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Three-Point Percentage

Higher is better  ·  league avg 33.9%  ·  as of 2023-04-04

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Predicts home win: AUC 0.58 (team entering with the better value wins 56% of games)

Based on 5499 of 5721 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 26.6% max 40.5% mean 33.9% std 2.3% (n=363)

Team Rankings

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# Team Three-Point Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Colgate 40.5% +2.85 100 34
2 Toledo 39.7% +2.52 100 34
3 Michigan State 39.3% +2.32 99 34
4 Xavier 39.0% +2.20 99 37
5 Belmont 38.9% +2.16 99 31
6 Detroit Mercy 38.7% +2.10 99 32
7 Penn State 38.7% +2.08 98 37
8 UNC Asheville 38.6% +2.02 98 33
9 Pacific 38.4% +1.95 98 31
10 Stephen F. Austin 38.0% +1.78 98 29
11 South Dakota 38.0% +1.78 97 29
12 Stetson 38.0% +1.78 97 29
13 Winthrop 37.9% +1.73 97 30
14 New Orleans 37.9% +1.72 96 30
15 Utah State 37.9% +1.72 96 34
16 Sam Houston 37.8% +1.70 96 30
17 Arizona 37.8% +1.68 96 35
18 UMass Lowell 37.7% +1.65 95 32
19 Charlotte 37.7% +1.65 95 36
20 Utah Tech 37.6% +1.61 95 30
21 Santa Clara 37.6% +1.58 94 32
22 Gonzaga 37.6% +1.58 94 36
23 Grand Canyon 37.5% +1.56 94 33
24 Portland 37.4% +1.51 94 31
25 Ohio 37.3% +1.49 93 32
26 Chattanooga 37.3% +1.48 93 32
27 Tennessee Tech 37.3% +1.47 93 30
28 Montana 37.3% +1.46 93 30
29 Washington State 37.3% +1.46 92 34
30 UC Irvine 37.2% +1.45 92 33
31 Howard 36.9% +1.31 92 32
32 Navy 36.9% +1.29 91 30
33 Ball State 36.9% +1.29 91 30
34 Miami 36.8% +1.27 91 37
35 DePaul 36.8% +1.26 91 33
36 Kennesaw State 36.8% +1.25 90 32
37 Baylor 36.8% +1.25 90 34
38 Ohio State 36.8% +1.25 90 35
39 Indiana 36.8% +1.24 90 35
40 Hofstra 36.7% +1.23 89 34
41 Towson 36.7% +1.19 89 33
42 Florida Atlantic 36.6% +1.19 89 37
43 Oral Roberts 36.6% +1.16 88 31
44 Duquesne 36.6% +1.16 88 33
45 Loyola Marymount 36.5% +1.13 88 30
46 San Francisco 36.5% +1.11 88 33
47 Louisiana 36.5% +1.11 87 31
48 St. Francis Brooklyn 36.5% +1.11 87 28
49 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 36.4% +1.09 87 31
50 Drake 36.4% +1.09 86 34
51 Samford 36.4% +1.09 86 28
52 Northern Colorado 36.4% +1.09 86 31
53 North Florida 36.4% +1.08 86 29
54 Clemson 36.4% +1.08 85 34
55 Saint Francis 36.4% +1.08 85 29
56 Wake Forest 36.4% +1.07 85 33
57 SE Louisiana 36.4% +1.07 85 29
58 William & Mary 36.3% +1.06 84 31
59 Liberty 36.3% +1.06 84 33
60 Southern Indiana 36.3% +1.06 84 30
61 Morgan State 36.3% +1.05 83 27
62 Pennsylvania 36.3% +1.04 83 29
