I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.57 (team entering with the better value wins 55% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 5.2% max 14.6% mean 9.1% std 1.6% (n=349)

Team Rankings

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# Team Steal Rate z Pctl GP
1 Queens University 14.6% +3.40 100 3
2 Mercyhurst 13.8% +2.94 100 1
3 Prairie View A&M 13.6% +2.77 99 21
4 VCU 13.0% +2.45 99 26
5 Georgia Tech 13.0% +2.44 99 26
6 Abilene Christian 13.0% +2.39 99 25
7 Stephen F. Austin 12.9% +2.36 98 18
8 Baylor 12.8% +2.28 98 30
9 Eastern Kentucky 12.8% +2.27 98 27
10 Richmond 12.4% +2.07 97 22
11 Memphis 12.3% +1.97 97 28
12 St. John's 12.1% +1.85 97 27
13 San Diego State 12.0% +1.81 97 27
14 Navy 12.0% +1.77 96 18
15 Houston 11.8% +1.69 96 31
16 Saint Peter's 11.8% +1.67 96 25
17 Duke 11.8% +1.67 95 24
18 NC State 11.8% +1.66 95 25
19 Portland State 11.7% +1.63 95 18
20 Merrimack 11.7% +1.59 95 18
21 Syracuse 11.6% +1.57 94 28
22 Nicholls 11.6% +1.54 94 24
23 UAB 11.5% +1.50 94 27
24 Jackson State 11.5% +1.47 93 18
25 UT Arlington 11.4% +1.41 93 23
26 Long Island University 11.4% +1.40 93 18
27 Oakland 11.4% +1.39 93 30
28 Alabama 11.3% +1.37 92 33
29 Grambling 11.3% +1.36 92 23
30 Georgia 11.3% +1.35 92 25
31 Georgia Southern 11.3% +1.34 91 22
32 Penn State 11.2% +1.30 91 25
33 Ole Miss 11.2% +1.28 91 28
34 South Carolina 11.2% +1.27 91 21
35 Loyola Chicago 11.1% +1.26 90 29
36 Furman 11.1% +1.26 90 22
37 Old Dominion 11.1% +1.24 90 22
38 Rutgers 11.1% +1.23 89 28
39 Manhattan 11.1% +1.23 89 20
40 Air Force 11.0% +1.20 89 25
41 App State 11.0% +1.19 89 25
42 Tulane 11.0% +1.19 88 23
43 Southern 11.0% +1.17 88 19
44 Monmouth 11.0% +1.15 88 20
45 UL Monroe 10.9% +1.14 87 26
46 Oregon 10.9% +1.14 87 28
47 UT Rio Grande Valley 10.9% +1.13 87 15
48 Kansas City 10.9% +1.12 86 20
49 St. Francis Brooklyn 10.9% +1.09 86 19
50 Wagner 10.8% +1.08 86 20
51 North Carolina A&T 10.8% +1.06 86 19
52 Saint Louis 10.8% +1.03 85 21
53 Belmont 10.7% +1.02 85 30
54 UC Santa Barbara 10.7% +1.02 85 25
55 Coppin State 10.7% +1.01 84 22
56 West Virginia 10.7% +0.97 84 29
57 Marshall 10.7% +0.96 84 22
58 Alcorn State 10.7% +0.96 84 19
59 LSU 10.6% +0.95 83 29
60 Gonzaga 10.6% +0.95 83 32
61 East Tennessee State 10.6% +0.93 83 23
62 Buffalo 10.6% +0.93 82 25
63 UNC Greensboro 10.6% +0.93 82 30
64 Tennessee 10.5% +0.89 82 27
65 La Salle 10.5% +0.89 82 24
66 Texas Tech 10.5% +0.88 81 29
67 Arkansas 10.5% +0.86 81 32
68 Eastern Michigan 10.5% +0.86 81 15
69 Texas A&M 10.4% +0.81 80 18
70 Fairleigh Dickinson 10.4% +0.80 80 24
71 Presbyterian 10.4% +0.79 80 21
72 Florida State 10.4% +0.78 80 25
73 Coastal Carolina 10.3% +0.76 79 22
74 Bellarmine 10.3% +0.76 79 20
75 Hartford 10.3% +0.75 79 24
76 American University 10.3% +0.74 78 10
77 San Francisco 10.3% +0.73 78 25
78 New Orleans 10.3% +0.73 78 24
79 UT Martin 10.3% +0.73 78 23
80 Winthrop 10.2% +0.71 77 25
81 Tarleton State 10.2% +0.71 77 15
