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← Four Factors

Turnover Rate

Share of possessions that end in a turnover.

Season turnovers ÷ season possessions. Possessions aren't in the box score, so they're estimated as FGA − OffReb + TO + 0.475×FTA (the standard estimator).

Lower is better  ·  league avg 19.0%  ·  as of 2021-04-06

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.62 (team entering with the better value wins 58% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 13.3% max 25.1% mean 19.0% std 2.3% (n=349)

Team Rankings

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# Team Turnover Rate z Pctl GP
1 Iowa 13.3% -2.49 100 31
2 Bowling Green 13.4% -2.45 100 25
3 Wisconsin 13.6% -2.37 99 31
4 Villanova 13.8% -2.29 99 25
5 Colgate 14.8% -1.84 99 16
6 Sacramento State 14.9% -1.80 99 18
7 Lafayette 14.9% -1.79 98 15
8 Richmond 15.0% -1.77 98 22
9 Arizona State 15.0% -1.77 98 25
10 Virginia 15.0% -1.77 97 25
11 Niagara 15.1% -1.69 97 20
12 Milwaukee 15.2% -1.67 97 22
13 Drake 15.3% -1.64 97 29
14 Green Bay 15.4% -1.56 96 25
15 South Dakota 15.5% -1.55 96 24
16 Ohio State 15.5% -1.54 96 31
17 Minnesota 15.5% -1.54 95 29
18 UNC Greensboro 15.6% -1.51 95 30
19 LSU 15.6% -1.50 95 29
20 UAB 15.6% -1.50 95 27
21 Oral Roberts 15.6% -1.50 94 26
22 Toledo 15.6% -1.50 94 30
23 Seattle U 15.6% -1.47 94 19
24 Oklahoma 15.6% -1.47 93 27
25 Wichita State 15.7% -1.46 93 20
26 UTSA 15.7% -1.46 93 22
27 Notre Dame 15.7% -1.43 93 26
28 UCLA 15.7% -1.43 92 32
29 Creighton 15.8% -1.42 92 31
30 Xavier 15.9% -1.36 92 21
31 Wyoming 15.9% -1.33 91 25
32 Chattanooga 16.0% -1.33 91 24
33 Southern Utah 16.0% -1.32 91 19
34 UNC Wilmington 16.0% -1.30 91 16
35 UTEP 16.0% -1.29 90 21
36 Texas Tech 16.1% -1.29 90 29
37 Liberty 16.1% -1.28 90 25
38 Houston 16.1% -1.27 89 31
39 Georgia Tech 16.1% -1.27 89 26
40 UT Arlington 16.1% -1.27 89 23
41 The Citadel 16.1% -1.25 89 21
42 Gonzaga 16.1% -1.25 88 32
43 NJIT 16.2% -1.22 88 19
44 Marshall 16.2% -1.21 88 22
45 Massachusetts 16.2% -1.21 87 15
46 New Hampshire 16.3% -1.19 87 18
47 St. Francis Brooklyn 16.3% -1.18 87 19
48 Charleston 16.3% -1.18 86 17
49 Penn State 16.3% -1.18 86 25
50 Miami (OH) 16.4% -1.15 86 22
51 Syracuse 16.4% -1.15 86 28
52 St. Bonaventure 16.4% -1.15 85 21
53 UC Santa Barbara 16.5% -1.11 85 25
54 Eastern Washington 16.5% -1.09 85 23
55 Baylor 16.5% -1.07 84 30
56 Tulane 16.6% -1.06 84 23
57 Eastern Kentucky 16.6% -1.05 84 27
58 Pacific 16.6% -1.05 84 17
59 Mercyhurst 16.6% -1.04 83 1
60 Belmont 16.6% -1.03 83 30
61 San Diego State 16.6% -1.03 83 27
62 Cal State Northridge 16.6% -1.03 82 21
63 Michigan 16.7% -1.01 82 28
64 Oregon 16.7% -1.00 82 28
65 Maryland 16.8% -0.98 82 30
66 James Madison 16.8% -0.98 81 17
67 Boise State 16.8% -0.97 81 27
68 Canisius 16.8% -0.97 81 13
69 Youngstown State 16.8% -0.96 80 23
70 Rutgers 16.8% -0.96 80 28
71 San Francisco 16.8% -0.95 80 25
72 West Virginia 16.8% -0.94 80 29
73 Detroit Mercy 16.9% -0.93 79 22
74 St. John's 16.9% -0.92 79 27
75 VMI 16.9% -0.91 79 22
76 Georgia State 17.0% -0.87 78 20
77 Arkansas 17.0% -0.87 78 32
