I love it when you call me Big Poppa "Big Poppa" - Notorious B.I.G.
← Scoring

Scoring Volatility

How much a team's game margins swing — the standard deviation of margin.

Sample standard deviation of per-game scoring margin. Low volatility means consistent performances; high volatility means blowouts mixed with duds, which makes a team's record less predictive.

Lower is better  ·  league avg 13.5  ·  as of 2023-04-04

Does it predict winners?

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 8.7 max 19.9 mean 13.5 std 2.1 (n=363)

Team Rankings

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# Team Scoring Volatility z Pctl GP
1 Rhode Island 8.7 -2.31 100 31
2 East Texas A&M 9.1 -2.13 100 32
3 Radford 9.2 -2.06 99 34
4 Cal State Northridge 9.2 -2.05 99 30
5 Queens University 9.4 -1.94 99 30
6 Niagara 9.6 -1.87 99 30
7 Texas State 9.6 -1.86 98 32
8 Memphis 9.7 -1.83 98 35
9 UC San Diego 9.7 -1.82 98 28
10 Wisconsin 9.7 -1.81 98 35
11 Fairfield 9.9 -1.73 97 30
12 Sacramento State 10.0 -1.69 97 30
13 Mount St. Mary's 10.0 -1.68 97 32
14 Gardner-Webb 10.1 -1.64 96 29
15 Army 10.1 -1.62 96 31
16 Miami 10.2 -1.57 96 37
17 Quinnipiac 10.2 -1.55 96 31
18 Old Dominion 10.3 -1.55 95 30
19 Portland State 10.3 -1.53 95 29
20 Northern Iowa 10.4 -1.48 95 31
21 American University 10.4 -1.47 94 32
22 Siena 10.4 -1.46 94 32
23 UC Santa Barbara 10.5 -1.44 94 33
24 Presbyterian 10.5 -1.43 94 30
25 Hawai'i 10.5 -1.41 93 32
26 Dartmouth 10.6 -1.39 93 26
27 Elon 10.6 -1.38 93 30
28 Notre Dame 10.6 -1.38 93 32
29 Rider 10.6 -1.37 92 29
30 Georgia Southern 10.7 -1.34 92 30
31 Eastern Illinois 10.7 -1.34 92 29
32 UC Davis 10.7 -1.32 91 30
33 Louisiana 10.8 -1.30 91 31
34 Santa Clara 10.8 -1.30 91 32
35 Davidson 10.8 -1.29 91 31
36 Brown 10.9 -1.26 90 27
37 App State 10.9 -1.25 90 29
38 Towson 10.9 -1.24 90 33
39 San Diego State 11.0 -1.18 90 38
40 Southern Utah 11.0 -1.18 89 33
41 Little Rock 11.1 -1.16 89 29
42 Marquette 11.1 -1.15 89 36
43 Xavier 11.1 -1.15 88 37
44 Manhattan 11.1 -1.13 88 29
45 UNLV 11.1 -1.13 88 31
46 Villanova 11.1 -1.13 88 34
47 Michigan State 11.2 -1.12 87 34
48 La Salle 11.2 -1.12 87 34
49 Idaho 11.2 -1.11 87 30
50 Temple 11.2 -1.10 86 32
51 North Carolina 11.2 -1.07 86 33
52 Illinois State 11.3 -1.07 86 32
53 Lafayette 11.3 -1.07 86 34
54 Grand Canyon 11.3 -1.06 85 33
55 UT Martin 11.3 -1.06 85 29
56 UC Riverside 11.3 -1.06 85 33
57 Wichita State 11.3 -1.05 85 32
58 Troy 11.3 -1.05 84 30
59 Purdue 11.3 -1.04 84 35
60 UT Arlington 11.3 -1.03 84 29
