Come on down and meet your maker. Come on down and take a stand. "The Stand" - The Alarm
← Scoring

Opponent Points Per Game

Season points allowed divided by games played.

Lower is better  ·  league avg 70.9  ·  as of 2023-04-04

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 56.3 max 85.0 mean 70.9 std 4.8 (n=363)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.63 (team entering with the better value wins 59% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team Opponent Points Per Game z Pctl GP
1 North Texas 56.3 -3.05 100 36
2 Houston 57.5 -2.81 100 37
3 Tennessee 57.9 -2.72 99 36
4 Saint Mary's 60.0 -2.27 99 34
5 Virginia 60.5 -2.18 99 33
6 UCLA 60.7 -2.14 99 37
7 Mississippi State 61.0 -2.07 98 34
8 Dayton 61.0 -2.06 98 34
9 Rutgers 61.1 -2.04 98 34
10 Sam Houston 61.7 -1.93 98 30
11 Southern Illinois 61.7 -1.92 97 32
12 Hawai'i 62.0 -1.86 97 32
13 Wagner 62.3 -1.80 97 26
14 Liberty 62.3 -1.79 96 33
15 Charlotte 62.6 -1.74 96 36
16 Iowa State 62.6 -1.73 96 33
17 Purdue 62.7 -1.70 96 35
18 Northwestern 62.8 -1.70 95 34
19 Bradley 62.8 -1.69 95 34
20 VCU 62.9 -1.67 95 35
21 Drexel 63.0 -1.66 94 31
22 Grambling 63.1 -1.64 94 31
23 Maryland 63.5 -1.55 94 35
24 Wisconsin 63.6 -1.53 94 35
25 Duke 63.6 -1.52 93 36
26 San Diego State 63.6 -1.52 93 38
27 Missouri State 63.7 -1.51 93 31
28 Utah 63.8 -1.47 93 32
29 Merrimack 64.0 -1.44 92 32
30 UConn 64.1 -1.41 92 39
31 Yale 64.3 -1.37 92 28
32 Drake 64.4 -1.37 91 34
33 Northern Kentucky 64.7 -1.30 91 33
34 Jacksonville 64.7 -1.30 91 26
35 Boise State 65.0 -1.24 91 33
36 UNC Wilmington 65.2 -1.20 90 32
37 UNC Greensboro 65.2 -1.19 90 30
38 Navy 65.3 -1.17 90 30
39 Seton Hall 65.4 -1.14 90 32
40 UCF 65.5 -1.12 89 34
41 Saint Peter's 65.5 -1.12 89 31
42 Florida Atlantic 65.6 -1.11 89 37
43 Iona 65.6 -1.10 88 35
44 Lafayette 65.6 -1.10 88 34
45 Washington State 65.7 -1.08 88 34
46 South Alabama 65.8 -1.07 88 33
47 Oklahoma State 65.8 -1.06 87 36
48 California Baptist 65.9 -1.04 87 31
49 American University 65.9 -1.04 87 32
50 Fresno State 66.0 -1.02 86 30
51 UC Santa Barbara 66.0 -1.02 86 33
52 Cal State Bakersfield 66.1 -1.00 86 31
53 App State 66.1 -0.99 86 29
54 San José State 66.2 -0.99 85 34
55 Radford 66.2 -0.97 85 34
56 Oregon 66.3 -0.96 85 36
57 Cal Poly 66.3 -0.96 85 31
58 Cal State Fullerton 66.3 -0.96 84 31
59 Longwood 66.4 -0.95 84 30
60 Niagara 66.4 -0.95 84 30
61 Old Dominion 66.5 -0.92 83 30
62 Kent State 66.5 -0.92 83 33
63 Texas A&M 66.5 -0.92 83 35
