But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Predicts home win: AUC 0.65 (team entering with the better value wins 60% of games)

Based on 5499 of 5721 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 8.8 max 19.1 mean 12.8 std 1.7 (n=363)

Team Rankings

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# Team Assists Per Game z Pctl GP
1 Xavier 19.1 +3.61 100 37
2 Arizona 18.9 +3.53 100 35
3 Colgate 18.0 +2.99 99 34
4 UConn 17.5 +2.74 99 39
5 Marshall 17.4 +2.65 99 31
6 Marquette 17.3 +2.62 99 36
7 Kansas State 17.0 +2.41 98 36
8 Cornell 16.8 +2.31 98 26
9 Tennessee 16.7 +2.25 98 36
10 Utah State 16.5 +2.12 98 34
11 Iowa 16.4 +2.07 97 33
12 Kansas 16.4 +2.07 97 36
13 Saint Louis 16.2 +1.97 97 32
14 Texas 16.2 +1.94 96 38
15 TCU 16.1 +1.93 96 35
16 Gonzaga 16.0 +1.83 96 36
17 Missouri 16.0 +1.83 96 35
18 Furman 16.0 +1.83 95 33
19 Colorado State 15.9 +1.81 95 32
20 Virginia 15.7 +1.69 95 33
21 Indiana State 15.7 +1.68 94 35
22 Creighton 15.7 +1.67 94 37
23 Tulane 15.6 +1.64 94 31
24 Memphis 15.6 +1.61 94 35
25 Lafayette 15.5 +1.57 93 34
26 Virginia Tech 15.5 +1.57 93 34
27 Purdue 15.5 +1.55 93 35
28 Utah Valley 15.4 +1.52 93 34
29 Air Force 15.3 +1.47 92 32
30 Duquesne 15.3 +1.44 92 33
31 Cincinnati 15.3 +1.43 92 35
32 Dayton 15.2 +1.40 91 34
33 Indiana 15.2 +1.40 91 35
34 Belmont 15.2 +1.40 91 31
35 Liberty 15.2 +1.39 91 33
36 St. John's 15.2 +1.35 90 33
37 Kentucky 15.1 +1.30 90 34
38 Rutgers 15.1 +1.30 90 34
39 Alabama 15.0 +1.27 90 37
40 Little Rock 14.9 +1.21 89 29
41 Iona 14.9 +1.18 89 35
42 Eastern Washington 14.8 +1.18 89 33
43 Stanford 14.8 +1.18 88 33
44 Abilene Christian 14.8 +1.13 88 26
45 Chattanooga 14.8 +1.12 88 32
46 Houston 14.7 +1.09 88 37
47 Youngstown State 14.7 +1.09 87 32
48 Toledo 14.7 +1.08 87 34
49 Minnesota 14.6 +1.06 87 31
50 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 14.6 +1.06 86 31
51 Wright State 14.6 +1.06 86 31
52 Michigan State 14.6 +1.04 86 34
53 Duke 14.6 +1.04 86 36
54 Providence 14.6 +1.04 85 33
55 Southern Miss 14.6 +1.02 85 30
56 Pennsylvania 14.6 +1.01 85 29
57 UCLA 14.5 +1.00 85 37
58 New Orleans 14.5 +1.00 84 30
59 Miami 14.5 +0.95 84 37
60 Howard 14.4 +0.94 84 32
61 Utah 14.4 +0.94 83 32
62 Navy 14.4 +0.94 83 30
63 Long Beach State 14.4 +0.91 83 31
64 Rice 14.3 +0.89 83 32
65 Syracuse 14.3 +0.89 82 32
66 Pepperdine 14.3 +0.87 82 29
67 Arizona State 14.3 +0.86 82 36
68 Clemson 14.3 +0.84 81 34
69 Baylor 14.2 +0.81 81 34
