I'm the all night drug prowling wolf who looks so sick in sun / I'm the white man in the Palais "White Man in Hammersmith Palais" - The Clash

Does it predict winners?

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 38.6% max 63.2% mean 49.7% std 4.8% (n=363)

Team Rankings

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# Team Opponents' Win Percentage (OWP) z Pctl GP
1 San Diego State 63.2% +2.83 100 38
2 Alabama 62.4% +2.66 100 37
3 Arkansas 61.2% +2.40 99 36
4 Baylor 60.8% +2.33 99 34
5 Vanderbilt 60.8% +2.33 99 37
6 Gonzaga 60.3% +2.22 99 36
7 Kansas 60.1% +2.18 98 36
8 Tennessee 59.9% +2.14 98 36
9 Saint Mary's 59.9% +2.13 98 34
10 West Virginia 59.6% +2.07 98 34
11 Michigan State 59.1% +1.97 97 34
12 Creighton 59.0% +1.96 97 37
13 Auburn 59.0% +1.94 97 34
14 Xavier 58.7% +1.89 96 37
15 Texas 58.2% +1.78 96 38
16 Indiana 57.9% +1.72 96 35
17 Houston 57.8% +1.71 96 37
18 Oregon 57.8% +1.70 95 36
19 UConn 57.7% +1.69 95 39
20 Utah State 57.7% +1.67 95 34
21 Wyoming 57.6% +1.65 94 30
22 Oklahoma State 57.5% +1.65 94 36
23 Wisconsin 57.4% +1.62 94 35
24 Michigan 57.3% +1.60 94 34
25 Colorado 57.3% +1.60 93 35
26 Miami 57.2% +1.58 93 37
27 Vermont 57.2% +1.57 93 33
28 Pepperdine 57.2% +1.56 93 29
29 Arizona 57.1% +1.56 92 35
30 Duke 56.9% +1.51 92 36
31 North Carolina 56.9% +1.51 92 33
32 Florida 56.9% +1.50 91 33
33 Ole Miss 56.9% +1.50 91 33
34 Maryland 56.7% +1.47 91 35
35 Saint Louis 56.6% +1.45 91 32
36 Kentucky 56.6% +1.44 90 34
37 Oklahoma 56.2% +1.37 90 32
38 Purdue 55.9% +1.30 90 35
39 Washington State 55.8% +1.29 90 34
40 UCLA 55.8% +1.28 89 37
41 Virginia 55.7% +1.26 89 33
42 SMU 55.7% +1.25 89 32
43 Middle Tennessee 55.7% +1.25 88 31
44 Memphis 55.6% +1.24 88 35
45 Nevada 55.5% +1.21 88 32
46 New Mexico State 55.4% +1.20 88 21
47 Colorado State 55.3% +1.18 87 32
48 New Mexico 55.1% +1.14 87 33
49 Iowa State 55.1% +1.13 87 33
50 VCU 55.0% +1.12 86 35
51 Pittsburgh 54.9% +1.08 86 36
52 Penn State 54.8% +1.08 86 37
53 Boise State 54.7% +1.06 86 33
54 Seton Hall 54.7% +1.05 85 32
55 North Texas 54.7% +1.05 85 36
56 Ohio State 54.7% +1.04 85 35
57 George Mason 54.7% +1.04 85 33
58 Illinois 54.6% +1.03 84 33
59 Old Dominion 54.4% +0.99 84 30
60 Florida State 54.4% +0.98 84 32
61 Florida Atlantic 54.3% +0.97 83 37
62 Northwestern 54.3% +0.97 83 34
63 Rutgers 54.3% +0.97 83 34
64 Missouri 54.3% +0.97 83 35
65 South Dakota State 54.3% +0.96 82 31
66 Liberty 54.3% +0.96 82 33
67 DePaul 54.2% +0.95 82 33
68 Notre Dame 54.1% +0.93 81 32
69 Virginia Tech 54.0% +0.91 81 34