64 Gardner-Webb 66.7 -0.89 83 29
65 Fairfield 66.7 -0.88 82 30
66 Marist 66.7 -0.88 82 33
67 Towson 66.7 -0.87 82 33
68 Harvard 66.8 -0.86 81 26
69 Texas State 66.8 -0.85 81 32
70 Hofstra 66.9 -0.83 81 34
71 Oregon State 67.0 -0.81 81 31
72 Vermont 67.1 -0.80 80 33
73 Air Force 67.1 -0.80 80 32
74 Colorado 67.1 -0.80 80 35
75 UMass Lowell 67.1 -0.79 80 32
76 Illinois 67.2 -0.78 79 33
77 Siena 67.2 -0.77 79 32
78 Charleston 67.2 -0.76 79 34
79 Montana State 67.2 -0.76 78 33
80 Mercer 67.3 -0.76 78 31
81 George Mason 67.3 -0.76 78 33
82 USC 67.4 -0.73 78 33
83 Oklahoma 67.5 -0.70 77 32
84 Southern Miss 67.5 -0.70 77 30
85 Fordham 67.6 -0.69 77 33
86 St. Bonaventure 67.7 -0.68 77 32
87 Villanova 67.7 -0.67 76 34
88 Auburn 67.7 -0.67 76 34
89 Boston University 67.7 -0.66 76 31
90 Robert Morris 67.7 -0.66 75 31
91 Richmond 67.8 -0.65 75 33
92 Kentucky 67.8 -0.65 75 34
93 Troy 67.8 -0.65 75 30
94 Texas 67.8 -0.64 74 38
95 Weber State 67.9 -0.63 74 31
96 Clemson 67.9 -0.63 74 34
97 North Carolina Central 67.9 -0.63 73 26
98 Michigan State 67.9 -0.62 73 34
99 Butler 67.9 -0.62 73 32
100 Mount St. Mary's 67.9 -0.62 73 32
101 Arkansas 67.9 -0.62 72 36
102 New Hampshire 68.0 -0.61 72 28
103 Arizona State 68.0 -0.61 72 36
104 Kansas 68.1 -0.59 72 36
105 UC Irvine 68.1 -0.58 71 33
106 Rider 68.2 -0.57 71 29
107 Penn State 68.2 -0.56 71 37
108 Morehead State 68.2 -0.56 70 30
109 Nevada 68.3 -0.55 70 32
110 Alabama 68.3 -0.55 70 37
111 St. Francis Brooklyn 68.3 -0.54 70 28
112 Georgia Southern 68.3 -0.54 69 30
113 Prairie View A&M 68.3 -0.54 69 30
114 Akron 68.3 -0.54 69 31
115 Stanford 68.4 -0.53 69 33
116 Creighton 68.4 -0.52 68 37
117 TCU 68.4 -0.51 68 35
118 Arkansas State 68.5 -0.51 68 30
119 Wichita State 68.5 -0.51 67 32
120 Florida 68.6 -0.48 67 33
121 Indiana 68.7 -0.46 67 35
122 Montana 68.8 -0.44 67 30
123 Princeton 68.8 -0.44 66 30
124 Davidson 68.8 -0.44 66 31
125 Maryland Eastern Shore 68.9 -0.43 66 27
126 Middle Tennessee 69.0 -0.40 65 31
127 Ohio State 69.0 -0.40 65 35
128 Texas Tech 69.0 -0.39 65 32
129 Campbell 69.0 -0.39 65 32
130 Bucknell 69.0 -0.39 64 31
131 Ole Miss 69.1 -0.38 64 33
132 Grand Canyon 69.1 -0.38 64 33
133 Sacramento State 69.2 -0.36 64 30
134 Cleveland State 69.2 -0.34 63 33
135 Brown 69.3 -0.33 63 27
136 UTEP 69.4 -0.30 63 30
137 East Tennessee State 69.5 -0.28 62 30
138 Kansas City 69.5 -0.28 62 30
139 Bellarmine 69.6 -0.28 62 30
140 Colgate 69.6 -0.27 62 34
141 Utah Valley 69.6 -0.27 61 34
142 Michigan 69.6 -0.27 61 34