78 Eastern Michigan 17.0% -0.85 78 15
79 Ohio 17.1% -0.84 78 24
80 Akron 17.1% -0.84 77 21
81 Indiana 17.1% -0.83 77 27
82 Providence 17.1% -0.83 77 26
83 Virginia Tech 17.1% -0.81 76 22
84 Northwestern 17.1% -0.81 76 23
85 Kansas 17.2% -0.80 76 29
86 Colorado 17.2% -0.79 76 32
87 Weber State 17.2% -0.78 75 20
88 Western Illinois 17.2% -0.78 75 21
89 Arizona 17.3% -0.75 75 26
90 Saint Mary's 17.3% -0.75 74 24
91 Louisville 17.3% -0.74 74 20
92 Davidson 17.3% -0.74 74 21
93 Bellarmine 17.3% -0.74 74 20
94 South Dakota State 17.3% -0.74 73 22
95 Evansville 17.3% -0.72 73 25
96 Bucknell 17.4% -0.70 73 12
97 Butler 17.4% -0.69 72 25
98 Lipscomb 17.5% -0.67 72 23
99 UConn 17.5% -0.66 72 23
100 Gardner-Webb 17.5% -0.65 72 26
101 Hofstra 17.5% -0.63 71 23
102 Elon 17.6% -0.62 71 18
103 Norfolk State 17.6% -0.62 71 23
104 App State 17.6% -0.61 70 25
105 Oregon State 17.6% -0.59 70 32
106 Cal State Fullerton 17.6% -0.58 70 15
107 Monmouth 17.7% -0.58 70 20
108 Saint Louis 17.7% -0.58 69 21
109 San José State 17.7% -0.57 69 19
110 Pepperdine 17.7% -0.56 69 25
111 South Alabama 17.7% -0.56 68 24
112 Nicholls 17.7% -0.55 68 24
113 UC Riverside 17.7% -0.54 68 22
114 Oakland 17.8% -0.52 68 30
115 Northern Arizona 17.9% -0.49 67 22
116 Furman 17.9% -0.49 67 22
117 Central Michigan 17.9% -0.48 67 20
118 Valparaiso 17.9% -0.46 66 26
119 Santa Clara 17.9% -0.46 66 19
120 Montana State 18.0% -0.43 66 21
121 UAlbany 18.0% -0.43 66 16
122 Army 18.0% -0.43 65 21
123 USC 18.0% -0.42 65 33
124 Omaha 18.0% -0.42 65 25
125 Wagner 18.0% -0.41 64 20
126 Vermont 18.0% -0.41 64 15
127 Mercer 18.0% -0.40 64 26
128 George Mason 18.1% -0.40 64 22
129 Wright State 18.1% -0.39 63 24
130 San Diego 18.1% -0.39 63 14
131 Illinois 18.1% -0.38 63 31
132 Hampton 18.1% -0.37 62 25
133 Louisiana Tech 18.1% -0.36 62 31
134 Lehigh 18.2% -0.36 62 15
135 Missouri State 18.2% -0.34 61 22
136 Navy 18.2% -0.33 61 18
137 Tennessee 18.2% -0.32 61 27
138 Loyola Chicago 18.3% -0.31 61 29
139 Utah 18.3% -0.31 60 25
140 Nevada 18.3% -0.30 60 25
141 Duke 18.3% -0.30 60 24
142 Holy Cross 18.3% -0.29 59 16
143 New Mexico State 18.3% -0.28 59 17
144 Towson 18.3% -0.27 59 18
145 Tarleton State 18.3% -0.27 59 15
146 Rider 18.4% -0.26 58 23
147 Indiana State 18.4% -0.26 58 24
148 Boston University 18.4% -0.24 58 18
149 Miami 18.4% -0.24 57 27
150 Pittsburgh 18.5% -0.23 57 22
151 Southern Illinois 18.5% -0.20 57 25
152 Old Dominion 18.5% -0.18 57 22
153 Buffalo 18.6% -0.18 56 25
154 East Carolina 18.6% -0.17 56 18
155 Campbell 18.6% -0.16 56 25
156 Northern Kentucky 18.6% -0.16 55 25
157 High Point 18.6% -0.16 55 24
158 Saint Joseph's 18.6% -0.15 55 20
159 Sacred Heart 18.6% -0.14 55 18
160 Alabama 18.7% -0.13 54 33
161 North Dakota State 18.7% -0.13 54 27
162 Purdue 18.7% -0.12 54 28
163 North Dakota 18.7% -0.12 53 26
164 Missouri 18.7% -0.11 53 26
165 NC State 18.8% -0.09 53 25
166 North Carolina A&T 18.8% -0.09 53 19
167 Michigan State 18.8% -0.08 52 28
168 Cleveland State 18.8% -0.08 52 27
169 UMBC 18.8% -0.08 52 20
170 Bradley 18.8% -0.07 51 26
171 UIC 18.8% -0.07 51 22
172 Seton Hall 18.8% -0.05 51 27