70 Oral Roberts 14.2 +0.80 81 31
71 Portland 14.2 +0.80 81 31
72 UMBC 14.2 +0.80 80 31
73 Mississippi State 14.2 +0.79 80 34
74 Pittsburgh 14.1 +0.77 80 36
75 UMass Lowell 14.1 +0.76 80 32
76 Fairleigh Dickinson 14.1 +0.75 79 35
77 Nevada 14.1 +0.74 79 32
78 Auburn 14.1 +0.74 79 34
79 BYU 14.1 +0.72 78 32
80 Florida Atlantic 14.1 +0.72 78 37
81 UT Rio Grande Valley 14.0 +0.71 78 28
82 Houston Christian 14.0 +0.71 78 29
83 Kennesaw State 14.0 +0.71 77 32
84 UC Irvine 14.0 +0.70 77 33
85 Hofstra 14.0 +0.67 77 34
86 Towson 14.0 +0.67 77 33
87 Canisius 14.0 +0.67 76 29
88 DePaul 13.8 +0.60 76 33
89 Iowa State 13.8 +0.60 76 33
90 East Texas A&M 13.8 +0.60 75 32
91 Stephen F. Austin 13.8 +0.59 75 29
92 UC Santa Barbara 13.8 +0.58 75 33
93 Loyola Chicago 13.8 +0.58 75 31
94 Buffalo 13.8 +0.57 74 30
95 UCF 13.8 +0.57 74 34
96 UAB 13.8 +0.57 74 38
97 Temple 13.8 +0.56 73 32
98 Brown 13.8 +0.56 73 27
99 Santa Clara 13.8 +0.54 73 32
100 Georgia Tech 13.7 +0.54 73 31
101 Louisiana 13.7 +0.54 72 31
102 Morgan State 13.7 +0.54 72 27
103 South Carolina State 13.7 +0.53 72 30
104 Penn State 13.7 +0.53 72 37
105 Eastern Illinois 13.7 +0.53 71 29
106 UNC Greensboro 13.7 +0.51 71 30
107 George Mason 13.7 +0.51 71 33
108 Vermont 13.7 +0.51 70 33
109 Massachusetts 13.6 +0.48 70 31
110 Yale 13.6 +0.48 70 28
111 Lipscomb 13.6 +0.48 70 30
112 Sacramento State 13.6 +0.48 69 30
113 Tennessee Tech 13.6 +0.48 69 30
114 American University 13.6 +0.47 69 32
115 SMU 13.6 +0.47 69 32
116 Southeast Missouri State 13.6 +0.44 68 33
117 Southern Illinois 13.6 +0.43 68 32
118 Valparaiso 13.5 +0.41 68 31
119 Southern 13.5 +0.40 67 30
120 USC 13.5 +0.39 67 33
121 Long Island University 13.5 +0.39 67 27
122 Wake Forest 13.5 +0.37 67 33
123 SE Louisiana 13.4 +0.37 66 29
124 Florida State 13.4 +0.36 66 32
125 New Mexico 13.4 +0.35 66 33
126 Robert Morris 13.4 +0.35 65 31
127 South Florida 13.4 +0.34 65 32
128 Charleston 13.4 +0.33 65 34
129 Eastern Kentucky 13.4 +0.31 65 34
130 Miami (OH) 13.3 +0.31 64 29
131 Western Illinois 13.3 +0.30 64 27
132 Wichita State 13.3 +0.29 64 32
133 Northern Arizona 13.3 +0.27 64 33
134 Oregon 13.3 +0.25 63 36
135 Sacred Heart 13.3 +0.25 63 32
136 Saint Francis 13.2 +0.25 63 29
137 Bradley 13.2 +0.24 62 34
138 Bowling Green 13.2 +0.23 62 29
139 Drake 13.2 +0.21 62 34
140 Harvard 13.2 +0.20 62 26
141 Milwaukee 13.1 +0.18 61 31
142 East Carolina 13.1 +0.18 61 33
143 Princeton 13.1 +0.17 61 30