61 Arkansas State 11.4 -1.02 83 30
62 SIU Edwardsville 11.4 -1.02 83 30
63 George Washington 11.4 -1.01 83 31
64 UTEP 11.4 -1.01 83 30
65 East Tennessee State 11.4 -0.98 82 30
66 Lipscomb 11.5 -0.96 82 30
67 NJIT 11.5 -0.95 82 29
68 VCU 11.5 -0.95 81 35
69 VMI 11.5 -0.94 81 29
70 Green Bay 11.5 -0.93 81 32
71 St. Bonaventure 11.6 -0.90 81 32
72 Kent State 11.7 -0.88 80 33
73 Coastal Carolina 11.7 -0.87 80 28
74 Marshall 11.7 -0.87 80 31
75 Pacific 11.7 -0.84 80 31
76 Louisiana Tech 11.7 -0.84 79 30
77 Western Michigan 11.8 -0.83 79 28
78 Northern Arizona 11.8 -0.82 79 33
79 Idaho State 11.8 -0.80 78 30
80 Virginia 11.8 -0.80 78 33
81 Campbell 11.8 -0.80 78 32
82 Southern Indiana 11.8 -0.79 78 30
83 Sacred Heart 11.9 -0.78 77 32
84 Wofford 11.9 -0.78 77 30
85 Utah State 11.9 -0.78 77 34
86 Kennesaw State 11.9 -0.77 77 32
87 Western Kentucky 11.9 -0.76 76 31
88 Fresno State 11.9 -0.76 76 30
89 Stonehill 11.9 -0.75 76 30
90 Eastern Washington 12.0 -0.73 75 33
91 Winthrop 12.0 -0.73 75 30
92 Cal State Fullerton 12.0 -0.72 75 31
93 BYU 12.0 -0.72 75 32
94 Florida Atlantic 12.0 -0.72 74 37
95 Nevada 12.0 -0.70 74 32
96 Prairie View A&M 12.0 -0.69 74 30
97 Long Beach State 12.0 -0.69 73 31
98 Lamar 12.1 -0.67 73 28
99 Louisville 12.1 -0.66 73 32
100 Eastern Kentucky 12.1 -0.66 73 34
101 Cal State Bakersfield 12.1 -0.66 72 31
102 Canisius 12.1 -0.65 72 29
103 Holy Cross 12.1 -0.65 72 30
104 Penn State 12.2 -0.63 72 37
105 Missouri State 12.2 -0.62 71 31
106 Harvard 12.2 -0.62 71 26
107 Fairleigh Dickinson 12.2 -0.60 71 35
108 Ball State 12.3 -0.59 70 30
109 Wake Forest 12.3 -0.58 70 33
110 North Carolina Central 12.3 -0.57 70 26
111 Marist 12.3 -0.57 70 33
112 Navy 12.3 -0.56 69 30
113 UC Irvine 12.3 -0.56 69 33
114 Ole Miss 12.3 -0.55 69 33
115 Bellarmine 12.3 -0.55 69 30
116 Fordham 12.4 -0.52 68 33
117 Wyoming 12.4 -0.52 68 30
118 Princeton 12.4 -0.52 68 30
119 Long Island University 12.4 -0.51 67 27
120 Tennessee State 12.4 -0.51 67 28
121 Southeast Missouri State 12.4 -0.50 67 34
122 Cleveland State 12.4 -0.50 67 33
123 Minnesota 12.5 -0.50 66 31
124 Montana State 12.5 -0.49 66 33
125 Columbia 12.5 -0.47 66 27
126 Southern Illinois 12.5 -0.47 65 32
127 Oakland 12.5 -0.46 65 31
128 Wagner 12.5 -0.45 65 26
129 Tarleton State 12.5 -0.45 65 30
130 DePaul 12.6 -0.45 64 33
131 Florida International 12.6 -0.45 64 30
132 UNC Greensboro 12.6 -0.45 64 30
133 Charleston 12.6 -0.43 64 34
134 North Texas 12.7 -0.40 63 36
135 High Point 12.7 -0.39 63 29
