The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.62 (team entering with the better value wins 60% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 23.1 max 43.8 mean 34.8 std 2.8 (n=349)

Team Rankings

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# Team Rebounds Per Game z Pctl GP
1 Buffalo 43.8 +3.15 100 25
2 North Carolina 42.9 +2.83 100 29
3 Coastal Carolina 42.6 +2.75 99 22
4 Wright State 42.3 +2.64 99 24
5 Utah State 40.7 +2.07 99 28
6 Alabama 40.7 +2.07 99 33
7 Texas Southern 40.4 +1.95 98 25
8 Winthrop 40.1 +1.86 98 25
9 Memphis 40.0 +1.83 98 28
10 Houston 40.0 +1.83 97 31
11 Illinois 40.0 +1.81 97 31
12 Morgan State 39.9 +1.80 97 19
13 Colgate 39.9 +1.78 97 16
14 Georgetown 39.8 +1.74 96 26
15 Arkansas 39.7 +1.72 96 32
16 Iowa 39.7 +1.72 96 31
17 Bryant 39.4 +1.60 95 21
18 Auburn 39.4 +1.60 95 27
19 Long Island University 39.2 +1.53 95 18
20 Grand Canyon 39.1 +1.52 95 21
21 UNC Greensboro 39.1 +1.51 94 30
22 BYU 39.0 +1.48 94 26
23 Mississippi State 39.0 +1.47 94 33
24 Utah Valley 38.9 +1.43 93 20
25 Samford 38.9 +1.43 93 17
26 USC 38.8 +1.41 93 33
27 Jacksonville State 38.8 +1.40 93 25
28 UC Irvine 38.5 +1.30 92 25
29 Rhode Island 38.5 +1.28 92 25
30 Alabama A&M 38.5 +1.28 92 15
31 Akron 38.4 +1.27 91 21
32 Kent State 38.4 +1.26 91 22
33 Bowling Green 38.4 +1.26 91 25
34 Saint Louis 38.4 +1.25 91 21
35 LSU 38.4 +1.25 90 29
36 Texas 38.4 +1.25 90 27
37 Arizona 38.3 +1.24 90 26
38 Oklahoma State 38.3 +1.23 89 30
39 Pittsburgh 38.3 +1.23 89 22
40 Florida Atlantic 38.3 +1.21 89 19
41 UConn 38.2 +1.19 89 23
42 Nicholls 38.2 +1.19 88 24
43 Louisville 38.2 +1.19 88 20
44 Washington State 38.1 +1.14 88 27
45 Kentucky 38.0 +1.13 87 25
46 Queens University 38.0 +1.12 87 3
47 West Virginia 38.0 +1.10 87 29
48 Louisiana Tech 37.9 +1.09 86 31
49 George Mason 37.9 +1.08 86 22
50 Louisiana 37.9 +1.07 86 24
51 Western Illinois 37.8 +1.03 86 21
52 DePaul 37.7 +1.02 85 19
53 Xavier 37.7 +1.01 85 21
54 Western Kentucky 37.7 +1.01 85 29
55 Purdue 37.6 +0.99 84 28
56 Toledo 37.6 +0.99 84 30
57 South Florida 37.6 +0.98 84 21
58 Stony Brook 37.6 +0.97 84 22
59 Loyola Maryland 37.6 +0.97 83 17
60 Florida Gulf Coast 37.6 +0.96 83 16
61 VMI 37.5 +0.96 83 22
62 Michigan 37.5 +0.93 82 28
63 Monmouth 37.5 +0.92 82 20
64 Michigan State 37.4 +0.91 82 28
65 Mount St. Mary's 37.3 +0.87 82 23
66 Kansas 37.2 +0.82 81 29
67 Gonzaga 37.2 +0.82 81 32
68 Saint Peter's 37.1 +0.81 81 25
69 Georgia State 37.0 +0.76 80 20
70 North Dakota State 37.0 +0.75 80 27
71 Iona 36.9 +0.74 80 18
72 Towson 36.9 +0.74 80 18
73 St. Bonaventure 36.9 +0.73 79 21
74 Ball State 36.9 +0.72 79 23
75 Troy 36.8 +0.71 79 25
76 Jackson State 36.8 +0.70 78 18
77 Morehead State 36.8 +0.70 78 29
78 Minnesota 36.8 +0.69 78 29
79 Georgia 36.8 +0.68 78 25
80 Wichita State 36.8 +0.67 77 20
81 Florida State 36.7 +0.66 77 25
82 SMU 36.7 +0.66 77 17
83 Southern Utah 36.7 +0.65 76 19
84 Ohio State 36.6 +0.63 76 31