143 Indiana State 69.7 -0.25 61 35
144 Florida Gulf Coast 69.7 -0.25 60 31
145 Cincinnati 69.7 -0.25 60 35
146 Pittsburgh 69.7 -0.24 60 36
147 UNC Asheville 69.8 -0.24 60 33
148 Quinnipiac 69.8 -0.23 59 31
149 Kansas State 69.9 -0.21 59 36
150 Stony Brook 69.9 -0.21 59 31
151 Nebraska 69.9 -0.21 59 32
152 Cal State Northridge 69.9 -0.21 58 30
153 Utah State 69.9 -0.20 58 34
154 UT Arlington 70.0 -0.19 58 29
155 Seattle U 70.0 -0.18 57 30
156 BYU 70.1 -0.17 57 32
157 Oral Roberts 70.1 -0.17 57 31
158 Virginia Tech 70.1 -0.17 57 34
159 California 70.1 -0.17 56 32
160 Tarleton State 70.1 -0.16 56 30
161 Louisiana 70.1 -0.16 56 31
162 Central Connecticut 70.2 -0.15 56 32
163 Boston College 70.2 -0.14 55 33
164 Temple 70.2 -0.14 55 32
165 South Dakota State 70.2 -0.14 55 31
166 Baylor 70.3 -0.13 54 34
167 Marquette 70.3 -0.13 54 36
168 Washington 70.3 -0.12 54 32
169 UC Riverside 70.4 -0.11 54 33
170 James Madison 70.4 -0.11 53 30
171 Presbyterian 70.4 -0.11 53 30
172 Stonehill 70.4 -0.10 53 30
173 Illinois State 70.5 -0.09 52 32
174 East Carolina 70.5 -0.08 52 33
175 Norfolk State 70.5 -0.08 52 29
176 UNLV 70.5 -0.07 52 31
177 Alcorn State 70.6 -0.06 51 32
178 Northern Iowa 70.6 -0.06 51 31
179 Rhode Island 70.6 -0.05 51 31
180 Maine 70.7 -0.04 51 28
181 UAB 70.7 -0.04 50 38
182 LSU 70.7 -0.03 50 33
183 South Carolina Upstate 70.8 -0.02 50 30
184 NC State 70.8 -0.01 49 34
185 St. Thomas-Minnesota 70.9 -0.00 49 31
186 Kennesaw State 70.9 -0.00 49 32
187 North Carolina 70.9 +0.00 49 33
188 West Virginia 70.9 +0.01 48 34
189 Georgia State 70.9 +0.01 48 28
190 Army 71.0 +0.02 48 31
191 Lehigh 71.0 +0.02 48 28
192 Providence 71.0 +0.02 47 33
193 Minnesota 71.0 +0.03 47 31
194 Alabama A&M 71.0 +0.03 47 30
195 Florida A&M 71.0 +0.03 46 27
196 Arizona 71.1 +0.05 46 35
197 Jacksonville State 71.2 +0.07 46 28
198 Delaware 71.2 +0.07 46 32
199 Marshall 71.2 +0.07 45 31
200 Duquesne 71.3 +0.08 45 33
201 Colorado State 71.3 +0.10 45 32
202 Furman 71.4 +0.10 44 33
203 Massachusetts 71.4 +0.11 44 31
204 Manhattan 71.5 +0.12 44 29
205 Georgia Tech 71.5 +0.12 44 31
206 Vanderbilt 71.5 +0.13 43 37
207 UL Monroe 71.5 +0.13 43 29
208 Georgia 71.5 +0.13 43 32
209 Western Kentucky 71.6 +0.15 43 31
210 Sacred Heart 71.6 +0.15 42 32
211 Northeastern 71.7 +0.16 42 30
212 Saint Louis 71.7 +0.17 42 32
213 Southern 71.7 +0.18 41 30
214 UC Davis 71.7 +0.18 41 30
215 William & Mary 71.7 +0.18 41 31
216 Memphis 71.8 +0.19 41 35
217 Loyola Maryland 71.8 +0.19 40 31
