I'm so tired of being lonely, I still have some love to give. "Handle With Care" - The Travelling WIlburys
← Four Factors

Opponent Turnover Rate

Share of opponent possessions a defense forces into turnovers.

Opponents' season turnovers ÷ opponents' season possessions. Possessions aren't in the box score, so they're estimated as FGA − OffReb + TO + 0.475×FTA (the standard estimator).

Higher is better  ·  league avg 18.9%  ·  as of 2021-04-06

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.56 (team entering with the better value wins 54% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 12.1% max 26.6% mean 18.9% std 2.3% (n=349)

Team Rankings

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# Team Opponent Turnover Rate z Pctl GP
1 Abilene Christian 26.6% +3.42 100 25
2 Prairie View A&M 25.7% +3.01 100 21
3 Stephen F. Austin 24.5% +2.47 99 18
4 Baylor 24.4% +2.45 99 30
5 Eastern Kentucky 24.3% +2.39 99 27
6 UT Rio Grande Valley 24.1% +2.30 99 15
7 North Carolina A&T 23.9% +2.23 98 19
8 VCU 23.7% +2.14 98 26
9 Texas Tech 23.6% +2.09 98 29
10 Queens University 23.5% +2.05 97 3
11 Tarleton State 23.4% +2.01 97 15
12 UC Davis 23.4% +2.01 97 17
13 Texas A&M 22.9% +1.78 97 18
14 UAB 22.9% +1.77 96 27
15 Tennessee 22.8% +1.73 96 27
16 Bellarmine 22.8% +1.72 96 20
17 Portland State 22.7% +1.68 95 18
18 Texas State 22.7% +1.67 95 23
19 South Carolina State 22.6% +1.65 95 18
20 Georgia Tech 22.6% +1.65 95 26
21 Saint Peter's 22.5% +1.59 94 25
22 Manhattan 22.5% +1.58 94 20
23 Ole Miss 22.5% +1.58 94 28
24 Kansas City 22.4% +1.57 93 20
25 Austin Peay 22.4% +1.57 93 25
26 San Diego State 22.4% +1.55 93 27
27 Navy 22.4% +1.54 93 18
28 Presbyterian 22.3% +1.52 92 21
29 Morgan State 22.2% +1.46 92 19
30 SE Louisiana 22.2% +1.45 92 26
31 Tennessee State 22.1% +1.43 91 22
32 Alcorn State 22.1% +1.43 91 19
33 Georgia Southern 22.1% +1.42 91 22
34 Jackson State 22.1% +1.41 91 18
35 South Carolina 22.1% +1.41 90 21
36 Sam Houston 22.1% +1.41 90 24
37 Tulane 22.0% +1.40 90 23
38 Memphis 22.0% +1.38 89 28
39 Winthrop 21.9% +1.35 89 25
40 St. John's 21.8% +1.31 89 27
41 Merrimack 21.8% +1.29 89 18
42 Air Force 21.7% +1.25 88 25
43 Seattle U 21.7% +1.23 88 19
44 NC State 21.6% +1.22 88 25
45 Indiana State 21.6% +1.22 87 24
46 Georgia 21.6% +1.22 87 25
47 Tulsa 21.6% +1.21 87 21
48 Richmond 21.6% +1.21 86 22
49 Clemson 21.5% +1.18 86 24
50 Loyola Chicago 21.5% +1.17 86 29
51 Campbell 21.5% +1.14 86 25
52 Florida International 21.4% +1.14 85 22
53 Florida A&M 21.4% +1.13 85 20
54 Houston 21.3% +1.06 85 31
55 UL Monroe 21.3% +1.05 84 26
56 New Orleans 21.2% +1.04 84 24
57 UNC Greensboro 21.1% +0.98 84 30
58 West Virginia 21.0% +0.95 84 29
59 North Carolina Central 21.0% +0.92 83 13
60 Grambling 21.0% +0.92 83 23
61 UAlbany 20.9% +0.91 83 16
62 Wagner 20.9% +0.91 82 20
63 Long Island University 20.9% +0.91 82 18
64 Monmouth 20.9% +0.90 82 20
65 NJIT 20.9% +0.89 82 19
66 James Madison 20.8% +0.86 81 17
67 Jacksonville 20.8% +0.85 81 22
68 Maine 20.7% +0.82 81 9
69 North Texas 20.7% +0.81 80 27
70 Arizona State 20.7% +0.80 80 25
71 UT Martin 20.7% +0.80 80 23