85 Central Arkansas 36.6 +0.62 76 23
86 Ole Miss 36.6 +0.61 76 28
87 Norfolk State 36.6 +0.61 75 23
88 Penn State 36.5 +0.59 75 25
89 UMBC 36.5 +0.59 75 20
90 New Hampshire 36.4 +0.57 74 18
91 Radford 36.4 +0.55 74 25
92 Arkansas State 36.4 +0.54 74 21
93 James Madison 36.4 +0.53 74 17
94 Manhattan 36.4 +0.53 73 20
95 Duquesne 36.3 +0.53 73 18
96 UC Riverside 36.3 +0.52 73 22
97 Southern 36.3 +0.52 72 19
98 Alabama State 36.3 +0.51 72 18
99 Marquette 36.3 +0.50 72 27
100 Cal State Bakersfield 36.3 +0.50 72 24
101 North Alabama 36.3 +0.50 71 20
102 Temple 36.3 +0.50 71 16
103 Cincinnati 36.2 +0.49 71 23
104 St. Francis Brooklyn 36.2 +0.48 70 19
105 Coppin State 36.2 +0.47 70 22
106 Missouri State 36.1 +0.46 70 22
107 Santa Clara 36.1 +0.43 70 19
108 Quinnipiac 36.0 +0.43 69 22
109 Northern Illinois 36.0 +0.41 69 19
110 Baylor 36.0 +0.40 69 30
111 St. John's 36.0 +0.40 68 27
112 South Carolina 36.0 +0.39 68 21
113 Charleston Southern 36.0 +0.39 68 20
114 Sacred Heart 35.9 +0.39 68 18
115 Portland State 35.9 +0.37 67 18
116 Tennessee 35.9 +0.37 67 27
117 Youngstown State 35.9 +0.36 67 23
118 UAB 35.9 +0.36 66 27
119 Creighton 35.7 +0.32 66 31
120 Oklahoma 35.7 +0.32 66 27
121 East Tennessee State 35.7 +0.32 66 23
122 Belmont 35.7 +0.32 65 30
123 Drake 35.7 +0.31 65 29
124 Missouri 35.7 +0.30 65 26
125 Providence 35.7 +0.30 64 26
126 UTSA 35.7 +0.30 64 22
127 Binghamton 35.7 +0.29 64 18
128 San Diego State 35.7 +0.29 64 27
129 UT Rio Grande Valley 35.7 +0.29 63 15
130 Wagner 35.7 +0.29 63 20
131 Nevada 35.6 +0.28 63 25
132 New Mexico 35.6 +0.27 62 20
133 Sam Houston 35.5 +0.25 62 24
134 Bradley 35.5 +0.25 62 26
135 The Citadel 35.5 +0.24 61 21
136 Northern Iowa 35.5 +0.24 61 23
137 High Point 35.5 +0.23 61 24
138 Mercer 35.5 +0.23 61 26
139 Hofstra 35.5 +0.23 60 23
140 New Mexico State 35.5 +0.22 60 17
141 Nebraska 35.5 +0.22 60 26
142 Duke 35.5 +0.22 59 24
143 Florida A&M 35.5 +0.22 59 20
144 Saint Francis 35.4 +0.20 59 22
145 Howard 35.4 +0.20 59 5
146 Marshall 35.4 +0.19 58 22
147 Syracuse 35.4 +0.18 58 28
148 Boston University 35.3 +0.18 58 18
149 Rutgers 35.3 +0.16 57 28
150 Florida 35.3 +0.16 57 25
151 California Baptist 35.3 +0.15 57 19
152 Old Dominion 35.2 +0.14 57 22
153 Fairfield 35.2 +0.14 56 27
154 Ohio 35.2 +0.13 56 24
155 Prairie View A&M 35.2 +0.12 56 21
156 Boise State 35.2 +0.12 55 27
157 UCLA 35.2 +0.11 55 32
158 Southeast Missouri State 35.1 +0.11 55 27
159 Oakland 35.1 +0.10 55 30
160 Eastern Washington 35.1 +0.10 54 23
161 Loyola Marymount 35.1 +0.09 54 22
162 Rice 35.1 +0.09 54 25
163 Eastern Illinois 35.1 +0.08 53 27
164 Eastern Kentucky 35.1 +0.08 53 27
165 Delaware 35.1 +0.08 53 14
166 Navy 35.1 +0.08 53 18
167 Marist 35.0 +0.07 52 21
168 South Dakota State 35.0 +0.07 52 22
169 Lafayette 35.0 +0.06 52 15
170 Long Beach State 35.0 +0.06 51 18
171 Milwaukee 35.0 +0.06 51 22
172 Southern Miss 35.0 +0.06 51 23
173 Miami 35.0 +0.04 51 27
