Cause now I wanna be your dog. "I Wanna Be Your Dog" - Iggy and the Stooges

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.67 (team entering with the better value wins 61% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 51.8 max 91.0 mean 70.4 std 5.2 (n=349)

Team Rankings

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# Team Points Per Game z Pctl GP
1 Gonzaga 91.0 +3.93 100 32
2 Colgate 85.2 +2.83 100 16
3 Iowa 83.7 +2.55 99 31
4 Baylor 82.9 +2.39 99 30
5 Wright State 82.0 +2.21 99 24
6 LSU 81.8 +2.18 99 29
7 Arkansas 81.4 +2.10 98 32
8 Buffalo 81.4 +2.10 98 25
9 Belmont 81.3 +2.09 98 30
10 Bryant 81.2 +2.07 97 21
11 Toledo 81.1 +2.05 97 30
12 Illinois 80.5 +1.94 97 31
13 Eastern Kentucky 80.5 +1.93 97 27
14 Marshall 79.9 +1.82 96 22
15 South Dakota State 79.9 +1.81 96 22
16 Alabama 79.7 +1.78 96 33
17 Southern Utah 79.6 +1.77 95 19
18 Weber State 79.2 +1.69 95 20
19 St. John's 79.0 +1.64 95 27
20 Oral Roberts 78.9 +1.63 95 26
21 Winthrop 78.9 +1.63 94 25
22 Ohio 78.7 +1.58 94 24
23 Morgan State 78.3 +1.51 94 19
24 Eastern Washington 78.2 +1.50 93 23
25 Furman 78.2 +1.49 93 22
26 Stephen F. Austin 77.8 +1.41 93 18
27 The Citadel 77.7 +1.40 93 21
28 St. Francis Brooklyn 77.7 +1.40 92 19
29 Lafayette 77.7 +1.39 92 15
30 VMI 77.5 +1.36 92 22
31 West Virginia 77.3 +1.33 91 29
32 Nicholls 77.3 +1.32 91 24
33 Georgia 77.2 +1.30 91 25
34 Auburn 77.2 +1.30 91 27
35 Ohio State 77.2 +1.30 90 31
36 Bowling Green 77.1 +1.28 90 25
37 Georgia State 77.0 +1.27 90 20
38 BYU 77.0 +1.26 89 26
39 Massachusetts 76.7 +1.22 89 15
40 Wyoming 76.6 +1.19 89 25
41 Akron 76.6 +1.18 89 21
42 Oklahoma State 76.6 +1.18 88 30
43 Detroit Mercy 76.5 +1.17 88 22
44 California Baptist 76.3 +1.14 88 19
45 Kent State 76.1 +1.09 87 22
46 Monmouth 76.1 +1.08 87 20
47 New Orleans 76.0 +1.08 87 24
48 Creighton 76.0 +1.07 86 31
49 Cal State Fullerton 75.9 +1.05 86 15
50 Michigan 75.8 +1.04 86 28
51 Pepperdine 75.6 +1.01 86 25
52 South Dakota 75.6 +1.00 85 24
53 Milwaukee 75.5 +0.99 85 22
54 Mercer 75.5 +0.97 85 26
55 Arizona 75.4 +0.96 84 26
56 Boise State 75.4 +0.96 84 27
57 North Carolina 75.2 +0.92 84 29
58 Purdue Fort Wayne 75.1 +0.91 84 23
59 Fairleigh Dickinson 75.0 +0.89 83 24
60 James Madison 75.0 +0.88 83 17
61 Saint Louis 75.0 +0.88 83 21
62 USC 74.9 +0.87 82 33
63 Bucknell 74.9 +0.87 82 12
64 Coastal Carolina 74.9 +0.87 82 22
65 Houston 74.9 +0.87 82 31
66 Syracuse 74.8 +0.85 81 28
67 Xavier 74.8 +0.85 81 21
68 Villanova 74.8 +0.85 81 25
69 Ball State 74.7 +0.83 80 23
70 Drake 74.7 +0.83 80 29
71 Oakland 74.7 +0.82 80 30
72 SMU 74.6 +0.82 80 17
73 Oklahoma 74.5 +0.79 79 27
74 Sam Houston 74.5 +0.78 79 24
75 UTSA 74.4 +0.77 79 22
76 Arizona State 74.3 +0.75 78 25
77 Florida State 74.2 +0.74 78 26
78 Abilene Christian 74.2 +0.73 78 25
79 Florida 74.2 +0.72 78 25
80 Western Carolina 74.1 +0.71 77 25
81 Long Island University 74.0 +0.69 77 18
82 Richmond 74.0 +0.68 77 22
83 UNC Wilmington 73.8 +0.66 76 16
