You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Predicts home win: AUC 0.56 (team entering with the better value wins 55% of games)

Based on 5499 of 5721 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 5.9 max 13.9 mean 9.8 std 1.6 (n=363)

Team Rankings

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# Team Offensive Rebounds Per Game z Pctl GP
1 Kentucky 13.9 +2.49 100 34
2 South Carolina State 13.8 +2.44 100 30
3 UAB 13.6 +2.31 99 38
4 Charleston 13.3 +2.15 99 34
5 Saint Peter's 13.3 +2.15 99 31
6 Kansas City 13.2 +2.10 99 30
7 Eastern Kentucky 13.2 +2.08 98 34
8 St. John's 13.1 +2.03 98 33
9 Detroit Mercy 13.1 +2.01 98 32
10 Alabama 13.1 +2.00 98 37
11 Massachusetts 13.0 +1.97 97 31
12 UConn 13.0 +1.95 97 39
13 Mississippi State 12.9 +1.92 97 34
14 Long Beach State 12.9 +1.92 96 31
15 Tennessee 12.9 +1.89 96 36
16 Houston 12.8 +1.84 96 37
17 Wagner 12.5 +1.67 96 26
18 Cleveland State 12.5 +1.62 95 33
19 Texas A&M 12.4 +1.61 95 35
20 Duquesne 12.4 +1.60 95 33
21 Alabama State 12.4 +1.57 94 30
22 Towson 12.3 +1.55 94 33
23 Southern Indiana 12.3 +1.55 94 30
24 Purdue 12.3 +1.52 94 35
25 Northwestern State 12.3 +1.52 93 32
26 East Carolina 12.2 +1.48 93 33
27 McNeese 12.2 +1.44 93 33
28 Providence 12.1 +1.42 93 33
29 Old Dominion 12.1 +1.39 92 30
30 Iowa 12.1 +1.38 92 33
31 Alcorn State 12.0 +1.35 92 32
32 Duke 12.0 +1.35 91 36
33 Marshall 12.0 +1.35 91 31
34 Ole Miss 12.0 +1.35 91 33
35 Buffalo 12.0 +1.33 91 30
36 Ohio 11.9 +1.31 90 32
37 South Florida 11.9 +1.29 90 32
38 Western Michigan 11.9 +1.26 90 28
39 UT Arlington 11.8 +1.24 90 29
40 South Carolina 11.8 +1.23 89 32
41 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 11.8 +1.23 89 31
42 San José State 11.7 +1.18 89 34
43 Rhode Island 11.7 +1.17 88 31
44 Prairie View A&M 11.7 +1.14 88 30
45 UMass Lowell 11.7 +1.14 88 32
46 Auburn 11.6 +1.13 88 34
47 Jackson State 11.6 +1.12 87 33
48 UTEP 11.6 +1.10 87 30
49 Howard 11.6 +1.10 87 32
50 Rutgers 11.6 +1.10 86 34
51 UCF 11.6 +1.08 86 34
52 Chicago State 11.5 +1.05 86 27
53 Milwaukee 11.5 +1.05 86 31
54 Iowa State 11.5 +1.05 85 33
55 Baylor 11.5 +1.04 85 34
56 TCU 11.5 +1.03 85 35
57 Quinnipiac 11.5 +1.03 85 31
58 LSU 11.4 +0.98 84 33
59 Oklahoma State 11.4 +0.97 84 36
60 Charleston Southern 11.4 +0.97 84 29
61 James Madison 11.4 +0.96 83 30
62 UC Riverside 11.4 +0.96 83 33
63 Missouri State 11.4 +0.95 83 31
64 UCLA 11.3 +0.93 83 37