174 UT Arlington 35.0 +0.04 50 23
175 Stephen F. Austin 34.9 +0.04 50 18
176 Siena 34.9 +0.04 50 17
177 Vermont 34.9 +0.03 49 15
178 Texas Tech 34.9 +0.03 49 29
179 Georgia Southern 34.9 +0.03 49 22
180 Delaware State 34.9 +0.02 49 17
181 Abilene Christian 34.9 +0.02 48 25
182 Northern Kentucky 34.9 +0.02 48 25
183 Lehigh 34.9 +0.01 48 15
184 Seton Hall 34.9 +0.01 47 27
185 UNLV 34.8 +0.00 47 25
186 South Alabama 34.8 -0.00 47 24
187 Northwestern State 34.8 -0.01 47 28
188 Miami (OH) 34.8 -0.01 46 22
189 UIC 34.8 -0.01 46 22
190 Colorado 34.8 -0.02 46 32
191 TCU 34.7 -0.05 45 26
192 Pepperdine 34.6 -0.07 45 25
193 Canisius 34.6 -0.08 45 13
194 Cleveland State 34.6 -0.09 45 27
195 New Orleans 34.6 -0.09 44 24
196 Indiana 34.6 -0.10 44 27
197 Virginia Tech 34.5 -0.10 44 22
198 Lamar 34.5 -0.11 43 28
199 UMass Lowell 34.5 -0.11 43 23
200 Saint Mary's 34.5 -0.12 43 24
201 Hawai'i 34.5 -0.13 43 19
202 Massachusetts 34.5 -0.13 42 15
203 Colorado State 34.4 -0.14 42 27
204 East Carolina 34.4 -0.14 42 18
205 Gardner-Webb 34.4 -0.15 41 26
206 Central Michigan 34.4 -0.15 41 20
207 Fresno State 34.4 -0.17 41 22
208 Little Rock 34.4 -0.17 41 25
209 VCU 34.3 -0.17 40 26
210 Illinois State 34.3 -0.18 40 24
211 South Dakota 34.3 -0.19 40 24
212 Stetson 34.3 -0.19 39 24
213 App State 34.2 -0.21 39 25
214 George Washington 34.2 -0.21 39 17
215 Utah Tech 34.2 -0.22 39 19
216 Elon 34.2 -0.24 38 18
217 Murray State 34.1 -0.25 38 24
218 Austin Peay 34.1 -0.25 38 25
219 Omaha 34.1 -0.25 37 25
220 SE Louisiana 34.1 -0.25 37 26
221 Idaho State 34.1 -0.26 37 19
222 Davidson 34.1 -0.26 36 21
223 Houston Christian 34.1 -0.27 36 24
224 Grambling 34.0 -0.28 36 23
225 Western Carolina 34.0 -0.29 36 25
226 Oregon State 34.0 -0.31 35 32
227 Army 34.0 -0.31 35 21
228 North Carolina A&T 33.9 -0.31 35 19
229 UC Santa Barbara 33.9 -0.34 34 25
230 Villanova 33.9 -0.34 34 25
231 Fairleigh Dickinson 33.9 -0.34 34 24
232 Drexel 33.9 -0.35 34 20
233 Robert Morris 33.8 -0.35 33 18
234 IU Indianapolis 33.8 -0.37 33 18
235 William & Mary 33.8 -0.38 33 17
236 Hampton 33.8 -0.38 32 25
237 Saint Joseph's 33.8 -0.38 32 20
238 Vanderbilt 33.7 -0.39 32 25
239 Western Michigan 33.7 -0.40 32 20
240 McNeese 33.7 -0.41 31 18
241 Tennessee Tech 33.6 -0.43 31 27
242 Wisconsin 33.6 -0.43 31 31
243 Furman 33.6 -0.44 30 22
244 Stanford 33.5 -0.46 30 27
245 Bucknell 33.5 -0.47 30 12
246 San Diego 33.5 -0.47 30 14
247 Texas A&M 33.5 -0.47 29 18
248 UNC Asheville 33.5 -0.49 29 20
249 Notre Dame 33.4 -0.51 29 26
250 Boston College 33.3 -0.54 28 20
251 Pacific 33.3 -0.54 28 17
252 Hartford 33.3 -0.54 28 24
253 Tennessee State 33.3 -0.55 28 22
254 Rider 33.3 -0.56 27 23
255 UCF 33.3 -0.56 27 23
256 San Francisco 33.2 -0.58 27 25
257 Wofford 33.2 -0.58 26 22
258 Chattanooga 33.1 -0.60 26 24
259 Kansas State 33.1 -0.61 26 28
260 Oregon 33.1 -0.61 26 28
261 Northern Colorado 33.1 -0.63 25 19
262 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 33.0 -0.63 25 21
