Today Billie Joe McAllister jumped off the Tallahatchee Bridge "Ode to Billie Joe" - Bobbie Gentry
← Scoring

Scoring Margin

Average points scored minus points allowed per game.

Higher is better  ·  league avg -0.6  ·  as of 2021-04-06

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.72 (team entering with the better value wins 66% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min -33.2 max 21.3 mean -0.6 std 7.0 (n=349)

Team Rankings

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# Team Scoring Margin z Pctl GP
1 Gonzaga 21.3 +3.13 100 32
2 Baylor 17.4 +2.58 100 30
3 Houston 16.3 +2.42 99 31
4 Colgate 15.6 +2.31 99 16
5 Wright State 14.5 +2.17 99 24
6 Loyola Chicago 13.8 +2.06 99 29
7 Abilene Christian 12.6 +1.90 98 25
8 Belmont 12.2 +1.83 98 30
9 Illinois 11.9 +1.79 98 31
10 Winthrop 11.8 +1.78 97 25
11 San Diego State 11.4 +1.71 97 27
12 Iowa 11.0 +1.66 97 31
13 Michigan 10.8 +1.63 97 28
14 Arkansas 10.6 +1.61 96 32
15 Liberty 10.2 +1.55 96 25
16 Drake 9.9 +1.50 96 29
17 UC Santa Barbara 9.9 +1.50 95 25
18 USC 9.8 +1.50 95 33
19 Memphis 9.7 +1.47 95 28
20 Utah State 9.7 +1.47 95 28
21 UAB 9.6 +1.47 94 27
22 Vermont 9.6 +1.46 94 15
23 Alabama 9.6 +1.46 94 33
24 Saint Louis 9.6 +1.46 93 21
25 Colorado 9.3 +1.42 93 32
26 Texas Tech 9.3 +1.42 93 29
27 St. Bonaventure 9.0 +1.37 93 21
28 Grand Canyon 8.6 +1.31 92 21
29 Toledo 8.5 +1.30 92 30
30 Buffalo 8.4 +1.30 92 25
31 Tennessee 8.4 +1.29 91 27
32 Weber State 8.4 +1.28 91 20
33 Villanova 8.3 +1.27 91 25
34 Boise State 8.0 +1.24 91 27
35 BYU 8.0 +1.23 90 26
36 Creighton 7.7 +1.20 90 31
37 Florida State 7.7 +1.19 90 26
38 Furman 7.7 +1.19 89 22
39 Marshall 7.4 +1.14 89 22
40 Virginia 7.3 +1.14 89 26
41 Eastern Washington 7.2 +1.11 89 23
42 UConn 7.2 +1.11 88 23
43 Prairie View A&M 7.0 +1.10 88 21
44 Colorado State 7.0 +1.09 88 27
45 Arizona 6.8 +1.07 87 26
46 Louisiana Tech 6.8 +1.07 87 31
47 Stephen F. Austin 6.8 +1.07 87 18
48 North Texas 6.6 +1.03 86 27
49 LSU 6.6 +1.03 86 29
50 UC Riverside 6.5 +1.03 86 22
51 SMU 6.5 +1.02 86 17
52 Southern Utah 6.3 +0.99 85 19
53 Oregon 6.3 +0.99 85 29
54 VCU 6.3 +0.98 85 27
55 Virginia Tech 6.1 +0.96 84 22
56 Ohio State 6.1 +0.96 84 31
57 Ohio 6.0 +0.95 84 24
58 Texas 6.0 +0.94 84 28
59 Bryant 5.9 +0.93 83 21
60 UNC Greensboro 5.6 +0.89 83 30
61 Davidson 5.6 +0.89 83 21
62 Eastern Kentucky 5.6 +0.88 82 27
63 Murray State 5.3 +0.85 82 24
64 South Dakota State 5.3 +0.85 82 22
65 West Virginia 5.3 +0.85 82 29
66 Wisconsin 5.3 +0.85 81 31
67 North Carolina 5.3 +0.84 81 29
68 Iona 5.2 +0.84 81 18
69 Missouri State 5.2 +0.83 80 22
70 Ole Miss 5.2 +0.83 80 28
71 UCLA 5.0 +0.80 80 32
72 Coastal Carolina 4.9 +0.78 80 22
73 Kansas 4.8 +0.78 79 30
74 Georgia Tech 4.7 +0.77 79 27
75 Western Kentucky 4.7 +0.76 79 29
76 Morgan State 4.7 +0.76 78 19
77 Syracuse 4.7 +0.76 78 28
78 Oklahoma 4.7 +0.76 78 27
79 UMBC 4.7 +0.75 78 20
80 Xavier 4.6 +0.75 77 21
81 Siena 4.6 +0.75 77 17
82 Navy 4.5 +0.73 77 18
