Funky Claude was running in and out / pulling kids out the ground "Smoke On the Water" - Deep Purple

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

Based on 5499 of 5721 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 60.3 max 75.4 mean 68.6 std 2.6 (n=363)

Team Rankings

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# Team Pace z Pctl GP
1 Southeast Missouri State 75.4 +2.61 100 33
2 Tulane 75.2 +2.53 100 31
3 Pepperdine 74.9 +2.43 99 29
4 St. John's 74.9 +2.42 99 33
5 UT Rio Grande Valley 74.4 +2.23 99 28
6 Southern Utah 74.3 +2.21 99 33
7 Coppin State 74.2 +2.16 98 32
8 South Carolina State 74.1 +2.12 98 30
9 Alabama 74.1 +2.12 98 37
10 Long Beach State 74.1 +2.12 98 31
11 Buffalo 73.9 +2.03 97 30
12 Morgan State 73.8 +1.99 97 27
13 Milwaukee 73.6 +1.93 97 31
14 Wright State 73.6 +1.92 96 31
15 UT Martin 73.5 +1.88 96 29
16 Central Arkansas 73.5 +1.87 96 30
17 Little Rock 73.3 +1.82 96 29
18 Long Island University 73.2 +1.77 95 27
19 Marshall 73.2 +1.77 95 31
20 Memphis 73.0 +1.70 95 35
21 James Madison 73.0 +1.70 94 30
22 Houston Christian 72.9 +1.64 94 29
23 New Orleans 72.8 +1.63 94 30
24 Utah Valley 72.8 +1.63 94 34
25 Southern 72.8 +1.61 93 30
26 Arizona 72.7 +1.60 93 35
27 Bryant 72.6 +1.55 93 28
28 New Mexico 72.5 +1.52 93 33
29 Tennessee State 72.5 +1.51 92 28
30 UAB 72.5 +1.49 92 38
31 Cornell 72.4 +1.48 92 26
32 Xavier 72.2 +1.40 91 37
33 Texas Southern 72.2 +1.40 91 33
34 Portland State 72.1 +1.34 91 29
35 Santa Clara 72.0 +1.33 91 32
36 Nicholls 71.9 +1.28 90 27
37 Gonzaga 71.9 +1.26 90 36
38 Stephen F. Austin 71.9 +1.26 90 29
39 Florida International 71.8 +1.22 90 30
40 Kansas State 71.7 +1.20 89 36
41 SMU 71.7 +1.19 89 32
42 Southern Indiana 71.6 +1.17 89 30
43 High Point 71.5 +1.14 88 29
44 Eastern Kentucky 71.5 +1.12 88 34
45 Howard 71.5 +1.11 88 32
46 Rice 71.4 +1.10 88 32
47 UC Davis 71.4 +1.10 87 30
48 SE Louisiana 71.4 +1.09 87 29
49 Pacific 71.4 +1.08 87 31
50 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 71.4 +1.07 86 31
51 Portland 71.4 +1.07 86 31
52 Indiana State 71.4 +1.07 86 35
53 Charleston 71.3 +1.04 86 34
54 Columbia 71.3 +1.04 85 27
55 TCU 71.2 +0.99 85 35
56 Bowling Green 71.1 +0.98 85 29
57 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 71.1 +0.96 85 27
58 Dartmouth 71.0 +0.94 84 26
59 SIU Edwardsville 71.0 +0.93 84 30
60 Maryland Eastern Shore 71.0 +0.92 84 27
61 George Washington 70.9 +0.90 83 31
62 DePaul 70.9 +0.90 83 33