72 Nicholls 20.7% +0.79 80 24
73 Southern 20.6% +0.77 79 19
74 Cal State Bakersfield 20.6% +0.76 79 24
75 Alabama State 20.5% +0.73 79 18
76 East Carolina 20.5% +0.73 78 18
77 Furman 20.5% +0.71 78 22
78 Longwood 20.5% +0.70 78 28
79 Alabama 20.4% +0.69 78 33
80 Belmont 20.4% +0.68 77 30
81 Norfolk State 20.4% +0.68 77 23
82 UC Santa Barbara 20.4% +0.68 77 25
83 Coppin State 20.4% +0.67 76 22
84 SMU 20.3% +0.63 76 17
85 Oregon 20.2% +0.60 76 28
86 Arkansas 20.2% +0.60 76 32
87 Canisius 20.2% +0.59 75 13
88 Stanford 20.2% +0.57 75 27
89 Niagara 20.2% +0.56 75 20
90 Florida 20.1% +0.55 74 25
91 Central Connecticut 20.1% +0.53 74 21
92 DePaul 20.1% +0.53 74 19
93 High Point 20.1% +0.52 74 24
94 Syracuse 20.0% +0.52 73 28
95 Colorado State 20.0% +0.50 73 27
96 Hartford 20.0% +0.50 73 24
97 Little Rock 20.0% +0.50 72 25
98 Cleveland State 20.0% +0.49 72 27
99 Lamar 20.0% +0.48 72 28
100 Boise State 19.9% +0.46 72 27
101 App State 19.9% +0.46 71 25
102 East Tennessee State 19.9% +0.46 71 23
103 Massachusetts 19.9% +0.46 71 15
104 Marshall 19.9% +0.45 70 22
105 Kansas 19.9% +0.45 70 29
106 Duke 19.9% +0.44 70 24
107 St. Francis Brooklyn 19.9% +0.44 70 19
108 Saint Louis 19.9% +0.44 69 21
109 San Francisco 19.8% +0.41 69 25
110 New Mexico 19.8% +0.41 69 20
111 UNC Asheville 19.8% +0.40 68 20
112 Vanderbilt 19.8% +0.40 68 25
113 Iona 19.8% +0.40 68 18
114 Middle Tennessee 19.8% +0.39 68 22
115 George Mason 19.8% +0.39 67 22
116 Colorado 19.7% +0.38 67 32
117 Utah 19.7% +0.38 67 25
118 UT Arlington 19.7% +0.37 66 23
119 Kansas State 19.7% +0.37 66 28
120 Southeast Missouri State 19.7% +0.36 66 27
121 Oklahoma State 19.7% +0.36 66 30
122 Utah Tech 19.7% +0.35 65 19
123 UConn 19.6% +0.34 65 23
124 Georgia State 19.6% +0.33 65 20
125 Duquesne 19.6% +0.32 64 18
126 Penn State 19.6% +0.31 64 25
127 Florida State 19.6% +0.31 64 25
128 SIU Edwardsville 19.6% +0.31 64 25
129 Utah State 19.5% +0.28 63 28
130 UCF 19.5% +0.27 63 23
131 Army 19.5% +0.27 63 21
132 Murray State 19.5% +0.27 62 24
133 La Salle 19.5% +0.26 62 24
134 Old Dominion 19.4% +0.25 62 22
135 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 19.4% +0.24 61 21
136 Mercyhurst 19.4% +0.22 61 1
137 Texas Southern 19.3% +0.20 61 25
138 South Alabama 19.3% +0.19 61 24
139 Gonzaga 19.3% +0.19 60 32
140 Fordham 19.3% +0.17 60 14
141 Fairleigh Dickinson 19.3% +0.17 60 24
142 Ohio 19.2% +0.16 59 24
143 Loyola Maryland 19.2% +0.16 59 17
144 St. Bonaventure 19.2% +0.16 59 21
145 Seton Hall 19.2% +0.14 59 27
146 Louisiana Tech 19.2% +0.14 58 31
147 North Carolina 19.1% +0.11 58 29
148 Minnesota 19.1% +0.09 58 29
149 Eastern Michigan 19.1% +0.09 57 15
150 UNC Wilmington 19.0% +0.07 57 16
151 Denver 19.0% +0.07 57 20
152 Bowling Green 19.0% +0.06 57 25
153 Southern Illinois 19.0% +0.06 56 25
154 Vermont 19.0% +0.05 56 15
155 Montana State 19.0% +0.05 56 21
156 Florida Gulf Coast 19.0% +0.03 55 16
157 Weber State 18.9% +0.03 55 20
158 UTEP 18.9% +0.02 55 21
159 Stony Brook 18.9% +0.01 55 22
160 Fresno State 18.9% -0.01 54 22
161 Western Kentucky 18.9% -0.01 54 29
162 IU Indianapolis 18.8% -0.01 54 18
163 Northern Kentucky 18.8% -0.02 53 25
