I got a baby's brain and an old man's heart "I'm Eighteen" - Alice Cooper
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Field Goal Percentage

Higher is better  ·  league avg 44.0%  ·  as of 2023-04-04

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Predicts home win: AUC 0.64 (team entering with the better value wins 61% of games)

Based on 5499 of 5721 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 37.1% max 51.4% mean 44.0% std 2.3% (n=363)

Team Rankings

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# Team Field Goal Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Gonzaga 51.4% +3.24 100 36
2 Colgate 51.2% +3.14 100 34
3 Arizona 49.4% +2.33 99 35
4 Toledo 49.3% +2.29 99 34
5 Xavier 49.2% +2.24 99 37
6 UC Santa Barbara 49.0% +2.16 99 33
7 Indiana 48.6% +2.01 98 35
8 Wright State 48.6% +1.99 98 31
9 Marquette 48.6% +1.99 98 36
10 Eastern Washington 48.4% +1.89 98 33
11 Youngstown State 48.3% +1.88 97 32
12 Indiana State 48.2% +1.82 97 35
13 American University 48.2% +1.81 97 32
14 Denver 48.0% +1.76 96 30
15 Colorado State 48.0% +1.74 96 32
16 Miami 48.0% +1.73 96 37
17 Hofstra 47.9% +1.71 96 34
18 Memphis 47.9% +1.69 95 35
19 New Mexico 47.9% +1.69 95 33
20 UMass Lowell 47.7% +1.61 95 32
21 Utah State 47.5% +1.53 94 34
22 Texas 47.3% +1.44 94 38
23 Charlotte 47.3% +1.43 94 36
24 Belmont 47.3% +1.42 94 31
25 Missouri 47.2% +1.40 93 35
26 Army 47.2% +1.40 93 31
27 New Orleans 47.2% +1.40 93 30
28 Oral Roberts 47.0% +1.32 93 31
29 Vermont 47.0% +1.31 92 33
30 Louisiana 47.0% +1.31 92 31
31 Furman 47.0% +1.30 92 33
32 Virginia Tech 46.9% +1.28 91 34
33 George Washington 46.9% +1.27 91 31
34 Lipscomb 46.9% +1.26 91 30
35 Creighton 46.9% +1.24 91 37
36 Kansas 46.8% +1.21 90 36
37 Clemson 46.7% +1.19 90 34
38 Dayton 46.7% +1.17 90 34
39 Winthrop 46.6% +1.14 90 30
40 Yale 46.6% +1.14 89 28
41 Arkansas 46.6% +1.12 89 36
42 Liberty 46.6% +1.11 89 33
43 Cornell 46.5% +1.07 88 26
44 UNC Asheville 46.5% +1.06 88 33
45 Norfolk State 46.4% +1.06 88 29
46 Marshall 46.4% +1.05 88 31
47 Saint Louis 46.4% +1.05 87 32
48 UConn 46.4% +1.03 87 39
49 Montana 46.4% +1.03 87 30
50 Pennsylvania 46.4% +1.03 86 29
51 South Alabama 46.3% +1.02 86 33
52 Penn State 46.3% +1.01 86 37
53 Campbell 46.3% +1.00 86 32
54 Florida International 46.3% +0.99 85 30
55 VCU 46.3% +0.99 85 35
56 Syracuse 46.3% +0.98 85 32
57 Florida Atlantic 46.2% +0.98 85 37
58 Utah Valley 46.2% +0.96 84 34
59 Ball State 46.2% +0.96 84 30
60 Loyola Chicago 46.2% +0.96 84 31
61 Drake 46.2% +0.96 83 34
62 Air Force 46.2% +0.96 83 32