63 San Francisco 70.9 +0.89 83 33
64 Utah Tech 70.9 +0.88 83 30
65 BYU 70.8 +0.87 82 32
66 Texas 70.8 +0.87 82 38
67 Eastern Michigan 70.8 +0.86 82 30
68 San Diego 70.7 +0.83 81 29
69 Northern Illinois 70.7 +0.83 81 30
70 Toledo 70.7 +0.83 81 34
71 North Carolina 70.7 +0.80 81 33
72 Massachusetts 70.7 +0.80 80 31
73 Kansas 70.6 +0.79 80 36
74 Jackson State 70.6 +0.79 80 33
75 New Mexico State 70.6 +0.78 80 21
76 Wake Forest 70.6 +0.78 79 33
77 Sacred Heart 70.6 +0.77 79 32
78 Fordham 70.5 +0.75 79 33
79 Abilene Christian 70.5 +0.75 78 26
80 Oral Roberts 70.5 +0.75 78 31
81 UNLV 70.5 +0.75 78 31
82 Lindenwood 70.5 +0.75 78 29
83 Tennessee Tech 70.5 +0.74 77 30
84 Arkansas 70.5 +0.73 77 36
85 Missouri 70.5 +0.73 77 35
86 Queens University 70.5 +0.73 77 30
87 Iowa 70.4 +0.71 76 33
88 Seattle U 70.4 +0.71 76 30
89 Oakland 70.4 +0.71 76 31
90 Alabama A&M 70.4 +0.69 75 30
91 Lipscomb 70.4 +0.69 75 30
92 North Carolina A&T 70.3 +0.67 75 29
93 Illinois 70.3 +0.67 75 33
94 Prairie View A&M 70.3 +0.66 74 30
95 Marquette 70.3 +0.66 74 36
96 Cincinnati 70.3 +0.65 74 35
97 Washington 70.3 +0.65 73 32
98 North Carolina Central 70.3 +0.65 73 26
99 Eastern Illinois 70.2 +0.62 73 29
100 Purdue Fort Wayne 70.2 +0.62 73 30
101 Brown 70.2 +0.62 72 27
102 Georgetown 70.2 +0.62 72 32
103 Bethune-Cookman 70.1 +0.60 72 30
104 Youngstown State 70.1 +0.58 72 32
105 NC State 70.1 +0.58 71 34
106 Valparaiso 70.1 +0.58 71 31
107 Quinnipiac 70.1 +0.57 71 31
108 Kennesaw State 70.0 +0.56 70 32
109 UTSA 70.0 +0.56 70 30
110 North Alabama 70.0 +0.55 70 30
111 Fairleigh Dickinson 70.0 +0.54 70 35
112 Florida 70.0 +0.54 69 33
113 Northern Colorado 69.9 +0.53 69 31
114 Saint Joseph's 69.9 +0.52 69 33
115 Samford 69.9 +0.51 69 28
116 West Virginia 69.9 +0.50 68 34
117 Ohio 69.9 +0.49 68 32
118 Hampton 69.8 +0.49 68 31
119 Saint Louis 69.8 +0.49 67 32
120 Loyola Marymount 69.8 +0.49 67 30
121 South Florida 69.8 +0.48 67 32
122 UC Irvine 69.8 +0.47 67 33
123 Evansville 69.8 +0.47 66 32
124 Arizona State 69.8 +0.45 66 36
125 Creighton 69.7 +0.45 66 37
126 Denver 69.7 +0.44 65 30
127 Belmont 69.7 +0.44 65 31
128 North Florida 69.7 +0.43 65 29
129 Colorado 69.6 +0.38 65 35
130 UNC Asheville 69.5 +0.37 64 33
131 UMass Lowell 69.5 +0.37 64 32
132 Incarnate Word 69.5 +0.37 64 28
133 Providence 69.5 +0.36 64 33
134 Delaware State 69.5 +0.36 63 28
135 Kent State 69.5 +0.36 63 33
136 UIC 69.5 +0.35 63 31
137 UTEP 69.4 +0.33 62 30