65 NC State 11.3 +0.93 82 34
66 High Point 11.3 +0.93 82 29
67 Seattle U 11.3 +0.92 82 30
68 La Salle 11.3 +0.92 81 34
69 Vanderbilt 11.3 +0.90 81 37
70 West Virginia 11.3 +0.90 81 34
71 Rider 11.2 +0.88 81 29
72 Longwood 11.2 +0.88 80 30
73 UC Davis 11.2 +0.88 80 30
74 Lamar 11.2 +0.87 80 28
75 Cincinnati 11.2 +0.86 80 35
76 Morgan State 11.2 +0.85 79 27
77 Kent State 11.2 +0.85 79 33
78 North Carolina 11.2 +0.85 79 33
79 Utah 11.2 +0.83 78 32
80 Fairleigh Dickinson 11.1 +0.81 78 35
81 Iona 11.1 +0.81 78 35
82 SIU Edwardsville 11.1 +0.80 78 30
83 Illinois 11.1 +0.79 77 33
84 Colorado 11.1 +0.79 77 35
85 Central Arkansas 11.1 +0.78 77 30
86 Northern Kentucky 11.1 +0.77 77 33
87 Oregon 11.1 +0.77 76 36
88 Northeastern 11.0 +0.76 76 30
89 Delaware State 11.0 +0.74 76 28
90 Louisiana 11.0 +0.74 75 31
91 St. Francis Brooklyn 11.0 +0.74 75 28
92 Arizona State 11.0 +0.72 75 36
93 Monmouth 10.9 +0.70 75 33
94 BYU 10.9 +0.68 74 32
95 Coastal Carolina 10.9 +0.67 74 28
96 Nicholls 10.9 +0.67 74 27
97 Washington State 10.9 +0.65 73 34
98 Texas Southern 10.8 +0.65 73 33
99 Georgia 10.8 +0.64 73 32
100 Florida Atlantic 10.8 +0.64 73 37
101 Central Michigan 10.8 +0.63 72 29
102 San Diego State 10.8 +0.63 72 38
103 Fordham 10.8 +0.61 72 33
104 Georgetown 10.8 +0.60 72 32
105 North Carolina Central 10.8 +0.60 71 26
106 Bowling Green 10.8 +0.59 71 29
107 Little Rock 10.8 +0.59 71 29
108 Middle Tennessee 10.7 +0.56 70 31
109 Sacramento State 10.7 +0.55 70 30
110 Troy 10.7 +0.55 70 30
111 Queens University 10.7 +0.55 70 30
112 Stephen F. Austin 10.7 +0.55 69 29
113 Santa Clara 10.7 +0.53 69 32
114 Grambling 10.6 +0.50 69 31
115 Southern Miss 10.6 +0.49 69 30
116 Sacred Heart 10.6 +0.49 68 32
117 Norfolk State 10.6 +0.49 68 29
118 Ohio State 10.6 +0.48 68 35
119 Saint Mary's 10.6 +0.47 67 34
120 SMU 10.5 +0.41 67 32
121 Seton Hall 10.5 +0.41 67 32
122 Boston University 10.4 +0.39 67 30
123 VMI 10.4 +0.38 66 29
124 Texas Tech 10.4 +0.38 66 32
125 Ball State 10.4 +0.37 66 30
126 Memphis 10.4 +0.37 65 35
127 Harvard 10.4 +0.36 65 26
128 Miami 10.4 +0.36 65 37
129 Saint Joseph's 10.4 +0.35 65 33
130 Stanford 10.4 +0.35 64 33
131 Arkansas 10.4 +0.35 64 36
132 Gonzaga 10.4 +0.35 64 36
133 California Baptist 10.4 +0.34 64 31
134 Robert Morris 10.3 +0.33 63 31
135 Georgia State 10.3 +0.32 63 28
136 Cornell 10.3 +0.32 63 26
137 Northwestern 10.3 +0.31 62 34
138 Hampton 10.3 +0.31 62 31