63 UConn 36.3% +1.03 83 39
64 Stanford 36.3% +1.03 83 33
65 Cal State Fullerton 36.2% +1.01 82 31
66 Lindenwood 36.2% +1.00 82 29
67 Syracuse 36.2% +1.00 82 32
68 Houston Christian 36.2% +0.99 81 29
69 Youngstown State 36.2% +0.99 81 32
70 Iona 36.2% +0.98 81 35
71 Saint Mary's 36.1% +0.96 81 34
72 Quinnipiac 36.1% +0.96 80 31
73 Vermont 36.0% +0.92 80 33
74 Lipscomb 36.0% +0.91 80 30
75 Pittsburgh 36.0% +0.91 80 36
76 Mount St. Mary's 36.0% +0.90 79 32
77 Missouri 36.0% +0.89 79 35
78 Jacksonville State 35.9% +0.87 79 28
79 Notre Dame 35.8% +0.84 78 32
80 Northwestern State 35.8% +0.84 78 32
81 Bethune-Cookman 35.8% +0.83 78 30
82 North Alabama 35.8% +0.83 78 30
83 Indiana State 35.8% +0.81 77 35
84 Yale 35.8% +0.81 77 28
85 Virginia Tech 35.8% +0.81 77 34
86 North Texas 35.7% +0.77 77 36
87 Northern Arizona 35.7% +0.77 76 33
88 Boise State 35.6% +0.75 76 33
89 UAB 35.6% +0.75 76 38
90 UC Riverside 35.6% +0.75 75 33
91 Loyola Maryland 35.6% +0.75 75 31
92 Air Force 35.6% +0.74 75 32
93 Radford 35.6% +0.73 75 34
94 New Mexico 35.6% +0.72 74 33
95 Colorado State 35.5% +0.72 74 32
96 Eastern Washington 35.5% +0.71 74 33
97 Southern Utah 35.4% +0.66 73 33
98 Creighton 35.4% +0.64 73 37
99 UCF 35.3% +0.62 73 34
100 Marquette 35.3% +0.61 73 36
101 Memphis 35.3% +0.61 72 35
102 Saint Louis 35.3% +0.60 72 32
103 Holy Cross 35.3% +0.59 72 30
104 Bradley 35.2% +0.56 72 34
105 NJIT 35.2% +0.56 71 29
106 Tennessee State 35.1% +0.54 71 28
107 Pepperdine 35.1% +0.53 71 29
108 Oklahoma 35.1% +0.53 70 32
109 UNC Greensboro 35.1% +0.53 70 30
110 Florida Gulf Coast 35.1% +0.52 70 31
111 Wright State 35.1% +0.52 70 31
112 South Dakota State 35.1% +0.52 69 31
113 Michigan 35.1% +0.52 69 34
114 New Mexico State 35.1% +0.52 69 21
115 Grambling 35.1% +0.51 69 31
116 St. Thomas-Minnesota 35.1% +0.51 68 31
117 George Mason 35.0% +0.50 68 33
118 West Virginia 35.0% +0.49 68 34
119 Lehigh 35.0% +0.48 67 28
120 Virginia 35.0% +0.47 67 33
121 North Carolina Central 35.0% +0.47 67 26
122 Akron 35.0% +0.46 67 31
123 Cincinnati 34.9% +0.46 66 35
124 Mississippi Valley State 34.9% +0.44 66 32
125 Northern Illinois 34.9% +0.44 66 30
126 UC Santa Barbara 34.9% +0.43 65 33
127 Sacramento State 34.9% +0.43 65 30
128 Army 34.9% +0.43 65 31
129 UCLA 34.9% +0.42 65 37
130 Siena 34.9% +0.42 64 32
131 San Diego 34.8% +0.41 64 29
132 Stonehill 34.8% +0.40 64 30
133 Queens University 34.8% +0.39 64 30
134 St. Bonaventure 34.8% +0.38 63 32
135 Morehead State 34.8% +0.38 63 30
136 VCU 34.8% +0.37 63 35
137 Kentucky 34.7% +0.37 62 34