138 Texas Tech 69.4 +0.32 62 32
139 Duquesne 69.4 +0.30 62 33
140 Furman 69.3 +0.29 62 33
141 Utah State 69.3 +0.29 61 34
142 Tulsa 69.3 +0.28 61 30
143 Lehigh 69.2 +0.26 61 28
144 Miami (OH) 69.2 +0.26 60 29
145 La Salle 69.2 +0.25 60 34
146 North Dakota State 69.2 +0.25 60 31
147 Miami 69.2 +0.24 60 37
148 Holy Cross 69.2 +0.23 59 30
149 Rhode Island 69.1 +0.23 59 31
150 Iona 69.1 +0.19 59 35
151 Princeton 69.1 +0.19 59 30
152 Florida State 69.0 +0.17 58 32
153 Coastal Carolina 69.0 +0.17 58 28
154 Chattanooga 69.0 +0.16 58 32
155 Saint Francis 69.0 +0.16 57 29
156 Central Michigan 69.0 +0.15 57 29
157 Canisius 69.0 +0.15 57 29
158 Pennsylvania 68.9 +0.14 57 29
159 Michigan 68.9 +0.13 56 34
160 Auburn 68.9 +0.13 56 34
161 Louisiana 68.9 +0.13 56 31
162 Alcorn State 68.9 +0.12 56 32
163 Western Carolina 68.8 +0.11 55 31
164 Syracuse 68.8 +0.11 55 32
165 Wichita State 68.8 +0.10 55 32
166 Mississippi Valley State 68.8 +0.08 54 32
167 Northwestern State 68.8 +0.08 54 32
168 Florida Atlantic 68.7 +0.06 54 37
169 Northern Arizona 68.7 +0.06 54 33
170 Louisiana Tech 68.7 +0.04 53 30
171 Eastern Washington 68.7 +0.03 53 33
172 Southern Miss 68.6 +0.02 53 30
173 Indiana 68.6 +0.01 52 35
174 USC 68.6 +0.01 52 33
175 East Carolina 68.6 +0.01 52 33
176 Clemson 68.6 +0.00 52 34
177 Troy 68.6 -0.00 51 30
178 UMBC 68.5 -0.01 51 31
179 Manhattan 68.5 -0.01 51 29
180 Ball State 68.5 -0.02 51 30
181 Oklahoma State 68.5 -0.03 50 36
182 Georgia 68.5 -0.03 50 32
183 Western Kentucky 68.5 -0.04 50 31
184 Monmouth 68.4 -0.05 49 33
185 Army 68.4 -0.06 49 31
186 Temple 68.4 -0.06 49 32
187 South Carolina Upstate 68.4 -0.07 49 30
188 UConn 68.4 -0.08 48 39
189 Detroit Mercy 68.4 -0.08 48 32
190 Harvard 68.4 -0.08 48 26
191 Alabama State 68.3 -0.08 48 30
192 Omaha 68.3 -0.08 47 31
193 McNeese 68.3 -0.08 47 33
194 Nebraska 68.3 -0.10 47 32
195 UC Riverside 68.3 -0.11 46 33
196 Stonehill 68.3 -0.11 46 30
197 East Texas A&M 68.3 -0.11 46 32
198 VCU 68.3 -0.12 46 35
199 North Dakota 68.2 -0.12 45 31
200 South Dakota State 68.2 -0.12 45 31
201 IU Indianapolis 68.2 -0.13 45 30
202 Tarleton State 68.2 -0.14 44 30
203 Drake 68.2 -0.15 44 34
204 UC San Diego 68.1 -0.16 44 28
205 Hofstra 68.1 -0.17 44 34
206 George Mason 68.1 -0.18 43 33
207 Pittsburgh 68.1 -0.19 43 36
208 Northern Iowa 68.1 -0.19 43 31
209 Western Illinois 68.0 -0.21 43 27
210 Baylor 68.0 -0.21 42 34
211 Lamar 68.0 -0.21 42 28
212 Georgia State 68.0 -0.21 42 28
213 UAlbany 68.0 -0.22 41 29