83 Duke 4.5 +0.73 76 25
84 Purdue 4.3 +0.71 76 28
85 UC Irvine 4.3 +0.71 76 25
86 Richmond 4.0 +0.67 76 22
87 New Mexico State 3.9 +0.64 75 17
88 Florida 3.9 +0.64 75 25
89 Oklahoma State 3.9 +0.64 75 30
90 Akron 3.8 +0.63 74 21
91 Bellarmine 3.8 +0.63 74 20
92 Massachusetts 3.7 +0.62 74 15
93 Kent State 3.6 +0.61 74 22
94 Texas State 3.5 +0.59 73 23
95 Nicholls 3.5 +0.59 73 24
96 Morehead State 3.4 +0.57 73 29
97 Nevada 3.3 +0.56 72 25
98 NC State 3.1 +0.54 72 25
99 James Madison 3.1 +0.53 72 17
100 Jacksonville State 3.0 +0.52 72 25
101 Clemson 3.0 +0.52 71 24
102 Drexel 3.0 +0.51 71 20
103 Georgia State 2.9 +0.50 71 20
104 Florida Atlantic 2.9 +0.50 70 19
105 Mercer 2.9 +0.50 70 26
106 Texas Southern 2.9 +0.50 70 25
107 Jackson State 2.8 +0.49 70 18
108 Wagner 2.6 +0.45 69 20
109 Detroit Mercy 2.5 +0.45 69 22
110 Mississippi State 2.5 +0.44 69 33
111 Wichita State 2.5 +0.44 68 20
112 Utah 2.3 +0.42 68 25
113 Norfolk State 2.3 +0.42 68 24
114 Gardner-Webb 2.3 +0.41 68 26
115 Cal State Bakersfield 2.3 +0.41 67 24
116 South Dakota 2.3 +0.41 67 24
117 St. John's 2.2 +0.41 67 27
118 Bowling Green 2.2 +0.40 66 25
119 San Francisco 2.2 +0.40 66 25
120 North Dakota State 2.1 +0.39 66 27
121 Wofford 2.0 +0.38 66 22
122 Maryland 2.0 +0.37 65 30
123 Dayton 2.0 +0.37 65 24
124 Oral Roberts 1.8 +0.34 65 26
125 Monmouth 1.8 +0.34 64 20
126 Saint Peter's 1.7 +0.34 64 25
127 Rutgers 1.6 +0.32 64 28
128 Saint Mary's 1.6 +0.32 64 24
129 Seton Hall 1.6 +0.32 63 27
130 Sam Houston 1.6 +0.32 63 24
131 Austin Peay 1.6 +0.31 63 25
132 Loyola Marymount 1.5 +0.30 62 22
133 Missouri 1.5 +0.30 62 26
134 Hartford 1.5 +0.30 62 24
135 Louisville 1.5 +0.30 61 20
136 George Mason 1.4 +0.29 61 22
137 Chattanooga 1.4 +0.29 61 24
138 East Tennessee State 1.3 +0.28 61 23
139 Washington State 1.2 +0.26 60 27
140 Loyola Maryland 1.2 +0.26 60 17
141 Wyoming 1.1 +0.24 60 25
142 Long Island University 1.1 +0.24 59 18
143 Pittsburgh 1.0 +0.24 59 22
144 Lafayette 1.0 +0.23 59 15
145 Mount St. Mary's 1.0 +0.23 59 23
146 Auburn 0.7 +0.20 58 27
147 UAlbany 0.7 +0.19 58 16
148 Louisiana 0.7 +0.19 58 24
149 Oregon State 0.7 +0.18 57 32
150 Pepperdine 0.6 +0.18 57 25
151 UNC Asheville 0.6 +0.18 57 20
152 Campbell 0.5 +0.16 57 25
153 Radford 0.4 +0.15 56 25
154 VMI 0.4 +0.14 56 22
155 Rhode Island 0.4 +0.14 56 25
156 Indiana 0.3 +0.14 55 27
157 Queens University 0.3 +0.14 55 3
158 Kentucky 0.3 +0.13 55 25
159 Hofstra 0.2 +0.12 55 23
160 Stanford 0.1 +0.11 54 27
161 Indiana State 0.1 +0.11 54 24
162 Northern Kentucky 0.1 +0.11 54 25
163 Providence 0.1 +0.11 53 26
164 Miami (OH) 0.0 +0.10 53 22
165 Marquette -0.1 +0.08 53 27
166 App State -0.1 +0.07 53 25
167 Delaware -0.1 +0.07 52 14
168 Duquesne -0.2 +0.07 52 18
169 South Alabama -0.2 +0.07 52 24
170 Marist -0.2 +0.06 51 21
171 UTEP -0.2 +0.06 51 21
172 California Baptist -0.2 +0.06 51 19
173 Old Dominion -0.2 +0.06 51 22
174 Georgetown -0.2 +0.06 50 26
175 Hawai'i -0.3 +0.05 50 19