144 California Baptist 13.1 +0.16 60 31
145 Loyola Maryland 13.1 +0.16 60 31
146 Ole Miss 13.1 +0.16 60 33
147 Stetson 13.1 +0.15 60 29
148 Queens University 13.1 +0.15 59 30
149 Davidson 13.1 +0.15 59 31
150 UIC 13.1 +0.15 59 31
151 Nebraska 13.1 +0.14 59 32
152 Charlotte 13.1 +0.14 58 36
153 Bucknell 13.0 +0.13 58 31
154 Oklahoma 13.0 +0.13 58 32
155 VCU 13.0 +0.12 57 35
156 Akron 13.0 +0.11 57 31
157 Cleveland State 13.0 +0.11 57 33
158 Nicholls 13.0 +0.11 57 27
159 Northern Kentucky 13.0 +0.11 56 33
160 UC Riverside 13.0 +0.11 56 33
161 West Virginia 13.0 +0.11 56 34
162 Colorado 13.0 +0.09 56 35
163 Bellarmine 13.0 +0.09 55 30
164 Troy 13.0 +0.09 55 30
165 Tennessee State 12.9 +0.07 55 28
166 North Carolina Central 12.9 +0.06 54 26
167 Central Connecticut 12.9 +0.05 54 32
168 Texas Tech 12.9 +0.05 54 32
169 Portland State 12.9 +0.05 54 29
170 Maine 12.9 +0.05 53 28
171 Maryland Eastern Shore 12.9 +0.04 53 27
172 Quinnipiac 12.8 +0.02 53 31
173 Arkansas 12.8 +0.01 52 36
174 Siena 12.8 -0.02 52 32
175 NC State 12.8 -0.03 52 34
176 Northwestern 12.8 -0.03 52 34
177 Ball State 12.7 -0.05 51 30
178 Fordham 12.7 -0.08 51 33
179 UT Arlington 12.7 -0.09 51 29
180 Lamar 12.6 -0.10 51 28
181 San Francisco 12.6 -0.12 50 33
182 Butler 12.6 -0.13 50 32
183 George Washington 12.6 -0.13 50 31
184 San Diego State 12.6 -0.14 49 38
185 Bryant 12.6 -0.14 49 28
186 Northeastern 12.6 -0.14 49 30
187 Oklahoma State 12.6 -0.15 49 36
188 Army 12.5 -0.15 48 31
189 Texas A&M 12.5 -0.16 48 35
190 Northwestern State 12.5 -0.16 48 32
191 Florida Gulf Coast 12.5 -0.17 48 31
192 Boston College 12.5 -0.17 47 33
193 Morehead State 12.5 -0.18 47 30
194 Pacific 12.5 -0.19 47 31
195 Purdue Fort Wayne 12.5 -0.20 46 30
196 James Madison 12.4 -0.22 46 30
197 Utah Tech 12.4 -0.22 46 30
198 St. Thomas-Minnesota 12.4 -0.23 46 31
199 Manhattan 12.4 -0.23 45 29
200 Detroit Mercy 12.4 -0.24 45 32
201 Illinois 12.4 -0.24 45 33
202 UNC Asheville 12.4 -0.24 44 33
203 Saint Mary's 12.4 -0.25 44 34
204 North Florida 12.4 -0.25 44 29
205 Fresno State 12.4 -0.26 44 30
206 Florida 12.3 -0.29 43 33
207 Jackson State 12.3 -0.29 43 33
208 LSU 12.3 -0.29 43 33
209 Montana 12.3 -0.30 43 30
210 Mount St. Mary's 12.3 -0.31 42 32
211 San Diego 12.3 -0.31 42 29
212 Northern Illinois 12.3 -0.32 42 30
213 Dartmouth 12.2 -0.34 41 26
214 UNLV 12.2 -0.34 41 31
215 Merrimack 12.2 -0.36 41 32
216 Richmond 12.2 -0.37 41 33
217 Michigan 12.2 -0.37 40 34
218 Seton Hall 12.2 -0.38 40 32