70 Kansas State 54.0% +0.91 81 36
71 Hofstra 54.0% +0.90 81 34
72 Mississippi State 53.9% +0.89 80 34
73 Iowa 53.9% +0.89 80 33
74 Northern Kentucky 53.8% +0.87 80 33
75 UNLV 53.8% +0.87 80 31
76 Nebraska 53.8% +0.85 79 32
77 UCF 53.7% +0.85 79 34
78 BYU 53.7% +0.85 79 32
79 Missouri State 53.6% +0.83 78 31
80 Louisville 53.6% +0.82 78 32
81 Tarleton State 53.4% +0.78 78 30
82 USC 53.4% +0.78 78 33
83 Long Beach State 53.4% +0.77 77 31
84 Buffalo 53.4% +0.77 77 30
85 Bradley 53.3% +0.76 77 34
86 California 53.3% +0.76 77 32
87 Arizona State 53.3% +0.76 76 36
88 Iona 53.3% +0.76 76 35
89 Temple 53.2% +0.74 76 32
90 Fresno State 53.2% +0.73 75 30
91 Cincinnati 53.1% +0.73 75 35
92 UTEP 53.1% +0.72 75 30
93 Davidson 53.1% +0.71 75 31
94 Villanova 53.0% +0.70 74 34
95 Butler 53.0% +0.69 74 32
96 Eastern Kentucky 52.8% +0.66 74 34
97 Marquette 52.7% +0.63 73 36
98 Massachusetts 52.6% +0.62 73 31
99 Texas A&M 52.6% +0.60 73 35
100 Grand Canyon 52.6% +0.60 73 33
101 Princeton 52.5% +0.60 72 30
102 Loyola Marymount 52.5% +0.59 72 30
103 Richmond 52.5% +0.59 72 33
104 UAB 52.5% +0.58 72 38
105 Stephen F. Austin 52.5% +0.58 71 29
106 Southern Miss 52.4% +0.57 71 30
107 Oral Roberts 52.4% +0.57 71 31
108 Belmont 52.4% +0.56 70 31
109 UNC Greensboro 52.4% +0.56 70 30
110 San José State 52.3% +0.56 70 34
111 Monmouth 52.3% +0.56 70 33
112 Rhode Island 52.3% +0.55 69 31
113 Louisiana Tech 52.3% +0.55 69 30
114 Omaha 52.2% +0.53 69 31
115 LSU 52.2% +0.52 69 33
116 Wichita State 52.1% +0.52 68 32
117 NC State 52.1% +0.51 68 34
118 Canisius 52.1% +0.50 68 29
119 UTSA 52.0% +0.48 67 30
120 Santa Clara 52.0% +0.48 67 32
121 Georgia Tech 51.7% +0.42 67 31
122 Washington 51.6% +0.41 67 32
123 Utah Valley 51.6% +0.41 66 34
124 Portland 51.6% +0.40 66 31
125 South Carolina 51.5% +0.38 66 32
126 Syracuse 51.5% +0.38 65 32
127 Montana 51.3% +0.34 65 30
128 Pennsylvania 51.3% +0.34 65 29
129 Wake Forest 51.3% +0.33 65 33
130 Duquesne 51.2% +0.33 64 33
131 Northern Iowa 51.2% +0.31 64 31
132 Troy 51.1% +0.29 64 30
133 Abilene Christian 51.0% +0.29 64 26
134 TCU 51.0% +0.28 63 35
135 Georgetown 51.0% +0.28 63 32
136 Southern Utah 51.0% +0.27 63 33
137 North Florida 50.9% +0.26 62 29
138 Providence 50.9% +0.25 62 33
139 Kennesaw State 50.8% +0.24 62 32
140 App State 50.8% +0.24 62 29
141 Montana State 50.8% +0.23 61 33
142 McNeese 50.7% +0.22 61 33
143 Florida International 50.7% +0.21 61 30
144 UT Arlington 50.7% +0.21 60 29
145 Dayton 50.7% +0.21 60 34
146 Rice 50.6% +0.20 60 32