136 South Florida 12.7 -0.38 63 32
137 UNC Asheville 12.7 -0.37 62 33
138 California Baptist 12.7 -0.37 62 31
139 Oregon State 12.8 -0.35 62 31
140 USC 12.8 -0.34 62 33
141 Hartford 12.8 -0.34 61 25
142 Texas Southern 12.8 -0.32 61 33
143 Charlotte 12.8 -0.32 61 36
144 Binghamton 12.8 -0.32 60 29
145 George Mason 12.8 -0.31 60 33
146 Belmont 12.8 -0.31 60 31
147 Michigan 12.9 -0.30 60 34
148 San Diego 12.9 -0.29 59 29
149 Utah Valley 12.9 -0.29 59 34
150 Montana 12.9 -0.28 59 30
151 New Mexico 12.9 -0.28 59 33
152 Alabama A&M 12.9 -0.27 58 30
153 Boston University 12.9 -0.27 58 31
154 Abilene Christian 13.0 -0.25 58 26
155 East Carolina 13.0 -0.24 57 33
156 New Mexico State 13.0 -0.24 57 21
157 UTSA 13.0 -0.22 57 30
158 Stephen F. Austin 13.0 -0.21 57 29
159 Central Connecticut 13.0 -0.21 56 32
160 Morgan State 13.1 -0.21 56 27
161 Eastern Michigan 13.1 -0.18 56 30
162 Jacksonville 13.1 -0.17 56 26
163 Georgia State 13.1 -0.17 55 28
164 Boise State 13.1 -0.17 55 33
165 Chattanooga 13.1 -0.16 55 32
166 Furman 13.2 -0.16 54 33
167 Milwaukee 13.2 -0.15 54 31
168 Bucknell 13.2 -0.15 54 31
169 Kansas State 13.2 -0.14 54 36
170 Purdue Fort Wayne 13.2 -0.13 53 30
171 LSU 13.2 -0.13 53 33
172 Miami (OH) 13.3 -0.10 53 29
173 Florida State 13.3 -0.10 52 32
174 Youngstown State 13.3 -0.09 52 32
175 Samford 13.3 -0.09 52 28
176 Loyola Chicago 13.3 -0.08 52 31
177 Central Arkansas 13.3 -0.08 51 30
178 Colorado 13.3 -0.07 51 35
179 Virginia Tech 13.3 -0.07 51 34
180 Oklahoma State 13.3 -0.07 51 36
181 UCLA 13.4 -0.06 50 37
182 Weber State 13.4 -0.04 50 31
183 Delaware State 13.4 -0.03 50 28
184 Toledo 13.4 -0.03 49 34
185 Boston College 13.4 -0.03 49 33
186 South Carolina Upstate 13.4 -0.02 49 30
187 Saint Louis 13.5 -0.01 49 32
188 Tennessee Tech 13.5 -0.01 48 30
189 Northwestern State 13.5 -0.01 48 32
190 UAB 13.5 -0.01 48 38
191 SE Louisiana 13.5 -0.01 48 29
192 Cal Poly 13.5 +0.01 47 31
193 Cornell 13.5 +0.01 47 26
194 California 13.5 +0.02 47 32
195 Loyola Maryland 13.5 +0.03 46 31
196 UT Rio Grande Valley 13.5 +0.03 46 28
197 Middle Tennessee 13.5 +0.03 46 31
198 Omaha 13.6 +0.05 46 31
199 South Alabama 13.6 +0.05 45 33
200 Evansville 13.6 +0.06 45 32
201 Saint Peter's 13.7 +0.08 45 31
202 St. Francis Brooklyn 13.7 +0.08 44 28
203 Incarnate Word 13.7 +0.09 44 28
204 Central Michigan 13.7 +0.09 44 29
205 Drake 13.7 +0.11 44 34
206 Valparaiso 13.7 +0.11 43 31
207 Washington 13.8 +0.13 43 32
208 Colgate 13.8 +0.16 43 34
209 UAlbany 13.8 +0.16 43 29
210 UIC 13.8 +0.16 42 31