214 Norfolk State 68.0 -0.23 41 29
215 Yale 67.9 -0.25 41 28
216 Colgate 67.9 -0.26 41 34
217 Cleveland State 67.9 -0.27 40 33
218 Loyola Chicago 67.8 -0.28 40 31
219 UCF 67.8 -0.29 40 34
220 Gardner-Webb 67.8 -0.31 40 29
221 Murray State 67.7 -0.32 39 31
222 Grambling 67.7 -0.33 39 31
223 Binghamton 67.7 -0.34 39 29
224 Northeastern 67.7 -0.34 38 30
225 Delaware 67.7 -0.35 38 32
226 The Citadel 67.6 -0.35 38 31
227 Georgia Tech 67.6 -0.35 38 31
228 Montana State 67.6 -0.36 37 33
229 Seton Hall 67.6 -0.37 37 32
230 Boise State 67.6 -0.39 37 33
231 Winthrop 67.5 -0.39 36 30
232 Akron 67.5 -0.39 36 31
233 Nevada 67.5 -0.40 36 32
234 Vanderbilt 67.5 -0.41 36 37
235 NJIT 67.5 -0.42 35 29
236 Middle Tennessee 67.5 -0.42 35 31
237 VMI 67.4 -0.44 35 29
238 Richmond 67.4 -0.44 35 33
239 Idaho State 67.4 -0.44 34 30
240 Georgia Southern 67.4 -0.45 34 30
241 Siena 67.4 -0.45 34 32
242 Cal State Fullerton 67.4 -0.46 33 31
243 Kentucky 67.3 -0.49 33 34
244 Boston College 67.2 -0.50 33 33
245 UL Monroe 67.2 -0.51 33 29
246 Butler 67.2 -0.51 32 32
247 St. Bonaventure 67.2 -0.51 32 32
248 UNC Greensboro 67.2 -0.52 32 30
249 Maine 67.2 -0.52 31 28
250 Robert Morris 67.2 -0.52 31 31
251 Idaho 67.2 -0.53 31 30
252 UCLA 67.2 -0.53 31 37
253 Merrimack 67.2 -0.53 30 32
254 Texas A&M 67.1 -0.55 30 35
255 Virginia Tech 67.1 -0.56 30 34
256 Boston University 67.0 -0.58 30 30
257 Louisville 67.0 -0.58 29 32
258 San Diego State 67.0 -0.59 29 38
259 Colorado State 67.0 -0.60 29 32
260 Stetson 66.9 -0.62 28 29
261 Oklahoma 66.9 -0.63 28 32
262 Ole Miss 66.9 -0.64 28 33
263 Florida Gulf Coast 66.9 -0.65 28 31
264 Oregon 66.8 -0.69 27 36
265 Illinois State 66.7 -0.69 27 32
266 Utah 66.7 -0.70 27 32
267 South Dakota 66.7 -0.71 27 29
268 Wofford 66.7 -0.71 26 30
269 Weber State 66.7 -0.71 26 31
270 Western Michigan 66.7 -0.72 26 28
271 Loyola Maryland 66.7 -0.72 25 31
272 LSU 66.7 -0.73 25 33
273 Bucknell 66.7 -0.73 25 31
274 East Tennessee State 66.6 -0.73 25 30
275 Davidson 66.6 -0.73 24 31
276 St. Francis Brooklyn 66.6 -0.73 24 28
277 Longwood 66.6 -0.73 24 30
278 St. Thomas-Minnesota 66.6 -0.73 23 31
279 Rutgers 66.6 -0.74 23 34
280 Charleston Southern 66.6 -0.74 23 29
281 UT Arlington 66.6 -0.75 23 29
282 South Alabama 66.5 -0.78 22 33
283 Grand Canyon 66.5 -0.78 22 33
284 Elon 66.5 -0.79 22 30
285 Green Bay 66.5 -0.80 22 32
286 Central Connecticut 66.4 -0.81 21 32
287 Ohio State 66.4 -0.82 21 35
288 Towson 66.4 -0.82 21 33