164 Rutgers 18.8% -0.02 53 28
165 Chattanooga 18.8% -0.03 53 24
166 Eastern Illinois 18.8% -0.04 53 27
167 Oakland 18.8% -0.05 52 30
168 Sacramento State 18.8% -0.05 52 18
169 South Carolina Upstate 18.7% -0.06 52 22
170 Robert Morris 18.7% -0.07 51 18
171 Milwaukee 18.7% -0.09 51 22
172 Houston Christian 18.7% -0.09 51 24
173 Southern Miss 18.7% -0.09 51 23
174 Florida Atlantic 18.7% -0.10 50 19
175 New Mexico State 18.7% -0.10 50 17
176 Cal State Northridge 18.6% -0.10 50 21
177 Cal State Fullerton 18.6% -0.10 49 15
178 Youngstown State 18.6% -0.10 49 23
179 Cincinnati 18.6% -0.12 49 23
180 Wofford 18.6% -0.12 49 22
181 Holy Cross 18.6% -0.12 48 16
182 Delaware State 18.6% -0.13 48 17
183 North Alabama 18.6% -0.13 48 20
184 Saint Francis 18.6% -0.13 47 22
185 Samford 18.5% -0.15 47 17
186 Incarnate Word 18.5% -0.16 47 19
187 Iowa State 18.5% -0.16 47 24
188 Butler 18.5% -0.17 46 25
189 Auburn 18.5% -0.17 46 27
190 Northern Arizona 18.5% -0.18 46 22
191 Oklahoma 18.5% -0.18 45 27
192 Washington State 18.5% -0.18 45 27
193 Drake 18.5% -0.18 45 29
194 Charlotte 18.4% -0.20 45 24
195 Detroit Mercy 18.4% -0.20 44 22
196 Boston College 18.4% -0.20 44 20
197 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 18.4% -0.21 44 25
198 Pacific 18.4% -0.21 43 17
199 Villanova 18.4% -0.22 43 25
200 Lipscomb 18.4% -0.22 43 23
201 UC San Diego 18.4% -0.22 43 14
202 Montana 18.4% -0.23 42 23
203 Saint Mary's 18.3% -0.24 42 24
204 Oral Roberts 18.3% -0.25 42 26
205 Wichita State 18.3% -0.25 41 20
206 Evansville 18.3% -0.25 41 25
207 San Diego 18.3% -0.26 41 14
208 Central Michigan 18.2% -0.28 41 20
209 UC Irvine 18.2% -0.30 40 25
210 Gardner-Webb 18.2% -0.31 40 26
211 UTSA 18.1% -0.33 40 22
212 Northwestern State 18.1% -0.33 39 28
213 Cal Poly 18.1% -0.33 39 23
214 Nebraska 18.1% -0.34 39 26
215 Pepperdine 18.1% -0.34 39 25
216 Idaho State 18.1% -0.34 38 19
217 Wyoming 18.1% -0.35 38 25
218 Tennessee Tech 18.1% -0.36 38 27
219 Marist 18.1% -0.36 37 21
220 Miami (OH) 18.0% -0.37 37 22
221 Missouri 18.0% -0.38 37 26
222 Radford 18.0% -0.38 36 25
223 Elon 18.0% -0.39 36 18
224 Troy 18.0% -0.39 36 25
225 Northwestern 18.0% -0.40 36 23
226 Alabama A&M 18.0% -0.40 35 15
227 Coastal Carolina 18.0% -0.40 35 22
228 Virginia Tech 18.0% -0.40 35 22
229 Hampton 18.0% -0.41 34 25
230 Bradley 18.0% -0.41 34 26
231 Creighton 17.9% -0.41 34 31
232 Kentucky 17.9% -0.41 34 25
233 Wake Forest 17.9% -0.42 33 21
234 Arizona 17.9% -0.42 33 26
235 Miami 17.9% -0.42 33 27
236 New Hampshire 17.9% -0.42 32 18
237 LSU 17.9% -0.43 32 29
238 Portland 17.9% -0.43 32 18
239 Oregon State 17.9% -0.43 32 32
240 Nevada 17.9% -0.45 31 25
241 South Florida 17.8% -0.46 31 21
242 UMBC 17.8% -0.47 31 20
243 Texas 17.8% -0.48 30 27
244 Valparaiso 17.8% -0.48 30 26
245 Indiana 17.8% -0.48 30 27
246 UNLV 17.8% -0.49 30 25
247 Siena 17.7% -0.52 29 17
248 Kent State 17.7% -0.53 29 22
249 Long Beach State 17.7% -0.54 29 18
250 Charleston Southern 17.6% -0.55 28 20
251 McNeese 17.6% -0.55 28 18
252 Morehead State 17.6% -0.56 28 29
253 American University 17.6% -0.56 28 10
254 California 17.6% -0.56 27 28
255 Toledo 17.5% -0.60 27 30
