I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.65 (team entering with the better value wins 62% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 38.0% max 57.1% mean 49.8% std 3.0% (n=349)

Team Rankings

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# Team Total Rebound Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Utah State 57.1% +2.42 100 28
2 North Carolina 56.9% +2.36 100 29
3 Illinois 56.8% +2.33 99 31
4 Saint Louis 56.4% +2.18 99 21
5 Grand Canyon 56.3% +2.18 99 21
6 Loyola Marymount 56.2% +2.14 99 22
7 Wright State 56.2% +2.12 98 24
8 Winthrop 56.1% +2.09 98 25
9 Houston 55.9% +2.01 98 31
10 Cal State Bakersfield 55.6% +1.92 97 24
11 Radford 55.2% +1.79 97 25
12 Buffalo 55.1% +1.78 97 25
13 Arizona 55.1% +1.77 97 26
14 Gonzaga 55.0% +1.75 96 32
15 Memphis 55.0% +1.74 96 28
16 Coastal Carolina 55.0% +1.73 96 22
17 Mississippi State 55.0% +1.72 95 33
18 Stephen F. Austin 54.9% +1.71 95 18
19 North Dakota State 54.9% +1.71 95 27
20 Michigan 54.7% +1.64 95 28
21 Western Kentucky 54.7% +1.62 94 29
22 Utah Valley 54.6% +1.61 94 20
23 Purdue 54.5% +1.57 94 28
24 BYU 54.5% +1.56 93 26
25 USC 54.3% +1.51 93 33
26 Morehead State 54.3% +1.51 93 29
27 Loyola Chicago 53.9% +1.37 93 29
28 UC Irvine 53.9% +1.36 92 25
29 Mount St. Mary's 53.7% +1.30 92 23
30 Pittsburgh 53.6% +1.28 92 22
31 Florida Atlantic 53.6% +1.26 91 19
32 UConn 53.6% +1.26 91 23
33 Queens University 53.5% +1.24 91 3
34 Drake 53.5% +1.22 91 29
35 Iona 53.4% +1.21 90 18
36 Ole Miss 53.4% +1.20 90 28
37 Georgetown 53.3% +1.18 90 26
38 Louisville 53.3% +1.17 89 20
39 Jacksonville State 53.3% +1.16 89 25
40 Texas Southern 53.2% +1.15 89 25
41 New Mexico State 53.2% +1.14 89 17
42 Colgate 53.2% +1.14 88 16
43 Drexel 53.2% +1.13 88 20
44 Colorado 53.2% +1.13 88 32
45 Baylor 53.2% +1.12 87 30
46 Davidson 53.1% +1.09 87 21
47 Kent State 53.0% +1.08 87 22
48 Missouri State 52.9% +1.04 86 22
49 Vermont 52.9% +1.03 86 15
50 Southern Utah 52.8% +1.00 86 19
51 San Diego State 52.8% +1.00 86 27
52 Texas 52.8% +0.99 85 27
53 UCLA 52.7% +0.98 85 32
54 Loyola Maryland 52.7% +0.98 85 17
55 Florida State 52.6% +0.95 84 25
56 Arkansas 52.6% +0.94 84 32
57 South Dakota State 52.6% +0.94 84 22
58 UC Santa Barbara 52.5% +0.92 84 25
59 South Florida 52.5% +0.91 83 21
60 Wagner 52.5% +0.90 83 20
61 UC Riverside 52.5% +0.90 83 22
62 Navy 52.5% +0.90 82 18
63 Idaho State 52.5% +0.89 82 19
64 Louisiana 52.4% +0.88 82 24
65 Rhode Island 52.3% +0.85 82 25
66 St. Bonaventure 52.3% +0.82 81 21
67 Michigan State 52.2% +0.81 81 28
68 Washington State 52.2% +0.81 81 27
69 Saint Mary's 52.2% +0.80 80 24
70 Morgan State 52.2% +0.80 80 19
71 Ohio State 52.1% +0.78 80 31
72 Little Rock 52.1% +0.76 80 25
73 East Tennessee State 52.1% +0.76 79 23
74 Auburn 52.0% +0.75 79 27
75 Fresno State 52.0% +0.73 79 22
76 Louisiana Tech 51.9% +0.72 78 31
77 Southern 51.9% +0.71 78 19
78 George Mason 51.9% +0.69 78 22
79 Boise State 51.9% +0.69 78 27
80 UNC Greensboro 51.8% +0.68 77 30
81 Austin Peay 51.8% +0.68 77 25
