Space travel's in my blood. "Another Girl, Another Planet" - The Only Ones

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Predicts home win: AUC 0.58 (team entering with the better value wins 55% of games)

Based on 5499 of 5721 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 3.6% max 16.7% mean 8.8% std 2.4% (n=363)

Team Rankings

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# Team Block Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Houston 16.7% +3.25 100 37
2 Syracuse 15.7% +2.85 100 32
3 Utah Valley 14.9% +2.54 99 34
4 Iona 14.6% +2.41 99 35
5 Western Kentucky 14.3% +2.26 99 31
6 Milwaukee 14.2% +2.25 99 31
7 Middle Tennessee 13.9% +2.13 98 31
8 Illinois 13.8% +2.08 98 33
9 Gardner-Webb 13.8% +2.06 98 29
10 Virginia 13.8% +2.06 98 33
11 Oral Roberts 13.8% +2.06 97 31
12 Oklahoma State 13.7% +2.04 97 36
13 Indiana 13.6% +2.01 97 35
14 Auburn 13.6% +1.97 96 34
15 Missouri State 13.5% +1.96 96 31
16 USC 13.4% +1.91 96 33
17 Arizona State 13.3% +1.86 96 36
18 South Carolina Upstate 13.2% +1.84 95 30
19 Oregon 13.1% +1.80 95 36
20 Arkansas 13.1% +1.79 95 36
21 Memphis 13.1% +1.78 94 35
22 Washington 13.1% +1.76 94 32
23 Eastern Kentucky 12.9% +1.70 94 34
24 VCU 12.8% +1.64 94 35
25 UConn 12.7% +1.63 93 39
26 Northwestern 12.7% +1.62 93 34
27 UMass Lowell 12.6% +1.59 93 32
28 High Point 12.6% +1.58 93 29
29 Marshall 12.6% +1.58 92 31
30 TCU 12.5% +1.55 92 35
31 Dayton 12.5% +1.54 92 34
32 Fordham 12.5% +1.54 91 33
33 App State 12.4% +1.49 91 29
34 Grambling 12.4% +1.49 91 31
35 Rutgers 12.4% +1.48 91 34
36 Kent State 12.4% +1.47 90 33
37 Florida 12.3% +1.44 90 33
38 Duke 12.2% +1.40 90 36
39 Georgetown 12.1% +1.35 90 32
40 DePaul 12.0% +1.35 89 33
41 UIC 12.0% +1.34 89 31
42 Norfolk State 12.0% +1.34 89 29
43 Seton Hall 11.9% +1.30 88 32
44 Alabama A&M 11.9% +1.30 88 30
45 UNLV 11.9% +1.28 88 31
46 NC State 11.8% +1.26 88 34
47 Vanderbilt 11.8% +1.26 87 37
48 San José State 11.8% +1.25 87 34
49 Bradley 11.8% +1.24 87 34
50 Tennessee 11.8% +1.24 86 36
51 San Diego State 11.7% +1.22 86 38
52 Yale 11.7% +1.19 86 28
53 UCLA 11.6% +1.18 86 37
54 Old Dominion 11.5% +1.11 85 30
55 Pittsburgh 11.4% +1.09 85 36
56 American University 11.4% +1.08 85 32
57 Michigan 11.4% +1.08 85 34
58 Tulane 11.4% +1.07 84 31
59 UCF 11.4% +1.06 84 34
60 BYU 11.3% +1.04 84 32
61 Alabama 11.3% +1.04 83 37
62 Wichita State 11.3% +1.03 83 32
63 Iowa State 11.3% +1.03 83 33
64 Florida State 11.3% +1.03 83 32
65 Harvard 11.3% +1.02 82 26
