 Radford 32.9 -0.59 27 34
266 Monmouth 32.8 -0.61 27 33
267 Minnesota 32.8 -0.61 27 31
268 San Diego 32.8 -0.62 26 29
269 Oklahoma 32.8 -0.62 26 32
270 Alabama A&M 32.8 -0.63 26 30
271 Northern Arizona 32.8 -0.63 25 33
272 St. Bonaventure 32.8 -0.63 25 32
273 Saint Francis 32.7 -0.64 25 29
274 UC San Diego 32.7 -0.66 25 28
275 North Dakota 32.7 -0.66 24 31
276 Illinois State 32.7 -0.67 24 32
277 Davidson 32.6 -0.69 24 31
278 Penn State 32.6 -0.71 23 37
279 Nicholls 32.6 -0.71 23 27
280 Lafayette 32.5 -0.72 23 34
281 Houston Christian 32.5 -0.73 23 29
282 Northern Iowa 32.5 -0.73 22 31
283 UNC Wilmington 32.4 -0.76 22 32
284 DePaul 32.4 -0.77 22 33
285 Cal State Northridge 32.4 -0.78 22 30
286 Jacksonville 32.3 -0.80 21 26
287 Richmond 32.3 -0.80 21 33
288 Omaha 32.3 -0.81 21 31
289 Texas State 32.3 -0.84 20 32
290 Virginia 32.2 -0.84 20 33
291 Portland 32.2 -0.85 20 31
292 Louisville 32.2 -0.85 20 32
293 New Orleans 32.2 -0.87 19 30
294 Mississippi Valley State 32.1 -0.90 19 32
295 South Dakota State 32.1 -0.91 19 31
296 South Alabama 32.1 -0.92 19 33
297 Lehigh 32.0 -0.94 18 28
298 Northern Kentucky 32.0 -0.95 18 33
299 Delaware 32.0 -0.95 18 32
300 Holy Cross 32.0 -0.95 17 30
301 Presbyterian 32.0 -0.95 17 30
302 Bethune-Cookman 31.9 -0.97 17 30
303 Tulsa 31.9 -0.97 17 30
304 William & Mary 31.8 -1.01 16 31
305 Marquette 31.8 -1.01 16 36
306 Montana State 31.8 -1.02 16 33
307 Wofford 31.8 -1.04 15 30
308 Wyoming 31.8 -1.04 15 30
309 Southern 31.7 -1.05 15 30
310 Wisconsin 31.7 -1.06 15 35
311 Villanova 31.7 -1.06 14 34
312 Cal Poly 31.7 -1.07 14 31
313 East Texas A&M 31.7 -1.08 14 32
314 UIC 31.6 -1.11 14 31
315 Southern Illinois 31.5 -1.13 13 32
316 Pacific 31.5 -1.15 13 31
317 California 31.5 -1.16 13 32
318 Florida State 31.4 -1.17 12 32
319 Florida A&M 31.4 -1.18 12 27
320 Eastern Michigan 31.4 -1.19 12 30
321 Evansville 31.4 -1.20 12 32
322 UC Santa Barbara 31.3 -1.23 11 33
323 Manhattan 31.3 -1.24 11 29
324 Maryland Eastern Shore 31.2 -1.26 11 27
325 St. Thomas-Minnesota 31.2 -1.29 10 31
326 IU Indianapolis 31.1 -1.31 10 30
327 Weber State 31.1 -1.31 10 31
328 Vermont 31.1 -1.31 10 33
329 Notre Dame 31.1 -1.33 9 32
330 Florida International 31.0 -1.34 9 30
331 Idaho State 31.0 -1.34 9 30
332 Loyola Chicago 31.0 -1.36 9 31
333 Campbell 30.9 -1.39 8 32
334 Cal State Bakersfield 30.9 -1.39 8 31
335 South Carolina Upstate 30.9 -1.41 8 30
336 Oregon State 30.7 -1.46 7 31
337 Miami (OH) 30.7 -1.46 7 29
338 Colorado State 30.7 -1.48 7 32
339 Incarnate Word 30.6 -1.53 7 28
340 Loyola Maryland 30.5 -1.55 6 31
341 The Citadel 30.5 -1.55 6 31
342 Stonehill 30.5 -1.56 6 30
343 Coppin State 30.4 -1.58 6 32
344 Oakland 30.4 -1.60 5 31
345 American University 30.3 -1.63 5 32
346 Missouri 30.2 -1.67 5 35
347 Abilene Christian 30.2 -1.68 4 26
348 Fresno State 30.2 -1.69 4 30
349 Montana 30.1 -1.73 4 30
350 Winthrop 30.0 -1.76 4 30
351 Tarleton State 30.0 -1.78 3 30
352 Butler 29.9 -1.79 3 32
353 Niagara 29.9 -1.79 3 30
354 Portland State 29.8 -1.85 2 29
355 Austin Peay 29.8 -1.85 2 28
356 Maine 29.8 -1.86 2 28
357 Charlotte 29.6 -1.92 2 36
358 Hartford 29.6 -1.93 1 25
359 Air Force 29.6 -1.94 1 32
360 Idaho 29.0 -2.17 1 30
361 Green Bay 28.3 -2.47 1 32
362 Bellarmine 28.2 -2.51 0 30
363 Merrimack 27.9 -2.63 0 32