82 West Virginia 51.8% +0.67 77 29
83 Liberty 51.8% +0.67 76 25
84 Delaware 51.8% +0.67 76 14
85 Iowa 51.8% +0.67 76 31
86 UMBC 51.8% +0.66 76 20
87 Virginia Tech 51.8% +0.66 75 22
88 Virginia 51.8% +0.66 75 25
89 Penn State 51.8% +0.66 75 25
90 Marquette 51.7% +0.65 74 27
91 Alabama 51.7% +0.64 74 33
92 Siena 51.7% +0.64 74 17
93 Southeast Missouri State 51.6% +0.60 74 27
94 Texas State 51.6% +0.59 73 23
95 UNLV 51.6% +0.59 73 25
96 Kansas 51.6% +0.59 73 29
97 Oklahoma State 51.5% +0.58 72 30
98 Towson 51.5% +0.57 72 18
99 Florida 51.5% +0.57 72 25
100 Arkansas State 51.5% +0.56 72 21
101 Hawai'i 51.5% +0.55 71 19
102 Northern Iowa 51.4% +0.55 71 23
103 North Texas 51.4% +0.52 71 27
104 Tennessee 51.4% +0.52 70 27
105 Murray State 51.3% +0.52 70 24
106 Stony Brook 51.3% +0.49 70 22
107 Saint Peter's 51.3% +0.49 70 25
108 Duke 51.3% +0.49 69 24
109 Kentucky 51.2% +0.48 69 25
110 Jackson State 51.2% +0.48 69 18
111 SMU 51.2% +0.48 68 17
112 Texas Tech 51.2% +0.47 68 29
113 Ohio 51.2% +0.47 68 24
114 Boston University 51.2% +0.47 68 18
115 Cincinnati 51.2% +0.46 67 23
116 UMass Lowell 51.1% +0.45 67 23
117 Long Island University 51.1% +0.44 67 18
118 Akron 51.1% +0.44 66 21
119 Bradley 51.1% +0.43 66 26
120 UAB 51.1% +0.42 66 27
121 Mercer 51.0% +0.41 66 26
122 High Point 51.0% +0.40 65 24
123 Weber State 51.0% +0.40 65 20
124 Eastern Washington 50.9% +0.39 65 23
125 Samford 50.9% +0.38 64 17
126 Nevada 50.9% +0.38 64 25
127 Texas A&M 50.9% +0.37 64 18
128 Villanova 50.9% +0.36 64 25
129 Northern Kentucky 50.8% +0.35 63 25
130 Old Dominion 50.8% +0.34 63 22
131 New Hampshire 50.8% +0.34 63 18
132 Youngstown State 50.8% +0.34 62 23
133 Oregon 50.8% +0.34 62 28
134 Xavier 50.8% +0.33 62 21
135 Presbyterian 50.7% +0.32 61 21
136 Abilene Christian 50.7% +0.31 61 25
137 Portland State 50.7% +0.31 61 18
138 North Alabama 50.7% +0.29 61 20
139 Colorado State 50.7% +0.29 60 27
140 Fairfield 50.6% +0.27 60 27
141 California Baptist 50.6% +0.27 60 19
142 Pacific 50.6% +0.26 59 17
143 Southern Miss 50.6% +0.26 59 23
144 Bryant 50.6% +0.25 59 21
145 Central Arkansas 50.4% +0.22 59 23
146 Belmont 50.4% +0.21 58 30
147 LSU 50.4% +0.21 58 29
148 Western Illinois 50.4% +0.20 58 21
149 Troy 50.3% +0.18 57 25
150 Missouri 50.3% +0.18 57 26
151 Marist 50.3% +0.17 57 21
152 Stetson 50.2% +0.15 57 24
153 TCU 50.2% +0.15 56 26
154 Miami 50.2% +0.14 56 27
155 Toledo 50.2% +0.14 56 30
156 Binghamton 50.2% +0.14 55 18
157 Duquesne 50.2% +0.14 55 18
158 Kansas State 50.2% +0.13 55 28
159 Northern Colorado 50.2% +0.12 55 19
160 Seton Hall 50.1% +0.12 54 27
161 Elon 50.1% +0.11 54 18
162 Furman 50.1% +0.11 54 22
163 VMI 50.1% +0.10 53 22
164 McNeese 50.1% +0.10 53 18
165 Nicholls 50.1% +0.10 53 24
166 Georgia 50.1% +0.10 53 25
167 DePaul 50.1% +0.09 52 19
168 Oregon State 50.1% +0.09 52 32
169 Florida A&M 50.0% +0.08 52 20
170 Hofstra 50.0% +0.07 51 23
171 Rice 50.0% +0.07 51 25
172 Stanford 50.0% +0.07 51 27
173 South Dakota 50.0% +0.06 51 24
174 Clemson 49.9% +0.03 50 24
175 Dayton 49.8% +0.02 50 24