66 Mississippi State 11.3% +1.02 82 34
67 St. Francis Brooklyn 11.2% +1.02 82 28
68 Massachusetts 11.2% +0.99 81 31
69 Kansas City 11.2% +0.99 81 30
70 Providence 11.2% +0.99 81 33
71 Morgan State 11.2% +0.99 81 27
72 Florida International 11.2% +0.98 80 30
73 Robert Morris 11.2% +0.98 80 31
74 UAB 11.1% +0.96 80 38
75 Butler 11.0% +0.93 80 32
76 Air Force 11.0% +0.92 79 32
77 Hofstra 10.8% +0.85 79 34
78 Central Michigan 10.8% +0.83 79 29
79 Saint Louis 10.7% +0.80 78 32
80 Georgia Tech 10.6% +0.77 78 31
81 Siena 10.6% +0.76 78 32
82 SIU Edwardsville 10.6% +0.75 78 30
83 Central Connecticut 10.6% +0.74 77 32
84 Merrimack 10.5% +0.71 77 32
85 Marist 10.5% +0.70 77 33
86 Hartford 10.5% +0.70 77 25
87 St. Bonaventure 10.4% +0.67 76 32
88 Texas State 10.4% +0.66 76 32
89 Boston College 10.4% +0.65 76 33
90 Utah 10.3% +0.64 75 32
91 Temple 10.3% +0.61 75 32
92 UL Monroe 10.3% +0.61 75 29
93 Fresno State 10.2% +0.60 75 30
94 Kansas 10.2% +0.59 74 36
95 South Alabama 10.2% +0.59 74 33
96 Dartmouth 10.2% +0.59 74 26
97 Towson 10.2% +0.58 73 33
98 Ohio State 10.2% +0.58 73 35
99 UNC Asheville 10.1% +0.54 73 33
100 Eastern Illinois 10.1% +0.54 73 29
101 Prairie View A&M 10.1% +0.54 72 30
102 Maryland 10.1% +0.53 72 35
103 Kentucky 10.0% +0.52 72 34
104 Ole Miss 10.0% +0.51 72 33
105 Rhode Island 10.0% +0.50 71 31
106 Lamar 10.0% +0.50 71 28
107 Saint Mary's 10.0% +0.50 71 34
108 Saint Peter's 10.0% +0.50 70 31
109 Duquesne 10.0% +0.50 70 33
110 Delaware 10.0% +0.49 70 32
111 New Mexico 10.0% +0.49 70 33
112 Northeastern 10.0% +0.49 69 30
113 St. John's 10.0% +0.48 69 33
114 Bucknell 9.9% +0.46 69 31
115 Purdue 9.9% +0.45 69 35
116 Stanford 9.8% +0.44 68 33
117 Colorado 9.8% +0.42 68 35
118 Texas 9.8% +0.41 68 38
119 Cal State Bakersfield 9.8% +0.41 67 31
120 Santa Clara 9.7% +0.39 67 32
121 Minnesota 9.7% +0.38 67 31
122 Florida A&M 9.7% +0.37 67 27
123 Lindenwood 9.6% +0.36 66 29
124 Saint Joseph's 9.6% +0.34 66 33
125 Manhattan 9.6% +0.33 66 29
126 Pennsylvania 9.6% +0.32 65 29
127 Illinois State 9.5% +0.30 65 32
128 Cincinnati 9.5% +0.30 65 35
129 East Tennessee State 9.5% +0.29 65 30
130 Cleveland State 9.4% +0.27 64 33
131 Lafayette 9.4% +0.26 64 34
132 Florida Gulf Coast 9.4% +0.26 64 31
133 Cal State Northridge 9.4% +0.25 64 30
134 Nevada 9.3% +0.23 63 32
135 North Carolina 9.3% +0.23 63 33
136 Chattanooga 9.3% +0.21 63 32
137 Creighton 9.2% +0.19 62 37
138 Ball State 9.2% +0.16 62 30
139 Clemson 9.2% +0.16 62 34
140 Tarleton State 9.2% +0.16 62 30