138 Wyoming 34.7% +0.37 62 30
139 Rice 34.7% +0.37 62 32
140 Brown 34.7% +0.36 62 27
141 NC State 34.7% +0.35 61 34
142 Texas 34.7% +0.34 61 38
143 Kansas 34.7% +0.34 61 36
144 Alabama A&M 34.7% +0.33 60 30
145 American University 34.6% +0.32 60 32
146 Providence 34.6% +0.31 60 33
147 Arkansas State 34.6% +0.30 60 30
148 Texas Tech 34.5% +0.28 59 32
149 USC 34.5% +0.27 59 33
150 South Alabama 34.5% +0.27 59 33
151 James Madison 34.5% +0.26 59 30
152 Louisiana Tech 34.5% +0.25 58 30
153 Bucknell 34.5% +0.25 58 31
154 Cornell 34.4% +0.23 58 26
155 Nevada 34.4% +0.23 57 32
156 Western Kentucky 34.4% +0.21 57 31
157 North Dakota 34.4% +0.21 57 31
158 Northern Kentucky 34.3% +0.19 57 33
159 Fairleigh Dickinson 34.3% +0.19 56 35
160 Abilene Christian 34.3% +0.19 56 26
161 Kansas State 34.3% +0.18 56 36
162 Middle Tennessee 34.3% +0.17 56 31
163 Longwood 34.3% +0.17 55 30
164 Milwaukee 34.2% +0.15 55 31
165 VMI 34.2% +0.14 55 29
166 Wisconsin 34.2% +0.14 54 35
167 UL Monroe 34.2% +0.13 54 29
168 La Salle 34.2% +0.12 54 34
169 Charleston Southern 34.1% +0.11 54 29
170 Furman 34.1% +0.10 53 33
171 UNLV 34.1% +0.08 53 31
172 Incarnate Word 34.1% +0.07 53 28
173 Iowa 34.0% +0.06 52 33
174 Houston 34.0% +0.05 52 37
175 San Diego State 34.0% +0.05 52 38
176 UMBC 34.0% +0.04 52 31
177 UTSA 33.9% +0.02 51 30
178 Tarleton State 33.9% +0.02 51 30
179 North Dakota State 33.9% -0.00 51 31
180 Dayton 33.8% -0.02 51 34
181 Tulane 33.8% -0.04 50 31
182 Bowling Green 33.8% -0.05 50 29
183 Niagara 33.8% -0.05 50 30
184 Maine 33.8% -0.06 49 28
185 Coppin State 33.8% -0.06 49 32
186 Northern Iowa 33.7% -0.07 49 31
187 Princeton 33.7% -0.08 49 30
188 Omaha 33.7% -0.10 48 31
189 Illinois State 33.6% -0.11 48 32
190 Vanderbilt 33.6% -0.11 48 37
191 Canisius 33.6% -0.12 48 29
192 Marshall 33.6% -0.12 47 31
193 UT Rio Grande Valley 33.6% -0.13 47 28
194 South Florida 33.6% -0.14 47 32
195 Duke 33.5% -0.16 46 36
196 UC Davis 33.5% -0.17 46 30
197 Purdue Fort Wayne 33.5% -0.17 46 30
198 Alabama 33.5% -0.17 46 37
199 Villanova 33.4% -0.19 45 34
200 Loyola Chicago 33.4% -0.20 45 31
201 Georgia Tech 33.4% -0.20 45 31
202 Utah Valley 33.4% -0.22 44 34
203 New Hampshire 33.4% -0.22 44 28
204 Idaho State 33.3% -0.24 44 30
205 Jacksonville 33.3% -0.24 44 26
206 Nicholls 33.3% -0.24 43 27
207 Rider 33.3% -0.24 43 29
208 Utah 33.3% -0.24 43 32
209 UNC Wilmington 33.3% -0.26 43 32
210 Bryant 33.2% -0.28 42 28
211 Northeastern 33.2% -0.29 42 30
212 Kent State 33.2% -0.30 42 33
213 UIC 33.2% -0.30 41 31
214 Iowa State 33.1% -0.33 41 33