219 Kent State 12.2 -0.38 40 33
220 High Point 12.1 -0.39 40 29
221 Jacksonville 12.1 -0.40 39 26
222 Central Arkansas 12.1 -0.41 39 30
223 Idaho State 12.1 -0.41 39 30
224 Western Kentucky 12.1 -0.41 38 31
225 Saint Joseph's 12.1 -0.42 38 33
226 Alabama A&M 12.1 -0.43 38 30
227 Longwood 12.1 -0.43 38 30
228 Campbell 12.1 -0.43 37 32
229 Ohio 12.1 -0.43 37 32
230 South Dakota 12.0 -0.45 37 29
231 UT Martin 12.0 -0.45 36 29
232 Florida International 12.0 -0.45 36 30
233 North Carolina 12.0 -0.45 36 33
234 Grambling 12.0 -0.47 36 31
235 La Salle 12.0 -0.47 35 34
236 Western Michigan 12.0 -0.47 35 28
237 Monmouth 12.0 -0.49 35 33
238 Murray State 12.0 -0.49 35 31
239 Stonehill 12.0 -0.49 34 30
240 Southern Indiana 12.0 -0.49 34 30
241 San José State 11.9 -0.50 34 34
242 Western Carolina 11.9 -0.51 33 31
243 Montana State 11.9 -0.52 33 33
244 Arkansas State 11.9 -0.53 33 30
245 Wofford 11.9 -0.53 33 30
246 Georgetown 11.9 -0.54 32 32
247 St. Bonaventure 11.9 -0.54 32 32
248 Holy Cross 11.9 -0.55 32 30
249 Washington State 11.9 -0.56 31 34
250 Notre Dame 11.8 -0.56 31 32
251 UC Davis 11.8 -0.57 31 30
252 Norfolk State 11.8 -0.57 31 29
253 Delaware 11.8 -0.58 30 32
254 Oakland 11.8 -0.58 30 31
255 Delaware State 11.8 -0.59 30 28
256 East Tennessee State 11.8 -0.61 30 30
257 SIU Edwardsville 11.8 -0.61 29 30
258 Sam Houston 11.8 -0.61 29 30
259 Radford 11.8 -0.61 29 34
260 Hartford 11.8 -0.61 28 25
261 Incarnate Word 11.8 -0.62 28 28
262 Southern Utah 11.7 -0.63 28 33
263 App State 11.7 -0.63 28 29
264 Lehigh 11.7 -0.64 27 28
265 Ohio State 11.7 -0.64 27 35
266 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 11.7 -0.64 27 27
267 Gardner-Webb 11.7 -0.65 27 29
268 Grand Canyon 11.6 -0.68 26 33
269 Louisiana Tech 11.6 -0.68 26 30
270 Mercer 11.6 -0.69 26 31
271 Missouri State 11.6 -0.69 25 31
272 UC San Diego 11.6 -0.70 25 28
273 Tulsa 11.6 -0.70 25 30
274 Wisconsin 11.6 -0.70 25 35
275 Vanderbilt 11.6 -0.71 24 37
276 Omaha 11.6 -0.71 24 31
277 William & Mary 11.6 -0.71 24 31
278 Austin Peay 11.6 -0.72 23 28
279 Drexel 11.5 -0.73 23 31
280 Wagner 11.5 -0.74 23 26
281 Elon 11.5 -0.74 23 30
282 Jacksonville State 11.5 -0.76 22 28
283 Seattle U 11.5 -0.76 22 30
284 UTEP 11.5 -0.76 22 30
285 Washington 11.5 -0.76 22 32
286 Northern Colorado 11.5 -0.79 21 31
287 Northern Iowa 11.5 -0.79 21 31
288 Binghamton 11.4 -0.81 21 29
289 Samford 11.4 -0.82 20 28
290 Charleston Southern 11.4 -0.83 20 29
