Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Predicts home win: AUC 0.59 (team entering with the better value wins 57% of games)

Based on 5499 of 5721 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 18.7% max 39.2% mean 28.4% std 4.0% (n=363)

Team Rankings

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# Team Offensive Rebound Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Kentucky 39.2% +2.71 100 34
2 UConn 38.4% +2.52 100 39
3 Purdue 38.4% +2.50 99 35
4 Houston 37.1% +2.19 99 37
5 Texas A&M 36.7% +2.09 99 35
6 Tennessee 36.4% +2.01 99 36
7 Saint Peter's 36.4% +2.01 98 31
8 Kansas City 35.9% +1.89 98 30
9 Duke 35.9% +1.88 98 36
10 UAB 35.8% +1.86 98 38
11 Detroit Mercy 35.8% +1.85 97 32
12 Towson 35.7% +1.83 97 33
13 UMass Lowell 35.7% +1.82 97 32
14 Mississippi State 35.5% +1.79 96 34
15 Cleveland State 34.9% +1.62 96 33
16 Providence 34.8% +1.61 96 33
17 San José State 34.7% +1.59 96 34
18 Charleston 34.6% +1.56 95 34
19 Long Beach State 34.6% +1.56 95 31
20 Massachusetts 34.5% +1.52 95 31
21 Wagner 34.4% +1.51 94 26
22 Baylor 34.4% +1.51 94 34
23 South Carolina State 34.2% +1.47 94 30
24 Alabama 34.2% +1.46 94 37
25 St. John's 34.0% +1.42 93 33
26 West Virginia 34.0% +1.41 93 34
27 Rider 34.0% +1.40 93 29
28 Iowa State 33.9% +1.38 93 33
29 Howard 33.7% +1.34 92 32
30 Alcorn State 33.7% +1.33 92 32
31 UCF 33.6% +1.30 92 34
32 Chicago State 33.5% +1.27 91 27
33 Norfolk State 33.4% +1.27 91 29
34 Duquesne 33.4% +1.27 91 33
35 Eastern Kentucky 33.4% +1.25 91 34
36 North Texas 33.4% +1.25 90 36
37 Louisiana 33.3% +1.24 90 31
38 McNeese 33.3% +1.23 90 33
39 Ole Miss 33.3% +1.23 90 33
40 Northwestern State 33.3% +1.22 89 32
41 Missouri State 33.2% +1.22 89 31
42 UTEP 33.2% +1.20 89 30
43 Jackson State 33.1% +1.19 88 33
44 UCLA 33.0% +1.17 88 37
45 South Florida 33.0% +1.16 88 32
46 Western Michigan 33.0% +1.15 88 28
47 East Carolina 33.0% +1.14 87 33
48 Sacramento State 32.9% +1.13 87 30
49 Auburn 32.8% +1.11 87 34
50 Old Dominion 32.8% +1.11 86 30
51 Ohio 32.8% +1.10 86 32
52 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 32.8% +1.10 86 31
53 UT Arlington 32.7% +1.09 86 29
54 Saint Mary's 32.7% +1.09 85 34
55 South Carolina 32.7% +1.07 85 32
56 Oklahoma State 32.6% +1.07 85 36
57 Oregon 32.5% +1.04 85 36
58 Milwaukee 32.5% +1.03 84 31
59 North Carolina Central 32.3% +0.99 84 26
60 Quinnipiac 32.2% +0.97 84 31
61 Charleston Southern 32.2% +0.96 83 29
62 Longwood 32.2% +0.96 83 30
63 UC Davis 32.2% +0.96 83 30
64 TCU 32.2% +0.95 83 35