147 Kent State 50.6% +0.20 60 33
148 William & Mary 50.6% +0.19 59 31
149 Sam Houston 50.6% +0.19 59 30
150 Boston College 50.5% +0.17 59 33
151 Louisiana 50.5% +0.16 59 31
152 Georgia 50.4% +0.16 58 32
153 UT Rio Grande Valley 50.4% +0.15 58 28
154 Chattanooga 50.4% +0.15 58 32
155 North Dakota State 50.4% +0.14 57 31
156 St. Bonaventure 50.3% +0.13 57 32
157 Coastal Carolina 50.3% +0.13 57 28
158 Saint Joseph's 50.2% +0.11 57 33
159 La Salle 50.2% +0.10 56 34
160 Harvard 50.1% +0.09 56 26
161 Marshall 50.1% +0.09 56 31
162 Furman 50.1% +0.09 56 33
163 George Washington 50.1% +0.09 55 31
164 Milwaukee 49.9% +0.06 55 31
165 Akron 49.9% +0.05 55 31
166 Texas Tech 49.9% +0.05 54 32
167 South Alabama 49.9% +0.05 54 33
168 Austin Peay 49.9% +0.05 54 28
169 San Diego 49.8% +0.03 54 29
170 South Carolina State 49.8% +0.03 53 30
171 Jacksonville 49.8% +0.03 53 26
172 Stetson 49.8% +0.03 53 29
173 Tulsa 49.8% +0.03 52 30
174 Georgia State 49.8% +0.03 52 28
175 Morgan State 49.7% +0.01 52 27
176 UL Monroe 49.7% +0.01 52 29
177 North Carolina Central 49.7% +0.01 51 26
178 Northern Arizona 49.7% +0.00 51 33
179 Minnesota 49.7% -0.00 51 31
180 Lafayette 49.7% -0.00 51 34
181 Clemson 49.6% -0.01 50 34
182 Bellarmine 49.6% -0.02 50 30
183 Cal State Fullerton 49.5% -0.04 50 31
184 Southern Illinois 49.3% -0.08 49 32
185 Maryland Eastern Shore 49.2% -0.09 49 27
186 Morehead State 49.2% -0.09 49 30
187 Bryant 49.2% -0.10 49 28
188 Dartmouth 49.2% -0.10 48 26
189 Utah Tech 49.2% -0.10 48 30
190 Sacramento State 49.1% -0.11 48 30
191 South Florida 49.1% -0.12 48 32
192 Drake 49.1% -0.13 47 34
193 Stanford 49.0% -0.13 47 33
194 Yale 49.0% -0.14 47 28
195 Georgia Southern 49.0% -0.15 46 30
196 Coppin State 49.0% -0.15 46 32
197 UNC Wilmington 48.9% -0.15 46 32
198 Seattle U 48.9% -0.16 46 30
199 Fairfield 48.8% -0.18 45 30
200 Oakland 48.8% -0.19 45 31
201 Long Island University 48.7% -0.20 45 27
202 Florida Gulf Coast 48.6% -0.22 44 31
203 Tulane 48.5% -0.24 44 31
204 Oregon State 48.5% -0.25 44 31
205 Evansville 48.4% -0.26 44 32
206 St. John's 48.4% -0.26 43 33
207 VMI 48.4% -0.27 43 29
208 Utah 48.4% -0.27 43 32
209 Toledo 48.4% -0.27 43 34
210 Charlotte 48.3% -0.28 42 36
211 UC Davis 48.3% -0.29 42 30
212 James Madison 48.2% -0.30 42 30
213 Columbia 48.2% -0.30 41 27
214 Southeast Missouri State 48.2% -0.30 41 34
215 Portland State 48.1% -0.32 41 29
216 Hampton 48.1% -0.33 41 31
217 Brown 48.1% -0.34 40 27
218 North Carolina A&T 48.0% -0.34 40 29
219 Binghamton 48.0% -0.35 40 29