63 Ohio State 46.2% +0.95 83 35
64 Idaho 46.2% +0.95 83 30
65 Kansas State 46.1% +0.93 82 36
66 Wofford 46.1% +0.89 82 30
67 UCLA 46.0% +0.87 82 37
68 Stephen F. Austin 46.0% +0.87 81 29
69 Wake Forest 46.0% +0.86 81 33
70 Tulane 46.0% +0.85 81 31
71 Texas Tech 45.9% +0.83 81 32
72 Iona 45.9% +0.80 80 35
73 Houston 45.8% +0.80 80 37
74 Oklahoma 45.8% +0.79 80 32
75 Bradley 45.8% +0.78 80 34
76 Kennesaw State 45.8% +0.77 79 32
77 Nebraska 45.8% +0.76 79 32
78 Northern Illinois 45.7% +0.76 79 30
79 Rice 45.7% +0.74 78 32
80 Pepperdine 45.7% +0.74 78 29
81 Purdue 45.7% +0.72 78 35
82 Montana State 45.6% +0.71 78 33
83 Providence 45.6% +0.70 77 33
84 Radford 45.6% +0.70 77 34
85 Santa Clara 45.6% +0.69 77 32
86 USC 45.5% +0.66 77 33
87 UC Irvine 45.5% +0.64 76 33
88 Kentucky 45.4% +0.62 76 34
89 Saint Francis 45.4% +0.61 76 29
90 Bryant 45.4% +0.60 75 28
91 Saint Mary's 45.4% +0.60 75 34
92 IU Indianapolis 45.4% +0.59 75 30
93 TCU 45.3% +0.58 75 35
94 UT Rio Grande Valley 45.3% +0.58 74 28
95 Utah Tech 45.3% +0.58 74 30
96 Princeton 45.3% +0.57 74 30
97 Cleveland State 45.3% +0.57 73 33
98 Iowa 45.3% +0.57 73 33
99 Pacific 45.3% +0.55 73 31
100 Loyola Marymount 45.2% +0.54 73 30
101 Samford 45.2% +0.54 72 28
102 North Dakota State 45.2% +0.54 72 31
103 Stanford 45.2% +0.53 72 33
104 Southern Utah 45.2% +0.53 72 33
105 Michigan State 45.2% +0.53 71 34
106 Portland 45.2% +0.53 71 31
107 Gardner-Webb 45.2% +0.53 71 29
108 Miami (OH) 45.2% +0.53 70 29
109 Stetson 45.2% +0.52 70 29
110 Ohio 45.2% +0.52 70 32
111 Northern Colorado 45.2% +0.52 70 31
112 Rider 45.2% +0.52 69 29
113 Duke 45.2% +0.51 69 36
114 West Virginia 45.2% +0.50 69 34
115 Grand Canyon 45.2% +0.50 69 33
116 East Texas A&M 45.1% +0.50 68 32
117 James Madison 45.1% +0.49 68 30
118 Howard 45.1% +0.47 68 32
119 George Mason 45.1% +0.47 67 33
120 Middle Tennessee 45.1% +0.47 67 31
121 BYU 45.1% +0.46 67 32
122 Michigan 45.0% +0.45 67 34
123 Maine 45.0% +0.45 66 28
124 NC State 45.0% +0.44 66 34
125 Grambling 45.0% +0.44 66 31
126 South Dakota State 45.0% +0.44 65 31
127 Wichita State 45.0% +0.42 65 32
128 Bucknell 45.0% +0.42 65 31
129 Baylor 45.0% +0.42 65 34
130 Virginia 44.9% +0.40 64 33
131 St. John's 44.9% +0.40 64 33
132 South Carolina Upstate 44.9% +0.40 64 30
133 Boise State 44.9% +0.40 64 33
134 East Tennessee State 44.9% +0.40 63 30
135 Illinois 44.9% +0.39 63 33
136 Milwaukee 44.9% +0.39 63 31
137 Long Beach State 44.9% +0.38 62 31
138 North Carolina Central 44.8% +0.37 62 26
139 Oregon 44.8% +0.36 62 36
140 Navy 44.8% +0.35 62 30
141 Fairleigh Dickinson 44.8% +0.34 61 35