65 Buffalo 32.2% +0.95 82 30
66 Iowa 32.1% +0.94 82 33
67 Southern Indiana 32.1% +0.94 82 30
68 Rutgers 32.1% +0.93 81 34
69 Lamar 32.1% +0.92 81 28
70 Texas Tech 32.1% +0.92 81 32
71 Alabama State 31.9% +0.89 81 30
72 Middle Tennessee 31.9% +0.87 80 31
73 Miami 31.8% +0.85 80 37
74 UC Riverside 31.8% +0.85 80 33
75 BYU 31.8% +0.84 80 32
76 Northeastern 31.7% +0.84 79 30
77 LSU 31.7% +0.84 79 33
78 Marshall 31.7% +0.83 79 31
79 Prairie View A&M 31.7% +0.82 78 30
80 Grambling 31.7% +0.82 78 31
81 Stephen F. Austin 31.7% +0.82 78 29
82 San Diego State 31.6% +0.81 78 38
83 Texas State 31.6% +0.80 77 32
84 Illinois 31.6% +0.80 77 33
85 Iona 31.6% +0.80 77 35
86 Northern Kentucky 31.6% +0.80 77 33
87 Rhode Island 31.6% +0.80 76 31
88 Washington State 31.5% +0.79 76 34
89 Ohio State 31.5% +0.78 76 35
90 Florida Atlantic 31.4% +0.74 75 37
91 Utah 31.3% +0.73 75 32
92 James Madison 31.3% +0.73 75 30
93 Kent State 31.2% +0.71 75 33
94 Memphis 31.2% +0.71 74 35
95 Gonzaga 31.2% +0.70 74 36
96 Stanford 31.1% +0.69 74 33
97 Radford 30.9% +0.64 73 34
98 Fairleigh Dickinson 30.9% +0.64 73 35
99 St. Francis Brooklyn 30.9% +0.63 73 28
100 Colorado 30.8% +0.61 73 35
101 Vanderbilt 30.8% +0.61 72 37
102 Dayton 30.8% +0.61 72 34
103 High Point 30.8% +0.60 72 29
104 Southern Miss 30.8% +0.60 72 30
105 Cincinnati 30.8% +0.60 71 35
106 Xavier 30.7% +0.59 71 37
107 Arkansas 30.7% +0.59 71 36
108 Arizona 30.7% +0.58 70 35
109 Delaware State 30.7% +0.57 70 28
110 Georgia 30.6% +0.55 70 32
111 Youngstown State 30.6% +0.55 70 32
112 SIU Edwardsville 30.6% +0.55 69 30
113 Siena 30.5% +0.54 69 32
114 Ball State 30.5% +0.54 69 30
115 La Salle 30.5% +0.53 69 34
116 Seton Hall 30.5% +0.53 68 32
117 Sam Houston 30.5% +0.53 68 30
118 Central Michigan 30.5% +0.52 68 29
119 North Carolina 30.4% +0.52 67 33
120 NC State 30.4% +0.51 67 34
121 Mercer 30.4% +0.50 67 31
122 Troy 30.3% +0.48 67 30
123 Coastal Carolina 30.3% +0.48 66 28
124 Harvard 30.3% +0.47 66 26
125 Santa Clara 30.2% +0.45 66 32
126 Grand Canyon 30.2% +0.44 65 33
127 Georgia State 30.1% +0.44 65 28
128 Louisiana Tech 30.1% +0.44 65 30
129 Loyola Marymount 30.1% +0.44 65 30
130 Monmouth 30.1% +0.42 64 33
131 Pennsylvania 30.1% +0.42 64 29
132 Maryland 30.0% +0.40 64 35
133 Navy 29.9% +0.38 64 30
134 Syracuse 29.9% +0.38 63 32
135 Seattle U 29.9% +0.38 63 30
136 Kansas State 29.9% +0.37 63 36
137 East Tennessee State 29.9% +0.37 62 30
138 Fordham 29.9% +0.37 62 33
139 Toledo 29.8% +0.36 62 34
140 Akron 29.8% +0.36 62 31
141 Denver 29.8% +0.36 61 30