139 Canisius 10.3 +0.30 62 29
140 Xavier 10.3 +0.29 62 37
141 UTSA 10.3 +0.29 61 30
142 Mercer 10.3 +0.29 61 31
143 North Texas 10.3 +0.28 61 36
144 Louisiana Tech 10.2 +0.27 60 30
145 Loyola Marymount 10.2 +0.27 60 30
146 UNLV 10.2 +0.27 60 31
147 Texas State 10.2 +0.26 60 32
148 Bryant 10.2 +0.26 59 28
149 Sam Houston 10.2 +0.25 59 30
150 Radford 10.2 +0.24 59 34
151 Arizona 10.2 +0.23 59 35
152 Alabama A&M 10.2 +0.23 58 30
153 Presbyterian 10.1 +0.21 58 30
154 Central Connecticut 10.1 +0.21 58 32
155 Saint Louis 10.1 +0.21 57 32
156 Syracuse 10.1 +0.21 57 32
157 Youngstown State 10.1 +0.21 57 32
158 Pittsburgh 10.1 +0.20 57 36
159 UT Rio Grande Valley 10.1 +0.19 56 28
160 Akron 10.1 +0.19 56 31
161 Georgia Tech 10.1 +0.19 56 31
162 Siena 10.1 +0.19 56 32
163 Tennessee State 10.1 +0.17 55 28
164 East Tennessee State 10.1 +0.17 55 30
165 Utah Valley 10.1 +0.16 55 34
166 Stetson 10.0 +0.15 54 29
167 Navy 10.0 +0.15 54 30
168 Pennsylvania 10.0 +0.13 54 29
169 Southern Utah 10.0 +0.13 54 33
170 Toledo 10.0 +0.11 53 34
171 Bethune-Cookman 10.0 +0.11 53 30
172 San Diego 10.0 +0.11 53 29
173 UL Monroe 10.0 +0.11 52 29
174 Jacksonville State 10.0 +0.11 52 28
175 Drexel 9.9 +0.09 52 31
176 UNC Greensboro 9.9 +0.09 52 30
177 UAlbany 9.9 +0.09 51 29
178 New Hampshire 9.9 +0.09 51 28
179 SE Louisiana 9.9 +0.07 51 29
180 Grand Canyon 9.9 +0.06 51 33
181 Mississippi Valley State 9.9 +0.05 50 32
182 Arkansas State 9.9 +0.05 50 30
183 Kansas State 9.9 +0.04 50 36
184 UT Martin 9.8 +0.02 49 29
185 Furman 9.8 +0.02 49 33
186 Kansas 9.8 +0.01 49 36
187 Princeton 9.8 +0.01 49 30
188 Houston Christian 9.8 +0.00 48 29
189 Hawai'i 9.8 -0.00 48 32
190 Maryland 9.8 -0.01 48 35
191 Fairfield 9.8 -0.01 48 30
192 Purdue Fort Wayne 9.8 -0.01 47 30
193 Wichita State 9.8 -0.02 47 32
194 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 9.7 -0.03 47 27
195 Temple 9.7 -0.04 46 32
196 Texas 9.7 -0.05 46 38
197 New Mexico 9.7 -0.06 46 33
198 Northern Arizona 9.6 -0.09 46 33
199 Binghamton 9.6 -0.10 45 29
200 Bradley 9.6 -0.10 45 34
201 Columbia 9.6 -0.12 45 27
202 Gardner-Webb 9.6 -0.12 44 29
203 New Orleans 9.6 -0.13 44 30
204 Western Illinois 9.6 -0.14 44 27
205 Cal State Northridge 9.5 -0.15 44 30
206 New Mexico State 9.5 -0.16 43 21
207 Utah Tech 9.5 -0.20 43 30
208 Yale 9.5 -0.20 43 28
209 Maryland Eastern Shore 9.4 -0.21 43 27
210 Dayton 9.4 -0.21 42 34
211 San Francisco 9.4 -0.22 42 33