142 Maryland 44.8% +0.34 61 35
143 Southern Miss 44.8% +0.32 61 30
144 Towson 44.7% +0.32 60 33
145 SE Louisiana 44.7% +0.32 60 29
146 Northern Iowa 44.7% +0.32 60 31
147 San Diego 44.7% +0.32 60 29
148 Weber State 44.7% +0.30 59 31
149 Pittsburgh 44.7% +0.30 59 36
150 Binghamton 44.7% +0.29 59 29
151 Bellarmine 44.7% +0.29 59 30
152 UMBC 44.7% +0.28 58 31
153 UAB 44.7% +0.28 58 38
154 San Francisco 44.6% +0.28 58 33
155 Sacramento State 44.6% +0.27 57 30
156 UT Martin 44.6% +0.27 57 29
157 North Florida 44.6% +0.26 57 29
158 South Florida 44.6% +0.24 57 32
159 Niagara 44.5% +0.22 56 30
160 North Alabama 44.5% +0.22 56 30
161 Northwestern State 44.5% +0.20 56 32
162 Bowling Green 44.5% +0.20 56 29
163 Kent State 44.4% +0.19 55 33
164 Cincinnati 44.4% +0.18 55 35
165 Loyola Maryland 44.4% +0.17 55 31
166 Nicholls 44.3% +0.14 54 27
167 Iowa State 44.3% +0.13 54 33
168 Little Rock 44.3% +0.13 54 29
169 UTEP 44.3% +0.12 54 30
170 Nevada 44.3% +0.11 53 32
171 Notre Dame 44.3% +0.11 53 32
172 Chattanooga 44.2% +0.10 53 32
173 Davidson 44.2% +0.10 52 31
174 Buffalo 44.2% +0.09 52 30
175 Akron 44.2% +0.09 52 31
176 Alabama 44.2% +0.09 52 37
177 Western Illinois 44.2% +0.08 51 27
178 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 44.2% +0.08 51 31
179 Southern Illinois 44.2% +0.08 51 32
180 Idaho State 44.2% +0.07 51 30
181 Texas State 44.2% +0.07 50 32
182 Houston Christian 44.1% +0.02 50 29
183 Jacksonville 44.0% +0.00 50 26
184 Harvard 44.0% -0.01 49 26
185 St. Thomas-Minnesota 44.0% -0.01 49 31
186 UC Davis 44.0% -0.02 49 30
187 Auburn 43.9% -0.02 49 34
188 Lehigh 43.9% -0.03 48 28
189 Mercer 43.9% -0.04 48 31
190 Eastern Michigan 43.9% -0.04 48 30
191 Richmond 43.9% -0.05 48 33
192 Longwood 43.9% -0.06 47 30
193 High Point 43.8% -0.08 47 29
194 UC Riverside 43.8% -0.08 47 33
195 Louisiana Tech 43.8% -0.08 46 30
196 Brown 43.8% -0.09 46 27
197 New Mexico State 43.8% -0.10 46 21
198 North Texas 43.8% -0.10 46 36
199 Delaware 43.8% -0.10 45 32
200 Wyoming 43.7% -0.11 45 30
201 UNC Greensboro 43.7% -0.12 45 30
202 Boston College 43.7% -0.12 44 33
203 Tennessee State 43.7% -0.12 44 28
204 Duquesne 43.7% -0.13 44 33
205 Sam Houston 43.7% -0.13 44 30
206 Seton Hall 43.7% -0.13 43 32
207 Valparaiso 43.7% -0.13 43 31
208 Southeast Missouri State 43.7% -0.14 43 33
209 Murray State 43.7% -0.14 43 31
210 Stonehill 43.7% -0.14 42 30
211 Portland State 43.6% -0.16 42 29
212 Butler 43.6% -0.16 42 32
213 Northern Arizona 43.6% -0.18 41 33
214 Florida 43.6% -0.18 41 33
215 Florida State 43.6% -0.18 41 32
216 Omaha 43.6% -0.18 41 31