173 UC Irvine 18.9% -0.03 51 25
174 Robert Morris 18.9% -0.02 50 18
175 Wofford 19.0% -0.00 50 22
176 BYU 19.0% +0.00 50 26
177 Portland 19.0% +0.04 49 18
178 UL Monroe 19.1% +0.05 49 26
179 Abilene Christian 19.1% +0.05 49 25
180 Boston College 19.1% +0.06 49 20
181 UT Rio Grande Valley 19.1% +0.06 48 15
182 IU Indianapolis 19.1% +0.08 48 18
183 Queens University 19.2% +0.10 48 3
184 Northern Iowa 19.2% +0.11 47 23
185 California 19.2% +0.12 47 28
186 Washington 19.3% +0.13 47 26
187 Long Island University 19.3% +0.13 47 18
188 Kent State 19.3% +0.14 46 22
189 Murray State 19.3% +0.14 46 24
190 Drexel 19.3% +0.15 46 20
191 Illinois State 19.3% +0.15 45 24
192 Clemson 19.4% +0.18 45 24
193 Montana 19.4% +0.19 45 23
194 Western Carolina 19.4% +0.19 45 25
195 Winthrop 19.4% +0.19 44 25
196 Quinnipiac 19.4% +0.20 44 22
197 Northwestern State 19.4% +0.21 44 28
198 Arkansas State 19.5% +0.22 43 21
199 Temple 19.5% +0.23 43 16
200 Duquesne 19.5% +0.23 43 18
201 Prairie View A&M 19.5% +0.24 43 21
202 Siena 19.6% +0.27 42 17
203 Fairleigh Dickinson 19.6% +0.27 42 24
204 Nebraska 19.6% +0.27 42 26
205 Cal State Bakersfield 19.6% +0.28 41 24
206 Stetson 19.6% +0.29 41 24
207 UNLV 19.7% +0.31 41 25
208 Howard 19.7% +0.31 41 5
209 Hartford 19.7% +0.31 40 24
210 Kansas City 19.7% +0.31 40 20
211 George Washington 19.7% +0.32 40 17
212 SMU 19.7% +0.32 39 17
213 UC San Diego 19.7% +0.32 39 14
214 Fairfield 19.7% +0.33 39 27
215 Colorado State 19.7% +0.33 39 27
216 Central Connecticut 19.7% +0.33 38 21
217 Ball State 19.7% +0.33 38 23
218 California Baptist 19.7% +0.34 38 19
219 Northeastern 19.7% +0.34 37 19
220 Longwood 19.8% +0.35 37 28
221 Rhode Island 19.8% +0.35 37 25
222 Kentucky 19.8% +0.35 36 25
223 South Carolina 19.8% +0.35 36 21
224 Hawai'i 19.8% +0.37 36 19
225 Grand Canyon 19.9% +0.41 36 21
226 North Texas 19.9% +0.42 35 27
227 Merrimack 19.9% +0.42 35 18
228 Jacksonville State 19.9% +0.42 35 25
229 Vanderbilt 19.9% +0.43 34 25
230 Wake Forest 20.0% +0.45 34 21
231 Eastern Illinois 20.0% +0.45 34 27
232 Portland State 20.0% +0.46 34 18
233 Coppin State 20.0% +0.47 33 22
234 Jacksonville 20.0% +0.47 33 22
235 Utah State 20.0% +0.48 33 28
236 Stony Brook 20.1% +0.49 32 22
237 Tulsa 20.1% +0.50 32 21
238 Lamar 20.1% +0.50 32 28
239 Saint Francis 20.1% +0.50 32 22
240 William & Mary 20.1% +0.51 31 17
241 Charlotte 20.1% +0.52 31 24
242 Loyola Maryland 20.2% +0.55 31 17
243 Sam Houston 20.2% +0.55 30 24
244 Florida Gulf Coast 20.2% +0.56 30 16
245 East Tennessee State 20.2% +0.56 30 23
246 Mount St. Mary's 20.2% +0.56 30 23
247 Northern Illinois 20.2% +0.56 29 19
248 Texas State 20.2% +0.56 29 23
249 Bryant 20.2% +0.56 29 21
250 UC Davis 20.3% +0.58 28 17
251 North Alabama 20.3% +0.59 28 20
252 North Carolina 20.3% +0.59 28 29
253 Florida State 20.3% +0.61 28 25
254 Louisiana 20.4% +0.63 27 24
255 Alcorn State 20.4% +0.65 27 19
256 Florida Atlantic 20.4% +0.65 27 19
257 Rice 20.4% +0.65 26 25
258 Cal Poly 20.5% +0.66 26 23
259 Western Kentucky 20.5% +0.67 26 29
260 Cincinnati 20.5% +0.68 26 23
261 Kennesaw State 20.6% +0.71 25 21