141 California 9.1% +0.15 61 32
142 Gonzaga 9.1% +0.14 61 36
143 North Texas 9.1% +0.14 61 36
144 Fairfield 9.1% +0.13 60 30
145 Long Beach State 9.1% +0.13 60 31
146 Alabama State 9.1% +0.12 60 30
147 Eastern Washington 9.1% +0.12 60 33
148 Georgia State 9.1% +0.12 59 28
149 Presbyterian 9.1% +0.11 59 30
150 SMU 9.0% +0.09 59 32
151 UT Martin 9.0% +0.08 59 29
152 Brown 9.0% +0.07 58 27
153 Hawai'i 8.9% +0.06 58 32
154 Morehead State 8.9% +0.06 58 30
155 Pepperdine 8.9% +0.05 57 29
156 Loyola Chicago 8.9% +0.05 57 31
157 Bryant 8.8% +0.03 57 28
158 Oregon State 8.8% +0.02 57 31
159 Portland State 8.8% +0.01 56 29
160 South Florida 8.8% -0.00 56 32
161 Austin Peay 8.8% -0.01 56 28
162 Arkansas State 8.7% -0.02 56 30
163 Louisiana Tech 8.7% -0.02 55 30
164 Hampton 8.7% -0.03 55 31
165 George Washington 8.7% -0.03 55 31
166 Western Illinois 8.7% -0.03 54 27
167 Texas Tech 8.7% -0.04 54 32
168 Montana State 8.7% -0.05 54 33
169 Utah State 8.6% -0.06 54 34
170 West Virginia 8.6% -0.06 53 34
171 Southern Utah 8.6% -0.08 53 33
172 South Carolina State 8.6% -0.08 53 30
173 Sacred Heart 8.6% -0.09 52 32
174 Campbell 8.6% -0.09 52 32
175 North Carolina Central 8.5% -0.10 52 26
176 Coastal Carolina 8.5% -0.10 52 28
177 Missouri 8.5% -0.11 51 35
178 Monmouth 8.5% -0.11 51 33
179 George Mason 8.5% -0.13 51 33
180 Samford 8.5% -0.13 51 28
181 La Salle 8.5% -0.13 50 34
182 Miami 8.4% -0.14 50 37
183 Nicholls 8.4% -0.15 50 27
184 Michigan State 8.4% -0.15 49 34
185 Delaware State 8.4% -0.15 49 28
186 Jacksonville 8.4% -0.15 49 26
187 Princeton 8.4% -0.16 49 30
188 Seattle U 8.4% -0.17 48 30
189 Marquette 8.4% -0.17 48 36
190 North Florida 8.4% -0.17 48 29
191 Omaha 8.4% -0.18 48 31
192 Iowa 8.3% -0.18 47 33
193 Vermont 8.3% -0.18 47 33
194 Radford 8.3% -0.19 47 34
195 Virginia Tech 8.3% -0.20 46 34
196 South Dakota State 8.3% -0.21 46 31
197 UT Arlington 8.3% -0.22 46 29
198 Tennessee State 8.3% -0.22 46 28
199 Furman 8.2% -0.23 45 33
200 Central Arkansas 8.2% -0.23 45 30
201 Stetson 8.2% -0.23 45 29
202 Stonehill 8.1% -0.27 44 30
203 Binghamton 8.1% -0.28 44 29
204 LSU 8.1% -0.28 44 33
205 Arizona 8.1% -0.28 44 35
206 Southeast Missouri State 8.1% -0.28 43 33
207 Winthrop 8.1% -0.29 43 30
208 Buffalo 8.0% -0.31 43 30
209 Bowling Green 8.0% -0.31 43 29
210 Long Island University 8.0% -0.32 42 27
211 Louisville 8.0% -0.32 42 32
212 Drexel 8.0% -0.32 42 31
213 Northern Kentucky 8.0% -0.33 41 33
214 Denver 8.0% -0.34 41 30
215 Texas Southern 8.0% -0.34 41 33
