I love it when you call me Big Poppa "Big Poppa" - Notorious B.I.G.

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.61 (team entering with the better value wins 58% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 15.3% max 40.9% mean 27.7% std 4.3% (n=349)

Team Rankings

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# Team Offensive Rebound Percentage z Pctl GP
1 North Carolina 40.9% +3.05 100 29
2 Houston 39.8% +2.80 100 31
3 Cal State Bakersfield 38.5% +2.50 99 24
4 Queens University 38.5% +2.50 99 3
5 UConn 37.4% +2.23 99 23
6 Baylor 37.3% +2.22 99 30
7 Buffalo 37.2% +2.19 98 25
8 Stephen F. Austin 36.5% +2.04 98 18
9 West Virginia 36.1% +1.93 98 29
10 Mississippi State 35.8% +1.87 97 33
11 Austin Peay 35.7% +1.84 97 25
12 Saint Louis 35.6% +1.82 97 21
13 Winthrop 35.3% +1.76 97 25
14 Utah State 35.3% +1.75 96 28
15 Auburn 35.0% +1.70 96 27
16 Northern Kentucky 35.0% +1.69 96 25
17 USC 34.9% +1.67 95 33
18 Coastal Carolina 34.8% +1.64 95 22
19 Wagner 34.8% +1.64 95 20
20 Ole Miss 34.7% +1.63 95 28
21 Pittsburgh 34.5% +1.58 94 22
22 Morgan State 34.5% +1.57 94 19
23 Florida State 34.4% +1.54 94 25
24 New Mexico State 34.3% +1.53 93 17
25 Arizona 34.3% +1.52 93 26
26 Kent State 34.2% +1.51 93 22
27 Wright State 34.2% +1.50 93 24
28 Towson 34.1% +1.49 92 18
29 South Florida 33.8% +1.42 92 21
30 Grand Canyon 33.6% +1.36 92 21
31 Memphis 33.6% +1.36 91 28
32 Radford 33.4% +1.32 91 25
33 Texas Tech 33.3% +1.30 91 29
34 Youngstown State 33.1% +1.24 91 23
35 Long Island University 32.9% +1.21 90 18
36 Texas A&M 32.8% +1.19 90 18
37 Purdue 32.8% +1.18 90 28
38 Georgia 32.8% +1.18 89 25
39 St. Bonaventure 32.8% +1.18 89 21
40 Presbyterian 32.6% +1.15 89 21
41 Kentucky 32.6% +1.14 89 25
42 Northern Illinois 32.6% +1.13 88 19
43 Iona 32.6% +1.13 88 18
44 Loyola Marymount 32.5% +1.12 88 22
45 Texas Southern 32.4% +1.10 87 25
46 Alabama 32.2% +1.05 87 33
47 Duke 32.2% +1.05 87 24
48 Navy 32.2% +1.05 86 18
49 Illinois 32.2% +1.04 86 31
50 Jacksonville State 32.2% +1.04 86 25
51 South Carolina 32.2% +1.04 86 21
52 Louisiana 32.2% +1.03 85 24
53 Georgetown 32.2% +1.03 85 26
54 UNC Greensboro 32.1% +1.03 85 30
55 Louisville 32.0% +1.00 84 20
56 Drake 32.0% +0.99 84 29
57 New Mexico 32.0% +0.99 84 20
58 High Point 32.0% +0.99 84 24
59 Manhattan 31.9% +0.98 83 20
60 Penn State 31.9% +0.97 83 25
61 DePaul 31.8% +0.96 83 19
62 Western Kentucky 31.8% +0.94 82 29
63 Utah Valley 31.7% +0.93 82 20
64 Arkansas 31.7% +0.92 82 32
65 Florida Atlantic 31.6% +0.91 82 19
66 Morehead State 31.5% +0.88 81 29
67 Oklahoma State 31.4% +0.86 81 30
68 LSU 31.4% +0.86 81 29
69 Tennessee 31.4% +0.85 80 27
70 Mount St. Mary's 31.3% +0.84 80 23
71 Loyola Maryland 31.3% +0.84 80 17
72 SE Louisiana 31.2% +0.80 80 26
73 Little Rock 31.1% +0.80 79 25
74 UC Irvine 31.1% +0.79 79 25
75 Texas 31.1% +0.79 79 27
76 Florida 31.1% +0.78 78 25
77 Duquesne 31.0% +0.77 78 18
78 Prairie View A&M 30.9% +0.74 78 21
79 Georgia State 30.9% +0.74 78 20
80 Colorado 30.8% +0.72 77 32
81 Arkansas State 30.8% +0.72 77 21