142 Presbyterian 29.8% +0.36 61 30
143 Bowling Green 29.8% +0.35 61 29
144 Morgan State 29.8% +0.35 60 27
145 New Orleans 29.8% +0.35 60 30
146 Queens University 29.7% +0.34 60 30
147 Saint Louis 29.7% +0.33 60 32
148 Robert Morris 29.7% +0.33 59 31
149 Hawai'i 29.6% +0.31 59 32
150 Alabama A&M 29.5% +0.28 59 30
151 Pittsburgh 29.5% +0.28 59 36
152 Drexel 29.4% +0.26 58 31
153 Jacksonville State 29.4% +0.25 58 28
154 Stetson 29.4% +0.24 58 29
155 Little Rock 29.3% +0.23 57 29
156 Nicholls 29.3% +0.22 57 27
157 Texas Southern 29.2% +0.22 57 33
158 UNC Greensboro 29.2% +0.21 57 30
159 Arizona State 29.2% +0.20 56 36
160 Utah Valley 29.2% +0.19 56 34
161 Boston University 29.1% +0.18 56 30
162 Wichita State 29.1% +0.18 56 32
163 Cornell 29.1% +0.17 55 26
164 Bryant 29.0% +0.15 55 28
165 Bradley 29.0% +0.15 55 34
166 California Baptist 28.9% +0.14 54 31
167 Saint Joseph's 28.9% +0.14 54 33
168 UT Rio Grande Valley 28.9% +0.13 54 28
169 IU Indianapolis 28.9% +0.13 54 30
170 Furman 28.9% +0.13 53 33
171 VMI 28.9% +0.13 53 29
172 Georgetown 28.9% +0.12 53 32
173 VCU 28.9% +0.12 52 35
174 Sacred Heart 28.8% +0.11 52 32
175 USC 28.8% +0.11 52 33
176 Arkansas State 28.8% +0.10 52 30
177 Binghamton 28.7% +0.09 51 29
178 Kansas 28.7% +0.08 51 36
179 Fairfield 28.7% +0.07 51 30
180 Utah Tech 28.7% +0.07 51 30
181 Temple 28.6% +0.06 50 32
182 Mississippi Valley State 28.6% +0.06 50 32
183 Wofford 28.6% +0.05 50 30
184 San Francisco 28.6% +0.04 49 33
185 Northwestern 28.5% +0.03 49 34
186 Texas 28.5% +0.02 49 38
187 Central Connecticut 28.5% +0.02 49 32
188 UTSA 28.5% +0.02 48 30
189 Gardner-Webb 28.5% +0.02 48 29
190 Canisius 28.4% -0.01 48 29
191 American University 28.3% -0.02 48 32
192 Louisville 28.2% -0.04 47 32
193 Illinois State 28.2% -0.06 47 32
194 San Diego 28.2% -0.06 47 29
195 Samford 28.2% -0.06 46 28
196 Princeton 28.1% -0.06 46 30
197 Indiana 28.1% -0.06 46 35
198 SMU 28.1% -0.08 46 32
199 Yale 28.0% -0.09 45 28
200 Eastern Washington 28.0% -0.10 45 33
201 Houston Christian 28.0% -0.10 45 29
202 New Mexico 27.9% -0.11 44 33
203 Central Arkansas 27.9% -0.11 44 30
204 Southern Utah 27.9% -0.12 44 33
205 George Mason 27.9% -0.13 44 33
206 UNLV 27.9% -0.13 43 31
207 Mount St. Mary's 27.8% -0.14 43 32
208 UAlbany 27.8% -0.15 43 29
209 Florida A&M 27.8% -0.15 43 27
210 UNC Wilmington 27.8% -0.16 42 32
211 SE Louisiana 27.6% -0.19 42 29
212 Michigan State 27.6% -0.20 42 34
213 Georgia Tech 27.6% -0.21 41 31
214 St. Bonaventure 27.5% -0.22 41 32
215 Boston College 27.5% -0.22 41 33