212 Chattanooga 9.4 -0.23 42 32
213 St. Bonaventure 9.4 -0.23 41 32
214 USC 9.4 -0.24 41 33
215 Murray State 9.4 -0.26 41 31
216 William & Mary 9.4 -0.26 41 31
217 Kennesaw State 9.3 -0.27 40 32
218 Boston College 9.3 -0.28 40 33
219 UC Irvine 9.3 -0.28 40 33
220 Samford 9.3 -0.28 40 28
221 Pepperdine 9.3 -0.29 39 29
222 Florida A&M 9.3 -0.30 39 27
223 Austin Peay 9.3 -0.31 39 28
224 Mount St. Mary's 9.3 -0.31 38 32
225 Wofford 9.3 -0.32 38 30
226 UMBC 9.3 -0.32 38 31
227 VCU 9.3 -0.32 38 35
228 DePaul 9.2 -0.33 37 33
229 North Carolina A&T 9.2 -0.35 37 29
230 Louisville 9.2 -0.37 37 32
231 Indiana 9.2 -0.38 36 35
232 Georgia Southern 9.2 -0.38 36 30
233 Florida Gulf Coast 9.2 -0.38 36 31
234 Western Carolina 9.2 -0.38 36 31
235 George Mason 9.2 -0.39 35 33
236 IU Indianapolis 9.1 -0.40 35 30
237 North Dakota 9.1 -0.40 35 31
238 Abilene Christian 9.1 -0.41 35 26
239 Eastern Illinois 9.1 -0.42 34 29
240 North Florida 9.1 -0.42 34 29
241 Denver 9.1 -0.42 34 30
242 UNC Wilmington 9.1 -0.42 33 32
243 Manhattan 9.1 -0.44 33 29
244 Western Kentucky 9.1 -0.44 33 31
245 Incarnate Word 9.0 -0.46 33 28
246 Tulsa 9.0 -0.46 32 30
247 Southeast Missouri State 9.0 -0.46 32 33
248 Michigan State 9.0 -0.46 32 34
249 Boise State 9.0 -0.48 31 33
250 Cal State Bakersfield 9.0 -0.48 31 31
251 Washington 8.9 -0.52 31 32
252 Wright State 8.9 -0.52 31 31
253 Long Island University 8.9 -0.52 30 27
254 Marist 8.9 -0.53 30 33
255 Brown 8.9 -0.55 30 27
256 Cal State Fullerton 8.9 -0.56 30 31
257 Missouri 8.9 -0.57 29 35
258 Michigan 8.9 -0.57 29 34
259 East Texas A&M 8.8 -0.57 29 32
260 Loyola Maryland 8.8 -0.58 28 31
261 Morehead State 8.8 -0.58 28 30
262 Marquette 8.8 -0.60 28 36
263 Illinois State 8.8 -0.63 28 32
264 Eastern Michigan 8.7 -0.64 27 30
265 George Washington 8.7 -0.66 27 31
266 Tarleton State 8.7 -0.66 27 30
267 California 8.7 -0.67 27 32
268 Florida State 8.7 -0.67 26 32
269 App State 8.6 -0.71 26 29
270 Utah State 8.6 -0.71 26 34
271 Eastern Washington 8.6 -0.72 25 33
272 Northern Illinois 8.6 -0.72 25 30
273 Miami (OH) 8.6 -0.73 25 29
274 Portland State 8.6 -0.73 25 29
275 Florida International 8.6 -0.74 24 30
276 Oral Roberts 8.5 -0.75 24 31
277 Delaware 8.5 -0.76 24 32
278 Elon 8.5 -0.78 23 30
279 Virginia Tech 8.5 -0.80 23 34
280 Southern 8.5 -0.80 23 30
281 Tennessee Tech 8.5 -0.80 23 30
282 Minnesota 8.5 -0.81 22 31
283 South Dakota 8.4 -0.84 22 29
284 Hartford 8.4 -0.84 22 25