217 Charleston Southern 43.6% -0.19 40 29
218 Queens University 43.6% -0.20 40 30
219 Villanova 43.6% -0.20 40 34
220 San Diego State 43.5% -0.20 40 38
221 Eastern Illinois 43.5% -0.20 39 29
222 Tennessee Tech 43.5% -0.22 39 30
223 Coppin State 43.5% -0.22 39 32
224 Abilene Christian 43.5% -0.23 38 26
225 San José State 43.4% -0.25 38 34
226 Robert Morris 43.4% -0.25 38 31
227 Colorado 43.4% -0.25 38 35
228 Tarleton State 43.4% -0.27 37 30
229 Western Kentucky 43.4% -0.27 37 31
230 Illinois State 43.4% -0.27 37 32
231 North Dakota 43.4% -0.28 36 31
232 North Carolina 43.4% -0.28 36 33
233 Florida Gulf Coast 43.3% -0.29 36 31
234 Siena 43.3% -0.31 36 32
235 Tennessee 43.3% -0.31 35 36
236 Charleston 43.3% -0.31 35 34
237 Minnesota 43.3% -0.32 35 31
238 Manhattan 43.3% -0.32 35 29
239 Dartmouth 43.3% -0.33 34 26
240 Texas A&M 43.2% -0.34 34 35
241 UNC Wilmington 43.2% -0.34 34 32
242 Detroit Mercy 43.1% -0.38 33 32
243 Quinnipiac 43.1% -0.38 33 31
244 UC San Diego 43.1% -0.39 33 28
245 Washington 43.1% -0.39 33 32
246 Rutgers 43.1% -0.40 32 34
247 Missouri State 43.1% -0.40 32 31
248 Oakland 43.1% -0.41 32 31
249 Troy 43.0% -0.42 31 30
250 Drexel 43.0% -0.43 31 31
251 Fresno State 43.0% -0.44 31 30
252 Incarnate Word 43.0% -0.44 31 28
253 The Citadel 43.0% -0.44 30 31
254 Alabama A&M 42.9% -0.48 30 30
255 Holy Cross 42.9% -0.48 30 30
256 St. Bonaventure 42.9% -0.50 30 32
257 Sacred Heart 42.9% -0.50 29 32
258 Eastern Kentucky 42.8% -0.51 29 34
259 UCF 42.8% -0.51 29 34
260 Georgia Southern 42.8% -0.52 28 30
261 Oklahoma State 42.8% -0.54 28 36
262 Utah 42.7% -0.55 28 32
263 DePaul 42.7% -0.55 28 33
264 Lamar 42.7% -0.57 27 28
265 Jacksonville State 42.7% -0.57 27 28
266 Purdue Fort Wayne 42.7% -0.58 27 30
267 Cal State Fullerton 42.6% -0.59 27 31
268 Saint Joseph's 42.6% -0.61 26 33
269 William & Mary 42.5% -0.63 26 31
270 NJIT 42.5% -0.64 26 29
271 Vanderbilt 42.5% -0.64 25 37
272 Southern Indiana 42.5% -0.65 25 30
273 McNeese 42.5% -0.65 25 33
274 Temple 42.5% -0.65 25 32
275 Mount St. Mary's 42.5% -0.66 24 32
276 Hawai'i 42.5% -0.66 24 32
277 South Dakota 42.5% -0.67 24 29
278 SIU Edwardsville 42.4% -0.68 23 30
279 App State 42.4% -0.69 23 29
280 La Salle 42.4% -0.71 23 34
281 Washington State 42.4% -0.71 23 34
282 Morgan State 42.4% -0.71 22 27
283 UNLV 42.4% -0.72 22 31
284 Lindenwood 42.3% -0.72 22 29
285 Georgetown 42.3% -0.74 22 32
286 Morehead State 42.2% -0.77 21 30
287 Ole Miss 42.2% -0.78 21 33
288 Western Carolina 42.2% -0.78 21 31
289 SMU 42.2% -0.78 20 32
290 Central Connecticut 42.2% -0.78 20 32