289 Michigan State 66.4 -0.83 20 34
290 Mount St. Mary's 66.4 -0.83 20 32
291 Jacksonville State 66.4 -0.84 20 28
292 Bradley 66.2 -0.89 20 34
293 Florida A&M 66.2 -0.91 19 27
294 Wyoming 66.2 -0.91 19 30
295 Hartford 66.2 -0.91 19 25
296 Iowa State 66.2 -0.91 19 33
297 App State 66.2 -0.91 18 29
298 South Carolina 66.2 -0.92 18 32
299 Austin Peay 66.2 -0.92 18 28
300 Vermont 66.1 -0.93 17 33
301 Stanford 66.1 -0.93 17 33
302 California Baptist 66.1 -0.94 17 31
303 Tennessee 66.1 -0.94 17 36
304 New Hampshire 66.1 -0.94 16 28
305 Chicago State 66.0 -0.97 16 27
306 Morehead State 66.0 -0.99 16 30
307 Sam Houston 66.0 -1.00 15 30
308 UNC Wilmington 65.9 -1.00 15 32
309 Minnesota 65.9 -1.01 15 31
310 Mississippi State 65.9 -1.03 15 34
311 Rider 65.8 -1.04 14 29
312 Old Dominion 65.8 -1.05 14 30
313 Marist 65.7 -1.07 14 33
314 Duke 65.7 -1.07 14 36
315 Mercer 65.7 -1.09 13 31
316 Notre Dame 65.7 -1.10 13 32
317 Hawai'i 65.6 -1.12 13 32
318 Cal State Northridge 65.6 -1.12 12 30
319 Kansas City 65.6 -1.13 12 30
320 Campbell 65.6 -1.13 12 32
321 Fairfield 65.6 -1.14 12 30
322 Penn State 65.5 -1.18 11 37
323 Northwestern 65.5 -1.18 11 34
324 UC Santa Barbara 65.4 -1.19 11 33
325 Stony Brook 65.4 -1.20 10 31
326 Liberty 65.4 -1.22 10 33
327 William & Mary 65.3 -1.26 10 31
328 Villanova 65.2 -1.27 10 34
329 Navy 65.2 -1.28 9 30
330 Presbyterian 65.2 -1.28 9 30
331 Drexel 65.1 -1.31 9 31
332 Washington State 65.0 -1.35 9 34
333 Radford 65.0 -1.36 8 34
334 Cal Poly 65.0 -1.37 8 31
335 Southern Illinois 64.9 -1.39 8 32
336 Lafayette 64.9 -1.40 7 34
337 Houston 64.8 -1.42 7 37
338 California 64.8 -1.44 7 32
339 Oregon State 64.8 -1.45 7 31
340 Maryland 64.7 -1.47 6 35
341 Wisconsin 64.6 -1.53 6 35
342 Sacramento State 64.5 -1.55 6 30
343 Arkansas State 64.5 -1.55 6 30
344 Purdue 64.4 -1.58 5 35
345 Air Force 64.4 -1.59 5 32
346 Cal State Bakersfield 64.4 -1.60 5 31
347 Northern Kentucky 64.3 -1.62 4 33
348 Montana 64.3 -1.63 4 30
349 Saint Mary's 64.2 -1.66 4 34
350 Texas State 64.1 -1.69 4 32
351 Dayton 64.0 -1.73 3 34
352 Niagara 64.0 -1.73 3 30
353 Fresno State 63.8 -1.80 3 30
354 Wagner 63.8 -1.84 2 26
355 American University 63.6 -1.90 2 32
356 Missouri State 63.6 -1.91 2 31
357 San José State 63.5 -1.93 2 34
358 Saint Peter's 63.3 -2.00 1 31
359 Bellarmine 63.1 -2.09 1 30
360 Virginia 62.7 -2.24 1 33
361 Charlotte 62.6 -2.28 1 36
362 Jacksonville 61.3 -2.76 0 26
363 North Texas 60.3 -3.16 0 36