216 Murray State 27.4% -0.25 41 31
217 Chattanooga 27.4% -0.25 40 32
218 William & Mary 27.4% -0.25 40 31
219 Utah State 27.4% -0.25 40 34
220 UC Irvine 27.4% -0.25 40 33
221 Kennesaw State 27.3% -0.27 39 32
222 Cal State Northridge 27.3% -0.27 39 30
223 UL Monroe 27.3% -0.28 39 29
224 Cal State Bakersfield 27.3% -0.28 38 31
225 Boise State 27.2% -0.31 38 33
226 Purdue Fort Wayne 27.1% -0.32 38 30
227 Western Illinois 27.1% -0.32 38 27
228 Bethune-Cookman 27.1% -0.33 37 30
229 Maryland Eastern Shore 27.0% -0.34 37 27
230 New Mexico State 27.0% -0.34 37 21
231 Northern Arizona 27.0% -0.34 36 33
232 UT Martin 27.0% -0.36 36 29
233 Tennessee State 26.9% -0.37 36 28
234 Miami (OH) 26.7% -0.43 36 29
235 Manhattan 26.6% -0.44 35 29
236 Florida Gulf Coast 26.6% -0.44 35 31
237 Morehead State 26.6% -0.45 35 30
238 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 26.6% -0.45 35 27
239 Loyola Maryland 26.6% -0.46 34 31
240 George Washington 26.5% -0.47 34 31
241 Niagara 26.5% -0.48 34 30
242 East Texas A&M 26.5% -0.48 33 32
243 Incarnate Word 26.4% -0.49 33 28
244 Washington 26.4% -0.49 33 32
245 UMBC 26.4% -0.51 33 31
246 Missouri 26.3% -0.51 32 35
247 Hampton 26.3% -0.52 32 31
248 UC Santa Barbara 26.3% -0.53 32 33
249 Marquette 26.2% -0.54 31 36
250 North Florida 26.2% -0.56 31 29
251 Wright State 26.2% -0.56 31 31
252 New Hampshire 26.1% -0.58 31 28
253 Tarleton State 26.1% -0.58 30 30
254 Cal State Fullerton 26.0% -0.59 30 31
255 Austin Peay 26.0% -0.61 30 28
256 Pepperdine 26.0% -0.61 30 29
257 Florida State 25.9% -0.62 29 32
258 Western Kentucky 25.9% -0.62 29 31
259 Winthrop 25.9% -0.63 29 30
260 Virginia Tech 25.9% -0.63 28 34
261 Marist 25.9% -0.63 28 33
262 Georgia Southern 25.8% -0.64 28 30
263 DePaul 25.8% -0.65 28 33
264 UNC Asheville 25.7% -0.67 27 33
265 Michigan 25.7% -0.68 27 34
266 North Dakota 25.7% -0.68 27 31
267 Montana State 25.7% -0.69 27 33
268 Virginia 25.6% -0.70 26 33
269 Abilene Christian 25.5% -0.72 26 26
270 Western Carolina 25.5% -0.73 26 31
271 Florida International 25.4% -0.74 25 30
272 Bucknell 25.4% -0.75 25 31
273 Army 25.4% -0.75 25 31
274 California 25.3% -0.76 25 32
275 Saint Francis 25.3% -0.77 24 29
276 Eastern Illinois 25.3% -0.77 24 29
277 Creighton 25.3% -0.78 24 37
278 Columbia 25.3% -0.78 23 27
279 Brown 25.2% -0.79 23 27
280 Hartford 25.2% -0.80 23 25
281 Oregon State 25.2% -0.80 23 31
282 Belmont 25.2% -0.80 22 31
283 Colgate 25.2% -0.81 22 34
284 Liberty 25.1% -0.81 22 33
285 Eastern Michigan 25.1% -0.82 22 30
286 Minnesota 25.0% -0.85 21 31
