I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

Based on 5499 of 5721 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 13.8% max 37.0% mean 22.8% std 3.8% (n=363)

Team Rankings

Loading…
# Team Opponent Free Throw Rate z Pctl GP
1 Colgate 13.8% -2.33 100 34
2 Purdue 14.2% -2.24 100 35
3 Creighton 14.3% -2.21 99 37
4 Nebraska 15.2% -1.98 99 32
5 Syracuse 15.2% -1.97 99 32
6 Oral Roberts 15.6% -1.88 99 31
7 Butler 15.9% -1.79 98 32
8 Utah 16.2% -1.73 98 32
9 Purdue Fort Wayne 16.7% -1.60 98 30
10 Dayton 16.8% -1.55 98 34
11 Charleston 16.9% -1.53 97 34
12 Oakland 17.2% -1.46 97 31
13 Drexel 17.2% -1.45 97 31
14 North Florida 17.2% -1.45 96 29
15 Charlotte 17.5% -1.37 96 36
16 Lipscomb 17.5% -1.37 96 30
17 Minnesota 17.6% -1.36 96 31
18 South Dakota State 17.6% -1.35 95 31
19 Hofstra 17.6% -1.34 95 34
20 Murray State 17.7% -1.33 95 31
21 Bucknell 17.8% -1.31 94 31
22 Iowa 17.8% -1.31 94 33
23 Western Kentucky 17.8% -1.31 94 31
24 Georgetown 17.8% -1.30 94 32
25 Miami 17.8% -1.30 93 37
26 Virginia Tech 17.8% -1.29 93 34
27 Marshall 17.9% -1.27 93 31
28 Rice 17.9% -1.26 93 32
29 Washington 18.0% -1.26 92 32
30 Michigan 18.0% -1.25 92 34
31 Penn State 18.0% -1.24 92 37
32 App State 18.0% -1.24 91 29
33 Duke 18.1% -1.22 91 36
34 Arizona 18.2% -1.20 91 35
35 Queens University 18.3% -1.18 91 30
36 Stony Brook 18.3% -1.16 90 31
37 Oregon 18.4% -1.15 90 36
38 UMBC 18.5% -1.13 90 31
39 Wisconsin 18.5% -1.12 90 35
40 Wichita State 18.5% -1.11 89 32
41 Santa Clara 18.6% -1.10 89 32
42 North Carolina 18.6% -1.09 89 33
43 Youngstown State 18.6% -1.09 88 32
44 Wright State 18.6% -1.08 88 31
45 Eastern Kentucky 18.7% -1.07 88 34
46 Holy Cross 18.7% -1.07 88 30
47 Harvard 18.8% -1.05 87 26
48 Portland 18.8% -1.04 87 31
49 NJIT 18.8% -1.03 87 29
50 Sacred Heart 18.8% -1.03 86 32
51 Davidson 18.8% -1.02 86 31
52 Rutgers 18.9% -1.02 86 34
53 Providence 18.9% -1.01 86 33
54 Quinnipiac 19.0% -1.00 85 31
55 Richmond 19.0% -0.98 85 33
56 Gonzaga 19.1% -0.97 85 36
57 Brown 19.1% -0.96 85 27
58 Sacramento State 19.1% -0.96 84 30
59 UCLA 19.1% -0.95 84 37
60 Tennessee Tech 19.2% -0.95 84 30
61 Merrimack 19.2% -0.94 83 32
62 Wake Forest 19.2% -0.93 83 33
63 Boise State 19.3% -0.92 83 33
64 William & Mary 19.3% -0.92 83 31
65 UNC Asheville 19.3% -0.91 82 33
66 Drake 19.3% -0.91 82 34
67 Northern Iowa 19.3% -0.91 82 31
68 Southern Illinois 19.3% -0.90 81 32
69 Stonehill 19.3% -0.90 81 30
70 Canisius 19.4% -0.88 81 29
71 Xavier 19.4% -0.88 81 37