220 Western Kentucky 48.0% -0.35 40 31
221 Central Arkansas 48.0% -0.35 39 30
222 Radford 48.0% -0.35 39 34
223 UC San Diego 47.9% -0.37 39 28
224 Delaware 47.9% -0.38 38 32
225 Cornell 47.8% -0.40 38 26
226 Colgate 47.7% -0.41 38 34
227 Detroit Mercy 47.7% -0.41 38 32
228 Texas Southern 47.7% -0.41 37 33
229 San Francisco 47.6% -0.43 37 33
230 Stony Brook 47.6% -0.43 37 31
231 UC Irvine 47.5% -0.45 36 33
232 Campbell 47.5% -0.46 36 32
233 Manhattan 47.4% -0.48 36 29
234 South Dakota 47.3% -0.50 36 29
235 Loyola Chicago 47.3% -0.50 35 31
236 Valparaiso 47.2% -0.51 35 31
237 Charleston 47.2% -0.51 35 34
238 Miami (OH) 47.2% -0.52 35 29
239 Alcorn State 47.2% -0.52 34 32
240 Murray State 47.2% -0.52 34 31
241 Tennessee Tech 47.2% -0.52 34 30
242 Ohio 47.2% -0.53 33 32
243 Kansas City 47.1% -0.53 33 30
244 UC Riverside 47.1% -0.53 33 33
245 Northern Colorado 47.1% -0.53 33 31
246 Holy Cross 47.1% -0.54 32 30
247 Indiana State 47.1% -0.54 32 35
248 Gardner-Webb 47.0% -0.55 32 29
249 Delaware State 47.0% -0.56 31 28
250 Purdue Fort Wayne 47.0% -0.56 31 30
251 Navy 46.9% -0.57 31 30
252 Merrimack 46.9% -0.57 31 32
253 Fordham 46.9% -0.58 30 33
254 Mercer 46.9% -0.58 30 31
255 UNC Asheville 46.9% -0.59 30 33
256 Hartford 46.8% -0.60 30 25
257 Mount St. Mary's 46.7% -0.62 29 32
258 Maine 46.6% -0.65 29 28
259 Eastern Michigan 46.6% -0.65 29 30
260 Winthrop 46.6% -0.65 28 30
261 Pacific 46.5% -0.66 28 31
262 North Alabama 46.5% -0.66 28 30
263 NJIT 46.5% -0.66 28 29
264 SIU Edwardsville 46.5% -0.67 27 30
265 Jacksonville State 46.5% -0.67 27 28
266 High Point 46.4% -0.69 27 29
267 St. Thomas-Minnesota 46.4% -0.69 27 31
268 East Tennessee State 46.4% -0.69 26 30
269 Stonehill 46.4% -0.69 26 30
270 Illinois State 46.3% -0.70 26 32
271 Texas State 46.3% -0.70 25 32
272 East Carolina 46.3% -0.70 25 33
273 Howard 46.3% -0.70 25 32
274 Lehigh 46.2% -0.72 25 28
275 SE Louisiana 46.2% -0.73 24 29
276 Northern Illinois 46.2% -0.73 24 30
277 Cal Poly 46.2% -0.73 24 31
278 Nicholls 46.1% -0.74 23 27
279 Charleston Southern 46.1% -0.74 23 29
280 Rider 46.1% -0.74 23 29
281 Mississippi Valley State 46.0% -0.77 23 32
282 North Dakota 46.0% -0.78 22 31
283 UAlbany 45.9% -0.78 22 29
284 Boston University 45.9% -0.78 22 31
285 Quinnipiac 45.9% -0.79 22 31
286 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 45.9% -0.79 21 31
287 Queens University 45.9% -0.80 21 30
288 South Carolina Upstate 45.8% -0.80 21 30
289 Drexel 45.8% -0.81 20 31
290 Western Carolina 45.8% -0.81 20 31
291 Marist 45.7% -0.83 20 33