256 Arkansas State 17.5% -0.61 27 21
257 Rhode Island 17.5% -0.61 26 25
258 Buffalo 17.5% -0.62 26 25
259 Charleston 17.5% -0.62 26 17
260 Bryant 17.5% -0.62 26 21
261 UCLA 17.4% -0.64 25 32
262 Stetson 17.4% -0.64 25 24
263 Pittsburgh 17.4% -0.64 25 22
264 Loyola Marymount 17.4% -0.64 24 22
265 Dayton 17.4% -0.65 24 24
266 Hofstra 17.4% -0.67 24 23
267 Mississippi State 17.4% -0.67 24 33
268 Wisconsin 17.3% -0.68 23 31
269 Liberty 17.3% -0.70 23 25
270 Saint Joseph's 17.3% -0.72 23 20
271 Delaware 17.3% -0.72 22 14
272 Louisiana 17.3% -0.72 22 24
273 Rider 17.2% -0.73 22 23
274 Quinnipiac 17.2% -0.74 22 22
275 Washington 17.2% -0.74 21 26
276 Ball State 17.2% -0.75 21 23
277 Rice 17.2% -0.76 21 25
278 Northeastern 17.2% -0.76 20 19
279 Idaho 17.1% -0.77 20 22
280 Kennesaw State 17.1% -0.77 20 21
281 Purdue Fort Wayne 17.1% -0.80 20 23
282 TCU 17.0% -0.82 19 26
283 Southern Utah 17.0% -0.82 19 19
284 William & Mary 17.0% -0.84 19 17
285 North Dakota 16.9% -0.85 18 26
286 Green Bay 16.9% -0.86 18 25
287 USC 16.9% -0.87 18 33
288 Omaha 16.9% -0.87 18 25
289 Lehigh 16.9% -0.88 17 15
290 Providence 16.9% -0.89 17 26
291 Northern Illinois 16.9% -0.90 17 19
292 Northern Iowa 16.8% -0.91 16 23
293 Maryland 16.8% -0.93 16 30
294 Mercer 16.8% -0.94 16 26
295 George Washington 16.8% -0.94 16 17
296 Santa Clara 16.8% -0.94 15 19
297 Purdue 16.7% -0.95 15 28
298 Hawai'i 16.7% -0.95 15 19
299 Wright State 16.7% -0.97 14 24
300 Illinois State 16.7% -0.98 14 24
301 Louisville 16.6% -1.01 14 20
302 UC Riverside 16.4% -1.08 14 22
303 Akron 16.4% -1.09 13 21
304 Xavier 16.3% -1.12 13 21
305 Binghamton 16.3% -1.13 13 18
306 UMass Lowell 16.3% -1.13 12 23
307 Colgate 16.3% -1.14 12 16
308 Fairfield 16.3% -1.15 12 27
309 Chicago State 16.3% -1.15 11 9
310 Georgetown 16.2% -1.17 11 26
311 Grand Canyon 16.2% -1.17 11 21
312 North Florida 16.2% -1.18 11 21
313 Eastern Washington 16.2% -1.20 10 23
314 Western Illinois 16.1% -1.22 10 21
315 Davidson 16.1% -1.23 10 21
316 California Baptist 16.1% -1.23 9 19
317 Iowa 16.1% -1.23 9 31
318 Lafayette 16.0% -1.25 9 15
319 Temple 16.0% -1.26 9 16
320 Towson 16.0% -1.27 8 18
321 Northern Colorado 16.0% -1.29 8 19
322 Drexel 16.0% -1.29 8 20
323 Illinois 16.0% -1.29 7 31
324 Mount St. Mary's 15.9% -1.31 7 23
325 Marquette 15.9% -1.31 7 27
326 Western Carolina 15.9% -1.32 7 25
327 Bucknell 15.7% -1.41 6 12
328 Jacksonville State 15.7% -1.42 6 25
329 BYU 15.7% -1.43 6 26
330 South Dakota State 15.4% -1.54 5 22
331 Central Arkansas 15.4% -1.54 5 23
332 South Dakota 15.4% -1.55 5 24
333 Sacred Heart 15.3% -1.57 5 18
334 Virginia 15.3% -1.60 4 25
335 Michigan State 15.2% -1.62 4 28
336 Boston University 15.1% -1.65 4 18
337 Utah Valley 14.8% -1.81 3 20
338 Ohio State 14.7% -1.83 3 31
339 Michigan 14.7% -1.86 3 28
340 San José State 14.7% -1.87 3 19
341 Mississippi Valley State 14.6% -1.91 2 24
342 UIC 14.2% -2.05 2 22
343 Western Michigan 14.2% -2.06 2 20
344 Missouri State 14.2% -2.07 1 22
345 The Citadel 13.9% -2.19 1 21
346 North Dakota State 13.8% -2.23 1 27
347 VMI 13.3% -2.45 1 22
348 Notre Dame 12.8% -2.68 0 26
349 Howard 12.1% -3.02 0 5