82 Iowa 30.8% +0.72 77 31
83 Idaho State 30.8% +0.71 76 19
84 Cleveland State 30.8% +0.71 76 27
85 Washington State 30.7% +0.69 76 27
86 Abilene Christian 30.6% +0.67 76 25
87 Florida A&M 30.6% +0.66 75 20
88 Kansas 30.5% +0.66 75 29
89 Portland State 30.5% +0.66 75 18
90 East Tennessee State 30.5% +0.65 74 23
91 Fresno State 30.5% +0.65 74 22
92 Michigan State 30.5% +0.65 74 28
93 UCLA 30.5% +0.64 74 32
94 Georgia Southern 30.4% +0.63 73 22
95 Saint Peter's 30.4% +0.62 73 25
96 Bowling Green 30.3% +0.62 73 25
97 Stony Brook 30.3% +0.60 72 22
98 St. Francis Brooklyn 30.2% +0.58 72 19
99 George Mason 30.2% +0.57 72 22
100 Akron 30.1% +0.56 72 21
101 Alcorn State 30.1% +0.56 71 19
102 SMU 30.1% +0.56 71 17
103 Gonzaga 30.1% +0.55 71 32
104 San Diego State 30.1% +0.55 70 27
105 UT Rio Grande Valley 30.0% +0.55 70 15
106 Rhode Island 30.0% +0.53 70 25
107 Oakland 30.0% +0.53 70 30
108 Oregon State 29.9% +0.52 69 32
109 Kansas State 29.9% +0.52 69 28
110 Wichita State 29.8% +0.48 69 20
111 Southern 29.8% +0.48 68 19
112 Toledo 29.8% +0.48 68 30
113 NC State 29.8% +0.48 68 25
114 Seton Hall 29.7% +0.46 68 27
115 Michigan 29.6% +0.45 67 28
116 Sacred Heart 29.6% +0.44 67 18
117 Alabama State 29.5% +0.43 67 18
118 Robert Morris 29.5% +0.42 66 18
119 Sam Houston 29.3% +0.38 66 24
120 Ohio State 29.3% +0.38 66 31
121 Hofstra 29.3% +0.37 66 23
122 New Orleans 29.3% +0.37 65 24
123 Binghamton 29.2% +0.36 65 18
124 Cincinnati 29.2% +0.35 65 23
125 Syracuse 29.2% +0.35 64 28
126 St. John's 29.2% +0.35 64 27
127 Minnesota 29.2% +0.35 64 29
128 Southern Utah 29.2% +0.34 64 19
129 Hawai'i 29.1% +0.34 63 19
130 Providence 29.1% +0.34 63 26
131 Oregon 29.1% +0.33 63 28
132 Marquette 29.1% +0.33 62 27
133 Jackson State 29.1% +0.32 62 18
134 UNLV 29.0% +0.31 62 25
135 TCU 29.0% +0.31 61 26
136 UAB 29.0% +0.31 61 27
137 Nicholls 28.9% +0.29 61 24
138 Central Arkansas 28.9% +0.28 61 23
139 Eastern Illinois 28.8% +0.27 60 27
140 Fairleigh Dickinson 28.8% +0.27 60 24
141 Saint Francis 28.8% +0.26 60 22
142 Samford 28.8% +0.26 59 17
143 Texas State 28.8% +0.25 59 23
144 Boston University 28.7% +0.24 59 18
145 Drexel 28.7% +0.24 59 20
146 UT Martin 28.7% +0.24 58 23
147 BYU 28.7% +0.23 58 26
148 North Dakota State 28.7% +0.23 58 27
149 VCU 28.7% +0.23 57 26
150 Ohio 28.6% +0.22 57 24
151 Florida Gulf Coast 28.6% +0.21 57 16
152 William & Mary 28.6% +0.21 57 17
153 Missouri 28.5% +0.20 56 26
154 Bryant 28.3% +0.15 56 21
155 Troy 28.3% +0.15 56 25
156 Delaware 28.3% +0.15 55 14
157 Vanderbilt 28.3% +0.14 55 25
158 Alabama A&M 28.2% +0.13 55 15
159 UC Santa Barbara 28.2% +0.13 55 25
160 Colgate 28.2% +0.13 54 16
161 UCF 28.2% +0.13 54 23
162 App State 28.2% +0.12 54 25
163 Stetson 28.1% +0.11 53 24
164 Davidson 28.1% +0.10 53 21
165 Fairfield 28.0% +0.08 53 27
166 North Carolina A&T 28.0% +0.08 53 19
167 Siena 28.0% +0.07 52 17
168 Bradley 28.0% +0.07 52 26
169 Western Illinois 27.9% +0.06 52 21
170 Miami (OH) 27.9% +0.06 51 22
171 James Madison 27.9% +0.05 51 17
172 Virginia Tech 27.8% +0.04 51 22