176 Cleveland State -0.3 +0.05 50 27
177 Penn State -0.4 +0.04 49 25
178 UNC Wilmington -0.4 +0.04 49 16
179 Merrimack -0.4 +0.03 49 18
180 Southern -0.4 +0.03 49 19
181 Niagara -0.6 +0.01 48 20
182 Army -0.6 +0.01 48 21
183 Vanderbilt -0.6 +0.00 48 25
184 Minnesota -0.7 -0.01 47 29
185 Milwaukee -0.7 -0.01 47 22
186 Ball State -0.7 -0.02 47 23
187 Canisius -0.8 -0.02 47 13
188 Bradley -0.8 -0.03 46 26
189 Elon -0.9 -0.04 46 18
190 Little Rock -1.0 -0.05 46 25
191 Montana State -1.0 -0.05 45 21
192 UTSA -1.0 -0.06 45 22
193 Northeastern -1.1 -0.07 45 19
194 New Orleans -1.2 -0.08 45 24
195 Tulsa -1.2 -0.09 44 21
196 Georgia -1.4 -0.11 44 25
197 Stony Brook -1.4 -0.11 44 22
198 Lipscomb -1.4 -0.11 43 23
199 New Hampshire -1.5 -0.12 43 18
200 Quinnipiac -1.5 -0.12 43 22
201 Longwood -1.5 -0.13 43 28
202 UC Davis -1.6 -0.14 42 17
203 Youngstown State -1.6 -0.14 42 23
204 Notre Dame -1.7 -0.15 42 26
205 Portland State -1.7 -0.15 41 18
206 Michigan State -1.7 -0.15 41 28
207 Seattle U -1.7 -0.16 41 19
208 Grambling -1.8 -0.16 41 23
209 Utah Valley -1.8 -0.17 40 20
210 Charleston -1.8 -0.17 40 17
211 St. Francis Brooklyn -1.8 -0.17 40 19
212 Northwestern -2.0 -0.20 39 23
213 Montana -2.1 -0.21 39 23
214 Arkansas State -2.1 -0.21 39 21
215 Santa Clara -2.2 -0.23 39 19
216 UCF -2.2 -0.23 38 23
217 Rice -2.2 -0.23 38 25
218 Kansas City -2.3 -0.23 38 20
219 Bucknell -2.4 -0.25 37 12
220 UMass Lowell -2.4 -0.26 37 23
221 Northern Colorado -2.5 -0.26 37 19
222 UNLV -2.5 -0.26 36 25
223 Florida Gulf Coast -2.5 -0.27 36 16
224 Tulane -2.6 -0.28 36 23
225 Pacific -2.6 -0.28 36 17
226 UT Arlington -2.7 -0.29 35 23
227 Southeast Missouri State -2.7 -0.29 35 27
228 Texas A&M -2.7 -0.29 35 18
229 Idaho State -2.7 -0.29 34 19
230 Stetson -2.8 -0.30 34 24
231 Arizona State -2.8 -0.30 34 25
232 Florida A&M -2.8 -0.31 34 20
233 East Carolina -2.8 -0.31 33 18
234 Temple -3.0 -0.34 33 16
235 High Point -3.2 -0.37 33 24
236 Cincinnati -3.2 -0.37 32 23
237 Charlotte -3.3 -0.37 32 24
238 Cal State Fullerton -3.3 -0.38 32 15
239 Purdue Fort Wayne -3.5 -0.41 32 23
240 Fresno State -3.6 -0.43 31 22
241 Fairleigh Dickinson -3.7 -0.44 31 24
242 North Alabama -3.8 -0.45 31 20
243 Manhattan -3.9 -0.46 30 20
244 Alabama A&M -3.9 -0.46 30 15
245 Georgia Southern -4.0 -0.47 30 22
246 NJIT -4.1 -0.49 30 19
247 Sacramento State -4.1 -0.50 29 18
248 Northern Iowa -4.2 -0.51 29 23
249 George Washington -4.2 -0.51 29 17
250 Tarleton State -4.3 -0.52 28 15
251 Southern Illinois -4.3 -0.52 28 25
252 TCU -4.4 -0.54 28 26
253 Hampton -4.4 -0.54 28 25
254 UT Rio Grande Valley -4.4 -0.54 27 15
255 Jacksonville -4.4 -0.54 27 22
256 American University -4.5 -0.55 27 10
257 Saint Francis -4.5 -0.55 26 22
258 Miami -4.5 -0.55 26 27
259 Boston University -4.6 -0.56 26 18
260 IU Indianapolis -4.6 -0.57 26 18
261 The Citadel -4.6 -0.57 25 21
262 UIC -4.6 -0.57 25 22
263 UL Monroe -4.7 -0.58 25 26
264 Sacred Heart -4.7 -0.58 24 18