216 Howard 8.0% -0.34 41 32
217 Incarnate Word 7.9% -0.35 40 28
218 Boise State 7.9% -0.35 40 33
219 East Texas A&M 7.9% -0.36 40 32
220 North Carolina A&T 7.9% -0.36 40 29
221 Navy 7.9% -0.36 39 30
222 Jacksonville State 7.9% -0.36 39 28
223 Belmont 7.9% -0.37 39 31
224 Xavier 7.9% -0.37 38 37
225 Sam Houston 7.9% -0.38 38 30
226 Texas A&M 7.9% -0.39 38 35
227 The Citadel 7.8% -0.39 38 31
228 California Baptist 7.8% -0.42 37 31
229 Charleston 7.7% -0.43 37 34
230 Alcorn State 7.7% -0.43 37 32
231 Toledo 7.7% -0.44 36 34
232 Grand Canyon 7.7% -0.45 36 33
233 Colgate 7.7% -0.45 36 34
234 North Alabama 7.7% -0.46 36 30
235 Kansas State 7.7% -0.47 35 36
236 Stephen F. Austin 7.6% -0.47 35 29
237 Kennesaw State 7.6% -0.47 35 32
238 NJIT 7.6% -0.48 35 29
239 UTEP 7.6% -0.48 34 30
240 Colorado State 7.6% -0.49 34 32
241 Oklahoma 7.6% -0.49 34 32
242 Charlotte 7.6% -0.50 33 36
243 UT Rio Grande Valley 7.5% -0.52 33 28
244 UNC Wilmington 7.5% -0.52 33 32
245 North Dakota State 7.5% -0.52 33 31
246 Cal State Fullerton 7.5% -0.53 32 31
247 Pacific 7.4% -0.56 32 31
248 UNC Greensboro 7.4% -0.57 32 30
249 Cal Poly 7.4% -0.58 31 31
250 Wake Forest 7.4% -0.59 31 33
251 Wright State 7.4% -0.59 31 31
252 Southern 7.3% -0.60 31 30
253 Stony Brook 7.3% -0.60 30 31
254 Loyola Marymount 7.3% -0.61 30 30
255 Notre Dame 7.3% -0.61 30 32
256 Wyoming 7.3% -0.61 30 30
257 Washington State 7.3% -0.61 29 34
258 New Mexico State 7.3% -0.61 29 21
259 Southern Miss 7.3% -0.62 29 30
260 Valparaiso 7.3% -0.63 28 31
261 Nebraska 7.2% -0.65 28 32
262 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 7.2% -0.65 28 27
263 Jackson State 7.2% -0.66 28 33
264 Idaho State 7.2% -0.67 27 30
265 Oakland 7.2% -0.67 27 31
266 Montana 7.2% -0.67 27 30
267 Boston University 7.2% -0.67 27 30
268 Louisiana 7.2% -0.67 26 31
269 Murray State 7.1% -0.68 26 31
270 Miami (OH) 7.1% -0.68 26 29
271 Georgia Southern 7.1% -0.68 25 30
272 Longwood 7.1% -0.69 25 30
273 Drake 7.1% -0.69 25 34
274 Akron 7.1% -0.69 25 31
275 South Carolina 7.1% -0.70 24 32
276 Charleston Southern 7.0% -0.73 24 29
277 Georgia 7.0% -0.73 24 32
278 Chicago State 7.0% -0.73 23 27
279 Lipscomb 7.0% -0.73 23 30
280 UMBC 7.0% -0.74 23 31
281 East Carolina 7.0% -0.75 23 33
282 Bethune-Cookman 7.0% -0.75 22 30
283 Sacramento State 7.0% -0.76 22 30
284 Baylor 6.9% -0.76 22 34
285 Loyola Maryland 6.9% -0.76 22 31
286 Richmond 6.9% -0.78 21 33
287 Youngstown State 6.9% -0.79 21 32
288 Rider 6.9% -0.79 21 29