72 Florida Atlantic 19.4% -0.88 80 37
73 Wofford 19.4% -0.88 80 30
74 Belmont 19.4% -0.87 80 31
75 Vermont 19.4% -0.87 80 33
76 Florida Gulf Coast 19.5% -0.85 79 31
77 Navy 19.5% -0.85 79 30
78 Lehigh 19.5% -0.84 79 28
79 Princeton 19.6% -0.84 78 30
80 Hartford 19.6% -0.83 78 25
81 George Washington 19.6% -0.83 78 31
82 Central Connecticut 19.7% -0.81 78 32
83 Washington State 19.7% -0.81 77 34
84 Western Illinois 19.7% -0.81 77 27
85 Virginia 19.7% -0.81 77 33
86 Utah Valley 19.7% -0.80 77 34
87 Jacksonville 19.7% -0.80 76 26
88 Mississippi State 19.7% -0.79 76 34
89 Notre Dame 19.8% -0.79 76 32
90 Army 19.8% -0.79 75 31
91 East Tennessee State 19.8% -0.79 75 30
92 South Carolina 19.8% -0.77 75 32
93 Winthrop 19.9% -0.76 75 30
94 VMI 20.0% -0.72 74 29
95 Georgia 20.0% -0.72 74 32
96 Boston College 20.0% -0.72 74 33
97 New Mexico 20.1% -0.71 73 33
98 Michigan State 20.1% -0.69 73 34
99 Texas Tech 20.2% -0.67 73 32
100 Columbia 20.2% -0.67 73 27
101 Tulsa 20.3% -0.66 72 30
102 Hawai'i 20.3% -0.66 72 32
103 UC San Diego 20.3% -0.65 72 28
104 Ohio State 20.3% -0.65 72 35
105 Liberty 20.3% -0.65 71 33
106 South Alabama 20.4% -0.63 71 33
107 Marist 20.4% -0.62 71 33
108 Fairfield 20.4% -0.62 70 30
109 Marquette 20.5% -0.60 70 36
110 Morehead State 20.5% -0.60 70 30
111 Toledo 20.5% -0.60 70 34
112 Lafayette 20.5% -0.58 69 34
113 Elon 20.5% -0.58 69 30
114 Maine 20.5% -0.58 69 28
115 Florida 20.6% -0.57 69 33
116 North Dakota State 20.6% -0.57 68 31
117 Saint Francis 20.6% -0.57 68 29
118 Central Arkansas 20.6% -0.56 68 30
119 Tulane 20.7% -0.55 67 31
120 Maryland 20.8% -0.52 67 35
121 Lamar 20.8% -0.52 67 28
122 Denver 20.8% -0.51 67 30
123 Akron 20.8% -0.51 66 31
124 North Dakota 20.9% -0.48 66 31
125 Stanford 20.9% -0.48 66 33
126 UAB 20.9% -0.48 65 38
127 Indiana 21.0% -0.47 65 35
128 Loyola Maryland 21.1% -0.45 65 31
129 UL Monroe 21.1% -0.44 65 29
130 Coastal Carolina 21.1% -0.44 64 28
131 Mount St. Mary's 21.1% -0.43 64 32
132 New Hampshire 21.1% -0.43 64 28
133 Oklahoma 21.1% -0.43 64 32
134 California Baptist 21.2% -0.40 63 31
135 TCU 21.2% -0.40 63 35
136 Illinois 21.3% -0.40 63 33
137 North Carolina A&T 21.3% -0.39 62 29
138 UNC Greensboro 21.3% -0.39 62 30
139 Delaware 21.3% -0.38 62 32
140 St. John's 21.3% -0.38 62 33
141 Pennsylvania 21.3% -0.38 61 29
142 Pittsburgh 21.3% -0.37 61 36
143 James Madison 21.5% -0.34 61 30
144 Manhattan 21.5% -0.33 60 29
145 Lindenwood 21.5% -0.33 60 29
146 Northern Kentucky 21.5% -0.32 60 33
147 Villanova 21.5% -0.32 60 34