215 St. John's 33.1% -0.34 41 33
216 Western Carolina 33.1% -0.36 41 31
217 South Carolina Upstate 33.0% -0.36 40 30
218 Southeast Missouri State 33.0% -0.37 40 33
219 Richmond 33.0% -0.37 40 33
220 Florida State 33.0% -0.38 40 32
221 UC San Diego 33.0% -0.38 39 28
222 Charleston 33.0% -0.38 39 34
223 Temple 33.0% -0.39 39 32
224 Portland State 33.0% -0.40 38 29
225 Miami (OH) 32.9% -0.41 38 29
226 Campbell 32.9% -0.42 38 32
227 App State 32.9% -0.42 38 29
228 Louisville 32.9% -0.43 37 32
229 Saint Joseph's 32.9% -0.44 37 33
230 Manhattan 32.9% -0.44 37 29
231 Denver 32.9% -0.45 36 30
232 Tennessee 32.9% -0.45 36 36
233 Chicago State 32.9% -0.45 36 27
234 Weber State 32.8% -0.45 36 31
235 Boston University 32.8% -0.46 35 30
236 San José State 32.8% -0.46 35 34
237 Hawai'i 32.8% -0.46 35 32
238 Maryland 32.8% -0.46 35 35
239 Marist 32.8% -0.46 34 33
240 Seton Hall 32.8% -0.47 34 32
241 Southern 32.8% -0.47 34 30
242 Florida International 32.8% -0.47 33 30
243 Missouri State 32.8% -0.47 33 31
244 Massachusetts 32.8% -0.47 33 31
245 Gardner-Webb 32.8% -0.48 33 29
246 BYU 32.7% -0.49 32 32
247 LSU 32.7% -0.50 32 33
248 Central Connecticut 32.7% -0.50 32 32
249 Norfolk State 32.7% -0.50 31 29
250 Lafayette 32.7% -0.51 31 34
251 Mercer 32.7% -0.51 31 31
252 Butler 32.7% -0.51 31 32
253 Bellarmine 32.6% -0.54 30 30
254 Dartmouth 32.6% -0.54 30 26
255 Eastern Illinois 32.6% -0.55 30 29
256 Texas A&M 32.6% -0.56 30 35
257 Nebraska 32.6% -0.57 29 32
258 California Baptist 32.5% -0.58 29 31
259 Murray State 32.5% -0.59 29 31
260 North Carolina A&T 32.5% -0.59 28 29
261 Maryland Eastern Shore 32.5% -0.60 28 27
262 Minnesota 32.5% -0.61 28 31
263 The Citadel 32.5% -0.61 28 31
264 Little Rock 32.5% -0.62 27 29
265 Eastern Kentucky 32.4% -0.62 27 34
266 McNeese 32.4% -0.64 27 33
267 Binghamton 32.4% -0.65 27 29
268 Southern Miss 32.4% -0.66 26 30
269 South Carolina 32.3% -0.68 26 32
270 Merrimack 32.3% -0.68 26 32
271 SIU Edwardsville 32.3% -0.68 25 30
272 High Point 32.3% -0.69 25 29
273 UAlbany 32.2% -0.71 25 29
274 Hampton 32.2% -0.73 25 31
275 Evansville 32.2% -0.73 24 32
276 Arizona State 32.2% -0.73 24 36
277 Purdue 32.2% -0.74 24 35
278 Colorado 32.2% -0.75 23 35
279 Florida A&M 32.1% -0.76 23 27
280 Southern Illinois 32.1% -0.76 23 32
281 Western Michigan 32.1% -0.77 23 28
282 Northwestern 32.1% -0.78 22 34
283 Wofford 32.1% -0.78 22 30
284 East Tennessee State 32.1% -0.78 22 30
285 Rutgers 32.1% -0.78 22 34
286 George Washington 32.1% -0.79 21 31
287 Oregon 32.0% -0.80 21 36
288 Delaware 32.0% -0.81 21 32