262 Southern Miss 20.6% +0.73 25 23
263 Binghamton 20.6% +0.74 25 18
264 Manhattan 20.6% +0.74 24 20
265 Ole Miss 20.7% +0.75 24 28
266 Morgan State 20.7% +0.76 24 19
267 Texas 20.7% +0.77 24 27
268 South Florida 20.7% +0.78 23 21
269 Texas Southern 20.7% +0.78 23 25
270 La Salle 20.7% +0.79 23 24
271 Fordham 20.7% +0.79 22 14
272 VCU 20.8% +0.79 22 26
273 South Carolina Upstate 20.8% +0.81 22 22
274 Northern Colorado 20.8% +0.82 22 19
275 Incarnate Word 20.8% +0.82 21 19
276 Marquette 20.8% +0.84 21 27
277 Tennessee State 20.9% +0.84 21 22
278 Denver 20.9% +0.87 20 20
279 Oklahoma State 20.9% +0.87 20 30
280 Long Beach State 20.9% +0.87 20 18
281 UT Martin 21.0% +0.88 20 23
282 Florida International 21.0% +0.89 19 22
283 UMass Lowell 21.0% +0.89 19 23
284 Utah Tech 21.0% +0.90 19 19
285 UNC Asheville 21.0% +0.91 18 20
286 TCU 21.0% +0.92 18 26
287 Austin Peay 21.1% +0.93 18 25
288 Iowa State 21.1% +0.95 18 24
289 Stanford 21.1% +0.96 17 27
290 Jackson State 21.1% +0.96 17 18
291 Delaware 21.1% +0.96 17 14
292 Western Michigan 21.2% +0.97 16 20
293 Samford 21.3% +1.01 16 17
294 North Carolina Central 21.3% +1.02 16 13
295 Utah Valley 21.3% +1.02 16 20
296 Florida 21.3% +1.04 15 25
297 Dayton 21.3% +1.04 15 24
298 Marist 21.3% +1.05 15 21
299 Troy 21.4% +1.08 14 25
300 Alabama A&M 21.5% +1.11 14 15
301 Georgia Southern 21.5% +1.11 14 22
302 Georgia 21.5% +1.11 14 25
303 Georgetown 21.5% +1.12 13 26
304 North Florida 21.5% +1.14 13 21
305 New Mexico 21.6% +1.15 13 20
306 Grambling 21.6% +1.16 12 23
307 Fresno State 21.6% +1.18 12 22
308 Washington State 21.6% +1.18 12 27
309 UCF 21.7% +1.19 11 23
310 Coastal Carolina 21.7% +1.20 11 22
311 Memphis 21.7% +1.20 11 28
312 Middle Tennessee 21.7% +1.21 11 22
313 Southeast Missouri State 21.8% +1.24 10 27
314 Chicago State 21.8% +1.25 10 9
315 Saint Peter's 21.9% +1.28 10 25
316 SE Louisiana 21.9% +1.31 9 26
317 Auburn 22.0% +1.33 9 27
318 Mississippi State 22.0% +1.36 9 33
319 Southern 22.1% +1.39 9 19
320 DePaul 22.1% +1.41 8 19
321 New Orleans 22.3% +1.48 8 24
322 American University 22.3% +1.49 8 10
323 Kansas State 22.4% +1.50 7 28
324 Texas A&M 22.4% +1.51 7 18
325 Iona 22.4% +1.51 7 18
326 Alabama State 22.4% +1.52 7 18
327 Delaware State 22.4% +1.53 6 17
328 Little Rock 22.4% +1.54 6 25
329 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 22.5% +1.55 6 25
330 Houston Christian 22.5% +1.57 5 24
331 Air Force 22.7% +1.64 5 25
332 Tennessee Tech 22.7% +1.64 5 27
333 SIU Edwardsville 22.9% +1.72 5 25
334 McNeese 23.1% +1.81 4 18
335 Presbyterian 23.1% +1.83 4 21
336 Radford 23.2% +1.88 4 25
337 Morehead State 23.2% +1.88 3 29
338 Loyola Marymount 23.4% +1.94 3 22
339 Idaho State 23.4% +1.99 3 19
340 Stephen F. Austin 23.5% +2.00 3 18
341 Charleston Southern 23.6% +2.05 2 20
342 Purdue Fort Wayne 23.7% +2.12 2 23
343 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 23.7% +2.12 2 21
344 Florida A&M 23.9% +2.18 1 20
345 Central Arkansas 23.9% +2.20 1 23
346 Idaho 24.0% +2.23 1 22
347 South Carolina State 24.0% +2.24 1 18
348 Mississippi Valley State 24.3% +2.36 0 24
349 Maine 25.1% +2.70 0 9