84 Long Beach State 73.8 +0.65 76 18
85 Central Michigan 73.8 +0.65 76 20
86 Colorado State 73.4 +0.59 76 27
87 UC Santa Barbara 73.4 +0.59 75 25
88 Youngstown State 73.4 +0.59 75 23
89 Missouri 73.4 +0.58 75 26
90 UCLA 73.4 +0.58 74 32
91 UNC Asheville 73.4 +0.58 74 20
92 Louisiana 73.3 +0.57 74 24
93 San Diego State 73.3 +0.56 74 27
94 Nevada 73.2 +0.54 73 25
95 Hofstra 73.2 +0.54 73 23
96 Colorado 73.1 +0.53 73 32
97 Vermont 73.0 +0.50 72 15
98 UNC Greensboro 73.0 +0.50 72 30
99 Duke 73.0 +0.49 72 25
100 Austin Peay 72.9 +0.49 72 25
101 Coppin State 72.8 +0.47 71 22
102 NC State 72.8 +0.46 71 25
103 Texas Southern 72.7 +0.45 71 25
104 Bellarmine 72.7 +0.44 70 20
105 Notre Dame 72.7 +0.44 70 26
106 Western Kentucky 72.7 +0.44 70 29
107 Liberty 72.7 +0.44 70 25
108 Western Illinois 72.7 +0.44 69 21
109 Utah Valley 72.7 +0.44 69 20
110 Jacksonville State 72.6 +0.43 69 25
111 Penn State 72.6 +0.43 68 25
112 Howard 72.6 +0.43 68 5
113 South Carolina 72.5 +0.41 68 21
114 Minnesota 72.5 +0.41 68 29
115 Texas Tech 72.5 +0.41 67 29
116 Missouri State 72.5 +0.41 67 22
117 Northwestern State 72.5 +0.40 67 28
118 Memphis 72.4 +0.39 66 28
119 Oregon 72.3 +0.38 66 29
120 Samford 72.3 +0.37 66 17
121 Louisiana Tech 72.3 +0.36 66 31
122 Georgia Tech 72.2 +0.35 65 27
123 Robert Morris 72.2 +0.34 65 18
124 Saint Joseph's 72.2 +0.34 65 20
125 Utah 72.1 +0.33 64 25
126 Loyola Maryland 72.1 +0.33 64 17
127 Virginia Tech 72.0 +0.32 64 22
128 Wofford 72.0 +0.32 64 22
129 Miami (OH) 72.0 +0.31 63 22
130 Utah State 72.0 +0.30 63 28
131 Florida Atlantic 71.9 +0.29 63 19
132 Tennessee 71.9 +0.29 62 27
133 Murray State 71.8 +0.27 62 24
134 Vanderbilt 71.8 +0.27 62 25
135 Texas 71.8 +0.26 61 28
136 UConn 71.7 +0.26 61 23
137 Rice 71.6 +0.24 61 25
138 Green Bay 71.6 +0.23 61 25
139 Navy 71.5 +0.22 60 18
140 Rhode Island 71.4 +0.20 60 25
141 San Francisco 71.4 +0.20 60 25
142 Georgetown 71.4 +0.20 59 26
143 Grand Canyon 71.4 +0.19 59 21
144 Northern Kentucky 71.4 +0.19 59 25
145 Boston College 71.4 +0.19 59 20
146 George Mason 71.3 +0.18 58 22
147 South Alabama 71.3 +0.18 58 24
148 Prairie View A&M 71.3 +0.17 58 21
149 Iona 71.3 +0.17 57 18
150 Seton Hall 71.3 +0.17 57 27
151 Wagner 71.3 +0.17 57 20
152 McNeese 71.2 +0.16 57 18
153 Pittsburgh 71.2 +0.15 56 22
154 Chattanooga 71.2 +0.15 56 24
155 IU Indianapolis 71.2 +0.15 56 18
156 Montana State 71.1 +0.14 55 21
157 Purdue 71.0 +0.13 55 28
158 Cal State Northridge 70.9 +0.10 55 21
159 Wichita State 70.9 +0.10 55 20
160 Cleveland State 70.9 +0.10 54 27
161 Army 70.7 +0.07 54 21
162 Gardner-Webb 70.7 +0.05 54 26
163 Holy Cross 70.6 +0.05 53 16
164 UC Davis 70.6 +0.04 53 17
165 Kentucky 70.4 +0.01 53 25
166 Canisius 70.4 +0.00 53 13
167 Davidson 70.4 +0.00 52 21
168 Drexel 70.4 -0.00 52 20
169 Norfolk State 70.3 -0.01 52 24
170 UAB 70.3 -0.01 51 27
171 Queens University 70.3 -0.01 51 3
172 Sacred Heart 70.3 -0.02 51 18
173 Florida International 70.3 -0.02 51 22