265 Southern Miss -4.8 -0.59 24 23
266 Evansville -4.8 -0.60 24 25
267 California -4.9 -0.60 24 28
268 Fairfield -4.9 -0.61 23 27
269 Green Bay -4.9 -0.61 23 25
270 Presbyterian -5.0 -0.62 23 21
271 Butler -5.2 -0.65 22 25
272 Valparaiso -5.3 -0.67 22 26
273 Western Carolina -5.4 -0.68 22 25
274 Holy Cross -5.4 -0.69 22 16
275 Eastern Illinois -5.5 -0.70 21 27
276 Long Beach State -5.7 -0.72 21 18
277 Illinois State -5.8 -0.74 21 24
278 North Carolina A&T -6.0 -0.76 20 20
279 DePaul -6.2 -0.79 20 19
280 Nebraska -6.2 -0.79 20 26
281 South Florida -6.3 -0.81 20 21
282 Coppin State -6.3 -0.81 19 22
283 Wake Forest -6.3 -0.81 19 21
284 La Salle -6.4 -0.83 19 24
285 Rider -6.5 -0.83 18 23
286 Oakland -6.5 -0.84 18 30
287 Lamar -6.5 -0.84 18 28
288 South Carolina -6.6 -0.85 18 21
289 Cal State Northridge -6.7 -0.87 17 21
290 North Florida -6.9 -0.89 17 21
291 Tennessee State -6.9 -0.89 17 22
292 Binghamton -6.9 -0.89 16 18
293 McNeese -6.9 -0.89 16 18
294 North Dakota -7.0 -0.91 16 26
295 North Carolina Central -7.2 -0.94 16 13
296 William & Mary -7.2 -0.94 15 17
297 Samford -7.3 -0.95 15 17
298 Alabama State -7.3 -0.96 15 18
299 Towson -7.5 -0.98 14 18
300 Incarnate Word -7.6 -0.99 14 19
301 Robert Morris -7.7 -1.00 14 18
302 Western Illinois -7.9 -1.03 14 21
303 UC San Diego -7.9 -1.04 13 14
304 Florida International -8.0 -1.05 13 22
305 Troy -8.0 -1.05 13 25
306 Boston College -8.2 -1.07 12 20
307 Central Michigan -8.2 -1.07 12 20
308 Lehigh -8.3 -1.09 12 15
309 Kansas State -8.3 -1.09 11 28
310 South Carolina Upstate -8.5 -1.12 11 22
311 Northwestern State -8.5 -1.13 11 28
312 Central Connecticut -8.9 -1.17 11 21
313 SIU Edwardsville -8.9 -1.18 10 25
314 SE Louisiana -9.4 -1.25 10 26
315 Alcorn State -9.5 -1.27 10 19
316 Washington -9.7 -1.30 9 26
317 Middle Tennessee -10.0 -1.34 9 22
318 Tennessee Tech -10.3 -1.38 9 27
319 Western Michigan -10.3 -1.38 9 20
320 Saint Joseph's -10.5 -1.40 8 20
321 Kennesaw State -10.5 -1.41 8 21
322 Charleston Southern -10.5 -1.41 8 20
323 Utah Tech -10.6 -1.42 7 19
324 Denver -10.6 -1.42 7 20
325 Omaha -10.6 -1.43 7 25
326 New Mexico -10.7 -1.43 7 20
327 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -10.7 -1.43 6 21
328 San Diego -10.9 -1.46 6 14
329 Houston Christian -11.0 -1.48 6 24
330 Iowa State -11.1 -1.50 5 24
331 Northern Arizona -11.4 -1.53 5 22
332 Maine -11.4 -1.54 5 9
333 Cal Poly -12.1 -1.64 5 23
334 Howard -12.2 -1.65 4 5
335 Central Arkansas -12.9 -1.75 4 23
336 Eastern Michigan -13.0 -1.77 4 15
337 Air Force -13.2 -1.79 3 25
338 UT Martin -13.5 -1.84 3 23
339 Fordham -14.8 -2.02 3 14
340 Arkansas-Pine Bluff -14.9 -2.03 3 25
341 Northern Illinois -15.1 -2.07 2 19
342 Idaho -15.4 -2.11 2 22
343 Mercyhurst -17.0 -2.34 2 1
344 South Carolina State -17.3 -2.38 1 18
345 Portland -17.7 -2.43 1 18
346 Delaware State -17.8 -2.45 1 17
347 San José State -18.5 -2.55 1 19
348 Mississippi Valley State -30.5 -4.27 0 24
349 Chicago State -33.2 -4.65 0 9