211 North Carolina A&T 13.9 +0.18 42 29
212 Hampton 13.9 +0.18 42 31
213 South Carolina State 13.9 +0.20 41 30
214 UMass Lowell 13.9 +0.20 41 32
215 Washington State 13.9 +0.21 41 34
216 Stony Brook 13.9 +0.21 41 31
217 Southern 14.0 +0.22 40 30
218 Kansas 14.0 +0.23 40 36
219 Alabama State 14.0 +0.25 40 30
220 Air Force 14.0 +0.25 40 32
221 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 14.0 +0.26 39 27
222 Lindenwood 14.0 +0.27 39 29
223 Florida Gulf Coast 14.1 +0.27 39 31
224 Drexel 14.1 +0.29 38 31
225 Georgetown 14.1 +0.29 38 32
226 Northern Kentucky 14.1 +0.31 38 33
227 Duquesne 14.1 +0.31 38 33
228 Indiana State 14.1 +0.32 37 35
229 Auburn 14.2 +0.33 37 34
230 Utah Tech 14.2 +0.33 37 30
231 Bryant 14.2 +0.33 36 28
232 Arizona State 14.2 +0.33 36 36
233 Sam Houston 14.2 +0.33 36 30
234 Creighton 14.2 +0.33 36 37
235 McNeese 14.2 +0.34 35 33
236 UConn 14.2 +0.36 35 39
237 Coppin State 14.2 +0.36 35 32
238 Charleston Southern 14.3 +0.37 35 29
239 St. John's 14.3 +0.38 34 33
240 Oklahoma 14.3 +0.38 34 32
241 Robert Morris 14.3 +0.39 34 31
242 IU Indianapolis 14.3 +0.39 33 30
243 Florida A&M 14.4 +0.42 33 27
244 Western Illinois 14.4 +0.42 33 27
245 Massachusetts 14.4 +0.42 33 31
246 Longwood 14.4 +0.42 32 30
247 Saint Joseph's 14.4 +0.42 32 33
248 Jackson State 14.4 +0.43 32 33
249 UCF 14.4 +0.43 31 34
250 Morehead State 14.4 +0.43 31 30
251 Arizona 14.4 +0.44 31 35
252 Mercer 14.4 +0.46 31 31
253 Syracuse 14.4 +0.46 30 32
254 Dayton 14.5 +0.47 30 34
255 Lehigh 14.5 +0.47 30 28
256 Nicholls 14.5 +0.48 30 27
257 Saint Mary's 14.5 +0.48 29 34
258 SMU 14.5 +0.49 29 32
259 UNC Wilmington 14.5 +0.50 29 32
260 Delaware 14.5 +0.51 28 32
261 Nebraska 14.6 +0.51 28 32
262 Western Carolina 14.6 +0.51 28 31
263 North Alabama 14.6 +0.51 28 30
264 Loyola Marymount 14.6 +0.55 27 30
265 Mississippi State 14.6 +0.56 27 34
266 South Dakota State 14.7 +0.57 27 31
267 Bowling Green 14.7 +0.57 27 29
268 William & Mary 14.7 +0.58 26 31
269 UMBC 14.8 +0.61 26 31
270 Iona 14.8 +0.62 26 35
271 San Francisco 14.8 +0.63 25 33
272 Wright State 14.8 +0.64 25 31
273 The Citadel 14.8 +0.65 25 31
274 Texas A&M 14.9 +0.66 25 35
275 North Dakota 14.9 +0.67 24 31
276 Vanderbilt 14.9 +0.67 24 37
277 Providence 14.9 +0.67 24 33
278 Clemson 14.9 +0.68 23 34
279 New Hampshire 14.9 +0.69 23 28
280 Richmond 14.9 +0.70 23 33
281 UL Monroe 14.9 +0.70 23 29
282 Detroit Mercy 15.0 +0.70 22 32
283 Northwestern 15.0 +0.70 22 34
284 Liberty 15.0 +0.72 22 33
285 Pennsylvania 15.1 +0.76 22 29