218 Miami 71.9 +0.22 40 37
219 South Florida 72.0 +0.23 40 32
220 Eastern Washington 72.0 +0.23 40 33
221 Louisiana Tech 72.0 +0.23 39 30
222 Purdue Fort Wayne 72.1 +0.25 39 30
223 Notre Dame 72.1 +0.25 39 32
224 Idaho State 72.1 +0.25 38 30
225 SIU Edwardsville 72.1 +0.26 38 30
226 Wyoming 72.2 +0.27 38 30
227 Northwestern State 72.2 +0.27 38 32
228 Samford 72.2 +0.28 37 28
229 Elon 72.2 +0.28 37 30
230 Pennsylvania 72.4 +0.31 37 29
231 UIC 72.4 +0.31 36 31
232 Saint Joseph's 72.4 +0.32 36 33
233 Belmont 72.5 +0.33 36 31
234 Alabama State 72.5 +0.33 36 30
235 Loyola Chicago 72.5 +0.33 35 31
236 Binghamton 72.5 +0.34 35 29
237 La Salle 72.6 +0.36 35 34
238 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 72.6 +0.36 35 27
239 South Carolina 72.6 +0.36 34 32
240 Lipscomb 72.6 +0.37 34 30
241 Murray State 72.6 +0.37 34 31
242 Stephen F. Austin 72.7 +0.37 33 29
243 Ball State 72.7 +0.38 33 30
244 Western Carolina 72.7 +0.39 33 31
245 Youngstown State 72.9 +0.42 33 32
246 Syracuse 72.9 +0.42 32 32
247 Canisius 73.0 +0.44 32 29
248 UMBC 73.0 +0.44 32 31
249 Holy Cross 73.1 +0.46 31 30
250 Austin Peay 73.2 +0.48 31 28
251 Texas Southern 73.2 +0.49 31 33
252 Howard 73.3 +0.51 31 32
253 NJIT 73.5 +0.54 30 29
254 San Francisco 73.5 +0.54 30 33
255 UC San Diego 73.5 +0.55 30 28
256 Jackson State 73.6 +0.57 30 33
257 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 73.6 +0.57 29 31
258 Eastern Kentucky 73.7 +0.58 29 34
259 Western Illinois 73.8 +0.60 29 27
260 Wake Forest 73.8 +0.61 28 33
261 Santa Clara 73.8 +0.61 28 32
262 Loyola Marymount 73.9 +0.62 28 30
263 Central Michigan 74.0 +0.65 28 29
264 Wofford 74.0 +0.65 27 30
265 Ohio 74.0 +0.66 27 32
266 Valparaiso 74.0 +0.66 27 31
267 Xavier 74.1 +0.67 27 37
268 Chattanooga 74.1 +0.68 26 32
269 Eastern Illinois 74.2 +0.69 26 29
270 East Texas A&M 74.2 +0.70 26 32
271 Gonzaga 74.3 +0.70 25 36
272 Chicago State 74.3 +0.71 25 27
273 North Dakota State 74.4 +0.73 25 31
274 Dartmouth 74.4 +0.73 25 26
275 Missouri 74.4 +0.74 24 35
276 Idaho 74.4 +0.74 24 30
277 The Citadel 74.5 +0.75 24 31
278 South Dakota 74.5 +0.75 23 29
279 New Mexico 74.6 +0.78 23 33
280 Iowa 74.7 +0.79 23 33
281 Monmouth 74.7 +0.80 23 33
282 Wright State 74.7 +0.81 22 31
283 Mississippi Valley State 74.8 +0.81 22 32
284 Northern Illinois 74.8 +0.83 22 30
285 Hartford 74.8 +0.83 22 25
286 Abilene Christian 74.9 +0.84 21 26
287 Saint Francis 75.0 +0.86 21 29
288 Utah Tech 75.0 +0.87 21 30