173 Old Dominion 27.8% +0.03 51 22
174 Ball State 27.8% +0.03 50 23
175 North Texas 27.8% +0.03 50 27
176 Villanova 27.8% +0.02 50 25
177 Norfolk State 27.8% +0.02 49 23
178 Rutgers 27.7% +0.00 49 28
179 Longwood 27.7% -0.00 49 28
180 Southeast Missouri State 27.6% -0.01 49 27
181 Murray State 27.6% -0.02 48 24
182 Charleston Southern 27.4% -0.06 48 20
183 California Baptist 27.4% -0.06 48 19
184 Pacific 27.4% -0.07 47 17
185 New Hampshire 27.3% -0.08 47 18
186 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 27.2% -0.10 47 25
187 Detroit Mercy 27.2% -0.12 47 22
188 Loyola Chicago 27.1% -0.14 46 29
189 McNeese 27.0% -0.15 46 18
190 Miami 27.0% -0.15 46 27
191 UMass Lowell 27.0% -0.16 45 23
192 Oklahoma 27.0% -0.16 45 27
193 Louisiana Tech 26.9% -0.17 45 31
194 UC Davis 26.9% -0.18 45 17
195 East Carolina 26.9% -0.19 44 18
196 UT Arlington 26.9% -0.19 44 23
197 La Salle 26.8% -0.19 44 24
198 Boise State 26.8% -0.19 43 27
199 Xavier 26.8% -0.20 43 21
200 UNC Asheville 26.8% -0.20 43 20
201 Eastern Kentucky 26.8% -0.21 43 27
202 Gardner-Webb 26.7% -0.23 42 26
203 SIU Edwardsville 26.7% -0.23 42 25
204 Canisius 26.6% -0.24 42 13
205 Vermont 26.6% -0.24 41 15
206 Holy Cross 26.6% -0.24 41 16
207 Central Michigan 26.6% -0.24 41 20
208 Clemson 26.6% -0.26 41 24
209 Tennessee Tech 26.5% -0.26 40 27
210 Tulsa 26.5% -0.26 40 21
211 UTSA 26.5% -0.27 40 22
212 Northern Iowa 26.5% -0.27 39 23
213 South Carolina State 26.5% -0.27 39 18
214 UNC Wilmington 26.5% -0.28 39 16
215 Lamar 26.4% -0.29 39 28
216 South Alabama 26.4% -0.29 38 24
217 North Carolina Central 26.4% -0.29 38 13
218 Delaware State 26.3% -0.32 38 17
219 Seattle U 26.3% -0.32 37 19
220 Furman 26.3% -0.33 37 22
221 UC Riverside 26.2% -0.33 37 22
222 Northwestern State 26.2% -0.33 36 28
223 Grambling 26.2% -0.33 36 23
224 Rice 26.2% -0.34 36 25
225 Purdue Fort Wayne 26.2% -0.34 36 23
226 Rider 26.2% -0.35 35 23
227 North Alabama 26.2% -0.35 35 20
228 Wake Forest 26.2% -0.35 35 21
229 Saint Mary's 26.1% -0.35 34 24
230 Belmont 26.1% -0.36 34 30
231 Mercer 26.1% -0.37 34 26
232 Butler 26.0% -0.38 34 25
233 Green Bay 26.0% -0.40 33 25
234 Florida International 25.9% -0.40 33 22
235 Temple 25.9% -0.40 33 16
236 UMBC 25.8% -0.42 32 20
237 North Florida 25.8% -0.43 32 21
238 Bellarmine 25.7% -0.45 32 20
239 Monmouth 25.7% -0.45 32 20
240 Houston Christian 25.7% -0.46 31 24
241 Wofford 25.5% -0.50 31 22
242 Indiana 25.5% -0.50 31 27
243 Boston College 25.5% -0.51 30 20
244 IU Indianapolis 25.4% -0.52 30 18
245 Indiana State 25.3% -0.56 30 24
246 Northern Colorado 25.1% -0.60 30 19
247 Stanford 25.1% -0.60 29 27
248 Middle Tennessee 25.0% -0.62 29 22
249 Lehigh 24.9% -0.64 29 15
250 Cal State Fullerton 24.9% -0.64 28 15
251 Tennessee State 24.8% -0.66 28 22
252 Jacksonville 24.7% -0.68 28 22
253 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 24.7% -0.68 28 21
254 San Francisco 24.7% -0.68 27 25
255 UTEP 24.7% -0.69 27 21
256 Utah Tech 24.7% -0.69 27 19
257 Hartford 24.7% -0.69 26 24
258 Elon 24.6% -0.72 26 18