82 UC Davis 10.2% +0.71 77 17
83 Sam Houston 10.2% +0.70 76 24
84 Oklahoma 10.2% +0.69 76 27
85 Central Michigan 10.2% +0.68 76 20
86 Texas State 10.2% +0.68 76 23
87 Florida International 10.2% +0.66 75 22
88 Lamar 10.1% +0.64 75 28
89 George Mason 10.1% +0.64 75 22
90 Sacramento State 10.1% +0.63 74 18
91 Florida 10.1% +0.63 74 25
92 UC Irvine 10.1% +0.63 74 25
93 Cleveland State 10.1% +0.60 74 27
94 Drake 10.1% +0.60 73 29
95 Eastern Illinois 10.0% +0.59 73 27
96 Vanderbilt 10.0% +0.58 73 25
97 Oklahoma State 10.0% +0.57 72 30
98 North Texas 10.0% +0.55 72 27
99 Middle Tennessee 10.0% +0.54 72 22
100 UCF 10.0% +0.54 72 23
101 Creighton 9.9% +0.52 71 31
102 Arizona State 9.9% +0.52 71 25
103 Stanford 9.9% +0.51 71 27
104 Massachusetts 9.9% +0.50 70 15
105 Tennessee State 9.9% +0.50 70 22
106 Detroit Mercy 9.9% +0.50 70 22
107 UNC Asheville 9.9% +0.49 70 20
108 Boston College 9.9% +0.47 69 20
109 Florida Atlantic 9.9% +0.47 69 19
110 North Carolina 9.9% +0.47 69 29
111 Iona 9.8% +0.46 68 18
112 Duquesne 9.8% +0.46 68 18
113 Bowling Green 9.8% +0.46 68 25
114 Murray State 9.8% +0.45 68 24
115 Xavier 9.8% +0.45 67 21
116 Nebraska 9.8% +0.42 67 26
117 Holy Cross 9.7% +0.40 67 16
118 Chattanooga 9.7% +0.39 66 24
119 Jacksonville 9.7% +0.38 66 22
120 Kansas 9.7% +0.37 66 29
121 Fordham 9.7% +0.37 66 14
122 Miami 9.7% +0.37 65 27
123 NJIT 9.7% +0.36 65 19
124 Southeast Missouri State 9.7% +0.35 65 27
125 High Point 9.7% +0.35 64 24
126 South Alabama 9.7% +0.34 64 24
127 Mercer 9.7% +0.34 64 26
128 Colgate 9.6% +0.34 64 16
129 Central Connecticut 9.6% +0.32 63 21
130 Florida Gulf Coast 9.6% +0.31 63 16
131 Louisiana Tech 9.6% +0.29 63 31
132 Northern Kentucky 9.6% +0.29 62 25
133 Stetson 9.6% +0.29 62 24
134 SE Louisiana 9.5% +0.27 62 26
135 Loyola Maryland 9.5% +0.27 61 17
136 Hofstra 9.5% +0.26 61 23
137 DePaul 9.5% +0.26 61 19
138 North Carolina Central 9.5% +0.24 61 13
139 Indiana State 9.5% +0.23 60 24
140 IU Indianapolis 9.5% +0.22 60 18
141 Cincinnati 9.5% +0.22 60 23
142 UNLV 9.4% +0.20 59 25
143 Morgan State 9.4% +0.20 59 19
144 Texas Southern 9.4% +0.20 59 25
145 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 9.4% +0.19 59 21
146 Pacific 9.4% +0.19 58 17
147 Fresno State 9.4% +0.18 58 22
148 Missouri 9.4% +0.18 58 26
149 Longwood 9.4% +0.18 57 28
150 Purdue Fort Wayne 9.4% +0.17 57 23
151 Northwestern State 9.4% +0.17 57 28
152 Houston Christian 9.4% +0.16 57 24
153 Utah State 9.3% +0.15 56 28
154 Clemson 9.3% +0.15 56 24
155 UConn 9.3% +0.14 56 23
156 Mississippi State 9.3% +0.14 55 33
157 Austin Peay 9.3% +0.12 55 25
158 Southern Illinois 9.3% +0.10 55 25
159 Western Kentucky 9.3% +0.09 55 29
160 Tulsa 9.3% +0.09 54 21
161 Little Rock 9.2% +0.09 54 25
162 San Diego 9.2% +0.09 54 14
163 Texas 9.2% +0.09 53 27
164 Iowa State 9.2% +0.08 53 24
165 Tennessee Tech 9.2% +0.07 53 27
166 Seattle U 9.2% +0.06 53 19
167 Wofford 9.2% +0.06 52 22
168 James Madison 9.2% +0.05 52 17