289 Stetson 75.1 +0.88 20 29
290 Fairleigh Dickinson 75.1 +0.88 20 35
291 Tennessee Tech 75.1 +0.88 20 30
292 Incarnate Word 75.1 +0.88 20 28
293 North Dakota 75.1 +0.89 19 31
294 St. John's 75.2 +0.90 19 33
295 New Mexico State 75.2 +0.91 19 21
296 Denver 75.3 +0.93 19 30
297 Morgan State 75.3 +0.93 18 27
298 Bryant 75.4 +0.94 18 28
299 Charleston Southern 75.4 +0.94 18 29
300 Florida International 75.5 +0.97 17 30
301 Queens University 75.5 +0.97 17 30
302 Nicholls 75.6 +0.98 17 27
303 SMU 75.6 +0.98 17 32
304 Tennessee State 75.6 +0.98 16 28
305 North Carolina A&T 75.6 +0.99 16 29
306 Detroit Mercy 75.7 +1.00 16 32
307 Long Beach State 75.7 +1.02 15 31
308 Louisville 75.8 +1.02 15 32
309 Winthrop 75.8 +1.03 15 30
310 Delaware State 75.8 +1.03 15 28
311 Lamar 75.9 +1.05 14 28
312 Evansville 76.0 +1.07 14 32
313 Lindenwood 76.1 +1.08 14 29
314 McNeese 76.1 +1.09 14 33
315 UAlbany 76.2 +1.11 13 29
316 Northern Arizona 76.2 +1.11 13 33
317 Florida State 76.2 +1.12 13 32
318 Omaha 76.3 +1.14 12 31
319 Green Bay 76.5 +1.17 12 32
320 Western Michigan 76.5 +1.17 12 28
321 North Alabama 76.5 +1.18 12 30
322 Toledo 76.6 +1.19 11 34
323 Bethune-Cookman 76.6 +1.20 11 30
324 Milwaukee 76.6 +1.20 11 31
325 Southern Indiana 76.8 +1.23 10 30
326 SE Louisiana 76.8 +1.24 10 29
327 Southern Utah 77.1 +1.30 10 33
328 UT Martin 77.1 +1.31 10 29
329 Tulane 77.2 +1.31 9 31
330 High Point 77.2 +1.32 9 29
331 Miami (OH) 77.3 +1.34 9 29
332 DePaul 77.3 +1.34 9 33
333 Coastal Carolina 77.3 +1.35 8 28
334 George Washington 77.3 +1.35 8 31
335 Columbia 77.3 +1.35 8 27
336 Cornell 77.3 +1.35 7 26
337 Tulsa 77.4 +1.37 7 30
338 Southeast Missouri State 77.6 +1.41 7 34
339 Northern Colorado 77.7 +1.43 7 31
340 Oakland 77.9 +1.47 6 31
341 Hampton 78.1 +1.51 6 31
342 Georgetown 78.1 +1.51 6 32
343 UTSA 78.1 +1.52 6 30
344 Portland State 78.2 +1.54 5 29
345 Pacific 78.4 +1.57 5 31
346 VMI 78.4 +1.57 5 29
347 Rice 78.6 +1.61 4 32
348 IU Indianapolis 78.6 +1.61 4 30
349 North Florida 79.0 +1.69 4 29
350 Buffalo 79.0 +1.70 4 30
351 Portland 79.1 +1.72 3 31
352 Bowling Green 79.1 +1.73 3 29
353 New Orleans 80.1 +1.92 3 30
354 Little Rock 80.9 +2.10 2 29
355 UT Rio Grande Valley 81.2 +2.15 2 28
356 Eastern Michigan 81.3 +2.18 2 30
357 San Diego 81.6 +2.25 2 29
358 Pepperdine 81.8 +2.27 1 29
359 Long Island University 81.9 +2.30 1 27
360 Central Arkansas 82.4 +2.40 1 30
361 Coppin State 83.2 +2.57 1 32
362 South Carolina State 84.7 +2.89 0 30
363 Houston Christian 85.0 +2.96 0 29