263 Tulsa 33.0 -0.63 25 21
264 Dayton 33.0 -0.65 24 24
265 North Texas 33.0 -0.65 24 27
266 UTEP 33.0 -0.65 24 21
267 Oral Roberts 33.0 -0.66 24 26
268 Cal State Fullerton 32.9 -0.67 23 15
269 Presbyterian 32.9 -0.68 23 21
270 La Salle 32.8 -0.71 23 24
271 Longwood 32.8 -0.71 22 28
272 Middle Tennessee 32.8 -0.71 22 22
273 Northeastern 32.8 -0.72 22 19
274 Green Bay 32.8 -0.73 22 25
275 Northwestern 32.7 -0.74 21 23
276 Seattle U 32.7 -0.74 21 19
277 Lipscomb 32.7 -0.75 21 23
278 Tulane 32.7 -0.75 20 23
279 Holy Cross 32.7 -0.76 20 16
280 Detroit Mercy 32.7 -0.76 20 22
281 Kennesaw State 32.7 -0.76 20 21
282 Liberty 32.6 -0.77 19 25
283 Wyoming 32.6 -0.77 19 25
284 San José State 32.6 -0.78 19 19
285 Clemson 32.6 -0.78 18 24
286 American University 32.6 -0.79 18 10
287 Valparaiso 32.6 -0.80 18 26
288 NC State 32.5 -0.83 18 25
289 North Dakota 32.5 -0.84 17 26
290 Wake Forest 32.4 -0.85 17 21
291 Maryland 32.4 -0.87 17 30
292 Loyola Chicago 32.3 -0.88 16 29
293 Cal State Northridge 32.3 -0.88 16 21
294 Weber State 32.3 -0.89 16 20
295 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 32.3 -0.90 16 25
296 Butler 32.3 -0.90 15 25
297 Jacksonville 32.1 -0.95 15 22
298 SIU Edwardsville 32.1 -0.97 15 25
299 Charleston 32.1 -0.98 14 17
300 Montana State 32.0 -0.98 14 21
301 Alcorn State 32.0 -1.00 14 19
302 Arizona State 31.8 -1.06 14 25
303 UC Davis 31.8 -1.06 13 17
304 Cal Poly 31.8 -1.08 13 23
305 North Carolina Central 31.8 -1.08 13 13
306 UNC Wilmington 31.8 -1.09 12 16
307 UT Martin 31.7 -1.11 12 23
308 North Florida 31.7 -1.12 12 21
309 Virginia 31.6 -1.13 11 25
310 Central Connecticut 31.6 -1.13 11 21
311 Niagara 31.6 -1.14 11 20
312 Iowa State 31.6 -1.15 11 24
313 Indiana State 31.5 -1.16 10 24
314 Maine 31.4 -1.20 10 9
315 Texas State 31.4 -1.20 10 23
316 NJIT 31.4 -1.22 9 19
317 Florida International 31.4 -1.22 9 22
318 Purdue Fort Wayne 31.3 -1.23 9 23
319 Utah 31.3 -1.25 9 25
320 South Carolina State 31.3 -1.25 8 18
321 South Carolina Upstate 31.3 -1.26 8 22
322 Montana 31.2 -1.28 8 23
323 Mississippi Valley State 31.2 -1.28 7 24
324 Eastern Michigan 31.2 -1.28 7 15
325 Washington 31.2 -1.28 7 26
326 Merrimack 30.9 -1.39 7 18
327 California 30.8 -1.42 6 28
328 Charlotte 30.6 -1.48 6 24
329 UL Monroe 30.4 -1.56 6 26
330 Georgia Tech 30.3 -1.61 5 26
331 Incarnate Word 30.0 -1.70 5 19
332 UAlbany 30.0 -1.70 5 16
333 Idaho 29.9 -1.75 5 22
334 Richmond 29.8 -1.77 4 22
335 Denver 29.8 -1.78 4 20
336 Sacramento State 29.8 -1.78 4 18
337 Fordham 29.7 -1.81 3 14
338 Bellarmine 29.4 -1.93 3 20
339 Southern Illinois 29.1 -2.03 3 25
340 Mercyhurst 29.0 -2.06 3 1
341 Northern Arizona 28.5 -2.22 2 22
342 Portland 28.3 -2.29 2 18
343 Kansas City 28.0 -2.41 2 20
344 UC San Diego 27.9 -2.46 1 14
345 Tarleton State 27.8 -2.48 1 15
346 Campbell 27.4 -2.61 1 25
347 Evansville 26.8 -2.83 1 25
348 Chicago State 26.0 -3.11 0 9
349 Air Force 23.1 -4.13 0 25