292 Norfolk State 45.7% -0.83 20 29
293 Lipscomb 45.6% -0.85 19 30
294 Cal State Bakersfield 45.6% -0.86 19 31
295 Western Michigan 45.6% -0.86 19 28
296 Chicago State 45.5% -0.87 19 27
297 Air Force 45.5% -0.87 18 32
298 New Hampshire 45.5% -0.88 18 28
299 Weber State 45.3% -0.92 18 31
300 Eastern Washington 45.3% -0.92 17 33
301 Wofford 45.2% -0.94 17 30
302 Northwestern State 45.1% -0.96 17 32
303 Cleveland State 45.1% -0.96 17 33
304 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 44.8% -1.02 16 27
305 Hawai'i 44.8% -1.02 16 32
306 Northeastern 44.8% -1.02 16 30
307 Green Bay 44.6% -1.06 15 32
308 Bowling Green 44.5% -1.08 15 29
309 Little Rock 44.5% -1.09 15 29
310 Idaho State 44.3% -1.12 15 30
311 Elon 44.3% -1.13 14 30
312 Southern 44.3% -1.13 14 30
313 UIC 44.3% -1.13 14 31
314 Towson 44.1% -1.16 14 33
315 UC Santa Barbara 44.1% -1.16 13 33
316 Central Michigan 44.1% -1.16 13 29
317 Ball State 44.0% -1.18 13 30
318 Western Illinois 44.0% -1.18 12 27
319 Alabama State 44.0% -1.19 12 30
320 The Citadel 44.0% -1.19 12 31
321 Southern Indiana 44.0% -1.19 12 30
322 Robert Morris 43.9% -1.20 11 31
323 California Baptist 43.9% -1.21 11 31
324 Alabama A&M 43.9% -1.21 11 30
325 Youngstown State 43.8% -1.23 10 32
326 Saint Peter's 43.8% -1.23 10 31
327 Saint Francis 43.8% -1.24 10 29
328 Samford 43.8% -1.24 10 28
329 Cal State Northridge 43.6% -1.26 9 30
330 New Orleans 43.5% -1.29 9 30
331 Arkansas State 43.5% -1.29 9 30
332 Wright State 43.5% -1.30 9 31
333 Lindenwood 43.5% -1.30 8 29
334 Houston Christian 43.5% -1.30 8 29
335 Niagara 43.4% -1.31 8 30
336 Loyola Maryland 43.3% -1.33 7 31
337 UT Martin 43.3% -1.34 7 29
338 Presbyterian 43.3% -1.34 7 30
339 Army 42.9% -1.42 7 31
340 IU Indianapolis 42.8% -1.45 6 30
341 Florida A&M 42.7% -1.47 6 27
342 Prairie View A&M 42.6% -1.48 6 30
343 Central Connecticut 42.4% -1.52 6 32
344 Jackson State 42.4% -1.53 5 33
345 Siena 42.3% -1.54 5 32
346 Longwood 42.3% -1.55 5 30
347 East Texas A&M 42.0% -1.60 4 32
348 Fairleigh Dickinson 41.9% -1.62 4 35
349 Eastern Illinois 41.9% -1.62 4 29
350 St. Francis Brooklyn 41.8% -1.64 4 28
351 Lamar 41.8% -1.65 3 28
352 Grambling 41.8% -1.65 3 31
353 UMBC 41.7% -1.67 3 31
354 Incarnate Word 41.6% -1.68 2 28
355 Bucknell 41.3% -1.76 2 31
356 UMass Lowell 40.1% -1.99 2 32
357 Tennessee State 40.1% -2.01 2 28
358 Wagner 39.8% -2.06 1 26
359 Denver 39.5% -2.13 1 30
360 American University 39.4% -2.16 1 32
361 Idaho 39.3% -2.17 1 30
362 Bethune-Cookman 38.7% -2.29 0 30
363 Sacred Heart 38.6% -2.32 0 32