286 Tulsa 15.1 +0.76 21 30
287 Maryland Eastern Shore 15.1 +0.78 21 27
288 Yale 15.1 +0.79 21 28
289 Stetson 15.1 +0.79 20 29
290 Northern Colorado 15.1 +0.79 20 31
291 James Madison 15.1 +0.79 20 30
292 Ohio 15.2 +0.80 20 32
293 St. Thomas-Minnesota 15.2 +0.81 19 31
294 Grambling 15.2 +0.83 19 31
295 Merrimack 15.3 +0.85 19 32
296 Cincinnati 15.3 +0.86 19 35
297 Arkansas 15.3 +0.86 18 36
298 Northeastern 15.3 +0.86 18 30
299 North Dakota State 15.3 +0.86 18 31
300 South Carolina 15.3 +0.86 17 32
301 Seattle U 15.3 +0.87 17 30
302 Denver 15.4 +0.91 17 30
303 Saint Francis 15.4 +0.92 17 29
304 Pittsburgh 15.4 +0.93 16 36
305 Tulane 15.5 +0.97 16 31
306 Southern Miss 15.5 +0.97 16 30
307 Chicago State 15.5 +0.98 15 27
308 Texas 15.5 +0.99 15 38
309 West Virginia 15.6 +1.01 15 34
310 Houston 15.6 +1.03 15 37
311 Kansas City 15.7 +1.05 14 30
312 Akron 15.7 +1.06 14 31
313 Austin Peay 15.8 +1.09 14 28
314 TCU 15.8 +1.10 14 35
315 Mississippi Valley State 15.8 +1.11 13 32
316 Maine 15.8 +1.12 13 28
317 Murray State 16.0 +1.19 13 31
318 Houston Christian 16.0 +1.21 12 29
319 Stanford 16.0 +1.22 12 33
320 Oregon 16.0 +1.22 12 36
321 Gonzaga 16.0 +1.23 12 36
322 Georgia Tech 16.1 +1.23 11 31
323 Colorado State 16.1 +1.25 11 32
324 Iowa 16.1 +1.27 11 33
325 Vermont 16.1 +1.28 10 33
326 Rice 16.2 +1.28 10 32
327 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 16.2 +1.31 10 31
328 Kentucky 16.4 +1.38 10 34
329 Georgia 16.4 +1.39 9 32
330 San José State 16.4 +1.41 9 34
331 Pepperdine 16.4 +1.41 9 29
332 Alcorn State 16.5 +1.44 9 32
333 NC State 16.6 +1.50 8 34
334 Duke 16.6 +1.51 8 36
335 Missouri 16.7 +1.52 8 35
336 Hofstra 16.8 +1.59 7 34
337 Maryland 16.8 +1.59 7 35
338 Illinois 16.9 +1.64 7 33
339 Rutgers 17.0 +1.71 7 34
340 New Orleans 17.1 +1.72 6 30
341 Ohio State 17.1 +1.73 6 35
342 Jacksonville State 17.2 +1.78 6 28
343 Baylor 17.2 +1.79 6 34
344 North Florida 17.2 +1.79 5 29
345 Seton Hall 17.2 +1.80 5 32
346 Iowa State 17.2 +1.80 5 33
347 Bethune-Cookman 17.3 +1.82 4 30
348 Alabama 17.4 +1.88 4 37
349 Norfolk State 17.4 +1.89 4 29
350 Indiana 17.4 +1.89 4 35
351 Utah 17.5 +1.90 3 32
352 Monmouth 17.8 +2.05 3 33
353 South Dakota 17.8 +2.06 3 29
354 Buffalo 18.0 +2.18 2 30
355 Florida 18.1 +2.21 2 33
356 Northern Illinois 18.2 +2.27 2 30
357 Oral Roberts 18.3 +2.29 2 31
358 Tennessee 18.5 +2.40 1 36
359 Howard 18.5 +2.43 1 32
360 Texas Tech 18.9 +2.58 1 32
361 Bradley 18.9 +2.61 1 34
362 Portland 19.0 +2.65 0 31
363 Butler 19.9 +3.09 0 32