289 Idaho 32.0% -0.82 20 30
290 Long Island University 32.0% -0.82 20 27
291 Hartford 32.0% -0.83 20 25
292 East Texas A&M 31.9% -0.85 20 32
293 Oregon State 31.9% -0.85 19 31
294 Davidson 31.9% -0.86 19 31
295 Lamar 31.9% -0.87 19 28
296 UT Martin 31.9% -0.87 19 29
297 UT Arlington 31.9% -0.87 18 29
298 Boston College 31.9% -0.87 18 33
299 Jackson State 31.8% -0.88 18 33
300 Montana State 31.8% -0.89 17 33
301 Fordham 31.8% -0.89 17 33
302 Georgia Southern 31.8% -0.90 17 30
303 Drexel 31.8% -0.91 17 31
304 Georgia 31.7% -0.94 16 32
305 Central Arkansas 31.6% -0.97 16 30
306 East Carolina 31.6% -0.99 16 33
307 Presbyterian 31.5% -1.02 15 30
308 Cal State Bakersfield 31.5% -1.02 15 31
309 Auburn 31.5% -1.02 15 34
310 Old Dominion 31.5% -1.03 15 30
311 Western Illinois 31.5% -1.05 14 27
312 Robert Morris 31.4% -1.06 14 31
313 Florida 31.4% -1.08 14 33
314 Texas State 31.4% -1.09 14 32
315 Eastern Michigan 31.4% -1.09 13 30
316 Buffalo 31.3% -1.11 13 30
317 Arkansas 31.3% -1.12 13 36
318 Tulsa 31.3% -1.12 12 30
319 Washington 31.3% -1.12 12 32
320 Cal State Northridge 31.2% -1.15 12 30
321 Troy 31.2% -1.16 12 30
322 North Carolina 31.2% -1.18 11 33
323 Austin Peay 31.2% -1.18 11 28
324 Stony Brook 31.1% -1.20 11 31
325 SMU 31.1% -1.20 10 32
326 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 31.1% -1.20 10 27
327 Delaware State 31.1% -1.21 10 28
328 Fresno State 31.1% -1.22 10 30
329 Oklahoma State 31.0% -1.25 9 36
330 TCU 31.0% -1.26 9 35
331 Wichita State 30.9% -1.27 9 32
332 Georgetown 30.9% -1.30 9 32
333 Seattle U 30.9% -1.30 8 30
334 Prairie View A&M 30.9% -1.30 8 30
335 Illinois 30.8% -1.34 8 33
336 South Carolina State 30.8% -1.35 7 30
337 Coastal Carolina 30.6% -1.40 7 28
338 Sacred Heart 30.6% -1.41 7 32
339 Cleveland State 30.6% -1.44 7 33
340 Oakland 30.5% -1.45 6 31
341 Columbia 30.4% -1.49 6 27
342 Rhode Island 30.4% -1.52 6 31
343 Alabama State 30.3% -1.56 6 30
344 Ole Miss 30.3% -1.57 5 33
345 Wagner 30.2% -1.61 5 26
346 Long Beach State 30.2% -1.62 5 31
347 Green Bay 30.1% -1.63 4 32
348 Harvard 30.1% -1.66 4 26
349 Central Michigan 30.0% -1.68 4 29
350 California 29.8% -1.78 4 32
351 IU Indianapolis 29.7% -1.79 3 30
352 Alcorn State 29.6% -1.85 3 32
353 Cal Poly 29.3% -1.99 3 31
354 Valparaiso 29.2% -2.02 2 31
355 Elon 29.2% -2.02 2 30
356 UTEP 29.1% -2.05 2 30
357 Saint Peter's 29.0% -2.10 2 31
358 Georgia State 29.0% -2.12 1 28
359 Monmouth 28.8% -2.22 1 33
360 Fairfield 28.6% -2.29 1 30
361 Texas Southern 28.4% -2.38 1 33
362 Kansas City 27.3% -2.85 0 30
363 Mississippi State 26.6% -3.15 0 34