291 Maryland 11.4 -0.83 20 35
292 North Dakota 11.3 -0.86 20 31
293 St. Francis Brooklyn 11.3 -0.86 19 28
294 Rider 11.3 -0.87 19 29
295 UAlbany 11.3 -0.89 19 29
296 UL Monroe 11.3 -0.89 19 29
297 Denver 11.3 -0.89 18 30
298 Loyola Marymount 11.3 -0.89 18 30
299 Coppin State 11.3 -0.90 18 32
300 New Hampshire 11.3 -0.90 17 28
301 New Mexico State 11.2 -0.91 17 21
302 South Carolina Upstate 11.2 -0.91 17 30
303 Coastal Carolina 11.2 -0.93 17 28
304 Winthrop 11.2 -0.93 16 30
305 North Texas 11.2 -0.94 16 36
306 Rhode Island 11.2 -0.94 16 31
307 Georgia 11.2 -0.94 15 32
308 South Alabama 11.2 -0.96 15 33
309 North Dakota State 11.1 -0.97 15 31
310 Stony Brook 11.1 -0.97 15 31
311 Boise State 11.1 -0.98 14 33
312 Texas Southern 11.1 -0.98 14 33
313 South Carolina 11.1 -0.99 14 32
314 Villanova 11.1 -1.00 14 34
315 Lindenwood 11.1 -1.01 13 29
316 Prairie View A&M 11.1 -1.01 13 30
317 Tarleton State 11.1 -1.01 13 30
318 NJIT 11.0 -1.03 12 29
319 The Citadel 11.0 -1.03 12 31
320 Green Bay 10.9 -1.09 12 32
321 McNeese 10.9 -1.10 12 33
322 Bethune-Cookman 10.9 -1.11 11 30
323 North Carolina A&T 10.9 -1.11 11 29
324 IU Indianapolis 10.9 -1.13 11 30
325 Idaho 10.9 -1.13 10 30
326 Hawai'i 10.8 -1.14 10 32
327 Marist 10.8 -1.15 10 33
328 Columbia 10.8 -1.16 10 27
329 Wyoming 10.8 -1.17 9 30
330 Illinois State 10.8 -1.18 9 32
331 Chicago State 10.8 -1.18 9 27
332 Hampton 10.7 -1.20 9 31
333 Middle Tennessee 10.7 -1.24 8 31
334 North Alabama 10.6 -1.26 8 30
335 Central Michigan 10.6 -1.29 8 29
336 South Dakota State 10.5 -1.31 7 31
337 Niagara 10.5 -1.32 7 30
338 Old Dominion 10.5 -1.34 7 30
339 Georgia State 10.4 -1.38 7 28
340 Weber State 10.4 -1.39 6 31
341 VMI 10.4 -1.39 6 29
342 UTSA 10.3 -1.47 6 30
343 Saint Peter's 10.3 -1.48 6 31
344 Evansville 10.3 -1.48 5 32
345 Presbyterian 10.2 -1.49 5 30
346 Cal State Bakersfield 10.2 -1.52 5 31
347 Boston University 10.1 -1.59 4 30
348 Mississippi Valley State 10.0 -1.61 4 32
349 UNC Wilmington 10.0 -1.63 4 32
350 Georgia Southern 9.9 -1.67 4 30
351 Cal State Fullerton 9.9 -1.68 3 31
352 Alcorn State 9.9 -1.70 3 32
353 Cal Poly 9.9 -1.70 3 31
354 Alabama State 9.8 -1.74 2 30
355 Oregon State 9.7 -1.81 2 31
356 Florida A&M 9.7 -1.82 2 27
357 Texas State 9.7 -1.83 2 32
358 California 9.6 -1.85 1 32
359 Eastern Michigan 9.5 -1.90 1 30
360 Louisville 9.3 -2.01 1 32
361 Fairfield 9.2 -2.09 1 30
362 Cal State Northridge 9.0 -2.23 0 30
363 Kansas City 8.8 -2.30 0 30