169 Boise State 9.2% +0.05 52 27
170 Seton Hall 9.2% +0.04 51 27
171 Florida A&M 9.2% +0.04 51 20
172 Kent State 9.2% +0.04 51 22
173 Campbell 9.2% +0.03 51 25
174 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 9.1% +0.03 50 25
175 Cal State Fullerton 9.1% +0.02 50 15
176 Rhode Island 9.1% +0.02 50 25
177 Saint Mary's 9.1% +0.02 49 24
178 Georgia State 9.1% +0.02 49 20
179 Wake Forest 9.1% +0.01 49 21
180 George Washington 9.1% +0.00 49 17
181 Cal State Bakersfield 9.1% -0.01 48 24
182 Cal State Northridge 9.1% -0.01 48 21
183 Utah Tech 9.1% -0.01 48 19
184 Northeastern 9.1% -0.02 47 19
185 Cal Poly 9.1% -0.02 47 23
186 Norfolk State 9.0% -0.04 47 23
187 Robert Morris 9.0% -0.06 47 18
188 South Carolina Upstate 9.0% -0.06 46 22
189 St. Bonaventure 9.0% -0.07 46 21
190 Samford 9.0% -0.09 46 17
191 Niagara 8.9% -0.10 45 20
192 Northwestern 8.9% -0.13 45 23
193 Ohio 8.9% -0.13 45 24
194 Kentucky 8.9% -0.13 45 25
195 Radford 8.9% -0.13 44 25
196 TCU 8.9% -0.14 44 26
197 Minnesota 8.9% -0.15 44 29
198 Northern Iowa 8.8% -0.16 43 23
199 Pepperdine 8.8% -0.16 43 25
200 Pittsburgh 8.8% -0.18 43 22
201 UAlbany 8.8% -0.18 43 16
202 Weber State 8.8% -0.18 42 20
203 Oral Roberts 8.8% -0.19 42 26
204 Arkansas State 8.8% -0.19 42 21
205 Gardner-Webb 8.8% -0.20 41 26
206 Washington State 8.8% -0.21 41 27
207 Army 8.8% -0.21 41 21
208 Hampton 8.7% -0.25 41 25
209 SMU 8.7% -0.26 40 17
210 Lafayette 8.7% -0.27 40 15
211 Maine 8.7% -0.27 40 9
212 Valparaiso 8.6% -0.28 39 26
213 Toledo 8.6% -0.30 39 30
214 Elon 8.6% -0.32 39 18
215 UTEP 8.6% -0.34 39 21
216 Bryant 8.5% -0.34 38 21
217 Washington 8.5% -0.34 38 26
218 Northern Illinois 8.5% -0.35 38 19
219 Wisconsin 8.5% -0.35 37 31
220 Wichita State 8.5% -0.37 37 20
221 East Carolina 8.5% -0.37 37 18
222 Arizona 8.5% -0.39 36 26
223 Lipscomb 8.5% -0.40 36 23
224 Southern Miss 8.4% -0.40 36 23
225 Alabama State 8.4% -0.42 36 18
226 Milwaukee 8.4% -0.42 35 22
227 Southern Utah 8.4% -0.44 35 19
228 Auburn 8.4% -0.44 35 27
229 Oregon State 8.4% -0.44 34 32
230 SIU Edwardsville 8.4% -0.44 34 25
231 Butler 8.4% -0.45 34 25
232 Indiana 8.4% -0.46 34 27
233 Illinois State 8.4% -0.46 33 24
234 Lehigh 8.4% -0.46 33 15
235 Georgetown 8.3% -0.47 33 26
236 Northern Arizona 8.3% -0.47 32 22
237 Colorado State 8.3% -0.48 32 27
238 Siena 8.3% -0.48 32 17
239 Troy 8.3% -0.49 32 25
240 Providence 8.3% -0.50 31 26
241 Charleston Southern 8.2% -0.55 31 20
242 Saint Francis 8.2% -0.56 31 22
243 Wyoming 8.2% -0.56 30 25
244 Long Beach State 8.2% -0.57 30 18
245 Wright State 8.2% -0.58 30 24
246 UC San Diego 8.2% -0.58 30 14
247 Delaware State 8.1% -0.60 29 17
248 South Carolina State 8.1% -0.60 29 18
249 Denver 8.1% -0.62 29 20
250 Marist 8.1% -0.63 28 21
251 Kansas State 8.1% -0.63 28 28
252 Virginia 8.1% -0.65 28 25
253 New Mexico 8.0% -0.65 28 20
254 Louisiana 8.0% -0.65 27 24
255 Charlotte 8.0% -0.65 27 24
256 Montana State 8.0% -0.65 27 21
257 Charleston 8.0% -0.67 26 17