285 Florida 8.4 -0.85 22 33
286 Lafayette 8.4 -0.87 21 34
287 NJIT 8.3 -0.88 21 29
288 Saint Francis 8.3 -0.88 21 29
289 Wake Forest 8.3 -0.89 20 33
290 Oakland 8.3 -0.89 20 31
291 Belmont 8.3 -0.91 20 31
292 Davidson 8.3 -0.91 20 31
293 UNC Asheville 8.3 -0.92 19 33
294 Virginia 8.3 -0.92 19 33
295 Creighton 8.3 -0.92 19 37
296 Nebraska 8.3 -0.94 19 32
297 Lipscomb 8.2 -0.95 18 30
298 Rice 8.2 -0.95 18 32
299 UIC 8.2 -0.97 18 31
300 Dartmouth 8.2 -0.97 17 26
301 Northern Colorado 8.2 -0.99 17 31
302 Lindenwood 8.1 -1.00 17 29
303 South Carolina Upstate 8.1 -1.01 17 30
304 North Dakota State 8.1 -1.01 16 31
305 North Alabama 8.1 -1.03 16 30
306 Omaha 8.1 -1.03 16 31
307 American University 8.1 -1.03 15 32
308 Idaho State 8.1 -1.05 15 30
309 Cal Poly 8.1 -1.05 15 31
310 Liberty 8.1 -1.05 15 33
311 Bucknell 8.0 -1.07 14 31
312 Montana State 8.0 -1.09 14 33
313 Pacific 8.0 -1.09 14 31
314 UC San Diego 8.0 -1.09 14 28
315 Portland 8.0 -1.11 13 31
316 St. Thomas-Minnesota 8.0 -1.11 13 31
317 Fresno State 8.0 -1.11 13 30
318 Wisconsin 7.9 -1.12 12 35
319 Oregon State 7.9 -1.13 12 31
320 Niagara 7.9 -1.13 12 30
321 Wyoming 7.9 -1.15 12 30
322 Evansville 7.9 -1.16 11 32
323 Winthrop 7.9 -1.17 11 30
324 UC Santa Barbara 7.8 -1.18 11 33
325 Army 7.8 -1.21 10 31
326 Colgate 7.8 -1.21 10 34
327 Drake 7.8 -1.21 10 34
328 Holy Cross 7.7 -1.25 10 30
329 Valparaiso 7.7 -1.26 9 31
330 Hofstra 7.6 -1.32 9 34
331 Campbell 7.6 -1.35 9 32
332 Loyola Chicago 7.5 -1.38 9 31
333 Northern Iowa 7.5 -1.38 8 31
334 Maine 7.5 -1.41 8 28
335 Clemson 7.4 -1.45 8 34
336 Nevada 7.4 -1.45 7 32
337 Green Bay 7.3 -1.49 7 32
338 Montana 7.3 -1.49 7 30
339 Stony Brook 7.3 -1.52 7 31
340 Oklahoma 7.3 -1.54 6 32
341 Villanova 7.2 -1.55 6 34
342 Jacksonville 7.2 -1.56 6 26
343 Southern Illinois 6.9 -1.73 6 32
344 South Dakota State 6.9 -1.76 5 31
345 The Citadel 6.9 -1.76 5 31
346 Richmond 6.8 -1.79 5 33
347 South Alabama 6.8 -1.79 4 33
348 Tulane 6.8 -1.81 4 31
349 Merrimack 6.8 -1.85 4 32
350 Indiana State 6.7 -1.85 4 35
351 Air Force 6.7 -1.91 3 32
352 Notre Dame 6.6 -1.96 3 32
353 Weber State 6.5 -1.97 3 31
354 Butler 6.5 -2.02 2 32
355 Coppin State 6.5 -2.02 2 32
356 Charlotte 6.4 -2.05 2 36
357 Lehigh 6.3 -2.13 2 28
358 Penn State 6.1 -2.22 1 37
359 Bellarmine 6.1 -2.24 1 30
360 Vermont 6.1 -2.25 1 33
361 Idaho 6.1 -2.26 1 30
362 Stonehill 6.1 -2.26 0 30
363 Colorado State 5.9 -2.34 0 32