259 Creighton 24.6% -0.72 26 31
260 Sacramento State 24.5% -0.74 26 18
261 George Washington 24.5% -0.74 25 17
262 Georgia Tech 24.4% -0.76 25 26
263 Montana State 24.3% -0.77 25 21
264 Iowa State 24.3% -0.77 24 24
265 Nevada 24.3% -0.78 24 25
266 Massachusetts 24.3% -0.78 24 15
267 Milwaukee 24.3% -0.78 24 22
268 California 24.3% -0.79 23 28
269 Cal State Northridge 24.3% -0.79 23 21
270 Eastern Michigan 24.2% -0.79 23 15
271 Charleston 24.2% -0.80 22 17
272 Colorado State 24.2% -0.80 22 27
273 American University 24.1% -0.81 22 10
274 NJIT 24.1% -0.81 22 19
275 Kennesaw State 24.1% -0.82 21 21
276 South Carolina Upstate 24.1% -0.83 21 22
277 South Dakota State 24.0% -0.85 21 22
278 Marshall 23.9% -0.88 20 22
279 Missouri State 23.8% -0.88 20 22
280 Maine 23.8% -0.89 20 9
281 Wisconsin 23.8% -0.90 20 31
282 Northern Arizona 23.8% -0.90 19 22
283 Southern Miss 23.8% -0.90 19 23
284 Central Connecticut 23.7% -0.91 19 21
285 Illinois State 23.7% -0.91 18 24
286 Lafayette 23.7% -0.91 18 15
287 UIC 23.7% -0.92 18 22
288 Eastern Washington 23.6% -0.93 18 23
289 Pepperdine 23.6% -0.94 17 25
290 Utah 23.6% -0.94 17 25
291 North Dakota 23.5% -0.96 17 26
292 Western Michigan 23.5% -0.97 16 20
293 Niagara 23.4% -0.98 16 20
294 Washington 23.4% -1.00 16 26
295 Liberty 23.2% -1.03 16 25
296 Lipscomb 23.2% -1.03 15 23
297 Omaha 23.2% -1.03 15 25
298 Incarnate Word 23.1% -1.05 15 19
299 Army 23.1% -1.05 14 21
300 Long Beach State 23.1% -1.06 14 18
301 Nebraska 23.1% -1.06 14 26
302 Dayton 23.0% -1.08 14 24
303 Santa Clara 23.0% -1.08 13 19
304 Marist 23.0% -1.09 13 21
305 Wyoming 22.9% -1.10 13 25
306 Howard 22.9% -1.10 12 5
307 Tulane 22.9% -1.10 12 23
308 Montana 22.8% -1.13 12 23
309 Virginia 22.7% -1.14 11 25
310 UL Monroe 22.7% -1.15 11 26
311 Oral Roberts 22.7% -1.16 11 26
312 Chattanooga 22.6% -1.17 11 24
313 VMI 22.6% -1.18 10 22
314 Western Carolina 22.5% -1.18 10 25
315 The Citadel 22.5% -1.19 10 21
316 Weber State 22.4% -1.22 9 20
317 UAlbany 22.3% -1.24 9 16
318 Hampton 22.2% -1.25 9 25
319 Denver 22.0% -1.31 9 20
320 Notre Dame 22.0% -1.31 8 26
321 Idaho 22.0% -1.32 8 22
322 Cal Poly 22.0% -1.32 8 23
323 South Dakota 21.8% -1.35 7 24
324 Saint Joseph's 21.8% -1.36 7 20
325 Charlotte 21.7% -1.38 7 24
326 Kansas City 21.6% -1.39 7 20
327 Arizona State 21.3% -1.48 6 25
328 Quinnipiac 21.2% -1.50 6 22
329 San Diego 20.9% -1.56 6 14
330 Valparaiso 20.9% -1.57 5 26
331 Merrimack 20.8% -1.57 5 18
332 Maryland 20.6% -1.62 5 30
333 Northeastern 20.3% -1.69 5 19
334 Richmond 20.3% -1.70 4 22
335 Mercyhurst 20.0% -1.77 4 1
336 San José State 19.9% -1.78 4 19
337 Bucknell 19.8% -1.80 3 12
338 Northwestern 19.8% -1.80 3 23
339 Campbell 19.6% -1.86 3 25
340 Tarleton State 19.3% -1.92 3 15
341 Fordham 19.2% -1.95 2 14
342 Evansville 19.0% -1.99 2 25
343 Coppin State 18.5% -2.11 2 22
344 Mississippi Valley State 18.0% -2.24 1 24
345 Portland 17.8% -2.27 1 18
346 UC San Diego 16.7% -2.54 1 14
347 Southern Illinois 16.6% -2.56 1 25
348 Chicago State 16.6% -2.56 0 9
349 Air Force 15.3% -2.84 0 25