148 Cincinnati 21.6% -0.32 59 35
149 USC 21.6% -0.31 59 33
150 Northwestern 21.6% -0.31 59 34
151 Milwaukee 21.6% -0.30 59 31
152 La Salle 21.6% -0.30 58 34
153 Southern Miss 21.7% -0.27 58 30
154 Iona 21.8% -0.25 58 35
155 UC Santa Barbara 21.9% -0.24 57 33
156 San José State 21.9% -0.23 57 34
157 LSU 21.9% -0.23 57 33
158 Missouri State 21.9% -0.23 57 31
159 Detroit Mercy 21.9% -0.23 56 32
160 VCU 21.9% -0.22 56 35
161 Long Island University 21.9% -0.22 56 27
162 St. Francis Brooklyn 21.9% -0.22 56 28
163 Long Beach State 22.0% -0.21 55 31
164 Rhode Island 22.0% -0.20 55 31
165 Temple 22.0% -0.20 55 32
166 Vanderbilt 22.0% -0.19 54 37
167 Colorado State 22.0% -0.19 54 32
168 Georgia Tech 22.1% -0.19 54 31
169 Louisville 22.1% -0.18 54 32
170 UTSA 22.1% -0.17 53 30
171 Eastern Washington 22.1% -0.17 53 33
172 Jacksonville State 22.1% -0.17 53 28
173 Radford 22.1% -0.17 52 34
174 Towson 22.2% -0.16 52 33
175 UC Davis 22.2% -0.15 52 30
176 Cleveland State 22.2% -0.15 52 33
177 Cornell 22.2% -0.15 51 26
178 Indiana State 22.2% -0.14 51 35
179 Kentucky 22.2% -0.14 51 34
180 Stetson 22.4% -0.11 51 29
181 Weber State 22.4% -0.11 50 31
182 Saint Mary's 22.4% -0.10 50 34
183 San Diego 22.4% -0.09 50 29
184 Southern Utah 22.4% -0.09 49 33
185 Bryant 22.4% -0.09 49 28
186 Baylor 22.5% -0.08 49 34
187 Campbell 22.5% -0.08 49 32
188 Utah State 22.5% -0.08 48 34
189 Kansas 22.5% -0.06 48 36
190 Colorado 22.6% -0.06 48 35
191 Ole Miss 22.6% -0.05 48 33
192 Clemson 22.6% -0.05 47 34
193 Siena 22.6% -0.04 47 32
194 Seton Hall 22.6% -0.04 47 32
195 Northeastern 22.6% -0.04 46 30
196 Furman 22.7% -0.02 46 33
197 San Diego State 22.7% -0.02 46 38
198 Robert Morris 22.7% -0.02 46 31
199 North Alabama 22.7% -0.02 45 30
200 George Mason 22.8% -0.00 45 33
201 UNLV 22.8% +0.01 45 31
202 Wyoming 22.8% +0.01 44 30
203 Florida International 22.8% +0.01 44 30
204 Oklahoma State 22.9% +0.03 44 36
205 Pepperdine 22.9% +0.03 44 29
206 Eastern Illinois 22.9% +0.03 43 29
207 Ball State 22.9% +0.04 43 30
208 Evansville 22.9% +0.04 43 32
209 Northern Colorado 23.0% +0.05 43 31
210 Massachusetts 23.1% +0.08 42 31
211 Dartmouth 23.1% +0.08 42 26
212 Idaho 23.1% +0.10 42 30
213 Saint Joseph's 23.1% +0.10 41 33
214 Chattanooga 23.2% +0.10 41 32
215 St. Thomas-Minnesota 23.2% +0.11 41 31
216 American University 23.2% +0.11 41 32
217 Old Dominion 23.2% +0.11 40 30
218 Alabama 23.2% +0.11 40 37
219 SMU 23.2% +0.12 40 32
220 Bellarmine 23.3% +0.12 40 30
221 Ohio 23.3% +0.13 39 32