287 Delaware 25.0% -0.86 21 32
288 Lipscomb 25.0% -0.86 21 30
289 Northern Illinois 25.0% -0.86 20 30
290 Fresno State 24.9% -0.87 20 30
291 Elon 24.9% -0.88 20 30
292 Davidson 24.9% -0.89 20 31
293 South Dakota 24.8% -0.89 19 29
294 Wake Forest 24.8% -0.89 19 33
295 Southeast Missouri State 24.8% -0.89 19 33
296 Tulsa 24.8% -0.90 19 30
297 Nebraska 24.7% -0.93 18 32
298 North Carolina A&T 24.7% -0.93 18 29
299 Long Island University 24.7% -0.93 18 27
300 South Carolina Upstate 24.6% -0.94 17 30
301 Loyola Chicago 24.5% -0.97 17 31
302 App State 24.5% -0.97 17 29
303 Oral Roberts 24.5% -0.98 17 31
304 Cal Poly 24.5% -0.98 16 31
305 North Dakota State 24.5% -0.98 16 31
306 Montana 24.4% -0.99 16 30
307 Southern 24.4% -1.00 15 30
308 Idaho State 24.4% -1.00 15 30
309 Campbell 24.4% -1.01 15 32
310 Northern Colorado 24.3% -1.02 15 31
311 Portland 24.3% -1.03 14 31
312 Omaha 24.2% -1.04 14 31
313 Wyoming 24.2% -1.05 14 30
314 Oakland 24.2% -1.06 14 31
315 Rice 24.1% -1.07 13 32
316 Portland State 24.0% -1.10 13 29
317 St. Thomas-Minnesota 23.9% -1.12 13 31
318 Jacksonville 23.9% -1.13 12 26
319 Tennessee Tech 23.9% -1.13 12 30
320 Florida 23.8% -1.16 12 33
321 Drake 23.8% -1.16 12 34
322 Lafayette 23.8% -1.16 11 34
323 Oklahoma 23.7% -1.16 11 32
324 Hofstra 23.6% -1.20 11 34
325 Dartmouth 23.5% -1.24 10 26
326 NJIT 23.4% -1.24 10 29
327 Clemson 23.4% -1.25 10 34
328 UC San Diego 23.2% -1.31 10 28
329 North Alabama 23.1% -1.32 9 30
330 Pacific 23.1% -1.33 9 31
331 Lindenwood 23.0% -1.35 9 29
332 Maine 22.9% -1.38 9 28
333 Nevada 22.8% -1.40 8 32
334 Southern Illinois 22.8% -1.41 8 32
335 UIC 22.7% -1.44 8 31
336 Valparaiso 22.6% -1.45 7 31
337 Villanova 22.6% -1.45 7 34
338 Wisconsin 22.6% -1.45 7 35
339 Northern Iowa 22.6% -1.46 7 31
340 Charlotte 22.3% -1.53 6 36
341 Air Force 22.3% -1.53 6 32
342 Stony Brook 21.9% -1.62 6 31
343 Green Bay 21.7% -1.68 6 32
344 Indiana State 21.6% -1.69 5 35
345 Holy Cross 21.6% -1.70 5 30
346 South Dakota State 21.5% -1.74 5 31
347 Weber State 21.0% -1.85 4 31
348 Richmond 21.0% -1.86 4 33
349 South Alabama 20.9% -1.88 4 33
350 The Citadel 20.8% -1.90 4 31
351 Evansville 20.7% -1.92 3 32
352 Bellarmine 20.6% -1.96 3 30
353 Merrimack 20.5% -1.97 3 32
354 Butler 19.9% -2.13 2 32
355 Colorado State 19.6% -2.19 2 32
356 Idaho 19.6% -2.20 2 30
357 Notre Dame 19.6% -2.21 2 32
358 Tulane 19.3% -2.27 1 31
359 Vermont 19.2% -2.29 1 33
360 Stonehill 19.2% -2.30 1 30
361 Penn State 19.2% -2.31 1 37
362 Lehigh 19.0% -2.36 0 28
363 Coppin State 18.7% -2.43 0 32