289 Florida Atlantic 6.8% -0.81 20 37
290 James Madison 6.8% -0.82 20 30
291 Coppin State 6.8% -0.82 20 32
292 New Hampshire 6.8% -0.83 20 28
293 North Dakota 6.7% -0.85 19 31
294 IU Indianapolis 6.7% -0.85 19 30
295 San Francisco 6.6% -0.89 19 33
296 Troy 6.6% -0.90 19 30
297 Canisius 6.6% -0.90 18 29
298 Quinnipiac 6.6% -0.91 18 31
299 UC Santa Barbara 6.5% -0.93 18 33
300 UC Davis 6.5% -0.93 17 30
301 Mount St. Mary's 6.5% -0.94 17 32
302 Elon 6.5% -0.96 17 30
303 Tennessee Tech 6.4% -0.97 17 30
304 Northwestern State 6.4% -0.99 16 32
305 Southern Indiana 6.4% -1.00 16 30
306 Green Bay 6.3% -1.01 16 32
307 Holy Cross 6.3% -1.02 15 30
308 Portland 6.3% -1.03 15 31
309 Eastern Michigan 6.3% -1.04 15 30
310 Rice 6.3% -1.04 15 32
311 Liberty 6.2% -1.06 14 33
312 Northern Illinois 6.2% -1.08 14 30
313 Niagara 6.2% -1.08 14 30
314 Houston Christian 6.1% -1.10 14 29
315 St. Thomas-Minnesota 6.1% -1.11 13 31
316 Western Michigan 6.1% -1.11 13 28
317 Purdue Fort Wayne 6.1% -1.12 13 30
318 Southern Illinois 6.1% -1.12 12 32
319 Cornell 6.1% -1.12 12 26
320 Mississippi Valley State 6.0% -1.15 12 32
321 Little Rock 6.0% -1.16 12 29
322 UC Irvine 6.0% -1.17 11 33
323 New Orleans 6.0% -1.17 11 30
324 Army 5.9% -1.19 11 31
325 Western Carolina 5.9% -1.20 10 31
326 Queens University 5.9% -1.21 10 30
327 Mercer 5.8% -1.22 10 31
328 Penn State 5.8% -1.22 10 37
329 Evansville 5.8% -1.22 9 32
330 Fairleigh Dickinson 5.8% -1.22 9 35
331 Maine 5.8% -1.23 9 28
332 UC San Diego 5.8% -1.24 9 28
333 Utah Tech 5.8% -1.24 8 30
334 Wofford 5.8% -1.24 8 30
335 Abilene Christian 5.7% -1.26 8 26
336 Ohio 5.7% -1.28 7 32
337 UTSA 5.7% -1.29 7 30
338 Lehigh 5.6% -1.33 7 28
339 Wagner 5.5% -1.34 7 26
340 Saint Francis 5.5% -1.37 6 29
341 William & Mary 5.4% -1.39 6 31
342 Villanova 5.3% -1.43 6 34
343 Detroit Mercy 5.3% -1.45 6 32
344 Indiana State 5.2% -1.50 5 35
345 McNeese 5.1% -1.54 5 33
346 Maryland Eastern Shore 5.1% -1.54 5 27
347 SE Louisiana 5.0% -1.57 4 29
348 San Diego 4.9% -1.59 4 29
349 Bellarmine 4.9% -1.60 4 30
350 Idaho 4.7% -1.68 4 30
351 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 4.7% -1.68 3 31
352 UC Riverside 4.7% -1.70 3 33
353 Northern Arizona 4.6% -1.73 3 33
354 Northern Iowa 4.6% -1.73 2 31
355 Columbia 4.5% -1.75 2 27
356 Weber State 4.4% -1.80 2 31
357 South Dakota 4.4% -1.82 2 29
358 Wisconsin 4.4% -1.82 1 35
359 UAlbany 4.4% -1.83 1 29
360 Northern Colorado 4.3% -1.87 1 31
361 VMI 4.1% -1.93 1 29
362 Tulsa 4.1% -1.94 0 30
363 Davidson 3.6% -2.15 0 31