222 Grand Canyon 23.3% +0.14 39 33
223 SE Louisiana 23.3% +0.14 39 29
224 Valparaiso 23.4% +0.15 38 31
225 California 23.4% +0.15 38 32
226 Nevada 23.4% +0.15 38 32
227 Florida State 23.4% +0.16 38 32
228 Incarnate Word 23.4% +0.17 37 28
229 South Dakota 23.4% +0.18 37 29
230 Houston Christian 23.5% +0.18 37 29
231 Saint Louis 23.6% +0.21 36 32
232 Seattle U 23.6% +0.21 36 30
233 UT Martin 23.6% +0.22 36 29
234 Howard 23.6% +0.22 36 32
235 High Point 23.6% +0.23 35 29
236 Arizona State 23.7% +0.23 35 36
237 Cal State Fullerton 23.7% +0.23 35 31
238 East Carolina 23.7% +0.23 35 33
239 Illinois State 23.7% +0.25 34 32
240 Western Michigan 23.8% +0.27 34 28
241 UIC 23.9% +0.28 34 31
242 Yale 23.9% +0.29 33 28
243 Louisiana 23.9% +0.30 33 31
244 Alabama State 23.9% +0.30 33 30
245 Green Bay 24.0% +0.31 33 32
246 Bradley 24.0% +0.33 32 34
247 UCF 24.2% +0.37 32 34
248 Oregon State 24.3% +0.39 32 31
249 Tennessee 24.3% +0.39 31 36
250 Longwood 24.3% +0.40 31 30
251 Duquesne 24.4% +0.42 31 33
252 Fresno State 24.4% +0.42 31 30
253 Georgia Southern 24.4% +0.43 30 30
254 Pacific 24.4% +0.43 30 31
255 Niagara 24.4% +0.43 30 30
256 The Citadel 24.5% +0.44 30 31
257 Texas A&M 24.5% +0.45 29 35
258 Bowling Green 24.5% +0.45 29 29
259 North Carolina Central 24.5% +0.45 29 26
260 Hampton 24.5% +0.46 28 31
261 Western Carolina 24.6% +0.46 28 31
262 Maryland Eastern Shore 24.6% +0.47 28 27
263 Houston 24.6% +0.48 28 37
264 Little Rock 24.7% +0.49 27 29
265 Jackson State 24.7% +0.49 27 33
266 Texas 24.7% +0.50 27 38
267 Eastern Michigan 24.7% +0.50 27 30
268 UMass Lowell 24.7% +0.51 26 32
269 Coppin State 24.7% +0.51 26 32
270 Chicago State 24.9% +0.54 26 27
271 Northern Illinois 24.9% +0.54 25 30
272 Rider 24.9% +0.56 25 29
273 McNeese 25.0% +0.58 25 33
274 Norfolk State 25.0% +0.58 25 29
275 Omaha 25.0% +0.59 24 31
276 NC State 25.1% +0.61 24 34
277 SIU Edwardsville 25.1% +0.62 24 30
278 Boston University 25.3% +0.66 23 30
279 Kansas State 25.3% +0.66 23 36
280 Delaware State 25.4% +0.68 23 28
281 Memphis 25.4% +0.69 23 35
282 DePaul 25.4% +0.69 22 33
283 Loyola Marymount 25.5% +0.70 22 30
284 Kennesaw State 25.6% +0.73 22 32
285 Fairleigh Dickinson 25.6% +0.73 22 35
286 Georgia State 25.6% +0.75 21 28
287 Missouri 25.7% +0.76 21 35
288 Utah Tech 25.7% +0.77 21 30
289 Bethune-Cookman 25.8% +0.78 20 30
290 Buffalo 25.8% +0.80 20 30
291 Presbyterian 25.9% +0.83 20 30
292 Arkansas State 26.0% +0.84 20 30
293 Montana State 26.0% +0.84 19 33
294 Binghamton 26.0% +0.84 19 29