176 Saint Francis 49.8% +0.01 50 22
177 New Mexico 49.8% +0.00 49 20
178 Alabama A&M 49.8% +0.00 49 15
179 Oklahoma 49.7% -0.03 49 27
180 Manhattan 49.6% -0.08 49 20
181 VCU 49.6% -0.08 48 26
182 Longwood 49.5% -0.08 48 28
183 Georgia State 49.5% -0.08 48 20
184 Santa Clara 49.5% -0.08 47 19
185 Lehigh 49.5% -0.09 47 15
186 Gardner-Webb 49.5% -0.09 47 26
187 Providence 49.5% -0.10 47 26
188 Temple 49.5% -0.10 46 16
189 James Madison 49.5% -0.10 46 17
190 Ball State 49.4% -0.11 46 23
191 St. Francis Brooklyn 49.4% -0.12 45 19
192 Miami (OH) 49.4% -0.12 45 22
193 Cleveland State 49.4% -0.12 45 27
194 New Orleans 49.4% -0.13 45 24
195 Prairie View A&M 49.4% -0.13 44 21
196 Wofford 49.4% -0.14 44 22
197 Rider 49.4% -0.14 44 23
198 Creighton 49.4% -0.14 43 31
199 George Washington 49.3% -0.15 43 17
200 Tennessee Tech 49.3% -0.15 43 27
201 Purdue Fort Wayne 49.3% -0.16 43 23
202 Vanderbilt 49.3% -0.16 42 25
203 Norfolk State 49.3% -0.16 42 23
204 Northern Illinois 49.3% -0.17 42 19
205 Western Carolina 49.2% -0.18 41 25
206 Rutgers 49.2% -0.18 41 28
207 Florida Gulf Coast 49.2% -0.19 41 16
208 Bowling Green 49.2% -0.21 41 25
209 NC State 49.1% -0.22 40 25
210 Pepperdine 49.1% -0.22 40 25
211 Alabama State 49.1% -0.23 40 18
212 Detroit Mercy 49.1% -0.23 39 22
213 Georgia Southern 49.1% -0.24 39 22
214 Charlotte 49.1% -0.24 39 24
215 Eastern Illinois 49.0% -0.25 39 27
216 Wisconsin 49.0% -0.26 38 31
217 Indiana 49.0% -0.28 38 27
218 Sacred Heart 48.9% -0.29 38 18
219 Army 48.9% -0.29 37 21
220 Wake Forest 48.9% -0.31 37 21
221 UCF 48.9% -0.31 37 23
222 UTSA 48.8% -0.31 36 22
223 Montana State 48.8% -0.33 36 21
224 Bellarmine 48.8% -0.33 36 20
225 UC Davis 48.8% -0.33 36 17
226 Butler 48.8% -0.34 35 25
227 Illinois State 48.8% -0.34 35 24
228 East Carolina 48.7% -0.35 35 18
229 California 48.7% -0.35 34 28
230 Maryland 48.7% -0.35 34 30
231 Marshall 48.7% -0.35 34 22
232 Indiana State 48.7% -0.36 34 24
233 St. John's 48.7% -0.36 33 27
234 Hartford 48.7% -0.36 33 24
235 South Carolina 48.7% -0.37 33 21
236 Charleston 48.7% -0.37 32 17
237 Canisius 48.6% -0.38 32 13
238 IU Indianapolis 48.6% -0.38 32 18
239 Monmouth 48.6% -0.39 32 20
240 San Francisco 48.6% -0.40 31 25
241 SE Louisiana 48.5% -0.41 31 26
242 UTEP 48.5% -0.44 31 21
243 Lamar 48.4% -0.45 30 28
244 Charleston Southern 48.4% -0.45 30 20
245 UIC 48.4% -0.47 30 22
246 William & Mary 48.4% -0.47 30 17
247 Chattanooga 48.3% -0.48 29 24
248 Syracuse 48.3% -0.50 29 28
249 Massachusetts 48.2% -0.52 29 15
250 Grambling 48.2% -0.52 28 23
251 Lipscomb 48.2% -0.52 28 23
252 App State 48.2% -0.53 28 25
253 La Salle 48.2% -0.53 28 24
254 The Citadel 48.2% -0.54 27 21
255 American University 48.2% -0.54 27 10
256 Milwaukee 48.1% -0.55 27 22
257 Kennesaw State 48.1% -0.56 26 21
258 Wichita State 48.1% -0.56 26 20
259 Sam Houston 48.1% -0.57 26 24
260 Northeastern 48.0% -0.59 26 19
261 Minnesota 48.0% -0.60 25 29
262 Tulsa 48.0% -0.61 25 21
263 Utah 47.9% -0.61 25 25
264 UAlbany 47.9% -0.62 24 16
265 Western Michigan 47.9% -0.62 24 20