258 Utah 8.0% -0.67 26 25
259 Saint Joseph's 8.0% -0.68 26 20
260 Davidson 8.0% -0.69 26 21
261 Bucknell 8.0% -0.70 25 12
262 Nevada 8.0% -0.71 25 25
263 Stony Brook 7.9% -0.71 25 22
264 Boston University 7.9% -0.72 24 18
265 Green Bay 7.9% -0.73 24 25
266 Omaha 7.9% -0.76 24 25
267 Illinois 7.9% -0.76 24 31
268 Canisius 7.8% -0.77 23 13
269 Iowa 7.8% -0.78 23 31
270 Colorado 7.8% -0.78 23 32
271 William & Mary 7.8% -0.78 22 17
272 UC Riverside 7.8% -0.79 22 22
273 Portland 7.8% -0.80 22 18
274 UTSA 7.8% -0.82 22 22
275 Youngstown State 7.8% -0.83 21 23
276 UNC Wilmington 7.7% -0.84 21 16
277 Rice 7.7% -0.85 21 25
278 South Florida 7.7% -0.85 20 21
279 Maryland 7.7% -0.85 20 30
280 Villanova 7.7% -0.86 20 25
281 Evansville 7.7% -0.86 20 25
282 McNeese 7.7% -0.87 19 18
283 Alabama A&M 7.7% -0.88 19 15
284 South Dakota State 7.7% -0.88 19 22
285 Chicago State 7.7% -0.89 18 9
286 Quinnipiac 7.6% -0.91 18 22
287 Hawai'i 7.6% -0.91 18 19
288 New Hampshire 7.6% -0.95 18 18
289 Incarnate Word 7.5% -0.96 17 19
290 Purdue 7.5% -0.97 17 28
291 Ball State 7.5% -0.98 17 23
292 Kennesaw State 7.5% -0.99 16 21
293 Bradley 7.4% -1.03 16 26
294 Vermont 7.4% -1.04 16 15
295 Marquette 7.4% -1.04 16 27
296 UMBC 7.4% -1.04 15 20
297 Binghamton 7.4% -1.06 15 18
298 Towson 7.4% -1.06 15 18
299 North Dakota 7.4% -1.07 14 26
300 Rider 7.4% -1.08 14 23
301 UCLA 7.3% -1.11 14 32
302 New Mexico State 7.3% -1.12 14 17
303 Idaho 7.3% -1.13 13 22
304 UMass Lowell 7.2% -1.17 13 23
305 Louisville 7.2% -1.17 13 20
306 North Alabama 7.2% -1.19 12 20
307 Virginia Tech 7.2% -1.20 12 22
308 Howard 7.1% -1.22 12 5
309 Sacred Heart 7.1% -1.26 11 18
310 Fairfield 7.0% -1.29 11 27
311 Western Illinois 7.0% -1.31 11 21
312 USC 7.0% -1.33 11 33
313 Delaware 6.9% -1.35 10 14
314 Drexel 6.9% -1.35 10 20
315 Loyola Marymount 6.9% -1.36 10 22
316 Jacksonville State 6.9% -1.38 9 25
317 Montana 6.8% -1.40 9 23
318 Utah Valley 6.8% -1.42 9 20
319 San José State 6.8% -1.44 9 19
320 VMI 6.7% -1.48 8 22
321 Miami (OH) 6.7% -1.51 8 22
322 Akron 6.7% -1.51 8 21
323 Eastern Washington 6.7% -1.52 7 23
324 Central Arkansas 6.6% -1.52 7 23
325 Northern Colorado 6.6% -1.52 7 19
326 Ohio State 6.6% -1.54 7 31
327 Missouri State 6.6% -1.55 6 22
328 Dayton 6.6% -1.55 6 24
329 Mount St. Mary's 6.6% -1.56 6 23
330 Western Carolina 6.6% -1.57 5 25
331 Morehead State 6.5% -1.61 5 29
332 North Florida 6.5% -1.61 5 21
333 Michigan State 6.4% -1.64 5 28
334 California 6.4% -1.67 4 28
335 California Baptist 6.4% -1.67 4 19
336 BYU 6.4% -1.68 4 26
337 Notre Dame 6.3% -1.72 3 26
338 Liberty 6.3% -1.75 3 25
339 Michigan 6.3% -1.75 3 28
340 Mississippi Valley State 6.2% -1.79 3 24
341 Grand Canyon 6.2% -1.81 2 21
342 Western Michigan 6.2% -1.82 2 20
343 Temple 6.1% -1.84 2 16
344 Idaho State 6.1% -1.87 1 19
345 South Dakota 6.1% -1.87 1 24
346 Santa Clara 6.0% -1.94 1 19
347 The Citadel 5.9% -1.96 1 21
348 North Dakota State 5.8% -2.02 0 27
349 UIC 5.2% -2.39 0 22