174 Seattle U 70.3 -0.02 50 19
175 UC Riverside 70.2 -0.04 50 22
176 Loyola Chicago 70.1 -0.04 50 29
177 Houston Christian 70.1 -0.05 49 24
178 Kansas 70.1 -0.06 49 30
179 Hawai'i 70.1 -0.06 49 19
180 St. Bonaventure 70.0 -0.06 49 21
181 Central Arkansas 70.0 -0.08 48 23
182 Delaware State 69.9 -0.08 48 17
183 Wisconsin 69.9 -0.09 48 31
184 Providence 69.8 -0.10 47 26
185 Southern 69.8 -0.10 47 19
186 Sacramento State 69.8 -0.10 47 18
187 Dayton 69.8 -0.12 47 24
188 Marquette 69.7 -0.12 46 27
189 North Dakota State 69.7 -0.12 46 27
190 Stanford 69.7 -0.12 46 27
191 Indiana 69.7 -0.13 45 27
192 UMBC 69.6 -0.16 45 20
193 UT Arlington 69.5 -0.16 45 23
194 Loyola Marymount 69.5 -0.17 45 22
195 Michigan State 69.4 -0.18 44 28
196 Eastern Illinois 69.4 -0.18 44 27
197 Boston University 69.4 -0.19 44 18
198 UAlbany 69.4 -0.19 43 16
199 Mississippi State 69.3 -0.20 43 33
200 Arkansas State 69.3 -0.21 43 21
201 Rutgers 69.3 -0.21 43 28
202 New Mexico State 69.2 -0.22 42 17
203 Denver 69.2 -0.22 42 20
204 Stetson 69.1 -0.24 42 24
205 American University 69.1 -0.24 41 10
206 Oregon State 69.1 -0.24 41 32
207 Southeast Missouri State 69.0 -0.25 41 27
208 VCU 69.0 -0.25 41 27
209 Northwestern 69.0 -0.27 40 23
210 Cincinnati 68.9 -0.28 40 23
211 Saint Francis 68.9 -0.29 40 22
212 Hampton 68.8 -0.29 39 25
213 Ole Miss 68.8 -0.30 39 28
214 Lipscomb 68.8 -0.30 39 23
215 North Dakota 68.7 -0.31 39 26
216 Santa Clara 68.7 -0.32 38 19
217 UC San Diego 68.6 -0.33 38 14
218 Washington State 68.6 -0.33 38 27
219 East Tennessee State 68.6 -0.34 37 23
220 Central Connecticut 68.5 -0.35 37 21
221 North Alabama 68.5 -0.36 37 20
222 UMass Lowell 68.5 -0.36 36 23
223 Pacific 68.5 -0.36 36 17
224 UC Irvine 68.4 -0.37 36 25
225 North Florida 68.4 -0.37 36 21
226 Nebraska 68.4 -0.37 35 26
227 Campbell 68.4 -0.38 35 25
228 Lehigh 68.3 -0.39 35 15
229 UTEP 68.3 -0.39 34 21
230 Little Rock 68.3 -0.39 34 25
231 North Texas 68.3 -0.40 34 27
232 SE Louisiana 68.3 -0.40 34 26
233 Northern Iowa 68.3 -0.40 33 23
234 George Washington 68.1 -0.43 33 17
235 Morehead State 68.1 -0.44 33 29
236 Florida Gulf Coast 68.1 -0.44 32 16
237 Charleston 68.0 -0.45 32 17
238 Northern Colorado 68.0 -0.45 32 19
239 Louisville 68.0 -0.46 32 20
240 Cal State Bakersfield 67.9 -0.47 31 24
241 Old Dominion 67.9 -0.47 31 22
242 Maryland 67.8 -0.48 31 30
243 UIC 67.7 -0.51 30 22
244 Washington 67.7 -0.52 30 26
245 Utah Tech 67.6 -0.52 30 19
246 Siena 67.6 -0.53 30 17
247 Illinois State 67.6 -0.53 29 24
248 La Salle 67.6 -0.53 29 24
249 App State 67.6 -0.54 29 25
250 Rider 67.5 -0.54 28 23
251 Quinnipiac 67.5 -0.55 28 22
252 Portland 67.4 -0.56 28 18
253 Towson 67.4 -0.56 28 18
254 Tennessee State 67.4 -0.57 27 22
255 Eastern Michigan 67.4 -0.57 27 15
256 Grambling 67.3 -0.58 27 23
257 Omaha 67.3 -0.58 26 25
258 UNLV 67.2 -0.60 26 25
259 Bradley 67.2 -0.60 26 26
260 UCF 67.2 -0.60 26 23
261 Northeastern 67.2 -0.60 25 19
262 Montana 67.2 -0.61 25 23