295 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 26.1% +0.86 19 31
296 Mercer 26.1% +0.87 19 31
297 BYU 26.1% +0.87 18 32
298 Troy 26.1% +0.88 18 30
299 Middle Tennessee 26.2% +0.88 18 31
300 Sam Houston 26.2% +0.88 17 30
301 Charleston Southern 26.3% +0.92 17 29
302 Air Force 26.3% +0.92 17 32
303 UNC Wilmington 26.5% +0.97 17 32
304 Samford 26.6% +1.01 16 28
305 New Mexico State 26.7% +1.03 16 21
306 Louisiana Tech 26.8% +1.04 16 30
307 UC Irvine 26.8% +1.06 15 33
308 UTEP 27.0% +1.09 15 30
309 Alcorn State 27.0% +1.10 15 32
310 South Florida 27.1% +1.12 15 32
311 Grambling 27.1% +1.13 14 31
312 Miami (OH) 27.2% +1.16 14 29
313 Mississippi Valley State 27.2% +1.17 14 32
314 UAlbany 27.2% +1.17 14 29
315 East Texas A&M 27.3% +1.18 13 32
316 Fordham 27.3% +1.19 13 33
317 UC Riverside 27.4% +1.20 13 33
318 Austin Peay 27.5% +1.24 12 28
319 IU Indianapolis 27.6% +1.25 12 30
320 Kent State 27.6% +1.25 12 33
321 Auburn 27.6% +1.26 12 34
322 North Texas 27.7% +1.29 11 36
323 UConn 27.7% +1.30 11 39
324 Central Michigan 27.8% +1.30 11 29
325 Texas Southern 27.8% +1.31 10 33
326 Monmouth 27.9% +1.33 10 33
327 West Virginia 28.1% +1.38 10 34
328 Idaho State 28.1% +1.39 10 30
329 UT Arlington 28.2% +1.40 9 29
330 Arkansas 28.2% +1.42 9 36
331 Gardner-Webb 28.4% +1.46 9 29
332 Morgan State 28.5% +1.48 9 27
333 Loyola Chicago 28.5% +1.50 8 31
334 Southern Indiana 28.7% +1.56 8 30
335 Northern Arizona 28.8% +1.57 8 33
336 Northwestern State 29.0% +1.61 7 32
337 UT Rio Grande Valley 29.0% +1.63 7 28
338 Cal State Northridge 29.1% +1.64 7 30
339 St. Bonaventure 29.2% +1.69 7 32
340 San Francisco 29.3% +1.70 6 33
341 Montana 29.3% +1.70 6 30
342 Stephen F. Austin 29.4% +1.72 6 29
343 Texas State 29.4% +1.73 6 32
344 Kansas City 29.5% +1.77 5 30
345 Alabama A&M 29.6% +1.78 5 30
346 Iowa State 29.6% +1.78 5 33
347 Florida A&M 29.6% +1.79 4 27
348 New Orleans 29.7% +1.81 4 30
349 Southern 29.7% +1.81 4 30
350 Prairie View A&M 30.1% +1.91 4 30
351 South Carolina Upstate 30.5% +2.02 3 30
352 Cal Poly 30.7% +2.06 3 31
353 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 30.9% +2.12 3 27
354 Southeast Missouri State 30.9% +2.13 2 33
355 Cal State Bakersfield 31.3% +2.23 2 31
356 South Carolina State 31.4% +2.26 2 30
357 Tennessee State 31.9% +2.39 2 28
358 Abilene Christian 32.4% +2.52 1 26
359 Tarleton State 33.6% +2.83 1 30
360 Wagner 33.7% +2.86 1 26
361 Portland State 34.5% +3.07 1 29
362 Nicholls 35.2% +3.24 0 27
363 Saint Peter's 37.0% +3.72 0 31