266 Alcorn State 47.8% -0.65 24 19
267 SIU Edwardsville 47.8% -0.66 24 25
268 Fairleigh Dickinson 47.8% -0.67 23 24
269 Notre Dame 47.7% -0.70 23 26
270 Green Bay 47.6% -0.71 23 25
271 North Dakota 47.6% -0.72 22 26
272 Quinnipiac 47.6% -0.73 22 22
273 Bucknell 47.6% -0.73 22 12
274 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 47.6% -0.74 22 21
275 Middle Tennessee 47.5% -0.75 21 22
276 Omaha 47.5% -0.75 21 25
277 Montana 47.5% -0.75 21 23
278 Oakland 47.5% -0.77 20 30
279 Robert Morris 47.4% -0.78 20 18
280 Kansas City 47.4% -0.79 20 20
281 South Alabama 47.4% -0.79 20 24
282 Cal State Fullerton 47.4% -0.80 19 15
283 Lafayette 47.3% -0.81 19 15
284 Northwestern 47.3% -0.82 19 23
285 Boston College 47.3% -0.82 18 20
286 UNC Asheville 47.2% -0.85 18 20
287 Howard 47.2% -0.86 18 5
288 Houston Christian 47.1% -0.88 18 24
289 Holy Cross 47.1% -0.89 17 16
290 Wyoming 47.0% -0.91 17 25
291 Valparaiso 47.0% -0.92 17 26
292 Nebraska 47.0% -0.93 16 26
293 Long Beach State 46.9% -0.94 16 18
294 Maine 46.9% -0.95 16 9
295 Georgia Tech 46.9% -0.95 16 26
296 Eastern Kentucky 46.9% -0.95 15 27
297 Jacksonville 46.9% -0.96 15 22
298 Central Michigan 46.8% -1.00 15 20
299 South Carolina Upstate 46.8% -1.00 14 22
300 Northwestern State 46.7% -1.02 14 28
301 Niagara 46.7% -1.03 14 20
302 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 46.7% -1.03 14 25
303 UNC Wilmington 46.6% -1.04 13 16
304 Idaho 46.6% -1.06 13 22
305 Tennessee State 46.5% -1.08 13 22
306 Denver 46.5% -1.09 12 20
307 Sacramento State 46.4% -1.11 12 18
308 UT Rio Grande Valley 46.4% -1.14 12 15
309 UT Martin 46.3% -1.14 11 23
310 Cal State Northridge 46.3% -1.17 11 21
311 San Diego 46.2% -1.20 11 14
312 UT Arlington 46.2% -1.21 11 23
313 Seattle U 46.0% -1.27 10 19
314 Hampton 46.0% -1.27 10 25
315 Delaware State 46.0% -1.27 10 17
316 North Carolina Central 45.9% -1.29 9 13
317 Southern Illinois 45.8% -1.31 9 25
318 Tulane 45.8% -1.32 9 23
319 North Florida 45.8% -1.33 9 21
320 Richmond 45.7% -1.34 8 22
321 Utah Tech 45.7% -1.34 8 19
322 NJIT 45.7% -1.34 8 19
323 Northern Arizona 45.7% -1.34 7 22
324 Cal Poly 45.6% -1.38 7 23
325 Evansville 45.6% -1.40 7 25
326 Iowa State 45.4% -1.47 7 24
327 Incarnate Word 45.3% -1.47 6 19
328 Merrimack 45.3% -1.48 6 18
329 Campbell 45.3% -1.50 6 25
330 Oral Roberts 45.2% -1.51 5 26
331 Florida International 45.2% -1.51 5 22
332 North Carolina A&T 44.9% -1.62 5 19
333 UL Monroe 44.9% -1.63 5 26
334 Saint Joseph's 44.9% -1.64 4 20
335 Eastern Michigan 44.8% -1.65 4 15
336 Central Connecticut 44.7% -1.68 4 21
337 South Carolina State 44.6% -1.72 3 18
338 Arizona State 44.6% -1.73 3 25
339 Washington 44.5% -1.77 3 26
340 Tarleton State 44.0% -1.92 3 15
341 Coppin State 43.7% -2.03 2 22
342 Fordham 43.6% -2.07 2 14
343 UC San Diego 42.4% -2.45 2 14
344 Portland 42.1% -2.56 1 18
345 San José State 41.9% -2.62 1 19
346 Mississippi Valley State 40.8% -2.98 1 24
347 Mercyhurst 40.3% -3.16 1 1
348 Air Force 40.1% -3.23 0 25
349 Chicago State 38.0% -3.92 0 9