263 Duquesne 66.9 -0.65 25 18
264 TCU 66.8 -0.67 24 26
265 Delaware 66.7 -0.70 24 14
266 High Point 66.7 -0.71 24 24
267 Tennessee Tech 66.6 -0.73 24 27
268 Miami 66.4 -0.75 23 27
269 Georgia Southern 66.4 -0.76 23 22
270 Longwood 66.3 -0.78 23 28
271 Merrimack 66.3 -0.78 22 18
272 San Diego 66.2 -0.79 22 14
273 Radford 66.2 -0.80 22 25
274 Alcorn State 66.1 -0.81 22 19
275 NJIT 66.1 -0.81 21 19
276 Wake Forest 66.1 -0.82 21 21
277 Indiana State 65.9 -0.85 21 24
278 New Hampshire 65.8 -0.87 20 18
279 Lamar 65.8 -0.87 20 28
280 Temple 65.8 -0.87 20 16
281 DePaul 65.8 -0.88 20 19
282 Portland State 65.8 -0.88 19 18
283 Florida A&M 65.7 -0.89 19 20
284 North Carolina A&T 65.7 -0.89 19 20
285 Jacksonville 65.7 -0.90 18 22
286 Jackson State 65.6 -0.91 18 18
287 UT Rio Grande Valley 65.6 -0.91 18 15
288 South Carolina Upstate 65.6 -0.91 18 22
289 Iowa State 65.6 -0.91 17 24
290 Virginia 65.6 -0.92 17 26
291 Binghamton 65.4 -0.94 17 18
292 East Carolina 65.4 -0.94 16 18
293 Hartford 65.4 -0.95 16 24
294 Stony Brook 65.4 -0.95 16 22
295 Texas State 65.4 -0.95 16 23
296 North Carolina Central 65.2 -0.98 15 13
297 SIU Edwardsville 65.2 -1.00 15 25
298 Incarnate Word 65.2 -1.00 15 19
299 Tulsa 65.0 -1.03 14 21
300 Clemson 64.9 -1.04 14 24
301 Elon 64.8 -1.06 14 18
302 Fresno State 64.8 -1.06 14 22
303 William & Mary 64.8 -1.07 13 17
304 Evansville 64.8 -1.07 13 25
305 California 64.7 -1.09 13 28
306 Niagara 64.7 -1.09 12 20
307 South Florida 64.5 -1.12 12 21
308 Texas A&M 64.3 -1.16 12 18
309 Saint Mary's 64.3 -1.17 11 24
310 UL Monroe 64.2 -1.17 11 26
311 Alabama State 64.2 -1.17 11 18
312 UT Martin 64.2 -1.18 11 23
313 Southern Illinois 64.1 -1.20 10 25
314 Charleston Southern 64.1 -1.21 10 20
315 Mercyhurst 64.0 -1.22 10 1
316 Tulane 63.9 -1.23 9 23
317 San José State 63.9 -1.24 9 19
318 Tarleton State 63.9 -1.24 9 15
319 Troy 63.6 -1.29 9 25
320 Butler 63.5 -1.31 8 25
321 Marist 63.4 -1.33 8 21
322 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 63.4 -1.33 8 21
323 Manhattan 63.4 -1.33 7 20
324 Valparaiso 63.3 -1.34 7 26
325 Alabama A&M 63.3 -1.34 7 15
326 Mount St. Mary's 63.2 -1.37 7 23
327 Saint Peter's 63.2 -1.37 6 25
328 Northern Arizona 63.2 -1.37 6 22
329 Western Michigan 63.2 -1.38 6 20
330 Presbyterian 63.1 -1.38 5 21
331 Charlotte 63.1 -1.38 5 24
332 Southern Miss 63.1 -1.39 5 23
333 Kansas City 62.4 -1.53 5 20
334 Northern Illinois 62.3 -1.54 4 19
335 Kennesaw State 62.2 -1.56 4 21
336 New Mexico 62.1 -1.58 4 20
337 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 62.0 -1.61 3 25
338 Idaho State 61.8 -1.63 3 19
339 Fairfield 61.8 -1.64 3 27
340 Kansas State 61.6 -1.68 3 28
341 Middle Tennessee 61.4 -1.72 2 22
342 South Carolina State 61.2 -1.75 2 18
343 Idaho 61.0 -1.78 2 22
344 Cal Poly 59.8 -2.02 1 23
345 Air Force 58.7 -2.23 1 25
346 Mississippi Valley State 56.8 -2.59 1 24
347 Chicago State 55.4 -2.85 1 9
348 Maine 53.1 -3.30 0 9
349 Fordham 51.8 -3.55 0 14