291 Mississippi State 42.1% -0.81 20 34
292 Louisville 42.1% -0.82 20 32
293 Texas Southern 42.1% -0.82 19 33
294 Western Michigan 42.1% -0.84 19 28
295 Arizona State 42.1% -0.84 19 36
296 Northern Kentucky 42.0% -0.85 19 33
297 Georgia Tech 41.9% -0.90 18 31
298 California Baptist 41.9% -0.90 18 31
299 Fordham 41.9% -0.90 18 33
300 Southern 41.9% -0.90 17 30
301 Elon 41.9% -0.91 17 30
302 Chicago State 41.9% -0.92 17 27
303 Canisius 41.9% -0.93 17 29
304 Jackson State 41.9% -0.93 16 33
305 Arkansas State 41.8% -0.95 16 30
306 Northeastern 41.8% -0.97 16 30
307 Old Dominion 41.7% -0.98 15 30
308 South Carolina State 41.7% -1.00 15 30
309 Long Island University 41.7% -1.02 15 27
310 Coastal Carolina 41.6% -1.03 15 28
311 Presbyterian 41.6% -1.05 14 30
312 UIC 41.5% -1.09 14 31
313 Massachusetts 41.5% -1.09 14 31
314 Wisconsin 41.4% -1.11 14 35
315 Tulsa 41.3% -1.19 13 30
316 Merrimack 41.3% -1.20 13 32
317 Hartford 41.2% -1.22 13 25
318 Maryland Eastern Shore 41.1% -1.24 12 27
319 Georgia State 41.1% -1.25 12 28
320 Delaware State 41.1% -1.27 12 28
321 Georgia 41.0% -1.29 12 32
322 Boston University 41.0% -1.31 11 30
323 LSU 41.0% -1.32 11 33
324 Marist 41.0% -1.33 11 33
325 UTSA 40.9% -1.36 10 30
326 Alcorn State 40.8% -1.37 10 32
327 North Carolina A&T 40.8% -1.38 10 29
328 Central Michigan 40.8% -1.39 10 29
329 Lafayette 40.8% -1.40 9 34
330 Fairfield 40.8% -1.41 9 30
331 UAlbany 40.7% -1.43 9 29
332 Northwestern 40.7% -1.44 9 34
333 Cal State Bakersfield 40.7% -1.44 8 31
334 Mississippi Valley State 40.6% -1.47 8 32
335 Bethune-Cookman 40.6% -1.47 8 30
336 Oregon State 40.6% -1.49 7 31
337 Central Arkansas 40.6% -1.49 7 30
338 East Carolina 40.6% -1.50 7 33
339 Stony Brook 40.6% -1.50 7 31
340 Cal Poly 40.5% -1.54 6 31
341 UT Arlington 40.3% -1.59 6 29
342 South Carolina 40.3% -1.61 6 32
343 Austin Peay 40.3% -1.62 6 28
344 VMI 40.2% -1.64 5 29
345 Monmouth 40.2% -1.66 5 33
346 St. Francis Brooklyn 39.9% -1.78 5 28
347 Evansville 39.6% -1.90 4 32
348 Prairie View A&M 39.6% -1.92 4 30
349 Wagner 39.6% -1.93 4 26
350 Seattle U 39.5% -1.98 4 30
351 Rhode Island 39.4% -1.99 3 31
352 Green Bay 39.4% -2.00 3 32
353 Columbia 39.3% -2.04 3 27
354 Florida A&M 39.3% -2.06 2 27
355 Hampton 39.3% -2.06 2 31
356 California 39.1% -2.14 2 32
357 Cal State Northridge 39.0% -2.19 2 30
358 New Hampshire 38.9% -2.21 1 28
359 UL Monroe 38.8% -2.26 1 29
360 Saint Peter's 38.8% -2.27 1 31
361 Kansas City 38.5% -2.39 1 30
362 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 38.4% -2.43 0 27
363 Alabama State 37.1% -3.01 0 30